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IIT DELHI
Term Paper
SUBMITTED BY:
Balak Obama has recently joined Bharti Airtel as a Young Business Leader
(YBL). Being an MBA from the reputed Department of Management Studies-
IIT Delhi, he has been trusted with the task of valuation of Bharti Airtel as a
business firm. The following data is available.
Schedules
Balance Sheet (5 yr period)
(Rs in Crs)
Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar
Year 08(12) 07(12) 06(12) 05(12) 04(12)
INCOME :
Sales Turnover 25,761.11 17,851.60 11,231.47 7,903.03 0
Excise Duty 0 0 0 0 0
Net Sales 25,761.11 17,851.60 11,231.47 7,903.03 0
Other Income 359.91 148.49 94.3 122.02 63.15
Stock Adjustments 9.05 30.07 -13.84 11.57 0
Total Income 26,130.07 18,030.16 11,311.93 8,036.62 63.15
EXPENDITURE :
Raw Materials 155.3 53.95 54.42 83.7 0
Power & Fuel Cost 1,045.16 658.78 26.98 16.69 0.38
Employee Cost 1,306.57 1,102.03 754.99 488.13 16.84
Other Manufacturing Expenses 8,184.40 5,813.82 4,404.78 3,139.48 1.29
Selling and Administration Expenses 3,747.17 2,250.33 1,330.07 869.69 15
Miscellaneous Expenses 1,056.99 887.6 671.92 538.32 4.16
Less: Pre-operative Expenses
Capitalised 112.4 1.8 0.85 0.03 0
Total Expenditure 15,383.19 10,764.71 7,242.31 5,135.98 37.67
Operating Profit 10,746.88 7,265.45 4,069.62 2,900.64 25.48
Interest 607.76 310.78 236.81 317 21.36
Gross Profit 10,139.12 6,954.67 3,832.81 2,583.64 4.12
Depreciation 3,166.58 2,353.30 1,547.02 1,019.36 3.87
Profit Before Tax 6,972.54 4,601.37 2,285.79 1,564.28 0.25
Tax 859.36 495.03 166.52 8.61 -0.12
Deferred Tax -168.24 47.61 88.14 345 0
Reported Net Profit 6,244.19 4,033.23 2,012.08 1,210.67 0.37
Extraordinary Items 48.38 31.19 12.57 28.22 13.29
Adjusted Net Profit 6,195.81 4,002.04 1,999.51 1,182.45 -12.92
Adjst. below Net Profit -22.25 -5.92 0 -1,750.02 0
P & L Balance brought forward 5,533.92 1,456.38 -786.43 0.81 0.44
Statutory Appropriations 0 0 0 0 0
Appropriations -41.36 -50.23 -230.73 247.89 0
P & L Balance carried down 11,797.22 5,533.92 1,456.38 -786.43 0.81
Dividend 0 0 0 0 0
Preference Dividend 0 0 0 0 0
Equity Dividend % 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Per Share-Unit Curr 32.9 21.27 10.62 6.53 0
Book Value-Unit Curr 106.34 60.19 38.71 24.44 26.03
(Rs in Crs)
Year Mar 08 Mar 07 Mar 06 Mar 05 Mar 04
SOURCES OF FUNDS :
Share Capital 1,897.91 1,895.93 1,893.88 1,856.09 1,853.37
Reserves Total 18,285.95 9,517.33 5,439.55 2,677.51 2,971.49
Total Shareholders Funds 20,183.86 11,413.26 7,333.43 4,533.60 4,824.86
Secured Loans 52.42 266.45 2,863.37 3,959.88 1.36
Unsecured Loans 6,517.92 5,044.36 1,932.92 1,034.41 625
Total Debt 6,570.34 5,310.81 4,796.29 4,994.29 626.36
Total Liabilities 26,754.20 16,724.07 12,129.72 9,527.89 5,451.22
APPLICATION OF FUNDS :
Gross Block 28,115.65 26,509.93 17,951.74 13,240.63 31.84
Less : Accumulated Depreciation 9,085.00 7,204.30 4,944.86 3,475.64 17.28
Net Block 19,030.65 19,305.63 13,006.88 9,764.99 14.56
Lease Adjustment 0 0 0 0 0
Capital Work in Progress 2,751.08 2,375.82 2,341.25 994.46 0.1
Investments 10,952.85 705.82 719.7 931.9 1,762.67
Current Assets, Loans &
Advances
Inventories 59.94 51.55 18.59 31.58 0
Sundry Debtors 2,776.46 1,873.30 1,076.17 715.74 0
Cash and Bank 502.94 780.46 307.43 384.14 0.13
Loans and Advances 4,666.89 2,587.25 1,857.82 1,204.94 3,693.01
Total Current Assets 8,006.23 5,292.56 3,260.01 2,336.40 3,693.14
Less : Current Liabilities and
Provisions
Current Liabilities 11,957.84 9,459.42 6,477.71 4,207.99 13.56
Provisions 1,965.10 1,262.33 539.3 249.31 6.99
Total Current Liabilities 13,922.94 10,721.75 7,017.01 4,457.30 20.55
Net Current Assets -5,916.71 -5,429.19 -3,757.00 -2,120.90 3,672.59
Miscellaneous Expenses not
written off 0.2 2.66 7.94 58.34 1.3
Deferred Tax Assets 436.3 143.74 80.73 168.23 0
Deferred Tax Liability 500.17 380.41 269.78 269.13 0
Net Deferred Tax -63.87 -236.67 -189.05 -100.9 0
Total Assets 26,754.20 16,724.07 12,129.72 9,527.89 5,451.22
Contingent Liabilities 2,148.87 1,615.17 1,501.51 1,594.47 4,874.99
Source: www.capitaline.com
For valuing the firm, Balak Obama did the following forecasts based on the
data that was available.
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
PBDIT 4069.62 7265.45 10746.9 13250 16500 19500 21800 24300 25800 27200
Capex 4700 7500 10000 13000 15000 14000 11000 8000 5000 3500
Depreciation 1547 2353 3166 4100 4800 5100 5600 5900 5800 5600
Change in (3757) (5429) (5916) (6600) (7300) (8100) (9000) (9700) (10300) (10800)
NWC
PAT 1690 3292 5084 6131 7839 9447 10854 12266 13334 14400
No. of 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250
Shares Crore Crore Crore Crore Crore Crore Crore Crore Crore Crore
EPS 10.62 21.27 32.90 43.00 53.00 64.00 75.00 86.00 92.00 97.00
You are required to assist Balak in valuation of the firm and draw inferences
from the results obtained.
Solution
Risk Free Rate: 7.5% p.a (Yield on 10yr central govt bonds)
Using the regression analysis tool of excel and the above data, value of beta is
obtained
Beta= .793
Cost of equity of Bhart Airtel= Risk free rate + (Market rate – risk free rate)*β
= .075 + .09*.793
= .1464
= 0.1184 = 11.84%
= 13.95 %
= 14765.7
Less Normal Profits = 14765.7 * (0.0735 + 0.09)
Rs 2414.19
Determination of EVA
= Rs 3297.4 Crores
= 24800/13.95
= 1777.77
Estimates of Free Cash Flow
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
PBDIT 4069.62 7265.45 10746.9 13250 16500 19500 21800 24300 25800 27200
Less 1547 2353 3166 4100 4800 5100 5600 5900 5800 5600
Depreciation
PBIT 2522 4912 7588 9150 11700 14100 16200 18400 20000 21600
Tax (0.33) 832 1620 2504 3019 3861 4653 5346 6133 6666 7200
PAT 1690 3292 5084 6131 7839 9447 10854 12266 13334 14400
Add 1547 2353 3166 4100 4800 5100 5600 5900 5800 5600
Depreciation
Less Change (3757) (5429) (5916) (6600) (7300) (8100) (9000) (9700) (10300) (10800)
in NWC
Less Capex 4700 7500 10000 13000 15000 14000 11000 8000 5000 3500
FCFF 2294 3574 4166 3831 4939 8647 14454 19866 24434 27300
1777
Net Cash 2294 3574 4166 3831 4939 8647 14454 19866 24434 29077
Flows
PV @14% 0.877 0.769 0.675 0.592 0.519 0.456 0.400 0.351 0.308 0.270
Present 2011 2748 2812 2268 2563 3943 5782 6972 7525 7851
Value
1) The market value of assets is more than the book value reflected by balance sheet
2) Telecom industry is in a high growth phase in India and Airtel is the market leader.
However Free Cash Flow method used for the valuation is not sacrosanct, Other methods like
Capitalization method and Net asset method can be used for valuing the firm
Other Insights
1) Bharti Airtel keeps a negative working capital. It can afford to do it as it has a very good credit rating in
the market and is not expected to default.
2) The have not given dividends to the shareholders uptill now that also has been the reason for
appreciation of Share price.
3) Telecom industry requires very high capital investments and because of Bharti Airtel good balance
sheet position it can invest in capital intensive projects.