You are on page 1of 150

O U T L I N E O F T H E

U. S. ECONOMY 2 0 0 9 E D I T I O N

1
O U T L I N E O F T H E

U. S. ECONOMY 2 0 0 9 E D I T I O N
09-20546 OutlineEconomy_new_091210 12/28/09 11:46 AM Page ii

Outline of the U.S. Economy


2009 Edition

Published in 2009 by: Bureau of International Information Programs


United States Department of State
http://www.america.gov/publications/books.html#outline_economy

STAFF

Editor in Chief: Michael Jay Friedman


Managing Editor: Bruce Odessey
Design: David Hamill
Graphs: Vincent Hughes
Photo editor: Maggie Sliker

FRONT COVER: top illustration © Dave Cutler / Stock Illustration Source


bottom illustration © Jane Sterrett / Stock Illustration Source

ABOUT THE AUTHOR


This edition of Outline of the U.S. Economy has been completely revised by Peter Behr, a
former business editor and reporter for the Washington Post. It updates several previous
editions that were issued first by the U.S. Information Agency and then by the U.S. Depart-
ment of State beginning in 1981.

ii
09-20546 OutlineEconomy_new_091210 12/28/09 11:46 AM Page iii

C O N T E N T S

CHAPTER 1: The Challenges of this Century 1


The world’s largest and most diverse economy faces
the most severe economic challenges in a generation
or more.

CHAPTER 2: The Evolution of the U.S. Economy 10


The economy has expanded and changed, guided by
some unchanging principles.

CHAPTER 3: What the U.S. Economy Produces 48


The large U.S. multinational firms have altered their
production strategies and their roles in response to
globalization as they adapt to increasing competition.

CHAPTER 4: Competition and the American Culture 62


Competition has remained a defining characteristic of
the U.S. economy in the American Dream of owning a
small business.

CHAPTER 5: Geography and Infrastructure 76


Education and transportation help hold together widely
separated and distinct regions.

CHAPTER 6: Government and the Economy 90


Much of America’s history has focused on the debate
over the government’s role in the economy.

CHAPTER 7: A U.S. Economy Linked to the World 114


Despite political divisions, the United States shows
no sign of retreat from global engagement in trade
and investment.

CHAPTER 8: A New Chapter in America’s Economic Story 130


The United States, in its democratic way, faces up to
immense economic challenges.

Outline of the U.S. Economy

iii
09-20546 OutlineEconomy_new_091210 12/28/09 11:46 AM Page iv

iv
09-20546 OutlineEconomy_new_091210 12/28/09 11:46 AM Page v

P R E F A C E

“The panic itself was felt in every part


of the globe,” The Wall Street Journal reported.
“It was as if a volcano had burst forth in New York,
causing a tidal wave that swept with disastrous
power over every nation on the globe.” One of the after-
effects: “an accumulation of idle money in the banking
centres.” The date of this item? January 17, 1908.
Given the sobering news that of late has arrived with dis-
tressing frequency, preparing this edition of Outline of the U.S.
Economy has been a real challenge. We have tried to approach
the task with a sense of historical consciousness. In addition
to the 1908 events depicted above, the United States has en-
dured a Great Depression (began 1929), a Long Depression
(began 1873), a Panic of 1837—“an American financial crisis,
built on a speculative real estate market,” says Wikipedia—
and assorted other recessions, panics, bubbles, and contrac-
tions, and emerged from each with its economic vigor
restored and its republican institutions vibrant.
We hope that our readers will find this new entry in our
Outline series frank, informative, and above all useful. We offer
it in the spirit of optimism embedded deeply in American life.

—The Editors

Outline of the U.S. Economy

v
C H A P T E R

The
Challenges
of this
Century
The world’s largest
and most diverse
economy currently faces
the most severe economic
challenges in a generation
or more.

© photosbyjohn/Shutterstock
© AP Images

Above: From left, Vice President-elect Joe Biden and his wife, Jill, President-elect
Barack Obama and his wife, Michelle, stop in January 2009 on their way to inaugu-
ration and big challenges. Previous spread: Times Square in New York City, the
U.S. financial capital, is reeling from the global financial collapse but still pulsat-
ing with economic energy.

2
The United States “continues to surprise…
It continues to renew itself.”
S E C R E TA R Y C O N D O L E E Z Z A R I C E
U.S. Department of State
2008

The financial crash of 2008 brought a sudden,


traumatic halt to a quarter-century of U.S.-led global
economic growth. The final consequences of this shock for
the U.S. and world economies remain uncertain at this writing.
But in the midst of the crisis, Americans chose new national lead-
ership in a peaceful transfer of power that demonstrated again
the strength of the country’s democratic process and the people’s
confidence in the ultimate resilience of the American economy.
Since the election of Ronald Reagan as president in 1980, the United
States had championed globalization of trade and finance. It opened its
doors wider to foreign products and investment than any other major
economy. America’s entrepreneurial culture was the world’s model. The
synergy of U.S. political freedoms and free markets appeared vindicated
by the Soviet Union’s collapse in 1991. At home, a bipartisan consensus
emerged in favor of further economic deregulation, which, in turn,
spurred a freewheeling expansion of new types of investments that
helped fuel a vast increase in international finance and commerce.
But America’s growth came to rely increasingly on debt. Consumers,
businesses, home buyers, and the U.S. government itself borrowed heav-
ily in the belief that the value of their investments—including, fatefully
for many, their homes—would continue to grow. The ready availability
of credit on easy terms drove home prices, in particular, ever higher.
When the housing boom finally collapsed in 2007, it exposed a fragile
layer of high-risk home loans made over a decade to families that could
not afford them, particularly if the economy weakened. Some borrowers
had purchased homes they could not afford, trusting that in a rising mar-
ket they could always sell their properties at a profit. As housing prices
fell, homeowners who no longer could keep up with their mortgage pay-
ments were unable to pay their debt by selling their homes. These home

3
loans thus were the unstable foun- head off a global collapse of lend-
dation for a massive but largely ing. The federal government and
invisible speculation on mortgage the Federal Reserve central bank
securities and financial contracts seized control of the two largest
sold around the world. U.S. home mortgage firms and
Triggered by the housing col- bailed out leading banks and a
lapse, this edifice toppled in 2008. major insurance company, actions
Foreclosures grew, and panic fol- that would have been politically
lowed. Giant Wall Street financial unthinkable before the crisis. An
firms fell, reorganized, or were initial $700 billion bank rescue
combined with larger competitors. plan won bipartisan support in the
Stock markets plunged, and the U.S. Congress.
world’s economies headed into Since the start of the global
the worst crisis since the Great De- crisis in 2008, U.S. government
pression of the 1930s. agencies and the central bank
The catastrophe revealed weak- had pledged an astonishing
nesses unheeded during the boom. $12.8 trillion—equal to nearly
U.S. consumption had for too long the entire U.S. annual economic
outpaced savings. Financial regula- output—in loans, loan pur-
tors’ faith in the efficiency of eco- chases, and credit guarantees
nomic markets led them to seeking to halt the financial
underestimate the mounting risks. freefall. The Federal Reserve also
Optimism and ambition among promised to buy more than $1
many Americans bred excess and trillion in bonds backed by deval-
recklessness. Lessons from past ued home mortgages. A leading
booms and crashes were ignored as economist observed that “no one
many focused only on the present. else—not even China—had a big
But the crisis also revealed the enough balance sheet” to mount
ability of the American govern- such a response.
ment to respond quickly and de- The crisis erupted in the
cisively to the challenge. Even at midst of the 2008 presidential
a peak of the crisis in the last two election and helped clinch victory
months of 2008, foreigners for Senator Barack Obama, the
viewed the United States as Democratic Party candidate.
among the most economically Many interpreted the electoral
safe and politically stable invest- triumph of the United States’
ment arenas. So eager were they first African-American president,
to purchase U.S. Treasury securi- a man who rose rapidly from
ties that the return on these in- humble origins, as an affirmation
vestments dropped nearly to of the nation’s signature traits of
zero: Once again, the dollar was optimism and faith in this coun-
a refuge in financial storms. try. As President George W. Bush’s
Washington officials responded secretary of state, Condoleezza
with unprecedented measures to Rice, put it, one can “go from
4
modest circumstances to extraor- An Economy Driven by Competition
dinary achievement.” Many economists agree that
This edition of the Outline of an understanding of the Ameri-
the U.S. Economy is a primer on can economy begins with Adam
how the U.S. economic system Smith’s concept of the “invisible
emerged, how it works, and how hand.” Smith, considered the fa-
it is shaped by American social ther of economics, wrote in his
values and political institutions. 1776 book The Wealth of Nations
Always present, given the trying that an economy performs best
times during which this edition when buyers and sellers seek the
neared completion, is a sense of best outcome for themselves, as if
how all these factors may guide guided by an unseen hand. The
the nation’s responses to the ex-
sum of their many independent
traordinary economic challenges
transactions is the most efficient
that lie ahead.
use of a nation’s resources, he
This chapter offers a brief
reasoned. In freely operating
over-view of the U.S. economy
markets, prices are determined
today. Chapter 2 follows the his-
by the interactions of buyers and
torical evolution of the economy
sellers. Competition results in
from colonial times to the pres-
better products and wider pros-
ent. Chapter 3 concerns the be-
perity on average than a govern-
liefs, traditions, and values that
underpin the United States’ rep- ment-run economy could deliver
resentative democracy and its —as the failure of communism in
economy. Chapter 4 profiles the Russia so clearly attests, market
makeup of the U.S. economy— economists say.
what it produces, exports, and An American version evolved
imports. Chapter 5 focuses on from Smith’s doctrine and other
the major regions of the country features of Britain’s merchant
whose cultures are responsible for economy. Its centerpiece remains
much of America’s diversity, and a matrix of laws, institutions, and
the linkages of infrastructure and traditions that have shaped the
education that have tied the American economy. The framers
country together. Chapter 6 de- of America’s 1776 Declaration of
scribes the ongoing debate over Independence from Britain and
the government’s role in the 1789 U.S. Constitution had
economy. Chapter 7 examines given the new United States
the impact of globalization and “stars to steer by,” in historian
trade on the U.S. economy, its David McCullough’s words,
companies, and its workers. And meaning the basic political free-
Chapter 8 sums up the hurdles doms and restraints on govern-
that confront the American econ- mental power that Americans
omy in a fast-changing and less- have prized—and debated—
predictable world. since the country’s founding.
5
But even the strongest sup- sources that has at times abused
porters of market capitalism ac- this bounty; a political system
knowledge that it does not grounded in civic equality but re-
provide all the answers. “For var- liant on income inequality to mo-
ious reasons, the invisible hand tivate citizens to work hard and
sometimes does not work,” said invest in learning; a nation with
economist N. Gregory Mankiw, a astonishing wealth at the top and
former member of President more relative poverty than in
George W. Bush’s Council of Eco- many of the world’s rich countries.
nomic Advisers. A manufacturer But the large majority of
won’t pay the environmental and Americans subscribes to the idea
health costs of the pollution emit- of a dynamic economy that em-
ting from its smokestacks unless braces competition, invites striv-
government requires that it do ing and invention, heaps rewards
so. A monopolist or group of on winners, and gives second
dominant companies can charge chances to those who fail. With
higher prices than a competitive all its contradictions, the United
market would allow. Another for- States has achieved a highly flex-
mer White House adviser, Nobel ible economic system that ar-
Prize winner Joseph E. Stiglitz, guably offers more choices and
says, “The reason that the invisi- opportunities than any other,
ble hand often seems invisible is and one that has displayed re-
that it is often not there.” peatedly its capacity to repair
Every generation of Americans mistakes and adapt to recessions,
has produced critics of the na- wars, and financial panics, gain-
tion’s economic arrangements. ing strength from its trials. The
Historian Henry Steele Com- United States “continues to sur-
mager, writing in the 1950s, said prise,” Secretary Rice said, fol-
that “whatever promised to in- lowing Obama’s election. “It
crease wealth was automatically continues to renew itself.”
regarded as good, and the Amer-
ican was tolerant, therefore, of The U.S. Economy Today
speculation, advertising, defor- Even in crisis, the America’s
estation, and the exploitation of economy remains the world’s
natural resources, and more pa- largest and most diverse. The
tient with the worst manifesta- total output of U.S. goods and
tions of industrialism.” services—the gross domestic
Others have pointed to nu- product—stood at $14 trillion in
merous contradictions both seem- 2007, nearly three times the size
ing and real in the American of Japan’s economy and five times
economic formula: a consumer- China’s, based on the purchasing
led society long on materialism power of each country’s currency.
but short on saving for the future; With just 5 percent of the world’s
a nation of abundant natural re- population, the United States is
6
responsible for 20 percent of total that of China, according to the
economic output. U.S. Conference Board. U.S. pro-
The U.S. gross domestic prod- ductivity expanded by an average
uct per person was nearly $45,000 2 percent a year from 2000
in 2007, compared to a worldwide through 2006, twice the gain in
average of $11,000. The economy most of Europe. In one study of
poured out $40 billion a day in 16 major industrial economies,
goods and services that year, only South Korea, Sweden, and
drawing its fuel from the know- Taiwan had higher productivity
how of the 150 million Americans growth than the United States
who make up the workforce. Cap- over the same years. These in-
ital provided more fuel: the $5.5 creases in productivity have
billion in nongovernmental funds helped the United States main-
that Americans invested daily in tain relatively low unemployment
their businesses and homes. And and inflation.
there are the nation’s resources of The World Economic Forum,
minerals, energy, water, forests, whose annual conferences are a
and farmland. gathering of top international
The productivity of American government and corporate lead-
working men and women re- ers, has regularly ranked the
mains a standard for the world. United States as the world’s most
The average American worker competitive economy. Major U.S.
produced more than $92,000 companies have stayed atop inter-
worth of products and services in national markets through a deter-
2007. This is nearly 20 percent mined focus on innovation, cost
more than that of the average of reduction, and the return of prof-
a dozen leading European coun- its to shareholders. Of the 2007
tries and 85 percent higher than Fortune magazine list of the 500

7
largest corporations worldwide, choice, the American dollar re-
162 were headquartered in the mains the centerpiece of interna-
United States. Japan was second tional commerce.
with 67, and France third with 38. When Barack Obama took of-
American technology leader- fice as president in January 2009,
ship continues to expand from the immediate crisis dominated
current foundations in comput- his agenda, and beyond that lay
ers, software, multimedia, ad- grave, longer-range challenges.
vanced materials, health science, Record federal budget deficits
and biotechnology into the fron- stemming from the government
tiers of nanotechnology and ge- lending in the crisis could chal-
netics. Although the euro is lenge the stability of the U.S. dol-
gaining support as a currency of lar. The federal government’s

© AP Images

Above: U.S. companies keep their technological edge at places such as this nanotech-
nology center at Bell Labs in New Jersey.

8
rising retirement and health care on a continued prosperity for the
commitments to an aging popu- large majority of its citizens.
lation will test the government’s President Obama acknowl-
ability to pay for itself. American edged the severity of the chal-
businesses, shareholders, and lenge in a speech shortly before
consumers could face heavy costs his inauguration. But he also re-
in adapting processes and prod- minded the nation of its heritage
ucts to conserve natural resources and of its inherent strengths. “We
and meet the challenges of cli- should never forget that our
mate change. Disparities in edu- workers are still more productive
cational attainment could than any on Earth. Our universi-
increase. Foreign competition ties are still the envy of the world.
and technological change could We are still home to the most bril-
displace more U.S. jobs. liant minds, the most creative en-
Harvard University economist trepreneurs, and the most
Benjamin Friedman and others advanced technology and inno-
warn that America’s continued vation that history has ever
political support for a free flow of known. And we are still the na-
trade and finance and its open- tion that has overcome great
ness to the world hinge critically fears and improbable odds.”

9
C H A P T E R

The
Evolution
of the U.S.
Economy
The economy has
expanded and changed,
guided by some
unchanging principles.

Courtesy of Library of Congress


Courtesy of Library of Congress

Above: Harper’s Weekly published scenes of U.S. farm life in the 1860s, years when
America was poised to become a world manufacturing power. Previous spread:
Salem, Massachusetts, in New England, was one of the most important seaports in
the American colonies at the time of the Revolutionary War.

12
“Those who labor in the earth are the chosen
people of God, if ever he had a chosen people.”
THOMAS JEFFERSON
1787

By the time that General George Washington


took office as the first U.S. president in 1789, the young
nation’s economy was already a composite of many diverse
occupations and defined regional differences.
Agriculture was dominant. Nine of 10 Americans worked on farms,
most of them growing the food their families relied on. Only one per-
son in 20 lived in an “urban” location, which then meant merely 2,500
inhabitants or more. The country’s largest city, New York, had a popu-
lation of just 22,000 people, while London’s population exceeded one
million. But the handful of larger cities had a merchant class of trades-
men, shopkeepers, importers, shippers, manufacturers, and bankers
whose interests could conflict with those of the farmers.
Thomas Jefferson, a Virginia planter and principal author of Amer-
ica’s Declaration of Independence, spoke for an influential group of the
country’s Founding Fathers, including many from the South. They be-
lieved the country should be primarily an agrarian society, with farming
at its core and with government playing a minimal role. Jefferson mis-
trusted urban classes, seeing the great cities of Europe as breeders of
political corruption. “Those who labor in the earth are the chosen peo-
ple of God, if ever he had a chosen people,” Jefferson once declared.
Opposing Jefferson and other supporters of a farm-based republic
was a second powerful political movement, the Federalists, often fa-
vored by northern commercial interests. Among its leaders was Alexan-
der Hamilton, one of Washington’s principal military aides in the
American Revolutionary War (1775-1783), in which the American
colonies had won recognition of their sovereignty from Britain. Hamil-
ton, a New Yorker who was the nation’s first secretary of the Treasury,
believed that the young, vulnerable American republic required strong
central leadership and federal policies that would support the spread
of manufacturing.
In 1801, Jefferson became the third U.S. president and headed the
Democratic-Republican political party, later to be called the Democratic

13
Party. In 1828, war hero Andrew rule and maximized opportunities
Jackson from Tennessee won elec- for careful deliberation in the best
tion as the candidate of Jeffer- interests of the country as a
son’s wing, becoming the first whole,” says professor Anne-
U.S. president from a frontier re- Marie Slaughter of Princeton Uni-
gion. His combative advocacy for versity. “They insisted on a
“ordinary” Americans became a pluralist party system, a bill of
main theme of the Democrats. rights limiting the power of the
He declared in 1832 that when government, guarantees for free
Congress acts to “make the rich speech and a free press, checks
richer and the potent more pow- and balances to promote transpar-
erful, the humble members of so- ent and accountable government,
ciety—the farmers, mechanics, and a strong rule of law enforced
and laborers” who lack wealth by an independent judiciary.”
and influence—have the right to The lawmaking power was di-
protest such treatment. vided between two legislative
Hamilton argued that Amer- houses. The Senate, whose mem-
ica’s unbounded economic oppor- bership was fixed at two senators
tunities could not be achieved from each state (and until 1914,
without a system that created cap- who were chosen by the state leg-
ital and rewarded investment. islatures rather than by direct
Hamilton’s Federalists evolved election), was assumed to reflect
into the Whig Party and then the business and landholder inter-
Republican Party. This major ests. The Founders created the
branch of American politics gen- House of Representatives, with
erally favored policies to spur the membership apportioned among
growth of U.S. industry: internal the states by population and
infrastructure improvements, pro- elected directly by the people, to
tective tariffs on the import of adhere more closely to the views
goods, centralized banking, and a of the broader public.
strong currency. Another essential constitu-
tional feature was the separation
A Balancing of Interests of powers into three governmen-
The U.S. Constitution, ratified tal branches: legislative, executive,
in 1788, sought to ground the and judicial. James Madison, a
new nation’s experiment in primary author of the Constitu-
democracy in hard-won compro- tion and, beginning in 1809, the
mises of conflicting economic and nation’s fourth president, said that
regional interests. “the spirit of liberty…demands
“The framers of the Constitu- checks” on government’s power.
tion wanted a republican govern- “If men were angels, no govern-
ment that would represent the ment would be necessary,” he
people, but represent them in a wrote, in defense of the separation
way that protected against mob principle. But Madison also be-
14
lieved that the separations could try. The federal government was
not be absolute and that each also empowered to grant patents
branch ought properly to possess and copyrights to protect the
some influence over the others. work of inventors and writers.
The president thus appoints The initial U.S. protective tariff
senior government leaders, chief was enacted by the first Congress
federal prosecutors, and the top in 1789 to raise money for the
generals and admirals who direct federal government and to pro-
the armed forces. But the Senate vide protection for U.S. manufac-
may accept or reject these candi- turers of glass, pottery, and other
dates. Congress may pass bills, but products by effectively raising the
a president’s veto can prevent their price of competing goods from
becoming law unless two-thirds of overseas. Tariffs immediately be-
each congressional house votes to came one of the young nation’s
override the veto. The Supreme most divisive regional issues.
Court successfully claimed the Hamilton championed the
right to strike down a law as un- tariff as a necessary defensive
constitutional, but the president barrier against stronger Euro-
retains the ability to nominate new pean manufacturers. Hamilton
Supreme Court justices. The Sen- also promoted a decisive federal
ate possesses an effective veto over hand in the nation’s finances,
those choices, and the Constitu- successfully advocating the con-
tion assigns to Congress the power troversial federal assumption and
to fix the size of the Supreme full payment of the states’ Revo-
Court and to restrict the court’s lutionary War debts, much of
appellate jurisdiction. which had been acquired at low
The Constitution outlined the prices by speculators during the
government’s role in the new re- war. These measures were popu-
public’s economy. At Hamilton’s lar among American manufactur-
insistence, the federal govern- ers and financiers in New York,
ment was granted the sole power Boston, and Philadelphia, whose
to issue money; states could not bonds paid for the country’s in-
do so. Hamilton saw this as the dustrial expansion.
key to creating and maintaining But the protective tariff infu-
a strong national currency and a riated the predominantly agricul-
creditworthy nation that could tural South. It raised the price of
borrow to expand and grow. manufactured goods that south-
There would be no internal erners purchased from Europe,
taxes on goods moving between and it encouraged European na-
the states. The federal govern- tions to retaliate by reducing pur-
ment could regulate interstate chases of the South’s agricultural
commerce and would have sole exports. As historian Roger L.
power to impose import taxes on Ransom observes, western states
foreign goods entering the coun- came down in the middle, object-
15
ing to high tariffs that raised the other Middle Colonies attracted
prices of manufactured goods but Dutch, German, and Scotch-Irish
enjoying the federal tariff rev- immigrants. There were French
enues that funded the new roads, farmers in some of the South’s
railroads, canals, and other pub- tidewater settlements while Spain
lic works projects that their com- provided settlers for California
munities needed. The high 1828 and the Southwest. But the
barriers, dubbed the “Tariff of sharpest line was drawn by the
Abominations” by southern op- importation of African slaves,
ponents, escalated regional anger which began in America in 1619.
and contributed to sectional ten- In the South, slave labor un-
sions that would culminate in the derpinned a class of wealthy
U.S. Civil War decades later. planters whose crops—first to-
By 1800, the huge tracts of bacco, then cotton, sugar, wool,
land granted by British kings to and hemp—were the nation’s
colonial governors had been dis- principal exports. Small farm
persed. While many large land- holders were the backbone of
holdings remained, particularly many new settlements and towns
the plantations of the South, by and were elevated by Jefferson
1796 the federal government had and many others as symbols of
begun direct land sales to settlers an “American character” em-
at $2 per acre ($5 per hectare), bodying independence, hard
commencing a policy that would work, and frugality.
be critical to America’s westward Some of the Founding Fathers
expansion throughout the 19th feared the direction in which the
century. The rising tide of settlers unschooled majority of Ameri-
pushed the continent’s depleted cans, a “rabble in arms” in one
Native American inhabitants author’s famous description,
steadily westward as well. Presi- might take their new country.
dent Jackson made the displace- But the image that prevailed was
ment of Indian tribes government that of the farmer-patriot, once
policy with the Indian Removal captured by the 19th-century
Act of 1830, the forced relocation philosopher Ralph Waldo Emer-
of the Choctaw tribe to the future son’s depiction of the “embattled
state of Oklahoma over what came farmers” who had defied British
to be called “the trail of tears.” soldiers, fired “the shot heard
The first regional demarca- round the world,” and sparked
tions followed roughly the settle- the American Revolution.
ment patterns of various ethnic President Jefferson’s purchase
immigrant groups. Settlers from of the Louisiana territory in 1803
England followed the path of the from France doubled the nation’s
first Puritans to occupy New Eng- size and opened a vast new fron-
land in the northeastern part of tier that called out to settlers and
the country. Pennsylvania and adventurers.
16
The South and Slavery argued that the war stimulated
The South’s economy relied on the great manufacturing and
the labor of slaves, a fundamental commercial expansion of the
contradiction of the principle of decades that followed. More re-
equality on which America was cent research asserts that the U.S.
founded. Congress outlawed the economy would have expanded
importation of slaves in 1808 but greatly with or without the war.
not slavery itself, and the domestic The victorious North, in any case,
slave population kept expanding. moved to new heights, stumbled
American politics in the half-cen- during a series of financial pan-
tury preceding the Civil War ics, but recovered and continued
(1861-1865) were increasingly to advance.
The South mostly adopted a
dominated by the South’s tena-
system of tenant farming that ef-
cious defense of its “peculiar insti-
fectively broke up the plantation
tution” and growing northern
system on which the region’s
demands for slavery’s abolition. In
economy had previously de-
1860, in the 11 southern states
pended. While the Reconstruc-
that would secede from the
tion years immediately following
Union, create their own Confed-
the Civil War saw real efforts to
eracy, and launch the Civil War,
improve the lot of former slaves,
four out of 10 people were slaves,
the political will to see through
and they provided more than half these reforms ebbed, especially
of all agricultural labor. after 1877. The promised politi-
One crop stood out above all cal and economic freedoms thus
others in the region. “Cotton is were not delivered. Instead the
king,” declared James Henry repressive system of “Jim Crow”
Hammond, a South Carolina sen- segregation took hold throughout
ator and defender of slavery, in the South. By the end of the 19th
1858. Cotton was the nation’s most century, poverty was widespread
important export, vital to the among blacks, as it was among
economies of North and South. many rural whites.
The low cost of slave-produced cot- The Civil War marked the
ton benefited U.S. and British tex- greatest threat to the Union’s sur-
tile manufacturers and provided vival, but it was also an opportu-
cheaper clothing for the urban nity for the war-time Congress—in
centers. Southerners bought the the absence of representatives
output of northern manufacturers from the rebellious southern
and western farmers. states—to expand the power of the
The Civil War’s devastating national government. The first
economic impact widened the system of national taxation was
disparities between the victorious passed; a national paper currency
North and a defeated South. An was issued; public land-grant uni-
earlier generation of historians versities were funded; and con-
17
struction of the first transcontinen- the demand for slave labor. Whit-
tal railroad was begun. ney, a Massachusetts craftsman
and entrepreneur, fought a long,
A Spirit of Invention frustrating battle to secure patent
Across the country, a flow of rights and revenue from southern
inventions sparked dramatic in- planters who had copied his in-
creases in farm output. Jefferson vention, one of the earliest legal
himself had experimented with struggles over the protection of
new designs for plow blades that inventors’ discoveries.
would cut the earth more effi- Whitney did succeed on an-
ciently, and the drive to improve other front, demonstrating how
farming equipment never slack- manufacturing could be dramat-
ened. In Jefferson’s time, it took ically accelerated through the use
a farmer walking behind his plow of interchangeable parts. Seeking
and wielding his sickle as many as a federal contract to manufacture
300 hours to produce 100 bushels muskets, Whitney, as the story
of wheat. By the eve of the Civil was told, amazed Washington of-
War, well-off farmers could pur- ficials in 1801 by pulling parts at
chase John Deere’s steel plows random from a box to assemble
and Cyrus McCormick’s reapers, the weapon. He illustrated that
which cut, separated, and col- the work of highly trained crafts-
lected farmers’ grain mechani- men, turning out an entire prod-
cally. Advanced windmills were uct one at a time, could be
available, improving irrigation. replaced with standardized
In the next 40 years, steam processes involving simple steps
tractors, gang plows, hybrid corn, and precision-made parts—tasks
refrigerated freight cars, and that journeymen could handle.
barbed wire fencing to enclose His insights were the foundation
rangelands all appeared. In for the emergence of a machine
1890, the time required to pro- tool industry and mass produc-
duce 100 bushels of wheat had tion processes that made U.S.
dropped to just 50 hours. In manufacturing flourish, eventu-
1930, a farmer with a tractor- ally producing “a sewing machine
pulled plow, combine, and truck and a pocket watch in every
could do the job in 20 hours. The home, a harvester on every farm,
figure dropped to three hours in a typewriter in every office,” jour-
the 1980s. nalist Harold Evans notes.
Eli Whitney’s cotton gin, in- The 19th century delivered
troduced in 1793, revolutionized other startling inventions and ad-
cotton production by mechaniz- vances in manufacturing and
ing the separation of cotton technology, including Samuel
fibers from sticky short-grain Morse’s telegraph, which linked
seeds. Cotton demand soared, all parts of the United States and
but the cotton gin also multiplied then crossed the Atlantic, and
18
Alexander Graham Bell’s tele- By the 1880s, manufacturing
phone, which put people in direct and commerce surpassed farm
contact across great distances. In output in value. New industries
1882, Thomas A. Edison and his and railroad lines proliferated
eclectic team of inventors intro- with vital backing from European
duced the first standard for gen- financiers. Major U.S. cities shot
erating and distributing electric up in size, attracting immigrant
energy to homes and businesses, families and migration from the
lighting offices along New York’s farms. A devastating depression
Wall Street financial district and shook the country in the first half
inaugurating the electric age. of the 1890s, forcing some
And a transportation revolu- 16,000 businesses to fail in 1893
tion was launched with the alone. The following year, as
completion of the first transcon- many as 750,000 workers were on
tinental railroad, when converg- strike, and the unemployment
ing rail lines from the East and rate reached 20 percent.
the West met in Utah in 1869. Farmers from the South and
“The American economy after West, battered by tight credit and
the Civil War was driven by the falling commodity prices, formed
expansion of the railroads,” a third national political organi-
writes historian Louis Menand. zation, the Populist Party, whose
During the war, Congress made anger focused on the nation’s
158 million acres (63 million bankers, financiers, and railroad
hectares) available to companies magnates. The Populist platform
building railroads. Railroad con- demanded easier credit and cur-
struction fed the growth of iron rency policies to help farmers. In
and steel production. Following the 1894 congressional elections,
the first connection, other lines Populists took 11 percent of all
linked the country’s Atlantic and votes cast.
Pacific coasts creating a national But American politics histori-
economy able to trade with Eu- cally has coalesced around two
rope and Asia and greatly ex- large parties—the Republican
panding U.S. economic and and Democratic parties have
international political horizons. filled this role since the mid-
1800s. Smaller groupings served
Convulsive Changes mostly to inject their issues into
Convulsive changes caused by either or both of the main con-
industrialization and urbanization tenders. This would be the fate of
shook the United States at the end the 1890s Populists. By 1896, the
of the 19th century. Labor move- new party had fused with the De-
ments began and vied for power, mocrats. But significant parts of
with immigrants helping to adapt the Populist agenda subsequently
European protest ideologies into found their way into law by way of
American forms. the trans-party Progressive move-
19
The Richest Man in the World

I
n the post-Civil War Gilded Age, a generation
of immensely wealthy industrialists rose to prominence.
Hailed as “captains of industry” by admirers and as
“robber barons” by critics, these titans dominated entire sec-
tors of the American economy. By the end of the 19th cen-
tury, oil had its John D. Rockefeller, finance its J. Pierpont
Morgan and Jay Gould, and tobacco its James B. Duke and
R. J. Reynolds. Alongside them were many others, some born
© Getty Images

into wealthy families, and some who personified the self-


made man.
None climbed further than Andrew Carnegie. He was the
son of a jobless Scottish textile worker who brought his family
to the United States in the mid-1800s in hopes of better op-
Andrew Carnegie. ca. 1886 portunities. From this start, Carnegie became “the richest
man in the world,” in the words of Morgan, who along with
his partners would in 1901 purchase what became U.S. Steel. Carnegie’s personal share of
the proceeds was an astonishing $226 million, the equivalent of $6 billion today, adjusted for
inflation, but worth much more than that as a percentage of the entire U.S. economy then.
Carnegie’s life exemplifies how an industrializing America created opportunities for
those smart and fortunate enough to seize them. As a teenager in Pennsylvania, Carnegie
taught himself the Morse code and became a skilled telegraph operator. That led to a job
as assistant to Thomas A. Scott, a rising executive in the Pennsylvania Railroad, one of the
nation’s most important lines. As Scott advanced, becoming one of the most powerful rail-
road leaders in the country, his valued protégé Carnegie advanced too, sharing lucrative fi-
nancial investments with Scott before going into business himself to build iron bridges for
the railroad. By the age of 30, Andrew Carnegie was a wealthy man.
After quitting the railroad, Carnegie also prospered in oil development, formed an iron
and steel company, and shrewdly concentrated on steel rails and steel construction beams
as railroad, office, and factory construction soared. His manufacturing operations set stan-
dards for quality, research, innovation, and efficiency. Carnegie also availed himself of se-
cret alliances and advance knowledge of business decisions, practices forbidden by today’s
securities laws as “insider” transactions but legal in Carnegie’s era.
Andrew Carnegie was a study in contrasts. He fought unionization of his factories. As
other industry leaders did, Carnegie imposed hard, dangerous conditions on his workers.
Yet his concern for the less fortunate was real, and he invested his immense wealth for so-
ciety’s benefit. He financed nearly 1,700 public libraries, purchased church organs for thou-
sands of congregations, endowed research institutions, and supported efforts to promote
international peace. When his fortune proved too great to be dispensed in his lifetime,
Carnegie left the task to the foundations he had created, helping to establish an American
tradition of philanthropy that continues today.

Courtesy of Library of Congress

Above: (Detail) A 1910 panoramic photograph of a Carnegie steel plant in Youngstown, Ohio.

20
ment of the 20th century’s first lisher Joseph Pulitzer, editorial-
two decades. Among the innova- ized that “the United States was
tions were direct popular election probably never nearer to a social
of senators and a progressive na- revolution than when Theodore
tional income tax. Roosevelt became president.”
American Progressivism re- Roosevelt responded with regula-
flected a growing sense among tions and federal antitrust lawsuits
many Americans that, in the words to break up the greatest concen-
of historian Carl Degler, “the com- trations of industrial power. His
munity and its inhabitants no administration’s antitrust suit
longer controlled their own fate.” against the nation’s largest rail-
Progressives relied on trained ex- road monopoly, Northern Securi-
perts in the social sciences and ties Company, was a direct attack
other fields to devise policies and on the nation’s foremost finan-
regulations to reign in perceived cier, J.P. Morgan. “If we have
excesses of powerful trusts and done anything wrong,” Morgan
other business interests. Writing in told Roosevelt, “send your man to
1909, Herbert Croly, author of the my man and they can fix it up.”
hugely influential The Promise of Roosevelt responded, “That can’t
American Life and first editor of the be done.” The Supreme Court’s
New Republic magazine, expressed ultimate decision against North-
the Progressive’s credo in this way: ern Securities was a beachhead in
“The national government must the government’s campaign to re-
step in and discriminate, not on strict the largest businesses’ power
behalf of liberty and the special in- over the economy.
dividual, but on behalf of equality
and the average man.” A Modern Economy Emerges
The influence of Progressive Electric power surged
thought grew rapidly after the as- throughout the U.S. economy in
sassination of President William the first decades of the 20th cen-
McKinley in 1901 thrust Vice tury, steadily replacing steam and
President Theodore Roosevelt water power in industrial plants.
into the White House. Adven- It lit offices and households, illu-
turer, naturalist, and scion of minated department stores and
wealth, “Teddy” Roosevelt be- movie theaters. It reshaped cities,
lieved the most powerful corpo- lifting elevators in new skyscrap-
rate titans were strangling ers and powering street cars and
competition. Businesses’ worst subways that enabled people to
excesses must be restrained lest work farther from home. By
the public turn against the Amer- 1939, electricity provided 85 per-
ican capitalist system, Roosevelt cent of the primary power for
and his allies argued. U.S. manufacturing. The ability
The New York World newspa- to transfer power easily over thin
per, owned by the influential pub- electric wires spurred totally new
21
manufacturing processes favor- demands for economic relief set
ing automation, the use of spe- the stage for the 1932 election of
cialized parts, and the rise of Democrat Frank-lin D. Roosevelt
skilled labor. as president and the enactment
But the Great Depression of the the following year of the first of
1930s brought economic expan- his “New Deal” economic pro-
sion to a devastating halt. Its causes grams. The president, known by
were complex. After a decade of in- his initials, FDR, was a wealthy pa-
creasingly reckless stock specula- trician from New York State with
tion, the stock market crash of 1929 a gift for communicating his mes-
wiped out millions of investors and sage to Americans in those hard
crippled confidence among busi- times. He used the new medium
ness executives and consumers. of radio to do so directly. In his in-
The United States and other augural speech upon assuming
economic powers waged a destruc- the presidency, Roosevelt assured
tive battle over trade, raising tariff the country, “The only thing we
barriers against each other’s im- have to fear is fear itself.”
ports and pushing their currency Roosevelt then launched a
values down in an unsuccessful ef- tide of new laws and programs to
fort to make their exports more halt the paralyzing banking crisis
competitive. Prices collapsed, im- and create jobs. New agencies
poverishing businesses and fami- such as the Civilian Conservation
lies. Drought and poor planting Corps, the Works Progress Ad-
practices led to dust storms in the ministration, and the Public
U.S. farming heartland and drove Works Administration put mil-
thousands of farmers from their lions of unemployed Americans
homes. The nation’s worst bank- to work on government projects.
ing crisis shut down 40 percent of The Agricultural Adjustment Ad-
the banks doing business at the ministration worked to support
Depression’s beginning. The na- farm prices by reducing output,
tional unemployment rate ex- fining farmers in some cases for
ceeded 20 percent. excess production. Overall, the
Some desperate and disillu- programs marked “the return of
sioned Americans looked to com- hope,” said long-time Demo-
munism and socialism as better cratic congressman Emanuel
alternatives, others eyed the fascist Celler of New York.
alternative pioneered in Italy by FDR was far more an impro-
Benito Mussolini, and many feared viser than an ideologue, histori-
the United States was approaching ans agree. His budget policies
a breaking point politically. were inconsistent: Spending cuts
in the middle of his presidency
The New Deal probably extended the Depres-
The inability of President Her- sion. Some New Deal measures
bert Hoover (1929–1933) to meet proved contradictory or hugely
22
Courtesy of Library of Congress

Above: The Social Security retirement pension system was part of President Franklin
Roosevelt’s New Deal.

23
controversial. The National Re- monopolistic trusts. FDR took
covery Administration negotiated the country far in the other di-
a series of industry-wide codes es- rection, injecting the federal gov-
tablishing minimum prices, ernment into economic activities
wages, and other particulars. previously deemed the domain
Many small businesses com- of the private sector. One notable
plained that the codes favored example was his creation in 1933
larger competitors. Others saw in of the Tennessee Valley Author-
the close NRA-engendered ties ity, a federally chartered corpo-
between government and big ration formed to control
business a “corporatist” outlook flooding and generate electric
fundamentally at odds with Amer- power in an impoverished region
ica’s traditionally looser, more of the South.
free-wheeling economic arrange- Roosevelt and his supporters
ments. The Supreme Court agreed, saw the government-run TVA as
declaring the law establishing the a way to set a benchmark for fair
NRA unconstitutional, an exer- pricing of electricity that would
cise of Congress delegating show whether customers were
power to the president beyond being overcharged by electric
that granted by the Constitution’s power companies. The TVA
commerce clause. stood for the New Deal’s confi-
But other New Deal measures dence in government’s ability to
proved long lasting. The federal define and solve society’s prob-
government tightened regulation lems. David Lilienthal, whom
of banking and securities, and it Roosevelt appointed as a TVA di-
provided unemployment insur- rector and later its chairman,
ance and retirement, disability, once said, “There is almost noth-
and death benefits for American ing, however fantastic, that a
workers under a social security team of engineers, scientists, and
program funded by payroll taxes administrators cannot do.”
on employees and employers. To its opponents, the TVA was
The New Deal established a fed- socialism, violating the basic prin-
eral social safety net that has ciples of free enterprise. Roo-
helped Americans through hard- sevelt’s Republican predecessor,
ships, but whose costs today pose Herbert Hoover, had opposed
huge future financial challenges earlier proposals for government
for the government. power projects and economic de-
Before Franklin Roosevelt’s velopment programs in the Ten-
administration, the federal gov- nessee Valley, saying it would
ernment had taken a predomi- “break down the initiative and en-
nantly hands-off attitude toward terprise of the American peo-
business, except for its regulation ple.… It is the negation of the
of banking and the railroads, ideals upon which our civilization
and the campaigns against the has been based.”
24
Americans differed as well At the war’s end, much of Eu-
over more practical questions: rope and Asia were in ruins, and
How could any private power America stood alone as the
company compete with the virtu- world’s economic superpower.
ally unlimited resources of the
federal government? And once a Organized Labor:
federal agency determined to act, Prosperity and Conflict
what would be the check on its The end of wartime economic
authority? The same hand of controls unlocked pent-up de-
government that built dams to mands by American workers for
produce power and limit floods better wages, leading to a series
also uprooted thousands of peo- of major labor strikes that polar-
ple from their farms. Although ized American attitudes toward
the TVA complex of dams was unions, as in the 1890s. In 1935,
built and the TVA remains the the Democratic-controlled Con-
largest U.S. public power pro- gress had enacted the National
ducer, Roosevelt’s efforts to adopt Labor Relations Act of 1935 es-
the TVA model in other parts of tablishing the right of most pri-
the country were shelved by vate-sector workers to form
growing political opposition and unions, to bargain with manage-
by World War II. ment over wages and working
American industry and offices conditions, and to strike to obtain
mobilized to fight Germany, their demands. A federal agency,
Japan, and the other World War the National Labor Relations
II Axis powers. The last U.S.- Board, was established to oversee
made automobile of the war years union elections and address un-
left its factory in February 1942. fair labor complaints. The Fair
In its place, industry produced Labor Standards Act of 1938 es-
30,000 tanks in 1943 alone, tablished a national minimum
nearly three per hour around the wage, forbade “oppressive” child
clock, more than Germany could labor, and provided for overtime
build in the entire war. A piano pay in designated occupations. It
manufacturer produced com- declared the goal of assuring “a
passes, a tableware company minimum standard of living nec-
turned out automatic rifles, and a essary for the health, efficiency,
typewriter company delivered and general well-being of work-
machine guns, author Rick Atkin- ers.” But it also allowed employ-
son notes. The weight of U.S. in- ers to replace striking workers.
dustrial might was irresistible. After World War II, a Repub-
American factories supplied lican-controlled Congress passed
armed forces in both the Euro- the Taft-Hartley Act of 1947, which
pean and Pacific theaters, with reduced union power in organiz-
more to spare for the British, the ing disputes, strengthened the
Soviets, and other Allied armies. rights of employees who didn’t
25
want to join a union, and allowed cans. Each side hoped that elec-
the president to order striking toral victories would secure more
workers back on the job for an favorable treatment. But global
80-day “cooling-off” period if he economic developments inter-
determined a strike could endan- vened. With the recovery of in-
ger national health or safety. dustry in other nations, U.S.
United Mine Workers president industrial unions generally de-
John L. Lewis called it a “slave clined in membership. At the end
labor” law. President Harry S. of World War II, one-third of the
Truman vetoed it, but was over- workforce belonged to unions. In
ridden by the required two-thirds 1983, it was 20 percent. By 2007,
congressional majorities. the figure had dropped to 12
Together, the Fair Labor Stan- percent, with union membership
dards Act and the Taft-Hartley totaling 15.7 million.
Act established the broad legal Union growth today is mostly
parameters within which organ- in arenas less susceptible to for-
ized labor contended with business eign competition: the services sec-
leadership and union opponents tor, particularly among public
for economic and political influ- services employees such as teach-
ence. In 1950, when American ers, police officers, and firefight-
automobile companies enjoyed ers. In 2007, just over one-third of
substantial global market share, public-services workers belonged
General Motors Corporation and to unions, only 7.5 percent of pri-
the United Auto Workers union vate-sector workers were in
negotiated a contract affording unions, and union membership
workers extensive health care and among workers under 24 years of
retirement benefits. From the em- age was less than 5 percent.
ployer’s perspective, generous pay One symbol of organized
and benefits ensured freedom labor’s relative decline came in
from strikes and motivated the 1981, when President Ronald
employees. The costs of these Reagan fired striking air traffic
benefits, the companies reasoned, controllers. Public employees
could be passed on to consumers. such as the controllers typically
With the rise of competition from enjoyed great job security but, in
Japanese, European, and other turn, were prohibited from strik-
foreign auto-makers, American in- ing “against the public.” This is
dustry became less willing or able not to say that public employees
to pass through such labor costs. never struck: Sometimes they
These issues played out in the did, and usually the illegality of
political realm as well. As a gen- the strike was forgiven as part of
eralization, labor unions mostly the settlement. Not this time.
supported Democratic candi- Reagan ordered the controllers
dates with money and manpower, back to work, citing the federal
while businesses backed Republi- law against government em-
26
ployee strikes. He then fired of the century three of every five
more than 11,000 controllers women were in the workforce. Fe-
who refused to return, replaced male chief executive officers have
them with new workers, and led such major corporations as
broke the union. technology giant Hewlett-
Even as unions gained, then Packard and the Ogilvy & Mather
lost, influence, other major cur- advertising firm. Other women
rents helped shape the postwar have built careers in virtually
American workforce. The civil every arena, from academia, pol-
rights movement began in the itics, and medicine to manufac-
mid-1950s with demands to end turing, the construction trades,
state and local laws in the South and the military. A wage gap be-
that segregated schools, public fa- tween men and women is shrink-
cilities, and public transportation, ing, but still remains. In 2000
separating blacks and whites, as women working full time earned
well as restrictions on African- 77 cents for every dollar paid to
Americans’ voting rights. After a men throughout the workforce,
strife-filled decade, the non-vio- while 20 years earlier women
lent campaign for racial justice earned just two-thirds of what
led by the late Dr. Martin Luther men received.
King Jr. led to passage of federal Another major impact was the
laws to combat racial discrimina- arrival of the “baby-boom” gener-
tion and poverty. A wide-ranging ation in the workforce. Between
series of laws that Democratic the end of World War II and 1964,
President Lyndon Johnson called 76 million Americans were born,
his Great Society program fol- an unprecedented surge that may
lowed. Education and employ- have reflected the nation’s post-
ment opportunities for minorities war optimism. This population
expanded. While Americans have bulge, in the midst of a long up-
debated the fairness of “affirma- ward economic trend, triggered a
tive action” preferences for mi- sustained boom in housing con-
norities in hiring and college struction and the expansion of a
admissions, the 1960s’ laws consumer-focused economy.
opened increasing workplace op-
portunities for minorities. The Political Pendulum Swings
The 1960s civil rights move- The 1960s Great Society legis-
ment also led to laws forbidding lation, comprising 84 different
discrimination in employment new laws, was the crest of a wave of
against women, emerging from a political action begun by Franklin
far-reaching movement by Roosevelt to use government’s
women to gain equal status with power to set economic and social
men in the economy and society. agendas. Voting rights for minori-
Only one-third of adult women ties, employment opportunity,
had jobs in 1950, but by the end public education, the safety of con-
27
sumers and motorists, environ- “Now, I am a Keynesian,” Nixon
mental protection, and health in- said in 1971, putting himself in
surance for the elderly and poor the camp of British economist
all were addressed by the new laws. John Maynard Keynes, who had
The adoption of Lyndon advocated deficit spending during
Johnson’s agenda was based on times of slow economic growth.
his landslide victory in the 1964 Nixon’s wage-and-price con-
presidential election and the de- trol program failed. To cite just
cisive majorities his Democratic one example, the price of cotton
Party achieved in Congress that was not controlled because of the
year. But Johnson’s policies ener- political influence of cotton farm-
gized opposition from conserva- ers. But the price of plain cotton
tives who felt the government fabric was regulated, and when
had intruded too far in the lives fabric manufacturers’ profits were
of private citizens and had put squeezed, they cut back on pro-
too great a burden on employers, duction, causing shortages, ac-
threatening the vitality of the cording to former Federal Reserve
economy. The civil rights meas- Chairman Alan Greenspan.
ures Johnson championed embit- The lesson from Nixon’s ex-
tered many southern whites, periment was a lasting one: The
whose allegiance shifted to the U.S. economy was far too com-
Republican Party. plex, chaotic, and fast moving to
The 1970s was a trying decade be managed in any detail by gov-
for the U.S. economy. In the mid- ernment officials. A new consen-
dle of his first term in office, Pres- sus formed that controls could
ident Richard M. Nixon was not overcome inflationary forces,
confronted with rapidly rising but instead stifled innovation,
prices, triggered in part by the risk taking, and competition.
costs of the Vietnam War waged Two oil price shocks that fol-
during his and Johnson’s admin- lowed the Arab-Israeli War of
istrations. Nixon broke with his 1973 and the Islamic Revolution
Republican Party’s traditional in Iran in 1979 battered U.S. eco-
support for balanced budgets to nomic performance. Oil prices
accelerate federal spending to tripled. Long lines formed at
stimulate economic growth, even gasoline stations. At the end of the
though that swelled federal decade, inflation was higher than
budget deficits. at any time since World War I, and
Nixon similarly embraced unemployment had jumped to
wage and price controls in an ef- more than 9 percent. The impact
fort to halt an inflationary cycle in hit hardest during the administra-
which rising wages led corpora- tion of President Jimmy Carter, a
tions to increase prices, and Democrat elected in 1976. The
higher prices then led to new de- U.S. economy was gripped in a
mands for higher pay by workers. “malaise,” as Carter’s advisers put
28
it, and nothing government did and consumers, whose savings,
seemed an answer to high unem- spending, and investment choices
ployment, high prices, and stag- collectively would generate more
nant stock markets. economic growth than would gov-
During economic travails, ernment spending. This theory,
American voters have often pun- called supply-side economics, held
ished the party in power, and that the resulting economic growth
1980 was a case in point. Polls also would generate more revenue
that year showed two-thirds of than would be lost through the
the public believed the country lower tax rates, and that the fed-
was faring badly. Many Americans eral budget could be balanced in
sought a change in direction, and this manner.
they found it in the candidacy of The Reagan tax cuts did help
California’s former Republican lift the U.S. economy, but contrary
governor, Ronald Reagan. At the to the supply-siders’ predictions,
campaign’s only televised presi- federal budget deficits persisted
dential debate, Reagan asked the and grew. Nevertheless, the “Rea-
viewers simply, “Are you better gan revolution” was a political
off than you were four years turning point toward smaller gov-
ago?” Analysts called it Reagan’s ernment and individualism, and
knock-out punch. Reagan left office as one of the
Reagan’s election to the presi- most popular U.S. presidents.
dency marked another directional
change in government’s role in the Deregulating Business
economy. Reagan declared in his The 1980s tax cuts were only
1981 inaugural address that “in one part of a broad movement to
this present crisis, government is reduce government’s economic
not the solution to our problem; role. Another was deregulation.
government is the problem.” He During the 1970s, a number
added, “It is time to check and re- of thinkers attributed some of the
verse the growth of government.” nation’s economic sluggishness to
“Reaganomics” sought to cut the web of laws and regulations
U.S. tax rates, even if one result that businesses were obliged to
was growing federal budgetary observe. These regulations had
deficits. Critics protested that this been put in place for sound rea-
was an indirect way of forcing cuts sons: to prevent abuse of the free
in domestic social spending and market and, more generally, to
to programs of which the new ad- achieve greater social equity and
ministration disapproved. improve the nation’s overall qual-
Reagan and his advisers argued ity of life. But, critics argued, reg-
that lower marginal tax rates ulation came at a price, one
would revive the economy. It was measured by fewer competitors in
better, they believed, to leave more a given industry, by higher prices,
money in the hands of business and by lower economic growth.
29
During the economically try- providers would threaten network
ing 1970s and early 1980s, many reliability. AT&T obliged Ameri-
Americans grew less willing to cans to rent their telephones from
pay that price. President Gerald its Western Electric subsidiary, a
R. Ford, a Republican who suc- monopoly that stifled the devel-
ceeded Richard M. Nixon in opment of innovative types and
1974, believed that deregulating styles of phones. A far smaller
trucking, airlines, and railroads rival, MCI Communications, con-
would promote competition and tended that technology advances
restrain inflation more effectively would enable competition to
than government oversight and flourish, benefiting consumers.
regulation. Ford’s Democratic The federal government took
successor, Jimmy Carter, relied up MCI’s cause, filing an antitrust
heavily on a key pro-deregulation suit asking a federal judge to end
adviser, Alfred E. Kahn. Between AT&T’s monopoly. AT&T capitu-
1978 and 1980, Carter signed lated, agreeing to split off its local
into law important legislation telephone service into seven new
achieving substantial deregula- regional phone companies. This
tion of the transportation indus- began an era of intense competi-
tries. The trend accelerated tion and innovation around the
under President Reagan. convergence of phones, comput-
The intellectual and political ers, the Internet, and wireless
trends favoring deregulation were communications. (AT&T main-
not limited to the United States. tained its long-distance network,
Movements to empower private but in 2005 the company was pur-
businesses and reduce govern- chased by one of its former local
ment’s influence gained momen- phone subsidiaries.) While many
tum in Great Britain, Eastern American consumers found the
Europe, and parts of South Amer- changes in phone service confus-
ica. In the United States, courts ing, they eagerly snapped up a
and legislators continued to carve speedy parade of new communi-
away government regulations in cations products.
important industries, including The loosening of regulations
telecommunications and electric on electric power service in the
power generation. 1990s has been far more contro-
The most dramatic step was versial, and its benefits disputed.
the 1984 breakup of the Ameri- For a century following Thomas
can Telephone and Telegraph Edison’s time, most Americans
Company, the nationwide tele- purchased electricity from com-
phone monopoly. Prior to the panies that operated legal mo-
government’s action, AT&T dom- nopolies in their regions. State
inated all phone service, both commissions regulated these util-
local and long-distance, and it ar- ities’ local rates, while federal reg-
gued that admitting new service ulators oversaw wholesale sales
30
across state lines. Prices were gen- petition, and often faster than
erally based on the costs of mak- government, political leaders,
ing electricity, plus a “reasonable” and the public can keep pace.
profit for the utility. The computer age grew out of a
About half of the U.S. states confluence of discoveries on
chose to open electric service to many fronts, including the first
competition in the hope that new computer microprocessor, cre-
products and lower prices would ated in 1971. This breakthrough
result. But these moves coincided combined key functions of com-
with sharp increases in energy puter processing that had been
prices beginning in 2000. A polit- separate operations—the move-
ical backlash against electricity ment of data and instructions in
deregulation ensued, worsened by and out, the processing of data,
a scandal surrounding the failure and the electronic storage of
of Enron Corporation, a Texas- results—onto a single silicon
based energy company that had chip no bigger than a thumb-
been a key promoter of competi- nail. It was the product of scien-
tive electricity markets. tists at Intel Corporation, a
The deregulation movement three-year-old start-up technol-
stopped in midstream after 2000, ogy company that had attracted
leaving an electricity industry par- the support of wealthy venture
tially regulated and partially capitalists willing to bet large in-
deregulated, and divided by diver- vestments on new, unproven en-
gent regional agendas. Some areas trepreneurs. The raw material
of the country rely on coal to gen-
erate electric power. Elsewhere,
natural gas turbines, hydro-dams,
or nuclear plants are important
sources of electricity, and in the
2000s, wind-generated power
began to grow. These differing re-
gional interests slowed movement
toward a national response to cli-
mate change issues, including such
possible measures as the develop-
ment of renewable electricity gen-
eration and an expanded power
transmission grid. Instead, state
governments have been the prin-
cipal policy innovators.
© AP Images
Technology’s Upheaval
Above: The microprocessor combines
Technology is changing the movement of data, processing of data,
fundamentals of economic com- and storage of results on a single chip.

31
for semiconductors gave the name The personal computer rap-
Silicon Valley to the California idly became an indispensable
region south of San Francisco communications, entertainment,
that became the center of U.S. and knowledge tool for homes
computer innovation. and offices. IBM, the computer
Before the invention of the sil- giant that had dominated main-
icon computer chip, computers frame computers since the 1950s,
were massive devices serving produced a personal computer in
government agencies and large the 1980s that quickly overtook
businesses, and operated by spe- Apple’s lead. But IBM, in turn,
cialists. But in 1976, two second- was driven from PC manufactur-
ary school dropouts, Steve Jobs ing by competitors in the United
and Steve Wozniak, developed a States and Asia who outsourced
small computer complete with component fabrication to lowest-
microprocessor, keyboard, and cost manufacturers and mini-
screen. They called it the Apple I, mized production costs of an
and it began the age of personal increasingly low-margin item.
computing and the dispersal of The biggest winner in this
computer power to every sector of competition was Microsoft, a Red-
the economy. mond, Washington-based start-up

© AP Images
© AP Images

Above left: Apple’s Steve Jobs, shown in 1984, was a pioneer in personal computing.
Above right: Mainframe computer manufacturer IBM joined the personal computer com-
petition for a while.

32
grounded in software, not manu- U.S. government science policy.
facturing. Its founder, Bill Gates, The idea of a self-standing highly
had seized on the importance of redundant network to link com-
dominating the internal operat- puters was conceived as a way to
ing software that made the per- defend government and research
sonal computer work. As rival computers against a feared nu-
computer manufacturers rushed clear attack on the United States.
to copy the IBM model, Mi- But despite its ties to govern-
crosoft’s software became the stan- ment, the Internet achieved its
dard for these machines, and they global reach thanks to pioneering
steadily and relentlessly gained scientists such as Sir Tim Berners-
market share at the expense of Lee and Vinton Cerf, who in-
other operating system vendors. sisted that it must be an open
Gates’s company wound up col- medium that all could share.
lecting half of every dollar of sales
by the PC industry. The New Economy
Gates moved into a realm of The personal computer and
wealth comparable to that of John the Internet were building blocks
D. Rockefeller and Andrew for the new economy that took
Carnegie, two titans of an earlier form in the 1990s. Technology’s
age of dynamic economic growth. potential to create global mar-
Like his two predecessors’ compa- kets, to make production and dis-
nies, Gates’s Microsoft was attacked tribution more efficient, and to
by competitors and governments expand financial flows attracted
for its dominance. And Gates, like hoards of innovators. At first,
Rockefeller and Carnegie, became business’s introduction of com-
one of history’s most generous phi- puter technology did not measur-
lanthropists, committing billions of ably increase American economic
dollars to long-term campaigns to productivity, to the bewilderment
fight illnesses in Africa, improve of government policy makers. By
education in America, and support the end of the 1990s, however,
other humanitarian causes. productivity was increasing, giv-
Rivaling the impact of the ing hope that a new, sustained
personal computer was another period of economic growth was at
epochal breakthrough. The In- hand for most Americans.
ternet, including the searchable The sense of optimism drew
World Wide Web, accelerated a substantially on the astonishing
global sharing of information of gains of technology companies
every form, from lifesaving tech- on U.S. stock markets—particu-
nologies to terrorists’ plots, from larly start-up companies linked
dating services to the most ad- to commerce over the Internet.
vanced financial transactions. American and foreign investors
Like much American innova- threw money at untested Inter-
tion, the Internet had roots in net companies at the end of the
33
09-20546 OutlineEconomy_new_091210 12/28/09 11:46 AM Page 34

© AP Images

Unlocking the Internet


I n 1998, two graduate students at Stanford University in California thought
they saw how to unlock the Internet’s rapidly expanding universe of information. A decade
later, Google—as they called their invention—had become the dominant Internet search
engine in most of the world. Its revenue topped $20 billion in 2008, half from outside the
United States, and its employees numbered 20,000. Its computers could store, index, and
search more than one trillion other Web site pages. So ubiquitous had this search engine grown
that its very name had become a verb: When most people want to find something on the In-
ternet, they “google” it.
Although this astonishing success has rarely been matched, its ingredients are a familiar
part of the U.S. economic story. Google illustrates how ideas, entrepreneurial ambition, uni-
versity research, and private capital together can create breakthrough innovations.
Google’s founders, Sergey Brin and Larry Page, started with particular advantages. Brin,
born in Moscow, and Page, a midwesterner, are sons of university professors and computer pro-
fessionals. “Both had grown up in families where intellectual combat was part of the daily
diet,” says David Vise, author of The Google Story. They met by chance in 1995 at an orien-
tation for new doctoral students at Stanford University’s graduate school, and by the next year
they were working together at a new Stanford computer science center built with a $6 million
donation from Microsoft founder Bill Gates.
As with other Internet users, Brin and Page were frustrated by the inability of the ex-
isting search programs to provide a useful sorting of the thousands of sites that were iden-
tified by Web queries. What if the search results could be ranked, they asked themselves, so
that pages that seemed objectively most important were listed first, followed by the next
most important, and so forth? Page’s solution began with the principle that sites on the Web
that got the most traffic should stand at the top in search reports. He also developed ways
of assessing which sites were most intrinsically important.
At this point, Stanford stepped in with critical help. The university encourages its PhD
students to use its resources to develop commercial products. Its Office of Technology Li-
censing paid for Google’s patent. The first funds to purchase the computers used for Google’s

34
09-20546 OutlineEconomy_new_091210 12/28/09 11:46 AM Page 35

searches came from a Stanford digital library project. Their first users were Stanford stu-
dents and faculty.
The linkages between university research and successful business innovation have not al-
ways thrived in regions where technology industries are not well rooted. But Stanford, in Palo
Alto, California, stands at the center of Silicon Valley, a matrix of technology companies, in-
vestment funds, and individuals with vast personal fortunes that evolved during the decades of
the computer industry’s evolution.
In 1998, Brin and Page met Andy Bechtolsheim, a co-founder of Sun Microsystems, an
established Silicon Valley leader. Bechtolsheim believed that Brin and Page could succeed. His
$100,000 personal check helped the pair build their computer network and boosted their
credibility. A year later, Google was handling 500,000 queries a day and winning recognition
across the Internet community. Google’s clear advantages over its rivals and the inventors’
commitment attracted $25 million in backing from two of Silicon Valley’s biggest venture
funds. And the founders got the money without having to give up control of the company.
A decade after its founding, Google’s goals have soared astronomically. As author Ran-
dall Stross, author of Planet Google, puts it, the company aims to “organize everything we
know.” Its initiatives include an effort to digitize every published book in the world.
Google has emerged as a metaphor for the openness and creativity of the U.S. economy,
but also for the far-ranging U.S. power that so worries foreign critics. Human rights advocates
and journalists blasted Google’s 2006 agreement to self-censor its search engine in China at
the direction of Beijing’s government. Google answers that these kinds of restrictions will fade
with the spread of democracy and individual freedoms. If that proves true, this example of
American entrepreneurship will have been an agent of that change.

© AP Images

Above: Google’s agreement to self-censor its search engine in China has raised objections from human
rights groups. Opposite: This Google logo commemorates the visit by Britain’s Queen Elizabeth II to
Google’s London office.

35
1990s in search of what author in commercial Internet ad-
Michael Lewis called “the new, dresses)—created a euphoric mood
new thing.” among investors, who seemed will-
Entrepreneurs perceiving a ing to bet on any plausible “e-com-
niche for a new software strategy merce” strategy, however chancy.
or product might determine to Federal Reserve Board Chair-
create a business to meet that man Alan Greenspan warned of
need. They might charge initial “irrational exuberance,” but that
costs to their personal credit did not deflate the dot-com stock
cards. Friends and families would market bubble. In March 2000,
be asked to help. And with the the NASDAQ Composite Index,
right connections, such as a de- a measure of the U.S. stock mar-
gree from a leading U.S. univer- ket specializing in technology
sity, the entrepreneurs might get stock listings, had soared to over
an audience with some of the 5,000—twice its level the year be-
small, critically influential group fore. Typical of the new breed of
of financiers called venture capi- companies was one called
talists. These investors typically Pets.com, which offered cheap
had made great wealth from ear- prices to customers ordering pet
lier successes in technology mar- food online in the hope that
kets and were on the lookout for growing numbers of consumer
new prospects. If they liked an visits to its Web site would attract
entrepreneur’s idea, they would paying advertisers.
invest millions of dollars in ad-
vance funding in exchange for Opportunism and Credulity
part ownership in the company. The dot-com boom was a char-
If all continued to go well, the acteristically opportunistic expres-
company would be launched. If it sion of American economic
enjoyed early success—or even if optimism and credulity. Ameri-
it was only well promoted—the cans’ fascination with potential
entrepreneur and the financial stock market windfalls was not a
backers might be able to “take the new phenomenon. America’s
company public,” selling shares Founding Fathers had relied on
of the company to the public on lotteries to raise money for the
the stock market through an ini- Continental Army, and today
tial public offering (IPO). Americans wager more than $50
Low interest rates helped the billion annually in state-run lotter-
start-up companies gather head- ies whose proceeds help fund ed-
way. The most fabulous of the suc- ucation and other programs.
cess stories—such as the rise of Investment manias sprouted in
Microsoft, Apple, America Online every generation, from colonial-
(AOL), and, later, eBay, Yahoo, and era land speculation, to railroads
other “dot-coms” (so named for the in the 19th century, to biotech and
“.com” terminology incorporated computers in the late 20th century.
36
In March 2000, the dot-com most important investment, ab-
bubble burst. The immediate sorbing one-third of their spend-
cause is debated, although rising ing and supplying an average
interest rates and a downturn in $75,000 in homeowner equity, a
technology investments by major significant retirement cushion.
companies hurt the investing cli- Home ownership was a crucial
mate. Investor confidence was part of the American dream, pro-
battered by investigations show- moted by government leaders
ing that some prominent Wall across the political spectrum.
Street securities experts had mis- Lower interest rates early in
led the investing public about the the 2000s decade encouraged a
prospects for some of the Internet surge in lending by banks and
stocks. The NASDAQ Index fell nonbank mortgage companies
close to 1,000 in 2002, wiping out and in borrowing by home buy-
$5 trillion in investors’ “paper” ers. The U.S. government urged
profits. The value of Pets.com fell banks to make more mortgages
from $11 per share in February available to lower-income fami-
2000 to $0.19 the day it closed its lies, increasing financial risks for
doors at the end of that year. both borrowers and lenders.
The fallout claimed two of the Mortgages sold to these families
highest-flying companies of the with lower-than-average incomes
time. One was WorldCom, which or shaky financial histories were
had used an aggressive acquisi- called subprime mortgages (con-
tions strategy funded by stock is- trasted with standard, or prime,
sues to claim a leading position in loans to families with average or
telecommunications, taking over better financial positions). In the
competitors such as MCI. The quarter century before 2007,
other was Enron, originally a Americans’ household debt in-
provider of natural gas and elec- cluding mortgages rose from 45
tricity, but later an online trader percent of U.S. gross domestic
of energy services and commodi- product to 98 percent.
ties. Government investigations But the federal government
led to indictments and convic- took no serious actions to regulate
tions of top executives of both the surge in mortgage lending
companies for defrauding in- that followed. Nor did regulators
vestors through the release of move to restrain abusive sales tac-
false financial information. tics by lenders that left unsophis-
The dot-com bust was fol- ticated home buyers with home
lowed by another massive flood loans they could not afford.
of speculative investment into Home loans were sold by brokers
U.S. real estate and the home whose fees rose with each sale,
mortgage market. Two-thirds of motivating them to push lower-
American families own their income families into home pur-
homes, which are by far their chases that strained their finances
37
to the limit. Often, low “teaser” gage than their home was worth.
interest rates were offered for the As teaser-rate periods expired,
first years of a mortgage, but the borrowers were faced with sharply
rates would increase dramatically higher monthly payments, higher
in later years. Studies later in many cases than they could af-
showed that many new home buy- ford. When home prices seemed
ers did not understand the finan- as if they would continue to rise
cial risks they were taking on. without limit, borrowers willingly
The mortgage industry assumed these debts, secure in
sought to manage these risks the belief that they could always
through a process called securiti- sell the home at a profit or refi-
zation. Riskier loans were bun- nance against the home’s in-
dled with conventional home creased value. Once home prices
loans into packages and divided began their decline, however,
into units that were sold to in- these calculations were exposed as
vestors, like bonds. These mort- gambles gone bad.
gage-backed securities paid These individual mortgage
higher than standard interest be- debts had been packaged into in-
cause they entailed more risk, creasingly exotic securities and
and they were eagerly snapped sold worldwide, causing the mort-
up by investors in the United gage crisis to become a global epi-
States and, later, around the demic. The United States and
world. In 2005, for example, major European and Asian na-
sales of mortgage-backed securi- tions committed trillions of dol-
ties exceeded $1 trillion. Wall lars to rescue impacted banks and
Street financial “engineers” de- investment funds. As fearful, cap-
veloped a series of increasingly ital-short lenders stopped making
more complex and speculative even the short-term and over-
investments linked to the mort- night loans woven deeply into the
gage-backed securities. These everyday workings of the world
also sold well with investors. The economy, government treasuries
result was a sharp global expan- and central banks became the
sion of speculative investments fi- lenders of last resort on a massive
nanced heavily by debt. scale, pouring tax dollars into the
As long as housing values kept fractured financial sector and tak-
growing, the process continued ing direct control or major own-
apace, and housing sales flour- ership positions of banks and
ished not only in the United funds in a stunning reversal of
States, but also in Britain, Spain, decades of deregulation and re-
and other nations. But when the liance on markets.
overbuilt U.S. housing market To some experts, the devastat-
crashed in 2007, many individual ing turn of events was a familiar
homeowners found themselves one in the American economic
owing more money on their mort- chronicle. “Booms and busts play
38
a prominent role” throughout U.S. stay, and we will have the Internet
history, the late Federal Reserve and all its capabilities.”
Board member Edward M. Gram- The carnage from the 2008 fi-
lich had observed. “In the 19th nancial crisis has reached stag-
century, the United States bene- gering proportions and has
fited from the canal boom, the fueled widespread demands for
railroad boom, the minerals boom, closer government regulation of
and a financial boom. The 20th lending and securities markets
century saw another financial and far more accountable disclo-
boom, a stock market boom, a post- sure of investment risk. European
war boom, and a dot-com boom. and Asian leaders have insisted
“The details differ, but each of that oversight of U.S. and other
these cases feature initial discov- banking and financial sectors be
eries of breakthroughs, wide- a global responsibility. It is im-
spread adoption, widespread possible at this writing to deter-
investment, then a collapse where mine how the United States and
prices cannot keep up and many other nations will resolve these is-
investors lost a lot of money,” sues. But American history
Gramlich said. “When the dust chronicles an ongoing debate
clears, there is financial carnage, over regulation. Today’s Ameri-
[but] the canals and railroads are cans and tomorrow’s must deter-
still there and functional, the mine how best to balance
minerals are discovered and in dynamism and order, growth and
use, the financing innovations safety, innovation and stability.

39
© Bettmann/Corbis

© North Wind/North Wind Picture Archives © North Wind/North Wind Picture Archives

© Corbis

40
© AP Images

Above: Workers celebrate May 10, 1869, at completion in Utah of first U.S. transcontinen-
tal railroad track.
Opposite page—clockwise from top: Alexander Hamilton, pictured standing, fought for
policies aimed at strengthening manufacturing and finance, including protective tariffs
on imports and federal assumption of the states’ Revolutionary War debts; slaves pick
cotton in the deep South; slaves load cotton aboard a steamship on the Alabama River
in 1857; and colonial settlers plant crops in South Carolina.
Below: 1888 Republican Party election campaign poster advocates protective tariffs, a
divisive issue throughout U.S. history.

© Corbis

41
© Roger Viollet/Getty Images © National Geographic/Getty Images

© Getty Images

42
© Corbis

Above: Railway tunnel is under construction in Washington, D.C., circa 1904-1905.


Opposite page—clockwise from top left: Thomas Edison, circa 1883, holds incandescent
lightbulbs, one of his many inventions; in New York City, telephone inventor Alexander
Graham Bell makes the first long-distance call January 1, 1892; a jumble of electric
power lines hover over pedestrians on Broadway in New York City, circa 1900.
Below: A steam-powered tractor pulls a plow through Minnesota farmland.

© Minnesota Historical Society/Corbis

43
© AP Images

Above: During the Great Depression, men line up for


soup offered by a charitable organization called the
Salvation Army.
Courtesy of Library of Congress

Left: Florence Thompson, destitute migrant worker


mother of seven children, comforts some of her chil-
dren on a farm in California in 1936.
Below: In a wide region of the U.S. South and Midwest
called the Dust Bowl, drought and poor farming prac-
tices created dust storms such as this one in
Arkansas in 1936.
© AP Images

44
© AP Images

Above: Construction projects went on even


during the Depression, including work on
the RCA Building at Rockefeller Center in
New York City, where workers are shown
taking a lunch break September 29, 1932.
Left: Workers lay catwalks for construction
of the Golden Gate Bridge in San Francisco
September 19, 1935.
Below: Completion is near July 22, 1935, on
Norris Dam in Tennessee for the controver-
sial government-owned and -operated Ten-
nessee Valley Authority electric power utility. © AP Images
© AP Images

45
Courtesy of Library of Congress © AP Images

© Time & Life Pictures/Getty Images © AP Images

Above—clockwise from top left: Women at a plant in Cincinnati, Ohio, in 1942 assemble
shells in an aluminum factory converted to production of weapons for World War II; 1948
aerial image shows Levittown, New York, a prototypical mass-produced suburban devel-
opment; Dr. Martin Luther King Jr., third from right, leads a 1965 civil rights march in Ala-
bama; the search for energy goes on in 1953 at a shale oil mine.
Opposite page—clockwise from top left: Advertisement for a 1964 Ford Thunderbird rep-
resents a time of prosperity; motorists lined up for fuel in New York during the 1973-1974
gasoline shortages; President Ronald Reagan pushed for tax cuts; a nanotechnology lab
at the University of Michigan represents potential economic activity ahead; mortgage
foreclosure sign stands before a house in Shaker Heights, Ohio, in July 2008; farmer
Gary Wagner in Crookston, Minnesota, uses satellite technology to map his fields; early
Macintosh computers come down the assembly line at an Apple Computer Inc. plant in
Milpitas, California, in 1984.

46
Courtesy of Ford Motor Company

© AP Images
© AP Images
© AP Images

47
© AP Images
© AP Images © AP Images
C H A P T E R

What the
U.S. Economy
Produces
The large U.S.
multinational firms have
altered their production
strategies and their roles
in response to globaliza-
tion as they adapt to
increasing competition.

© AP Images
© AP Images

Above: Robotic welders operate an auto van assembly line in Baltimore, Maryland.
Previous spread: Starbucks has spread far and wide to nearly 50 countries since its
first store opened in Seattle in 1971. The corporation announced plans to close 600
shops when the economic downturn struck in 2008.

50
Standing by itself, U.S. manufacturing would
be the eighth largest economy in the world.
U.S. M A N U FA C T U R I N G I N S T I T U T E
2006

The U.S. economy is in the midst of its second


radical conversion. The first represented a shift from
agriculture to manufacturing. The past quarter-century has
witnessed a further evolution toward finance, business services,
retailing, specialized manufacturing, technology products, and
health care. The first revolution mated European capital to America’s
burgeoning 19th-century expansion, while the current transition re-
flects Americans’ response to unprecedented global competition in
trade and finance.
Like other economies, the U.S. economy comprises a circular flow
of goods and services between individuals and businesses. Individuals
buy goods and services produced by businesses, which employ individ-
uals and pay them wages and benefits, providing the income that indi-
viduals use to make new purchases of goods and services and
investments, or to save.
The most common measure of the U.S. economy is the federal gov-
ernment’s report on the gross domestic product (GDP). GDP records the
value in dollars of all goods and services purchased in the United States
by individuals and businesses, plus investments, government spending,
and exports and imports from abroad. (It does not include sales by foreign
companies located in the United States or by American companies oper-
ating in foreign countries.)
GDP is made up both of goods and services for final sale in the pri-
vate-sector market and nonmarket services, such as education and mil-
itary defense, provided by governments. In principle, the value of
goods and services in the market reflects an exchange between willing
buyers and sellers and is not fixed by government, with some notable
exceptions such as government farm and energy subsidies.
In 2006, the $13.1 trillion U.S gross domestic product comprised ap-
proximately $9.2 trillion in personal spending by American consumers;

51
$2.2 trillion in private investments contributed as much value as man-
for homes, business equipment, ufacturing—12 percent of the do-
and other purposes; and $2.5 tril- mestic economy. This figure was
lion spent by governments at all only 7 percent in 1980. Retail and
levels, minus an international defi- wholesale trade, at 12 percent, was
cit of $700 million—the difference slightly lower than in 1980. The
between what the United States category of health care and private
imported and exported and its educational services was 7 percent
net financial transactions with the in 2006, compared to 4 percent in
rest of the world. 1980. Government at all levels ac-
Looked at another way, gov- counted for 13 percent of the
ernments collected $2.7 trillion country’s economic output in
in taxes, roughly half of that on 2006, essentially unchanged from
personal in-come and the rest on 1980. Oil and gas production
production and business profits. dropped to just over 1 percent of
Governments paid out $1.6 tril- the nation’s output in 2006, from
lion in benefits, primarily to indi- 2 percent in 1980.
viduals, and $370 billion in Excluding government’s share
interest to holders of government of the economy, goods-producing
debt. (The United States places companies made up 20 percent
near the bottom of major econo- of total private-sector output in
mies in its overall tax burden, 2006, down from 34 percent in
ranking 22nd out of 26 nations 1980. The services sector climbed
surveyed in 2006 by the Organi- from 67 percent to 80 percent
zation for Economic Cooperation during that period.
and Development.)
GDP sources are broken down Manufacturing Faces Competition
into major economic sectors such Manufacturing’s share of the
as manufacturing and retail sales. U.S. economy peaked in the
Comparing the 2006 output of 1950s, when Europe and Asia
these sectors with 1980 shows the were still struggling to recover
magnitude of the shift from goods from the devastation of World War
to services over the past quarter- II. By 1980, Japan and Western
century. In 2006, manufacturing Europe were ready to challenge
provided 12 percent of total U.S. U.S. industrial leadership, and in
domestic output of goods and serv- the new century they have been
ices. In 1980, its share was 20 per- joined by China, India, and many
cent. Finance and real estate other nations around the globe.
services overtook manufacturing, American producers have re-
contributing 21 percent of the U.S. sponded to rising competition
economic output in 2006 versus and higher labor and benefits
16 percent in 1980. Suppliers of costs by moving operations off-
professional business services, in- shore, purchasing foreign parts
cluding lawyers and consultants, and components, and concen-
52
trating on higher-value products maceutical preparations (exclud-
where innovation offers a com- ing biological products), and
petitive advantage. Only 10 per- $120.6 billion in semiconductors
cent of the U.S. workforce holds and electronic components.
manufacturing jobs today, down Retail businesses contributed
from 20 percent plus in 1980. about 6 percent to 2006 economic
Even so, high U.S. worker pro- output. Wholesale businesses,
ductivity and technological lead- which buy from producers and
ership enabled the United States then supply retailers, added an-
to rank as the world’s leading other 5 percent. Together, these
manufacturer in 2006, with $1.5 sectors produced about $1.6 tril-
trillion in products in 2006, or lion for the U.S. economy, and
about one-quarter of total world- their share of the total in 2006
wide production. “Standing by it- was slightly less than in 1980.
self, U.S. manufacturing would be The retail sector’s makeup il-
the eighth largest economy in the lustrates the great diversity of
world,” the U.S. Manufacturing stores in the American economy.
Institute has said. U.S. manufac- More than 95 percent of all retail-
turers employ more than 14 mil- ers are single-store business, the
lion workers, and another 6 traditional “mom-and-pop” op-
million work in related industries. erations that populate America’s
According to the institute’s 2006 Main Streets.
report, manufacturing jobs pay But revenues taken in by single-
about 25 percent more in wages store businesses account for only
and benefits than nonmanufac- half of all retail sales. In the sprawl-
turing jobs in the United States. ing malls and shopping centers on
The country’s manufacturers pro- the outskirts of U.S. cities are the
duced more growth and more “big-box” retail stores and “super-
productivity gains between 2001 center” warehouses that compete
and 2005 than any other sector of for consumers’ dollars through re-
the U.S. economy. lentless price competition. The
Five manufacturing groups largest of these major retailers,
had more than $1 billion each in Wal-Mart, seemed to be every-
sales in 2006: fabricated metal where, with 4,100 U.S. stores and
parts, a key product for the con- 3,100 stores abroad.
struction industry; machinery; Amazon.com, which ranked
computers and electronic equip- No. 32 in retailing revenues in
ment; motor vehicles; and food 2007, had no stores—all of its
and beverages. U.S. manufactur- sales are made on-line. The com-
ing output that year included pany is by far the most durable
4,500 civil aircraft, 11 million cars survivor of the 1990s dot.com re-
and light trucks, 87 million metric tailing boom. The shifts in rank-
tons of raw steel, 27 million com- ings of leading U.S. retailers each
puters, $127 billion worth of phar- year show evidence of the con-
53 53
Retailing’s Competitive Battlefield

T
he story of Wal-Mart’s stunning rise
within a single generation from a common-
place, low-price variety store in Arkansas to
the world’s largest and most powerful retailer illustrates
many fundamental shifts taking place in the U.S. econ-
omy. Wal-Mart’s fixation on beating competitors’ prices
Courtesy of Wal-Mart
and squeezing its operating costs to the bone year after
year has proved to be a potent strategy. By 2006, The
Wal-Mart Effect author Charles Fishman reported,
more than half of all Americans lived within eight kilo-
meters of a Wal-Mart store.
Although Wal-Mart typically sought out U.S. man-
ufacturers to stock its shelves, as the company grew,
Wal-Mart management accelerated their search for lower-cost products and components in
overseas markets. Today, Wal-Mart has become the most important single conduit for foreign
retail goods entering the U.S. economy.
Wal-Mart’s spread across the American landscape has provoked intense opposition from
critics, led by labor organizations fighting what they view as the company’s anti-union policies.
Wal-Mart workers make half the wages of factory workers, or less, and have sometimes had
wages capped to hold down store costs. Personnel turnover is relatively high, but the company
reports it routinely gets 10 applications for every position when a new store opens. The company
is using its economic clout to promote energy-efficient products, solar energy installations at
its stores, and fuel conservation by its truck fleet, and has urged employees to support its
“green” strategies. Its “big box” stores, exceeding 13,000 square meters in size, have been
vilified by some for overwhelming nearby small-town merchants.
However, retailing in the United States has always been intensely competitive, with losing
technologies and strategies falling by the wayside. The spread of electricity in cities and the in-
vention of the elevator in the 1880s enabled retailing magnate John Wanamaker and imitators
to create the first downtown department stores. Then Sears and other catalog stores opened a
new retailing front—shopping from home. The movement of Americans who followed the In-
terstate Highway System to ever more distant suburbs undermined local merchants long before
Wal-Mart reached its leviathan size. And Wal-Mart’s recent U.S. growth has slowed, as it and
other big retailers face competition from Internet shopping and specialty marketers.
The older, simpler U.S. retail model of a century ago, when community-based merchants
sold largely made-in-America products, might have provided a more stable economic base for
some communities. But this static model often failed to adapt to new conditions generated by
the nation’s dynamic economic, social, and political institutions.

Always

Low Prices Always


Siempre precios bajos
Courtesy of Wal-Mart
Above: An emblem of the cost-cutting attraction of Wal-Mart.
Top left: A “greeter” awaits customers entering one of the stores of the chain Wal-Mart,
the largest private employer in the United States.

54
stant struggle among large stores ants. The American Bar Associa-
to win and hold the loyalty of tion reported that more than 1.1
U.S. consumers. million lawyers were practicing in
the United States in 2008, or one
The Rise of Finance out every 300 Americans, a far
The first decade of the 21st higher proportion than in any
century marked the “ascendancy other country.
of finance,” in the words of Joseph Health care came to $900 bil-
E. Stiglitz, chairman of President lion, or just under 7 percent of
Bill Clinton’s Council of Eco- economic output, reflecting the
nomic Advisers. The finance, in- expansion of high-priced health
surance, and real estate industry care technologies and the medical
category of gross domestic prod- needs of an aging U.S. population.
uct, which includes giant securities In 1980, health care accounted for
funds, small regional banks, and 4 percent of the economy.
insurance companies, contributed Americans today travel more
$2.7 trillion to the economy in for business and pleasure than a
2006, or 21 percent of the total. generation ago, and this has fed
Its share in 1980 was 16 percent. the growth of the hotel and
Between 1998 and 2006, the rev- restaurant industries, whose out-
enues of U.S. finance and insur- put totaled $350 billion in 2006,
ance companies shot up by 71 or 2.7 percent of the gross do-
percent, capitalizing on the U.S. mestic product. This is slightly
leadership in rapidly growing higher than in 1980.
global financial markets.
The growth in international Where Americans Work
credit markets in the 2000s Details about where Ameri-
decade showed both the sophisti- cans work provide another view
cation and dynamism of the U.S. of the economy. On a typical
investment industry. The crash workday in 2005, just over 141
that followed in 2008 revealed a million full- and part-time em-
lack of restraint that led many in ployees went to work in the
the industry to assume dangerous United States. Not a single one of
risk by accumulating too much them was truly an “average
debt, much of it not clearly visible American,” not in a nation of 300
to their shareholders. million people with roots in vir-
A category of industry called tually every nation and culture in
“business and professional serv- the world, living in huge metro-
ices” added about $1.5 trillion in politan cities or out-of-the-way
output to the economy in 2006, hamlets, and in every sort of
or 12 percent, compared to 7 community in between.
percent in 1980. This encom- Just 1 percent of the workforce
passes the growing economic role was engaged in farming, forestry,
played by lawyers and consult- and fishing. Construction, trans-
55
portation, mining and utilities pro- The United States has the
vided work for 10 percent. Ten world’s most open borders based
percent worked in manufacturing; on the volume of trade that enters
4 percent in wholesale trade; 11 and leaves the country. In 2006,
percent in retail trade; 12 percent the United States was the largest
in professional and business serv- importer and second largest ex-
ices; 2 percent in information, porter of merchandise goods and
media and software; 6 percent in fi- led all nations in the import and
nance, insurance and real estate; export of commercial services. In
13 percent in education and health that year, the United States ex-
care; 9 percent in arts, entertain- ported $1.45 trillion in goods and
ment, accommodations and food services, but imported $2.2 tril-
services, and 5 percent in other lion, producing a record trade
services. Government employed deficit of $750 billion. The
17 percent of the workforce. United States had a surplus in the
In 2005, American workers re- trade of commercial services such
ceived $7 trillion in wages or as airline travel and financial serv-
salaries, by far the largest source ices, but it had a deficit of $838
of income for the nation’s 117 billion in traded goods.
million households. These The strongest U.S. export
households also received $1.5 goods are manufactured capi-
trillion in dividends and interest tal goods, including motor vehi-
payments from their savings and cles, civil aircraft, semiconductors,
investments, $1.3 trillion in em- industrial machinery, and com-
ployer benefits, and $1.5 trillion puter accessories. Pharmaceuti-
in government social benefits, for cals, gem diamonds, household
which they contributed $880 bil- goods, sporting goods, games,
lion in social insurance payments. and toys are the leading con-

56
sumer products exports. Chemi- quartered major multinational
cals and plastic products are the corporations. U.S.-based divi-
largest categories of industrial sions cut employment and capital
materials exports. investments at home but in-
Manufactured goods make up creased jobs and investments sig-
nearly two-thirds of total exports, nificantly at their foreign units.
with agricultural products far be- The annual output of the foreign
hind, at 5 percent of all outbound affiliates that year increased by
shipments. Although traditional more than twice that of the par-
U.S.customers—Canada, the Eu- ent company in the United
ropean Union, and Japan—are States. The study suggests that
the top recipients of American ex- U.S. multinationals were relying
ports, China, India and develop- increasingly on bringing in for-
ing countries receive nearly half eign-made components, includ-
of U.S. shipments. ing those from their overseas
Imports have risen much affiliates, and then including
faster than exports. In 2004, for them in their final products.
example, more than one-third of
all manufactured products pur-
chased by U.S. consumers were
imported. In 1972, the figure was
just 11 percent.
The value of the dollar com-
pared to other leading world cur-
rencies has been a critical factor
in U.S. manufacturing competi-
tiveness. In two periods—the
mid-1980s and 1997-2002—the
dollar’s value was high, making
U.S. exports relatively more ex-
pensive and imports cheaper. In
both periods, the country’s trade
deficit grew sharply. The dollar’s
decline during 2002-2008 helped
boost U.S. exports.
But apart from currency is-
sues, a rising tide of global com-
petition, particularly from
countries with lower labor costs,
has pushed American manufac-
turers to new competitive strate-
gies. A 2005 study by the U.S.
Bureau of Economic Analysis dis-
closed a trend among U.S.- head-
57
Investing in Research and Education components. It creates stainproof
American investments in re- clothing and military armor, and
search and development (R&D) it greatly extends the shelf life of
and education have been a bulwark bottled products.
of U.S. trade competitiveness. The But U.S. industry leaders warn
U.S. Manufacturing Institute has that the long-standing U.S. lead
listed important new technologies in R&D spending is shrinking.
on which U.S. companies rely, in- Total R&D spending by China,
cluding computer-aided design, Ireland, Israel, Singapore, South
robotics, just-in-time inventory Korea, and Taiwan is expected to
controls, and radio frequency iden- exceed the U.S. total before 2010.
tification technology used in track- The United States increased R&D
ing the flow of goods from factories investments by nearly 40 percent
or warehouses to stores. between 1995 and 2005, but
The institute also reports that China’s investments tripled dur-
U.S. manufacturers are leaders in ing those years, albeit from a
applying the new science of nano- much smaller base.
technology, which harnesses the
Support for Farmers
distinctive physical properties of
individual molecules to create im- In the early 20th century, ac-
proved products. Nanotechnology cording to the U.S. Department of
is producing lighter, stronger, and Agriculture, more than half of the
more rustproof motor vehicle U.S. workforce was employed by

© AP Images

Above: U.S. manufacturers are leaders in applying nanotechnology, as in this luggage


screening device developed by the General Electric Company.

58
the small, diversified, rural, and resulting higher food prices,
family-run farms responsible for many considered this approach
most of the nation’s foodstuffs. reasonable when most farms were
Today, U.S. agriculture is concen- small and farmers’ incomes were
trated on a small number of very relatively low.
large, specialized farms employing Federal policies began to
less than 1 percent of U.S. workers. change in the 1970s as foreign
The acreage of the average farm export markets grew in impor-
has tripled since 1940, and half of tance and U.S. agriculture shifted
U.S. farm sales come from the away from predominantly small
largest 2 percent of all farm- farms to large family holdings
ing operations. American farmers and corporate farming. Federal
received $285 billion for their legislation in 1996 replaced price
crops and livestock, plus $12 bil- supports on specific commodities
lion in direct government pay- with direct payments to farmers
ments in 2007. Farm imports based on historical production,
totaled $70 billion, while exports but gave farmers flexibility on
came to $82 billion. how much of their land to farm.
Federal programs to shore up Until the 1980s, half of the
farmers’ incomes arose in the U.S. farm exports were major bulk
Great Depression of the 1930s. commodities such as wheat, corn,
The goals were to assure mini- soybeans, cotton, and tobacco.
mum farm prices for specific farm Livestock accounted for 10 per-
commodities and to further sup- cent of exports. Horticulture prod-
port farm prices by paying farm- ucts, led by fruit and vegetables,
ers to limit production. Although accounted for 9 percent. Today,
consumers bore the cost of the livestock makes up 16 percent of
59
© Vasiliy Koval/Shutterstock

Above: Corn is a major crop for human and livestock consumption domestically and for ex-
port as well as a source of biofuel.

60
farm exports; horticulture prod- tural technologies. Ethanol, most
ucts, 21 percent; and bulk com- of it refined from corn, made up
modities, 36 percent. nearly 3 percent of U.S. motor
As with manufactured goods, fuel in 2005.
fluctuations in the dollar’s value U.S. farmers have readily
against other currencies pro- adopted genetically altered crops
duced shifts in agricultural trade. since their introduction in 1996.
But the changing tastes of Amer- Genetically altered soybeans and
ican consumers played an impor- cotton require less herbicide to
tant part, too. In the early 1980s, control weeds. These varieties
an American consumed, on aver- now make up more than 70 per-
age, 810 kilograms of food a year, cent of all soybean and cotton
of which 72 kilograms was im- acreage planted in the United
ported, according to the U.S. States. Cotton and corn have
Agriculture Department. In 2002, been engineered to resist insects
consumption had climbed to 900 by producing their own toxins,
kilograms and imports per per- and these varieties are also gain-
son averaged 118 kilograms. As ing rapid acceptance in the
U.S. household wealth increased United States.
in the late 1990s and early 2000 But genetically engineered
decade, consumers spent more on crops remain controversial be-
imported high-value farm prod- cause of critics’ concerns about
ucts, from wine and beef to cut their environmental impact and
flowers. American wheat, corn, some public misgivings about the
and other bulk exports remained technology generally. The ulti-
competitive because of the high mate response of consumers and
productivity of farmland, the ex- governments around the world to
pansion of large-size family and this science will have major conse-
corporate farming, and agricul- quences for U.S agriculture.

61
C H A P T E R

Competition
and the
American
Culture
Competition has remained
a defining characteristic
of the U.S. economy
grounded in the
American Dream of
owning a small business.

© Gary Gladstone/Corbis
© AP Images

Above: Some of the wealth amassed in the economy goes to good causes. Microsoft
founder and billionaire Bill Gates, shown here with a Mozambique vaccine trial pa-
tient, has made philanthropy his new job. Previous spread: Small businesses, such
as this restaurant in Kansas, account for a vast majority of U.S. job creation.

64
“Americans…are also hustlers in the positive
sense: builders, doers, go-getters, dreamers, hard
workers, inventors, organizers, engineers, and a
people supremely generous.”
W A LT E R M C D O U G A L L
2004

Joseph Schumpeter, an Austrian-born economist,


coined the term “creative destruction” in 1942 to de-
scribe the turbulent forces of innovation and competition
in Western economies. He called it the “essential fact about cap-
italism.” The “incessant gales” of markets cull out failing or under-
performing companies, clearing the way for new companies,
new products, and new processes, as he put it.
Creative destruction was a philosophy that appealed to critics of the
New Deal social and economic intervention that took hold during the
Great Depression, and it maintains an influential following today. “I
read Schumpeter in my 20s and always thought he was right,” said for-
mer Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, “and I’ve watched the
process at work through my entire career.” Today “destructive technol-
ogy” is the label for change-forcing innovation and technology.
The juxtaposition of creation and destruction captures the ever-present
tension between gains and losses in the American market economy. The
process has never been without critics and political opponents. But be-
cause the winners have substantially outnumbered the losers, the churn
of competition remains a defining characteristic of the U.S. economy.
Outsiders often equate the U.S. economy with its largest corporations
and what they make and do. They may be surprised, then, by the vital
part that small businesses play. Napoleon is said to have dismissed Eng-
land as “a nation of shopkeepers.” The phrase could also be applied in
considerable degree to the United States, whose shop owners and other
small businesses account for over half of the private-sector U.S. work-
force and economic output, excluding farming. (“Small” businesses, ac-
cording to an official definition, have fewer than 500 employees.)

65
A typical American town or ican Founding Father Benjamin
suburb of more than 10,000 peo- Franklin was a potent symbol of
ple is populated with individual aspiration and perseverance for
business owners and small generations of Americans, “defin-
firms—car dealers; accountants ing our image of ourselves, shap-
and lawyers; physicians and ther- ing our sense of possibility,” says
apists; shoe repairers and clean- author Peter Baida.
ing establishments; flower and The 15th child of a Boston
hardware stores; plumbers, soap and candle maker, Franklin
painters, and electricians; cloth- quit school after two years to
ing boutiques; computer repair work in his brother’s printing
shops; and restaurants of a half- business. He learned the printing
dozen ethnic flavors. Many of the trade and accounting, became
small retailers compete with na- the American colonies’ most
tional chains boasting billions of noteworthy publisher and inven-
dollars in revenue and thousands tor, and then played his storied
of employees. role in the struggle for national
Despite the odds against independence. Since Franklin’s
them, small businesses account time, Americans have hailed
for a vast majority of job leading inventors and entrepre-
growth, particularly as major neurs as icons of opportunism,
manufacturing companies trim from Thomas Edison to Apple’s
employment in the face of stiff Steve Jobs.
global competition. In 2004, for Millions of entrepreneurs try
example, the number of jobs in to create their own versions of
small businesses grew by 1.9 success. Government data show
million overall from the year that, in 2006, an estimated
before. Larger companies with 650,000 new employer-owned
500 employees or more lost businesses were started up and
181,000 net jobs. (Economists
point out that many small busi-
nesses provide goods and serv-
ices to large companies and
thus are tied to their fortunes.)

Small Businesses
at the Economy’s Core
American entrepreneurs re-
main eager to risk their own sav-
ings to start small businesses
despite the potential for failure
that Schumpeter’s model predicts.
The widely published and some-
times embroidered story of Amer-
66
565,000 went out of business, out all freedom, and the adage is
of a total of around six million often cited as a basic tenet of
such businesses nationwide. Sim- American economic life.
ilar ratios of births and deaths U.S. bankruptcy laws govern
among small businesses are re- business failures. The U.S. Con-
peated year after year. gress has tried to strike a balance
One obvious reason why so that recovers as much of a failed
many Americans choose this path company’s assets as possible for
is the relative ease of starting a lenders and creditors, while pro-
business. Professions such as law, viding financial protections that
medicine, and accounting have can allow some entrepreneurs to
stiff licensing requirements. But gain a fresh start. The bankruptcy
compared to other Western process may differ for individuals,
economies, the United States of- small enterprises, and large, pub-
fers an open road to a would-be licly owned corporations.
business owner. The contrast with A small business that cannot
some Third World economies is pay its bills usually will go
monumental. A study by the Peru- through what is called a liquida-
vian economist Hernando de Soto tion, selling all of its assets to pay
found that it took 289 days to what it can to its creditors. Some
open a small garment workshop of the business’s debts are paid
in Lima, Peru. The absence of a vi- ahead of others, and a bank-
brant small-business class is not ruptcy court appoints a trustee to
due to a lack of entrepreneurs, he see that the process follows the
argued. In 1993, an estimated rules. Banks and other “secured”
150,000 vendors worked the lenders are high on the repay-
streets of Mexico City, to cite but ment list, as are most employee
one example. But these vendors wages. But if there are public
were blocked from becoming full-
fledged business owners by many
hurdles, de Soto says, including
rigid class barriers, laws that dis-
courage property ownership, and
bureaucracies intent on preserv-
ing the status quo. In the United
States, change is a way of life.

The Chance to Start Again


If it is easy to launch a busi-
ness in America, it is also rela-
tively simple to try again after a
failed attempt. The philosopher
Erich Fromm said that the “free-
dom to fail” was essential to over-
67 67
shareholders, these owners—who The historian Frederick Jack-
have assumed more risk in ex- son Turner, marking the 400th an-
change for greater potential re- niversary of Columbus’s 1492
ward—are on the bottom and landing in the New World, defined
often get nothing as the business the American frontier as an inte-
closes its doors. gral cultural catalyst. The steadily
Large companies that can’t changing frontier, lying ever west
cope with their debts may choose of existing settlements, was a mag-
what is called a Chapter 11 bank- net for migration, pulling footloose
ruptcy process, which allows a Americans ever westward, Turner
company to stay in business while wrote in 1893. He attributed dis-
it tries to recover. If the company tinctive aspects of the predominant
still has valuable assets or some American character—individual-
cash coming in, and if its crisis ism, risk-taking, suspicion of au-
seems temporary, creditors may thority, and optimism—to this
choose to take less than full re- frontier experience.
payment of their claims initially
to let the business survive and Creative Destruction
continue repaying its creditors. at the Top of the Economy
In this case, too, shareholders Creative destruction is evident
might be wiped out, but the busi- at the top of the economy in the
ness can survive. rise and decline of the largest,
Bankruptcy law also enables most powerful U.S. corporations.
individuals to escape unmanage- One measure is the survey of
able debts and start over, al- the 50 largest industrial compa-
though they may lose their nies published annually by For-
homes. This escape route can be tune magazine. In 1990, the
crucial for people who lose their top-50 list featured companies
jobs or for families facing heavy with household names and an in-
medical bills, for example. ternational reach, many dating
The bankruptcy laws are part back to the early 20th century, in-
of the American cultural belief in cluding General Motors, Ford
the second chance. This story is Motor Company, DuPont, East-
woven deeply into the national man Kodak, and the predeces-
fabric of migration and settle- sors of Exxon Mobil. These
ment that began with the first businesses similarly reflected the
boatloads of European arrivals heyday of U.S. manufacturing:
and never stopped. French polit- Manufacturers held 31 of the 50
ical thinker Alexis de Tocqueville places, followed by 12 energy
found in the 1830s an innate rest- companies and seven consumer
lessness among Americans, who products suppliers.
were constantly changing course The 2007 rankings document
“for fear of missing the shortest the consequences of globaliza-
road” to success and happiness. tion, the decline of goods pro-
68
duction in favor of services, and Xerox, International Paper,
the rise of health care as a major Goodyear Tire & Rubber, and
need for an aging population. Bristol-Myers Squibb had fallen
On the 2007 Fortune list, the far out of the top 50 in 2007.
largest U.S. non-financial com- The global economic expan-
pany was Wal-Mart Stores. Its sion has profoundly altered U.S.
$351 billion in revenue narrowly business. But so have domestic
exceeded revenues of energy forces of change. At the beginning
giant Exxon Mobil. The number of the 20th century, some of Amer-
of manufacturers among the 50 ica’s dominant businesses were
largest industrial firms was down called to account by reformers cru-
to 20. Mergers had reduced the sading for better working condi-
energy companies to eight in all. tions and pure food. The
Taking the place of the dis- movement was revived in the
placed manufacturing and energy 1960s through a one-man attack
firms were 10 retailers, including on the safety of American-built au-
Wal-Mart, its rival Target, and tomobiles by Ralph Nader, an at-
Home Depot and Lowes, the lead- torney and activist. Nader’s 1965
ing home improvement and con- book, Unsafe at Any Speed, singled
struction materials retailers. Also out the small General Motors Cor-
in the top 50 were six health in- vair sedan. GM retaliated by inves-
dustry companies and three com- tigating Nader’s private life in an
panies focused on moving a apparent effort to discredit him.
steadily growing volume of food, GM’s chairman called Nader “one
goods, and documents around the of the bitter gypsies of dissent who
country—United Parcel Service, plague America.” But Nader’s
FedEx, and Sysco, the largest dis- campaign against the nation’s No.
tributor of food products. Kodak, 1 automaker registered with the

© AP Images

Above: Author Ralph Nader shakes the hand of President Lyndon Johnson at the 1966
signing of auto safety legislation boosted by Nader’s book.

69
American mood. Congress passed duties without understanding
the National Traffic and Motor Ve- the various sides of controversial
hicle Safety Act of 1966 to set au- issues—details that lobbyists are
tomobile safety standards. eager to provide.
In any event, lobbying is a
Corporations Push Back growth industry. In 1975, lobby-
“Ambition must counter ambi- ists reported spending $100 mil-
tion,” James Madison wrote in lion to make their cases in
1788 in Federalist 51, an effort to Washington. In 2005, the U.S.
defend the proposed U.S. Consti- Capitol had 17,000 registered
tution he had done so much to lobbyists (200 of them former
shape. American businesses and members of Congress), and their
their opponents actively play the spending totaled $2.5 billion.
role Madison anticipated, present- There is hardly a cause of any
ing and defending their interests size that is not part of this cam-
in Washington and state capitals. paign, but business groups lead
The word “lobbying” as a the list of registered lobbyists.
name for these campaigns dates Between 1998 and 2006, five
back at least to 18th-century U.S. industries reported spend-
Britain. In the Gilded Age of ing a total of $1 billion or more
rapid U.S. economic expansion on lobbying.
after the Civil War, lobbying by A profound internal challenge
railroad promoters took the to America’s business establish-
form of outright bribes “where it ment in the past quarter-century
will do most good,” as one rail- came not from regulators or “gyp-
road trustee put it, spent on con- sies of dissent,” but from in-
gressmen who could determine vestors. In the 1980s, an industry
railroad routes. Today, lobbyists sprang up centered on Wall Street
who contact members of Con- and focused on taking over un-
gress for their clients must regis- derperforming publicly owned
ter and publicly disclose their corporations. In 1981, DuPont, a
activities. Their direct contribu- diversified manufacturer of chem-
tions of money to members of ical-based products, made a bid to
Congress are limited and must purchase the oil giant Conoco. A
be revealed. bidding frenzy followed as
Critics of lobbying say it rep- Canada’s Seagram liquor distiller
resents a corruption of the dem- and Conoco rivals Texaco and
ocratic process, giving large Mobil sought to beat DuPont’s
contributors the strongest voice. price. Conoco’s $7.8 billion
Defenders reply that the lobbyist merger with DuPont equated to a
is exercising a constitutionally purchase price of $98 for each
guaranteed right to petition the share of Conoco stock, twice the
government and that lawmakers share price before DuPont made
cannot properly perform their its move. The largest corporate
70
merger to that time, it created lic shareholders by offering an
stunning financial gains not only above-market price. The lever-
for Conoco stockholders, but also age in this case was debt. The
for speculators who purchased typical LBO was financed prima-
the oil company’s shares and for rily by loans that would be issued
the Wall Street investment by the company once the new
bankers and lawyers who worked owners had succeeded in taking
on the deal. it over. Interest payments on
The acquisition of Conoco these loans were tax deductible,
opened a wild new chapter in lessening both the cost and fi-
U.S. business history. Bidding nancial risk of the LBO and en-
wars broke out to seize control of couraging LBO organizers to
companies whose low stock prices offer their bonds at relatively
left them vulnerable. New tactics high yields to investors.
appeared, such as “greenmail” by Traditionally, high-yielding but
investors and speculators who riskier debt securities were offered
bought significant shares of a by companies in trouble and so
company and then threatened a were known as “junk bonds,” but
takeover unless the company re- LBO promoters argued that these
purchased their shares at a bonds were not as risky as many
higher price. Corporate “raiders” investors had assumed. A 1978
such as T. Boone Pickens, Carl change in federal rules permitted
Icahn, and Sir James Goldsmith regulated corporate pension
became celebrities. Corporate funds to invest in LBO debt,
leaders accused them of financial opening a vital source of financing
piracy. The raiders countered to the LBO movement. Insurance
that by purchasing shares of “mis- companies, mutual funds, and
managed” companies, they made savings and loan banks were other
rightful claims on behalf of all major buyers of junk bonds.
shareholders to the companies’ In the first half of the 1980s,
true value. LBO transactions increased six-
fold. In 1988, an estimated $200
Junk Bonds and Takeovers billion in junk bonds had been is-
Adding to the turmoil was an sued, a boom in Wall Street deal-
explosive increase in leveraged making not seen since J.P.
buyouts, or LBOs. The targets of Morgan’s day, said Business Week
this strategy were companies magazine. Shareholders bene-
whose stock prices appeared de- fited from the premium prices on
pressed because of poor manage- LBO offers. Wall Street invest-
ment or because of Wall Street’s ment and law firms collected
misreading of the companies’ handsome fees, and LBO owners
potential. Outside investors or a stood to profit enormously if the
company’s top managers would plans succeeded. It was the
seek to buy a company from pub- “great, infallible money-making
71
machine” of the decade, said fi- heavy losses for junk bond in-
nance professor Roy C. Smith. vestors generally. The 1990s
The downside was the de- boom in technology stocks ab-
structive half of Schumpeter’s sorbed larger and larger amounts
creative destruction model. To of investors’ money until that
meet debt payments, new owners speculative stock surge collapsed
often had to sell off poor-per- in 2000. After a few years, how-
forming divisions or shrink pay- ever, a new wave of corporate ac-
rolls, and then employees lost quisitions swelled up. It was led
jobs. Companies that had been by private investment funds
fixtures of communities for years whose clients pooled their capital
were sold or dismantled. A top and borrowed additional funds to
executive of a leading U.S. auto- purchase companies whose prof-
mobile tire company said that the its and stock market prices had
LBO was “created in hell by the slumped, creating possible bar-
devil himself.” gains for the investors.
The LBO process depended Unlike some takeovers by
on a healthy economy with buy- 1980s raiders, investment funds
ers eager to purchase the un- such as the Blackstone Group
wanted parts of LBO companies, and the Carlyle Group aimed not
on investors’ confidence in junk just to cut costs, but to improve
bonds, and on a permissive regu- the company’s results. The pri-
latory climate. But the economy vate managers sought to take a
slowed at the end of the 1980s, company public, selling shares on
and investor confidence was U.S. stock markets. If the com-
jarred by scandal. The billion- pany was performing better than
dollar deals tempted some of during its last public incarnation,
Wall Street’s best-known bankers the share prices would be corre-
and lawyers to cheat, violating spondingly higher and the pri-
federal securities laws by tipping vate investors would reap
off one another on upcoming but extraordinary gains. The list of
unannounced deals, manipulat- companies acquired by such pri-
ing stock prices, and issuing vate equity funds included the
fraudulently false financial state- Hertz Corporation car rental
ments. The Wall Street firm company, Metro-Goldwyn Mayer
Drexel Burnham Lambert, the movie studios, Burger King,
leading junk bond financier, ad- Chrysler, and TXU, the largest
mitted felony securities violations electric utility in Texas.
in 1988, paid a record $650 mil- In 1992, private equity invest-
lion fine, and wound up in bank- ments totaled just $21 billion. In
ruptcy court. 2006, private equity firms bought
The corporate raiding frenzy control of 654 U.S. companies for
subsided in the 1990s after a total of $375 billion, evidence
Drexel’s demise was followed by of the constant turnover in Amer-
72
ican business that Schumpeter Wilson, in 1915, told a group of
would have instantly recognized. new American citizens, “you have
taken an oath of allegiance to a
Competition and great ideal, to a great body of
the American Culture principles, to a great hope of the
How did competition and dis- human race.” And Winthrop’s
ruptive change become accepted metaphor became a favorite of
as part of the American eco- President Ronald Reagan, as the
nomic culture? 20th century neared its close.
The first European settlers in This sense of mission fortified
the New World braved the per- the willingness of many Ameri-
ilous Atlantic crossing for varied cans to seize the land and build a
reasons. Some sought a new land new country and a strong econ-
where their religious beliefs omy. And it helped instill in the
would escape persecution. Others American people a lasting streak
sought gold or the fountain of of optimism.
youth or the passage to India. “With optimism went a sense
Many simply dreamed of a new of power and of vast resources of
chance in life. But most shared energy,” said the historian
the reality that they would have Henry Steele Commager. “The
to build their new world from the American had spacious ideas, his
bottom up. imagination roamed a continent,
From the first fragile settle- and he was impatient with petty
ments, Americans pushed west- transactions, hesitation, and
ward, inventing and reinventing timidities. To carve out a farm of
their society in the face of con- a square mile or a ranch of a
stantly changing opportunities hundred square miles, to edu-
and hazards. Historian Walter A. cate millions of children, to feed
McDougall has called the United the Western world with his wheat
States “the most dynamic civiliza- and his corn, did not appear to
tion in history,” adding, “nowhere him remarkable.”
else has more change occurred in Idealism and self-interest pre-
so short a span. America was not vailed alongside one another. Mc-
just born of revolution, it is one.” Dougall argues that stripped to
Many Americans believed that essentials, America was, and re-
God, the Creator, the Almighty— mains, a nation of hustlers. In
whom they saw in many different Freedom Just Around the Corner, Mc-
ways—blessed their struggle to Dougall described his dilemma:
create a new nation. In 1630, “Shall I portray Americans as in-
John Winthrop, the governor of dividualists or community
the Massachusetts Bay Colony, builders, pragmatists or dream-
had called his settlement a “city ers, materialists or idealists, bigots
on a hill. The eyes of people are or champions of tolerance, lovers
upon us.” President Woodrow of liberty and justice for all, or his-
73
tory’s most brazen hypocrites?” In Praising Work
fact, all of these traits have been The original contours of the
obvious throughout the American American economy were defined
experience, he said. by a culture that elevated consci-
The common denominator entious work into a national
McDougall saw was a scrappy value. “In the beginning America
drive to hustle, to get ahead and was the land and the land was
improve one’s circumstances. America,” wrote anthropologist
“Americans take it for granted and businessman Herbert Apple-
that ‘everyone’s got an angle,’ ex- baum. Unlike Britain, the New
cept maybe themselves,” he wrote. World offered the promise of
“Politicians, lawyers, bankers, mer- landownership to the typical set-
chants, and salesmen are consid- tler, at least once the Native
ered guilty until proven innocent.” American peoples had been
Americans were “hustlers in the driven off. But the land was use-
sense of self-promoters, scofflaws, less without an investment in
occasional frauds, and peripatetic “backbreaking and continuous
self-reinventors,” he said. But he work,” Applebaum added. The
added, “They are also hustlers farmer had to master a dozen
in the positive sense: builders, tradesman’s skills. The trades-
doers, go-getters, dreamers, hard man had to farm. Necessity bred
workers, inventors, organizers, a deep strain of individualism
engineers, and a people supreme- within the communal settlements
ly generous.” that spread across the land.
The first American settlers As the American colonies
brought with them the principles prospered and then combined in
of Britain’s complex, diverse, and their unlikely Revolutionary War
opportunistic market economy, victory, Americans increasingly
and applied them on the new viewed work not merely as a req-
soil. But the British model was uisite of survival but as the path
changed by the ideals of liberty to success.
and democracy that promised “Significant numbers of
opportunity. As Princeton Uni- Americans believe that anyone,
versity’s Anne-Marie Slaughter high or low, can move up the eco-
put it, “From nothing to some- nomic ladder as long as they are
thing is what we mean by the talented, hardworking, entrepre-
American Dream—from rags to neurial, and not too unlucky,”
riches, from a log cabin to the wrote Yale University law profes-
White House, from a Kansas farm sor Amy Chau. This belief helps
to a Hollywood studio. It is a explain the relative weakness of
story of making and remaking class-based political movements
ourselves as far as luck and hard in the United States and the ac-
work will carry us.” ceptance—however grudgingly—
74
by most Americans of greater dis- but fulfilling, interesting, fun
parities in wealth than are found work became the goal of the
in other developed nations, Chau baby-boom generation that dom-
and other commentators say. inated the U.S. economy in the
The sociologist and political last third of the 20th century.
economist Max Weber, writing a But even this cultural turn re-
century ago in his influential The flected traditional American
Protestant Ethic and the Spirit of traits. A streak of pragmatism,
Capitalism, argued that Protestant skepticism, and contrariness runs
religions helped build capital- deep in the American character,
ism’s foundation by endorsing historians say. “The American’s
hard work, honesty, and frugality. attitude toward authority, rules,
That spirit survives, but in chang- and regulations was the despair
ing forms, says the urban studies of bureaucrats and disciplinari-
theorist Richard Florida. ans,” writes Commager.
In his 2005 book, The Flight of American history suggests that
the Creative Class, Florida argues whatever future form it takes, the
that the protest movements of individualism and contrariness
the 1960s and 1970s eventually that seem wired into the national
sparked new perceptions of work. culture will continue to fuel Amer-
Increasingly not just hard work, icans’ hustling, striving nature.

75
C H A P T E R

Geography
and
Infrastructure
Education and
transportation help
hold together
widely separated
and distinct regions.

Courtesy of Library of Congress


09-20546 OutlineEconomy_new_091210 12/28/09 11:47 AM Page 78

© Gianna Stadelmyer / Shutterstock

Above: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, became a steelmaking center at the confluence


of rivers, coal beds, and rail. Previous spread: The Jones & Laughlin Steel Com-
pany plant along the Ohio River in Aliquippa, Pennsylvania, in 1938, operated near
Pittsburgh.

78
“It is one of the happy incidents of the federal system
that a single courageous state may… serve as
a laboratory and try novel social and economic
experiments…”
JUSTICE LOUIS BRANDEIS
U.S. Supreme Court
1932

As a continental nation spanning much of the


territory between two great oceans, the United States
is blessed with tremendous natural resources: a treasure of
forests, seacoasts, arable land, rivers, lakes, and minerals. School
atlases of North America once located important economic re-
sources with simple icons placed on a map: office skyscrapers
marking the Eastern Seaboard’s metropolitan centers; factories
flanking the Great Lakes industrial belt; stacks of wheat and
grazing livestock on the Great Plains; cotton in the Old South and
eastern Texas; coal in the Appalachian Mountains of the East and
on the eastern slopes of the Rocky Mountains; iron ore in Min-
nesota’s Mesabi Range; oil wells in the Southwest, California, and
Alaska; timber and hydropower in the Southeast and Northwest.
Of course these resources were found in many places. The area
around Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, became a center of steelmaking be-
cause of the nearby coal deposits and its rail and river connections to
the rest of the country. Gary, Indiana, and Birmingham, Alabama, were
big steel cities, too. John D. Rockefeller’s oil fortunes were made in Penn-
sylvania, but Texas’s plains, the coastal states along the Gulf of Mexico,
southern California, and Alaska also sheltered large oil preserves. Even
so, those old schoolbook maps correctly pinpointed the different centers
of America’s resource wealth from which the economy grew.
A similar 21st-century economic map would look very different. Old
manufacturing cities around the Great Lakes have lost hundreds of thou-
sands of production jobs over the past two decades. Other metropolitan

79
areas have grown on the strength gence of distinct regional identities
of their technology and finance and personalities. Journalist Joel
sectors. Even so, the American Garreau, in his book The Nine Na-
economy retains its strongly re- tions of North America, suggests that
gional character. the United States, Canada, Mex-
ico, and the Caribbean contain
A Nation of Regions separate North American regions
Distinct regions emerged in with different, defining character-
America’s first century as immi- istics. The U.S. regions are New
grants from different lands moved England; the old industrial states
to parts of the country where their around the Great Lakes; the South
skills might best be suited and with its historical legacies and new
their families welcomed. Scandi- economic dynamism; the bread-
navian farmers landed in Min- basket of farmlands from the Mid-
nesota; Jewish immigrant west to the Great Plains; the thinly
tradesmen from Europe’s cities settled wilderness and desert
settled in New York and other regions along the Rocky Moun-
major northern cities; Mexican tains; the center of Latino pres-
farm workers beat a path to Cali- ence in Texas and the Southwest;
fornia’s orchards and fields. the nucleus of environmental
Settlers followed kinsmen, activism along the Pacific Coast;
creating clusters of common cus- and the tip of Florida with its ties
toms that took root in each re- to the Caribbean.
gion. Journalist Dan Morgan has “Some are close to being raw
observed that orderly New Eng- frontiers; others have four cen-
land “Yankees” moving from turies of history. Each has a pe-
their homes in the northeastern culiar economy; each commands
United States to Ohio laid out a certain emotional allegiance
plans for future towns with from its citizens. These nations
schools and courthouses “before look different, feel different, and
the first harvest was in.” German sound different from each other,”
immigrants erected sturdy dairy Garreau wrote. “Some are clear-
barns in Pennsylvania, built to ly divided topographically by
last, and they did, as one genera- mountains, deserts, and rivers.
tion followed another. Farmers Others are separated by archi-
and townspeople in the East tecture, music, language, and
sought land or fortune on west- ways of making a living. Most
ern frontiers, braving life-threat- importantly, each nation has a
ening challenges. Those who distinct prism through which it
made it implanted a strong indi- views the world.”
vidualistic strain that still charac- Differences in character af-
terizes the western outlook. fected how each region devel-
This clustering of people, skills, oped. An example is water. The
and resources fostered the emer- first settlers reaching America
80
from Britain brought with them sources in the East, the miners’
the traditions of English common “prior appropriation” doctrine,
law. Owners of “riparian” prop- as it became called in the West,
erty—on the banks of lakes and allowed pioneering developers to
rivers—had the right to claim use claim vast amounts of water to
of the “natural flow” of water past support the expansion of cities in
their lands. But this principle was arid Southern California and
tested by economic competition. other southwestern states and to
Mill owners, key players in the help western farmers grow crops
northern colonies’ economy, on dry land by tapping immense
could claim competing rights to underground water aquifers with-
the same river. out limitations. Los Angeles and
To settle these disputes, Amer- Las Vegas exist as metropolitan
ican courts created the doctrine of cities today because of the western
“reasonable use.” It is, in effect, a water rights doctrine.
requirement that users fairly share The example of water rights il-
water resources. What was reason- lustrates the variety of regional
able in these disputes varied from policies, laws, and practices that
state to state and region to region, emerged within a diverse Union.
but it often meant that a bigger U.S. Supreme Court Justice Louis
mill or factory could make a D. Brandeis framed the case for
greater claim on a river’s flow the diversity of state policies in a
than a smaller one. The factory widely noted dissenting opinion
cities that sprung up along the on a 1932 case before the court:
rivers of the northeastern United “It is one of the happy incidents
States owed their existence to of the federal system that a single
shared water supplies. courageous state may, if its citi-
The California gold rush of zens choose, serve as a laboratory,
1848 led to an entirely different and try novel social and economic
doctrine, one that met the min- experiments without risk to the
ers’ needs and would shape the rest of the country.” States remain
uses of water throughout the laboratories of policy innovation
West. A miner finding a gold in education, energy supply, and
seam would claim the land and public transportation.
water from the nearest creek to
wash dirt away from the precious Unifying Forces
nuggets. The miner’s claim estab- The landscape of U.S. history
lished a “first-in-time, first-in-use” is covered with travelers’ paths.
priority allowing him to take as The economic blight throughout
much water as he required. the South after the U.S. Civil War
After the gold rush ended, the sent thousands of Scotch-Irish im-
miners’ approach to water rights migrants and their children drift-
became an established custom. ing westward to find open farms
Unlike the principle of shared re- in Texas and native American
81
Indian territory. “When condi- The movement of people was
tions became intolerable, they ex- triggered by both opportunity
ercised their ultimate right as and necessity. A long-running mi-
Americans—the right to move gration of African Americans out
on,” Dan Morgan wrote. They of the South continued through-
chalked “GTT” on abandoned out the 20th century as farm
front doors and departed. Their mechanization displaced hand
neighbors knew the initials meant labor. The greatest transition
“Gone to Texas.” began during World War II, when
The Great Depression and northern steel and auto factories
dust storms of the 1930s forced offered jobs to African Americans
the greatest migration in the na- to fill wartime vacancies. Eco-
tion’s history, as 300,000 people nomic necessity prevailed over
from Oklahoma, Texas, Missouri, traditions of racial bias.
and Arkansas headed for Califor- New England’s textile indus-
nia’s fertile central valley. Fearful try over the past century gradu-
California authorities raised a ally moved to the South, where
sign in Tulsa, Oklahoma, warn- land was cheaper and labor
ing, “No Jobs in California. If you unions weaker. In recent decades,
are out of work keep out!” But foreign auto and truck compa-
the Okies, as they were called, nies have set up factories across
went anyway. the South, welcomed by growth-

Courtesy of Library of Congress

Above: The 1930s Great Depression and dust storms led 300,000 people from the plains
states to migrate to California looking for work on farms.

82
minded business and civic lead- year on average. In the West, Pa-
ers. Today, once-empty towns in cific Coast states lost an average
Wyoming are filling up with new- 75,500 residents a year, but the
comers taking jobs in the state’s Rocky Mountain states gained an
expanding coal industry. average 130,000.
The mobility of American
workers is well documented. One Unifying Forces and Infrastructure
study in the past decade reported Even as immigration, re-
that, on average, U.S. college sources, and culture helped de-
graduates would work for 11 em- fine regional differences, other
ployers before retirement. The economic and cultural forces
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics worked to break down regional
calculated that college graduates barriers and integrate more
would hold 13 different job posi- closely the nation’s regional
tions, counting promotions and economies. These included a
changes of employers, before common currency, a legal system
reaching 38 years of age. that recognized the rights of
The willingness of Americans property ownership, and federal
to “get up and go” is recorded by laws creating uniform policies for
the national census taken every commerce among the states.
10 years. The 1990 U.S. census A crucial linkage was the devel-
found that just 60 percent of the opment of the country’s trans-
country’s people were living in portation infrastructure, which
the same state where they were smoothed the flow of goods
born. And that average concealed among all the regions.
considerable variations among The need for transportation
the states. Eighty percent of networks was clear from the
Pennsylvanians surveyed in that start. It was George Washing-
census, and more than 70 per- ton’s dream to connect Virginia
cent of residents of other states, and other eastern states to the
including Iowa, Louisiana, Michi- Ohio Valley—then the nation’s
gan, Minnesota, and Mississippi, frontier—through a canal from
were living in their birth state. Washington, D.C., across the
But only 30 percent of Florida’s Appalachian Mountains to
residents could say the same. Ohio. But money was scarce,
Migration continued in the and construction did not begin
beginning of the 21st century. until 1828. Before the canal’s
From 2000 to 2004, the north- completion in 1850, hundreds
eastern United States lost a net of steamboats were working the
average of 246,000 residents a Mississippi River and regional
year, and the Midwest’s popula- railroads crisscrossed the popu-
tion declined by an average lated eastern states. Rail and
161,000 people a year. But the steam had made the canal ob-
South gained 352,000 people a solete before its completion.
83
Samuel F.B. Morse’s develop- ital to launch the 19th century’s
ment of the telegraph received greatest infrastructure project—
crucial funding from the federal the transcontinental railroad.
government: a $30,000 grant en- President Abraham Lincoln
abled him to run a telegraph line signed the legislation creating a
from Baltimore, Maryland, to nationally chartered corporation
Washington, D.C., in 1844. The to undertake the immense proj-
determined inventor triumphed ect. Two companies got the task
when the line instantly and magi- of building the lines, one starting
cally transmitted to Washington in Omaha, Nebraska, the other
the results of the presidential in Sacramento, California. The
nominating conventions held in hazardous project, which had to
Baltimore, using the dot-and-dash cross deserts and overcome west-
letter code Morse had created. ern mountain ranges, employed
Morse’s telegraph was an 10,000 workers, including Euro-
early demonstration of the key pean settlers, freed slaves, and
role that the U.S. government Chinese immigrants.
would play in promoting science The railroad united the nation
and commerce, a role that has from coast to coast. Grain, coal to
continued to the present through make steel and illuminating gas,
the funding of the U.S. space copper, iron ore, petroleum, tim-
program, cancer research, and ber, clothing to supply new city
advanced energy systems. Morse department stores and consumer
believed that the government, catalog businesses, foodstuffs—
having bankrolled the project, even fruit in newly created refrig-
should build and run a nation- erator cars—all could cross the
wide telegraph network, just as it country in search of markets. A
delivered the mails. But Washing- trip from New York to China,
ton officials were not interested, which had taken 100 days around
and Morse and his partners South America’s forbidding Cape
formed a private company to run Horn, now could be completed in
telegraph wires between Wash- 30 days thanks to the continent-
ington and New York. Five years spanning railroad.
later, 19,000 kilometers of lines In 1912, the automobile was
had been strung. That number still a toy of the wealthy. But in-
was doubled by armies during the dustrialist Carl G. Fisher, whose
Civil War. Before Morse’s death company made automobile head-
in 1872, telegraph lines extended lights, saw the possibilities of a
400,000 kilometers, opening a coast-to-coast highway and organ-
coast-to-coast communications ized a campaign to create it with
capability that was indispensable public contributions. The 5,456-
to the economy’s growth. kilometer route was called the
The federal government Lincoln Highway, and by 1925 it
alone had the authority and cap- ran from New York to San Fran-
84
cisco. At the project’s start, im- access highway system that would
proved highways covered less than buttress America’s internal de-
half of the route. Sections of the fenses. Strongly promoted by the
route followed historic pathways influential automobile and oil in-
blazed by Native Americans, colo- dustries, the government-funded
nial settlers, Civil War armies, and highway network was under con-
the Pony Express mail service. struction by 1956. Its initial route
Called “America’s Main Street,” it plan was completed in 1992 at a
forged the first connection be- cost of $114 billion—10 times the
tween commerce and the automo- projected budget—and paid for
bile and inspired the construction almost entirely by taxes on gaso-
of the Interstate Highway System line sales and other user fees.
beginning in the 1950s. By 2004, the road network cov-
President Dwight D. Eisen- ered 75,408 kilometers. It acceler-
hower had made the arduous ated the movement of city dwellers
cross-country trip by truck as a to suburbs, encouraged the spread
young Army officer in 1919 and of industry from older commercial
conceived of a modern limited- centers in the North into the

© iofoto / Shutterstock

Above: The Interstate Highway System of limited-access roads like these in Los Angeles bolstered
suburbs, drove shifts of manufacturing to different states, and promoted the trucking industry for
shipping goods.

85
South and West, and established federal government and are re-
the trucking industry as a rival for quired to serve the public inter-
railroads in shipping freight. It est, most also are run to generate
also put more Americans on the profits for their private-sector
road, and the resulting increases in owners, who achieve this by sell-
their already-expanding demands ing advertising time. These prod-
for oil-based motor fuels would uct pitches prime the pump of
dominate the country’s energy consumer spending. The coun-
policy debates. try’s top advertisers spent $150
billion promoting their wares in
Creating a National Audience 2006, with 44 percent of that
The United States is often going to television, 40 percent to
considered a comparatively de- newspapers and magazine, 7 per-
centralized country, one with a cent to radio, and nearly 7 per-
federal government, and yet one cent more to fast-growing
in which individual citizens iden- Internet advertising.
tify strongly with their regions, Advertising is the information
states, and municipalities. To source that underpins competi-
some extent this was a function tion and promotes the consumer
of the country’s great size, and of choice essential for a mass-mar-
technological limits. Nineteenth- ket economy. Critics also charge
century advances such as the that advertising promotes exces-
telegraph and the transconti- sive materialism and unwise
nental railroad helped to bridge spending impulses.
this distance.
But it was broadcasting— The Power of Education
radio, then television—that Benjamin Rush, a Philadel-
helped to create truly nationwide phia physician and signer of the
audiences, a more common cul- Declaration of Independence,
ture, and a truly national eco- told all who would listen that
nomic market. Americans living winning the war of independ-
thousands of miles apart could ence from England had been
experience domestic and global hard enough. Still harder would
events simultaneously. Radio be the challenge of making
news broadcasts from the 1920s democracy work. To fulfill that
on delivered momentous news task, the new self-governing na-
happenings, President Franklin tion had to create a broad system
D. Roosevelt’s “fireside chats,” of free public education.
and popular sporting events. “The form of government we
Broadcasting in America have assumed has created a new
mostly has evolved along a pri- class of duties to every Ameri-
vately owned, publicly regulated can,” Rush said in 1783. Believ-
model. While radio and televi- ing that humankind was
sion stations are licensed by the “improvable,” Rush and other
86
founders wanted education to be religious, precepts, and it would
useful. But it also had a central aim to foster a nonpartisan patri-
political purpose: Education was otism. Beyond that, Mann argued
essential to equip citizens to use that schools must strive for the
the power of the ballot wisely. highest scholarship, teaching stu-
The question was how, and at dents to educate themselves for
first also who. In the nation’s early roles in the economy and society.
decades, states followed many States across the country grad-
paths in expanding public educa- ually adopted Mann’s ideas, thus
tion, at least to the sons of white raising the quality of broadly
Americans. Native Americans available public education.
were excluded. African-American Schools in poor areas and the
children in the North had sepa- racially segregated parts of the
rate schools; the children of South received substantially fewer
slaves received no schooling. resources than other school sys-
Young girls were typically taught tems, a gap that has narrowed
homemaking skills. but not been fully eliminated
The reforms that would make since the start of federal an-
American education a model for tipoverty and educational pro-
the world got their strongest ini- grams in the 1960s.
tial push from Horace Mann, While debates about educa-
who served as secretary of the tion methods have persisted at
Massachusetts State Board of Ed- least since Horace Mann’s day,
ucation beginning in 1837. He one precept widely shared by
grew up in poor circumstances most Americans is that a nation’s
and could attend school only part wealth includes not just its citi-
time, but, with help from tutors, zens’ private property, but also
he attended college and then those citizens’ capacity to better
spent the rest of his life promot- themselves, says historian
ing a then-revolutionary educa- Lawrence A. Cremin. “Granting
tional philosophy. its flaws, its imperfections, and
Mann campaigned for free, even its several tragic shortcom-
taxpayer-supported public ings,” Cremin says, the U.S. edu-
schools that both rich and poor cation system stands “among the
children would attend together. two or three most significant con-
While these public schools would tributions the United States has
be managed locally, Mann advo- made to the advancement of
cated an encompassing system of world civilization.”
educational improvement to By the end of the 19th cen-
apply best-teaching methods and tury, a wide range of colleges and
to assess schools’ performance. universities had been opened.
Mann’s preferred curriculum They included elite private uni-
would seek to instill general versities, a group of colleges
Protestant moral, as opposed to opened for African Americans,
87
and a system of land-grant uni- nance are strongest, as shown by
versities established by Congress government data on job gains
to provide education in “agricul- and losses for major U.S. cities
ture and mechanical arts.” The from 2000 to 2007.
land-grant schools have evolved While job growth throughout
today into state universities with the United States averaged less
tens of thousands of students. than 1 percent a year during
Education was a cornerstone those seven years, Huntsville, Al-
of U.S. economic success. The abama, a center of U.S. space
1940 federal census reported that technology, had a 42 percent in-
one-quarter of Americans over crease in “professional, scien-
the age of 25 had attended high tific, and technical” jobs. Austin,
school and 4.6 percent had grad- Texas, where semiconductor
uated from college. A 2007 cen- production has a strong footing,
sus survey found 44 percent of had a 22 percent gain in the
Americans over age 25 had grad- same category of technology
uated from high school, 17 per- jobs. In Northern Virginia,
cent had attended college but not whose economy is built on the
earned a degree, and 27 percent presence of major contractors
were college graduates. who work on the federal govern-
At the end of World War II, ment’s technology missions, jobs
Congress funded scholarships to in the professional and scientific
help veterans attend college, and category expanded by 31 per-
the percentage of men attending cent from 2000 to 2007, and
colleges climbed rapidly. The computer system design jobs
percentage of women over age 25 grew by the same percentage.
who had attended college did not In contrast, Chicago, Amer-
increase significantly until after ica’s “second city” and the center-
1980. But by 2005, the percent- piece of the old manufacturing
age of women over 25 with some Midwest, lost 19 percent of its
college education exceeded the goods-producing jobs over those
percentage for men, reflecting seven years. South Bend, Indi-
the impact of the women’s move- ana, another old factory city, lost
ment and the desire of, or need 18 percent of its goods-produc-
for, women to join the workforce. ing jobs. Detroit, Michigan,
As international competition home of the U.S. car industry,
and foreign trade became larger suffered a 35 percent drop in
factors in the U.S. economy dur- goods-producing jobs.
ing the first decade of the 21st Well before the start of the
century, a shift of jobs away from 21st century, many had con-
the older centers of factory pro- cluded that America’s economy
duction accelerated. The regions could no longer prosper simply
gaining jobs have been regional by employing Yankee ingenuity
centers where technology and fi- to convert its wealth of natural re-
88
sources into products for sale at research facilities to help entre-
home and abroad. Nor could it preneurs develop new products
rely on older industries that had and processes. Universities have
been centerpieces of state and re- developed courses to equip scien-
gional economies to hold their tists and engineers with specific
places in competitive markets. skills needed by local companies.
Since the 1980s, many local Such regional strategies lost
officials have tried to stimulate momentum in the 2000s decade
their economies by investing in as the economy grew and unem-
their region’s education and ployment shrank. But the steep
technology resources. Some gov- recession that began in 2008 was
ernors have created technology expected to renew interest in
“greenhouses”—giving space in these policies.

89
C H A P T E R

Government
and the
Economy

Much of America’s
history has focused
on the debate over
the government’s role
in the economy.

© Lance Nelson/Corbis
© Underwood & Underwood/Corbis

Above: Rachel Carson, a government scientist, raised concerns about pesticide use
that led to government environmental regulation. Previous spread: In 2009 the Fed-
eral Reserve was poised to gain even more power for regulating financial institutions.

92
“Then a strange blight crept over the area and everything began to
change....There was a strange stillness....The few birds seen any-
where were moribund; they trembled violently and could not fly.
It was a spring without voices. On the mornings that had once
throbbed with the dawn chorus of scores of bird voices there was now
no sound; only silence lay over the fields and woods and marsh.”
RACHEL CARSON
Silent Spring
1962

The United States was established on the mutu-


ally reinforcing principles of individual enterprise and
limited governmental influence. The rage of the American
colonists over a range of taxes imposed by the British Crown
helped trigger the Revolutionary War in 1775. “Taxation Without
Representation” was a battle cry. The new republic’s first secretary
of the Treasury, Alexander Hamilton, succeeded in establishing
a national bank but lost his campaign for a federal industrial
policy in which government would promote strategically im-
portant industries to strengthen the nation’s economy and its
military defense.
But this predisposition toward free enterprise was not absolute. From
the beginning, the country’s governments—federal, state, and local—
have protected, regulated, and channeled the economy. Governments
have intervened to aid the interests of regions, individuals, and partic-
ular industries. Just how far the government should go in doing this
always has been a central political issue.
The legal justification for economic regulation rests on a few sections
of Article I of the U.S. Constitution. These give Congress authority to
collect taxes and duties, borrow on the credit of the nation, pay the fed-
eral government’s debts, create and regulate the value of U.S. currency,
and establish national laws governing bankruptcies and the naturaliza-
tion of immigrants. States were barred from taxing trade with other
states. The Constitution’s authors recognized that the young country
had far to go to match European scientific and industrial leadership;

93
in part for this reason, they em- did possess the power to pass the
powered Congress to give au- landmark civil rights laws that for-
thors and inventors exclusive bade private businesses from en-
rights to profit from their cre- gaging in racial discrimination. In
ations for a limited period. these cases the courts carefully
The most general—and con- scrutinized the evidentiary record
troversial—constitutional lan- for ties to interstate commerce, in
guage on the economy lies in the one instance finding it in the
16 words of Article I, Section 8, wheat used in the hot dog rolls
which authorize Congress to “reg- served by a “private” club that
ulate commerce” with foreign na- practiced discrimination in mem-
tions, with the native American bership. Beginning in the 1990s, a
Indian tribes, and among the number of Supreme Court rulings
states. This application of the sought to narrow those earlier de-
commerce clause to the states has cisions by focusing the commerce
been used during the past century clause on controversies directly
to justify far-reaching govern- centered on economic activities.
ment programs on issues the Although economic regula-
Founding Fathers could never tion has diminished since the
have imagined. 1970s, its protections still play an
Interpretation of the com- essential role, affecting the health
merce clause divides Americans of workers; the safety of medi-
who want an activist federal gov- cines and consumer products;
ernment from those who advocate protection of motorists and air-
a more limited central authority. line passengers, bank depositors
The U.S. Supreme Court has often and securities investors; and the
been called on to resolve disputes impact of business operations on
over the reach of the commerce the environment.
clause. Some of the important
19th-century decisions interpreted The Reach of Economic Regulation
the clause narrowly, finding that, In the life cycle of an American
while shipments of goods along business, the first step is the least
rivers that passed several states regulated of all. An entrepreneur
were covered by the commerce seeking to form a new business
clause, manufacturing was a local need only register the company
activity and not covered. and record it with state tax author-
But the court’s decisions grew ities. Those entering specific occu-
more expansive in the 20th cen- pations may require licenses or
tury, upholding important New certifications, but no permission is
Deal programs affecting employ- required to create a company.
ment and agriculture. In the Another set of laws and rules
1960s, the judiciary broadly inter- govern the balance of the rights of
preted the term “interstate com- employees to keep their jobs and
merce,” as it held that Congress the rights of employers to fire
94
workers who aren’t performing ac- nesses has usually been of one or
ceptably. The rules favor the em- two types. Economic regulations
ployer. In most U.S. states, people have tried to combat abuses by
are considered “at will” employ- monopolies and, at times, estab-
ees, meaning they can be dis- lish “fair” prices for specific com-
charged whenever the employer modities. Social regulations aim to
chooses, except under some spe- protect the public from unsafe
cific situations where the workers’ food or drugs, for example, or to
rights are protected. People may improve the safety of motorists in
not be fired because of their race, their cars.
religion, gender, age, or sexual Federal regulation arrived with
preference, although terminated the railroad age in the 19th cen-
employees will need to show that tury. The power of railroad own-
they were wrongfully discharged if ers to set interstate shipping rates
they want to recover their jobs. to their advantage led to wide-
The federal Equal Employment spread complaints and protests
Opportunity Commission, created about discriminatory treatment
in 1961, can sue employers to de- that favored some customers and
fend workers against unjust firing. penalized others. In response, the
A federal whistle-blower law Interstate Commerce Commis-
protects employees who disclose sion, the United States’ first eco-
their employers’ illegal activities. nomic regulatory agency, was
If an employer has cheated the created in 1887. Congress gave it
federal government, a whistle the authority to determine “rea-
blower may receive between 15 sonable” maximum rates and re-
and 30 percent of the money re- quire that rates be published to
covered by the government be- prevent secret rate agreements.
cause of the company’s wrongful The ICC set a pattern that
conduct. In one exceptional case, would be followed by other federal
a former sales manager of a lead- regulatory agencies. Its commis-
ing U.S. drug company received sioners were full-time regulators,
$45 million in 2008 as his share expected to make independent,
of the payment by the company fact-based decisions, and it played
that settled a federal investiga- an influential role for nearly a cen-
tion into alleged improper mar- tury before its powers were re-
keting of drugs widely used in the duced in the movement toward
government’s Medicaid program government deregulation. The
for low-income patients. agency was abolished in 1995.
For more than a century, Another early regulatory agency
Americans have debated how far was the Federal Trade Commis-
the federal government should go sion, established in 1914. It
to prevent dominant companies shared antitrust responsibility
from undermining economic with the U.S. Justice Department
competition. Regulation of busi- for preventing abuses by power-
95
The Changing Union Movement

W hen President Woodrow Wilson traveled to the 1919 Paris Peace


Conference at the end of World War I, the U.S. delegation he assembled included
Samuel Gompers, the slight, 69-year-old son of poor Jewish immigrants from
Holland by way of Britain. Gompers had risen from an apprentice cigar maker in New York
City to become president of the American Federation of Labor, the country’s largest union or-
ganization.
Gompers’s leadership of the AFL during the turbulent birth of the union movement defined
the unique role of labor organizations in the United States. For most of the century that followed,
despite periods of violent conflicts with company managements, U.S. labor leadership never
frontally attacked the capitalist market structure of the nation’s economy. Its goal was a greater
portion of the economy’s fruits for its members. “We shall never cease to demand more until we
have received the results of our labor,” Gompers often said. But he also held that “the worst
crime against working people is a company which fails to operate at a profit.”
Although these goals sound today to be within the boundaries of mainstream political de-
bate, labor’s efforts to organize railroad, mine, and factory workers a century ago produced
constant confrontations, many of them violent and some deadly. The strike by steelworkers at
Andrew Carnegie’s Homestead, Pennsylvania, plant in 1892 caused a bloody fight pitting work-
ers and their families and friends against company-hired guards, and ultimately state militia.
The core of the dispute was a power struggle between workers and management over work rules
governing the plant’s operations. Although Carnegie said he favored unions, he backed the goal
of his deputy, Henry Clay Frick, of regaining unchallenged control over the plant. After a series
of assaults, gunfights, and an attempted assassination of Frick, the strike was broken. Gompers’s
AFL would not take the strikers’ side, and the plant remained non-union for 40 years.
But over the following decades, labor’s demand for a larger share of the economic pie and
relief from often brutal working conditions were adopted increasingly by political reformers
and then national political candidates. Even in the darkest years of the Great Depression, when
a quarter of the nation’s workforce was unemployed, American labor unions mostly concentrated
on securing higher wages and better working conditions and not on assuming traditional man-
agement prerogatives to make fundamental business decisions. Nor did U.S. labor unions follow
the example of European unions by embracing radical politics or forming their own political
party. American labor instead typically used its financial and organizational clout, greatest in
the industrial states of the Northeast and the Midwest, to back pro-labor political candidates.
The legitimacy of organized labor was guaranteed by the National Labor Relations Act of
1935, commonly known as the Wagner Act. Part of President Franklin D. Roosevelt’s New
Deal, the law established the rules under which workers could form unions and employers would
be required to bargain with them, and also established a National Labor Relations Board to
enforce those rules.
During the prosperous years following World War II, U.S. labor unions enjoyed their great-
est success. Automobile manufacturers, to cite one example, found it preferable to negotiate
generous wages and benefits, passing through the costs to American consumers.
But global and domestic developments gradually changed the economic climate in ways
unfavorable to industrial unions. Many U.S. manufacturers expanded or shifted operations to
southern states, where labor unions were less prevalent. Beginning in the 1980s, manufacturers
turned increasingly to foreign sources of products and components. When steel and other man-
ufacturing plants closed down across the northeastern and midwestern states, people started
calling the region the Rust Bowl, an echo of the devastating 1930s’ Dust Bowl erosion of mid-

96
© Time & Life Pictures/Getty Images

Above: Organizers for the Office Workers Union stage a rally on Wall Street in New York City in 1936.

western farmland. In the southern Sun Belt, much domestic industrial job growth focused on
new, nonunion factories established by foreign manufacturers, Japanese and German carmakers
prominent among them.
One symbolic moment in the relative decline of organized labor occurred early in the first
administration of President Ronald Reagan (1981–1989). Ironically, Reagan came from a union
background; a successful actor, he rose to head the Screen Actors Guild, where he led a cam-
paign to block communist efforts to infiltrate the union. In 1981, Reagan confronted a strike
by the Professional Air Traffic Controllers Organization. The strike was illegal, as federal em-
ployees were by law permitted in many cases to unionize but prohibited from striking “against
the public interest,” as the commonly used phrase went. Reagan gave the controllers 48 hours
to return to their jobs, then fired the 11,000-plus who refused to return, replacing them with
new workers and breaking the union.
The outcome reflected the American public’s lack of sympathy for public employee strikes,
and it also reflected waning union membership. At the end of World War II, one-third of the
workforce belonged to unions. By 1983, it was 20 percent, and by 2007, the figure had dropped
to 12 percent
One bright spot for organized labor was growth in the services sector, particularly among
public service employees such as teachers, police officers, and firefighters, whose jobs could
not easily be outsourced. This trend is illustrated by the growth of the Service Employees In-
ternational Union, whose ranks nearly doubled between 1995 and 2005 to reach 1.9 million
members at a time when industrial union rolls were shrinking. The SEIU represents workers at
the bottom of the income scale, including janitors, nurses, custodial workers, and home-care
providers. Many of their jobs lack health insurance and other benefits that come with high-paid
work. Another major union, the National Education Association, represents more than 3 million
public school teachers and employees.
Labor organizations such as the AFL-CIO (an umbrella organization of many unions),
SEIU, and NEA assisted President Barack Obama’s successful 2008 election, helping staff his
voter registration and turnout drives. The unions hoped that the incoming Obama administration
would advance new legislation strengthening their efforts to organize workplaces.

97
ful companies that could domi- National Labor Relations Act of
nate their industries either singly 1935 (usually called the Wagner
or acting with other companies. Act after one of its sponsors),
By the end of the 19th century, which legalized the rights of most
the concerns about economic private-sector workers to form
power had focused on a series of labor unions, to bargain with
dominant monopolies that con- management over wages and
trolled commerce in industries as working conditions, and to strike
diverse as oil, steel, and tobacco, to obtain their demands. A fed-
and whose operations were often eral agency, the National Labor
cloaked in secrecy because of Relations Board, was established
hidden ownership interests. The to oversee union elections and ad-
monopolies typically took the dress unfair labor complaints.
form of “trusts,” with sharehold- The Fair Labor Standards Act was
ers giving control of their com- passed in 1938, establishing a na-
panies to a board of trustees in tional minimum wage, forbidding
return for a share of the profits “oppressive” child labor, and pro-
in the form of dividends. viding for overtime pay in desig-
More than 2,000 mergers nated occupations. It declared the
were made between 1897 and goal of assuring “a minimum
1901, when Theodore Roosevelt standard of living necessary for
became president and began his the health, efficiency, and general
campaign of trust-busting against well-being of workers.” But it also
the “malefactors of great wealth,” allowed employers to replace
as he called the business tycoons striking workers.
he targeted. Under Roosevelt In the 1930s and the decades
and his successor, President that followed, Congress created a
William Howard Taft, the federal host of specialized regulatory
government won antitrust law- agencies. The Federal Power
suits against most of the major Commission (later renamed the
monopolies, breaking up more Federal Energy Regulatory Com-
than 100, including John D. mission) was created in 1930 as an
Rockefeller’s Standard Oil trust; independent regulatory agency
J.P. Morgan’s Northern Securities which would oversee wholesale
Company, which dominated the electricity sales. The Federal
railroad business in the North- Communications Commission
west; and James B. Duke’s Amer- was established in 1934 to regu-
ican Tobacco trust. late the telephone and broadcast
Congress in 1898 gave workers industries. The Securities and Ex-
the right to organize labor unions change Commission in 1934 was
and authorized government me- given responsibility for oversee-
diation of conflicts between labor ing securities markets. These were
and management. During the followed by the National Labor
New Deal, Congress enacted the Relations Board in 1935, the Civil
98
Aeronautics Board in 1940, and was fined $100 million, and sev-
the Consumer Product Safety eral executives went to prison.
Commission in 1975. Commis- But the use of antitrust laws
sioners of these agencies were ap- outside the criminal realm has
pointed by the president. They been anything but simple. How
had to come from both major po- far should government go to
litical parties and had staggered protect competition, and what
terms that began in different does competition really mean?
years, limiting the executive Thinkers of different ideological
branch’s ability to replace all the temperaments have contested
commissioners at once and hence this, with courts, particularly the
its influence over the regulators. Supreme Court, playing the piv-
otal role. From the start, there
The Antitrust Laws was clear focus on the conduct of
The government’s antitrust au- dominant firms, not their size
thority came from two laws, the and power alone; Theodore Roo-
Sherman Antitrust Act of 1890 sevelt famously observed that
and the Clayton Act of 1914. there were both “good trusts”
These laws, based on common law and “bad trusts.”
sanctions against monopolies dat- In 1911, the Supreme Court
ing from Roman times, had differ- set down its “rule of reason” in
ent goals. The Sherman Act antitrust disputes, holding that
attacked conspiracies among com- only unreasonable restraints of
panies to fix prices and restrain trade—those that had no clear
trade, and it empowered the fed- economic purpose—were illegal
eral government to break up mo- under the Sherman Act. A com-
nopolies into smaller companies. pany that gained a monopoly by
The Clayton Act was directed producing better products or fol-
against specific anticompetitive lowing a better strategy would
actions, and it gave the govern- not be vulnerable to antitrust ac-
ment the right to review large tion. But the use of antitrust law
mergers of companies that could to deal with dominant companies
undermine competition. remained an unsettled issue. Fed-
Although antitrust prosecu- eral judges hearing cases over the
tions are rare, anticompetitive decades have tended to respect
schemes have not disappeared, as long-standing legal precedents, a
economist Joseph Stiglitz says. He principle known by its Latin
cites efforts by the Archer Daniels name, stare decisis.
Midland company in the 1990s in Court rulings at times have re-
cooperation with several Asian flected changes in philosophy or
partners to monopolize the sale doctrine as new judges were ap-
of several feed products and ad- pointed by new presidents to re-
ditives. ADM, one of the largest place retiring or deceased judges.
agribusiness firms in the world, And the judiciary tends also to re-
99
flect the temperament of its times. fore should not run afoul of the
In 1936, during the New Deal era, antitrust law.
Congress passed a new antitrust Robert H. Bork, an antitrust
law, the Robinson-Patman Act, “to authority and federal appeals
protect the independent mer- court judge, argued that “it would
chant and the manufacturer from be hard to demonstrate that the
whom he buys,” according to Rep- independent druggist or the gro-
resentative Wright Patman, who cery man is any more solid and
co-authored the bill. In this view, virtuous a citizen than the local
the goal of antitrust law was to manager of a chain operation.”
maintain a balance between large The argument that small busi-
national manufacturing and re- nesses deserved special protection
tailing companies on one side, from chain stores “is an ugly de-
and the small businesses that then mand for class privileges.”
formed the economic center of This shift in policy was re-
most communities on the other. flected in a climactic antitrust case
This idea—that the law against the Microsoft Corpora-
should preserve a competitive tion. President Bill Clinton’s Jus-
balance in the nation’s commerce tice Department filed an antitrust
by restraining dominant firms re- suit in 1998 against Microsoft,
gardless of their conduct—was re- which controlled 90 percent of
inforced by court decisions into the market for personal computer
the 1970s. At the peak of this operating systems software. Mi-
trend, the U.S. government was crosoft allegedly had used its mar-
pursuing antitrust cases against ket power to dominate a crucial
IBM Corporation, the largest new application for computers—
computer manufacturer, and the browser software that links
AT&T Corporation, the national users to the Internet.
telephone monopoly. A federal judge ruled against
Microsoft, but his decision was
Protecting Competition, overruled by a higher appeals
Not Competitors court judge. A key factor in the
In the 1980s, the Reagan ad- latter decision was that Microsoft
ministration adopted a different offered its browser software for
philosophy, one advocated by ac- free. While that hurt its much
ademics at the University of smaller competitors, consumers
Chicago. The “Chicago school” benefited, and maximizing con-
economists argued that antitrust sumer interests served the larger
law should, above all, protect interests of the economy, the
competition by putting con- court ruled. Competition and in-
sumers’ interests first: A single novation would keep competi-
powerful firm that lowers product tion healthy, according to this
prices may hurt competitors, but theory. President George W.
it benefits consumers and there- Bush decided not to continue
100
the Justice Department’s case ban on the widely used pesticide
against Microsoft. DDT and the formation of the
U.S. Environmental Protection
The Birth of Environmental Regulation Agency in 1970 to enforce federal
Widespread social regulation environmental regulation.
began with the New Deal employ- Unlike the independent agen-
ment and labor laws but expanded cies created in the 1930s, the EPA
in the 1960s and 1970s. Both was made a part of the executive
Democratic and Republican pres- branch, subject to the president’s
idents joined with Congress to act direction. This approach was fol-
on a wide range of social concerns. lowed later with other new agen-
Perhaps the most striking ex- cies, such as the Occupational
ample of how public opinion af- Safety and Health Administra-
fects U.S. government processes tion (OSHA) in 1970 to prevent
was the sudden growth of the en- workplace accidents and illnesses,
vironmental movement as a pow- and the Consumer Product Safety
erful political force in that Commission in 1972 to regulate
period. Conservation of natural unsafe products. Because of the
resources had motivated political increased presidential control,
activists since the late 19th cen- these agencies’ regulatory poli-
tury, when California preserva- cies often change with the arrival
tionist John Muir led campaigns of a new president.
to protect wilderness areas and Federal regulations have had
founded the Sierra Club as a profound impacts in reducing
grassroots lobbying organization health risks facing industrial and
for his cause. shipyard workers; improving the
The movement surged in new safety of medicines, children’s
directions in the 1960s following toys, and motor vehicles; and im-
publication of a best-selling book, proving the cleanliness and qual-
Silent Spring, written by govern- ity of lakes, rivers, and the air.
ment biologist Rachel Carson. OSHA, for example, requires em-
She warned that the growing use ployers to create a workplace that
of chemical pesticides was caus- is “free from recognized hazards”
ing far-reaching damage to birds, that cause or could cause death or
other species, and the natural en- serious harm. The OSHA legisla-
vironment. They could threaten tion has been used by the govern-
human health as well, she said. ment, often following demands
The chemical industry attacked by labor unions, to control work-
Carson as an alarmist and dis- ers’ exposure to a range of indus-
puted her claims. But her warn- trial chemicals that cause or may
ings, amplified by media cause cancer.
coverage, won powerful support Debate about such regulation
from citizens and the U.S. gov- has often centered on whether
ernment. The movement led to a there is adequate scientific evi-
101
dence to justify government ac- when oil prices and inflation
tion and whether compliance soared, and employment and
costs paid by businesses and their stock markets slumped. Critics of
consumers are worth the environ- regulatory activism had long
mental gain. Academic and busi- charged that regulation stifled
ness critics of Rachel Carson, for economic growth, and they chal-
example, argued that eliminating lenged government economic in-
DDT removed the most effective terventions as unwise and unfair.
pesticide in the fight against mos- With the economic malaise of
quitoes that spread malaria. In the 1970s and early 1980s, more
her time, Carson—who urged Americans and their political rep-
that DDT be controlled, not elim- resentatives were willing to give
inated—tipped the public debate business a freer hand in order to
in favor of precautionary govern- enhance economic growth. “With
ment regulation that could ad- time,” wrote Yergin and Joseph
dress serious threats, even though Stanislaw in The Commanding
some scientific or economic issues Heights, “competition increasingly
were still being debated. The cur- came to be seen as preferable to
rent debate over climate change regulation.” Stephen Breyer, an
has reached a similar point. important U.S. Senate staff mem-
As historians have observed, ber in the 1970s, put it simply:
U.S. government priorities on “Why regulate something if it can
economic and social issues have be done better by the market?”
seldom taken a straight, unbro- Breyer, later a U.S. Supreme
ken path, but instead have fol- Court justice, was targeting the
lowed the swings of public regulation of commercial airline
opinion between a desire for service by the federal Civil Aero-
more regulation and one for un- nautics Board. The CAB set
fettered economic growth. In the prices for air travel on all domes-
1960s, a period when Americans tic routes and decided which air-
challenged the status quo on a lines would serve the cities
number of fronts, many were will- around the country. It was a reg-
ing to discount the industry view- ulatory tradeoff: In return for
point in the debate over pesticide providing unprofitable air serv-
regulation and to support federal ice to smaller cities, airlines were
intervention to protect the envi- rewarded with high prices and
ronment. In the 1980s, opinion profits on busy routes between
reversed direction again. large cities. By the 1970s, this
seemed like an inefficient, costly
The Tide Turns Against Regulation approach. Competition could do
Historian Daniel Yergin sees a better, Congress concluded, and
turning point in public support in 1978, airline deregulation was
for regulation in America’s eco- enacted. The CAB was closed
nomic stagnation of the 1970s, down in 1985.
102
Although the costs and bene- ics. Overly aggressive lending and
fits of airline deregulation con- speculative risk-taking that led to
tinue to be argued, competition these crises have, in turn, led to
dramatically changed the indus- political demands for tighter con-
try. Prices did fall on heavily trav- trols over interest rates and bank-
eled air routes. New airlines ing practices. A new chapter in
sprang up to challenge the indus- this debate began in response to
try leaders. The new airlines paid the 2008 financial crisis.
lower wages to pilots, mechanics, The U.S. banking and finance
and flight attendants and could industries have been remade over
charge less money for tickets. The the past quarter-century by glob-
older airlines lost ground, falling alization, deregulation, and tech-
into damaging quarrels with their nology. Consumers can draw cash
unionized pilots and other em- from automated teller machines,
ployees. Many failed. Others pay bills and switch funds be-
merged together to try to stay tween checking and savings ac-
competitive. The number of peo- counts over the Internet, and
ple flying on domestic U.S. flights shop online for home loans. As
soared from 240 million in 1977 services have expanded, the num-
to 665 million in 2000. On the ber of banks has contracted dra-
other hand, flights became more matically. Between 1984 and
crowded, delays and lost luggage 2003, the number of independent
problems grew, and more ques- banks and savings associations
tions surfaced about the airlines’ shrunk by half, according to one
safety and maintenance practices. study. In 1984, a relative handful
But the restructuring of the airline of large banks, with assets of $10
industry marked a clear turning billion or more, held 42 percent
point toward a reliance on mar- of all U.S. banking assets. By
kets, not government, to make the 2003, that figure was 73 percent.
economy work for the public. New computer systems to
manage banking operations gave
The Regulation of Banking an advantage to large banks that
Since the first years of the could afford them. The dramatic
American republic, federal and expansion of world trade and
state lawmakers and government cross-border financial transac-
officials have struggled to deter- tions led the largest banks to seek
mine the right level of regulation a global presence. New markets
and government control over the arose in Asia and other regions as
banking system. When banks can banking and investment transac-
respond to market forces, innova- tions flowed instantly across
tion and competitive services oceans. These trends called for
multiply. But competition’s down- and were fueled by a steady
side has been a succession of deregulation of U.S. banking and
banking crises and financial pan- finance rules.
103
Historically, the banking indus- competitive, more concentrated,
try has been split between smaller, more freewheeling and more
state-chartered banks that claimed risk-taking—and more vulnera-
close ties to their communities, and ble to catastrophic failures.
larger national banks whose lead- As banks expanded geograph-
ers sought to expand by opening ically, they sought also to enter
multistate branch offices, saying new financial arenas, including
their size made them more secure ones forbidden to them by New
and efficient. This split echoes in Deal-era legislation that sepa-
some ways the debates in America’s rated parts of the commercial
early days between Alexander banking and securities industries.
Hamilton and Thomas Jefferson Banks were permitted to reenter
over urban and rural interests. the securities business in 1999,
Community banks prevailed and many major banks subse-
early in the 20th century, but quently created unregulated divi-
were devastated by the 1930s sions, called special investment
banking crisis; their limited as- vehicles, in order to invest in
sets left them particularly vulner- speculative mortgage-backed se-
able. The country’s urbanization curities and other housing-re-
after World War II reduced the lated investments.
political power of rural legisla- Congressional advocates of a
tors, undermining their ability to looser regulatory regime argued
defend smaller banks, and in that greater bank freedom would
1980 banking deregulation got produce more modern, efficient,
under way. and innovative markets. For a
Until the 1980s, U.S. commer- time, it arguably did. The U.S. fi-
cial banks faced limits on the lev- nancial sector led the way during
els of interest rates they could a period of unprecedented inter-
charge borrowers or pay to cus- national expansion of banking
tomers who deposited money. and securities transactions.
They could not take part in the se- A McKinsey Global Institute
curities or insurance businesses. study reported that from 2000 to
And their size was restricted as 2008, the sum of all financial as-
well. All states protected banks sets—bank deposits, stocks, and
within their borders by forbidding private and government bonds—
entry by banks headquartered in soared from $92 trillion to $167
other states. Many states also pro- trillion, an average annual gain of
tected small community banks 9 percent and one that far ex-
with rules restricting the number ceeded the growth in world eco-
of branch offices that big banks nomic output. Alan Greenspan,
could open inside the state. Al- chairman of the Federal Reserve
most all of these regulations were Board during most of that period,
removed after 1980, leaving a said that global financial markets
banking industry that was more had grown too large and complex
104
for regulators adequately to over- increasingly held sway in the
see them. It was for Congress, he United States since the end of the
argued, to pass new laws should it 1970s. A public backlash against
wish closer oversight. But as econ- multi-million dollar bonuses and
omist Mark Zandi, author of Fi- lavish lifestyles enjoyed by lead-
nancial Shock, a book about the ers of failed Wall Street firms fed
2008 crash, says, “Legislators and demands for tighter regulation.
the White House were looking for Greenspan himself, who retired
less oversight, not more.” in 2006, told a congressional
At this writing, the 2008 fi- committee two years later that
nancial crisis appears to have re- “those of us who have looked to
versed the philosophical trend the self-interest of lending insti-
toward greater reliance on mar- tutions to protect shareholders’
kets and the assumptions about equity, myself especially, are in a
financial deregulation that had state of shocked disbelief.”

105
© AP Images

© AP Images © AP Images
© AP Images

106
© AP Images

Above: Workers assemble a Boeing 787 Dreamliner at the company’s Everett, Washington, plant
in January 2009.
Opposite page—clockwise from top: Hills of corn in Kansas are reminders that agriculture re-
mains an important part of the U.S. economy; Federal Express, which delivers goods here
in San Francisco and a lot of other places around the world, started out as a small business;
workers at a New Balance factory in Skowhegan, Maine, survive the brutal competition of the
footwear industry; construction workers such as this one in New York prospered during the real
estate boom early in the 21st century and suffered during the following bust.
Below: Chassis for Ford Motor Company autos roll down the assembly line at the company’s
Chicago assembly plant in June 2007, before the U.S. auto industry suffered its great contraction.
© AP Images

107 107
© AP Images

Above: Mario Escobar processes orders at this small draperies business in Calabasas, California.
Opposite page—clockwise from top: A Shell Oil Company refinery in Deer Park, Texas, produces
some of the tens of millions of barrels of oil consumed in the United States every day; President
Obama aims to encourage alternative energy sources, such as this wind power utility near Palm
Springs, California; the 2008 global recession slowed down shipping at U.S. ports such as this
one in Elizabeth, New Jersey.
Below: Coal mines, such as this one in Coulterville, Illinois, might supply even a bigger share of
U.S. energy needs if clean-coal technology can be made to work efficiently.

© AP Images

108
© AP Images

© AP Images
© AP Images

109
© AP Images

Above: Entertainers Amy Adams, left, Meryl Streep, center,


and Viola Davis represent an important U.S. services indus-
try that accounts for a significant share of U.S. exports.
Left: Barbie, who reached age 50 in 2009, has become
one of toy manufacturing’s all-time hits.
Below: Tourists, such as these at the South Rim of the
Grand Canyon in Arizona, contribute a significant share
of the U.S. economy.

© AP Images
© Jean-Pierre Lescourret/Corbis

110
© AP Images

Above: Andronico’s Market in San Francisco


represents retail sales, one of the service in-
dustries that account for the largest share of
economic output.
Right: The New York Stock Exchange repre-
sents financial services, a sector of the serv-
ice economy that was reeling in the global
financial crisis that emerged in 2008.
Below: Another representative of retail is
Lowe’s, which sells hardware to builders and
the millions of Americans who perform little
jobs around the house.

© AP Images
© AP Images

111
© AP Images

© AP Images

112
© AP Images

Above: Health care represents a growing share of U.S. economic output and a growing cost bur-
den for American government and business.
Opposite page—from top: Holiday shopping at the end of the year can mean success or failure
for retailers; U.S. exports to China include McDonalds restaurants.
Below: Education is viewed as one way to reverse a trend of income disparity in the United States.

© AP Images

113
C H A P T E R

A U.S.
Economy
Linked
to the World
Despite political divisions,
the United States shows no
sign of retreat
from global engagement
in trade and investment.

© AP Images
© AP Images

Above: Rising imports from Asia such as these cargo containers unloaded in
Tacoma, Washington, created political tension in the United States. Previous
spread: The foreign exchange value of the U.S. dollar alternatively plunged and
soared in the global financial crisis that began in 2008.

116
Open trade “dovetailed with peace; high tariffs,
trade barriers, and unfair economic competi-
tion, with war.…”
Secretary Cordell Hull
U.S. Department of State
1948

Trade ties the United States’ economy inextri-


cably to the markets and economies of the rest of the
world. In 2007, the U.S. gross domestic product—the out-
put of U.S.-based workers and property—totaled nearly $14 tril-
lion. One out of every eight dollars, or $1.6 trillion, came from
exports to foreign destinations. Imports into the United States
were significantly higher, totaling $2.3 trillion.
In addition to traded goods and services, huge tides of financial
transactions flow across global borders. U.S. companies and individuals
directly invest more than $2 trillion abroad annually, making the United
States the world’s largest direct investor in foreign economies. It also re-
ceives more investment from outside its borders than any other nation.
As a world financial capital, New York is the center of an international
hedge fund industry of private investors that amassed nearly $1.5 trillion
in assets at the end of 2006.
While U.S. exports add to the nation’s gross domestic product, the
larger volume of imports reduces it. The trade imbalance over the past
decade has created a politically sensitive tradeoff: The surplus of im-
ports tended to lower prices paid by American consumers, but it also
depressed wages for some workers in industries facing foreign compe-
tition. The U.S. trade deficits have also undermined the value of the
U.S. dollar compared to other major currencies, increasing concerns
about the stability of the world’s financial markets, as described in
chapter 8.
What does the United States export? The largest single category
in 2006 was motor vehicles and their parts and engines, totaling $107
billion. Semiconductors ($52 billion), civilian aircraft ($41 billion),
computer accessories ($36 billion), pharmaceuticals ($31 billion),

117
telecommunications equipment of U.S. domestic investment, up
($28 billion), chemicals ($27 bil- from 7 percent in 1995. In other
lion), plastic materials ($25 bil- words, Romer says, “The U.S. is
lion), and medicinal equipment more open to the global economy
($22 billion) followed on the list of than ever before, and the links
major export industry categories. run in both directions.”
U.S. oil and gas imports to- A commitment to expand
taled $330 billion in 2006. Amer- global trade has been a corner-
icans imported $257 billion stone of U.S. policy since the final
worth of motor vehicles, engines, years of World War II, when the
and parts that year, along with United States and other victori-
$100 billion in computers and ous nations adopted a series of in-
computer accessories, $91 billion ternational compacts to promote
in various kinds of apparel and economic stability and growth.
textiles, $64 billion in pharma- Trade restrictions and currency
ceuticals, $36 billion in televi- devaluations were widely consid-
sions and VCRs, and $29 billion ered to have worsened the 1930s
worth of toys and games. The va- Great Depression by stifling inter-
riety of traded items spans virtu- national commerce.
ally everything Americans make, Through the formation of the
wear, use, or consume. United Nations and the agree-
The United States is the ments on international economic
world’s largest agricultural ex- policies reached at the 1944 Bret-
porter, with one out of every ton Woods Conference in the
three acres planted for export, United States, the allied powers
according to U.S. government hoped to replace the militant na-
surveys. The value of U.S. ex- tionalism that led to the war with
ports of farm products, animal cooperative economic policies.
feeds, and beverages came to $66 During the Cold War between the
billion in 2006. Imports were Soviet bloc and the West, trade
higher, at $74 billion. The total liberalization with Europe and
volume of U.S. farm exports rose Asia became an instrument of
by 17 percent between 1997 and U.S. foreign policy and a way to
2007, and in that period Ameri- promote market capitalism in
can farmers exported 45 percent emerging nation economies.
of their wheat, 33 percent of their
soybean production, and 60 per- Open Trade and Foreign Policy
cent of their sunflower oil crops. U.S. Secretary of State Cordell
As economist Paul M. Romer Hull said in 1948 that open trade
has observed, imports rose from “dovetailed with peace; high tar-
12 percent of the U.S. gross do- iffs, trade barriers, and unfair
mestic product in 1995 to about economic competition, with war.…
17 percent a decade later. Foreign If we could get a freer flow of
money provides about one-third trade…freer in the sense of fewer
118
discriminations and obstruc- the price of foreign farm products
tions…so that one country would by that amount overall. In the U.S.
not be deadly jealous of another Congress, representatives from ur-
and the living standards of all ban areas tend to criticize the tar-
countries might rise, thereby iffs as an unjust tax on consumers
eliminating the economic dissat- that isn’t necessary to support
isfaction that breeds war, we American farmers. Representa-
might have a reasonable chance tives from farm states counter that
of lasting peace.” U.S. tariffs are far lower than av-
In 1948, the United States and erage farm tariffs in Europe (30
22 other nations signed the Gen- percent), Japan (50 percent), and
eral Agreement on Tariffs and India (114 percent).
Trade, a set of international rules Subsidies affect farmers’ deci-
that significantly reduced tariffs sions about which crops to plant.
and other barriers to the interna- U.S. wheat production has fallen,
tional flow of goods. Seven other for example, as many farmers
rounds of trade negotiations fol- have switched production to corn
lowed as the GATT membership used in the manufacture of
expanded, leading in 1995 to the ethanol as a motor fuel. The U.S.
creation of the World Trade Or- government provides a cash sub-
ganization in Geneva, Switzer- sidy to ethanol blenders, which, in
land, with the authority to oversee turn, increases the price farmers
member nations’ compliance with receive for supplying corn. Farm
trade agreements. The GATT subsidies are a confrontational
process has successfully lowered issue with developing nations,
tariffs on most manufactured which have resisted pressures to
items, stimulating a vast increase open their markets further until
in world commerce far beyond the United States agrees to lower
the vision of the Bretton Woods its support for its farmers.
organizers. The exception has The theoretical argument for
been agricultural tariffs, which free trade, made more than two
have remained relatively high be- centuries ago by Scottish econo-
cause of the political strength of mist Adam Smith in The Wealth of
the farming sector in both Nations, holds that all nations
wealthy and developing nations prosper if each concentrates on
and the desire to safeguard essen- manufacturing and trading goods
tial food production. where it has a particular advan-
Government subsidies and tar- tage: France its wine, Britain its
iffs on farm products have long woolens. On the flip side, for
been politically controversial. Britain to put a high tariff on
American farmers received $16 French wines raises the price of all
billion in various federal subsidies wines for British consumers.
in 2004. U.S. agricultural tariff But theory and politics began
rates average 12 percent, raising to collide in the 1960s and early
119
1970s when the rising manufac- that restricted competing imports
turing prowess of Japan and Ger- from the United States and other
many began seriously to erode rivals, giving Japanese firms a safe
U.S. production in many indus- haven in which to grow.
tries, including steel, automo-
biles, shoes, and textiles. The Responses to Foreign Competition
advantages of expanded trade Competition from Japanese
would be enjoyed across the en- automakers, whose costs were
tire population, as foreign prod- lower and automation more ad-
ucts afford consumers new vanced, pushed the American
choices and, often, lower prices. carmaker Chrysler Corporation
The costs of trade hit much more to the edge of bankruptcy in
narrowly on particular industries 1979. Chrysler was the third
and their employees whose busi- largest U.S. auto manufacturer. Its
nesses slumped or failed. collapse would have cost hun-
The AFL-CIO, America’s dreds of thousands of jobs at its
largest and most influential labor plants and those of its suppliers.
organization, had initially sup- It was saved by a $3.5 billion
ported the postwar consensus on “bailout” by the U.S. government,
trade expansion. But it changed a flood of orders from the U.S.
direction in 1970. The threat to military, and the exuberant sales-
its union members from the manship of its chief executive,
spread of technology, the escalat- Lee A. Iacocca. Two decades later,
ing flow of U.S. investments into Chrysler was purchased by Ger-
foreign businesses, and unfair many’s Daimler-Benz and then
trade practices by foreign govern- sold to a private-equity company.
ments could no longer be ig- In 2009, Chrysler went through a
nored, said its chief lobbyist, bankruptcy reorganization, sup-
Andrew Biemiller. ported by federal financial assis-
The greatest challenge to the tance, and sold its assets to a new
United States in trade in the ownership group including the
1980s and early 1990s came from United Auto Workers retiree
Japan. As the Japanese rebuilt healthcare trust and Italy’s Fiat
from World War II, they steadily automaker. The U.S. government
created an array of export-focused had a temporary minority share.
industries with world-class tech- Chrysler’s 1979 crisis opened
nologies and efficiencies. In steel, a long debate over how the
automobiles, consumer electron- United States should advance its
ics, and semiconductors, Japan’s global trading interests. During
successes were built on a cohesive the administrations of Presidents
cultural commitment to quality. Ronald Reagan and George H. W.
But Japan’s critics argued that its Bush, politicians, economists,
growing trade advantage also business leaders, and labor lead-
rested on unfair trade practices ers advanced different strategies
120
for strengthening America’s inter- were expected to keep expanding
national competitiveness. Some steel production in order to build
urged new initiatives, such as gov- economic capacity and provide
ernment-business partnerships to jobs—regardless of whether the
target research efforts at techno- steel industry’s customers needed
logical breakthroughs in leading- more output.
edge industries such as semicon- As a signatory to the WTO
ductors. Others demanded agreement, the United States
stronger defenses against trading seeks to re-solve such trade dis-
practices by Japan and other na- putes through that organization’s
tions that U.S. businesses and multilateral process.
labor unions attacked as unfair. But U.S. law permits unilateral
The policy arguments often broke actions against countries that are
down on ideological lines, with found to violate U.S. trade law—
liberal Democratic legislators call- although such actions could ex-
ing for more intervention and Re- pose the United States to
publicans protesting that the retaliation by these countries. The
government would fail if it tried 1974 Trade Act authorizes the
to pick winners among industries U.S. trade representative—a pres-
and interests. identially appointed official—to
In some sectors, notably steel investigate complaints of unfair
production, U.S. firms faced for- trade practices and to impose
eign competitors that were penalties or sanctions against for-
owned or controlled by their gov- eign companies that violate
ernments. These foreign firms American law. In 1984, the act

121
A Lesson in Creative Destruction

T he U.S. steel industry has faced


a series of crises since the mid-1970s,
when steel producers engaged in a
global battle for market share, profitability, and
survival. The industry’s struggles graphically illus-
trate the impact—both positive and negative—of
creative destruction on American manufacturing.
Benefits have accrued to the nation as a
© AP Images
whole. The U.S. steel industry and its workers are
three times more productive today than in the 1970s. American steel companies have invested
in advanced processes that have dramatically boosted energy efficiency while reducing pollution
and health threats to steelworkers. The sharp rise in coal and other energy prices since 2000
has helped U.S. steel producers that own their own raw materials.
On the ledger’s other side, steel industry employment plunged from 531,000 in 1970 to
150,000 in 2008. Steelmaking cities in the American industrial heartland were battered over
these decades. In a 2006 interview, Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz recounted
the impact of the industry’s fall on his hometown of Gary, Indiana, a city founded by U.S. Steel
Corporation a century ago. The city “reflects the history of industrial America. It rose with the
U.S. steel industry, reached a peak in the mid-’50s when I was growing up, and then declined
very rapidly, and today is but a shell of what it was.”
In Europe and Asia, governments have directly intervened for more than a quarter-century to
help fund a massive expansion of steelmaking capacity. They have supported both official and
unofficial import barriers and turned a blind eye on secret market-sharing agreements, accord-
ing to evidence before the U.S. International Trade Commission and the European Union’s com-
petition authorities.
While the United States has sporadically restricted imports, it has never developed a long-
term policy to bolster the American steel industry’s competitiveness.
International trade rules permit countries to defend domestic industries against the “dump-
ing” of imports in their home markets at “less than normal” prices. When recessions and fi-
nancial crises left world markets filled with surplus steel, the U.S. industry sought dumping
penalties to combat low-priced imports. In response, U.S. presidents tended to impose tempo-
rary limits on imported steel, or arrange voluntary restraints, to ease the damage to American
steel firms. But the U.S. steel industry rarely got the sustained protection it sought. For a range
of political and economic reasons, U.S. policy has tended to resist tough trade sanctions.
Cheaper steel imports benefited the auto industry and other steel users and helped restrain in-
flation. And Washington has been sensitive to the outcry from foreign governments against pro-
posed U.S. trade penalties.
The result is a U.S. steel market that is more open to foreign ownership and imports than
are any of its major rivals. In 2007, more than 30 percent of U.S. steel consumption was im-
ported, a far higher import share than one finds in the markets of major U.S. steel competitors
Japan, Russia, China, and Brazil.
U.S. Steel Corporation, the company that J.P. Morgan founded in 1901, remains the coun-
try’s largest steel manufacturer and is ranked 10th in the world based on 2007 output. Nucor,
the upstart U.S. producer that challenged “Big Steel” by fabricating new steel from scrap
melted in high-efficiency furnaces, is third in the United States and 12th in the world.

122
© AP Images

Above: In February 2008 thousands of steelworkers rallied near the White House demanding protective tariffs
and other measures to help their newly again troubled industry.
Opposite top left: The U.S. steel industry survives in a reduced size, continuing research and development as
at this facility in Monroeville, Pennsylvania.
The other major U.S. steel concern is a collection of commonly owned historic companies
headed by the former Bethlehem Steel, a major producer that sank into bankruptcy in the late
1990s. They were bought at severely discounted prices by an American investor, Wilbur L. Ross,
a specialist in distressed asset acquisitions. Ross says his approach to buying failing companies
and reclaiming the salvageable parts is “a Darwinian thing.” He told Fortune magazine in
2003, “The weaker parts get eliminated, and the stronger ones come out stronger. Our trick is
to figure out which is which, try to climb on to the ones that can be made into the stronger
ones, and then try to facilitate the demise of the weaker ones.”
In 2004, Ross sold the U.S. plants to India’s Lakshmi Mittal and his Mittal Steel company,
which then became part of the world’s largest steel producer in 2006 when Mittal merged with
Europe’s leading steelmaker, Arcelor. Today, U.S. Steel, Arcelor Mittal, and Nucor control
more than half of U.S. production. Ten percent is owned by Russian steel interests, another ben-
eficiary of the relatively open U.S. steel market.
Following the late 1990s’ financial crises, when low-cost foreign steel flooded the U.S.
market, more than 40 steelmakers, distributors, and fabricators filed for bankruptcy. At that
time, the U.S. steel industry owed more than $11 billion in “unfunded” pension obligations to
a growing population of retirees, debts that it could not pay. Bankruptcy was a way out.
U.S. bankruptcy law allows companies to revoke certain contracts, including pension com-
mitments, which can then be passed on to the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation, a federal
agency that insures certain pension plans and pays promised benefits upon a company’s failure.
Steelworkers retired from the insolvent companies held on to most of their pension benefits
thanks to the PBGC, but they lost the retiree health insurance coverage also promised by their
former employees.
Trade restrictions imposed by former President George W. Bush, coupled with relief from
some industry retiree health care commitments, helped the U.S. steel industry recover during
the economic boom of the early 2000s. But the recession that began in 2008 has revived fears
of steel surpluses, particularly with the growth of state-supported steelworks in Brazil, India,
and China. Steelmaking capacity in those three countries now equals one-third of the world’s
total, and the debate over fair trade in steel is back on the world’s agenda.

123
was amended to define failure to ministrations sought voluntary
protect intellectual property as an agreements to limit imports of
unfair trade practice. steel, for example, rather than
Threatened U.S. industries unilaterally imposing sanctions.
have lobbied Congress for pro-
tective quotas and tariffs and for A Boost for Trade Expansion
relief from what they saw as un- The case for trade expansion
fair trade practices. received a major, if unexpected,
U.S. companies also bring boost in the 1990s from the ad-
complaints to the U.S. Interna- ministration of President Bill
tional Trade Commission, an in- Clinton. Clinton’s predecessor,
dependent U.S. government George H.W. Bush, had made a
agency authorized to impose North American Free Trade
trade restrictions on foreign Agreement a centerpiece of his
suppliers that violate fair trade economic program, and it
laws. U.S. textile, shoe, specialty awaited congressional action as
steel, consumer electronics, and the 1992 presidential campaign
color television manufacturers arrived. Some of Clinton’s advis-
all demanded protection from ers urged him to back NAFTA to
import competition. demonstrate his credentials as a
But U.S. foreign policy prior- “new Democrat” —one who em-
ities often entered the picture. braced trade and technology and
Rather than jeopardize relations was not beholden to the labor
with its allies, the United States leaders who adamantly opposed
under several presidential ad- the agreement. Others warned

© AP Images

124
Clinton that supporting NAFTA water mark for no-compromise
could cost him precious electoral opponents of trade expansion in
votes in a campaign that featured a national election.
the independent candidacy of After becoming president,
software billionaire H. Ross Perot, Clinton made congressional ap-
who predicted that NAFTA proval of the NAFTA agreement
would send jobs flying to Mexico one of his administration’s top
with a “giant sucking sound.” priorities, gathering a coalition of
Stanley Greenberg, Clinton’s Republicans and pro-trade De-
pollster, argued that backing mocrats in both the House of Rep-
NAFTA might afford important resentatives and the Senate to
political gains. Even though support it. An intense nationwide
many voters were uneasy about debate followed, with American
the Mexican trade issue, they labor unions warning that U.S.
were not against trade itself, workers would lose jobs to Mexico,
Greenberg said. Voters in “new and with U.S. business leaders
economy” states such as Califor- urging approval of the trade pact
nia, he asserted, wanted an inter- as a way of stimulating exports.
nationalist president. Clinton To win support from more De-
agreed, declaring he would seek mocrats, Clinton’s negotiators
to improve the agreement and pushed Mexico and Canada to ac-
then support its passage. He went cept two additions to the agree-
on to defeat Bush in the 1992 ment designed to improve
election. Perot received 19 per- workers’ rights and environmental
cent of the popular vote, a high- protection in Mexico. These, it was

© AP Images

Opposite left, Above: Democratic presidential candidates Hillary Clinton, left, and Barack
Obama, right, both campaigned in 2008 to make trade agreements fairer for U.S. workers
but not to repeal any agreements.

125
thought, would help protect Amer- House, and the authority was not
ican labor by preventing Mexican renewed when it expired in 2007.
producers from cutting their costs When President George W.
at the expense of labor and envi- Bush in 2008 sought congres-
ronmental standards. Congress ap- sional approval of a pending trade
proved the pact in 1993. agreement with Colombia, House
The debate about NAFTA’s Speaker Nancy Pelosi, a Democ-
economic impact continues. Dur- rat, blocked it, asserting the
ing the 2008 Democratic presi- House would first have to con-
dential primary campaign in sider measures to deal with the
Ohio—a state that has lost U.S. economy’s slowdown and to
400,000 manufacturing jobs this “address the economic insecurity
decade—leading contenders of America’s working families.”
Barack Obama and Hillary Clin-
ton each said they favored Patents, Copyright, Trademarks
amending NAFTA to make it The innovation- and technol-
fairer to workers. But they did not ogy-driven information age has
call for its repeal. pushed the question of intellec-
Following NAFTA’s approval, tual property to the top of the
the United States sought regional world’s trade agenda. It is an
trade agreements with Central issue with a long pedigree. Strict
American nations and negotiated laws protected the trade secrets of
bilateral agreements with Israel, medieval crafts guilds but facili-
Jordan, Chile, and Singapore. tated knowledge sharing among
But opposition grew in the House guild members. By the 15th cen-
of Representatives as imports cut tury, European rulers were grant-
more deeply into U.S. manufac- ing patents to inventors and to
turing employment. Earlier trade foreigners willing to introduce
agreements had succeeded in new technologies.
Congress largely because they Since those early times, the
could be handled under special lines of debate have been clearly
fast-track parliamentary rules drawn: Invention of products is
that specified firm deadlines and bolstered when inventors have a
forbade amendments. U.S. offi- legal right to exploit their discov-
cials said the rules preventing eries by gaining a monopoly on
major congressional amend- their use. But if the protection ex-
ments were essential since they tends too long, competition suf-
locked in the terms reached by fers and improvements are held
negotiators at the bargaining back. The question is how to
table. Congress could approve or strike the balance. The inventor
reject the pacts, but not change can seek protection by securing a
them. However, a renewal of the patent from the federal govern-
fast-track authority in 2002 ment, but he or she is required to
passed by just three votes in the describe the invention in detail.
126
© AP Images
Above: Celebrity Paula Abdul, center, Javier Benito, Coca-Cola chief marketing officer,
left, and Don Knauss, president, Coca-Cola North America, introduce Coco-Cola C2 on
May 24, 2004, in Los Angeles. According to Coca-Cola, it has half the carbohydrates,
calories and sugar of the regular patented cola whose formula is a highly guarded secret.
The patent holder must be pre- perimented with new designs for
pared to enforce it, in court if nec- plows, reviewed the country’s first
essary, by compelling those who patents until his diplomatic du-
use the invention either to cease ties became too great. U.S. patent
or else pay for their use. In some and trademark policies have
cases, inventors prefer to keep a evolved steadily since then.
process or formula secret and not To receive a patent, an inven-
disclose it by seeking a patent. tor must satisfy basic require-
Perhaps the most famous exam- ments: The invention must be of
ple is the formula for the ingredi- a kind that can be patented, such
ents of Coca-Cola, which has as a machine or a manufacturing
remained a business secret and is process; it must have a useful
kept in the vault of an Atlanta, purpose, and it must mark a sig-
Georgia, bank. nificant advance over earlier
Recognizing the importance products or processes. The max-
of protecting inventions and en- imum length of patent protection
couraging innovation, the au- is 20 years from the date of filing.
thors of the U.S. Constitution Half of all U.S. patents are issued
granted Congress sole authority to foreign inventors. The United
to create patent and trademark States appears by far more open
laws. As President George Wash- to foreign inventions than its
ington’s first secretary of state, major trading partners: The
Thomas Jefferson, who had ex- Japanese Patent Office issued 90
127
percent of patents to Japanese in- terfeit auto parts and other prod-
ventors in 2002, for example. ucts that are sold abroad under
The earliest intellectual prop- the name of well-known U.S.
erty rights agreements were the manufacturers, according to the
1883 Paris Convention on U.S. Motor Equipment and
Patents and the 1886 Berne Con- Manufacturers Association. Sim-
vention, which covered artistic ilar protests have been made
and written works. The Patent by U.S. pharmaceutical compa-
Cooperation Treaty of 1970, nies, who warn that counterfeit
amended several times since Chinese medicines pose poten-
then, creates a standard process tial serious health threats to un-
for patent applications among suspecting purchasers.
more than 100 countries. Dan Glickman, a former U.S.
The most important recent congressman who heads the Mo-
agreement is the 1994 Trade Re- tion Picture Association of Amer-
lated Aspects of Intellectual Prop- ica, told Congress that, at the
erty Rights, or TRIPS, which sets national level, Chinese officials ex-
out a minimum list of protections press concern and will take limited
that signatories must provide and actions, but these actions don’t ex-
requires that whenever a signa- tend to effective controls within
tory nation grants its own citizens China’s provinces. Overall, trade
any intellectual rights, it must ex- violation enforcement is “selec-
tend the same rights to inventors tive, it’s arbitrary, it’s intentionally
from other signatory nations. vague in some cases. And in some
“The problem of international cases, it’s just not very well devel-
[copyright] piracy has become oped,” Glickman testified to a
more acute in the digital age,” congressional committee.
public policy scholar Suzanne When the United States sup-
Scotchmer says. Modern copy- ported China’s membership in
right piracy involves software, the WTO, the expectation was
music, movies, even textbooks. that the latter’s trade policies
The theft of trademarks, the would converge with interna-
illegal copying of products, and tional rules. From a U.S. perspec-
the piracy of books, software, and tive, the need to make the
recorded entertainment remain expectation a reality remains a
a serious and provocative issue major trade issue.
for the United States, particu- The economic interdepend-
larly in its trade relations with ence of China and the United
China. Nine of every 10 U.S.- States symbolizes the sweeping
content DVDs sold in China are growth of trade and cross-border
pirated, the Motion Picture Asso- financial flows as the new century
ciation of America complained to began. Historian Niall Ferguson
Congress in 2007. Companies in describes a symbiotic relationship
China allegedly produce coun- between the two states he whim-
128
sically combined as “Chimerica.” But these values are hardest to
Inexpensive Chinese imports preserve during economic hard
helped keep inflation low in the times, when foreign competitors
United States and helped put become natural targets for the frus-
downward pressure on U.S. trations of a country’s unemployed
wages. China reinvested dollars and foreign practices that appear
received for its goods in the unfair feed protectionist feelings.
United States to fund U.S. America’s continued political
deficits, helping keep U.S. inter- support for a free flow of trade
est rates low. “As a result, it was and finance and its openness to
remarkably cheap to borrow the world may depend on a con-
money and remarkably profitable tinued prosperity for the large
to run a corporation…The more majority of its citizens, many ex-
China was willing to lend to the perts say. Federal Reserve Chair-
United States, the more Ameri- man Ben Bernanke said in 2007,
cans were willing to borrow.” “if we did not place some limits
Then the debt bubble burst in on the downside risks to individ-
2008, creating a financial crisis uals affected by economic
that is stirring the debate among change, the public at large might
Americans about the benefits of become less willing to accept the
globalization and trade. A con- dynamism that is so essential to
sensus favoring open trade has economic progress.” But America
prevailed in the United States for could not turn its back on the rest
more than half a century, but- of the world’s economy, even if it
tressed by the belief that Amer- somehow chose to, and as the
ica’s creative, entrepreneurial control of the U.S. government
economy has much more to gain changed hands in 2009, there
than lose through economic en- was no sign of a retreat from
gagement with the world. global engagement.

129
C H A P T E R

A New
Chapter
in America’s
Economic
Story
The United States,
in its democratic way,
faces up to immense
economic challenges.

© AP Images
© AP Images

Above: President Barack Obama, shown with former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul
Volcker, faces the greatest economic challenges in a generation while working with a
Congress that is sharply divided politically. Previous spread: The numbers for the
U.S. economy started turning down even before the 2008 global crisis.

132
“Starting today,…we must pick ourselves up,
dust ourselves off, and begin again the work of
remaking America.”
PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA
United States of A merica
2009

At this writing (March 2009), the United States


and much of the world were enmeshed in a financial
crisis and economic downturn considered by many to be the
worst since the Great Depression of the 1930s. The need
for an immediate response has ushered in a burst of government
intervention, most strikingly in the United States but also
throughout the industrialized world. By spring 2009, it ap-
peared that the gravest fears of a complete financial meltdown
had been averted and world stock markets recovered part of
their devastating losses over the previous half year. But the
United States and other industrial nations still faced rising un-
employment and a vulnerable economic future.
Several conclusions seemed inescapable. Economic globalization,
which has linked banking and trade on every continent, enabled the fi-
nancial market contagion to spread worldwide. Leaders of the United
States and other major economies agreed that a new system of financial
market supervision and regulation would have to be created to restore
investors’ battered confidence in markets and revive investment. The
reforms should seek to set new banking and investment standards for
all advanced economies, and the United States would have to play a
leading role in their creation by reforming its own complex system of
banking and securities regulation.
Former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker introduced a blue-
print for such reforms early in 2009 on behalf of a group of prominent
international financial officials and academics called The Group of 30.
The organization’s report sought to “restore strong, competitive, inno-

133
vative financial markets to sup- ment hand, or would govern-
port global economic growth ment stifle innovation and enter-
without once again risking a prise that drives economic
breakdown in market functioning advancement? How should gov-
so severe as to put the world ernment authority be divided
economy at risk,” said Volcker, among the federal government
who also led President Barack and the states?
Obama’s Economic Advisory The U.S. financial regulatory
Board, as the new administration system, thus, is a patchwork of
took office. many state and federal agencies
The group called for tighter with overlapping missions, and
restrictions on banks to prevent some major gaps in oversight
reckless lending by them; more lying in between. Some reformers
effective accounting standards have said the financial crisis calls
that could help identify poten- for creation of a single, powerful
tially dangerous investing trends; financial market oversight agency.
rules compelling the largest pri- The Federal Reserve was seen as
vate hedge funds and other the most likely candidate for that
pools of private investment capi- role in the United States. But such
tal to disclose results and levels of a role would stir concerns among
borrowing, and regulation of many Americans about centraliz-
over-the-counter derivatives such ing too much power in a single
as the complex, credit default in- government agency—an issue
surance investments that became that separated the followers of
an unseen virus in the global Jefferson and Hamilton at the
banking system collapse. country’s birth and remains very
An effective worldwide con- much alive today.
sensus on a new financial regime
was a daunting goal, given the Soaring Deficit
spectrum of economies and polit- One consequence of the
ical systems among the major na- emergency measures taken to
tions. But the challenge was no stimulate the economy and shore
less formidable in the United up threatened financial institu-
States itself. tions is a drastic increase in the
As other chapters have de- federal budget deficit. That fig-
scribed, economic governance in ure, which represents the differ-
America has evolved unevenly, ence between federal spending
responding to the major currents and revenue, was headed over $1
of change in the economy itself. trillion in 2009, nearly three
From the writing of the Constitu- times the previous year’s figure.
tion onward, Americans have de- President Obama’s 2009 stimulus
bated government’s proper role package of new government
in the economy: Did society’s spending and tax cuts would
needs require a strong govern- bring the deficit, as measured in
134
proportion to the entire econ- and new spending programs in
omy, to a level not seen since the the months that followed. As
end of World War II. World Bank President Robert
While Americans differed Zoellick told the New York Times
over the details of the stimulus late in 2008, America’s “ability to
plan, a broad consensus emerged turn around problems is really
that swift action was necessary. unmatched historically.” Econo-
Most economists agreed that a mist Brad Setser noted that in
rapid and massive fiscal stimulus 2008 the United States sold a
of federal spending was essential stunning $1.7 trillion in Treasury
to spur job creation and reverse securities without triggering a
the economic contraction. They jump in market interest rates.
also agreed that once the econ- The second challenge—con-
omy had stabilized, the United fronting the growing federal
States would have to turn to the budget deficit—would likely be
much harder task of deficit re- much harder. As President
duction by better aligning the Obama and other political lead-
government’s spending commit- ers observed, the American public
ments with its revenues. and their political representa-
The U.S. government was tives could not postpone indefi-
able to react on a massive scale as nitely hard decisions about the
the crisis erupted late in 2008. scope and breadth of govern-
The financial strength of the Fed- ment’s role in the U.S. economy
eral Reserve and the ability of the and the best means of funding
U.S. government to borrow those commitments. Foreigners
abroad helped Washington pour ask, Zoellick said, “will the
unprecedented amounts of United States get at some of the
money into the banking system root causes that could determine

135
its real strength over the next 10 U.S. debt in 2032 would equal
or 20 or 30 years?” the nation’s annual economic
The government’s longstand- output of goods and services.
ing commitments to America’s The trends are unsustainable,
elderly were a big part of the the Treasury says, and would
challenge. Current projections steadily undermine confidence in
suggest that, without fundamental America’s economy and in the
reform, Social Security (retire- dollar. Former Federal Reserve
ment income), Medicare (med- Chairman Alan Greenspan has
ical care for the elderly) and called the outlook a “pending
Medicaid (medical care for low- tsunami.” As Obama said shortly
income families) programs will after his election in 2008, if the
swamp all other claims on the financial challenges are hard,
federal budget within a few “the politics are even harder.”
decades. They take 44 percent of Older people may have to post-
all current federal spending, ex- pone retirement. Health care and
cluding interest paid on the U.S. Social Security benefits may have
national debt. to be limited for the wealthiest
In 2011, the first of the 78 Americans, or taxes on working
million-strong baby-boom gener- American may have to rise—
ation will become eligible for choices that will test society’s co-
Social Security and Medicare hesiveness. “You have to have a
benefits. The U.S. Treasury esti- president who is willing to spend
mates that by 2030, the three some political capital on this,”
major “entitlement” programs Obama said, “and I intend to
will absorb two-thirds of the fed- spend some.”
eral budget, assuming that fed-
eral taxes continue at current Income Disparity
levels. If no changes are made in A growing disparity in the dis-
spending or tax law, government tribution of the economy’s re-
revenues in that year would cover wards raised even higher the
only half of the expected expen- political hurdles to achieving
ditures, according to the 2008 both domestic economic reform
Financial Report of the United States. and international economic co-
Because the government must operation. Scholars have identi-
borrow to pay for expenditures fied a number of possible factors
that exceed revenues (the federal that, taken together, have increas-
deficit), the unchecked rise of en- ingly concentrated income and
titlement spending would also wealth gains among a small mi-
swell the U.S. national debt (the nority of the U.S. population.
amount borrowed by the govern- Among them: the decline in
ment from lenders in America higher-paid manufacturing jobs
and abroad). If current spending and a shift toward lower-scale
and taxing trends continue, the service employment, the growing
136
employment disadvantages of tional political complications. As
less-educated workers in a highly the 2000s decade proceeded, for-
technical economy, and the bur- eign investors financed an in-
den of rising medical care costs creasing share of U.S.
for America’s lower- and middle- government debt. In mid-2000,
income families. Because of these this debt totaled $1 trillion. Eight
and other factors, the average years later, the total was $2.7 tril-
wage of U.S. non-farm workers lion, with government-owned
has not increased appreciably banks or “sovereign” investment
since 1980, after taking inflation funds holding the fastest-growing
into account. share. They used the U.S. dollars
Harvard University economist flowing overseas that bought
Benjamin M. Friedman observed, manufactured goods and oil to
“The central question for the purchase U.S. Treasury securities
United States at the outset of the and other U.S. government debt.
21st century is whether the nation America, in essence, was borrow-
in the generation ahead will again ing from the future to finance
achieve increasing prosperity, as current consumption.
in the decades immediately fol- A 2008 report by the Council
lowing World War II, or lapse on Foreign Relations emphasized
back into the stagnation of living the political ramifications of this
standards for the majority of our financial dependence: “Without
citizens that persisted from the financing from China, Russia,
early 1970s until the early 1990s.” and the Gulf states, the dollar
The government’s long-term would fall sharply, U.S. interest
fiscal plight also carries interna- rates would rise, and the U.S gov-
ernment would find it far more
difficult to sustain its global role
at an acceptable domestic cost.”
As noted in chapter 1, the for-
eign response to the global fi-
nancial crisis was a rush to
purchase U.S. Treasury securities
because America’s economic size
and political stability made the
dollar the safest refuge. But a
growing U.S. indebtedness could
press foreign investors to substi-
tute a basket of currencies includ-
ing the euro and the Chinese
yuan for the dollar in interna-
tional transactions and to reduce
the amount of dollars held in
government accounts.
137
“The next crisis will be related sented a commonsense appeal. In-
to our own federal government’s vestments in new energy controls
daunting fiscal challenges,” wrote and weatherization could help
economist Mark Zandi in 2008. homes and businesses better con-
“Global investors are already grow- serve energy used for heating,
ing disaffected with U.S. debt, and cooling, and lighting. A faster tran-
even the Treasury will have a diffi- sition to hybrid gas-electric vehi-
cult time finding buyers for all the cles, or eventually “plug-in” electric
bonds it will be trying to sell if cars, could cut America’s depend-
nothing changes soon.” ence on foreign oil shipments from
In the aftermath of the global politically volatile regions.
financial crisis, the United States Expansion of the nation’s
also will be challenged to repair electric power transmission grid
the credibility of its financial sec- could allow more renewable en-
tor. The Obama administration ergy from wind and solar power
has pledged to support interna- to move from the Sun Belt in the
tional efforts to strengthen bank- South and the Midwest’s windy
ing reserves and investment Great Plains to the nation’s urban
regulation and place limits on centers. Perhaps in a decade,
market risk-taking without stifling electric cars could be plugged
the flow of capital to fund growth. into the grid when not on the
road, recharging themselves at
Obama’s Plan night when electricity is cheapest.
Immediately following his Federal initiatives could seed
election to the presidency, Obama new, globally competitive in-
began to shape a large-scale fed- dustries and secure U.S. leader-
eral response to the emergency. ship in worldwide efforts to
The massive economic stimulus restrain carbon-based climate
plan passed by the U.S. Congress change. For example, the use of
early in his administration distrib- wind or nuclear power to make
uted federal funding, loans, and electricity, and of biofuels to
tax cuts throughout the faltering drive cars, could reduce green-
economy. It also sought to use house gas emissions. One day,
federal dollars to fuel a rapid ex- the carbon emissions from coal-
pansion of new, technology-ad- fired power plants could be
vanced energy and environmental confined and stored perma-
initiatives. These developments, it nently underground.
was hoped, would create new Some Americans posed philo-
markets at home and overseas for sophical and political challenges
American companies and mil- to this vision. Longstanding
lions of jobs for workers across a quarrels over the desirability of
wide range of skill levels. “big” government continued. So
Many of the energy and envi- did clashes of regional interests.
ronmental opportunities pre- Lawmakers from states where
138
wind energy is generated sought est returns. Singapore’s minister
to strengthen the nationwide of education, Tharman Shanmu-
transmission system, but their garatnam, commented in 2006
counterparts in states with strong about an essential aspect of U.S.
coal industries resisted mandates education. “We know how to train
to use more wind power. Sector- people to take exams. You know
leading utility and energy compa- how to use people’s talents to the
nies perceived threats to their fullest. Both are important, but
established business models, par- there are some parts of the intel-
ticularly in the proposals to cap lect that we are not able to test
carbon emissions from coal and well—like creativity, curiosity, a
oil operations and for expanded sense of adventure, ambition.
use of solar power in homes and Most of all, America has a culture
offices. And regardless of the pre- of learning that challenges con-
ferred strategy, the financial crisis ventional wisdom, even if it
had undermined the capacity of means challenging authority.”
American industry and invest- Applying these real strengths
ment firms to fund such an en- to the nation’s equally real chal-
ergy transformation. lenges will be a great test for the
More optimistic observers current generation of Ameri-
noted that America still could cans. As Kent H. Hughes of the
bring important resources to bear Woodrow Wilson International
on the challenge of devising new Center for Scholars writes, “It is
energy strategies, among them its hard to see how the United
entrepreneurial culture, the States will win the contest of
depth and breadth of its educa- ideas in the 21st century without
tional system, and the freedom it continued economic growth,
afforded capital to seek the high- technological innovation, im-

139
proved education, and broad- era of greater government eco-
based equality of opportunity.” nomic intervention.
In 2009, the United States is How much of a shift occurs re-
struggling to recover from a harsh mains to be seen. But in the 2008
recession that has challenged the election the American people
public’s faith in national eco- opted for activism, and in his in-
nomic policies, open trade, finan- augural address President
cial markets, and business Obama sought to respond.
governance. Hughes adds that “Starting today,” he said, “we
“the country will need to take must pick ourselves up, dust our-
steps to restore national trust in selves off, and begin again the
key institutions, rediscover a sense work of remaking America.”
of national purpose, restore its Even with the Democratic Party
commitment to shared gains and majorities in the House and Sen-
shared sacrifices, and renew its ate, finding solutions to in-
sense of American identity.” But tractable economic and energy
it also is true that Americans have problems would require effective
faced and surmounted such chal- collaboration between the presi-
lenges in the past, and few doubt dent and members of both par-
but that they will do so again. ties at a time when political
Barack Obama’s candidacy divisions are sharp. But that has
for president was historically been the situation throughout
unique in many ways, but his America’s history, with few excep-
economic platform was rooted tions. In other times of crisis, the
deeply in America’s political his- country found a way forward de-
tory. Many observers saw in his spite the fractious aspects of
victory a swing of the political democracy. The start of Obama’s
pendulum from Reagan-era lim- presidency marked the opportu-
ited government and light regu- nity to write a new chapter of the
lation of markets back toward nation’s economic story, with
Franklin D. Roosevelt’s New Deal much at stake.

140
143
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF STATE
BUREAU OF INTERNATIONAL INFORMATION PROGRAMS
http://www.america.gov/publications/books.html#outline_economy

You might also like