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Development
Key Success Factors in Building a New Derivatives Market
1
Until the invention of Eurodollar futures at the CME
and Treasury Bond futures at the CBOT, virtually all
derivatives were commodity based and futures
exchanges evolved their equity derivatives on the back
each commodity class (metals, agricultural, derivatives contract might result in physical
energy etc.) has unique characteristics and, delivery or it might not – the delivery
even within a class, there can be considerable mechanism is not the defining characteristic,
diversity. So a proper analysis of the issues indeed the delivery may well be handled by
facing the launch of a commodity derivatives the spot market infrastructure.
contract belongs in a more detailed
Because it is a contract, full payment for the
presentation than this one. Some of the key
underlying contract value does not need to be
issues specific to commodities are covered on
made up front when a derivative is traded.
page 18, Commodities.
Instead, the market merely demands some
Many market operators are already trading security against potential price fluctuations
equities and so the issues faced in launching (i.e., margin for futures positions and short
equity derivatives will be of particular interest option positions) or payment of a premium in
to them. Equity derivatives pose their own the case of an options holder. This is what
distinct set problems and many of these are gives such great scope for leverage and this is
outlined in this paper (see pages 6, 7, 10 and why derivatives are popular with speculators
14). seeking disproportionately high returns.
The main objective of this paper is to identify There are fundamentally two types of
the winning conditions for a successful derivatives: futures and options. Other sub-
derivatives market. What characteristics need types exist within these two broad categories
to be in place and what pitfalls should be – forwards, for example, are like futures
avoided when a market operator sets out to except that cash settlement always occurs at
create a new derivatives market? the time of the original delivery date rather
than at the time the position is closed out.
Derivatives
There are also different types of options: their
For completeness, let us define what we mean exercise style can vary (“American style”
by a “derivative.” As the name suggests, it is a means the holder can exercise any time;
financial instrument whose value is “derived” “European” means the holder can only
from something else – either another financial exercise on the expiry date2) and “exotic”
instrument or an index or measurement of options can have unusual conditions attached
some kind (e.g. the weather). But describing it to their value such as barrier options which
in these terms does not really uniquely define are only exercisable if the underlying asset
it – after all, symbol MSFT on NASDAQ reaches a certain price level. But exotics only
“derives” its value from a set of investors’ exist in the OTC markets: no exchange has
beliefs and sentiments about fundamentals, yet launched trading of exotic options and
technical trends, hot tips etc. but it is not a they have limited popularity.
derivative. Better to look at it this way: while a
conventional spot market (e.g., a stock Exchange-traded derivatives offer several
market) trades “assets,” a derivatives market advantages over OTC derivatives: They are
trades “promises.” A spot market always deals standardised, meaning that their contract
in the delivery of physical products or assets terms are consistent from one instrument to
and each transaction results in a change of another – this introduces fungibility into what
ownership. In contrast, a derivatives contract would otherwise be a free-for-all. Exchange
only deals in the sale and purchase of a traded derivatives are more likely to have
“promise” – a promise to deliver something guarantees of liquidity through the provision
or pay something, given certain conditions. A of market makers and to have minimal
counter-party risk since trades are generally
novated through a central clearing counter-
of their commodity experience. Recent history has
reversed this: Eurex – the world’s biggest derivatives
exchange – started as an equity and debt derivatives
exchanges and only later added commodity derivatives. 2
Now, the Eurex model looks more likely to be emulated There are others too such as the little-known Japanese
by most nascent markets. style which can only be exercised on a Thursday!
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Derivatives Market Development (White Paper)
party. They are subject to investor-protecting of these things are necessarily true of
regulation. forwards.
All of these benefits have their flip-sides The B2B market comprises the ordinary daily
however which the OTC market is able to dealings of buyers and producers. The
exploit: the absence of standardisation means participants in most B2B markets will tend to
that the OTC market offers flexibility; the think of their market as consisting of physical
absence of exchange provided liquidity means sales-and-purchase contracts. Many of them
trading costs are lower and most professionals would be surprised to learn that these
probably appreciate that the lighter regulation contracts have a technical label, namely
that exists in the OTC market. Nevertheless, “forwards.”
from the perspective of the non-professional
Users of derivatives perceive their
in particular, exchange-traded derivatives do
marketplace differently. Their physical market
offer meaningful advantages. Non-
and the derivatives markets are just different
professionals would most likely not use
aspects of their overall risk profile. They have
derivatives at all if they were not exchange-
arrived at this state because there is an
traded. As a result, OTC derivatives markets
exchange, clearing and banking infrastructure
are almost exclusively used by professionals
which provides all the standards and
and institutions3.
procedures to allow this to happen: fungible
An observation on B2B markets contract definition, novation, standardised
It is worth noting parenthetically that many daily settlement procedures, margining,
B2B markets are effectively derivatives exchange-for-physical etc. Futures just do not
markets in nature. With the exception of spot exist outside that exchange infrastructure.
forex, it is hard to think of a fungible Hence, almost by definition, continuously-
continuous auction market where the trading, traded fungible B2B markets consist of
clearing and settlement models resemble the forwards. Of course things are not so neatly
conventional securities market and its compartmentalised; many B2B markets are
associated CSDs. But many of the potential used by practitioners who have long been
B2B markets strongly resemble the derivatives users of derivatives markets. But the point to
model. (In this context, “B2B” means B2B note is that the futures contract is an
exchanges where buyers and sellers trade evolutionary product that has nearly always
agreed, well-defined contracts in contrast to developed from an existing physical forwards
the broader world of B2B “e-commerce” market.
which can include almost any commercial
Many exchanges, even those in less developed
transaction conducted via an electronic
markets, may contain infrastructure, which
network).
can be adapted to create a fungible B2B
B2B markets mainly deal in forwards, not market. So it is feasible that a derivatives
futures. Futures are a more “advanced” form market may develop via that route, especially
of forwards in the sense that, in a formal in very high volume markets such as energy.
centrally cleared futures market, the ordinary
MARKET ENVIRONMENT
physical contract (to trade something for
delivery at later date at a fixed price) is A successful derivatives market requires the
converted into something that has some right overall environment in order to flourish.
additional, rather special, characteristics. A Some financial authorities suffer from a “Me-
futures contract is fungible, it contains too” syndrome, which assumes that, in order
minimal counter-party risk and its cash flow to take their place in the ranks of markets-to-
can be immediately realised at any time. None be-taken-seriously, they must have a
derivatives market. But it is important to
study each case to see whether the conditions
3
The one exception to this would be the forex market are right – in some cases it may be better to
where banks offer retail and small business customers wait.
derivatives products which are effectively traded OTC.
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Moreover, without that liquidity, potential These inefficiencies can take many forms.
market makers and other suppliers of liquidity For example:
in the derivatives market would be unable to
Counter-party risk in the physical market. A
hedge effectively. Successful derivatives
producer who is keen to sell forward a certain
markets need this virtuous cycle of hedgers in
quantity of its commodity may be unable to
the underlying market laying off their risk in
find a buyer with satisfactory credit standing.
the derivatives market by trading with
Under a centrally cleared exchange
professionals who in turn hedge their
environment, this is not a problem if the
derivatives risk in the underlying market.
producer sells a futures contract.
Speculators then provide the means to narrow
bid/offer spreads by joining a market, which Counter-party “inflexibility”. The same producer
already has natural users. – if he had not used the futures market – may
have difficulty getting out of the delivery
Large, high profile underlying markets do
obligation if he decided he did not wish to
exist which are still insufficiently liquid to
deliver. He may not be able to persuade the
support a derivatives market. Perhaps the
buyer to cancel the contract on reasonable
best example of this is the property market.
terms. In a liquid futures market, he can
Attempts have been made in the past to create
simply buy back the position at a “fair”
property price indexes which are suitable for
market price.
derivatives trading but all these attempts have
failed. The problem is that the property Complexity of trade execution. Some underlying
market is essentially illiquid despite the fact markets are simply not capable of providing
that it is large, important and closely efficient execution. The most common
monitored by diverse segments of the example is index futures. In most markets, an
population5. investor who wishes to track a benchmark
index may find it impossible to immediately
It is not easy to state a measurable, objective
buy or sell the full set of constituent index
test for “adequate liquidity” but in this
stocks in the right proportion. An index
context, three factors need to be looked at:
futures contract satisfies this requirement very
trade volume, size of bid/offer spread and
well7.
market depth. If any one of these is
“deficient”, then that is a mark of illiquidity Stifling trading rules. Many markets have trading
since a low score on any one of these suggests rules that limit investors’ ability to act. The
that the market is weak from the standpoint most common example is a ban or restriction
of supporting a derivatives market. on short selling. A futures or an options
contract can be used to take short positions
The other problems of designing a successful
when this is prohibited, or hard to do, in the
derivatives contract are discussed later.
main underlying market.
Derivatives markets address
inefficiencies
Excessive taxes. If the underlying market is
subject to taxation that increases the cost of
A successful modern6 derivatives exchanges trading, a derivatives market can provide
works properly when it manages to address some relief (see page 5, Transactions Taxes &
“inefficiencies” in the underlying market. Fees for an example).
Barriers to trade. If exchange controls or other
trade barriers are erected – for example by a
5
However, recent attempts have been to create and government wanting to protect its own
trade property benchmarks, the initiative has been commodity producers – a derivatives
launched by investment banks who support the market
as market-makers. It will be interesting to see if this can exchange within that “protected” territory can
create a liquid market, based around those benchmarks. flourish where it might otherwise not i.e. the
6
Traditionally, derivatives exchanges were formed by
user associations with a common interest in coming
7
together to trade in a convenient physical meeting place. But note the “competition” from exchange traded
This physical need does not really exist today. funds.
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protectionism allows an island of liquidity for planned futures market). Yet Barings was just
locals barred from using overseas exchanges. a case of fraud, an unusual one admittedly (in
This is one of the most common reasons for the sense that the perpetrator gained nothing
commodity exchanges to flourish in emerging financially) but it was just that – fraud; it had
markets. The original Eurodollar contract at nothing to do with derivatives per se and
CME was created because foreign exchange could just as easily have happened with
transactions were subject to excessive stocks, bonds, forex or any other tradable
constraints under European law at the time. entity9.
No options tools available. This seems simple A start-up exchange needs to be aware of this
and obvious but in those markets where there opposition and be prepared to fight it with
exists a demand for hedging with options, it is facts. The facts support the contention that
unlikely that any institution other than an derivatives are a good thing. Many studies
exchange will be able to provide an adequate have indicated that derivatives have either a
options service if banks have not already done benign or positive influence on the underlying
so. Banks may not provide options services market. So part of the process of creating a
simply because they lack the skills and/or the new derivatives market is to assess the level of
capital to do it8. “fear-based” opposition and prepare
arguments to counter it.
A start-up exchange needs to be sure that its
derivatives market addresses some of these Existing competition
inefficiencies. If it does not, then it is Many markets already have surrogate
questionable whether the market will be a derivative products, which are effectively
success. competitors to a nascent futures or options
However, it is important to note that even market. This point is really an extension of the
where these inefficiencies exist, there has to arguments on page 4, Liquidity, namely that a
be some latent demand for a solution to the derivatives market must address inefficiencies
problems raised by those inefficiencies. which are not met by existing products or
services - but it is worth dwelling on some
Attitude to derivatives
specific examples because they can be quite
One of the biggest obstacles to success in a commonplace, even in emerging markets.
new derivatives market is vested commercial
Warrants and other structured products
interests who oppose the introduction of
derivatives. These are covered in more detail Structured products are securities issued by a
later. third-party financial institution that are
designed to offer investors specific risk
But there are always other elements who
exposure to an individual stock, sector or
oppose derivatives on principle. There are a other underlying asset. When they give the
number of clichés such as the “tail-wagging-
holder the right to acquire or sell a security at
the-dog” – the allegation that derivatives
a particular price within a particular
disrupt the underlying market. There are
timeframe, they are called “warrants.” An
claims that they increase volatility and established warrants market can be a very
encourage needless speculation. The most
effective competitor to an options market
dramatic example of this was the collapse of
because warrants provide the same kind of
Barings Bank which was widely blamed on
leverage but are traded just like stocks.
derivatives (and even caused one Asian
market to effectively pull the plug on its Warrants are nearly always classified as
securities and only secondarily as derivatives.
8
To provide an options market making service to
9
clients, a bank needs traders who understand options Barings was also unusual in that it was the only
pricing, risk managers who understand how to monitor financial “crisis” involving exchange-traded derivatives.
dynamic exposure to price volatility and adequate capital In just about every other case, if derivatives were
to support potential losses arising from unforeseen involved, it has been OTC derivatives, not exchange-
market events, counterparty default etc. traded.
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Most markets regulate derivatives differently futures contract stands a good chance of
from securities, requiring higher tests of client success if it genuinely introduces an ability to
suitability, for example. One of the effects of gain exposure to a basket underlying a popular
this is that, to trade futures and options, a benchmark. (But things are changing: in
client generally needs to open a separate developed markets almost everywhere, we
trading account and sign new forms asserting have seen the hugely successful introduction
that he or she understands the risks. But and aggressive growth of Exchange Traded
generally there is no need for a regular Funds (ETFs) – listed securities which
securities client to open a new account with a actually contain the underlying stocks
broker in order to trade warrants: this gives themselves. These will introduce new
warrants a competitive advantage over competition to the start-up futures markets.
options. If ETFs are traded on margin, they give
something very close to the risk profile of a
For those markets that have no derivatives at
futures contract and could provide
all, the introduction of warrants can be a
competition to index futures. Emerging
useful stepping stone to introduce investors to
markets may well see a flourishing ETF
the concept of leverage and risk management
market before they even get the chance to
through derivatives (see 5.1.1.3 for more
introduce index futures10.)
comment on the benefits and pitfalls of this
approach). Foreign competition
In more developed markets, convertible In some markets, a foreign competitor may
bonds and warrants with complex payoffs are already have dominated trading in the most
sometimes introduced to provide a wider attractive derivatives contracts. Singapore has
range of risk management instruments to long enjoyed success with its Nikkei index
investors. But such products will tend only to futures and repeated it with its Taiwan index
thrive in markets that already enjoy broad- futures. Many other markets have since tried
based and high levels of liquidity. to emulate Singapore, some have been
successful but most have not.
There is no structured product equivalent to
warrants which compete with futures, In the Singapore case, the exchange took
however, and so the introduction of an index advantage of the home country being slow to
futures contract ought to face less develop its own market. This suggests that it
competition from listed structured products. may be legitimate for a home market to create
Instead competition to futures comes from a futures market solely to pre-empt foreign
another source: competition, regardless of the likelihood of
success.
Margin trading
However, even if a foreign exchange operator
A strong tradition of margin-trading can
has already created a competing derivatives
provide an effective competitor to both
contract, there are always significant home
futures and options. When margin trading
advantages – not the least of which is that
operates efficiently (as it does, for example, in
local investors are more likely to access a
some Asian markets), it provides the same risk
home market than an overseas market. As a
profile as a futures contract.
result, despite the fact that Singapore has been
A similar effect is achieved in markets with a trading a Nikkei contract successfully for
long settlement window such as those that many years, there is a thriving Nikkei contract
operated in London, India and elsewhere until
a few years ago. Because settlement only 10
occurs at the end of the cycle, these markets Interestingly, the introduction of ETF’s in the US,
where futures already existed, generated additional
behave like mini futures markets on individual liquidity in both products but the reasons for this are, in
stocks. our opinion, due to certain attributes of the US market
that would not necessarily prevail in emerging markets.
However, since margin trading is generally not Incidentally, the first exchange to trade ETFs was the
available on baskets of stocks, an index Toronto Stock Exchange.
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in Osaka (driven in large part, ironically, by trading, then this can create havoc at the time
arbitrage between Osaka and Singapore!) of expiration and this is something to be
studiously avoided.
So foreign competition need not be a serious
impediment. There are many examples of The reason that continuity is important is that
attempts to set up competing contracts from derivatives markets rely on up-to-date price
offshore bases but very few indeed have been information to operate. If there is no
successful. information available about the state of
underlying market, then the derivatives
Summary
markets operate less well. It is true that, in
In all these cases, the common competitive some circumstances, a suspension of the
factor is that investors may already have underlying can help the derivatives market
products that partially provide the types of because the derivatives provide an outlet for
tools that derivatives provide - risk trading that is otherwise unavailable. But this
management, leverage, portfolio management may only be a short-term benefit – in the long
or speculation11. run, if suspensions or halts are too frequent,
The above examples are mostly from the the inability of professionals and market
equity sector but the same principles apply makers to hedge in the underlying market will
elsewhere. The most common example is drive them away from the derivatives market
forex futures. One would think that these and this is unhealthy.
would be ideal candidates for all kinds of Those markets which practice price
derivatives contracts, given the immense movement limits or “circuit breakers” (e.g.
liquidity which underpins just about any forex halting trading if the index moves 15% up or
market - yet forex derivatives are rarely a down during the day) tend also to be markets
success. The problem seems to be either that where interference of this nature is the norm
the banks already adequately satisfy demand and thus it is likely that price limits will be
or that the banks are not motivated to support imposed on the derivatives markets too. So
a market that might eat into their margins. such limits tend to be bad for the derivatives
Perhaps both. market.
Other structural impediments In addition to this, many other underlying
Trading rules market factors can affect the derivatives
market: unreliable settlement procedures,
In addition to needing liquidity in its excessively high minimum bid/offer spreads,
underlying market, a successful derivatives awkward board lot sizes etc.
market also needs continuity. So if trading
practices in the underlying spot market are These are all inefficiencies that can work in
subject to interference, this can affect the favour of the derivatives market or against it –
confidence of the derivatives market. If trade depending on how drastic they are. So it
halts due to major market movements are would be important to know which of
common or individual stocks are frequently inefficiencies are good for the market and
subject to suspension thus interfering with the which are bad. Perhaps this is a useful way of
calculation or hedging of the index, then this characterising it in a summary form:
can seriously affect the success of the market. To the extent that a planned derivatives
Similar problems can occur in commodity market can avoid using the underlying market
derivatives markets if the government (as may be the case with many stock index
imposes things like price controls. In the case futures contracts), it can exploit inefficiencies
of options, if there is any possibility at all of to its advantage but if it must use the
the underlying asset being suspended from underlying market (e.g. stock options) then
these inefficiencies work against the interests
11
Speculators are vital to ensuring ongoing liquidity and of the derivatives market.
so it is important that the new derivatives market offers
them something they do not already have.
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and then impose its requirements on the not necessarily the rocket science they are
intermediaries. Indeed this will extend to sometimes alleged to be, are still hard to
clients of those intermediaries and proprietary acquire and most markets have to start by
traders so that all market users will need to using foreign firms. This is not just a
make preparations to participate in the question of having the financial skills but
market. increasingly it is a matter of technical skills in
building efficient interfaces between the
At the very least, for intermediaries this will
option pricing and risk management front
involve a qualification system for investment
office tools and the derivatives trading system.
advisors, involving examinations and other
If foreign ownership is banned then this
suitability assessments. This will also extend
obviously makes it harder for these skills to be
to the clients of those advisors so that clients
made available.
will be required to sign paperwork asserting
that they have read the warnings and Limits on foreign participation may not
understand the risks. matter quite as much in the case of futures
markets where local participation can
This means that the exchange will need to
generally be relied upon to provide liquidity –
develop training courses and training materials
at least for the more prominent benchmarks.
and prepare users – intermediaries and
But even for futures, a market is likely to
investors - well in advance of the market
achieve much greater success if overseas
launch.
investors can use the derivatives markets for
Trading and clearing rules their own risk management needs and for
Most of the regulatory requirements manifest strategy trading using arbitrage and other risk-
themselves in the trading and clearing rules. based techniques, which can add considerable
The rules cannot be completed until all the liquidity to a market.
legal and regulatory research and negotiation PARTICIPANTS
has been completed. If the derivatives market
Participants represent an essential factor in
is being created by the operator of an existing
ensuring some initial success and growing the
exchange and clearinghouse, the task of
market over the long term. Both the quality
adding derivatives rules is simplified since
and quantity of participation are important.
there are many areas – particularly in the
trading rules – which can be common to both Brokers
markets. Nevertheless, the scale of this task It is necessary to assess whether the brokers
should not be underestimated and it would be are prepared and whether there are enough
an unusual market operator that could draft, brokers to serve the market properly.
review and finish its new derivatives rules - Derivatives market planners always take the
with regulator approval – in less than 12 risk that nobody will participate and it is hard
months. to obtain enough meaningful up-front
Foreign participation commitment to avoid the chicken-and-egg
syndrome of there being no market without
Some regimes bar or severely limit foreign
the players and no players without a market.
participation in their capital markets. It is
It is nearly always a case of “build it and they
commonplace to hear allegations of hedge
will come”.
funds and the like manipulating markets by
using derivatives, especially in smaller, less- Each market is of course different but one
diversified markets and thus the foreigner-ban should look out for the following attributes
is often applied even more severely in amongst the broker community:
derivatives markets than in other market
segments. • Prior experience of derivatives at
some level
For options, a refusal to allow foreign
participation will probably greatly reduce • An understanding of the need to
efficiency. Options market maker skills, while market new products to clients
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• A positive attitude towards the three types of user. In practice, this rarely
product happens and the market tends to be
dominated by one group or another.
This last point seems a little nebulous and
unhelpful but a negative broker attitude to Critical mass
new products is not unusual. It needs to be There should be a critical mass of users. This
recognised that, even today, brokers are means there needs to be a variety of
essential to the success of a new derivatives unconnected participants. Proprietary traders
market and this is probably especially true in in particular can sometimes cluster within one
emerging markets. While it is true that or two dominant institutions (banks, very
brokers can be forced to provide services if often) and this is not a situation that favours
there is enough demand from enthusiastic growth in the market.
investors, the main conduit to persuade
investors to use the market will, for now, So if the market structure is one that does not
continue to be the broker sales channels. have reasonably diverse participation by
people with reasonably different potential
This is a problem because, to some brokers, market views, then this lowers the likelihood
the commercial attractions of having their of success for new derivatives contracts.
clients trade derivatives compared to trading
equities are just not there. They perceive that Having said this, any market that enjoys good
commissions are higher on stocks and that it liquidity in its underlying market – even if it is
is easier to spin stories about stocks than not from diverse sources - has the potential to
about derivatives. Particularly amongst older enjoy good liquidity in related derivatives
brokers, there is also the fear that they do not markets, provided a sufficient number of the
really understand the product and therefore conditions outlined in this document are met.
neither will their clients. While it is true that Speculators
the advent of on-line trading via the Internet
is changing this picture, it remains a fact that a Options markets often – though perhaps not
large proportion of exchange trading still always – thrive in a culture where there are
involves person-to-person communication few outlets for speculative trading. For
and things will remain that way for the time example, the Scandinavian and German
being. markets both experienced high levels of
options activity by retail investors: both
Once the on-line method has been fully societies are not really renowned for their
accepted, the attitudes of the brokers may recklessness on the casino floor and yet the
come to matter much less since investors will market penetration of options contracts was
decide what they want to trade and they will much higher there than in most other
derive their inspiration about trading countries.
strategies from the general market place rather
than from individual salesmen. At that time, There is no hard evidence to support any
the development strategy may well change correlation between a society’s appetite for
but, until then, the brokers are vital. gambling and the success of its derivatives
markets. But it can be shown that even where
The lesson here is that brokers need to be gambling is not a particularly popular pastime,
nurtured, encouraged and maybe even derivatives markets can succeed.
coerced into supporting the market.
Vested interests
Investors and users
In any circumstances, the people who benefit
A truly successful derivatives market will have from the status quo will oppose change. This
professional traders, retail investors and platitude is the major factor in preventing
institutions all contributing in reasonable innovation in the capital markets. One only
proportions and ideally, the types of brokers has to look at the failure of the forex markets
one targets when trying to secure participation to evolve into a transparent exchange model:
will be ones who can provide a mix of all this must be entirely due to the fact that all
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An account of the most important conditions This is excellent for institutions who need to
required to support market making is given in deal in size and are looking for liquidity in
AMSL’s white paper, “Improving Liquidity.” large chunks rather than having to fight their
way through a quagmire of small orders. But it
MARKET DEVELOPMENT
is way too much for many retail investors: the
Product design initial margin - the amount needed to open a
“Throwing spaghetti at the wall and seeing position – can be as much as $25,000 or more.
what sticks.” This is how many people have Some markets have dealt with this dilemma by
characterised the approach to product introducing a second “mini-“ futures contract
development in the world’s derivatives and have had some success with this – the
exchanges. CME introduced a $50 multiplier for the
For a start-up exchange, the safest approach is S&P500 thus offering a contract one-fifth the
obviously to introduce standard products that size of the main one. But this situation came
have been tried and successfully tested about in the first place because of increases in
elsewhere. There are very few products that market capitalisation in the years since the
satisfy this standard: index futures and index contract was first launched. Starting out with
options and debt and commodity futures a mini-contract may not be necessary or wise
appear to have the highest success rate. since it runs the risk of the mini- becoming a
maxi- if the index rises a great deal over time
Equity derivatives (or becoming a midget- if the index falls a lot).
Equities tend to be the most actively traded In cases where the index is dominated by one
and closely followed financial instruments in stock13, care needs to be taken to avoid the
most markets – both emerging and developed. index becoming nothing more than an index
For this reason, they are obvious prime on that stock. The commonest solution is to
candidates for derivatives contracts. apply weighting to the stocks to avoid that
Futures domination and to avoid duplication of cross-
holdings. Some indexes are based on “free
Stock index futures tend to be the most float” rather than on the total number of
popular and most successful equity derivatives shares in issue, although this sometimes might
and it is most likely that a properly designed make the concentration worse. Most markets
index future on a benchmark index will now have indexes compiled for them by
succeed, provided the overall market is active specialists such as Morgan Stanley (in a joint
and there is no existing competing contract venture with Capital International), Standard
available locally. The design of the index itself & Poors, Salomon Smith Barney, the
and the way in which settlement is calculated Financial Times etc. A start-up market will
upon expiry can have important implications ideally want to use an index that already has
for the success of the contract. The some recognition and acceptance
settlement method needs to be one which
minimises the potential for market However, some agencies charge for the use of
manipulation. their trademark and for this reason it may be
desirable for the exchange to create its own
Also the “multiplier” is important: the index. Tailor-made indices have been created
underlying value of the index needs to be high by exchanges in some markets e.g. The
enough to make it attractive to large Philadelphia Stock Exchange created several
institutions but not so large that it shuts out indices for different market sectors purely for
the small investor. The multiplier is used to the purpose of trading options and were quite
calculate the value of the underlying contract. successful. Some of these (like SOX – the
For example, the multiplier for the S&P500 semi-conductor index) actually became
futures at the CME is $250 per point so, when
the S&P500 stands at 1000, one futures
contract is equal to $250,000. Every one 13
Like Finland, where Nokia has at times represented
point change is equal to $250 profit or loss. 80% of the entire market capitalisation.
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Derivatives Market Development (White Paper)
markets in warrants is the warrant issuer itself • The value of individual futures
– this introduces potential conflicts and contracts are generally many times
complexities that need to be resolved by higher than those for ETFs which
transparent and effective regulation. makes it possible, using the futures
Exchange-traded funds market, to trade a much larger
quantity of underlying exposure in a
Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are not single trade. To trade the equivalent
typically regarded as derivatives but, because exposure using ETFs requires an
they provide an alternative to index futures, it appropriate amount of market depth
is worth noting a few points about them. A in the ETF. (Of course, market rules
number of different legal structures are used can be changed so that this difference
to create them but, from the end-users point is eliminated but, in established
of view, all ETFs are essentially the same: a markets, that is sometimes easier said
means of trading a basket of securities under than done). For this reason, large
one stock exchange symbol. Instead of institutions use the futures markets to
buying all the securities individually, a establish large positions more quickly
structure is created whereby an institution - which they subsequently switch into
holds the securities on the investor’s behalf. the underlying market having
Each unit represents a basket of securities and established their entry (or exit) price.
investors can buy or sell many units at a time,
as with regular shares. • It is generally easy to enter a short
position using futures and hard to do
The most popular ETFs are those based on so with ETFs (because of short
benchmark indices i.e. the same indices as the selling restrictions that prevail in
most popular index futures are based on. most markets and the need to borrow
Both ETFs and index futures give investors the security - which may not be
the same profile. However, there are a available at short notice)
number of substantial differences between the
two products: It is apparent from this that futures are a
short-term trading tool while ETFs are
• Dividends are paid into the ETF appropriate for longer-term position taking.
structure so that the investor actually The main benefit of index futures is that they
realises the dividend income from the are cheaper to trade in the short term and
underlying stocks in the basket. therefore attract liquidity, especially from
Futures do not pay dividends. speculators and those who need to enter or
• Index Futures have an expiry date on exit from a large position reasonably quickly.
which the final profit or loss on the But it is interesting to note that lower costs
position is paid out. An investor who and ease of trading are not really inherent
wants to retain exposure to the index characteristics of futures themselves: with the
must roll the position over, which possible exception of short selling constraints
costs money. An ETF does not arising from the need to borrow the security,
expire. all the characteristics of futures and ETFs are
“man-made”, and so any respective
• Futures can be bought or sold on
advantages or disadvantages could, in theory,
margin, meaning that the exposure
be neutralised by changing those
can often be created at a much lower
characteristics (e.g. by reducing the cost of
capital outlay than with ETFs which,
margin trading for ETFs).
as securities, are generally subject to
much tougher margin rules. The On balance, however, a developing market
reason for this lies in the complex should probably support both products and
history of securities industry allow local conditions to dictate whether one
regulation. or the other – or both – will thrive.
international in scope. For example, consider On the other hand, excessive volatility is not a
the metals traded at the London Metal good thing either. The clearinghouse needs to
Exchange (LME): even a Japanese buyer of be reasonably confident that there will not be
copper would contract to buy from a Chilean serious price spikes. Some exchanges “deal”
producer using LME reference pricing, as with this by imposing price movement limits
reported from the exchange in London. – but these are of limited use in preventing
chronic volatility and an excessively volatile
For these reasons, new derivatives exchanges
contract often stops trading altogether.
ought to give serious consideration to
Electricity prices have been subject to excess
commodities. Having said this, there are
volatility and this has created problems in
more failures than successes and so it is
establishing a market in electricity products.
important to identify a commodity for which
natural local interest exists. A contract that Infrastructure
exists purely to attract speculative interest will Clearing
probably not last long – such contracts tend
to be quickly closed down by regulators even It is sensible to allow the clearinghouse some
if they are successful. independence from the exchange, even if the
exchange owns the clearinghouse.
One of the main issues for commodity
contracts is the method of delivery on First, clearing house personnel need to be
expiration – should the contract be physically focussed on risk management and the best
delivered or settled in cash based on a interests of all market participants without
settlement price? Physical hedgers and undue interference from exchange operators
regulators customarily prefer the former, and governing brokers. The clearinghouse
market operators and speculators prefer the may need to take steps which may not be seen
latter. This can sometimes lead to contention as being in the best interests of the executives
and much consultation and effort needs to be of the exchange or the member firms.
spent in determining which method will be Secondly, if a clearing house does suffer a
used. The dangers of price manipulation are major default which results in its having to use
often greater in a cash-settled market than in a its own assets, it is not desirable that the
physically-delivered market. exchange’s assets should be exposed in this
It should also be noted that the creation of an way and so it should be under a separate
index is not necessarily limited to equities; ownership structure. In this regard, the desire
cash-settled commodity indexes can also be of the exchange to protect its assets has the
created and there have been some cases where effect of creating a natural independence on
resultant derivatives contracts have traded the part of the clearinghouse.
successfully. It is also preferable to use an existing clearing
General institution for clearing new derivatives rather
than setting up a new one – this makes it
Perhaps the keywords for designing a new easier for members who will generally prefer
derivatives contract are: Simple & Relevant. to be members of as few organisations as
The concept needs to be easy to state and for possible. It also lowers costs for members
investors to understand and it needs to be and eliminates one of the set-up risks –
relevant to the natural risk management needs namely that people may prefer not to
of the investor. subscribe for membership of a new
Derivatives are supposed to be all about risk clearinghouse15.
management and the importance of this
should not be overlooked: an asset which 15
However, the received wisdom that a single clearing
does not exhibit much medium term volatility house is always better than multiple clearing houses is
is not likely to attract enough liquidity for a questionable. First, competition between clearing
derivatives contract (another reason why houses can be a good thing since it can promote
property futures never succeeded). innovation without compromising standards (assuming
that the regulators are monitoring the quality of the risk
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Derivatives Market Development (White Paper)
Sometimes this marketing effort needs skills local market – something which can work to
that do not naturally arise in an exchange everybody’s benefit.
environment and the organisation needs to be
WHAT NEXT?
bold in how it recruits people to take on the
marketing role. The types of people who Determining viability
enjoy working in a regulatory environment Having looked at all these factors, how should
(such as prevails in the traditional stock a market operator approach the task of
exchange) will probably not have the skills or deciding on its derivatives plan?
inclinations to be effective in marketing
derivatives. In terms of priority, it is recommended that
the following issues be addressed, more or
Education less in sequence. The broad headings that
The Marketing effort can only be effective if it need to be addressed are those described in
is accompanied by a responsible and effective this paper; the specific issues to be looked at
education program. The education program will vary from market to market.
needs to be aimed at professionals and Legal and Regulatory
investors. As mentioned above, regulators
will probably require that brokers pass an Are derivatives legal? If not, can the law be
examination before being allowed to market changed and will it take an acceptable amount
derivatives to clients. of time to change?
Training courses can also be a useful source Is there political support for the introduction
of revenue for a derivatives exchange. In fact of derivatives?
it is not unknown, in the early stages of a new Intermediaries
market, for exchanges to make more money
from selling training courses than from actual Is there a constituency of intermediaries who
trading! (Of course there is a commercial will promote and encourage use of the
argument for giving away courses for free in market?
the hope of encouraging participation). Do those intermediaries have access to the
Academia requisite skills to service a derivatives
exchange, clearing house and customer base?
A good relationship with local academics can
be useful for two purposes: first, academics Underlying instruments
can be marshalled to provide support in Is there an investor class that actually values
making the argument described above (5.3.1) the ability to manage risk in the underlying
about the benefits of derivatives. Business instruments that are being proposed?
schools tend to be enthusiastic supporters of
derivatives and open markets and academics Funding
are generally respected by the public. The creation of a derivatives market requires
Secondly, educational institutions can provide investment in people and systems. Is there
material and resources for running training adequate funding to create the necessary
courses16. infrastructure?
Academics also value the opportunity to carry If there is serious doubt about any of these
out research studies on local market issues, then consideration should be given to
behaviour and the effect of derivatives in the delaying the project until such time as those
doubts can be eradicated.
16
It should be noted, however, that academics generally Project team requirements
do not necessarily make good trainers for public courses
on derivatives. Some of them may believe that If all of these questions can be answered in
everybody shares their enthusiasm for things like the positive, then the process of building a
deriving the Black Scholes formula from first principles market can commence. The development
and this is definitely not the case. It may sometimes be
better to use professional trainers.
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Derivatives Market Development (White Paper)
project will contain the following flexibility to handle derivatives trading. If the
responsibility groupings: intention is to trade futures only then it is
probably feasible to use a cash market based
Product development: What will be traded
system, but if options are to be traded, then it
and how those products will be traded and
will be necessary to use a system that has been
cleared.
specifically built with options functionality.
Technology: Requirements capture, project Few systems used by cash market exchanges
management and implementation. today have the requisite flexibility to handle
derivatives without undergoing major
Legal and Regulatory: Conversion of
modifications.
operational policy into rigorously defined
Rules and Procedures, liaison with regulators A similar argument applies to the clearing of
and government on matters in need of derivatives – indeed more so since the
resolution. business functionality in clearing is more
complex than in trading. Again there will be a
Marketing and Education: Developing
requirement for specific functionality capable
education and promotional materials and
of handling derivatives clearing - functionality
operating and administering courses.
which is quite different from that used by
Clearly, these roles need to be played by cash market clearing systems.
people with the requisite skills and experience.
For these reasons, it may be hard to use the
While derivatives experience will be
market’s existing systems and it will therefore
important, it is only one component and the
be necessary to buy in, significantly modify
majority of the personnel involved in the
existing systems or develop from scratch.
project will not need in-depth derivatives
The latter is only recommended if the
skills, as long as the team has access to that
exchange has access to the appropriate
expertise in the form of connections to
expertise because there is no point in
exchanges, financial institutions, technology
reinventing the wheel, provided there is an
firms, consultants and so forth.
adequate alternative in the form of an existing
As with most commercial endeavours, the trading and clearing systems from established
core of the team will, more than anything, suppliers. If the costs of buying in are
need management and business skills – the exorbitant, then an in-house build be
ability to understand the task and get it done considered but it is then important to be
well, on time and on budget. These are aware of the higher risks that are attached to
almost certainly of greater importance than that approach.
specific derivatives expertise, which can
However, it is important not to look to the
always be externally acquired as needed.
budgets of developed markets when assessing
Also, these roles will probably carry over likely costs. Very large exchanges and clearing
intact into the operational phase after going organisations have tended to spend enormous
live, with the addition of an Operations team amounts of money building their systems.
that will run the exchange and clearing on a Today, there are many, many trading systems
day-to-day basis. available in the marketplace. The basic tools,
Project components, costs and timeline
appropriate to the size of market that is being
proposed, can be developed at a much lower
Technology cost than that incurred by larger markets.
It is impossible to assess exactly how much a Clearing is more of a challenge; there are few
project should cost, the cost is clearly “packages” available for derivatives clearing.
dependent on the proposed market’s scale and It is our belief that it is possible to an
complexity. A significant portion of the costs inexpensive derivatives clearing capability; the
can be contained by using existing technology important thing is to clearly define
- perhaps that used by the stock exchange, requirements and adopt a technology model
provided the software has the requisite that is adaptive to business requirements,
rather than the other way round. Such particularly if they require the co-operation
technology does exist and is available at a and support of people who are not
reasonable price. stakeholders in the enterprise and who are
therefore less motivated to move quickly.
The creation of an effective, but inexpensive
trading and clearing infrastructure can best be Most green field, start-up derivatives markets
achieved by using a professional team that require at least a couple of years to be ready to
understands the business domain as well as go live.
the technology domain, and has had
Risks and rewards
experience in implementing these systems
before. There are generic project risks faced in
building a derivatives market and these are no
In the long run, costs will be kept low by different from any new business venture that
adopting the same infrastructure for trading involves technology. Some of the particular
both cash and derivatives. The same applies factors that could jeopardise a successful
to clearing. The benefits are not only lower derivatives market launch:
costs, but a more dynamic and liquid
marketplace17. • Selection of inappropriate technology
– using the wrong basic platform for
Legal and regulatory
a market which may have its own
Legal and regulatory costs will be driven by somewhat unique requirements
the degree to which the existing legal and
regulatory infrastructure is “derivatives- • Failure to garner the support of key
friendly”. If laws need to be changed, the players throughout the project: in
costs of changing those laws could be particular members, regulators, banks
immense since they may involve government and – to some extent - investors
lobbying. But if the issues are limited to • Committing to a launch date too early
regulatory policy that does not require in the process. Serious delays can be
changes to primary legislation, then costs will very damaging to credibility and there
be much lower. is no need to commit to a date until it
Timeline is clear that the target can be met.
How long should the project take? It really • Forgetting that regulators effectively
depends on its complexity and the readiness have a veto. Regulatory approval is
of the existing environment to incorporate the needed before the market can go live
new market. For a relatively simple market and that that approval can sometimes
operated by a public exchange with an existing be slow in coming. It always sounds
clearing infrastructure in place, free of major like a weak excuse to “blame the
legal impediments and using flexible and regulator”.
proven technology, the development period
High trading volumes are rarely achieved and
could be as little as 12 months (from forming
sustained from day one. It takes time for a
the project team to testing and going live).
new market to establish itself. The reward of
But this would be the exception - there can be
getting it right is not merely the satisfaction of
many legitimate reasons why such a timeline
seeing good volumes on your exchange. The
cannot be met. Factors such as delays in
bigger reward is that a successful derivatives
regulatory approval, inadequate member
market provides investors with extremely
readiness and problems with integration into
valuable tools that allow them to manage risk,
the financial infrastructure (e.g. banking
which in turn gives them greater confidence in
interfaces) can cause significant delays,
their ability to use the market properly. This
confidence is the ultimate guarantor of
17 liquidity and integrity in any marketplace and
See AMSL’s paper “Trading and Clearing Cash and
Derivatives on the Same Platform: The Trend Towards those are the real rewards over the long term.
Integration”
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Derivatives Market Development (White Paper)
Additional Reading
There is very material little published on the
practicalities of creating new derivatives
markets but the following documents contain
some valuable insights and analyses.
From the IMF: “Global Financial Stability
Report: Market Developments and Issues”,
December 2002, especially Chapter IV, The
Role Of Financial Derivatives In Emerging Markets:
http://www.imf.org/External/Pubs/FT/GFSR/2002/04/pdf
/chp4.pdf.