Professional Documents
Culture Documents
22
Why it matters
Lower costs, more investments
and improved government su-
increasingly integrated in the
world’s financial markets.
pervision are among the potential The financial services sector has
benefits arising out of liberalization expanded rapidly in recent years.
of trade in financial services, accord- The study notes that employment
ing to a new study by economists increased by 25 to 50% in a number
from the WTO Secretariat publish- of industrialized countries since
ed on 22 September. The study 1970 and now represents 3 to 5% of
highlights the importance of inter- total employment. Value-added in
national competition in banking, se- the financial service sector has also
curities and insurance markets while grown considerably over the past 25
acknowledging the critical need for years and now reaches between 7 and
preserving prudential policies to 13% of GDP in Hong Kong
safeguard financial systems for the (China), Singapore, Switzerland,
benefit of investors and consumers. and the United States.
The study, Open Markets in Fi- Financial service sector growth re-
nancial Services and the Role of the flects the rise in international finan-
GATS, explains that trade liberaliza- cial market activities. Lending and
tion in this sector will: Singapore’s banking district: an open and well- securities trading, and derivative
» enhance competition and im- regulated financial services sector in tandem with markets have experienced rapid
prove sectoral efficiency, leading macroeconomic stability have promoted growth. growth in the past 10 years, with
to lower costs, better quality, and many developing and transition
more choice of financial services; economies also benefitting from im-
» improve financial intermediation and investment oppor- proved international market access. Foreign ownership of
tunities through better resource allocation across sectors, banking assets, an indicator of commercial presence in this
countries and time, and through better means of manag- sector approaches 20% in the United States, Argentina and
ing risks and absorbing shocks; and Chile. Consequently, the study says, cross-border trade in
» induce governments to improve macroeconomic manage- financial services more than tripled between 1985 and 1995
ment, domestic policy interventions in credit markets, and and now exceeds US$50 billion for the most important
financial sector regulation and supervision. trading countries. Data for the United States suggests that
trade via commercial presence in foreign markets is even
Effects on income and growth more important than cross-border trade.
The study identifies a number of challenges which must
Liberalization of financial services can have strong positive
be met if countries are to reap the full benefits from trade
effects on income and growth. Developed and developing
liberalization in the financial services sector. It states that
countries with open financial sectors have typically grown
“macroeconomic stability, structural policies which mini-
faster than those with closed regimes. The economic success
mize distortionary interventions in the financial sector and
of Hong Kong (China) and Singapore has been greatly
prudential regulation and supervision” must underpin the
facilitated by internationally-oriented financial service sec-
tors. Many developing countries such as Argentina, Brazil,
Ghana, Hungary, Indonesia, and Pakistan have become Continued on page 2
TRADE IN SERVICES
cial difficulties. Moreover, the management of monetary and
Financial services exchange rate policy falls outside the scope of the GATS.
(Continued from page 1) In its overall assessment concerning the benefits of trade
benefits of liberalization. The study notes that there is no liberalization and the challenges for Member governments,
universally applicable liberalization strategy and that the the study states: “The benefits from participating in the
specific circumstances of each country should be taken into multilateral negotiating process under the GATS, through
consideration. market access and national treatment commitments, can
The study stresses that maintaining the stability and accrue to countries without in any way compromising their
security of the financial services system is of paramount ability to pursue sound macroeconomic and regulatory poli-
importance. The authors point out that the General Agree- cies.” Indeed, notes the study, “there are circumstances
ment on Trade in Services (GATS) allows WTO Members where forward commitment to liberalization may help to
to take prudential measures to protect investors and to support the development of better macroeconomic and
ensure the integrity and stability of their domestic financial regulatory policies.”
systems. It also permits the use of temporary non-discrimi- The study, the first in a series of studies on topical issues,
natory restrictions on balance-of-payments and transfers in may be purchased for CHF 30.- from the WTO’s Publica-
the event of serious balance-of-payments and external finan- tions Division. Below is an excerpt from the study:
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TRADE IN SERVICES
ties, intended to gain or maintain preferential credit access eign banks and insurance companies (Zutshi, 1995; Agosin,
or other privileges, are also less feasible in a liberalized Tussie and Crespi, 1995).
environment. All these changes can reduce the operational The range of available services is likely to increase with
costs of providing financial services. Competition then more open markets, as consumers seek out ways of optimiz-
forces institutions to pass on cost-savings to consumers, and ing their financing and insurance packages. The emergence
the spreads between lending and deposit rates, commissions of many new financial instruments should be seen from this
or insurance premiums go down. perspective. In a liberal environment, companies can more
Liberalization can also improve service quality. With in- easily choose the optimal combination of equity, bonds or
creased competition, financial institutions are more likely to loans to finance their activities. Derivatives allow economic
be attentive to the needs of consumers, and to advise clients agents to hedge against the risk from interest or exchange
on how best to tailor financing packages to meet their rate fluctuations. Edey and Hviding (1995) report that
specific needs. In large insurance projects, for example, banks have started making more money from securities trade
support services for prevention, engineering and risk man- relative to traditional bank credits, as they have ventured into
agement can be very valuable, and competition is likely to new areas of business. Companies switched to bond financ-
improve such services (Carter and Dickinson, 1992). De- ing when this was cheaper than traditional credit-financing,
positors are also likely to benefit from better advice on and small savers started investing in various types of funds
investment strategies as financial institutions compete for to benefit from higher returns than in classical savings
their savings. accounts.
International trade can create significant benefits from the Trade in financial services can also reduce the systemic
transfer of knowledge and technology. This includes knowl- risk for small financial markets which are less able to absorb
edge on best practices in management, accounting, data large shocks. Liberalization can help to deepen and broaden
processing and in the use of new financial instruments. Such financial markets by increasing the volume of transactions
benefits largely depend on the commercial presence of for- and the spectrum of services, thus reducing volatility and the
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TRADE IN SERVICES
vulnerability to shocks. Shocks to the domestic market can (Jayaratne and Strahan, 1996).
also be absorbed more easily through the multinational It must be recognized that there are going to be adjust-
“parents” of local branches or through reinsurance in inter- ment costs from liberalization, at least in the short-term. Less
national markets (USITC, 1993). Goldstein and Turner efficient financial institutions with high operating costs are
(1996) report that relatively high shares of foreign ownership likely to suffer from competition. Companies and sectors
have helped to maintain stable banking systems in Hong which previously benefitted from preferential access to credit
Kong (China), Chile and Malaysia. may also lose. Some political costs to government are, there-
Empirical evidence for OECD countries shows signifi- fore, likely to arise from resistance by these groups to liber-
cant positive effects on financial sector efficiency associated alization. The transition period may also involve some
with liberalization. Liberalization by the United States and economic costs as output declines in the previously privi-
other NAFTA signatories, and between European Union leged sectors and resources are reallocated. These factors
Member States is often quoted in this context (Harris and suggest that it may be desirable to create safety nets to help
Piggot, 1997); and Box 1 illustrates the European Union firms and individuals deal with the costs of adjustment, but
experience in detail. Financial reform in OECD countries’ they should not put at risk the considerable benefits that flow
banking sectors has resulted in improvements in most indi- from financial sector liberalization.
cators of operational efficiency (Hoj, Kato and Pilat, 1995;
Levine, 1996). The table (page 5) illustrates that interest An open financial sector increases the
margins have been constant, despite a likely increase in the incentive for better macroeconomic policies
average riskiness of bank lending (as liberalization elimi- and regulation
nated the bias towards low-risk lending in many OECD
countries). This suggests that risk-adjusted lending-deposit
spreads have declined (Edey and Hviding, 1995). The same
T here are strong reasons to believe that liberalization of
financial services trade promotes better macroeconomic
policies and government regulation. First, monetary policy
table shows that competition squeezed the ratio of gross is likely to improve. Credit and interest ceilings often serve
income to capital. Competition forced companies to ration- as monetary policy instruments to control credit expansion
alize. Staff costs as a percentage of gross income have de- and inflation in a closed financial system. Liberalization
clined from an average of 40 per cent to 34 per cent between requires the replacement of such controls by indirect policy
the early 1980s and the early 1990s. Lower costs and com- instruments, such as open market operations, to control
petition have also driven down commissions by over 50 per liquidity. Indirect monetary policies are considered less dis-
cent during the same period. Automatic teller machines have tortionary and they help develop financial markets. Liberali-
become a common means of banking in all industrialized zation in the financial sector also puts pressure on
countries over the past decade. After liberalization of United governments to pursue prudent monetary, fiscal and ex-
States intrastate branching, the share of non-performing change rate policies. By the same token, it may be argued
loans declined by 12-38 per cent, and the share of loans to that liberalization strengthens the incentive for governments
“insiders” (connected lending) decreased by 25-40 per cent to eliminate distortionary interventions and to introduce
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TRADE IN SERVICES
ages in others. Some potentially profitable investments are,
Indicators of operational efficiency, therefore, not undertaken. Alternatively, investors can seek
selected OECD countries1 financing in the informal economy from money lenders or
(In per cent unless otherwise indicated) relatives. This is often very costly and the scope of invest-
ments becomes relatively limited.
1979-84 1985-89 1990-92
Liberalization of the financial services sector requires a
Net interest margin2 2.57 2.58 2.61
reduction of these kinds of direct financial market interven-
Gross income to capital3 0.76 0.73 0.65
tions, especially when they do not address market imperfec-
Staff costs to gross incomes3 0.40 0.35 0.34 tions. Their reduction (or elimination) changes relative
Average commissions4 0.50 0.33 0.25 funding costs, and capital is redirected away from previous
Bid-ask spreads5 0.32 0.13 ... “priority” sectors into investments with the highest (risk-ad-
Automatic teller machines6 95 186 379 justed) return. As a result, loan costs rise in sectors which
(per million inhabitants)
previously benefitted from cross-subsidization. In other sec-
Sources: Edey and Hviding (1995), Piggott and Harris (1997) tors, however, borrowing costs fall and a broader spectrum
1
Weighted average of commercial banks in United States, Japan, Ger-
many (all banks), France, Italy, Canada, Belgium, Denmark (all banks), of investments can be financed. Small or less well-connected
Finland, Greece, Luxembourg, Norway (all banks), Portugal (all banks), investors are likely to attain better access to the financial
Spain (all banks), Sweden and Switzerland. 2Also including United system when previously they could only borrow informally.
Kingdom. 3Gross income defined as net interest revenues plus fee This can have positive effects on income distribution.2
income. Income from “net interest and fees” is expressed as a ratio to
capital rather than assets in this table because asset growth understates
the growth of the total banking business. 4UK equities (per cent). Liberalization may improve inter-temporal
5
Eurocurrency deposits (percentage points). Simple average of US dol- and international resource allocation
lar, pound sterling, French franc, Deutsche mark and Japanese yen.
Average of daily spreads. 6Average of the United States, Japan, Germany,
France, Italy, United Kingdom, Canada, Belgium, Denmark, Finland,
Netherland, Norway and Sweden.
Open and more efficient financial markets affect savings
and investment and improve the inter-temporal alloca-
tion of resources. Competition among financial institutions,
the liberalization of interest rates, and the emergence of new
adequate prudential regulation and supervision of financial savings instruments are likely to increase the returns to
institutions. As discussed in another section, financial insti- investments. This stimulates aggregate savings and higher
tutions can be quite vulnerable to macroeconomic instability investments which, in turn, boost growth. However, easier
and inappropriate government regulation. availability of credit, particularly consumer credit, can have
Much emphasis has been placed on the dangers for the the opposite effect and reduce aggregate savings. The em-
financial system emanating from failures in the macroe- pirical evidence is mixed. Hoj, Kato and Pilat (1995) do not
conomic and regulatory sphere. The opportunities arising find a significant effect from liberalization on aggregate
from using financial services trade liberalization as a pre- savings in OECD countries. King and Levine (1993), how-
commitment device for complementary reform in these ever, report that the quantity of investment is strongly
areas have been less well publicized. Pre-commitment to correlated with financial sector development. Data from the
simultaneous financial services trade liberalization, and World Economic Forum (1997) also suggest a positive link
macroeconomic and regulatory reform can help bring about between a strong financial sector with high-quality financial
the benefits from more trade as well as from more financial intermediation and the level of savings and investment in
and macroeconomic stability. In fact, credible policy pre- developing countries. The top ten countries in the Forum’s
commitments to good and stable policy making are now ranking in terms of the quality of the financial sector record
considered key in explaining rapid growth and development average levels of savings and investment of over 33 per cent
(see, e.g., Borner, Brunetti and Weder, 1996; World Bank, of GDP, while countries figuring among the lowest ten have
1997a). Moreover, there is evidence of beneficial links be- average ratios of 22 per cent.
tween open markets and economic stability. In Indonesia, Even if aggregate savings and investment are not always
for example, open financial markets are often credited with affected, liberalization of the financial services sector can
a beneficial effect on macroeconomic stability in the past have beneficial effects on individual income streams. Con-
decades (World Bank, 1997). It is reported that in Hong sumer credits, for example, facilitate more stable consump-
Kong (China) and Singapore (Box 2), a rapidly developing, tion over time (“consumption smoothing”). This can be a
open and well-regulated financial services sector, in tandem valuable choice for people with volatile incomes or for those
with macroeconomic stability, have together strengthened hit by unemployment (Edey and Hviding, 1995). The rapid
the economy and promoted growth. development of life insurance and private retirement insur-
ance in recent years allow consumers to make their own
Other benefits typically arise as distortionary domestic provisions for old age, accidents and sickness (Skipper,
regulation is removed in the context of liberalization. Highly 1996). Given rapidly aging populations in many countries,
regulated financial markets, for example, often feature inter- especially the industrialized countries, the beneficial effect
est rate controls and credit ceilings for individual institu- which financial market liberalization has on opportunities
tions. Lending interventions by governments funnel for individual consumption smoothing and insurance
resources into priority sectors or the financing of govern- should not be underestimated.
ment deficits. This can lead to distortions, especially when 2
It may be noted that similar positive distributional effects are likely to arise
interest rates are below market level and require cross-sub- with more stable macroeconomic policy. This is because, in an inflationary
sidization from other lending. The inefficient use of scarce environment, the less well-off are more likely to hold their assets in liquid
capital in some sectors results in credit-rationing and short- form and are less able to hedge effectively against rising prices.
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TRADE IN SERVICES
Liberalization of the financial services sector improves the
potential for risk management and insurance. With access Chart 1a. Total Banking Assets, 1994 (US$ billion - logarithmic scale).
likely to adjust their portfolios accordingly. Very large and Hong Kong (China)
Brazil
risky projects which promise a high expected rate of return Korea, Rep. of
Singapore
Mexico
can, nonetheless, go ahead more easily. The small trader who Thailand
India Developed Countries
can receive better or cheaper insurance for his trade or Malaysia
South Africa
Developing and
Czech Rep.
investment activities, or who can hedge the related currency Hungary
Uruguay
Transition Countries
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TRADE POLICIES
considerable tariff re-
TPRB: Benin duction on internal
Strong encouragement trade in agreed prod-
ucts. The estab-
to accelerate reform lishment of a
common external tar-
The Trade Policy Review Body (TPRB) concluded its first iff was planned for 1
review of Benin’s trade policies on 15 and 16 September 1997. January 1998.
Excerpts from the Chairperson’s concluding remarks:
Benin in the
B enin was commended on the institutional reforms and
positive macroeconomic performance since 1990. These
multilateral
trading system
had been reflected in solid economic growth, improved
Members highlighted
public finances and a modest rate of inflation. Some Mem-
Benin’s status as a least
bers expressed concern about the high dependency of Be-
developed country,
nin’s trade structure on cotton exports, and its vulnerability
and its concomitant
to trade policy changes in Nigeria. In this regard, they
special position
inquired about plans for diversification of export products
within the multilat-
and destinations.
eral trading system. It
In response, the representative of Benin noted his govern-
was suggested that Members responded positively to a
ment’s long-standing concern over the country’s depend-
ence on a single crop, and efforts to diversify the economy, ways should be found call by Benin’s Minister of Trade,
particularly agricultural production. He noted that three- of ensuring more Handicraft and Tourism Gatien
fourths of all economic activity takes place in the informal regular participation Houngbedji for a concrete pro-
sector, which the Government considered a key element to by Benin in the work gramme of assistance to the LDCs.
support Benin’s growth. Thus, a vast programme was in of the WTO. Partici- (Photo by Tania Tang/WTO)
place to provide a proper framework for informal activities, pants also invited Be-
and eventually incorporate them into the formal economy. nin to specify its needs for technical assistance in order to
Generally, Members appreciated the considerable steps benefit most from WTO Agreements.
taken by Benin to liberalize its import markets, and to reduce In response, the representative of Benin hoped that the
export restrictions. Benin was urged to continue its trade High Level Meeting on Least Developed Countries would
liberalization and to embed it within the rules and principles result in commitments to improve access to markets, in-
of the multilateral trading system by increasing its binding crease the competitive capacity of LDCs through training
commitments. and information for private and public sector operators, and
Questions were raised over the justification for the con- create a system to protect and encourage investment in
tinuing export ban on food products (produits vivriers), and LDCs. He stressed the need to maintain differential treat-
about plans for the future liberalization of remaining state ment for developing countries during the transition period,
monopolies. Details were also requested on Benin’s use of and to provide effective assistance to LDCs. In his view, the
rules of origin under the WAEMU Agreement. Members survival of the multilateral trading system depended on its
sought confirmation that Benin maintained no investment capacity to reduce inequalities and increase trade on the basis
schemes notifiable under the TRIMs Agreement. of each member’s comparative advantage. He therefore
In response, the representative of Benin noted that Benin called for a concrete programme of assistance and informa-
did not maintain any local content requirements outside tion to LDCs to implement the WTO Agreements, partici-
those contained in the rules of origin under the WAEMU pate in future negotiations, train producers to satisfy
and ECOWAS Agreements in order to qualify for preferen- international standards in export markets and prepare strate-
tial treatment. gies for the development of trade, and provided a list of
specific areas in which Benin would require such assistance.
Regional integration
****
Members took note of Benin’s recent efforts to increase
participation in regional trade agreements, including the Members welcomed the important steps taken in recent
customs union planned among WAEMU countries, In this years by Benin towards a more open and liberal economy,
respect, many participants asked about the prospects for the through constitutional, legislative and administrative re-
union, its expected timing, and whether it would lead to the forms and privatization programmes. They emphasized the
abolition of non-tariff measures and the creation of an importance of diversification of the economy and the need
internal market within the union. Members emphasized the for development to be pursued on a sustainable basis.
risk that the tariff convergence required by a customs union Members also stressed the importance of further steps to
could lead to MFN tariff increases in Benin. increase predictability, transparency and certainty in Benin’s
In response, the representative of Benin declared that trade practices. The need for improved access in various
WAEMU’s fundamental objectives were to ensure rapid fields of services was particularly noted. Overall, Members
convergence towards an economic union, with a common offered strong encouragement to Benin to continue and
market based on the free circulation of people, goods, serv- accelerate the reform process in all economic areas and
ices and capital. Important achievements to date included responded positively to Benin’s requests for assistance in the
the removal of all non-tariff barriers to internal trade, and a framework of WTO activities.
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WTO FOCUS
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