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ABSTRACT
A damage probability matrix is developed for buildings in Accra. The aim is to provide a tool for estimating future
seismic losses in the Accra Metropolitan Area that can be applied to existing building inventories. The matrix
categorises buildings according to their structural form, construction material and state of deterioration. The
vulnerability of each category is assessed from an account of the performance of similar building structures during
the Accra Earthquake of 22nd June 1939. Repair costs are estimated for the different levels of damage experienced.
The vulnerability assessment accounts for the variation in intensities that were observed as a result of the underlying
rock type. As an example of the possible use of this matrix, data acquired through building surveys, conducted for
calculating property rates, were used to estimate the likely level of damage for one area in the city.
KEY WORDS : Damage probability matrix, Damage factor, Seismic events, Seismic risk, Seismic vulnerability
INTRODUCTION
The results show that many buildings cannot be
Earthquakes have been reported with increasing relied upon to withstand the levels of seismic action
frequency in the news recently. Major events in likely to be imposed, without excessive damage.
Turkey and India in particular have highlighted how
great the loss of life and property can be when the The results also provide a measure of the losses that
housing stock includes highly vulnerable buildings. are likely to be incurred if Accra experiences another
earthquake of similar magnitude. The significant
The vulnerability of buildings to earthquakes should degree of vulnerability highlights the need for an
thus be seen as an important issue for countries that introduction of guidelines for the design of buildings
are economically weak, as they are less likely to have in Accra. The assessment also provides a useful tool
the resources required for a recovery should there be for disaster preparedness and mitigation efforts.
a major disaster. Ghana is such a developing country
that is currently facing economic difficulties. ASSESSMENT OF SEISMIC VUNERABILITY
The Damage Probability Matrix Information on buildings within an area of Accra was
obtained from property record sheets prepared by the
A Damage Probability Matrix was set up from Land Valuation Board for the evaluation of property
information given in reports of the 1939 Accra rates. The area selected is classified as Division 4 of
earthquake (2) for three categories of building and the Ayawaso Sub Metro. The assessment covered
earthquake intensities ranging from VI –IX on the blocks one to seven. The most notable building in the
Modified Mercalli Scale (Table 5). area is the Accra Girls Secondary School. This was
not covered by the inventory.
It is suggested that buildings in poor condition should
be treated by increasing their vulnerability level. Thus The record sheets gave an indication of the number of
a poorly constructed or deteriorating sandcrete block storeys, building use, quality of finishes, condition,
building could be classified as being as vulnerable as replacement cost, floor area and general shape in plan
an adobe building and a reinforced concrete building of the building. Most buildings were inspected in
as being as vulnerable as a sandcrete block building. 1982. Some records were updated in 1986 and 1997.
The probability of a building being in a particular Buildings were classified according to materials used
damage state under a given intensity can be obtained in walls and the quality of their finishes. No
by multiplying the relevant central damage factor distinction was made between reinforced concrete
with the corresponding percentage probability of buildings and sandcrete block buildings that remained
damage. Thus under an intensity of VIII, one can unconfined by reinforced concrete elements.
expect an average of 4% or between 3% and 5% (ie
60% x 5% - 100% x 5%)of the sandcrete block In general, older buildings (Currently 25 years and
buildings (ie 80% x 5%) to reach a very severe above) with the lowest class of finishes would tend to
damage state.. have been constructed without beams and columns. If
this criterion was applied, approximately half the
Application of Matrix to an Area in Accra buildings with sandcrete block walls would be
classified as reinforced concrete framed structures.
This seems consistent with a 1996 survey of buildings
in Accra (5). Fifty percent of the buildings in the sandcrete block or Adobe buildings in Accra could be
inventory with sandcrete block walls are thus destroyed even during what may be considered by
assessed as reinforced concrete buildings. world standards to be a mild earthquake. This result
suggests a need for a program to retrofit or replace
Two hundred and nine (209) buildings were assessed such buildings as well as the need for an introduction
from the inventories. Three of them were 3-storey of new regulations for the construction of buildings in
buildings and six were 2-storey buildings. The rest Accra.
were 1-storey buildings. A summary of information
obtained is given in Table 6. CONCLUSION
Wall Material Wall Condition Number
Sandcrete block Good 152 This study has shown the possibility of assessing the
Cracked 23 vulnerability of buildings in Accra, under different
Adobe Good 24 levels of intensity, for an earthquake with
Cracked 10 characteristics that are similar to the 1939 Accra
Earthquake. The study has shown that intensity levels
Table 6: Summary of Inventory Contents may be assigned according to the geology of the area.
Results of a seismic vulnerability assessment of an
A map of the geology of the Accra area indicates that area of Accra, indicates a need for the introduction of
it is underlain by quartzite shale and phyllite (6). The guidelines for the construction of buildings in Accra .
site was classified as rock. An intensity of VII was
thus assumed. ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Sandcrete block walled buildings with cracks in their The Author wishes to acknowledge Mr B.O. Dormon
walls were assessed as having the vulnerability levels of the Land Valuation Board, Accra and his staff for
of adobe buildings. Upper limits of probability were making available property evaluation sheets for the
employed to assess adobe buildings in similar vulnerability assessment and for their assistance in
condition. interpreting their contents.
REFERENCES
Building Type Condition No Damage
State
1. Ambraseys,N.N., and Adams,R.D., 1986, The
2 3
Seismicity of West Africa, Annales Geophysicae,
Reinforced Good 76 0 0
4, B, 6, 679-702.
Concrete
Sandcrete Good 76 4 9 2. Junner,N.R, Bates,D.A., Tillotson,E. and
block Deakin,C.S., 1941, The Accra Earthquake of 22nd
Sandcrete Cracked 23 1 4 June, 1939, Bull. Geol. Surv. Gold Coast, No. 13
block
Adobe Good 24 2 4
Adobe Cracked 10 1 3 3. Rodríguez-Marek,A., Bray,J.D., Abrahamson,N.,
Total Numbers 209 8 20 1999, Task 3: Characterisation of Site Response -
Percentage Values 3.8% 9.5% General Site Categories, PEER Report 1999/03