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London roadshow

18-19 February 2008


Mikael Inglander
CFO
2007 – A successful and eventful year
• Profit attributable to shareholders increased 10% to SEK 12bn
– Net interest income increase by 20%
– Net commission income increased by 11%
• Swedish Banking show a stable result, low risks and high return on
equity
• Record result in Baltic Banking with balanced risks
• Swedbank Markets’ results on same level as last year’s all time high

A successful year despite global credit turmoil


and Baltic slowdown

(2)
Q4 2007 – Good development and strong results
• Good volume development in Sweden
– Stable margins on new lending
• Continued strong results in Baltic banking
– Economic slowdown align with expectations
• Strong finish of the year for Swedbank Markets
– Success in fixed income trading and structured investment products in
Sweden and corporate finance in Norway
• Swedbank Ukraine continues to develop well

Profit increased 7% compared with Q4 2006

(3)
Solid profit development
SEKm SEKm
17,000 17,000
15,000 15,000
13,000 13,000
11,000 11,000
9,000 9,000
7,000 7,000
5,000 5,000
3,000 3,000
1,000 1,000
-1,000 -1,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Profit before loan losses Capital gains EnterCard and KIAB


Loan losses, net* Operating profit (excl. capital gains)
(4)

*Loan losses, net = write-offs + provisions – recoveries + change in property taken over
Strong position for profitability and growth

Sweden Baltics Ukraine and Russia

Swedbank is the leading bank in The Baltic economies are Swedbank has a small but
Sweden. Profitability is high and experiencing strong economic growing presence in Ukraine and
stable and the bank is growth that is expected to remain Russia . Long-term, a significant
consolidating its market shares in for many years. As the largest share of Swedbank’s growth will
important segments in both the bank in the region, growing with be generated in these markets.
private and corporate sectors. the market ensures Swedbank an
attractive earnings growth.

Growth and Future growth and


Stable base
experience profitability

Share of profit Share of profit Share of profit


2007: 66% 2007: 32% 2007: 2%

Share of lending Share of lending Share of lending


2007: 80% 2007: 16% 2007: 2%

(5)
Minor direct effects from the credit turmoil

Q4 Q3
Valuation- and accounting effects, SEK M 2007 2007

Swedbank Markets – 40 – 60

Group Treasury, liquidity portfolio –5 – 68

Group Treasury, intra-group lending 20 – 90

Swedbank Mortgage 66 – 129

(6)
Business volumes
Savings Lending
SEKbn SEKbn
500 1,200
1,103
398 401
1,000 919
400
334
289 800
300
600
475
200 425 390
400 333
102
100 84
200
24 31 53 77 74 100
13 19 34 61
0 0
Deposits, Deposits, AM funds, AM funds, Structured Lending, Private, Corporate, Private, Corporate, Other
Sweden Baltics Sweden Baltics products, Group Sweden Sweden Baltics Baltics
bonds
Dec, 2006 Dec, 2007 Dec, 2006 Dec, 2007

(7)
Credit quality, group
%

0.64
0.56
0.48
0.40
0.32
0.24
0.16
0.08
0.00
-0.08
2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007
Loan loss ratio, net Share of impaired loans
Share of provisions
(8)
Margins

% Lending Deposits
%
6.0 6.0

5.0 5.0

4.0 4.0

3.0 3.0

2.0 2.0

1.0 1.0

0.0 0.0
Q3- Q4- Q1- Q2- Q3- Q4- Q3- Q4- Q1- Q2- Q3- Q4-
06 06 07 07 07 07 06 06 07 07 07 07
Estonia Latvia Estonia Latvia
Lithuania Sweden Lithuania Sweden

(9)
Swedish Banking
• Continued stable earnings and high profitability
SEKm % • Strong corporate lending during Q4
5,000 0.7
– Total lending increased by 4% vs. Q3 and 14%
4,500 during the full year
0.6
4,000 • Continued good deposit trend
3,500 0.5
– Deposits increased by 3% vs. Q3 and 15% during
3,000 0.4 the full year
2,500 • Share of new savings from households
0.3
2,000 increased to 18% (17% in Dec 06)
1,500 0.2 • Rise in funding costs are gradually, but with
1,000 certain delay, passed on through higher lending
0.1
500 rates
0 0.0 • Minor valuation effects as a consequence of the
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 turmoil on the credit market
06 06 06 07 07 07 07
• Covered bonds as from Q2 2008
• In agreement to sell 8 branches to savings
Income Costs C/I-ratio banks
• Swedish economy still relatively strong.
(10)
Baltic Banking Operations
• Continued high profitability
SEKm %
• Net interest income increased 7% vs. Q3
2,400 0.5
2,200 • Lending growth in 2007 was 33%, the gradual
2,000
0.4 slowdown is expected to continue
1,800
1,600 • Weak trading income due to market turmoil
1,400 0.3
• Costs affected by
1,200
1,000 – Annual wage increases in Latvia and Lithuania,
0.2
800 hits P&L as of October every year
600 – Investments in operational excellence project
0.1
400
for increased productivity
200
0 0.0 – High marketing costs.
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
06 06 06 07 07 07 07

Income Costs C/I-ratio

(11)
Credit quality, Baltic Banking
2.0% Share of impaired loans (12 month old portfolio)

1.5%

1.0%

0.5%

0.0%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Estonia Latvia Lithuania Baltics Group

2.0% Loan loss ratio, net (average portfolio)

1.2%

0.4%

-0.4% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

-1.2%

-2.0%
(12)
Estonia Latvia Lithuania Group
Decreasing Baltic lending growth
8,000 Hansabank, Estonia 60% 7,000 Hansabank, Latvia 100%
90%
7,000 6,000
50% 80%
6,000 5,000 70%
40%
5,000 60%
4,000
4,000 30% 50%
3,000 40%
3,000
20% 30%
2,000
2,000
20%
10% 1,000
1,000 10%
0 0% 0 0%
05/Jun

06/Jun

07/Jun

05/Jun

06/Jun

07/Jun
05/Mar

06/Mar

07/Mar

05/Mar

06/Mar

07/Mar
05/Sep

06/Sep

07/Sep

05/Sep

06/Sep

07/Sep
05/Dec

06/Dec

07/Dec

05/Dec

06/Dec

07/Dec
6,000 Hansabank, Lithuania 70% 20,000 Baltic Banking 70%
18,000
5,000 60% 60%
16,000
50% 14,000 50%
4,000
40% 12,000 40%
3,000 10,000
30% 8,000 30%
2,000 6,000
20% 20%
1,000 4,000
10% 10%
2,000
0 0% 0 0%
05/Jun

06/Jun

07/Jun

05/Jun

06/Jun

07/Jun
05/Mar

06/Mar

07/Mar

05/Mar

06/Mar

07/Mar
05/Sep

06/Sep

07/Sep

05/Sep

06/Sep

07/Sep
05/Dec

06/Dec

07/Dec

05/Dec

06/Dec

07/Dec
1 1
0 0 (13)
0Total lending, EURm YoY growth
0
, 0
%
0
0
Baltic macro development
• Economic slowdown in Estonia continues: GDP growth slows from ~7% in 2007 to ~5% in
2008; the bottom of the cycle is expected to be in Q2 2008
• In Latvia growth slows from ~10.5% to 6% in 2008, the bottom of the cycle is expected to be
in H2 of 2008
• Slowdown in Lithuania started in Q4 2007: GDP growth will slow from 2007’s 8.7% to ~7.5%
in 2008
• Weak domestic demand reduces imports and exports growth continues. Trade and current
account deficits are falling. CPI will peak in Q1 2008. Long term GDP growth (6-7%) will be
above EU average.
Real GDP growth CPI growth
12%
12%
10%
10%
8%
8%
6% 6%
4% 4%
2% 2%
0% 0%
2005 2006 2007F 2008F 2009F 2005 2006 2007 2008F 2009F
Est Lat Lit Est Lat Lit
(14)

Source: Hansabank Market


Swedbank Markets
SEKm
• Good end to the year despite the capital
500
market turmoil
450
400 • Strong results in, above all, fixed income and
350 FX trading, structured investment products
300 and corporate finance fees First Securities
250
• Minor valuation effects due to market turmoil,
200
SEK - 40m
150
100 • Continued market leader in corporate bonds,
50 new issues in SEK
0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 • Sustained growth and market leading
06 06 06 06 07 07 07 07 position in structured products, sales grew by
Profit for the period attributable to shareholders 39% in 2007.
of Swedbank

(15)
International Banking
SEKm
• Continued strong lending growth in Ukrainian
100
Banking, + 112% to SEK 11bn in 2007
75
• Loan loss ratio, net in Ukrainian Banking
50
decreased after adjusting calculation method
25
to Swedbank Group’s principles
0
• Annual lending growth in Russian Banking
-25
was 50% to SEK 10bn
-50
• Following positive court rulings regarding VAT
-75 dispute in leasing operations, a reversal of
-100 SEK 60m was made in Russian Banking
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
06 06 06 07 07 07 07 • Lending in Nordic branches more than
doubled in 2007, reaching SEK 13bn.
International Banking, profit for the period
of which Russian Banking
of which Ukrainian Banking Operations

(16)
Income statement, group
Q4 Q3 Q4
SEKm 2007 2007 % 2006 %
Net interest income 5,259 4,806 9 4,303 22
Net commission income 2,536 2,503 1 2,309 10
Net gains/losses on financial items at fair value 386 196 97 908 – 57
Other income 693 526 32 392 77
Total income 8,874 8,031 10 7,912 12
Staff costs 2,111 2,075 2 1,878 12
Profit-based staff costs 522 337 55 302 73
Other expenses 1,893 1,720 10 1,917 –1
Total expenses 4,526 4,132 10 4,097 10
Profit before loan losses 4,348 3,899 12 3,815 14
Loan losses 238 230 3 – 72 – 431
Operating profit 4,110 3,669 12 3,887 6
Tax 950 793 20 928 2
Profit for the period 3,160 2,876 10 2,959 7
Attributable to shareholders of Swedbank 3,108 2,866 8 2,913 7

(17)
4,600
4,800
5,000
5,200
5,400
Net interest SEKm
income

4,806
Q3-07

Swedish

1
Banking

Baltic Banking
Operations 101

Baltic Banking - 10

Investment

International
12

Banking

Swedbank
359

Markets
Net interest income Q4-07 (Q3-07)

Shared
Services and
- 10

other

Net interest
income
5,259

Q4-07
(18)
Net interest income Swedish Banking, change

Q4 2007 Q4 2007
SEKm vs Q3 2007 vs Q4 2006
Net interest income Q3 2007 2,926
Net interest income Q4 2006 2,943
Changes:
Higher lending volumes 46 215
Decreased lending margins – 81 – 306
Higher deposit volumes 43 122
Higher deposit margins 52 142
Other changes – 59 – 189
Total change 1 – 16
Net interest income Q4 2007 2,927 2,927

(19)
Baltic Banking, change in net interest income
Q4 2007 Q4 2007
SEKm vs Q3 2007 vs Q4 2006
Net interest income Q3 2007 1,487
Net interest income Q4 2006 1,126
Changes:
Higher lending volumes 61 273
Higher lending margins 14
Decreased lending margins -10
FX-effects, lending 4 12
Higher deposit volumes 2 56
Higher deposit margins 84 260
FX-effects, deposits 2 6
Other changes -66 -135
Total change 101 462
Net interest income Q4 2007 1,588 1,588

(20)
Net commission income, Group
SEKm
5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

0
management

Insurance
Payments

Lending
Brokerage

Other
Corporate
finance
Asset

2007 2006 (21)


Expenses
Q4 Q3 Q4
SEKm 2007 2007 % 2006 %
Swedish Banking 2,279 2,208 3 2,327 –2
Baltic Banking 1,062 864 23 811 31
International Banking 272 279 –3 126
Of which Ukrainian Banking 163 134 22
Swedbank Markets 560 416 35 535 5
Other business areas 353 365 –3 298 18
Total expenses 4,526 4,132 10 4,097 10

of which staff costs in:


Swedish Banking 1,096 1,093 0 998 10
Baltic Banking 587 511 15 450 30
International Banking 155 134 16 49
Swedbank Markets 351 225 56 345 2

(22)
Business areas
Swedish Baltic Internat. Swedbank Asset
Banking Banking Banking Markets Mgmt
2007 vs 2006, SEKm 2007 % 2007 % 2007 % 2007 % 2007 %
Net interest income 11,701 5,667 986 1,343 83
Net commission income 4,504 1,854 196 1,441 1,868
Other income 1,473 1,252 97 773 232
Total income 17,678 4 8,773 42 1,279 3,557 1 2,183 19
Staff costs 4,296 2,044 405 1,239 425
Other expenses 4,704 1,502 366 753 463
Total expenses 9,000 3 3,546 32 771 1,992 3 888 31
Profit before loan losses 8,678 5 5,227 50 508 1,565 0 1,295 13
Loan losses 71 450 170 0 0
Operating profit 8,607 -2 4,777 49 338 1,565 -1 1,295 13
Tax 2,413 455 70 427 320
Profit for the period 6,194 4,322 268 1,138 975
To Swedbank's
shareholders 6,182 –2 4,322 46 268 1,010 3 975 11
Return on allocated equity % 23.2 31.2 6.9 24.2 57.0
(23)
Key figures
Jan - Dec, Jan - Dec,
2007 2006
Return on equity, % 18.9 19.3
Earnings per share, SEK 23.28 21.11
Equity per share, SEK 131.96 116.37
C/I ratio before loan losses 0.51 0.52
Loan loss ratio, net, % 0.07 – 0.02
Share of impaired loans, % 0.13 0.07
Dividend, SEK* 9.00 8.25
Tier 1 capital ratio, new principles, % 8.5 -
Tier 1 capital ratio, transition principles, % 6.2 6.5 **
Capital adequacy ratio, new principles, % 12.7 9.8 **

*according to Board of Directors’ proposal


**according to old principles

(24)
Tier-1 ratio, Group
% %
10 10 • Tier 1 ratio amounted to 8.5%
9 9
• Tier 1 ratio, according to transition
8 8
principles, was 6.2%
7 7
6 6 • As of January 1, 2008, tier 1 ratio
5 5 according to transition principles,
4 4 increased by 31 bps due to the gradual
3 3
implementation of Basel 2 regulations.
2 2
1 1
0 0
Q1-05
Q2-05
Q3-05
Q4-05
Q1-06
Q2-06
Q3-06
Q4-06
Q1-07
Q2-07
Q3-07
Q4-07

Tier 1 ratio, Basel 2


Tier 1 ratio, transition rules
Target Tier 1 ratio
(25)
2007 – A successful and eventful year
• Profit attributable to shareholders increased 10% to SEK 12bn
– Net interest income increase by 20%
– Net commission income increased by 11%
• Swedish Banking show a stable result, low risks and high return on
equity
• Record result in Baltic Banking with balanced risks
• Swedbank Markets’ results on same level as last year’s all time high

A successful year despite global credit turmoil


and Baltic slowdown

(26)
Capital Markets Day 2008

• 5 March, Kiev

• Prel. schedule, registration,


accommodation, flights etc.:

swedbank.com/cmd

(27)
Appendix

(28)
Credit quality, group
%
%
225 0.32
200 0.28
175 0.24
150 0.20
125 0.16
100 0.12
75 0.08
50 0.04
25 0.00
0 -0.04
1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007
Share of impaired loans (right scale) Provision ratio, total (left scale)
Provision ratio, individual (left scale) Loan loss ratio (right scale)
(29)
Group lending by sectors – Baltic Banking
Portfolio, December 2007 Portfolio growth, Q4 07

Individuals 8,282 42% 452 39%

Real-estate 82 7%
3,012 15%
mgmt

Retail & 111 10%


1,736 9%
Wholesale

Industry 1,692 8% 42 4%

Transport 1,111 6% 34 3%

Construction 546 3% 0 0%

Other 2,786 14% 231 20%

0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 0 250 500

% - share of portfolio and portfolio growth

(30)
Exposure FAQ
• No direct US Sub-Prime exposure
– Minimal indirect exposure through investments of EUR 57m in bonds issued by US mortgage
institutions who, in their turn, have exposures towards US sub-prime
• Total exposure towards structured credits is minimal
– No commitments towards conduits or SIV’s of any kind
– Negligible exposure towards CDO’s
• Swedbank holds a very small CDO trading stock for client trades in CDO’s which we have
issued ourselves with mainly large Cap’s as underlying risk
• 80% of the tranches held are rated Aaa and 20% are rated A
• Total holdings was EUR 27m at year end
– Exposure towards Mortgage Backed Securities is appr. EUR 719m
• European Aaa and mainly residential
• Held for EUR liquidity purposes and client trading
• Hedge fund exposure is appr. EUR 500m, all collateralized
• Exposure towards private equity firms and their target companies is about
EUR 1 380m in total
– Nordic related LBO’s
• In total, above mentioned exposures represent less than 1.6 % of total
assets

(31)
Additional questions?
Antonia Gibson
Investor relations
antonia.gibson@swedbank.se
+46858592336

Mikael Inglander
CFO
mikael.inglander@swedbank.com

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