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Accenture Media and Entertainment

Facing the digital reality:


the path to future high
performance in advertising
Accenture Global Digital Advertising Study 2007
Three key takeaways from this survey:
1 The respondents 2 Those players 3 Digital content
agree unanimously already able to use and online business
that the advertising technology to offer models have lowered
industry is facing advanced customer barriers to entry,
a radical transforma- interactivity, targeting inviting new entrants
tion — one that and analytics are and traditional
many participants gaining real competi- entrants to compete
are under-prepared tive differentiation. for advertising dollars.
for, in terms of its
technological and
cultural impact.
What your company must do now:
If you are a traditional media recorders (DVRs), and T-com- If you are a marketer —
company — digitize all relevant merce (television-commerce) — escalate your integrated
and compelling advertising and to increase revenue by building marketing and advertising
content to sell on online, TV, advanced advertising products initiatives across three screens,
IPTV, and emerging wireless across all three screens, and keeping a critical eye on
platforms to drive revenue — leveraging the interactive capa- performance metrics.
and look to build, partner or bilities of IP-based solutions.
buy end-to-end digital adver- If you are a technology
tising systems to enable this. If you are a new media company — focus on develop-
company — build, partner or ing front-end and back-end
If you are a telecommunica- buy systems (sales, reporting, systems specific to each
tions, cable, or satellite delivery) to support products medium’s unique needs.
company — use your emerging across three screens and to
platforms — such as video on deliver targeted advertising in
demand (VoD), digital video privacy-compliant ways.

Accenture Global Digital Advertising Study 1


These are the headline messages from
the Accenture Global Digital Advertising
Study 2007, a seminal survey of more
than 70 global advertising leaders — major
advertisers, media companies, ad agencies
and technology providers — on the future
of their industry. Their overwhelming
response — as the ones most threatened
and with the most to gain — was clear.

Change will be decisive, it will be rapid


and it will transform the industry. It will
also impact the strategies and capabilities
that contribute to high performance.

2 Accenture Global Digital Advertising Study


The key findings include:
79 percent of our survey participants interactivity, capabilities such as click- the industry is technologically
agree that advertising will become through buttons on TV will enable a prepared for the resulting changes
more performance-based, as the two-way dialogue with the consumer in performance measurement.
industry moves towards precise mea- all the way to purchase. These The proportions are even lower in terms
surement of results, rapidly delivered. capabilities will also create a more of customer analytics (25 percent),
This will impose a performance meaningful feedback loop on advertis- targeted advertising (21 percent) and
discipline on an industry that has ing effectiveness. customer interactivity (13 percent).
rarely felt this kind of pressure.
43 percent of the respondents Largely as a result, the highest pro-
87 percent agree that analytics believe that digital media will portion of respondents (43 percent)
will become more accurate and more become the primary form of pro- believe advertising agencies have the
critical to the business. This shift will gramming and advertising content most to lose in the transition to digital
drive a decline in the use of traditional within the next five years, and a advertising, followed by broadcasters
success measures — total audience further 33 percent say this will happen with 33 percent.
per advertisement — but will enable in between seven and 10 years. The
advertisers to gain increased return impact of this transition may be Correspondingly, 46 percent believe
on investment through more accurate accelerated by the typical pattern that that online search companies have
targeting of audiences. early adaptors tend to be from higher- the most to gain, followed by digital
income demographic groups that are advertising specialists with 19 percent.
97 percent agree that advertising more attractive to advertisers.
relationships with customers will 77 percent agree that advertising
become more interactive, and the Traditional advertisers are largely will be viewed in an integrated
other 3 percent say they don’t know, unprepared for the wave of digitally way on three screens — television,
meaning that not a single respondent driven change about to engulf them. computer and wireless handset.
disagrees. As a result of this greater Only 29 percent of executives believe

Accenture Global Digital Advertising Study 3


10 Accenture’s Global Content Study
Few industries dominate current business headlines more than
online advertising. Remarkable industry growth, multibillion dollar
acquisitions and record valuations make interesting reading about
a true industry revolution.

However, these headlines mask an even greater emerging story —


the extension of online rules and the power of digital content
consumption to the rest of the advertising market. With all the
attention given to the computer-carried advertising, it is easy to
forget that this segment comprises less than 10 percent1 of all
advertising spend.

In fact, the average household spends They are unanimous that major dis- • A threat to the survival of
more than eight times as much time ruptive change is coming — and that incumbents — primarily traditional
in front of the television as online — those who fail to respond will simply media companies and advertising
and entrenched consumer habits like find themselves swept away. The flip agencies — that do not embrace
this will be difficult to change.2 So the side is that those wishing to achieve new technologies and business
largest prize in digitalization is televi- and sustain high performance in this models
sion. This focus on the commercial new environment must invest now in
• Huge new opportunities in the
potential of digital interactive TV — innovation and new capabilities.
digital advertising sector for
often delivered over the internet as
service and media providers
internet protocol television (IPTV) — Overall, the research both confirms
with experience in delivering
brings extreme implications for the and strengthens Accenture’s view
digital content and access to
traditional advertising industry. that the encroachment of digitization
deep customer insight
of content and internet-originated
To investigate these implications, business models into television will
These consequences will, in turn, cre-
Accenture has conducted in-depth cause an even greater shake up than
ate a wave of change in advertising
research among more than 70 global the online revolution. There will be
models. This paper examines and
business leaders from advertising two particular consequences for
explores this change.
agencies, media, technology providers participants:
and major advertisers.

1 ZenithOptimedia Global Forecast, December 2006.


2 U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics: American Time Use Survey, 2006.
Accenture Global Digital Advertising Study 5
Methodology
The Accenture Global Digital Advertising Study 2007 is a ground-
breaking initiative. It represents the first occasion on which we have
surveyed advertising industry opinion regarding the impact of digital
advertising in such detail and depth at board and senior executive level.
We believe the findings are required reading for anyone with an
interest in the future of the advertising industry.

The 70-plus interviews on which Accenture asked these pivotal decision The following summary presents the
this study is based were conducted makers for their view of digitalization’s key findings from our study, as well
between February and April 2007, and impact on the way advertising will be as highlighting the implications for all
focused on the hopes, fears and future sold, distributed and measured in the participants in the advertising value
plans of the global advertising leaders coming years. We elicited their percep- chain as they seek to achieve high
who took part. We thank them all for tions of the impact on consumers’ performance in today’s dynamic and
their time and insights. behavior and relationships with adver- evolving advertising marketplace.
tisers. We asked them how long this
change will take. And, crucially, we got
their views on the advertising indus-
try’s state of nonpreparedness for the
digital future — and on who has the
most to gain and lose as a result.

Accenture Global Digital Advertising Study 7


Freeze-frame: the current state of play
In order to understand the magnitude of change facing the advertising
industry and the scale of the transformation that is set to take place
over the coming years, it is vital to understand TV advertising because
of its dominant position in the marketplace.

Global annual spend on television 1. Intrusive content 3. It is enormously inefficient


advertising totals more than US$150
The industry is remarkable in providing Television ads are the ultimate shotgun
billion3, making TV the largest subsec-
a product that the customer does not media. While an advertiser pays to
tor of the entire media market.* The
want. Watching a commercial is the broadcast to millions, even an opti-
television market is, therefore, almost
historical price to be paid for watch- mistic response rate is less than one
10 times larger than online advertis-
ing your favorite program, which has percent of viewers. The balance is
ing — by far the greatest prize in the
always been subsidized by advertising wasted money. What will advertisers
media revolution.4
revenues. What will consumers do if pay for ads that target only the
they have a choice? segments they want?
TV also has greater mind share. Despite
recent gains by other media, it still
dominates the consumer’s day more
2. Uncertain results These unique industry characteristics
have built an industry with glaring
than any other entertainment.5 The industry is also exceptional in that
points of weakness. This has bred an
its end customers — large consumer
artistic culture that is the antithesis of
The advertising value chain that serves product advertisers — do not really
results driven. Its target audience will
this market has remained largely know whether it is working or not.
desert it if it can. And its customers,
unchanged for more than 50 years. But Traditional advertising requires an
the large advertisers, are already
it also suffers from three major vulner- expensive act of faith by its buyers
forsaking it for alternatives that can
abilities against new business models: because the linkage between the
give at least some verifiable proof of
broadcast of an ad and a consumer
results. New digital technologies such
buying decision is unclear and uncer-
as DVRs will exploit these vulnerabili-
tain. What will advertisers pay to know
ties, driving an industry disruption on
their ads are working?
the scale of the one that hit the horse-
drawn buggy industry in 1910.
3 ZenithOptimedia, ibid.
* Television spend includes advertising, subscription services, and Video on Demand (VoD).
Because these segments will converge in a digital world, Accenture proposes that all television spend will be subject to the digital revolution.
4 J.P. Morgan, Telecom Services and Wireline: State of the Industry, 2006
5 U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics: American Time Use Survey, 2006.
Accenture Global Digital Advertising Study 9
Our research: scoping the revolution
The digital media revolution is well under way — and gaining
momentum. Major firms — telcos, cable operators, entertainment
manufacturers, software companies and so on — are investing heavily
in chasing the vision of delivering any content, on any device, at any
time the consumer wishes. It is estimated that US$12 billion has been
allocated to the development of IPTV alone.6

The players making these huge investments are counting on digital


advertising to be a major source of payback. Yet the future of adver-
tising — its revenue models, its products and its relationships with
consumers — are by all accounts highly uncertain.

Accenture believes that the best way to project the future is to ask
the individuals who are making that future, and then work out the
real impact of what they say. This is why we conducted the research
study, and then combined the executives’ responses with our own
industry insights and experience. This process has enabled us to create
a comprehensive vision for the future of digital advertising. We will
now present the key elements of this vision — together with the
industry scenarios and challenges that we believe will arise as a result.

6 Multimedia Research Group: IPTV Global Forecast, 2006-2010

10 Accenture Global Digital Advertising Study


1
Advertising will move overwhelmingly to a performance-based
revenue model.

Figure 1

Advertising will become more performance based


Disagree Agree* Don’t know *Share of respondents who agree or strongly agree

10% 79% 11%

Imagine that you are an advertiser in • Unique visitors via computer to the Our survey participants believe this
about five years’ time. At the end of company’s website. scenario will come about, with 79
the week you review the results of percent agreeing that advertising will
• Number of searches for addresses
your most recent TV ad placements. become more performance based (see
of retail outlets made on wireless
Some of the metrics you review are: Figure 1). In effect, this change will
phones.
put TV advertising performance on
• Numbers of click-throughs on the
the same basis as the film industry’s
product browser page that closed Each of these precise, documented
weekend box office — with accurate
the TV show. viewer outcomes is subject to an indi-
measurement of results, rapidly deliv-
vidual pricing agreement — a different
• Numbers of phone calls from ered. It will also impose a new and
clicks per thousand for each action.
viewer households to your customer more rigorous performance discipline
sales line. on the advertising industry as a whole.

Accenture Global Digital Advertising Study 11


2
Customer control: customers will be able to opt in and out of
advertising, effectively casting their vote. Advertisers will be able
to see how they’re voting, and to respond in innovative ways.
Figure 2

DVRs and ad viewing behavior: 2006


Skip all ads Skip some ads Watch most ads Never skip ads

52% 36% 6% 6%

Figure 3

Growth of DVRs: 2008–2011

2008 44mm
2009 52mm
2010 59mm
2011 65mm

The digitalization of content — both half of the population can be expected viewership. When this happens, the
programming and advertising — will to regularly skip commercials they do priority will be to find innovative ways
effectively put the entire television not want to view.7 Consistent with to get consumers to opt back in —
customer base on digital recorders. historic adoption patterns, Accenture such as “telescoping” (links to long-
As Figure 2 and Figure 3 show, histori- projects that this group will be heavily form advertising) and “poll overlays”
cal customer behavior with DVRs looks weighted towards the wealthier, (graphical, interactive enhancements
set to force greater innovation in to more sophisticated buyers most designed to engage viewers while
TV advertising. prized by advertisers. obtaining their interests and opinions
through viewer self-segmentation).
With digital advertising penetration The good news for advertisers is that Equally, advertisers might simply
levels (IPTV adoption plus DVRs) pro- IPTV will allow them to see — in real invest in more interesting and creative
jected to reach almost two-thirds of time — any fall-off in advertising ads, with characters and storylines
the population in five years, almost that engage and entertain.

Figure 2 Source: Piper Jaffray & Co. Online Media Survey, 2007
Figure 3 Source: Forrester Research: U.S. DVR Adoption Forecast, 2006-2011
7 Approximately 52 percent of households will have DVRs by 2010, with 88 percent of those consistently skipping advertising. Household data from
U.S. Bureau of the Census: Projection of the Number of Households and Families in the U.S.: 2005-2010.

12 Accenture Global Digital Advertising Study


3
Advertising — like programming — will fragment into highly targeted
niche campaigns.

Figure 4

Analytics will become more accurate and more critical to the business
Disagree Agree* Don’t know *Share of respondents who agree or strongly agree

11% 87% 2%

IPTV technologies will allow much accurate and more central to decision A fourth impact will also be felt. Huge
more detailed definition of customer making. This technology-driven change technology investment, new analytic
groupings by important criteria — will force important changes on the skills and operational flexibility to
programming choices, viewing history, traditional advertising business: react to data as it comes in — will
recent Web behavior, time of viewer- require a whole new mindset from
• A significant increase in the
ship and so on. It will also provide an industry not known for being
absolute number of advertising
the technical basis for serving up technology savvy.
spots to be produced
ads on an almost individual basis
to households. • A decline in traditional success
measure — total audience per
As Figure 4 shows, fully 87 percent of advertisement
the executives in our survey believe
analytics will become both more • A rise in advertisers’ return on
investment through better targeting
of micro audiences.

Accenture Global Digital Advertising Study 13


4
Customer relationships will become more interactive.

Figure 5

Advertising relationships with customers will become more interactive


Disagree (0%) Agree* Don’t know *Share of respondents who agree or strongly agree

97% 3%

In its early days in the mid-20th As Figure 5 shows, 97 percent of the as cost-per-click, cost-per-product-
century, TV advertising had many of respondents believe these patterns research and even cost-per-purchase,
the dynamics of American football’s will change in the IPTV world, as will come to dominate an increasingly
“hopeful punt” — a long, speculative customer relationships become more performance-driven industry.
kick downfield that you hope someone interactive. Interactive formats —
will catch and run with for a touch- click-through buttons for more These changes will also create a more
down. Even today, it is an industry information, connectivity with the meaningful feedback loop on advertis-
that is remarkable in that its effec- Web, individualized special offers and ing effectiveness. While this will force
tiveness — and the real returns it so on — will replace traditional one- the rapid cancellation of ads where
generates for the people who pay for way broadcast with a new running there is no follow-through, it will also
it — are often called into question. dialogue with the consumer as they create the potential for vastly greater
move to final purchase. Accenture pro- value — something for which advertis-
jects that new pricing structures, such ers will be willing to pay more.

14 Accenture Global Digital Advertising Study


5
All this will happen sooner rather than later.

Figure 6

When will digital media become the primary form of programming and advertising content?
Within 1 to 3 years In about 5 years Between 7 to 10 years More than 10 years Never Rounding

7% 43% 33% 13% 3% 1%

Huge players across the converging become the dominant media form change that will be required — changes
telecoms, cable/satellite, entertainment within five years, and the vast majority in culture, in business model and in
and technology sectors are investing believing it will happen within 10 technology adoption — firms currently
heavily in the vision of IPTV. This is not years (see Figure 6). The impact of this focusing on traditional forms of adver-
theory — this is future reality. transition may be accelerated by the tising must begin their transition now.
typical pattern that early adaptors are If they fail to do so, it could well be
The survey respondents are the strategy from higher-income, more desirable too late.
and technology officers of the compa- demographics.
nies that are creating the revolution.
They project a relatively rapid adoption This presents an in-your-face challenge
of the new formats — with almost to the incumbent advertising industry.
half projecting that digital media will When one considers the kinds of

Accenture Global Digital Advertising Study 15


Revolutionizing advertising:
the challenges to the business
Rarely has a major global industry faced such disruptive challenge.
Accenture foresees two segments with different challenges:
the incumbent traditional advertisers and the new entrants to
the advertising market.

Figure 7

Is the industry technologically prepared for...

Customer interactivity 13%


Targeted advertising 21%
Customer analytics 25%
Performance measurement 29%

The incumbents: the same time, the respondents (many One of the clearest keys to mastering
traditional advertisers of whom come from the advertising the digital age is mastering the tech-
industry) believe that traditional nologies. However, fewer than one in
As Figure 7 shows, our findings indi- agencies are singularly unprepared four respondents believe that their
cate that the advertising industry will for the change that is coming their company is prepared or is preparing
be challenged in virtually all aspects way. Only 29 percent believe the itself for technology transition.
of what it does — its business models, industry is technologically prepared
its culture, its customer relationships for the changes to performance
and even how it is compensated. At measurement — and the perception of
readiness in other areas is even worse.

Accenture’s Global Content Study 17


Figure 8

What will be the challenges to transition to a digital advertising business?


Cultural change Management commitment Tech excellence Supply chain costs (0%)
Digital personnel Partnering ability Investment capital
Advertisers Online experience Rounding

25% 22% 16% 12% 10% 4% 4% 4% 3%

Figure 9

Who has the most to lose in the transition to digital advertising?


Advertising agencies Telecom companies Online search companies (0%) Others
Broadcasters Content developers Digital advertising specialists (0%)
Cable operators Web portals & social media Entertainment software providers (0%)

43% 33% 10% 4% 3% 1% 6%

As is so often the case, a significant The dual challenges of technology and In Accenture’s view, the danger to the
challenge lies in people. As Figure 8 cultural adoption create a pessimistic agencies that cannot adapt comes at
demonstrates, the respondents consis- perspective on the fate of the tradi- each stage of their value chain. If out-
tently cite the cultural and people tional advertising agency. Some side firms develop superior technology
challenges for an established business respondents are so pessimistic that analytics, the agencies will lose their
facing rapid disruptive change. they believe incumbent firms are client relationships to competitors
incapable of making the transition, who know their client base better
This problem is compounded by the and that the digital space may than they do.
fact that human transition can be one become entirely occupied by new
of the most difficult and prolonged market entrants. Likewise, they will lose the customer
forms of change management that a research segment of the chain to their
company can undertake, a fact that Respondents were also asked to pro- more technically adept rivals. They will
Accenture understands based on our ject which companies had the most to also soon be losing the media place-
experience with clients and our own lose from the digital transition. There ment function to companies that can
company over the years. However, the was a clear consensus: traditional target advertising to just the right
move towards performance-driven advertising agencies are in more peril customer group, and they were never
compensation will force change early, than any other participant in the contenders to win the new reporting
and intensify the need for people advertising business (see Figure 9). and feedback loop that will develop in
change programs. the industry.

18 Accenture Global Digital Advertising Study


Figure 10

Who has the most to win in the transition to digital advertising?


Advertising agencies Telecom companies Online search companies Others
Broadcasters Content developers Digital advertising specialists
Cable operators Web portals & social media Entertainment software providers

1% 10% 12% 46% 19% 4% 5%

Figure 11

Advertising will be viewed in an integrated way on three screens —


television, computer and wireless handset
Disagree Agree* Don’t know *Share of respondents who agree or strongly agree

12% 77% 11%

There will still be a market for quality However, the migration of advertising Accenture projects that with full
creative and production. The risk is across new technology platforms will digitalization of media, convergent
that once-strong agencies will be rel- not only create new opportunities media will create true multimedia
egated to this function alone, basically for tech-driven players, but will also campaigns. If effective, dollars will
becoming on-demand studios at an provide new revenue sources for shift from those companies that can
increasingly commoditized end of traditional industries such as tele- only support one medium to those
the market. communications and cable/satellite. that can support a fully integrated
experience.
The new entrants to the As Figure 11 shows, the respondents
advertising market feel strongly that future advertising
will be seen across multiple conver-
Those who win the race to provide
gent technologies. To date, much of
truly integrated advertising across
this growth has been zero-sum: for
the three screens — with the ability
example, online advertising has been
to own and track customer data,
stealing market share from television,
transactions and experiences across
radio and print.
different platforms — will seize the
high ground in the marketplace. For
tech-savvy new entrants this could be
a much larger business than standard
Web advertising to date.

Accenture Global Digital Advertising Study 19


A final perspective: a balance of
threats and opportunities
At a headline level, the findings of our Global Digital Advertising Study
2007 represent a resounding call to action for participants throughout
the advertising value chain. The survey also shows that the challenges
facing them should not be taken lightly. Change is coming, and busi-
nesses will have to invest and change radically to get in or to stay in
the game. But Accenture believes that the rewards will justify the
effort. The long-term future of the advertising business — if we will
even be calling it that a decade from now — is bright.

What will happen is that an industry The journey to create the right customer experience,
with a long-standing and deeply- high performance and that they make appropriate
embedded culture will face a tough investments with a clear focus on
period of adjustment. At a macro This also means performance and long-term success as well as short-
level, the industry is facing a zero-sum price will be more closely linked in term cost efficiencies. These capabili-
game: advertising dollars will migrate the industry than ever before. In cases ties require a recognition that innova-
to where they are most effective. At a where advertisers have been overpay- tion is at the core of a company’s
micro level, those players who fail to ing, greater accountability means they ability to create and achieve high
respond to market demand will suffer. will find out — and push prices down. performance. Today, traditional adver-
But the underlying change will be a By the same token, we also believe tising agencies are at an inflexion
greater ability on the part of advertis- that advertisers will start to pay a point where they must innovate now
ers to reallocate their advertising premium for advertising that is proven to achieve high performance — or face
investment more responsively in line to be working. So performance- the consequences in a few years’ time.
with performance. As a result, those based advertising actually creates a
that deliver the right performance potential route to a net increase in In summary, we believe that the cur-
will — quite rightly — win out. advertising budgets. rent industry is set to face one of the
most disruptive periods in the history
Accenture believes that consumers This opportunity presents today’s of any large business sector. But we
will still be interested in accurate, advertising industry with a clear route also believe that those companies who
well-presented advice that helps them to high performance through the get it right — primarily through the
make purchasing decisions. If the digital world. Our High Performance mastering of technologies and culture
industry can determine the right Business research — including our change — will enjoy an opportunity to
formats and formulas for supporting Marketing and Customer Management participate in a larger and more
consumer choice, they will be richly mastery work around developing and rewarding advertising industry than
rewarded by larger and higher return delivering the branded customer expe- they have ever known before. That is
on investment from audiences. rience — demonstrates consistently the opportunity on offer. It is time to
that high-performance businesses seize it.
know how to harness technology to
Accenture Global Digital Advertising Study 21
Copyright © 2007 Accenture. About Media & Entertainment About Accenture
All rights reserved.
Accenture helps entertainment, broad- Accenture is a global management
Accenture, its logo, and cast, publishing, printing and portal consulting, technology services and
High Performance Delivered companies adapt to the realities of outsourcing company. Committed to
are trademarks of Accenture. the digital evolution and capitalize on delivering innovation, Accenture col-
new opportunities to improve business laborates with its clients to help them
performance. Its dedicated profession- become high-performance businesses
About the survey
als provide media and entertainment and governments. With deep industry
The Accenture Global Digital Adver- companies with a distinctive combina- and business process expertise, broad
tising Study 2007 is based on in- tion of business and technology global resources and a proven track
depth, questionnaire-led interviews consulting, systems integration and record, Accenture can mobilize the
conducted between February and April outsourcing capabilities. Accenture right people, skills and technologies
2007 with more than 70 advertising has worked with 19 of the 20 largest to help clients improve their perfor-
leaders from across the world. The media and entertainment companies mance. With approximately 170,000
survey participants include CEOs, chief in the world. people in 49 countries, the company
strategy officers and key business unit generated net revenues of US$19.70
For more information on this study
heads from agencies, media, technolo- billion for the fiscal year ended
and what Accenture can do to help
gy providers and major advertisers. Aug. 31, 2007. Its home page is
you reach high performance in your
All efforts were made in good faith to www.accenture.com.
business, please contact:
secure a balanced and representative
sample of respondents. Quantitative West Coghlan, Accenture Senior
outputs from the interviews were ana- Manager, Digital Advertising
lyzed by Accenture and combined with
our industry insights to develop the Emily O'Halloran, Accenture Senior
points of view expressed in this paper. Executive, Digital Advertising Lead

Author: West Coghlan Email: comms.and.high.tech@accen-


Contributions: Emily O'Halloran ture.com and write ”DigitalAds2007”
in the subject line

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