Date Cotton (X1) Platinum(X2) Aluminium Mini (X3) Rhodium(X4) MCX (Y)

Mar-14 60.015 114.2 8.8 50,915.00 6245

Apr-14 60.345 115.1 8.8 47,458.00 6703.85
May-14 59.195 115.8 8.75 48,433.00 6713.58
Jun-14 60.06 116.7 8.75 47,276.00 7304.05
Jul-14 60.555 119.2 8.78 47,553.00 7633.83
Aug-14 60.52 120.3 8.77 48,801.00 7655.3
Sep-14 61.94 120.1 8.72 48,245.00 8009.5
Oct-14 61.405 120.1 8.71 47,844.00 7957.1
Nov-14 62.21 120.1 8.71 48,564.00 8324.13
Dec-14 63.035 119.4 8.67 48,960.00 8584.08
Jan-15 62.02 119.5 8.65 49,759.00 8271.73
Feb-15 61.659 119.7 8.63 44,856.00 8795.95
Mar-15 62.291 120.2 8.6 53,723.00 8928.9
Apr-15 63.529 120.7 8.55 47,780.00 8534.07
May-15 63.743 121.6 8.54 53,318.00 8283.22
Jun-15 63.604 123.0 8.49 48,639.00 8436.27
Jul-15 63.988 123.6 8.42 52,396.00 8425.87
Aug-15 66.412 124.8 8.34 50,925.00 8536.02
Sep-15 65.517 125.4 8.05 46,891.00 7837.8
Oct-15 65.423 126.1 7.93 48,251.00 7969.45
Nov-15 66.462 126.6 7.89 49,063.00 8028.13
Dec-15 66.208 126.1 7.86 50,140.00 7953.15
Jan-16 67.878 126.3 7.81 52,307.00 7941.18
Feb-16 68.208 126.0 7.78 50,669.00 7570.85
Mar-16 66.255 126.0 7.75 56,113.00 7135.3
Apr-16 66.425 127.3 7.67 52,467.00 7703.13
May-16 67.209 128.6 7.61 55,206.00 7803.55
Jun-16 67.504 130.1 7.54 51,602.00 8193.2
Jul-16 66.655 131.1 7.51 53,899.00 8332.7
Aug-16 66.973 131.1 7.47 52,144.00 8650.9
Sep-16 66.556 130.9 7.44 50,834.00 8786.6
Oct-16 66.686 131.4 7.41 54,674.00 8690.1
Nov-16 68.598 131.2 7.34 54,141.00 8642.05
Dec-16 67.955 130.4 7.23 57,012.00 8217.93
Jan-17 67.515 130.3 7.2 54,445.00 8172.9
Feb-17 66.725 130.6 7.11 50,995.00 8629.95
Mar-17 64.86 130.9 7.02 60,981.00 8929.7
Apr-17 64.29 131.1 6.97 55,819.00 9218.88
May-17 64.51 131.4 6.9 57,702.00 9311.23
Jun-17 64.62 132.0 6.84 53,955.00 9612.28
Jul-17 64.2 134.2 6.79 54,773.00 9583.78
Aug-17 63.935 135.4 6.71 52,030.00 10097.21
Sep-17 65.31 135.2 6.67 52,215.00 9946.65
Oct-17 64.75 136.1 6.54 56,522.00 9863.23
Nov-17 64.49 137.6 6.49 56,908.00 10417.35
Dec-17 63.84 137.2 6.51 59,811.00 10190.63
Jan-18 63.55 136.9 6.52 61,922.00 10480.48
Feb-18 65.21 136.4 6.57 55,252.00 10998.28
Mar-18 65.115 136.5 6.65 62,384.00 10486.33
Apr-18 66.46 137.1 6.69 56,813.00 10173.93
May-18 67.43 137.8 6.67 59,442.00 10737.23
Jun-18 68.46 138.5 6.66 57,763.00 10723.13
Jul-18 68.46 139.8 6.65 57,371.00 10670.4
Aug-18 71.005 140.4 6.69 56,902.00 11352.05
Sep-18 72.51 140.2 6.7 54,867.00 11659.6
Oct-18 73.96 140.7 6.73 60,125.00 10938.6
Nov-18 69.65 140.8 6.75 57,858.00 10391.9
Dec-18 69.57 140.1 6.78 57,375.00 10893.28
SUMMARY OUTPUT 0

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.916282349
R Square 0.8395733431
Adjusted R Square 0.8306607511
Standard Error 527.45427356
Observations 58

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 3 78622255.4614 26207418 94.2008 1.9057487E-21
Residual 54 15023232.5776 278208
Total 57 93645488.039

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 90.0%
Intercept -37177.53894 7124.74172595 -5.21809 2.95E-06 -51461.786058 -22893.3 -49101.3
X Variable 1 -175.6578592 38.5738444692 -4.55381 3.04E-05 -252.99376099 -98.322 -240.214
X Variable 2 358.41210227 44.5888744616 8.038151 8.56E-11 269.016791374 447.8074 283.7897
X Variable 3 1497.1561582 350.880711308 4.266852 8.04E-05 793.682687479 2200.63 909.9345
 Upper 90.0%
-25253.82122
-111.1020267
433.03447778
2084.377803
SUMMARY OUTPUT X2

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.871796223
R Square 0.760028655
Adjusted R Square 0.755743452
Standard Error 633.4744574
Observations 58

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 71173254.3 71173254.3 177.3611955 5.34E-19
Residual 56 22472233.74 401289.8882
Total 57 93645488.04

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept -10049.47594 1425.408087 -7.050244792 2.86E-09 -12904.91146
X Variable 1 147.0253848 11.03984615 13.31770233 5.34E-19 124.9099155

SUMMARY OUTPUT X2,X3

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.8820238402
R Square 0.7779660547
Adjusted R Square 0.769892093
Standard Error 614.8536732
Observations 58

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 72853010.86947 36426505.435 96.35493561 1.062999E-18
Residual 55 20792477.16955 378045.03945
Total 57 93645488.03902

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept -26279.13985 7822.735802327 -3.359328567 0.001424882 -41956.252725
X Variable 1 227.82800495 39.8025827452 5.7239502875 4.472831E-07 148.061846634
X Variable 2 766.8566081 363.8000562624 2.1079067881 0.039610443 37.7850031845

SUMMARY OUTPUT X1,X2,X3

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.916282349
R Square 0.839573343
Adjusted R Square 0.830660751
Standard Error 527.4542736
Observations 58

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 3 78622255.46 26207418.49 94.20080472 1.91E-21
Residual 54 15023232.58 278208.0107
Total 57 93645488.04

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept -37177.53894 7124.741726 -5.218089352 2.95E-06 -51461.78606
X Variable 1 -175.6578592 38.57384447 -4.55380742 3.04E-05 -252.993761
X Variable 2 358.4121023 44.58887446 8.03815092 8.56E-11 269.0167914
X Variable 3 1497.156158 350.8807113 4.266852266 8.04E-05 793.6826875

SUMMARY OUTPUT X1,X2,X3,X4

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.916353012
R Square 0.839702843
Adjusted R Square 0.827604945
Standard Error 532.1920756
Observations 58

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 78634382.56 19658595.64 69.40898325 1.98E-20
Residual 53 15011105.48 283228.4053
Total 57 93645488.04

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept -37572.14526 7437.383449 -5.051796175 5.53E-06 -52489.64733
X Variable 1 -175.23364 38.97428758 -4.496134527 3.80E-05 -253.4061613
X Variable 2 357.6731536 45.13089892 7.925238852 1.47E-10 267.1520338
X Variable 3 1516.542019 366.2186024 4.141084067 0.000124655 782.0005242
X Variable 4 0.005925032 0.028633912 0.206923598 0.836862473 -0.051507322
 Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
-7194.04042 -12904.91146 -7194.04042
169.1408542 124.9099155 169.1408542

Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%

-10602.02697 -41956.25273 -10602.02697
307.59416326 148.06184663 307.59416326
1495.928213 37.785003184 1495.928213
 Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
-22893.29182 -51461.78606 -22893.29182
-98.32195731 -252.993761 -98.32195731
447.8074132 269.0167914 447.8074132
2200.629629 793.6826875 2200.629629

Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%

-22654.64319 -52489.64733 -22654.64319
-97.0611188 -253.4061613 -97.0611188
448.1942733 267.1520338 448.1942733
2251.083515 782.0005242 2251.083515
0.063357386 -0.051507322 0.063357386
Timeline Values Forecast Lower Confidence Bound Upper Confidence Bound
Mar-14 6245
Apr-14 6703.85
May-14 6713.58
Jun-14 7304.05
14000
Jul-14 7633.83
Aug-14 7655.3 12000
Sep-14 8009.5
Oct-14 7957.1 10000
Nov-14 8324.13 8000
Dec-14 8584.08
Jan-15 8271.73 6000
Feb-15 8795.95
4000
Mar-15 8928.9
Apr-15 8534.07 2000
May-15 8283.22
Jun-15 8436.27 0
Mar-14 Jul -14 N
Jul-15 8425.87
Aug-15 8536.02
Sep-15 7837.8
Oct-15 7969.45
Nov-15 8028.13
Dec-15 7953.15
Jan-16 7941.18
Feb-16 7570.85
Mar-16 7135.3
Apr-16 7703.13
May-16 7803.55
Jun-16 8193.2
Jul-16 8332.7
Aug-16 8650.9
Sep-16 8786.6
Oct-16 8690.1
Nov-16 8642.05
Dec-16 8217.93
Jan-17 8172.9
Feb-17 8629.95
Mar-17 8929.7
Apr-17 9218.88
May-17 9311.23
Jun-17 9612.28
Jul-17 9583.78
Aug-17 10097.21
Sep-17 9946.65
Oct-17 9863.23
Nov-17 10417.35
Dec-17 10190.63
Jan-18 10480.48
Feb-18 10998.28
Mar-18 10486.33
Apr-18 10173.93
May-18 10737.23
Jun-18 10723.13
Jul-18 10670.4
Aug-18 11352.05
Sep-18 11659.6
Oct-18 10938.6
Nov-18 10391.9
Dec-18 10893.28 10893.28 10893.28 10893.28
Jan-19 10924.6194 10257.89 11591.35
Feb-19 10992.4424 10095.00 11889.89
Mar-19 11060.2655 9979.95 12140.58
Mar-19 11086.5196 9943.11 12229.93
14000

12000

10000

8000

6000

4000

2000

0
Mar-14 Jul -14 Nov-14 Mar-15 Jul -15 Nov-15 Ma r-16 Jul -16 Nov-16 Mar-17 Jul -17 Nov-17 Ma r-18 Jul -18 Nov-18 Mar-19
Val ues Foreca st
Lower Confidence Bound Upper Confidence Bound