-1.31 -0.43 -0.68 1.85 1.16 -1.21 -0.05 0.

66
-1.01 -1.17 0.73 -0.21 0.20 0.24 -1.85 0.92
0.56 -1.26 -1.57 -0.71 0.71 1.17 -0.43 -0.08
0.94 1.43 -0.79 0.32 1.63 0.27 -0.33 0.02
0.32 -0.66 0.11 -1.07 -0.22 -0.03 1.06 0.63
0.18 -0.35 0.78 0.05 0.58 -1.14 0.42 -2.48
0.05 -0.42 -0.68 -0.01 -1.95 -0.24 0.02 0.11
-1.24 -0.77 -0.36 0.52 -0.43 -0.89 0.72 1.49
0.44 0.66 -0.56 -1.88 -0.87 0.03 0.42 0.81
-1.05 1.27 -1.16 0.07 -2.02 -1.48 1.12 0.09
-0.92 -1.78 -0.20 -1.03 0.22 -1.39 0.26 -0.62
1.62 0.77 -0.23 -0.02 0.78 -0.28 -0.46 -0.77
0.94 -0.35 0.71 1.06 -0.68 1.42 -0.99 0.62
-0.03 0.62 -0.71 0.45 2.19 -0.62 -1.42 -0.78
0.10 -1.94 -1.37 0.69 0.00 0.27 2.23 -1.15
-0.67 0.60 -0.11 -0.49 0.27 0.36 0.72 -0.44
0.06 -1.00 0.82 -0.75 -0.03 1.03 -0.18 1.39
0.37 0.20 -0.08 0.12 -1.46 0.48 -0.29 1.11
1.81 0.11 -0.04 0.48 -0.36 -2.59 -1.73 0.17
-1.70 0.94 0.43 -0.70 0.70 -0.26 0.39 0.39
-0.23 0.10 -1.09 2.68 -1.60 0.49 0.64 -1.22
-0.09 0.60 -0.23 1.70 -1.39 -0.63 1.43 -0.93
0.59 -1.10 1.76 2.82 0.56 0.04 0.08 1.21
1.03 -0.34 0.42 -1.91 -0.74 -1.55 0.79 1.22
0.56 -1.05 0.93 -1.03 0.58 2.08 1.58 -0.35
2.12 1.42 -0.57 0.84 0.06 0.87 -0.69 0.22
-0.37 0.03 -0.41 -0.47 -0.27 -0.12 2.25 -1.26
-1.65 -2.02 1.18 1.62 -0.25 0.89 0.16 1.58
0.35 0.64 0.15 0.45 -0.68 -0.57 0.98 1.14
0.80 -0.70 -0.41 1.67 -2.59 1.09 0.50 -0.96
-1.60 -0.15 -0.54 0.57 1.49 -1.39 -1.52 0.96
-0.57 0.63 1.71 0.49 -0.17 0.06 -0.36 0.75
0.56 -1.62 -1.39 -0.17 0.72 -1.63 0.10 1.20
-0.26 1.85 -0.84 -1.12 0.21 0.20 0.73 -0.02
-1.72 0.28 0.63 0.17 1.33 0.02 1.50 -1.03
0.85 0.24 -1.29 -0.79 0.35 0.25 1.33 -0.58
-0.90 0.51 0.14 -1.83 -1.03 -0.01 1.10 0.11
0.37 -0.10 -0.68 0.77 -0.99 0.26 0.06 0.01
1.53 0.01 -0.97 -0.16 -0.43 0.08 0.38 -0.01
1.03 0.54 -0.10 0.42 1.02 1.18 0.43 -0.91
-0.28 -2.45 1.50 0.60 -0.26 -0.05 0.53 0.78
-1.84 -1.83 -2.45 1.45 1.05 1.47 1.41 -0.23
-1.12 -0.57 -1.46 1.79 -1.84 0.11 0.07 0.03
-1.71 -1.52 0.05 -0.89 0.83 0.01 -0.84 1.17
-1.16 1.52 -0.45 -0.69 2.48 -0.30 -0.30 -0.88
-1.12 0.99 0.01 -1.40 -0.36 0.84 -0.77 0.08
-0.95 0.41 -0.53 0.57 -2.86 -0.32 0.04 1.61
0.66 -0.16 -0.11 1.07 0.01 0.75 0.13 -0.41
-1.95 1.40 -0.26 0.58 -0.53 1.92 -1.48 1.18
 0.14 0.43 -1.04 -0.12
1.60 -0.68 -0.31 -0.89
-0.52 -0.20 0.76 -0.38
-0.40 1.71 0.57 -0.58
-0.29 -0.43 -2.09 -0.67
1.58 -0.61 -0.79 -1.44
0.47 -0.61 0.98 0.24
-0.52 -0.46 -1.26 -2.40
-0.16 0.23 0.96 0.06
-0.86 -0.88 1.32 -0.57
-0.30 1.00 -0.87 -1.67
-1.62 0.34 -0.89 0.23
-0.11 0.11 -0.60 -0.51
2.15 2.40 1.60 1.56
-0.92 -1.06 0.80 2.10
-0.11 -1.02 0.33 0.33
0.25 -1.43 0.35 0.93
0.22 0.50 0.73 -0.44
1.53 1.45 -0.37 -0.54
-1.57 -1.25 -0.73 -0.50
0.80 0.70 -0.88 -0.35
0.40 -0.87 -1.12 0.72
2.27 0.10 0.81 -0.29
-0.13 0.10 -0.50 -0.55
-1.30 0.54 0.13 -1.02
0.19 -0.99 -0.02 -0.07
-0.01 0.97 0.09 -1.84
0.41 -0.77 -1.62 0.23
-1.13 -0.10 -1.46 -0.70
1.07 1.38 -0.30 -0.09
1.02 -2.40 1.57 -0.64
0.06 -0.05 1.40 -0.18
-0.28 1.06 -0.82 -0.37
0.02 -0.56 0.75 -0.24
3.61 0.01 0.41 -0.74
-1.54 -1.22 2.79 -1.12
0.38 1.32 1.22 0.83
-0.26 -0.01 -0.09 -0.02
1.23 1.16 2.67 -1.31
1.02 -0.70 -0.28 2.47
-0.41 0.45 1.30 -0.52
0.38 -1.82 -0.12 -0.42
0.79 0.42 -0.50 1.22
-0.31 -0.86 0.19 -1.01
1.36 -1.07 -0.64 1.37
 2.36 0.09 -0.52 0.96
0.43 -0.63 -0.35 -0.25
-0.06 -0.31 0.86 -0.05
-0.76 -1.30 0.22 1.19
GENERACIÓN DE CAUDALES MEDIOS MENSUALES DE LA CUENCA GRANDE (MASHCÓN)

CAUDALES MENSUALES PARA EL AÑO PROMEDIO

Tabla . Caudales generados para el año promedio de la cuenca Grande
Mes PP (mm) PE (mm) G (mm) A (mm) Qm (mm) Qm(m3/s)
Enero 118.4 69.7 11.82 57.88 1.53
Febrero 117.5 69 14.78 54.22 1.59
Marzo 158.6 101.9 20.69 81.21 2.15
Abril 106.6 60.3 0 60.3 1.65
Mayo 58.6 25.2 21.79 46.99 1.29
Junio 15 1 15.08 16.08 0.44
Julio 10.6 1 10.32 11.32 0.3
Agosto 20.4 2 7.05 9.05 0.24
Setiembre 47.2 18.3 4.88 23.18 0.64
Octubre 103.8 58 14.78 43.22 1.15
Noviembre 103.8 58 -2.96 60.96 1.67
Diciembre 118 69.4 0 69.4 1.84

CAUDALES MENSUALES PARA PERÍODOS EXTENDIDOS

Tabla Series y coeficientes estadísticos para la regresión múltiple
Mes Qt Qt-1 P Et (Qt)( Qt-1) (Qt-1) (P Et) (Qt)(P Et) (Qt-1)(Qt-1)
Enero 57.88 69.4 69.7 4016.87 4837.18 4034.24 4816.36
Febrero 54.22 57.88 69 3138.25 3993.72 3741.18 3350.09
Marzo 81.21 54.22 101.9 4403.21 5525.02 8275.299 2939.81
Abril 60.3 81.21 60.3 4896.96 4896.96 3636.09 6595.06
Mayo 46.99 60.3 25.2 2833.50 1519.56 1184.148 3636.09
Junio 16.08 46.99 1 755.60 46.99 16.08 2208.06
Julio 11.32 16.08 1 182.03 16.08 11.32 258.57
Agosto 9.05 11.32 2 102.45 22.64 18.1 128.14
Setiembre 23.18 9.05 18.3 209.78 165.62 424.194 81.90
Octubre 43.22 23.18 58 1001.84 1344.44 2506.76 537.31
Noviembre 60.96 43.22 58 2634.69 2506.76 3535.68 1867.97
Diciembre 69.4 60.96 69.4 4230.62 4230.62 4816.36 3716.12
Σ = 533.81 533.81 533.8 28405.80 29105.59 32199.45 30135.49
ΣQt ΣQt-1 ΣPEt Σ(Qt)( Qt-1) Σ(Qt-1)( PEt) Σ(Qt)( PEt) Σ(Qt-1)( Qt-1)
Ecuaciones para estimar B1, B2 y B3
533.77679 533.81 B1= 2.898
28436.4808 28405.8 B2= 0.455
32139.1224 32199.45 B3 0.4798

Tabla 12. Cálculo de �  ̂_𝑡       mensual

Mes Qt-1 P Et   �  ̂_𝑡       �  ̂_𝑡    = 2.898 + 0.455  �_(𝑡−1)+0.4798  〖�
Enero 69.4 69.7 67.92 �〗 _𝑡
Febrero 57.88 69 62.34
Marzo 54.22 101.9 76.46
Abril 81.21 60.3 68.78
Mayo 60.3 25.2 42.43
Junio 46.99 1 24.76
Julio 16.08 1 10.69
Agosto 11.32 2 9.01
Setiembre 9.05 18.3 15.80
Octubre 23.18 58 41.27
Noviembre 43.22 58 50.39
Diciembre 60.96 69.4 63.93

�=�_𝑡  − (�_𝑡  )  ̂     
Mes Qt �  ̂_𝑡     e 〖 �〗 ^2     �_𝑡^2      Mes
Enero 57.88 67.92 -10.04 100.80 3350.0944 Enero
Febrero 54.22 62.34 -8.12 65.93 2939.8084 Febrero
Marzo 81.21 76.46 4.75 22.56 6595.0641 Marzo
Abril 60.3 68.78 -8.48 71.91 3636.09 Abril
Mayo 46.99 42.43 4.56 20.79 2208.0601 Mayo
Junio 16.08 24.76 -8.68 75.34 258.5664 Junio
Julio 11.32 10.69 0.63 0.40 128.1424 Julio
Agosto 9.05 9.01 0.04 0.00 81.9025 Agosto
Setiembre 23.18 15.8 7.38 54.46 537.3124 Setiembre
Octubre 43.22 41.27 1.95 3.80 1867.9684 Octubre
Noviembre 60.96 50.39 10.57 111.72 3716.1216 Noviembre
Diciembre 69.4 63.93 5.47 29.92 4816.36 Diciembre
Media Qt= 44.484 557.66 30135.4907 Media Qt =

�= √((∑▒�^2 )/(𝑛−3))

S= 7.872

〖 �〗 _�𝑡^2=1/(𝑛−1)  [∑▒ 〖� _𝑡^2  −𝑛((�_𝑡 )  ̅ )^2  〗 ]= 

580.854

�= [1− �^2/(�_�𝑡^2 )]^(1/2)= 
0.9452

�_𝑡=2.898+0.455 �_(𝑡−1)+0.4798 
〖��〗 _𝑡+2.57 𝑧  
Número aleatorios para 12 meses (un año)
Con media 0 y Distribución estánadar 1

Mes z
Enero -0.357
Febrero -0.525
Marzo 0.459
Abril -0.308
Mayo -2.054
Junio 0.280
Julio 0.072
Agosto 0.054
Setiembre -0.381
Octubre 0.761
Noviembre -0.749
�_𝑚=2.898+0.455 �_(𝑡−1)+0.479
Diciembre 0.808

Tabla 14. Caudales generados Qm (mm/mes) para un período extendido

Mes z Qt-1 P Et Qm
Enero -0.357 69.4 69.7 67.00
Febrero -0.525 57.88 69 60.99
Marzo 0.459 54.22 101.9 77.64
Abril -0.308 81.21 60.3 67.99
Mayo -2.054 60.3 25.2 37.15
Junio 0.280 46.99 1 25.48
Julio 0.072 16.08 1 10.88
Agosto 0.054 11.32 2 9.15
Setiembre -0.381 9.05 18.3 14.82
Octubre 0.761 23.18 58 43.23
Noviembre -0.749 43.22 58 48.47
Diciembre 0.808 60.96 69.4 66.01 (*)

Tabla Número aleatorios con distrobución Normal, con media 0 y desviación estándar 1 (z)
AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL
1968 -1.3107365 -0.4261437 -0.6838104 1.84606506 1.16017191 -1.2111514 -0.04886374
1969 -1.0088252 -1.1722523 0.72767762 -0.2050285 0.19597451 0.24283963 -1.846910891
1970 0.56083763 -1.2620922 -1.5656315 -0.7067024 0.71270506 1.17194759 -0.425892495
1971 0.93876679 1.43149919 -0.7922131 0.31909167 1.62745437 0.26733915 -0.327071348
1972 0.31828677 -0.6594632 0.11326847 -1.0660847 -0.2163699 -0.030642 1.0636563275
1973 0.18397941 -0.3535786 0.77919367 0.05468564 0.57901616 -1.1398697 0.4169464773
1974 0.04549406 -0.4235483 -0.6775417 -0.0056991 -1.9492018 -0.2363049 0.0243676368
1975 -1.2363853 -0.7730932 -0.3562673 0.52177711 -0.4315109 -0.8946336 0.7159633242
1976 0.44009084 0.65718268 -0.5637048 -1.8785613 -0.8661186 0.02918796 0.4242178875
1977 -1.0533427 1.26583473 -1.1615225 0.06702521 -2.0186872 -1.4816578 1.1151678336
 1978 -0.9151404 -1.7844923 -0.2008892 -1.0329131 0.22326617 -1.3911176 0.2619515271
1979 1.62343895 0.769694 -0.2310378 -0.015491 0.7808535 -0.2775005 -0.461516265
1980 0.93509016 -0.3479659 0.70621127 1.06338803 -0.6774462 1.41715645 -0.987797648
1981 -0.0287287 0.62040726 -0.7069002 0.44954959 2.19195499 -0.6152231 -1.42113322
1982 0.10026611 -1.9441177 -1.37185 0.69370117 -0.0043224 0.26646603 2.2289350454
1983 -0.6701498 0.60168986 -0.1145008 -0.4879735 0.26646603 0.3570824 0.7160633686
1984 0.05652396 -0.9961809 0.82456381 -0.752018 -0.0336274 1.02822924 -0.18289029
1985 0.37073278 0.19846993 -0.0766886 0.11981456 -1.4575562 0.48332595 -0.292159257
1986 1.80869847 0.1128069 -0.0403634 0.4810056 -0.357735 -2.5949339 -1.728685675
1987 -1.6974991 0.94436928 0.43218279 -0.6976973 0.70434908 -0.2557817 0.3917102731
1988 -0.233631 0.09826749 -1.0900203 2.67893483 -1.6032027 0.48995616 0.6377490536
1989 -0.0874343 0.6026994 -0.2344962 1.70399744 -1.3947511 -0.633911 1.4349188859
1990 0.58872274 -1.1007523 1.7649154 2.82278052 0.555832 0.03883315 0.0844397618
1991 1.02771082 -0.3398486 0.42120632 -1.9060553 -0.739492 -1.5501837 0.7916901268
1992 0.56424369 -1.0512122 0.93331437 -1.0338249 0.58490627 2.08319761 1.5769364836
1993 2.11577571 1.42239514 -0.570983 0.84100975 0.06395794 0.87035573 -0.688069122
1994 -0.3735204 0.03278501 -0.4129447 -0.4680783 -0.2715433 -0.1213562 2.2467065719
1995 -1.6479225 -2.0239986 1.18034905 1.62343895 -0.251041 0.89212563 0.1564251306
1996 0.34999744 0.63503308 0.14675152 0.45259867 -0.683134 -0.5652305 0.9807195056
1997 0.79525307 -0.6984783 -0.4128617 1.67003236 -2.5949339 1.09182338 0.49782102
1998 -1.5960541 -0.1465196 -0.5355901 0.57161515 1.48764229 -1.3857016 -1.520597834
1999 -0.5730567 0.62905428 1.71288775 0.48797347 -0.1695264 0.05675361 -0.360753347
2000 0.55645614 -1.6177501 -1.3875024 -0.1746503 0.72389412 -1.6268768 0.0968839231
2001 -0.2589445 1.84691089 -0.8416646 -1.1150246 0.20870175 0.20362222 0.7278765679
2002 -1.71588 0.27789838 0.62802883 0.16556896 1.32808964 0.02184152 1.5009618437
2003 0.84526846 0.24142082 -1.2935925 -0.7852191 0.34658342 0.25222562 1.3273506738
2004 -0.9028827 0.51399184 0.14420038 -1.8335959 -1.0344775 -0.0077648 1.0982330423
2005 0.3680293 -0.1021112 -0.6769642 0.76774086 -0.992668 0.25965619 0.0551449375
2006 1.53014753 0.00753516 -0.9747964 -0.1584385 -0.4259755 0.08466941 0.384698069
2007 1.03343382 0.54195766 -0.0994964 0.41869953 1.01636033 1.18004209 0.4333583092
2008 -0.2834679 -2.4547262 1.4997795 0.59510285 -0.2613183 -0.0468731 0.5259903446
2009 -1.8385526 -1.8254423 -2.4470137 1.44788828 1.04590981 1.47051196 1.4134047888
2010 -1.1205975 -0.5739571 -1.4573334 1.78864866 -1.8427181 0.10726467 0.0705517778
2011 -1.7102366 -1.5181695 0.05422635 -0.8913275 0.83470809 0.0053933 -0.835466381
2012 -1.1550878 1.51938366 -0.448365 -0.6863252 2.47709977 -0.2975924 -0.296632834
2013 -1.1171642 0.98642658 0.00830028 -1.4018678 -0.3587957 0.83785608 -0.772990916
2014 -0.9516816 0.40944769 -0.5287143 0.57251555 -2.8618524 -0.317483 0.0443446879
2015 0.65519089 -0.1630883 -0.1092656 1.0693293 0.01357876 0.74574018 0.130069111
2016 -1.9471645 1.39921667 -0.2624256 0.58336354 -0.5315326 1.91843355 -1.477314981

TABLA 2A. PRECIPITACIÓN EFECTIVA MEDIA DE LA CUENCA GRANDE (MASHCÓN)-PUNTO EMISOR C

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL
1968 50.63 46.11 73.21 42.55 32.61 6.40 2.08
1969 36.93 53.33 83.71 60.17 24.74 15.10 1.21
1970 62.57 38.77 77.52 65.06 37.74 9.90 2.43
1971 53.63 72.20 169.15 53.31 24.96 8.86 15.98
1972 51.67 56.00 82.02 61.80 25.72 6.41 3.77
1973 84.96 52.69 92.40 70.43 30.07 10.90 8.38
1974 56.32 91.62 80.04 56.74 21.83 8.97 10.14
1975 68.37 93.28 105.86 65.85 47.00 8.69 9.37
1976 107.85 52.68 74.36 41.96 44.30 12.05 1.24
1977 125.92 101.42 101.28 36.92 53.55 13.76 13.07
1978 18.69 33.69 44.15 37.80 50.84 11.22 12.14
1979 55.36 34.62 93.63 44.65 32.93 2.06 11.33
1980 50.47 37.04 63.42 49.43 22.20 8.41 0.64
1981 31.24 98.13 61.08 51.22 26.38 12.50 5.98
1982 43.85 59.98 58.80 59.27 42.17 4.51 2.71
1983 75.97 22.40 130.64 89.59 39.99 3.96 5.68
1984 59.74 169.98 93.69 80.76 48.20 14.56 22.63
1985 43.88 38.30 67.18 40.68 37.20 5.31 0.63
1986 39.60 31.39 49.78 85.99 21.15 9.19 1.21
1987 88.46 61.43 57.53 69.14 31.44 8.11 12.05
1988 74.14 63.35 57.56 79.14 29.54 6.18 1.35
1989 65.94 92.31 73.87 74.35 28.25 7.04 2.02
1990 71.99 46.77 66.16 37.74 33.86 10.37 1.55
1991 41.12 47.79 75.09 50.73 26.24 5.07 1.43
1992 42.07 22.95 70.38 37.73 29.35 12.31 5.16
1993 50.91 62.24 129.15 69.67 33.93 9.15 3.51
1994 92.68 64.76 93.64 98.65 35.14 7.63 1.61
1995 41.88 63.03 81.85 53.85 32.72 4.83 13.80
1996 60.06 63.00 86.92 60.86 29.20 11.27 1.74
1997 57.96 96.39 41.80 44.91 28.07 8.71 1.52
1998 83.03 75.17 136.31 70.59 25.63 7.73 1.61
1999 79.12 136.58 68.14 57.25 43.67 13.71 19.96
2000 46.97 94.68 74.24 62.73 40.18 12.34 1.50
2001 141.39 60.87 132.34 52.86 40.28 6.42 13.74
2002 25.04 40.09 81.57 64.52 29.92 7.00 10.47
2003 38.80 52.30 59.18 36.65 32.28 8.47 1.84
2004 50.85 58.31 67.00 47.05 32.11 7.07 9.86
2005 74.47 59.69 84.82 55.95 32.41 7.78 5.93
2006 60.69 54.19 95.86 62.46 26.17 10.14 3.09
2007 78.84 36.15 86.44 80.94 29.50 4.64 9.31
2008 71.72 111.70 100.80 85.30 19.62 13.45 1.89
2009 155.46 64.91 94.14 67.39 35.66 14.39 10.03
2010 41.89 92.64 128.09 73.61 18.60 5.09 2.02
2011 22.70 37.60 58.88 43.65 5.79 0.42 6.85
2012 93.84 89.93 82.16 39.86 30.28 0.83 0.00
2013 19.58 49.39 98.93 35.07 25.23 8.64 0.32
 2014 49.37 30.52 82.20 30.77 25.03 4.54 1.63
2015 152.75 52.12 166.89 57.60 64.97 2.57 3.77
2016 71.40 73.12 102.01 50.15 6.00 1.37 1.80
PROMEDIO 64.55 64.03 86.45 58.07 31.93 8.16 5.75
DESVIACION 31.24 29.21 28.11 16.18 10.74 3.73 5.51
MIN 18.69 22.40 41.80 30.77 5.79 0.42 0.00
MAX 155.46 169.98 169.15 98.65 64.97 15.10 22.63

GENERACIÓN DE CAUDALES (mm/mes)

 �_𝑡=2.898+0.455 �_(𝑡−1)+0.4798  〖��〗 _𝑡+2.57 𝑧 

(*) Nota: si se inicia el cálculo con el mes de enero, se toma como Qt-1 el valor de Qm de Diciembre; en este caso es
Tabla Caudales medios mensuales (mm/mes) generados
AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL
1968 53.9 48.4 58.3 54.6 46.4 23.9 14.7
1969 48.2 47.4 66.5 61.5 43.3 30.4 12.6
1970 72.0 51.0 59.3 59.3 49.8 33.3 18.1
1971 56.2 66.8 112.4 80.4 55.7 33.2 24.8
1972 53.4 52.4 66.4 60.0 42.0 25.0 18.8
1973 64.8 56.7 75.1 71.0 51.1 28.5 20.9
1974 56.0 71.3 72.0 62.9 37.0 23.4 18.5
1975 55.4 70.9 85.0 74.5 58.2 31.3 23.5
1976 67.3 60.5 64.6 47.6 43.6 28.6 17.6
1977 80.2 91.3 90.0 61.8 51.5 29.1 25.3
1978 29.9 28.1 36.3 34.9 43.8 24.6 20.6
1979 48.7 43.7 67.1 54.8 45.6 23.9 18.0
1980 42.5 39.1 52.9 53.4 36.1 27.0 13.0
1981 43.4 71.3 62.8 57.2 47.2 28.8 15.2
1982 60.7 54.3 52.3 56.9 49.0 28.0 22.7
1983 72.5 48.2 87.2 84.3 61.1 33.5 22.7
1984 66.2 112.0 100.9 85.6 64.9 42.1 32.4
1985 55.3 46.9 56.3 48.3 39.0 24.4 13.6
1986 49.0 40.6 45.1 65.9 42.1 19.8 8.0
1987 68.1 65.8 61.6 62.3 48.1 28.0 22.4
1988 58.3 60.1 55.1 72.8 46.1 28.1 18.0
1989 58.0 75.1 71.9 75.7 47.3 26.2 19.5
1990 56.6 48.3 61.1 56.1 46.1 28.9 17.0
1991 53.4 49.3 62.4 50.7 36.7 18.0 13.8
1992 52.6 35.1 55.0 43.4 38.2 31.6 23.8
1993 50.9 59.6 90.5 79.7 55.6 34.8 18.7
1994 79.1 70.0 78.6 84.8 57.6 32.5 24.2
1995 51.9 51.6 68.7 64.2 47.1 29.0 23.1
1996 56.7 60.5 72.5 66.3 45.3 27.5 18.8
1997 50.6 70.4 53.9 53.3 33.9 25.3 16.4
1998 80.0 75.0 101.0 84.2 57.3 29.1 13.0
1999 63.4 98.9 85.0 70.3 55.4 34.8 27.4
2000 54.4 68.9 66.3 62.7 52.6 28.6 16.9
2001 104.2 84.3 102.6 72.1 55.5 31.8 25.8
2002 38.8 40.5 62.1 62.5 49.1 28.7 24.8
2003 51.4 52.0 51.6 42.0 38.4 25.1 18.6
2004 52.4 56.1 60.9 48.5 37.7 23.4 21.1
2005 68.4 62.4 70.2 63.7 44.9 27.7 18.5
2006 67.9 59.8 73.6 65.9 44.4 28.2 18.2
2007 69.5 53.2 68.3 73.9 53.3 32.4 23.2
2008 66.7 80.5 91.8 87.1 51.3 32.6 20.0
2009 92.2 71.3 74.2 72.7 55.8 39.0 29.1
2010 47.7 67.6 91.4 84.4 45.5 26.3 16.0
2011 27.9 29.7 44.8 41.9 26.9 15.4 11.0
2012 64.1 79.1 77.2 55.4 49.0 24.8 13.4
2013 24.1 40.1 68.6 47.4 35.6 25.4 12.6
2014 40.1 36.8 57.7 45.4 28.2 17.1 11.6
2015 107.2 76.2 117.4 86.7 73.6 39.5 23.0
2016 55.5 66.8 81.6 65.6 34.2 24.1 10.9
 (P Et)(P Et)
4858.09
4761
10383.61
3636.09
635.04
1
1
4
334.89
3364
3364
4816.36
36159.08
Σ(PEt)(PEt)

)+0.4798  〖�
 57.88 67.92 -10.04 100.8016 3350.0944
54.22 62.34 -8.12 65.9344 2939.8084
81.21 76.46 4.75 22.5625 6595.0641
60.3 68.78 -8.48 71.9104 3636.09
46.99 42.43 4.56 20.7936 2208.0601
16.08 24.76 -8.68 75.3424 258.5664
11.32 10.69 0.63 0.3969 128.1424
9.05 9.01 0.04 0.0016 81.9025
23.18 15.8 7.38 54.4644 537.3124
43.22 41.27 1.95 3.8025 1867.9684
60.96 50.39 10.57 111.7249 3716.1216
69.4 63.93 5.47 29.9209 4816.36
44.4842 Suma = 557.6561 30135.4907
=2.898+0.455 �_(𝑡−1)+0.4798  〖��〗 _𝑡+2.57 (𝑧)  

AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC

0.664797426 0.13755653 0.43285468 -1.0367012 -0.1189676
0.9196833162 1.60099262 -0.682071 -0.3101695 -0.8858797
-0.0810621259 -0.5229174 -0.2015145 0.76149036 -0.3836283
0.0202351202 -0.4042954 1.7069442 0.57089437 -0.5794686
0.631854391 -0.2907223 -0.4334424 -2.0933567 -0.6696723
-2.483757271 1.58172497 -0.6072923 -0.7945187 -1.4364196
0.105418394 0.47235062 -0.6140215 0.97726115 0.23819325
1.4939178072 -0.5239713 -0.4560764 -1.2602277 -2.3994653
0.8076995073 -0.1589808 0.23465304 0.9571113 0.06112259
0.08658958 -0.8600114 -0.8820348 1.31599108 -0.5693641
 -0.6188315638 -0.3018329 1.00071475 -0.8681241 -1.6672629
-0.7652784006 -1.6234389 0.34293066 -0.8925804 0.23292387
0.619572802 -0.1051103 0.10780354 -0.6012328 -0.505629
-0.783034011 2.15075488 2.40495865 1.59714546 1.56225269
-1.1454517335 -0.9235441 -1.057615 0.80125119 2.103734
-0.4385742614 -0.1054957 -1.0212443 0.3286857 0.32699063
1.3915223462 0.25293616 -1.433632 0.35064886 0.92659548
1.1128918231 0.22436438 0.5003335 0.72897365 -0.4446474
0.1685179996 1.53163001 1.44701517 -0.3709783 -0.5377979
0.386511374 -1.5737578 -1.2534883 -0.7293727 -0.5028494
-1.2161058294 0.79777465 0.70121359 -0.8829375 -0.3511366
-0.9303630577 0.39973429 -0.8735992 -1.1210273 0.7190306
1.2122700355 2.26522388 0.10326517 0.81056442 -0.2880097
1.2220561985 -0.1291437 0.10357326 -0.4986009 -0.5472816
-0.3535785709 -1.2978421 0.54257725 0.12613555 -1.0164877
0.218092282 0.18880428 -0.9877976 -0.0164096 -0.0674845
-1.256851192 -0.0052398 0.96866415 0.08812549 -1.8422998
1.5835985323 0.41019689 -0.7722701 -1.6205877 0.22585482
1.1422162061 -1.125195 -0.1028798 -1.4619968 -0.699747
-0.9648806554 1.06919515 1.38112227 -0.2991919 -0.0895852
0.9594123185 1.01905698 -2.4035762 1.57349405 -0.6369999
0.7525250112 0.06204118 -0.0523107 1.39637223 -0.1826561
1.2025952856 -0.2829904 1.05788331 -0.8151414 -0.3654111
-0.0234490471 0.01878107 -0.5640641 0.7506992 -0.2422087
-1.0291387298 3.61120328 0.0137311 0.40836767 -0.7380845
-0.5764854905 -1.5365913 -1.2180317 2.78756488 -1.1236125
0.1138073458 0.38346343 1.31799425 1.22221763 0.83384066
0.0118188836 -0.2581532 -0.0118962 -0.0878947 -0.017634
-0.0124305188 1.22788833 1.16468073 2.66536517 -1.3129056
-0.9059908734 1.016233 -0.7049357 -0.2841057 2.46898708
0.7837616067 -0.4124445 0.45073534 1.29730779 -0.5248489
-0.2276601663 0.37745963 -1.8222136 -0.1211242 -0.4167805
0.0284990165 0.79106258 0.42329702 -0.5008542 1.22464371
1.1728593563 -0.3081641 -0.8643383 0.19098593 -1.0123949
-0.8844062904 1.36405106 -1.0679764 -0.6361574 1.3691124
0.0846694093 2.36173946 0.092964 -0.5200263 0.96220219
1.612397682 0.43159503 -0.6326013 -0.347884 -0.249147
-0.4058733793 -0.0618888 -0.30656 0.85669399 -0.0523869
1.1835800251 -0.7597544 -1.3017598 0.21676101 1.18620392

(MASHCÓN)-PUNTO EMISOR CAPTACIÓN TRES MOLINOS

AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC
24.04 28.42 51.18 65.53 85.09
17.55 20.09 49.77 75.00 119.13
4.45 24.37 89.75 66.44 52.86
16.12 28.28 64.14 55.95 60.23
22.21 40.34 53.52 64.96 46.75
19.07 50.28 52.00 64.77 71.56
24.79 27.04 61.95 33.28 58.31
17.97 18.96 55.18 63.33 14.31
4.07 13.06 48.27 39.26 45.67
8.65 18.93 43.95 44.07 51.50
10.48 23.12 29.01 46.35 37.97
39.35 62.15 18.54 24.01 27.16
7.71 21.97 99.72 89.10 46.20
7.26 5.74 88.09 55.20 95.59
0.66 35.81 79.01 63.51 88.17
5.88 14.35 66.29 33.17 114.50
30.04 17.02 84.54 41.67 82.92
12.63 26.29 28.49 47.51 60.75
27.67 4.91 74.17 68.35 66.44
24.80 21.99 61.64 63.01 43.87
11.45 20.44 56.75 50.75 62.67
10.58 27.21 54.89 56.45 29.03
7.82 40.32 83.30 67.68 63.23
1.15 27.06 45.47 68.51 77.56
12.75 41.15 65.58 43.81 38.45
3.86 32.38 65.44 72.43 89.55
6.64 29.40 36.08 65.70 108.55
5.57 21.17 48.62 51.37 65.71
18.15 20.19 59.60 57.17 36.99
3.20 25.93 62.73 92.58 119.43
5.88 22.13 75.45 59.28 55.04
9.64 58.30 42.30 68.57 65.87
30.34 40.09 34.84 47.28 113.59
3.37 34.94 58.36 69.93 70.34
2.44 24.54 60.60 79.33 65.46
4.31 27.41 43.88 59.76 76.64
8.95 27.55 63.64 57.67 68.82
7.00 20.42 82.38 36.41 99.11
3.06 39.85 52.53 61.73 63.68
25.43 23.48 82.32 86.06 54.58
10.50 29.94 82.99 60.39 28.42
3.27 9.59 70.35 90.84 61.91
1.13 2.82 25.16 22.23 51.48
0.04 22.49 19.02 11.57 70.92
0.79 17.21 44.21 41.88 21.05
4.29 2.75 65.90 18.79 33.82
 3.26 24.43 22.80 39.35 100.12
0.09 23.06 14.40 117.18 35.49
13.80 20.06 52.89 12.43 54.69
11.10 25.70 56.57 56.56 64.31
9.54 12.31 20.25 21.08 26.32
0.04 2.75 14.40 11.57 14.31
39.35 62.15 99.72 117.18 119.43

de Diciembre; en este caso es 66.01

AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC

22.8 27.3 41.0 50.3 66.3
19.4 25.5 36.6 54.8 82.7
13.1 19.2 54.2 61.4 55.2
22.0 25.4 49.6 53.8 54.8
23.7 32.3 42.2 47.9 45.4
15.2 38.0 43.6 51.8 57.1
23.5 27.8 43.7 41.3 50.3
26.0 22.5 38.4 47.5 25.2
14.9 15.5 33.7 39.5 43.0
18.8 18.3 30.1 41.1 44.8
15.7 20.4 28.7 35.9 33.2
28.0 41.3 31.5 26.4 28.6
14.1 19.6 59.9 71.4 56.2
11.3 16.3 58.8 60.2 80.2
10.6 22.5 48.3 57.4 76.7
14.9 16.3 39.5 37.6 75.8
35.6 27.9 52.5 47.7 66.8
18.0 24.3 28.9 40.7 49.4
20.3 18.4 50.6 57.8 59.7
26.0 21.2 38.9 49.0 44.9
13.4 20.9 41.4 43.8 52.0
14.4 23.5 37.7 44.3 38.8
17.5 36.0 59.5 64.5 61.9
12.9 21.4 34.7 50.3 61.6
18.9 27.9 48.5 46.3 39.8
13.8 25.2 43.2 57.3 71.8
13.9 23.3 33.3 49.8 72.9
20.1 23.3 34.8 39.2 52.9
23.1 20.2 40.4 45.0 39.3
9.4 22.4 46.7 67.8 90.8
14.1 22.6 43.2 55.0 52.7
21.9 41.0 41.7 58.4 60.6
28.2 34.2 37.9 40.7 75.0
16.2 27.1 41.8 57.4 62.1
12.7 29.7 45.5 62.7 61.0
11.9 17.5 28.8 51.8 60.4
17.1 24.9 48.1 55.6 63.4
14.7 18.7 50.9 43.3 70.1
12.6 30.9 45.2 59.9 57.3
23.3 27.4 53.1 67.6 66.2
19.0 24.9 55.2 60.3 42.6
17.1 16.3 39.4 64.1 60.7
10.8 11.2 21.2 21.9 40.7
10.9 17.9 17.9 17.1 42.1
7.1 17.9 29.5 34.8 32.3
10.9 15.3 41.7 29.5 35.0
13.9 22.0 22.2 31.0 64.4
12.4 19.4 17.9 69.4 51.4
17.5 18.5 33.4 24.6 43.4