第 13 組

Week1
Question 1 Answer 1
A factory produced 100 computers per hour on (1) 𝜇𝑐−100 = 𝑧
20 0.05 ≅ 1.64
average and the standard deviation was 20 in the √100

past . In this year, they have developed a brand new 𝜇𝑐 = 103.28 < 104
technique and it is expected to be more productive. It can be concluded that the new technique
After sampling from random 100 hours, the works.
production is on average increased to 104 computers (2) 103.28−106
= −1.36
20
per hour. √100

β ≅ 0.087
(1) If α = 0.05, can we say that the new technique (3) If α = β = 0.05, it means 𝜇 is in the middle of
𝑐
increases the production of computers per hour?
𝜇 = 100 and 𝜇1 = 106.
(2) Assume 𝐻1 : 𝜇1 = 106, find the type Ⅱ error β.
100 + 106
(3) If I want to control α = β = 0.05, how to adjust 𝜇𝑐 = = 103
2
the sample size (hour)?
103 − 100
= 1.64
20
√𝑛
n ≅ 119.54 ≅ 120
The sample size should be about 120 hours to
control α and β to be 0.05.
Question 2 Answer 2
At a recent meeting, the manager of a national call A) Because p‐value = 0.4121 > alpha = 0.10, we do
center for a major Internet bank made the not reject the null hypothesis. The sample data do
statement that the average past‐due amount for not provide sufficient evidence to reject the call
customers who have been called previously about center managerʹs statement that the mean past due
their bills is now no larger than $20.00. amount is $20.00 or less.

Other bank managers at the meeting suggested that B) Because p‐value = 0.4121 > alpha = 0.10, we
this statement may be in error and that it might be reject the null hypothesis. The sample data provide
worthwhile to conduct a test to see if there is sufficient evidence to reject the call center
statistical support for the call center managerʹs managerʹs statement that the mean past due
statement. amount is $20.00 or less.

The file called Bank Call Center contains data for a C) Because p‐value = 0.2546 > alpha = 0.10, we do
random sample of 67 customers from the call center not reject the null hypothesis. The sample data do
population. Assuming that the population standard not provide sufficient evidence to reject the call
deviation for past due amounts is known to be center managerʹs statement that the mean past due
$60.00, what should be concluded based on the amount is $20.00 or less.
sample data? Test using α = 0.10.
D) Because p‐value = 0.2546 > alpha = 0.10, we
 reject the null hypothesis. The sample data provide
sufficient evidence to reject the call center
managerʹs statement that the mean past due
amount is $20.00 or less. 139) The U.S. Bureau of
Lab
Question 3 Answer 3
For a finite population, derive the simple random 𝑉𝑎𝑟(𝑋̅)
sampling sample mean variance without 1 1 1
= 𝑉𝑎𝑟 (𝑛 ∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑋𝑖 ) = 𝐶𝑜𝑣 (𝑛 ∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑋𝑖 , 𝑛 ∑𝑛𝑗=1 𝑋𝑗 )
replacement 𝑉𝑎𝑟(𝑋̅) . Note that the population
variance is 𝜎 2 , sample size is 𝑛, population size is 1
= 𝑛2 ∑𝑛𝑖=1 ∑𝑛𝑗=1 𝐶𝑜𝑣(𝑋𝑖 , 𝑋𝑗 )
𝑁.
−𝜎 2 1 1
Hint: 𝐶𝑜𝑣(𝑋𝑖 , 𝑋𝑗 ) = 𝑁−1 , 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑗 ≠ 𝑖 = 𝑛2 ∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑉𝑎𝑟(𝑋𝑖 ) + 𝑛2 ∑𝑛𝑖=1 ∑𝑗≠𝑖 𝐶𝑜𝑣(𝑋𝑖 , 𝑋𝑗 )

𝜎2 1 −𝜎 2
= + 𝑛2 𝑛(𝑛 − 1) 𝑁−1
𝑛

𝜎2 𝑛(𝑛−1)
= 𝑛2 [𝑛 − 𝑁−1
]

𝜎2 𝑛−1
= [1 − ]
𝑛 𝑁−1

𝜎 2 𝑁−𝑛
= [ ]
𝑛 𝑁−1