Professional Documents
Culture Documents
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Our Clients: Energy and Petrochemical Companies
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General EPC Contractors in oil & gas markets
Challenge from new entrants
“Western” and Japanese Contractors have recaptured some ground lost to Koreans
Samsung L&T
4% Group Saipem
5% 12%
7%
24%
Hynday Petrofac
Group 12%
11%
Maire
GS E&C Tecnimont
13% 7%
10%
Linde
Tecnicas 4%
60% SK E&C Reunidas
2%
13% 4%
JGC KBR
Fluor CB&I
4% 2%
3% 3%
PEER GROUP
EUROPEAN AMERICAN JAPANESE KOREAN (*) INDIAN EUROPEAN AMERICAN JAPANESE KOREAN INDIAN
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Typical project execution sequence (1/2)
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Typical project execution sequence (2/2)
investment project
Procurement
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Investment in Front End phases is essential
FINAL
AUTHORIZATION
EXPENDITURES
INFLUENCE
INFLUENCE EXPENDITURES
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Key factors in EPC project success
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From project to portfolio risk management
5. Montecarlo 5. Montecarlo
Analysis Analysis
2. Qualitative 2. Qualitative
Evaluation Evaluation
4. Quantitative 4. Quantitative
Evaluation 3. Action Evaluation 3. Action
Strategy Strategy
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Example: Saipem
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SAIPEM TODAY: A MAJOR MULTICULTURAL
E&C & DRILLING CONTRACTOR
Compressor FPSO
Station Power
Drilling Rig
Gas-to-Solids
Semisubmersible
Pipelay Vessel
Field
Development Ship
REVENUES
9 2015 11.50 B€
ROV
Remotely Operated Vehicle
9 2016 9.98 B€
Sircos - Pipeline Beluga - Deepwater
Repair System Trenching Machine
BACKLOG
9 December 31, 2016 14.2 B€
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Shah Gas Development, U.A.E.
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CNRL Oil Sands Refinery, Alberta, Canada
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Engro Fertilizer Complex, Pakistan
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Pipelaying for Nord Stream
Castorone
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New Technologies, New Industries
The Consolidation of Deepwater Subsea Production Systems
Brazil
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World First Offshore-Moored FSRU
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Offshore Wind Farm for Statoil
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High tech-applied in difficult, inaccessible, distant markets
Russia Nigeria
Kazakhstan
U.A.E.
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Some little known facts about Saipem
In Italy, autonomously,
~7th largest company
(by revenue)
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Saipem: Pivot in Italy
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A new chapter in Saipem history
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The EPC Process
Improving project execution
in today’s scenario
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“Some heavy pounding, Sir”
Wellington at Waterloo
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Time for Resilience
For the General Contractors in the oil & gas industry
Shifting markets
Increasing
execution
complexities
but
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"Less Bang, More Buck"
Rapidly rising project execution costs – 2000 – 2015
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Example: LNG liquefaction plants capital cost escalation (US $)
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Drama in “mega projects” execution:
increasing cost overruns and delays
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Key factors of success
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Clarity of Owner’s objectives: crucial guidance for the contractor
Investment
PROJECT STUDY AND DEFINITION Etimate
± 25%
Investment
PROJECT SETTING PHASE Etimate
± 10%
Front End
Project Basic Basic Final
Engineering
Start Process Engineering Investment
Design (FEED)
Decision
Project Management
Control System
Hand Over
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For project success, need tighter cooperation between Project
Owner/E&C Contractor/Supply Chain
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Investment in Front End phases is essential
FINAL
AUTHORIZATION
EXPENDITURES
INFLUENCE
INFLUENCE EXPENDITURES
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In EPC/EPIC contracts we need to avoid the “Avalanche Effects”
of poor or changing FEED / Technical Package
Cumulative
Cost
TOTAL COST
Project Cost RISING I
‘SNOWBALL’ FINAL
LEGEND:
C i COST
‘AVALA NCHE’
Intended EPIC Process
(e-p-c-i)
‘Avalanched’ EPIC Process
c C ORIGINAL
P COST
p
(E-P-C-I)
FEED e E
Time
FEED
POOR FEED
Contract
Co
ontrac
ontra
o c ORIGINAL CONTRACT SCHEDULE OVERALL DELAY
A ard
Awardd
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Maximize the application of new technologies
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Conclusions
In our view, the most critical factors of project success are decided
before starting EPC:
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Fundamentals of the EPC process
Feasibility Studies
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Feasibility Study
Feasibility Study (1/4)
Project description
- Project purpose, stakeholders involved, who will benefit ?
- Preliminary design
Market study
- Evaluate the market environment, goals, benefits, commercialization obstacles
Project goals
- Long-term, short-term goals
Execution plan
- How to achive the goals?
- Preliminary design/procurement/construction plan
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Feasibility Study
Feasibility Study (2/4)
Resources
- Identify all needed resources: technical, human, advisory, equipment, inventories, IT, …
- Supplies and suppliers
- Subcontractors
Project process
- How will the project flow?
- Flowcharts, main project stages
Timeline
- Estimated timeline, individual steps, milestones
Management
- Identify needed managers, workers and relative responsibilities
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Feasibility Study
Feasibility Study (3/4)
Calculate profitability
- Return on investment
- NPV
- Payout time
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Feasibility Study
Feasibility Study (4/4)
Typical outcome:
Alternatives
- Analyze, recommend alternative approaches -if any
The outcome
- Conclusions: is the project beneficial or detrimental?
- Profitability analysis
- Risk assessment
- Implementation programme
Technologies Selection
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Example: Synthesis of Urea Technologies Selection
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Technologies Selection Technologies Selection
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Basic Engineering Design
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Basic Engineering Design
Basic Engineering Design (1/4)
A unique Basic Engineering Package, developed for each individual project, typically
includes the following deliverables:
• Design Basis
- Site-specific meteorological and ambient conditions;
- Required characteristics of utility supply systems;
- Integration with existing facilities
- Preliminary plot plan
• Process Description
- Process scheme
• Equipment List
- A list of all required process equipment, with relative sizing
• Material List
- Selection basis and diagrams
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Basic Engineering Design
Basic Engineering Design (2/4)
• Equipment List
• Instrument List
- Control valves, level instruments, flow instruments, pressure instruments, temperature instruments
and relief devices, identified and specified
• Piping
- Piping specification and piping classification index
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Basic Engineering Design
Basic Engineering Design (3/4)
• Hydraulic calculations
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Basic Engineering Design
Basic Engineering Design (4/4)
• On the basis of the above, the Owner Company will make a Final
Investment Decision (FID)
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Detailed Engineering
Detailed Engineering
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Detailed Engineering (1/3)
Detailed Engineering
Process Engineering
x Review for consistency Basic Engineering Design or FEED Package developed by third party / client
x Develop / Review hydraulic calculations
x Develop / Review pressure safety valve calculations for final equipment layout and relieving scenarios
x Obtain / Review package equipment quotations from vendors for process suitability
x Develop utility requirements with regards to vendor data for process suitability and update the utility sizings
Equipment Engineering
x Confirm design basis
x Develop mechanical design for fabricated equipment
x Develop engineering data sheet for fabricated equipment
x Prepare engineering datasheets for package units
x Prepare standard specifications for fabricated equipment and vendor designed equipment
x Prepare fabrication drawings / review the ones prepared by vendors
Piping Design
x Confirm piping design basis
x Develop piping and pipe support standards
x Prepare piping and valve material specifications
x Develop plot plan
x Develop equipment layout plan and elevation drawings
x Develop foundation layout plans
x Prepare equipment nozzle orientations
x Develop 1st MTO (Material Take-Off) for piping, valves, fittings
x Develop piping layout plans / sections
x Prepare isometrics
x Carry out stress analysis
x Prepare isometrics for tie-in points
x Prepare pipe support details
x Prepare specifications and MTO for insulation and painting
x Develop final MTO for piping, valves, fittings, and other piping items.
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Detailed Engineering (2/3)
Detailed Engineering
Instrument Engineering
x Confirm instrumentation design basis
x Develop Instrumentation Index
x Prepare standard specification for valves, pressure instruments, temperature instruments, level instruments and PLC system
x Prepare engineering datasheets for field instruments including control valves, relief valves, temperature instruments, pressure
instruments, flow instrument, level instruments etc.
x Develop specifications for control system including system architecture and remote data acquisition system.
x Prepare control room layout
x Develop cable and Junction Box schedule
x Prepare instrument hook up diagrams
x Prepare loop wiring diagrams
x Prepare specification and layout for gas detection system
x Prepare instrument installation standards
x Estimate bill of materials for bulk items
Electrical Engineering
x Confirm electrical design basis
x Prepare load list
x Prepare single line diagram
x Carry out conceptual design for power source, equipment location and power distribution.
x Develop hazardous area classification drawings
x Develop specifications for power generation
x Prepare specifications for other electrical items like Control Stations, Lighting Fixtures, earthing material, cables & cable trays
x Carry out cable sizing calculations and develop cable schedule
x Prepare Instrument Control room layout
x Develop design & drawings for earthing & lightning protection
x Develop lighting layout
x Develop cable tray layout
x Estimate bill of materials for bulk items
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Detailed Engineering (3/3)
Detailed Engineering
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Procurement
Procurement
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Procurement Procurement
Typical steps:
x Overall planning
x Standards determination
x Specifications development
x Supplier research and certification
x Certified Vendor list definition
x Reconciliation of Contractor’s and Client’s Vendor lists
x Definition of Terms and Conditions (T&C)
x Issuance of Tenders, receipt of offers
x Price and negotiation
x Contract definition and signature
x Contract adiministration
x Post-order activities, expediting
x Deliveries on site
x Verification and warranties
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Construction
Construction
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Construction Construction
• Key areas:
- Site preparation
- Civil works
- Mechanical erection
- Electrical & Instrumentation works
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Start-up and
commissioning
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Start-up and Commissioning Start-up and
commissioning
Plant acceptance
Future operations
- Sometimes BOO (Build, Own and Operate) or
BOT (Build, Own and Transfer)
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Improving the EPC Process
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Only lower-cost projects will see the light
(Cost curve by market)
Indicative cost curve of global crude oil supply from new projects in select areas to 2030
DECADE
END OF
?
NORM
NEW
AL
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Source: IHS
Key challenge for the EPC General Contractors
Lower Increasing
profitabil difficulties
ity
Ever more complex and
inaccessible locations
More sophisticated, advanced
technologies
Major project execution
challenges
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Drastic cost-reductions for new projects are needed
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Our industry has been the most resistant one to reduce costs
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Lower prices are possible
Source: IHS
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More than half of offshore cost reductions due to simplification, design
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Efforts to reduce CAPEX and improve project execution
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Saipem’s new strategic pillars – starting from August 2015
Cost Debt
Business De-risking Technology
optimization reduction
1 portfolio 2 the business 3 and process 4 and 5 and capital
refocus model innovation
efficiency discipline
Maintain More top-management "Fit for the future": Enhanced innovation Rights issue
state-of-the-art engagement on 1.7 B€ effort
fleet significant decisions overall program
savings
Technology as enabler
for commercial New credit facilities
Selectiveness,
project screening G&A optimization opportunities
Rationalization,
‘right-sizing’,
divestments Proprietary Debt refinancing
Reinforced risk Eliminate technologies
management overcapacity
Overall system
Ongoing strategic Balanced portfolio of Rationalize design and Focus on cash flow
review of non-core E, EPC, EPCM geographical execution management
activities activities footprint
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Way forward: Towards improved project execution
(Saipem’s example)1/2
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Way forward: Towards improved project execution
(Saipem’s example)2/2
¾ Extensive digitalization
Focus on capitalization of Information
and Intellectual Assets
Beyond just ‘lessons learned’
Much broader networks use
¾ "Smart" Supply-chain
Extensive digitalization, Post-order management,
Material tracking solutions, training for supervision
¾ Smart logistics
… with suppliers
… with complementary and synergistic Partners
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A View on
EPC
Contractual Forms
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The optimal contractual form will depend on …
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No single ‘one-fits-all’ contractual solution for all situations
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Main EPC contractual forms
(Among many that are possible and utilized)
x ‘Reimbursable’
The contractor is reimbursed on an hourly basis according to pre-agreed unitary pricing,
for E and PM
Mostly, no targets on man-hours used or on project schedule
All schedule and cost risk with the Owner
Occasionally, incentives to finish within a target timing, or develop a project within a
target cost
Owner carries out the P - procurement and C - subcontracting
Very typical in North America
Installation/
Field Construction
I/C
C/fab
E P STANDARD
Project
Cost
Time
Integrated Project
je Management
I/C
C/Fab.
P IMPROVED
E
Time
Reduced EPIC Saved Time
Contract Duration Increases: Cost, Complexity, Risk
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The EPC/EPIC LSTK approach
Pros: Cons:
¾ Most efficient and disciplined process ¾ More complex/ higher risk for E&C
¾ Predicts final project cost and Contractor
completion time ¾ Requires firm and precise excecution
¾ Parallel processes are possible
(Indeed essential to capture program value) of each step
¾ Continuous improvements ¾ Does not allow project definition
(Project-to-project learning curve) changes or post-FEED optimization
¾Easier to maximize local content and manage ¾ Price affected by uncertainties/un- definitions
risks efficiently
¾ Long bid/evaluation/award time:
¾ More sustainable than best-in-class
alternatives typically one year
¾ Simple bid evaluation process
¾ Lower burden on Owner’s Team
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Who runs the project, who is responsible for the outcome
under standard‘ Reimbursable’ and ‘Lump Sum’ Contracts?
Contractor selection process Short, can be subjective Rigorous and formal, but long
Design
Owner Contractor
Leadership
Owner Contractor
Location
Owner Contractor
Project Risk
Owner’s involvement High Low
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“Convertible” contracts offer a compromise contractual
scheme increasingly attractive in today’s market
Reimbursable,
Lump Sum Turn Key
Open Book
Maintain simultaneously the main advantages of the two extreme contractual forms
Project definition,
execution plan, cost Project
estimate implementation
FEED E P C
PROJECT EXECUTION
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Execution Approaches
8-10 months
LSTK
Feasibility FEED EPC LSTK
Studies
Cost/Schedule Estimates
Conversion Factors
Firm Price/Schedule
Conversion into LS
‘Convertible’ LSTK
Feasibility
FEED FEED + EPC LSTK
Studies
Bid/Award Bid/Award
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Saipem Convertible Contracts Experience
Just
Converted
Execution
ongoing
Khursaniyah Central Processing Facilities - S. Arabia
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The EPC marketing process
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Increased Clients focus today
HS&E
Brownfield activities
- Revamps, upgrading
- High level O&M
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Source: adapted from Transmar (2016)
Key Clients requirements today – from EPC contractors
In most cases, the selection process will involve the following main steps:
x ‘Pre-qualification’ of qualified or acceptable contractors
A few months are normally given to Contractors to prepare the ‘Prequalification submission’
x General contractors will often cascade analogous requests for prequalification to their main
suppliers
x Issuance of EPC Request for Bids to this short list of selected / qualified General Contractors
x A very complex and very costly endeavor – an accurate offer is a critical factor of success
x Contractors will use complex databases with vendor information and prices
- Request specific and binding offers to key suppliers
- ‘Nominated Vendors’, ‘Nominated Subcontractors’
x In most cases, the ‘lowest price’ wins, if all the other Owner’s criteria are met
adequately
…unless the price or the submitting company are not credible
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Different contractors have a variety of business models and risk acceptance
Generally:
x Most US and some smaller European contractors are not risk-prone, will
accept predominantly contracts on lower-risk ‘reimbursable’ basis only
x Some European (e.g. Saipem, Technip, …), Japanese and Korean contractors
will operate preferably on EPC LSTK or hybrid basis
x A few prefer to work only with their traditional and well known Clients
x In these difficult times, however, all operators are trying to reduce their risk
exposure (‘de-risking’) and to better balance the risk distribution with the
Owners
Accepting the right risk profile (i.e. appropriate to the project and
to the company experience) is one of the key factors of success
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