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Bogotá (20 localidades).

Serie poblacional 1985-2020 para Bogotá obtenida a partir del ajuste de m


Dirección de Estudios Macro - SDP
Nota: en el marco del Convenio entre la SDP y el DANE se elaboraron proyecciones poblacionales por localidades, as
cumplieron. En este ejercicio se estan estimando series de tiempo retrospectivas de la población por localidad medi
comparabilidad de los resultados de los censos poblacionales, las proyecciones vigentes, y una corrección de las ten
disponer series cronológicas largas y consistentes para la ciudad. Las proyecciones del convenio 096 de 2007 son inc
resultados.

Localidad 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990

ANTONIO NARIÑO 110,295 105,633 102,092 99,523 97,801 96,822


BARRIOS UNIDOS 197,991 189,996 183,861 179,345 176,245 174,391
BOSA 121,686 123,235 128,076 135,962 146,681 160,030
CHAPINERO 109,292 111,291 113,236 115,095 116,829 118,402
CIUDAD BOLÍVAR 323,327 332,322 342,301 353,118 364,628 376,686
ENGATIVÁ 526,069 542,974 560,422 578,222 596,171 614,049
FONTIBÓN 165,002 166,242 168,591 171,928 176,138 181,118
KENNEDY 556,903 584,210 610,834 636,741 661,852 686,045
LA CANDELARIA 30,683 30,158 29,691 29,262 28,854 28,453
LOS MÁRTIRES 112,804 108,607 105,158 102,334 100,039 98,189
PUENTE ARANDA 302,512 297,676 293,793 290,638 288,017 285,763
RAFAEL URIBE URIBE 280,790 297,541 312,896 326,891 339,527 350,770
SAN CRISTÓBAL 343,040 361,370 377,718 392,149 404,682 415,301
SANTA FE 119,661 115,866 112,884 110,586 108,864 107,625
SUBA 331,837 357,363 383,905 411,420 439,814 468,969
SUMAPAZ - - - - - -
TEUSAQUILLO 131,366 128,657 126,698 125,371 124,568 124,200
TUNJUELITO 84,487 108,960 130,232 148,593 164,251 177,358
USAQUÉN 214,468 235,185 254,591 272,777 289,778 305,592
USME 163,436 163,662 165,411 168,508 172,795 178,127
Total general 4,225,649 4,360,948 4,502,390 4,648,463 4,797,534 4,947,890
ida a partir del ajuste de modelos spline a datos censales y proyecciones.

blacionales por localidades, asumiendo supuestos de tipo urbanistico, algunos de los cuales no se
población por localidad mediante el ajuste de splines. Este tipo de ejercicio se realiza para mantener la
es, y una corrección de las tendencias proyectadas en el marco del convenio, y satisface la necesidad de
convenio 096 de 2007 son incluidas en la siguiente hoja, en el caso de que se requiera trabajar con sus

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998

97,106 97,485 97,868 99,294 100,941 102,668 104,522 106,473


174,310 174,990 175,678 178,012 180,798 183,838 187,275 191,115
176,049 194,350 214,749 237,298 261,136 285,707 310,977 336,768
119,946 121,277 122,382 123,398 124,029 124,234 124,207 124,048
389,684 402,993 416,538 430,718 444,411 457,284 469,875 482,402
632,509 650,544 668,038 685,652 701,609 715,438 728,037 739,785
187,031 193,550 200,613 208,391 216,306 224,152 232,148 240,355
710,171 733,204 755,115 776,760 796,287 813,320 829,049 844,074
28,087 27,708 27,314 26,933 26,499 26,009 25,507 25,014
96,847 95,819 95,068 94,663 94,333 94,003 93,773 93,669
284,122 282,588 281,093 279,897 278,262 276,042 273,610 271,116
361,078 369,946 377,383 379,234 380,467 380,859 380,918 380,844
424,570 431,917 437,384 439,529 440,959 441,414 440,860 437,755
106,937 106,582 106,514 106,804 107,137 107,407 107,713 108,072
499,420 530,423 561,867 594,300 626,153 656,866 687,121 717,184
- - - 382 824 1,310 1,831 2,371
124,523 125,009 125,501 126,539 127,565 128,475 129,407 130,400
188,292 196,919 203,355 204,354 205,018 205,229 205,261 205,221
320,634 334,478 347,126 358,989 369,238 377,722 385,023 391,454
184,619 191,910 199,898 208,704 217,683 226,551 235,449 244,369
5,105,935 5,261,692 5,413,484 5,559,851 5,699,655 5,828,528 5,952,563 6,072,489
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

108,445 110,410 112,217 113,834 115,188 116,207 116,828 116,806


195,271 199,754 204,346 209,048 213,784 218,473 223,073 227,500
362,773 388,872 414,524 439,602 463,844 486,984 508,828 529,171
123,793 123,536 123,233 122,971 122,788 122,722 122,827 123,114
494,856 507,482 519,944 532,459 545,052 557,740 570,619 583,657
750,707 761,202 770,798 779,852 788,430 796,582 804,470 812,069
248,725 257,341 265,993 274,746 283,575 292,447 301,375 310,312
858,593 873,237 887,633 902,364 917,672 933,788 951,074 969,613
24,539 24,101 23,694 23,332 23,028 22,787 22,621 22,531
93,665 93,783 93,936 94,140 94,371 94,609 94,842 95,043
268,566 266,095 263,530 260,990 258,483 256,020 253,638 251,315
380,648 380,524 380,227 379,929 379,650 379,404 378,164 375,807
433,805 429,460 424,662 419,826 415,198 411,010 407,552 404,954
108,439 108,829 109,127 109,341 109,431 109,362 109,107 108,630
747,001 776,915 806,380 835,704 864,910 893,981 923,063 952,103
2,922 3,471 4,007 4,518 4,992 5,420 5,792 6,099
131,428 132,530 133,589 134,640 135,658 136,623 137,530 138,347
204,520 200,996 197,128 193,273 189,704 186,691 184,528 183,387
397,145 402,423 407,155 411,645 416,043 420,493 425,193 430,204
253,189 261,920 270,277 278,259 285,767 292,698 298,992 304,554
6,189,030 6,302,881 6,412,400 6,520,473 6,627,568 6,734,041 6,840,116 6,945,216
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

116,742 116,161 115,328 114,324 113,235 112,137 111,112 110,239


231,722 235,775 239,668 243,416 247,049 250,574 254,001 257,353
548,150 566,110 583,338 600,137 616,839 633,725 651,084 669,227
123,537 124,063 124,648 125,249 125,832 126,351 126,764 126,949
596,773 610,011 623,352 636,794 650,367 664,047 677,819 691,693
819,286 826,209 832,835 839,190 845,337 851,270 856,996 862,557
319,233 328,182 337,176 346,241 355,414 364,709 374,142 383,742
989,172 1,009,665 1,030,902 1,052,725 1,075,024 1,097,601 1,120,274 1,142,901
22,503 22,524 22,578 22,650 22,726 22,791 22,828 22,824
95,191 95,294 95,344 95,341 95,287 95,177 95,007 94,779
248,995 246,672 244,319 241,912 239,441 236,877 234,191 231,368
373,575 371,456 369,403 367,376 365,353 363,284 361,125 358,845
403,076 401,806 400,991 400,491 400,184 399,915 399,537 398,918
107,930 107,044 105,997 104,816 103,535 102,175 100,768 99,340
981,025 1,009,981 1,039,013 1,068,188 1,097,642 1,127,402 1,157,514 1,188,071
6,345 6,540 6,693 6,814 6,910 6,990 7,063 7,139
139,051 139,652 140,148 140,539 140,728 140,743 140,755 140,766
183,125 183,567 184,517 185,784 187,191 188,537 189,633 190,289
435,395 440,687 445,955 451,085 455,991 460,543 464,619 468,115
309,402 313,653 317,392 320,710 323,719 326,497 329,134 331,730
7,050,228 7,155,052 7,259,597 7,363,782 7,467,804 7,571,345 7,674,366 7,776,845
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

109,603 109,277 109,254 109,199 109,104 108,976


260,646 263,883 267,106 270,280 273,396 276,453
688,455 709,039 731,047 753,496 776,363 799,660
126,956 126,951 126,591 126,192 125,750 125,294
705,663 719,700 733,859 748,012 762,184 776,351
867,976 873,243 878,434 883,319 887,886 892,169
393,533 403,519 413,734 424,038 434,446 444,951
1,165,318 1,187,315 1,208,980 1,230,539 1,252,014 1,273,390
22,764 22,633 22,438 22,243 22,041 21,830
94,487 94,130 93,716 93,248 92,755 92,234
228,388 225,220 221,906 218,555 215,191 211,802
356,408 353,761 350,944 348,023 344,990 341,886
397,919 396,383 394,358 392,220 389,945 387,560
97,920 96,534 95,201 93,857 92,490 91,111
1,219,135 1,250,734 1,282,978 1,315,509 1,348,372 1,381,597
7,224 7,330 7,457 7,584 7,711 7,838
140,772 140,767 140,473 140,135 139,776 139,369
190,318 189,522 187,971 186,383 184,743 183,067
470,922 472,908 474,186 475,275 476,184 476,931
334,376 337,152 340,101 342,940 345,689 348,332
7,878,783 7,980,001 8,080,734 8,181,047 8,281,030 8,380,801
Bogotá (20 localidades). Proyecciones poblacionales 2005-2015 obtenida en el marco del Conveni
DANE- SDP No 096-2007

Localidad 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

ANTONIO NARIÑO 106,648 107,044 107,387 107,682 107,935 108,150


BARRIOS UNIDOS 224,216 226,532 228,434 230,026 231,435 232,802
BOSA 495,283 510,346 525,153 539,794 554,389 569,093
CHAPINERO 126,274 127,370 128,545 129,774 131,027 132,271
CIUDAD BOLÍVAR 567,861 580,225 592,426 604,491 616,455 628,366
ENGATIVÁ 793,944 802,875 811,520 819,912 828,096 836,124
FONTIBÓN 297,933 306,109 314,175 322,172 330,156 338,198
KENNEDY 944,777 959,298 972,837 985,570 997,693 1,009,527
LA CANDELARIA 23,985 24,010 24,038 24,067 24,095 24,117
LOS MÁRTIRES 95,866 96,210 96,568 96,930 97,283 97,611
PUENTE ARANDA 257,090 257,279 257,583 257,962 258,368 258,751
RAFAEL URIBE URIBE 376,711 376,867 377,134 377,440 377,704 377,836
SAN CRISTÓBAL 409,653 409,864 410,066 410,214 410,259 410,148
SANTA FE 109,463 109,464 109,554 109,704 109,882 110,049
SUBA 918,580 943,335 968,279 993,377 1,018,629 1,044,006
SUMAPAZ 5,952 6,020 6,079 6,131 6,179 6,224
TEUSAQUILLO 138,993 140,151 141,366 142,619 143,891 145,157
TUNJUELITO 202,342 202,245 202,198 202,168 202,119 202,010
USAQUÉN 444,924 449,781 454,703 459,669 464,656 469,635
USME 299,621 310,191 322,183 335,350 349,346 363,707
TOTAL BOGOTÁ 6,840,116 6,945,216 7,050,228 7,155,052 7,259,597 7,363,782
ida en el marco del Convenio de cooperación técnica

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

108,307 108,457 108,607 108,766 108,941


233,781 234,948 236,433 238,380 240,960
583,056 597,522 612,754 629,066 646,833
133,778 135,160 136,352 137,281 137,870
639,937 651,586 663,397 675,471 687,923
843,722 851,299 858,935 866,719 874,755
345,909 353,859 362,167 370,976 380,453
1,019,949 1,030,623 1,042,080 1,054,850 1,069,469
24,144 24,160 24,160 24,140 24,096
97,926 98,209 98,450 98,637 98,758
258,441 258,212 258,102 258,154 258,414
377,615 377,272 376,767 376,060 375,107
409,799 409,257 408,477 407,416 406,025
109,993 109,955 109,945 109,974 110,053
1,069,114 1,094,488 1,120,342 1,146,985 1,174,736
6,258 6,296 6,340 6,393 6,460
146,583 147,933 149,166 150,236 151,092
201,843 201,593 201,230 200,725 200,048
474,773 479,830 484,764 489,526 494,066
382,876 400,686 415,898 427,090 432,724
7,467,804 7,571,345 7,674,366 7,776,845 7,878,783

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