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Water in Africa

A political [governance]
&
a management challenge

Tony Allan
King’s College & SOAS London
The consequences of asymmnetric rainfall Source Nasa

2
Endowments - including water

Demographics
Infrastructure
Governance

Outcomes
The consequences of asymmnetric rainfall Source Nasa

LWRG 2007 4
Demographics
65mn

108mn

145mn

6
65mn

108mn

145mn

7
Consequences of different political cultures

1268mn 1004mn

1453mn 1448mn

1424m 1808mn
n

LWRG 2007 8
LWRG 2007 9
Infrastructure
RESPONSE Global Irrigated Area Map Source IWMI.org

Look at the International Water Management Institute [IWMI] website

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Government and Governance
Government & Governance

.Gov
.Org

. Com

Civil
society

Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto


2008
Government & Governance

Government
.Gov
.Org

. Com

Civil
society

Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto


2008
Government & Governance

Government
.Gov Governance
.Org

. Com

Civil
society

Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto


2008
Governance in a neo-liberal political economies - US, EU etc

.Gov
.Org

. Com

Civil
society

Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto


2008
Governance in a neo-liberal political economy

. Gov
Org
.

.Com
Democracy
Employment Laws/regulation
Pensions Welfare state
Subsidies Conscription
Taxes Advocacy
Markets
Branding &
advertising
Employment
Civil Pensions

society

Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto


2008
Government/Governance in different political economies

Neo-liberal ‘democratic’
regime Common Southern
.Gov
.Org

.Com
.Gov
.Com .Org

Authoritarian

.Gov

.Com .Org

Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto


2008
Outcomes of Africa’s

endowments - including water


demographics,
infrastructure
levels of development
and governance THE KEY ISSUE
See FAO website for
1970 to 2000 animation

Data for 2000

LWRG 2007 20
Africa does have some of the most
advanced infrastructure and water
management and regulation in the
world
10000m3
Water rich Water rich
Water but and
resource adaptively poor adaptively rich
status of
the economy 1000m3
[m3 ppy as Water poor Water poor
an indicator] and and
adaptively poor adaptively rich

The two 10m3


dimensions $10 ppy $1000 ppy $100000 ppy
of water
Adaptive status of the economy & society
poverty
[Annual GDP per head as an indicator]
10000m
3 Water rich Water rich
Water but and
resource adaptively adaptively rich
status of poor
the economy
1000m3
[m3 ppy as Water poor Water poor
an indicator] and and
adaptively adaptively rich
poor
The 10m3

Malthusian $10 ppy $1000 ppy $100000 ppy


relationship Adaptive status of the economy & society
[Annual GDP per head as an indicator]
Both the water status and the social
adaptive capacity are dynamic.

Communities and political economies have


trajectories reflecting worsening local water
resource availability – because of rising
populations, and
improving economies – because of adaptive
amelioration.
10000m
Water 3 Water rich Water rich
resource but and
status of adaptively adaptively rich
the economy S Korea poor
[m3 ppy as
Israel
an indicator] 1000m3 Water poor Water poor
1950 and and
Egypt
adaptively adaptively rich
S. Africa
2000 poor
Socio-economic 10m3

development $10 ppy $1000 ppy $100000 ppy


not determined Adaptive status of the economy & society
by water
[Annual GDP per head as an indicator]
status
10000m Water poverty is
3 Waterconcerned
rich Water rich
with the one to
Water but and poor
two billion facing
resource adaptively adaptively rich
water endowments &
status of poor
poor adaptive capacity
the economy
1000m3
[m3 ppy as Water poor Water poor
an indicator] and and
adaptively adaptively rich
poor
The focus 10m3
of WPI $10 ppy $1000 ppy $100000 ppy
monitoring Adaptive status of the economy & society
&
[Annual GDP per head as an indicator]
evaluation
Poverty determines water poverty

Water poverty does not determine


poverty

Adaptive capacity is the key resource


Concepts from economics
More crop per drop

More jobs per drop

More care per drop


Concepts from economics
More crop per drop

Environ-
More jobs per drop
metal paradigm
More care per drop

5th
More stake per drop
paradigm
A politicians prayer
‘Some water for everyone for ever’
Kader Asmal 1996

Africa’s prayer
‘Enough water for everyone and for
the environment for ever’
Thank you

ta1@soas.ac.uk

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