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REVIEW FOR LICENSURE EXAMINATION FOR AGRICULTURIST

PPT PRESENTATION OF DR. ADEL LAURETO


MACROECONOMICS
 is concerned with performance of the economy as a
whole or with large sectors of it, such as
government, business firms, and households.
 attempts to explain why the economy’s total output of
goods and services fluctuates overtime, giving rise to
the business cycle with its accompanying upward and
downward movements in the unemployment and
inflation rates
 it is also concerned with issues such as the
governments ability to control inflation, the
effectiveness of government policies and the size of
the government deficit or surplus
NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING
it provides us with aggregate measures of
what is happening in the economy.

IMPORTANCE OF NATIONAL INCOME


ACCOUNTING :
1. It allows us to keep finger on the economic
pulse of the nation
2. By comparing national income accounts
over a number of years, we can track the
long-run course of the economy and see
whether it has grown, been steady, or
stagnated.

3. Information supplied by national income


accounts provides a basis for formulating,
and applying public policies to improve the
performance of the economy.
FIGURE 1: The Circular-Flow Diagram

Revenue Spending
Markets for
G&S Goods &
G&S
sold Services bought

Firms Households

Factors of Labor, land,


production Markets for capital
Factors of
Wages, rent, Production Income
profit
THINKING LIKE AN
6
ECONOMIST
A more comprehensive circular flow diagram will
incorporate the two other agents namely: government
and foreign agents.
Such diagram is also likely to include the following
transactions:
a. Government purchases of goods and services
 Government buy goods and services for its day-to-
day operations and projects. These represent
transactions for which government makes
payments to firms.
b. Government payments for factor services
Government hire workers, rents privately owned
buildings, etc.. These represent payments of
government to the owners of the factors of
production.
c. Transfer payments between different agents
Transfer payments are transactions wherein one
party is not obliged to deliver a good or service in
return for the payment.

Examples include the retirement benefits,


unemployment benefits, scholarships , and
donations. In case of unemployment benefits, the
transactions will be shown in the circular flow
diagram as payments from government to
households.
d. Firms and households pay taxes to
government
In the circular flow diagram, these will be
reflected as payments from the households
and firms to the governments

e. Transactions with the foreign sector


transactions between foreign and
domestic agents include sales of goods and
services, assets, and transfers.
Exports
 are sales of domestically produced
goods to other countries. This will be
reflected as a payment from the rest of
the world to the firms.

Imports
 are goods bought from other
countries. This will be reflected as
payments by the purchasing domestic
agent to the rest of the world.
Two Indicators of Aggregate Output:
Gross National Product (of the Philippines)
Is the market value of all final goods and services
produced by all nationals in the economy during a
given period of time.
Gross Domestic Product (of the Philippines)
 Measures the market value of all final goods and
services produced within the boundaries of the
Philippines, whether by Filipinos or foreign-
supplied resources.

GDP = GNP – (NFIRW)


NFIRW = Net factor income from the rest of the world

Net factor income from the rest of the world (NFIRW)


is the difference between the earnings of Filipinos
from activities overseas and the earnings of
foreigners in the Philippines.

If earnings of Filipino abroad exceed those of the


foreigners in the Philippines, the NFIRW becomes
positive making GNP higher than GDP. The opposite
is true if NFIRW is negative, that is GDP would be
greater than GNP.
GDP, GNI and NPI of the Philippines (In million pesos)
2013 2014 2015
Current
GNI (GNP) 14,049,272 15,327,336 16,062,158
GDP 11,542,286 12,642,736 13,285,240
NPI (NFIRW) 2,506,986 2,684,599 2,776,917

Constant at 2000 prices


GNI (GNP) 8,168,768 8,640,668 9,109,705
GDP 6,750,079 7,164,017 7,579,940
NPI (NFIRW) 1,418,689 1,476,652 1,529,765

Source: PSA (as of January 2016


Characteristics of GNP/GDP:
1)It is a flow concept, measured as the quantity of final
goods and services produced by the economy per
period of time.

2) It is measured in monetary terms

3).It includes goods and services bought for final use,


not unfinished goods in their intermediate stages of
production that are purchased for further processing
& resale.
4) It includes only final goods and services produced
during the accounting year.

5) It is a measure of productive activities only.


Approaches to GNP/GDP Measurement
1. The Final Expenditure Approach
 In this approach, the GNP/GDP is computed by
getting the sum of the final expenditures of the four
major sectors of the economy. These major sectors
include the following:
Household – personal consumption expenditure (C)
Businesses – private domestic investment (I)
Government – government expenditures (G)
Foreign Sector – net exports (X – M)

GNP/GDP = C + I + G + (X - M)
2. The Factor Income Approach
This consists of wages (w), interests (i), rents (r), or
profits (p). In addition, a portion is provided for capital
consumption allowance or depreciation and indirect
business taxes. In symbols:

GNP/GDP = NI + IBT + D
where:
NI = w + i + r + p
IBT = indirect business taxes net of subsidies
D = depreciation/capital consumption allowance
Components of National Income (NI) as reflected
in the National Income Accounts of the Philippines:

Compensation of employees (salaries and wages)


Net Operating Surplus
Depreciation
Indirect Taxes
3. Value-added Approach (Industrial Origin)
this approach accounts the value added of the three
main or activities in the economy. The formula is as
follows:

GNP/GDP = GVA1 + GVA2 + GVA3 + ...+ GVAn + IBT

where:
1….n = industry 1 up to n
Real and Nominal GNP (or GDP)
Nominal GNP/GDP
measures the value of output in a given period in
the prices of that period, or, as it is sometimes put,
in current pesos.
Real GNP/GDP or GNP/GDP at constant prices
measures changes in physical output in the
economy between different time periods by valuing
all goods produced in the two periods at the same
prices, or in constant pesos.

Real GNP =
Problems of GNP (or GDP) Measurement
1. Some outputs are poorly measured because they
are not traded in the market.

2. It is difficult to account correctly for improvements


in the quality of goods.

3. Some activities measured as adding to real GNP


in fact represent the use of resources to avoid or
contain “bads” such as crime or risks to national
security.
NATIONAL INCOME DETERMINATION
Macroeconomic Equilibrium
 when aggregate expenditures (AE) equals
aggregate income/aggregate output in the economy.

Aggregate Expenditures – represents the total amount


that all economic agents want or plan to spend on
domestic goods and services. It combines the planned
spending of households, firms, government and
foreigners.

AE = C + I + G + X – M
Letting Aggregate Income = Y, then equilibrium
requires the equality between income and aggregate
expenditure. That is:

Y = AE

AE (in pesos)

E
100 AE

450
0
100 Y
Output, Income (in pesos)
AE (in pesos)

E1
200

E0
100 AE

450
0 Y
100 200
Output, Income (in pesos)
CONSUMPTION, SAVINGS AND INCOME
Consumption Function
The schedule that relates consumption to
disposable income. Drawn as a straight line with a
slope of less than 1, the slope is also called marginal
propensity to consume (MPC) indicates the
percentage of each additional peso of disposable
income that will be consumed. It is given as:
C = a + bYd, where: a>0, b<1.
Given: a = 20
b = 4/5 or 0.8 then,
C = 20 + 0.8 Yd
Note that MPC = 0.8
C
O
N C = a + bYd
S
U C = 20 + 4/5 Yd
M
P
T
I
O 20
N
45°

NATIONAL INCOME ECONOMY

EQUILIBRIUM IN A ONE-SECTOR ECONOMY


Savings Function
Is the schedule that indicates the values of
savings associated with different levels of income.
A fundamental relationship in economics is that
the sum of consumption spending and savings
(S) must equal income that is,

Y=C+S
Suggesting that households can either spend or
save their income. Subtracting C from both sides
of the equation leads to:

S=Y-C
From C = a + bYd , the saving function can be
derived as:
S = - a + (1– b)Yd

Given: a = 20
b = 4/5 or 0.8 then,
S = - 20 + 0.2 Yd

Note that MPS = 0.2


S
A
V
I
N
S = - a +(1- b)Yd
G
S
C = - 20 + (1 - 4/5) Yd

45°

- 20
NATIONAL INCOME ECONOMY

EQUILIBRIUM IN A ONE-SECTOR ECONOMY


The slope (1 – b) is also called as the Marginal
propensity to save (MPS). The MPS is the ratio of the
change in savings to the change in income, ΔS/ΔYd

While the MPC is the ratio of the change in


consumption to the change in income, ΔC/Δyd.

Note further that

MPC + MPS = 1 or b + (1 – b) = 1
0.8 + 0.2 = 1
Determination of Equilibrium Income in a
Two-Sector Economy

This assumption suggests that aggregate


expenditures is equal to the sum of consumption
and investment or

AE = C + I

It suggests further that to achieve


macroeconomic equilibrium, aggregate income must
equal aggregate expenditures or

Y=C+I
 Simple Income Determination
Y=C+I
C = 20 + 4/5 Yd
(I) = P 100 billion
Y = 20 + 4/5 Yd + 100; Yd = Y
Simplifying: Y – 4/5 Yd = 120
1/5 Y = 120
National Income : Y = 600 billion

Aggregate Consumption : C = 20 + 4/5 (600) = 500 B


Aggregate saving : S = Y – C = 600 – 480 =100 B

Note that Investment = Savings that is,


100 billion = 100 billion
C C+I
O
N C = a + bYd
S
U C = 20 + 4/5 Yd
M
P
T
I S = -a + (1-b)Yd
O 20
N C = -20 + (1- 4/5)Yd
45°

100 600

- 20
NATIONAL INCOME ECONOMY

EQUILIBRIUM IN A TWO-SECTOR ECONOMY


Investment Multiplier
 measures the increase in the equilibrium income
for 1 peso increase in investment spending.
1
Investment Multiplier (αI) =
1 −𝑀𝑃𝐶

Since, MPC = b (in the consumption function)


then,
1
αI =
1−𝑏
Given b=0.8 the value of the multiplier can be
computed as :

αI = 1/0.2
= 5

If b = .5 then the value of the multiplier is,


αI = 1/0.5
=2

Note that the higher the value of b (MPC)


the higher is the value of the multiplier.
Knowledge about the multiplier helps us predict
the response of the equilibrium income to changes in
investment.
We can show that the change in equilibrium
income is equal to the product of the multiplier and the
change in investment. That is,

Δ Y = αI . ΔI

Given: αI = 5 Given: αI = 2
I = 100 I = 100
ΔY = 5 x 100 ΔY = 2 x 100
= 500 = 200
GOVERNMENT IN THE MACROECONOMY
Government plays an important role in the economy.
Government buys good and services for its day-to-
day operations of the project,
participates in the financial market through
borrowing and lending, and collects taxes.
Its policies, or lack thereof, affects the different
economic agents and their transactions.

Government Budget
presents the public sector’s expenditure and
sources of finance.
Government expenditures indicate how much
government spends and on what activities . On the
other hand, sources of finance state where the money
that government sends comes from.

The Budget Deficit and the Budget Surplus


 National Government Net Budgetary position – is
the difference between government revenues and
expenditures

 If revenue exceed expenditures, we say that


government has a budget surplus.

 If revenues are less than expenditures then the


government has a budget deficit.
 Financing account represents the national
government’s borrowing. This indicate where the
government borrows its money in the case of a deficit
or where it sends its excess revenues in case of a
surplus.

Government Revenues

Tax Revenues represent the government’s


earnings from taxes imposed on income, property
and different transactions in the economy.

Non-tax Revenues include the national


government’s earnings from services to the public,
capital and grants.
Major sources of tax revenues for the Philippine
Government:

Taxes on net income and profits represent the taxes


paid by households, firms , and corporations on their
earnings for a particular period.

Taxes on goods and services represent the taxes


levied on purchases of goods and services.

Taxes on international trade and transactions are


taxes levied on the country’s transactions with the rest
of the world.
Government Spending
The major components:

Personal Services represents expenditures on the


salaries and benefits of government workers.
Transfer Payments composed mainly of
government grants and subsidies. It also includes
items like retirement benefits and gratuities.
Debt Service
Maintenance and other operating expenditures
(MOE) represents expenditures for the day to day
operations of the national government
Capital Outlay represents expenditures on
infrastructure and investment.
GOVERNMENT CASH OPERATIONS (In million pesos)
Source: Bureau of the Treasury
January 2016 December 2015 January 2015
Revenues 182,226 163,513 166,652
Expenditures 185,700 238,657 173,124
Surplus/(deficit) (3,474) (75,144) (6,472)
EQUILIBRIUM INCOME IN A THREE-SECTOR
ECONOMY

AE = C + I + G or
I+G=S+T
Where:
C = a + bYd ;
Yd = Y – T
T = tax

Disposable income (Yd) represents the income


that households are free to spend and save.
C C+I+G
O C+I
N
S
U
C = a + bYd
M
P
C = 20 + 4/5 Yd
T
I S = -a + (1-b)Yd
O
N 20
S = -20 + (1- 4/5)Yd
45°
100 600

- 20
NATIONAL INCOME ECONOMY

EQUILIBRIUM IN A THREE-SECTOR ECONOMY


Inflation
refers to the increase in the general price level
(GP) or prices as a whole
𝑮𝑷 𝒑𝒆𝒓𝒊𝒐𝒅 𝒕 – 𝑮𝑷 (𝒑𝒆𝒓𝒊𝒐𝒅 𝒕−𝟏)
Inflation rate = 𝒙 𝟏𝟎𝟎
𝑮𝑷 (𝒑𝒆𝒓𝒊𝒐𝒅 𝒕−𝟏)

Types of Inflation
Demand-Pull Inflation
Inflation is said to be demand-pull if those who buy
goods and services desire to purchase goods and
services greater than what the economy can
produce.
In other words, excess demand for commodities
would tend to push prices up.
Cost-Push Inflation
Is the type of inflation where increases in the costs
of production push prices up

Two measures of the inflation rate:

a)headline inflation rate


uses the Consumer Price Index (CPI) as a
measure of the general price level.

𝐶𝑃𝐼 (𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑 𝑡)−𝐶𝑃𝐼 (𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑 𝑡−1)


Headline Inflation rate = 𝑥 100
𝐶𝑃𝐼 (𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑 𝑡−1)
b) core inflation rate
uses a price index which excludes the prices of
commodities that are deemed to be volatile.

Consumers Price Index


 is a weighted average of the cost of a bundle goods
that is purchased by a typical household

 it is an index which expresses the costs of a bundle of


goods in one year relative to the base year.
Unemployment
implies that the productive resources are not being
fully utilized in the economy.
A person is considered unemployed if he/she is a
member of the labor force but is not engaged in
work or business
“labor force” refers to people of a certain age who are:
a) working or are engaged in the business; and
b) not working or engaged in business but are actively
looking for work

𝐔𝐧𝐞𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐨𝐲𝐞𝐝 𝐦𝐞𝐦𝐛𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐥𝐚𝐛𝐨𝐫 𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐜𝐞


u= 𝐱 𝟏𝟎𝟎
𝐓𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐥𝐚𝐛𝐨𝐫 𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐜𝐞
Underemployment
An underemployed is an employed person who
works for less than 40 hours per week, despite the
fat that he wants to work for more hours.
𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑝𝑒𝑜𝑝𝑙𝑒 𝑢𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑜𝑦𝑒𝑑
Underemployment rate = 𝑥 100
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑜𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡

Visible underemployment is defined as the


number of people working less than 40 hours per
week and wanting additional work.

Invisible underemployment is defined as the


number of people working 40 hours or more per
week but still wanting additional work.
Effects of Unemployment and Inflation

1. Debtors and profit-earners benefit from inflation.


Creditors and fixed income individuals on the other
hand, lose from inflation.

2. People who put their money in savings accounts in a


bank can earn say, 6% per year interest income. If
prices rose by greater than 10%, their savings are
reduced in value. If interest income is not higher than
the rate of price inflation, savers with fixed interest
income suffer from inflation, the real value of this saving
falls.
Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy

The Central Bank


is principally an institution designed to regulate
the monetary and financial systems.
It has a policy abroad which serves as the
monetary authority.
Fiscal Policy

 The “fiscal system” is a collective term for the


combined operation of public expenditure,
taxation and debt.
 The term “public finance” refers in particular to
the subject of financing public expenditures.
 Public finance is approximately a study of the
fiscal system. The fiscal operations are reflected
in the government budget.
Component of National Budget

1. Total Revenue : Taxes in income, Taxes in


international trade, Exercise and sales tax, other
taxes and non-tax revenue
2. Current Operation Expenditures: Personal Services,
Maintenance, Interest, Transfer to corporations and
Allotment local government
3. Capital Outlays: Infrastructure, Other capital,
Capitalization (equity contributions), and Net lending
4. Overall deficit : Foreign borrowing (net), Borrowing
from banking system, and Other domestic borrowing
5. Current operation surplus
Business Cycles
MONEY, CENTRAL BANKING, AND
MONETARY POLICY

Assets – are defined as anything which serves as


means to store value over a period of time.
 real assets – are physical in nature
 financial assets – are financial

Money – refers to all things that are generally


acceptable as means of payment for goods and
services (medium of exchange) and as payment
of debts (standard or deferred payment).
Functions of Money
1. Unit of Account
 means that the value of goods and services are expressed
or quoted with the use of a single item, usually a country’s
currency.

2. Medium of Exchange
 means that you can trade your money in the market and in
return, get the goods and services that you want to
purchase because money is generally accepted as a
means of payment.

3. Store of Value or Standard of deferred payment


 means that you can keep or save money now and then
spend it at a future date because its capacity to buy the
same amount of goods and services is not lost or
diminished over time.
The Demand for Money
1. Transaction Motive – refers to the holding of money to enable
people and firms to pay off their daily transactions such
as paying for electricity and telephone bills, house rent,
education, food, clothing, etc.
2. Precautionary Motive – for contingency purposes or
unforeseen circumstances. This motive may be related to
the function of money as a store of value.

3. Speculative or portfolio allocation motive – It refers to the


holding of money for the purpose of taking advantage of
market opportunities such as buying shares of stocks in a
company or investing in bonds or treasury bills and other
assets that yield additional earnings for the households
and firms.
The Supply of Money
M1 – refers to the narrow definition of money which consists of
currency (e.g., paper bills and coins) in circulation plus
demand or checking deposits

M2 – refers to M1 plus savings and small time deposits

M3 – refers to money supply, peso savings, time deposits, plus


deposit substitutes of money generating banks, and negotiable
order of withdrawal (NOW) accounts.

RM – is the reserve money which represents liabilities of the BSP


to the public sector in the form of currency in circulation and to
the banking sector in the form of cash reserves.
THE ROLE OF MONETARY INSTITUTIONS IN
THE ECONOMY
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
 was established on June 15, 1948 by virtue of Republic Act
No. 265 or R.A. 265
 its objectives were:
(a) to maintain the monetary stability in the country;
(b) to preserve the international value of the peso ; and
(c) to promote rising level of production, employment, and
real income in the Philippines.
 on June 14, 1993, through R.A. 7653, the Bangko Sentral ng
Pilipinas (BSP) was put as a central monetary authority.
 likewise called the lender of the last resort from whom ailing
or bankrupt banks can borrow if other banks in the financial
system cannot provide them with the necessary funds.
Financial Institutions
The Philippine financial or monetary system is a network of
markets and institutions that transfer funds from individuals
and groups who save money to individuals and groups who
want to borrow money.
These financial institutions consist of banks and non-bank
institutions.

Banks are classified as:


1. universal and commercial banks;
2. rural banks; and
3. thrift banks which include savings and mortgage banks,
private development banks, microfinance institutions,
stock savings, and loan associations
Examples of non-banks institutions:
1. contractual savings institutions such as insurance companies
and pension funds like the Social Security System (SSS) and
Government Service Insurance System (GSIS);
2. investment institutions like mutual funds and finance
companies; and
3. securities market institutions which comprises securities
brokers and dealers, lending investors, and organized
exchanges like the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE).

In 2003, credit card companies were also included, as well


as pawnshops to the list of non-bank financial institutions since
they give credit to individuals who turn in their valuables (e.g.,
jewelry) in exchange and then retrieve such valuables when they
have raised the mount that they borrowed plus the interest
charged.
Financial or monetary institutions are important in an
economy because of the following major functions or
roles:

1. they allocate or channel savings efficiently from savers to


borrowers;
2. they provide information, liquidity, and risk-sharing services;
3. they provide flexibility and divisibility of funds for the users and
sources of these funds; and
4. they are essential for ensuing capital formation and economic
growth.
SIMPLE MONEY CREATION
Reserve Requirement
 the percentage of deposits that banks are mandated by
BSP to keep as reserves for the purpose of servicing day-to-
day withdrawals and unexpected heavy withdrawals during
bank runs or in times of other emergencies.

In certain circumstances, banks may deem it necessary to


keep in their vaults an additional percentage of their deposits
which is above the reserve requirement. This is called excess
reserves.
Money multiplier
 is the factor by which money supply will change given a
change in monetary base, or in our example, given a change
in deposits.
mm = 1/rr
The change in money supply (M) is equal to the product of
the money multiplier (mm) and the change in monetary base (MB)
or deposits.
M = mm ∙ MB

MONETARY POLICY
Why is there a need to control money supply?

 If there is too much money held by households and firms,


then this can result in overspending and if manufacturers of
goods and services cannot catch up with the increase in
consumption, inflation can occur since the only way by
which firms can allocate the remaining inventories is to sell
these at higher prices.
 If there is too little money circulating, then,
unemployment of resources can occur
because firms will not be receiving as much
revenues to pay off their costs of operations
and they will be forced to cut down on their
production.
The following is a list of important instruments of monetary
control used by the Monetary Board of the BSP:

1. Reserve Requirement – is the percentage of deposits that the


banks are mandated to keep in their vaults for safekeeping by the
BSP
if the BSP wants to contract money supply (or “mop up
excess liquidity”) then it has to increase the reserve
requirement. This implies that lesser funds will then be
available for lending.
if BSP wants to expand money supply, then it has to lower or
decrease the reserve requirement. This means that a smaller
fraction of deposits will be kept in the banks’ vaults and more
funds will be available for lending.
2. Rediscount Rate – is the interest charged by BSP to banks who
wish to borrow from it
to contract money supply, the BSP has to increase the
rediscount rate to discourage banks from borrowing at higher
interest rates. This way less funds will be available for lending.
as an expansionary monetary policy, the BSP must decrease
the rediscount rate to encourage banks to borrow funds from it
thereby allowing more money to be available for lending.

3. Open Market Operations – refer to the buying and selling of


government securities by the BSP
open market purchase, means buying of government
securities (e.g., bonds) from private individuals or firms by
BSP. If BSP wants to to expand money supply, it has to
engage in open market purchase of securities – BSP gets the
public’s bonds and “gives” them money or cash in return.
open market sale refers to the sale of government securities
to private individuals or firms by the BSP. If BSP wants to
contract money supply, it has to engage in open market sale of
government securities. This way the BSP sells securities to the
public and “gets” their money in return. Hence, lesser money
will be circulating in the economy because people are holding
bonds instead of cash.

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