You are on page 1of 17

Information Economics and Policy 22 (2010) 103–119

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Information Economics and Policy


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/iep

An antitrust analysis of the case for wireless network neutrality q


Gregory L. Rosston a,*, Michael D. Topper b
a
Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, United States
b
Cornerstone Research, 1000 El Camino Real, Menlo Park, CA 94025, United States

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: The ongoing debate about possible implementation of regulatory rules requiring ‘‘network
Available online 28 December 2009 neutrality’’ for wireless telecommunications services is inherently about whether to
impose prohibitions on the ability of network operators to control their vertical relation-
JEL classification: ships. Antitrust analysis is well suited to analyze whether a wireless network neutrality
L22 rule is socially beneficial. Implementing network neutrality rules would be akin to using
L42 a per se antitrust rule regarding vertical relationships instead of the rule of reason analysis
L96
typically applied to vertical relationships in antitrust. Per se rules are used to prevent
Keywords: actions that rarely, if ever, have any procompetitive benefits, such as price-fixing agree-
Mobile wireless competition ments. Rule of reason analysis is used when there are potential efficiency gains from the
Network neutrality actions under investigation.
Vertical restraints Some vertical practices of the wireless carriers, such as bandwidth restrictions, may
Federal Communications Commission appear to be anticompetitive, but may also have plausible efficiency justifications so should
Antitrust policy be judged under rule of reason analysis. Economic examination of the wireless industry
shows significant competition between networks, which reduces the concern about verti-
cal relationships, but also shows some areas that should be monitored by antitrust and reg-
ulatory authorities. We propose several regulatory changes that would likely increase
wireless competition and lessen the perceived need for prophylactic network neutrality
rules while at the same time allowing efficiency-enhancing vertical relationships.
Ó 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction menting network neutrality rules would be akin to using a


per se antitrust rule regarding vertical relationships instead
Antitrust and regulation are closely linked because ide- of the rule of reason analysis typically applied to vertical
ally both are invoked to correct market failures and to en- relationships in antitrust. Per se rules are used to prevent ac-
hance social welfare. Currently there is a debate about tions that rarely, if ever, have any procompetitive benefits,
possible implementation of a regulatory rule requiring such as price-fixing agreements. Rule of reason analysis is
‘‘network neutrality’’ for wireless telecommunications ser- used when there are potential efficiency gains from the ac-
vices. Inherently, the network neutrality debate is about tions under investigation.
whether to impose a prohibition on the ability of network In this article, we argue that antitrust analysis is well
operators to control their vertical relationships.1 Imple- suited to analyze whether a wireless network neutrality
rule is socially beneficial. Then we apply such an analysis
to the wireless industry to examine the costs and benefits
q
The views expressed in this article are our own, and do not represent from a network neutrality rule. Finally, we propose several
those of the institutions with which we are affiliated. alternative mechanisms for the regulator to pursue prior to
* Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: grosston@stanford.edu (G.L. Rosston), mtopper@
instituting prophylactic network neutrality regulations.
cornerstone.com (M.D. Topper). Our suggested mechanisms are all designed to increase
1
See Shelanski (2007) and Nuechterlein (2009). competition at the network level because a lack of market

0167-6245/$ - see front matter Ó 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.infoecopol.2009.12.004
104 G.L. Rosston, M.D. Topper / Information Economics and Policy 22 (2010) 103–119

power at the network operator level should reduce the risk Policy makers should be concerned not only with
of harm from vertical restrictions. Procompetitive actions whether wireless network providers restrict third-party
to reduce market power are more likely to result in the firms from providing equipment and applications that they
goal of increased social welfare than restrictions that might would like to offer in conjunction with a wireless network,
prevent efficiency-enhancing vertical relationships. but also, importantly, with whether such restrictions harm
In its 1968 Carterfone decision the Federal Communica- consumers. Unfortunately, many analyses of the situation
tions Commission (‘‘FCC’’ or ‘‘Commission’’) required the have focused simply on whether there are restrictions
Bell System to allow customers to attach telephone devices and only tangentially on whether those restrictions harm
from independent, unaffiliated manufacturers to the Bell consumers. Additionally, policy makers should consider
System network.2 Some recent academic articles, regulatory whether wireless network neutrality regulation imposes
efforts, and public press have suggested that wireless net- its own inefficiencies; these regulatory costs need to be
work providers also be subject to Carterfone-type regula- evaluated against potential benefits.
tion.3 Similar to network neutrality proposals for wireline Our economic framework discusses the circumstances
high-speed Internet access,4 ‘‘wireless Carterfone’’ or ‘‘wire- under which network operators have the incentives and
less network neutrality’’ policies would subject wireless pro- ability to inefficiently restrict third-party providers of
viders to regulation regarding restrictions the wireless equipment and applications from providing services. Then
providers could impose on equipment suppliers, application we examine the current wireless marketplace to see how it
providers, and end-consumers. Advocates of wireless Car- fits in this framework.
terfone regulation claim that preventing discrimination by In response to the competitive concerns and issues with
wireless network providers will give entrepreneurial firms possible unintended inefficiencies due to regulation, we
greater ability to access wireless networks and ensure a propose an antitrust approach that recognizes the poten-
market for their products without fear of expropriation by tial efficiencies of current carrier practices, and suggest
the network providers. that the FCC introduce new regulation only after a careful
For example, Wu (2007) called for applying Carterfone evaluation of the wireless market shows that particular
rules to wireless networks and subjecting wireless provid- carrier practices are on balance anticompetitive and that
ers to the ‘‘core network neutrality principles under which consumers are better served by prophylactic regulation.
the cable and DSL industries currently operate.’’ Relying on In general, FCC policies that foster competition among
the Wu article, Skype (2007) proposed that the FCC ‘‘en- wireless providers, such as making more spectrum avail-
force Carterfone’’ in the wireless industry by prohibiting able to spectrum-constrained firms and giving firms con-
certain contractual arrangements and requiring open ac- siderable freedom in deploying their spectrum, reduce
cess to devices, content, and applications. The FCC incentives for anticompetitive foreclosure and thus the
(2007a, 2009b) required ‘‘open access’’ on the Upper need for Carterfone-style regulatory intervention.
700 MHz C Block in the 700 MHz spectrum auction that The article proceeds as follows: Section 2 provides a re-
closed in March 2008 and has issued a Notice of Proposed view of the economic theory of vertical restraints to pro-
Rulemaking about preserving an ‘‘open Internet.’’ These vide a basis for evaluating wireless network neutrality
proposals for wireless network neutrality, openness, and proposals. Section 3 examines the competitiveness of the
non-discrimination are in part motivated by various prac- current wireless sector in the US; Section 4 assesses the
tices used by wireless providers, including disabling phone case for Carterfone-style regulation or wireless providers,
features, limiting data bandwidth, device certification the recent FCC C Block openness decision, and policy op-
requirements, and application developer restrictions. tions for the FCC in addressing the concerns raised by
Critics of wireless Carterfone regulation claim that (1) advocates and critics of wireless network neutrality.
these network provider practices benefit wireless consum-
ers, (2) the competitiveness of the current wireless market
in the US does not justify Carterfone regulation, (3) net- 2. Vertical restraints
work neutrality requirements placed on wireless providers
are likely to stymie beneficial and efficient vertical integra- The policies challenged by Skype and other wireless
tion and endanger legitimate and important network man- network neutrality proponents can be viewed as ‘‘vertical
agement practices, and (4) wireless Carterfone regulation restraints’’ placed by wireless network providers on inde-
would make it harder for firms to coordinate to innovate, pendent upstream suppliers.6 Vertical relationships be-
reduce incentives for innovation, and in the process raise tween network operators and upstream suppliers—
service provision costs and harm consumers.5 equipment manufacturers and applications providers—are
already an important part of the wireless industry and they
are likely to increase as wireless consumers buy and use
more wireless data devices and services.7 It is likely that
2
Federal Communications Commission (1968). The Carterfone decision
no wireless provider will ever provide all the equipment,
built on the earlier Hush-A-Phone decision. Hush-a-Phone v. United States
(1956) 238 F. 2d 266.
3 6
Wu (2007), Skype Communications (2007), Scott (2007), Mossberg For the purposes of this article, we treat wireless network providers as
(2007), and Frieden (2008). ‘‘downstream’’ firms and application, equipment and content providers as
4
See Lessig (2002, 2004) for discussions of wireline network neutrality. ‘‘upstream’’ firms.
5 7
See, for example, CTIA (2007), Hahn et al. (2007), Hazlett (2007), Mayo One can also think of equipment manufacturers (e.g., Apple) as
(2008), Schwartz and Mini (2007), and Wallsten (2007). See Woroch (2004) upstream of network providers (e.g., AT&T), and applications developers
and Owen and Rosston (2006) for a discussion of investment incentives. as upstream of both Apple and AT&T.
G.L. Rosston, M.D. Topper / Information Economics and Policy 22 (2010) 103–119 105

content, and applications that its consumers want, so if cent markets and charging supra-competitive prices on its
these customer wants are to be satisfied, wireless providers own products.
and independent upstream providers will have to interact in These discrimination incentives arise if regulation pre-
some fashion to provide equipment and services. The rela- vents the regulated firm from fully exploiting its market
tionship between upstream suppliers and wireless network power in the core regulated market. One way to do this,
providers raises the potential competitive concern that a as discussed by Brennan (1987), is for the regulated firm
network provider with market power might favor its own to engage in ‘‘cost-shifting’’ and increase its overall profits
equipment, applications, or content (or those of an affiliate) by producing both regulated and unregulated products.
over that of an unrelated competitor, leading to an impor- The firm, because of information asymmetries, can shift
tant public policy question: When should a wireless net- some of the costs from its unregulated products into the
work provider be regulated regarding the terms and regulated ‘‘rate base’’ and increase the overall allowed
conditions of access to its network? profits of the firm even while profit regulation remains
At the heart of the policy debate over wireless Carterf- ‘‘binding.’’ Noll and Owen (1994) discuss other theories
one regulation is an economics question: Do wireless pro- about the differences between regulated and unregulated
viders have the incentive and ability to profitably favor firms in the context of regulation of the integrated Bell Sys-
their own affiliates and discriminate against competing tem and the US v. AT&T case. Others ways for the regulated
upstream providers, harming competition and ultimately firm to increase profits include mis-estimation of common
consumers?8 This economics question highlights the ques- costs (Burton et al., 2009) and sabotage (Beard et al., 2001).
tions and concerns that policy makers should have in think- Carterfone was applied to the vertically integrated Bell
ing about applying Carterfone-style regulations to the System at a time when it faced price regulation of its core
wireless world. Moreover, regulation is not costless; blanket monopoly telephone service, when equipment used in the
rules can stifle efficient vertical arrangements and reduce Bell System was provided by its Western Electric affiliate,
the incentives both for incumbents and new entrants to de- and when independent equipment manufacturers had very
velop innovative new wireless service packages. Thus, there limited alternative outlets for selling telephones and other
is another hurdle to consider in wireless network neutrality customer premises equipment. Thus, Carterfone was ap-
regulation – is regulation better suited to determine the plied at a time when the Bell System had both the incentive
appropriate degree of vertical integration than competitive and the ability to restrict consumer use of third-party equip-
rivalry among wireless providers and antitrust enforce- ment as a way to shift sales in adjacent customer premises
ment? These questions are not limited to wireless; the FCC equipment markets to its Western Electric affiliate. In this
is wrestling with similar issues in its decisions about accept- context, there was a strong economic rationale for neutrality
able practices by operators of wired broadband networks. regulation.

2.1. Carterfone and the Part 68 rules 2.2. Vertical relationships in the absence of binding
regulation
At the time of the Carterfone decision, Western Electric,
a Bell System entity, was the exclusive manufacturer of In the case of an unregulated firm, or one where profit
telephones and customer premises equipment for the Bell regulation is non-existent or not binding, the tactics to
System telephone network. The Commission’s decision al- maximize profits are different. In particular, without such
lowed customers to purchase telephones and other equip- regulation the firm does not have the same incentives to
ment, such as answering machines, from independent, shift profits from the regulated side of its business to the
unaffiliated manufacturers and to connect these to the Bell less regulated portion of its business.
System network. The equipment provided by unaffiliated Under the classic Chicago School ‘‘one monopoly rent’’
manufacturers needed to meet detailed technical stan- theory, a firm with market power at one stage of the pro-
dards, but any equipment that met those standards could duction and distribution process can extract all of the
be attached to the Bell System network via a standardized monopoly rent without integrating or contracting with
interface without restriction or additional charges.9 These other levels of the production or distribution process.10
FCC regulations on network attachments are known as Part However, the ‘‘post-Chicago’’ economics literature shows
68 rules. that under certain conditions a firm with monopoly power
It is well understood in the economics literature that in one market can potentially use such power to increase
the tactics of a regulated firm with market power can differ profits by influencing competition in related lines of
from those of an unregulated firm with market power, commerce.11
even though both have the same overall goal of maximiz- Economic thinking informs current antitrust doctrine,
ing profits. A firm facing binding price regulation of its core which generally presumes that vertical relations are not
monopoly product has incentives to circumvent price reg- anticompetitive, unless a fact-intensive investigation
ulation by discriminating against unaffiliated firms in adja-
10
The Chicago School view is that vertical restraints can be anticompet-
8
For the purposes of this article, we consider discrimination to be itive only if they somehow lead to a reduction in competition in the
artificially treating content or applications of unaffiliated providers in a upstream market. For example, there could be a competitive problem if
way that increases the cost or decreases the attractiveness of the product. wireless carrier handset restrictions reduced competition in the handset
9
Development of the Carterfone principle is described in more detail in industry.
11
Robinson (1988). See, for example, Farrell and Weiser (2003).
106 G.L. Rosston, M.D. Topper / Information Economics and Policy 22 (2010) 103–119

shows otherwise. In antitrust, price fixing is per se illegal In theory, vertical relationships when there is market
since, almost by definition, it rarely has any efficiency- power at some level could hurt consumers, help consumers,
enhancing justification. In contrast, most vertical relation- or both help them in some ways and hurt them in others.
ships are treated under the ‘‘rule of reason’’ standard be- The outcome will depend on market structure and the com-
cause there can be procompetitive efficiency petitive and regulatory environment. In almost all models
justifications for practices even if they also have anticom- that predict adverse competitive effects from vertical rela-
petitive effects. tionships, the adverse effects arise because of market
A large economics literature details efficiency rationales power at one level of the vertical chain. However, vertical
for vertical restrictions on suppliers or distributors. The relationships often raise no competitive issues even if a firm
efficiency rationales usually involve an attempt to align has market power. In other cases, adverse effects may be
incentives of upstream and downstream firms. For exam- less costly to consumers than inefficiencies that might arise
ple, firms may want to ensure that downstream distribu- from regulatory intervention. The regulatory and antitrust
tors do not exercise market power and mark up prices authorities should intervene only when it is determined
too much (avoiding double marginalization), provide suffi- after a detailed factual investigation that (1) a firm with
cient customer support and product promotion (solving market power takes actions that harms not just competing
free rider problems), and maintain quality (avoiding mis- firms, but the competitive process and consumer welfare as
placed blame for product problems).12 Similarly, firms well, and (2) that the regulatory intervention promotes
may want to ensure that upstream suppliers conduct the rather than hinders consumer welfare.
optimal amount of investment (avoiding the hold-up prob- There have been situations where vertical restraints im-
lem), produce compatible, complementary products, and posed by telecommunications network providers harm
maintain quality (avoiding misplaced blame for product consumers and regulatory intervention ameliorates the
problems). In these cases, vertical restrictions can align the problem without consumer harm. One recent regulatory
incentives of the monopoly provider and upstream and investigation found that a telecommunications network
downstream players in a way that can increase economic provider had the ability and incentive to harm competition
efficiency and lead to the development of new and/or im- in vertically related markets. In the 2005 Madison River
proved products and services. case, Madison River, a rural local exchange carrier, had
In telecommunications and media, network providers been blocking ports that would have allowed its high-
want to enhance the demand for their services, in part by speed DSL customers to use Vonage, a Voice-over-Inter-
promoting complementary services. There may be a num- net-Protocol (‘‘VoIP’’) provider. Vonage’s service competes
ber of efficiency rationales for a telecommunications net- directly with the voice telephone service provided by Mad-
work provider to implement vertical restrictions. There ison River. Without access to the blocked ports, Madison
may also be an incentive to exclude or raise the costs of River’s DSL customers would not be able to access a com-
those that offer content that competes with its own, espe- peting wireline voice service unless they could and did
cially if the content produces negative external effects on switch to cable high-speed service. Ultimately, the FCC en-
the overall consumer demand.13 tered into a consent decree with Madison River, in which it
In a competitive network market, network providers agreed not to block ports used for VoIP applications.14 In
have an added incentive to incorporate third-party content this case, the FCC moved relatively quickly, which is impor-
or applications into their service offerings. Network pro- tant when relying on ex post enforcement.
viders profit by offering attractive packages to consumers. There are also situations where vertical restraints im-
A network provider that restricts access to desirable third- posed by telecommunications network providers may
party content will lose business to rivals that are open to restrict consumer choice, but the impact of the restriction
that content. Thus, one dimension of the competitive riv- or regulatory intervention on overall consumer welfare is
alry between network providers is how open they make unclear. AT&T initially did not allow the Skype application
their networks to third-party content and applications. for the iPhone to work on its 3G data network, but did not
For example, early cable system operators invested in impose the same restrictions on most other third-party
cable programming channels to ensure availability of pro- applications. One explanation for the iPhone Skype restric-
gramming. Waterman and Weiss (1997) discuss how cable tion may have been that AT&T did not want users to
system operators had an incentive to expand their systems substitute Skype minutes for voice minutes. Alternative
if they also had additional programming, but programmers explanations could be that the quality of the Skype experi-
would be reluctant to invest in programming without an ence would be degraded and users might view that as a
assured outlet for their product. By investing directly in network problem creating a bad reputation and increased
the early cable programming channels, cable system oper- costs for AT&T or that Skype uses a disproportionate
ators were able to break the logjam created by this ‘‘chick- amount of bandwidth and AT&T is not set to charge for
en and egg’’ problem and at the same time alleviate the the bandwidth usage. Even when Skype was not available
bilateral monopoly bargaining problem that could have en- on the iPhone, it was available on other smartphones using
sued once each of the parties had made major sunk invest- the AT&T network. Under antitrust principles, there is no
ments (in programming or in cable infrastructure). general duty to deal with rivals. However, in networked
industries, working with rivals may be critical to a
12
For a summary, see Rey and Tirole (2007).
13
For a discussion of incentives for a ‘‘platform monopolist’’ to exclude
14
upstream suppliers, see Farrell and Weiser (2003). Federal Communications Commission (2005).
G.L. Rosston, M.D. Topper / Information Economics and Policy 22 (2010) 103–119 107

competitor’s success, even for a more efficient and innova- and (3) does not assess the costs of preventing potentially
tive competitor, so blanket immunity from a duty to deal efficient integration. A consumer welfare analysis must look
may not be the best competition policy. at both the costs and benefits of potential rules, whereas the
The recent relationship between Yahoo! and AT&T also van Schewick analysis focuses only on the gross potential
provides an example of the concerns expressed about and benefits from instituting a non-discrimination rule.
potential efficiencies from vertical relationships. Yahoo!
and AT&T have had an agreement to provide service for 2.3. Procompetitive reasons for wireless carriers to restrict
AT&T’s wireline DSL customers. This vertical relationship access
advantaged Yahoo! relative to other information portals
such as AOL, MSN, and Google.15 But it does not appear to As discussed above, wireless providers might restrict
have harmed consumers. Bundled AT&T/Yahoo! service does access to their networks for a number of reasons. For
not prevent subscribers from using any other Internet ser- example, wireless providers have to manage their net-
vices, including Yahoo!’s most direct competitors. In princi- works to serve a large number of heterogeneous custom-
ple, AT&T could make it more difficult for users to turn to ers, which can mean denying some groups certain
rival sources of aggregated content and premium service, features and rights to increase the experience for other
but we are not aware of any allegations of such behavior. groups. For example, bandwidth-intensive users down-
In these circumstances, a policy that prevents a relationship loading video may reduce the quality of service for other
between AT&T and Yahoo! could deny consumers a more users who are making voice calls.
attractive product or lower cost. And AT&T, because it com- A wireless provider wants to maximize profits from its
petes with other high-speed Internet providers has a strong network and from services riding on top of its network,
incentive to provide an attractive package of content to con- in competition with other wireless (and wireline) net-
sumers. Rivals to Yahoo! may protest the vertical relation- works and their associated services. The wireless provider
ship between Yahoo! and AT&T. But their protests need has an incentive to maximize profit over the entire set of
not stem from fear of discriminatory treatment by AT&T; possible groups of consumers. At the same time, technol-
they may fear Yahoo! as a more effective competitor. ogy entrepreneurs might develop a product or service tar-
In a network market with considerable competition geted at a subset of the entire population, such as in the
between network operators, there is little competitive con- video example above. The incentives of the technology
cern about vertical restrictions and exclusive relationships. entrepreneur may differ from those of the network opera-
Competing providers have a strong incentive to provide the tor and servicing the technology entrepreneur’s niche
most attractive package to their end consumers and will group of consumers may cause disruption to the service
enter into agreements with content providers for obtaining available to the provider’s other customers.17
the content that gives them a competitive advantage. In Consider a simple, stylized model of a network provider
such a market there is little competitive concern. and an upstream provider whose application rides on top
In a recent article, van Schewick (2007) argues that cer- of the network. For simplicity, assume a monopolistic net-
tain environments will make it more likely that network work provider. This provider sells access to its wireless
operators discriminate against upstream providers. Her network to q1 customers at a price of p1. Quantity de-
analysis reinforces the idea that such possibilities depend manded is a downward sloping function of price such that
on the economic circumstances. Upstream, complementary q1 ¼ q1 ðp1 Þ and q01 ðp1 Þ < 0. Each additional customer on
markets that exhibit increasing returns to scale, network the network imposes a cost of c1 > 0 on the provider.18
effects, externalities to the network provider, or products A second good, an application, can be sold on the net-
that can be easily banned from a network, make it more work. Assume for simplicity that demand for this second
likely that a network provider will find it profitable to dis- good is completely independent of demand for the wireless
criminate. There is a tradeoff between the possible welfare network and that there are no vertical efficiencies.19 The
loss from restricting complementary service and the bene- application has a downward sloping demand q2 ¼ q2 ðp2 Þ
fits that network providers and their consumers receive where q02 ðp2 Þ < 0. Like most software, the marginal produc-
when complementary products enhance and improve the tion cost for this application is close to zero. However, be-
customer’s experience of the network.16 The magnitudes cause this application utilizes the wireless network’s
of these costs and benefits are industry and company spe- resources, each customer who uses this application imposes
cific. Importantly, the van Schewick article (1) is based on a a cost, c2 P 0, on the wireless provider.20
model in which specific circumstances will overwhelmingly If the network provider supplies both the network and
dictate the efficient result; (2) simply assumes that if dis- the application, the provider will maximize its profit
crimination could occur, it is bad for competitors, but does
not evaluate the resulting impact on consumer welfare; 17
This is simply an example that shows that there can be procompetitive
vertical restrictions and justifications for service restrictions. Similar
justifications may not always hold.
15 18
In a similar vein, Microsoft is the default search engine for Verizon Note that with congestion costs, c01 > 0 also and the results from this
Wireless, but users can still access Google and Yahoo! search engines on section would be stronger.
19
their phones. At the end of this section, we discuss some implications of relaxing this
16
Farrell and Weiser (2003) discuss these conditions and term it assumption.
20
internalizing complementary externalities (ICE). The extent to which the The cost from congestion can be thought of as poorer network quality
network provider can internalize these complementary externalities will for the other subscribers, but that could be mitigated by additional capital
affect the incentive to restrict inefficiently. investment by the network operator.
108 G.L. Rosston, M.D. Topper / Information Economics and Policy 22 (2010) 103–119

function: maxp1 ;p2 pN ¼ q1 ðp1 Þp1  c1 q1 ðp1 Þ þ q2 ðp2 Þp2  c2 q2 2.3.1. Example: high bandwidth use restrictions
ðp2 Þ. Because demand for the two goods are independent, Some wireless providers have imposed usage restric-
the first order condition for the application good is: tions on high bandwidth users of wireless data cards (Veri-
pN2 ¼ c2  qq20 . zon, Sprint, and AT&T offer 5 GB per month plans with
2

If an outside entrepreneur supplies only the application, charges for usage beyond that amount; T-Mobile offers
because he does not internalize the cost of the application an unlimited data plan).22 One explanation for the cap is
imposed on the network, the entrepreneur will maximize that the wireless providers do not want some users to con-
the following profit function: pE ¼ maxp2 q2 ðp2 Þp2 with sume disproportionate amounts of bandwidth and want all
the corresponding first order condition: pE2 ¼  qq20 . Since c2 users to receive good quality of service.
2
Wireless providers have a scarce resource—network
is positive and q02 is negative, pN2 > pE2 . Since demand is
bandwidth—that they need to manage to ensure that they
downward sloping, qN2 < qE2 where qE2 is the application
can provide services for which their consumers wish to
quantity sold by the entrepreneur.
pay. As such, they have acquired licenses to spectrum
The assumption of independent demands makes the re-
and invested in cell sites, backhaul, switching, and inter-
sult simpler and stronger. If the demand for the application
connection facilities. And they have millions of customers
increases demand for the network, then the price differen-
on their networks. Capacity of a wireless network is essen-
tial would be less. For example, voice telephone service
tially a function of the amount of bandwidth, the amount
rides on top of the wireless network. The network provider
invested in cell sites (both the number of sites and the
in all cases provides the voice application because of the
number of radios, smart antennas, and other equipment
beneficial effects it gets for network demand.
at each site), and the backhaul capacity of the network.
Because the incentives of wireless network providers
To manage network capacity, wireless providers decide
can differ from a technology entrepreneur developing a
how much to invest and how much to charge customers
niche service, it may be procompetitive for the network
for their usage. They also decide which devices and appli-
operator to restrict the ability for the entrepreneur to serve
cations can run on their networks.
some subset of customers. Of course, such restrictions
Because at any point in time, there is a limited amount
could also be motivated by anticompetitive incentives.
of spectrum and the wireless network configuration has a
One critical aspect of this model is the inability or
fixed number of cell sites (and sectors), there is a band-
unwillingness of the network provider to charge exactly
width limit in each (small) geographic area that has to be
the cost that usage imposes on the network. If a wireless
shared among users in the same cell sector. A single user
network provider were able to charge differentially for all
downloading video may be using a disproportionate share
usage, then incentives would be aligned. However, there
of the available bandwidth, which in turn can affect the
are a number of reasons why networks may be unwilling
experience for other users.
or unable to charge consumers for every cost-causing use
Thus, there is a need for the wireless provider to man-
of the network. For example, with uncertainty, consumers
age this scarce resource. The current responses by wireless
may sufficiently value ‘‘unlimited’’ or high-usage plans
providers to impose monthly download limits do not seem
such that marginal charges may not be optimal for a profit
to address optimally the scarcity problem because scarcity
maximizing network provider.21 As a result, a provider may
occurs at specific cell sites at specific times. One way for a
not price network usage at its cost for specific times and
network provider to manage its spectrum is to limit band-
locations where costs are high. While wireless networks of-
width-intensive uses. Another network management tool
fer lower priced voice packages on nights and weekends,
would be if the provider were able to determine which
they do not charge higher prices for data usage at their most
types of applications were delay-tolerant, and then allo-
congested cell sites as such plans could be very complicated
cate bandwidth among delay-tolerant and delay-intolerant
for consumers. Instead of pricing usage on a real-time, loca-
uses so as to increase network quality for its customers.
tion-specific basis, one way to deal with the congestion issue
Wireless networks must satisfy widely varying de-
is to prevent (or charge a premium for) the most likely
mands for service. Some people use their connections spar-
causes of congestion—services that demand high bandwidth
ingly, while others consume large amounts of bandwidth.
in a short period of time.
On the wireline side, initial proposals for network neutral-
This simple model provides a framework for under-
ity and openness did not differentiate among different
standing much of the debate about ‘‘network manage-
types of users. This type of network management regula-
ment.’’ Wireless network providers claim they need to be
tion could harm consumers even if there were only a sin-
able to impose restrictions on usage for ‘‘reasonable net-
gle, monopoly, broadband network. More recent
work management’’ but ‘‘reasonable network manage-
proposals recognize the need to allow network owners to
ment’’ has no clear definition. There are circumstances in
charge for bandwidth or usage in some circumstances.
which a network provider might restrict certain uses to en-
For wireless users, there is already a well-accepted set of
hance the overall value of the network to its customers and
monthly charges for certain ‘‘buckets’’ of voice usage and
other circumstances in which the network provider might
additional charges for minutes of use above the buckets.
restrict certain uses in a way that harms consumers.

21 22
There is a lengthy literature on consumers choosing plans for telephone Carrier websites, accessed March 29, 2009. Wireless carriers do not at
and electricity suitable for much higher usage than they end up using. See this time appear to have limits on data usage for non-tethered handheld
Grubb (2009). devices.
G.L. Rosston, M.D. Topper / Information Economics and Policy 22 (2010) 103–119 109

Differential pricing can be an important tool for allocat- poses. The wireless marketplace is not perfectly
ing the scarce capacity needed to provide higher-value ser- competitive—the cost to set up a wireless telephone net-
vices. All packets do not have equal value. Voice service work is substantial, and there are a limited number of li-
places a premium on instantaneous communications. But censes for spectrum suitable to provide high-quality
delay is acceptable for some data services and not for oth- mobile wireless service in an economical manner. At the
ers. For example, e-mail is generally somewhat delay-tol- same time, the four major national wireless providers face
erant, but delay on a VoIP service makes the service considerable competitive pressures and operate in a market
much less usable. Given capacity constraints in the net- environment very different from the AT&T-regulated
work, the lack of prioritization could cause the VoIP quality monopoly that existed at the time of the Carterfone decision.
to be suboptimal, even though delay in delivering e-mails The FCC has consistently found that there is effective compe-
to or from the iPhone would be completely inconsequen- tition in the wireless market, most recently in the Thirteenth
tial because such transmissions are easily buffered. Requir- Annual CMRS Report that was released in January 2009.24 In
ing a network operator to treat all bits equally would this section we assess the evidence about the competitive-
needlessly harm certain high-value services, reducing con- ness of the wireless sector.
sumer welfare.
Network management issues are not unique to wireless.
Many industries have customers that make intensive use 3.1. Downstream market structure
of resources, and those users typically pay for that usage.
Wireless should be no different—those who cause the costs 3.1.1. Wireless providers
should be charged for their usage if that is not too burden- There are four major nationwide wireless providers:
some. The degree of competition among network providers Verizon Wireless (‘‘Verizon’’), AT&T, Sprint Nextel
is irrelevant to the argument that users who impose costs (‘‘Sprint’’) and T-Mobile USA (‘‘T-Mobile’’). Verizon and
on others should pay for those externalities. When there AT&T have a technical advantage in many areas because
are competitive networks, rivalry among providers in- they have 850 MHz cellular licenses covering a large part
cludes differing approaches to network management. of the US while Sprint and T-Mobile primarily rely on high-
While there may be anticompetitive incentives for net- er frequency PCS (1.9 GHz) spectrum. For comparison pur-
work operators in their network management, it is well ac- poses, using CDMA2000 technology, a cell site
cepted in antitrust that competition at the network level broadcasting at 850 MHz has a radius of 29.4 km while a
reduces the ability of network operators to impose anti- cell site broadcasting at 1.9 GHz, the PCS spectrum, has a
competitive restrictions. The next section looks at the nat- radius of 13.3 km and a cell site broadcasting at 2.5 GHz
ure of competition in the wireless industry to assess the has a radius of 10.0 km.25 The lower frequency spectrum
ability of providers to impose inefficient restrictions that is particularly valuable outside major metropolitan areas be-
harm consumers. cause the greater coverage per cell site reduces capital and
operating costs.26 Due in part to their better coverage, which
comes in part due to their ‘‘better’’ spectrum, AT&T and Veri-
3. Competition in the US wireless industry zon have more subscribers and have been increasing sub-
scribers more rapidly than their nationwide competitors.
An antitrust evaluation of the need for Carterfone-style In addition, Verizon and AT&T were the top two purchasers
regulation of wireless providers depends on the current of spectrum in the 2008 700 MHz auction, which has similar
and future state of competition in the wireless industry coverage characteristics as the 850 MHz frequencies.
and in upstream markets for equipment and applications. At the same time, there is competition from Sprint, T-
In an environment of vigorous competition, there is little Mobile, and regional providers. T-Mobile has been increas-
incentive for competing wireless providers to impose ing its absolute and relative share of subscribers even
restrictions on upstream equipment and application sup- though its primary operations are on high-frequency PCS
pliers unless those restrictions are efficiency enhancing. If spectrum. In 2006, T-Mobile purchased a large amount of
on the other hand, a wireless firm has substantial market spectrum in the Advanced Wireless Services (‘‘AWS’’) band
power, then it might be able to use that power to exclude and has been working on increasing its capacity and cover-
or extract rents from upstream providers and harm con- age with this newly acquired spectrum.
sumers through a variety of vertical restraints. Whether a The four nationwide carriers built their current nation-
firm with such market power would take advantage of its wide footprints through primary and secondary license
power would also depend on the nature of demand of its acquisitions and build out. The competitive consequences
subscribers. of acquisitions need to be examined on a case-by-case ba-
We start by examining the downstream market, the sis. While acquisitions can potentially lead to increased
market where wireless providers compete to offer wireless market power of certain providers, they can also enable a
service to consumers.23 We do not undertake an examina- provider to achieve economies of scale and operating effi-
tion of the relevant antitrust market, but instead rely on
the Department of Justice Antitrust Division (‘‘DOJ’’) and 24
Federal Communications Commission (2009a).
25
FCC findings in several merger cases and use wireless net- CDMA Development Group (2004).
26
work operation as the relevant market for analytical pur- In more densely populated urban areas, the larger coverage radius is
less of an advantage because capacity rather than coverage is important.
However, the lower frequency transmissions are also better at penetrating
23
This analysis follows Mayo (2008). buildings, giving them an operational advantage in urban areas also.
110 G.L. Rosston, M.D. Topper / Information Economics and Policy 22 (2010) 103–119

ciencies that reduce costs and allow the newly merged losses, losing 5.1 million direct wireless subscribers in
firm to compete more aggressively. Several recent acquisi- 2008 and 659,000 direct subscribers in 2007.30 Sprint cred-
tions have enabled the nationwide carriers to continue to its most of this loss to higher churn rates relative to compet-
expand and fill in their footprints and increase the capacity itors, already high penetration rates in most markets, and a
of their existing networks. While these acquisitions have move towards increasing the credit quality of its custom-
reduced the number of wireless providers nationwide, they ers.31 To the extent that Sprint’s declining customer base
were all approved by the Commission and Department of and market position continue, there could potentially be
Justice, sometimes with requirements to divest licenses concerns related to concentration within the industry, but
in specific geographic markets. it could also lead to more aggressive pricing and competition
In addition to the nationwide providers, there are a by Sprint to regain lost share. For example, Sprint appears to
number of significant regional providers, including Leap be very active in the wholesale market, which could lead to
Wireless, US Cellular, and MetroPCS. Regional providers new products and services.
can offer nationwide coverage to their subscribers through
roaming agreements. Leap Wireless and MetroPCS also ac-
3.1.3. Entry and potential barriers to entry
quired AWS spectrum to allow them to build out networks
The next thing to consider is the ability of wireless pro-
across the country. Consumers can also purchase wireless
viders to enter and compete in various geographic markets,
service from mobile virtual network operators (‘‘MVNOs’’)
either by existing providers expanding their footprints or
who lease wholesale capacity from the facilities-based car-
by new entry. There are two potential barriers to entry in
riers, but set prices independently. MVNOs typically use
the wireless market: spectrum and economies of scale.
different branding strategies to market to particular niche
Mobile wireless service requires access to spectrum.
groups. The most significant MVNOs include TracFone
The US has two categories of spectrum—licensed and unli-
Wireless, Virgin Mobile, and Boost Mobile. Although indus-
censed. Licensed spectrum is used by all significant provid-
try commentators debate their competitive importance,
ers of mobile wireless services. To date, unlicensed
MVNOs offer service alternatives and recently have pushed
spectrum has been useful for portable use such as WiFi,
down prices.
but not for mobile use.
Available spectrum is limited by the licenses issued by
3.1.2. Concentration in the wireless industry
the FCC in frequencies capable of providing mobile ser-
An initial step in assessing competition in an industry is
vice.32 Starting in the mid-1990s, a series of FCC auctions
to look at measures of the Herfindahl–Hirschman Index
significantly increased the amount of spectrum available
(‘‘HHI’’).27 In the Thirteenth CMRS Report, the Commission
for mobile wireless, which in turn led to a significant in-
calculated that the average HHI for mobile wireless services
crease in the number of providers offering wireless service
for 176 Economic Areas (‘‘EAs’’) was 2674 as of December
in most geographic areas. Most recently, the 2006 AWS auc-
2007.28 This compares to Commission calculations of an
tion (Auction 66) increased the spectrum available for wire-
average HHI of 2674 in 2006; 2706 in 2005; 2450 in 2004;
less by 90 MHz, and the 700 MHz auction (Auction 73)
and 2151 in 2003. In each of these years, the average HHI
increased the amount of available spectrum by another
is what the DOJ/FTC Merger Guidelines calls ‘‘Highly Con-
62 MHz.
centrated.’’ The jump in the HHI in 2004 was mainly a result
In the 2006 AWS auction, T-Mobile acquired licenses
of the Cingular/AT&T Wireless and Sprint/Nextel mergers.
that should enable it to offer a wireless broadband net-
The generally flat recent trend in HHIs since 2004 suggests
work, and smaller regional wireless providers such as Leap
that even though there has been consolidation as measured
Wireless and MetroPCS acquired licenses that allow them
at the national level, major providers have expanded their
to expand their geographic coverage areas. In the
geographic footprints rather than increased concentration
700 MHz auction, several new and/or smaller providers
within established markets.
were also able to acquire spectrum, although no party
Another indicator of industry structure is the number of
other than Verizon and AT&T acquired enough two-way
wireless provider choices available to consumers. The
spectrum for a national footprint. In addition, starting in
Commission estimates that as of July 2008, 90.5% of the
2004, the FCC began modifying the band plan and rules
US population had four or more wireless service providers
for 2500–2690 MHz (BRS/EBS band) spectrum, which is
in the census blocks in which they live.29 Table 1 shows
being used by Clearwire to develop a WiMAX network that
that most of the US population has more wireless choices
will offer wireless broadband service.33 In October 2008,
now than eight years ago.
Clearwire combined WiMAX capabilities with Sprint.
A potential concern is the weakening position of Sprint.
Thus, recent auctions and spectrum band plan modifica-
Sprint has experienced two straight years of subscriber
tions have allowed some new entrants and regional players
to build and expand their geographic footprints. Because
27
HHIs are calculating by summing the squares of the individual market many of the new entrants are still starting their businesses,
shares of the firms participating in a relevant market. A market with a
monopoly provider has an HHI of 10,000. A market with five equally sized
30
competitors has an HHI of 2000, calculated as 5  (20  20). Sprint Nextel Corp. (2009, p. 30).
28 31
The Commission calculates the HHI based on the number of subscribers Sprint Nextel Corp. (2009, p. 34).
32
served by each carrier in 176 EAs. HHIs for each EA are weighted by the EA Mayo and Wallsten (2009) document the rise of secondary market
population to come up with a nationwide average. Thirteenth CMRS Report, transactions for spectrum use that can help to increase the efficiency of
– 45–46. spectrum use, but not increase the amount of licensed spectrum.
29 33
Thirteenth CMRS Report, – 39–43. WiMax is an IEEE 802.16 standard for broadband wireless access.
G.L. Rosston, M.D. Topper / Information Economics and Policy 22 (2010) 103–119 111

Table 1
Percentage of Population with Access to Wireless Services by Number of Providers 2000 – 2008. Source: Federal Communications Commission (2009a); Federal
Communications Commission (2008a).

Number of CMRS providers 7/2000 7/2001 7/2002 7/2003 7/2004 7/2005 7/2006 7/2007 7/2008
in a county (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)a
3 or More 87.8 90.8 94.1 94.7 96.8 96.9 98.0 98.0 95.5
4 or More 79.8 84.4 88.7 89.3 93.0 93.2 93.8 93.6 90.5
5 or More 68.5 75.1 80.4 82.6 87.5 87.3 50.8 59.1 64.9
a
For 7/2008, data at the census block level is used because data at the county level is not available. Census blocks are much more granular than counties.
Thus, the data from 2008 is not directly comparable to previous years’ data.

only time will tell whether these auctions will facilitate services, is a more accurate measure of price trends for
significant new competitors. voice services.
New entrants also face non-spectrum barriers to entry The national and major regional providers all offer call-
arising from economies of scale in production and market- ing plans with various buckets of minutes (e.g., 900 min for
ing. Wireless service requires significant investment in $59.99 per month) that can be used without roaming or
network infrastructure, with large upfront fixed-cost capi- long distance charges. There are many variants of these
tal investments. To compete against nationwide incum- plans, including plans with free calling to designated num-
bents, a new entrant or regional provider needs to bers or to customers using the same wireless provider,
acquire a significant geographic footprint or enter into unlimited local calling plans, and unlimited national call-
roaming agreements. ing plans. Carriers continue to experiment with different
Moreover, the 700 MHz auction was likely the last auc- plans, and consumers typically have considerable choice
tion of significant amounts of spectrum for some time and among plans within and across carriers.
offered highly valuable low-frequency spectrum. The larg- Some evidence suggests that the price of data services
est incumbent nationwide providers, AT&T and Verizon, has been declining in the last few years, after increasing
acquired considerable additional spectrum in that auction between 2002 and 2005. Although pay-as-you-go text
and through secondary market transactions. Sprint and T- messaging prices have increased recently, the Thirteenth
Mobile did not participate in that auction. CMRS Report indicates that average revenue per text mes-
sage declined from $0.037 per text message in 2005 to
$0.025 in 2007 as monthly text messaging plans (as op-
posed to pay-as-you-go pricing) became more prevalent.35
3.2. Wireless market performance: prices, quantities, and
By the first half of 2008, average revenue per text message
quality
fell to $0.013.36
3.2.1. Prices
Industry structure as measured by HHIs is just a first
3.2.2. Subscribers, minutes of use, and data usage
step in an antitrust analysis assessing the competitiveness
Wireless use has also increased significantly, whether
of the wireless market. A key step in a competition analysis
measured by subscribers, minutes of use, or data usage.
is to assess actual performance as measured by prices and
The FCC estimates that there were 263.0 million subscrib-
quantities. Table 2 and Chart 1 show the significant de-
ers at the end of 2007, implying a penetration rate of 86%
crease in average revenue per minute (‘‘ARPM’’) and aver-
and a 23% increase in subscribers between December
age voice revenue per minute (‘‘AVRPM’’) from 1995
2005 and December 2007.37 See Table 3. Further, an
through 2007.34 As of 2007, ARPM was $0.06 and AVRPM
increasing number of subscribers are ‘‘wireless only,’’ with
was $0.05. While the pace of declining prices has slowed
recent estimates suggesting that more than 20% of house-
as the industry has matured, price declines in the last five
holds are wireless only.38
years are still substantial, with AVRPM falling by over 50%
Average voice minutes of use have also continued to in-
since 2003.
crease. As shown in Table 3, average monthly voice min-
The distinction between ARPM and AVRPM has become
utes of use per subscriber increased to 769 in 2007, an
important only in the last few years with the growth of
increase of 80% since 2002.
data services. Because ARPM is calculated using voice min-
Mobile data usage has also increased significantly in
utes as the denominator, it has become inaccurate as a
recent years. According to CTIA (2008), data revenues ac-
price metric. AVRPM, which excludes revenue from data
counted for 20.37% of total wireless service revenues in
34
Based on the Thirteenth CMRS Report, – 193, Table 12. The FCC’s
35
analysis is based on data from CTIA’s semi-annual surveys. CTIA’s semi- Thirteenth CMRS Report, – 194; Twelfth CMRS Report, – 202–203
annual surveys are voluntary, meaning the companies that respond to (Federal Communications Commission, 2008a).
36
particular questions may differ from year to year and not all companies This is calculated using data from CTIA (2008). Six-month text revenues
respond to every question each year. CTIA reports the raw results from the are divided by six-month text traffic.
37
survey and does not attempt to adjust the figures for the non-respondents The FCC estimates subscribers using Numbering Resource Utilization/
or to make the results exactly comparable year-to-year. Thus, the figures Forecast (NRUF) data filed by all wireless carriers with the FCC. CTIA survey
from the CTIA surveys indicate trends, but cannot be presumed to show the data show a similar pattern. See CTIA (2008).
38
precise level of changes. Blumberg and Luke (2009).
112 G.L. Rosston, M.D. Topper / Information Economics and Policy 22 (2010) 103–119

Table 2
Wireless Service Revenue 1993–2007. Source: Federal Communications Commission (2009a), Table 12.

Date Monthly Average Revenue per Unita Average Average Revenue per Minute Average Voice Revenue per Minute
(ARPU) Minutesb (ARPM) (AVRPM)
1993 $61.49 140 $0.44 $0.44
1994 $56.21 119 $0.47 $0.47
1995 $51.00 119 $0.43 $0.43
1996 $47.70 125 $0.38 $0.38
1997 $42.78 117 $0.37 $0.37
1998 $39.43 136 $0.29 $0.29
1999 $41.24 185 $0.22 $0.22
2000 $45.27 255 $0.18 $0.18
2001 $47.37 380 $0.12 $0.12
2002 $48.40 427 $0.11 $0.11
2003 $49.91 507 $0.10 $0.10
2004 $50.64 584 $0.09 $0.08
2005 $49.98 708 $0.07 $0.06
2006 $50.56 714 $0.07 $0.06
2007 $49.79 769 $0.06 $0.05
a
The Thirteenth FCC CMRS Report used ‘‘Average Local Monthly Bill’’ for the measure of ARPU.
b
Average minutes of use per subscriber per month (MOUs).

Average
Revenue
$0.50

$0.45

$0.40

$0.35

ARPM
$0.30
ARPVM

$0.25

$0.20

$0.15

$0.10

$0.05

$0.00
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Chart 1. Average Revenue per Minute and Average Revenue per Voice Minute 1993 – 2007. Source: Federal Communications Commission (2009a), Table
12.

the first half of 2008. Several sources indicate that the cally, with 5.63 billion MMS messages in the first six
percentage of subscribers using their wireless phones months of 2008, an increase of 116% over the first six
for data services continues to increase. For example, months of 2007.
Nielsen (2008) indicates that 37% of subscribers paid
for access to the mobile Internet in the first quarter of 3.2.3. Churn
2008. CTIA (2008) data indicate that the volume of Monthly churn statistics provide a measure of con-
text/SMS messages in the first six months of 2008 in- sumer switching between carriers. Most carriers have been
creased to 384.97 billion, an increase of 162% over the reporting churn rates in the range of 1.5% to 3.0% per
first six months of 2007 and 494% over the first six month, with an average churn rate of 1.9% in the first quar-
months of 2006. See Table 4. CTIA (2008) data also indi- ter of 2008, implying annual churn of more than 20%.
cate that the volume of multimedia messages (‘‘MMS’’) Despite FCC rules adopted in 2003 that require wireless
such as photo messaging has been increasing dramati- providers to allow customers to port their phone numbers,
G.L. Rosston, M.D. Topper / Information Economics and Policy 22 (2010) 103–119 113

Table 3
Wireless Subscribers, Minutes of Use, and Penetration 001 – 2007. Source: Federal Communications Commission (2009a), CTIA (2008), Blumberg and Luke
(2009)

Date CMRS wireless subscribersa CTIA Wireless subscribersb Average Wireless penetration Percent wireless only
(millions) (millions) minutesc rate (%)d (%)e
2001 128.5 119.9 380 45
2002 141.8 131.8 427 49
2003 160.6 152.7 507 54 3.5
2004 184.7 173.8 584 62 5.4
2005 213.0 200.5 708 71 7.7
2006 241.8 225.9 714 80 11.8
2007 263.0 245.8 769 86 14.5
a
Year end data from Federal Communications Commission (2009a).
b
Year end data from CTIA (2008).
c
Average minutes of use per subscriber per month (MOUs).
d
Estimated from NRUF (FCC’s Numbering Resources Utilization/Forecast).
e
Percent of adults living in household with only wireless phones. Data from Blumberg and Luke (2009). Data is not available prior to 2003.

Table 4 coupled with improved customer care, better deals on hand-


Reported Six-Month SMS and MMS Traffic Volume 2004 – 2008. Source: sets, and bigger incentives for longer contracts have helped
CTIA (2008)
to reduce the level of churn.43 Thus, decreasing churn rates
Date Text/SMS Volume (billions) MMS Volume (billions) probably do not reflect a decrease in consumer choice but
Dec 2004 24.71 rather an increase in the quality of customer experience
Jun 2005 32.54 0.28 and, over time, the ability of continuing wireless customers
Dec 2005 48.66 0.85 to sort to their preferred provider.
Jun 2006 64.82 1.14
Dec 2006 93.83 1.59
Jun 2007 146.99 2.61 3.2.4. Technological innovation
Dec 2007 215.56 3.49 In the US, wireless providers use two main digital tech-
Jun 2008 384.97 5.63
nologies, CDMA and GSM.44 CDMA and GSM are referred to
Notes: Figures are for the 6 months ending in the period given. as ‘‘2G’’ technologies. Equipment manufacturers have been
developing more advanced ‘‘next-generation’’ technologies
that allow for increased voice capacity and higher transfer
churn rates have been declining in recent years. Providers rates for mobile broadband.45 The four nationwide providers
have been investing in their networks—digital technology and the significant regional providers have been deploying
has been increasingly deployed and cell sites grew approx- these next-generation technologies, leading to much greater
imately 15% per year over the past 10 years and approxi- availability of mobile broadband, which is now generally
mately 9% per year for the past 5 years.39 Although available to most consumers. The FCC estimates that as of
concerns about network quality remain, recent survey evi- May 2008, 92.5% of the US population lived in census blocks
dence suggests that call quality is improving,40 and that poor with one or more provider of mobile broadband and 72.5% of
call quality is highly correlated with customers’ desire to the US population lived in census blocks with two or more
switch carriers.41 mobile broadband providers.46
It is not surprising that churn would decrease as cus- Deployment of next-generation technologies is an
tomers gain experience on wireless networks and call important part of the competitive dynamic in the wireless
quality improves. Even without increasing call quality, cus- industry. Next-generation network upgrades allow carriers
tomer sorting as customers gain experience with different to improve the coverage, capacity, and capabilities of their
wireless networks would decrease churn. For example, if networks, leading to improvements in service quality for
new customers are likely to churn, but existing customers voice calls and the development of new mobile data ser-
are not, a decreasing proportion of new customers as the vices. The Twelfth and Thirteenth CMRS Reports highlight
installed base grows would naturally lead to a smaller some recent mobile data developments including music
churn. Experienced customers would be less likely to playing services, handsets equipped with GPS technology,
churn because they have already had the chance to try streaming video services, Verizon’s spring 2007 launch of
one or more networks at home and at work so are more V CAST Mobile TV, AT&T’s spring 2007 launch of the Apple
likely to have found the most appropriate carrier for their iPhone, and AT&T’s July 2008 launch of the 3G iPhone. In
individual calling patterns. the fall of 2008, BlackBerry released its BlackBerry Storm
Wireless carriers provide prospective customers with smartphone, and Sprint made available the Palm Pre with
detailed coverage information to encourage customers to
enroll in their plans.42 Analysts believe that these efforts 43
Eleventh CMRS Report, – 148 (Federal Communications Commission,
2006).
44
AT&T and T-Mobile use GSM; Verizon and Sprint use CDMA.
39 45
CTIA (2008, Table 64). The many variants of next-generation technologies are sometimes
40
J.D. Power and Associates (2006) and TechWeb News (2005). referred to as 2.5G, 3G, or 4G, depending on their technical characteristics.
41 46
J.D. Power and Associates (2006) and TechWeb News (2005). For these purposes ‘‘mobile broadband’’ is defined as WCDMA/HSPDA
42
Carrier websites. or EV-DO/EV-DO Rev. A technologies. Thirteenth CMRS Report, – 146.
114 G.L. Rosston, M.D. Topper / Information Economics and Policy 22 (2010) 103–119

its new mobile operating system on Sprint’s network in June less network operators may require handset manufacturers
2009. According to Greenstein’s (2009) framework for inno- to make modifications or restrict features prior to allowing
vative health, continuing innovation and investment in the usage on their systems. These modifications may be for
network along with competition between different stan- network management or may serve other purposes.
dards is indicative of a healthy, competitive industry. Regardless, it does not change the competitiveness of the
handset market.
3.2.5. Conclusion on downstream wireless markets
The decreases in prices, increases in quantities con-
sumed, improvements in quality, and ongoing technologi- 3.3.2. Applications markets
cal innovation suggest a market where, despite an Wireless providers have historically controlled which
increase in HHIs relative to 2003 levels, consumers have applications are available and offered content through ser-
benefited tremendously from vigorous competition among vice-provider-branded and controlled portals. However,
wireless providers. That said, the FCC and DOJ/FTC should different wireless carriers employ a variety of terms and
carefully monitor consolidation and changes in pricing to conditions, and T-Mobile’s contracts in the US have not
ensure that consumers continue to benefit from ongoing contained such restrictions. Moreover, none of the top
technological improvements. Internet content sites, such as eBay, Google, Yahoo!, Micro-
soft Networks, AOL, or Amazon, are affiliated with mobile
wireless network providers.51
3.3. Upstream equipment and applications markets
Recent developments suggest that wireless providers
are responding to consumer demands for more ‘‘open-
As discussed above in Section 2, the ability and incen-
ness’’ to third-party content and applications without
tives of a wireless provider to restrict upstream suppliers
the need for regulatory mandate. For example, when
anticompetitively depends not just on the competitiveness
the Apple iPhone was first introduced in July 2007, Apple
of the wireless market, but also on the extent of vertical
did not use AT&T’s own web browsing and entertain-
integration by wireless providers into upstream markets
ment service to access the Internet, but kept significant
for the provision of equipment (such as handsets) and
control over applications and services. Then in fall
applications, and the degree of competition in those up-
2007, Apple announced a software development kit
stream markets. In this section we assess these issues.
allowing software developers to develop third-party
We find that there is little integration by the wireless car-
applications for the iPhone. In July 2008, Apple launched
riers into handsets and applications, and many indepen-
its AppStore, a platform for third-party developers to
dent competitors provide handsets and applications.
market applications.
In late 2007, Verizon announced a new open access pol-
3.3.1. Equipment markets
icy to provide consumers with access to its wireless net-
The nationwide wireless providers do not manufacture
work using ‘‘wireless devices, software, or applications
their own wireless handsets, nor do they own equity in
not offered by the company’’ that meets certain technical
any major equipment manufacturers. Instead, most of
standards.52 During 2008, Verizon began implementing its
the handsets used by US consumers are sold by large
open access policy.53 For example, Verizon now offers
electronics firms not affiliated with US wireless providers,
month-to-month agreements that allow consumers to use
including top-selling brands Motorola, Samsung, LG, No-
their own CDMA handsets without long-term service con-
kia, and BlackBerry.47 Moreover, these top-selling handset
tracts. In addition, Verizon acquired 7 of the 12 C Block open
manufacturers provide handsets for all of the major US
access licenses in the recent 700 MHz auction, and has sta-
wireless providers.48 Consumers have considerable choice
ted that it will use that additional spectrum for its ‘‘Open
regarding handsets. One recent study found that in early
Development Initiative.’’54 It is unclear how these initiatives
2007, consumers had 154 unique handset options available
will play out as much will depend on interpretations of ‘‘rea-
directly from the four nationwide carriers plus Alltel, with
sonable network management.’’
an average of 34 handset choices per carrier and additional
Another open access initiative is Android, the mobile
handset models available from third-party sources.49 Up-
operating system developed by Google in collaboration
stream suppliers of handsets sell in a global market and
with T-Mobile, HTC, Qualcomm, and Motorola. The first
compete aggressively with each other for market share.
phones running Android, for use on T-Mobile’s network,
Although the nationwide US wireless providers are impor-
were available to consumers in the second half of
tant customers for handset manufacturers, they also sell to
2008. The development of service offerings with varying
many other wireless providers around the world.50 Wire-
degrees of ‘‘openness’’ suggests that ‘‘open access’’ is one
important dimension in which carriers are competing for
47
Based on NPD data on US market shares in the first quarter of 2008 consumers.
(NPD Group, 2008).
48
Verified by information contained in manufacturer websites. All
manufacturers except for LG listed phones for all of the four major carriers.
LG did not list a phone for T-Mobile. Apple’s iPhone is currently limited to
51
the AT&T network. Google has an investment in Clearwire which may offer mobile wireless
49
Hahn et al. (2007, p. 14). service in the future.
50 52
Even if there were vertical integration, that would not necessarily be Verizon Wireless (2007).
53
bad for consumers. Since there is no vertical integration, we do not address The Wall Street Journal (2008).
54
that issue in this analysis. Verizon Wireless (2008).
G.L. Rosston, M.D. Topper / Information Economics and Policy 22 (2010) 103–119 115

However, apparently Google restricted ‘‘tethering’’ 4. Increasing consumer welfare in wireless


applications on Android phones as part of its agreement
with T-Mobile.55 Tethering applications allow a subscriber 4.1. General principles of regulatory intervention
to use a handset as a modem for a laptop computer. Such
uses tend to be more bandwidth intensive and are re- The goal of antitrust law in particular and competition
stricted by some providers. However, T-Mobile and other policy in general is to increase overall welfare and generally
providers have subscription plans for dedicated laptop relies on increasing competition as a tool. Because of fixed
cards (with some usage limits as discussed above), which costs, most unregulated markets are not like the perfectly
would presumably have similarly intensive bandwidth de- competitive benchmark and virtually no regulated market
mands. Similarly, as discussed above, AT&T allowed the approaches the perfectly competitive threshold. In some
Skype application to be used on its 3G network with cer- cases, regulation can have perverse effects. For example, reg-
tain smartphones, but initially banned the Skype applica- ulation can distort economic decision making, reduce the
tion from the Apple iPhone, allowing it to work only incentive to innovate, and raise consumer prices. As a result,
over WiFi on that handset. there is a long-standing view in economics that regulations
should pass a reasonable cost-benefit test—that is, does new
3.3.3. Conclusion on upstream markets regulation increase consumer welfare more than it reduces
There is little integration by wireless providers into producer surplus? Unfortunately, regulations generally can-
equipment and applications, and many independent not precisely target a specific imperfection in the market and
competitors provide equipment such as handsets and cure that imperfection without having any other (possibly
applications. In the absence of vertical integration into positive or negative) effects.
applications or equipment, a ‘‘monopoly provider’’ does Importantly, regulation is difficult in a dynamic indus-
not have an incentive to steer customers to its non-exis- try like wireless, where innovation and investment are
tent affiliate. The situation at the time of Carterfone, key to competition among incumbent firms and potential
when nearly all equipment used in the Bell System was entrants. Preventing a firm from reaping the rewards of
supplied by Western Electric, is very different from the its investments and ingenuity or the threat of taking away
current situation. Wireless operators do not have an such rewards can change a firm’s actions. In fact, such wor-
incentive to discriminate against equipment manufactur- ries help motivate some of the proponents of network neu-
ers, who are typically very large firms selling equipment trality who worry that the threat that network operator(s)
into many international markets. Similarly, wireless pro- will exclude innovators or expropriate their innovations
viders are not substantially vertically integrated into will in turn cause a much lower level of innovative activity.
content and applications. In addition, while wireless pro- Innovation and investment incentives are important con-
viders have imposed limitations on applications, there siderations and the same issues of incentives apply to net-
are often legitimate network management justifications work operators’ decisions to continue to invest in their
for doing so, and carriers appear to be responding to networks to provide the services that consumers want.
consumer demands for ‘‘openness.’’
4.2. The 700 MHz openness provisions
3.4. Per se versus rule of reason
In the 700 MHz spectrum auction that concluded in
Antitrust analysis counsels that there are limited cir- March 2008, the FCC mandated that one band of the auc-
cumstances to apply per se bars against behavior—for tioned spectrum, the 700 MHz Upper Band C Block, have
example, when such behavior is so likely to be harmful an open platform for devices and applications, subject to
to consumers and it is very unlikely that there could be ‘‘reasonable network management.’’56 The Commission’s
any efficiency justification for the actions. In addition to order was vague on the actual requirements for openness,
the lack of efficiency justifications, one of the pre-condi- and it was also vague about the meaning of ‘‘reasonable net-
tions for a per se bar is that a firm or group of firms have work management.’’ We expect those meanings to be the
market power. subject of contention as firms challenge Verizon’s imple-
Our analysis of the wireless industry shows that mentation of the openness provisions on the C Block.
there are plausible efficiency justifications for many ver- Despite having deemed wireless service provision to be
tical restraints on equipment and application providers. competitive in its CMRS Competition Reports, the FCC never-
In addition, while still a highly concentrated industry, theless required ‘‘openness.’’ With competitive wireless net-
there is evidence of competition between the major works, an openness requirement is likely to have little
wireless providers. As a result, a per se bar on poten- incremental impact on preventing anticompetitive activity.
tially procompetitive behavior would not be in consum- However, the openness provision may entail cost as firms
ers’ interests. However, there are alternative regulatory may assert and defend this openness ‘‘right’’ at the FCC and
policies that could benefit consumers by increasing in court. In addition, openness in a competitive market can
competition at the network level so there would be prevent efficient vertical relationships. Given these costs with
even less incentive to engage in exclusionary conduct little apparent benefit in a competitive market, this openness
that harms consumers. provision may do little to improve consumer welfare.

55 56
Davies (2009). Federal Communications Commission (2007).
116 G.L. Rosston, M.D. Topper / Information Economics and Policy 22 (2010) 103–119

One potential benefit of the imposition of the openness the government to expedite this process and enable these
requirements on the C Block is the ability to use this ‘‘exper- competitors to use their AWS spectrum fully.
iment’’ in openness to shed some light on the costs and ben- Second, the FCC should re-auction the 10 MHz of
efits of such provisions on a more widespread scale and to 700 MHz D Block spectrum rapidly.58 Although the
clarify just what ‘‘openness’’ means. If openness is problem- 10 MHz may not be enough spectrum to operate a full
atic, the interactions between the C Block licensee and up- capacity system in dense urban areas, because of its techni-
stream providers and downstream customers are likely to cal characteristics, the D Block can be used to provide the
reflect such problems. If openness provides large benefits necessary ‘‘coverage’’ spectrum while AWS, PCS, and other
and works smoothly, then other carriers, having to compete higher frequencies provide the ‘‘capacity’’ spectrum neces-
with an open access provider, may also adopt open plat- sary in urban areas. As a result, it may be a perfect comple-
forms. If openness is a severe competitive disadvantage, it ment to the spectrum held by competitors to Verizon and
is likely that there will be complaints against the provider AT&T (who already have the bulk of the low-frequency
if it unilaterally decides not to continue openness, or the pro- CMRS spectrum). As a result, the D Block spectrum can help
vider may petition the FCC to relax the rules. to increase competition in wireless if it is auctioned rapidly.
In addition, by limiting the scope of the openness provi- Third, the FCC should ensure that the ‘‘white spaces’’ are
sions to a single block of spectrum that it was auctioning made available to the market in a reasonable way that al-
for the first time, the Commission was able to avoid any lows them to provide competitive service to other low-fre-
concerns about ‘‘takings’’ due to a change in rule for exist- quency spectrum.59 While we think that licensing and
ing licensees. Instead, bidders knew upfront (to some ex- auctioning the spectrum is the preferable method of doing
tent) the rules on the spectrum they were buying. this, if the Commission decides to make the spectrum avail-
able on license-free basis, it should do that without forcing
the spectrum to remain fallow for a long period of time.
4.3. Alternatives to Carterfone-style wireless regulation
An important consideration in auction design is the
potentially different incentives of Verizon and AT&T com-
Policy proposals for wireless networks should have as
pared to other providers. After consolidation among wire-
their primary focus increasing consumer welfare. In gen-
line local exchange carriers, Verizon and AT&T are the
eral consumer welfare is enhanced by removing obstacles
largest incumbent landline telephone companies; they also
to competition by private firms, and not by favoring any
hold licenses for valuable 850 MHz spectrum. In the
one particular firm. While there is already significant com-
700 MHz auction, Verizon and AT&T each bought large
petition in the provision of wireless services, there are
amounts of spectrum and, in many geographic areas, con-
ways that wireless services can be even more competitive.
trol more spectrum than the FCC’s threshold of 95 MHz.60
And more competitive wireless services have the added
While Verizon and AT&T are using that spectrum to build
public policy benefit of becoming a more competitive
out their networks and develop better services, because they
alternative to wireline voice and broadband data services.
also own wireline networks in many areas they do not have
Since most concerns about vertical restraints arise from
the same competitive incentives that independent non-wir-
concentration at the local access level, the FCC should fo-
eline competitors have to compete with wireline voice and
cus on stimulating competition at that level. Obviously,
data services. It will be important for the FCC to consider,
competition would be enhanced if it was economic for
using appropriate competition policy analysis in advance of
multiple firms to string fiber optic cable around all neigh-
the next spectrum auctions, whether to allow Verizon and
borhoods in the US and there was enough spectrum avail-
AT&T to acquire more spectrum, or more low-frequency
able so that the auction price for spectrum was close to
spectrum. Obviously, there are tradeoffs—Verizon and
zero. That is unlikely to happen. But the FCC has tools at
AT&T will have incentives to use additional spectrum and
its disposal to make facilities-based competition more
may introduce new and improved services with additional
likely and more viable even with these constraints. In par-
spectrum. At the same time, allowing other firms to acquire
ticular, the FCC can develop policies that facilitate new en-
spectrum may enable competitive alternatives that lead to
try, investment in network infrastructure, and new service
better wireless options for consumers. Any spectrum restric-
offerings both by incumbents and new entrants.
tion should not be simply based on size, but on competitive
analysis. For example, a spectrum cap would have to take
4.3.1. Increasing competition through spectrum policy into account the fact that Sprint also has a large amount of
First, the FCC should get even more spectrum out into spectrum, but limited spectrum below 1 GHz and a policy
the marketplace, using well designed auctions to encour-
age the most highly valued use of that spectrum. One quick
58
way to get more spectrum into the market is to push gov- In the 700 MHz auction, the FCC imposed onerous restrictions on the D
Block related to public safety combined with a high reserve price. As a
ernment users to relocate from AWS spectrum more
result, no firm was willing to meet the reserve price for that block of
quickly. Leap Wireless, MetroPCS and T-Mobile all bought spectrum and the licenses were not sold in the auction.
spectrum in the AWS band in 2006, but cannot fully use 59
‘‘White spaces’’ are frequencies allocated to broadcast television, but
it because the US Government has not completely vacated not licensed to a television station in a specific area and thus potentially
the spectrum.57 The FCC should do whatever it can inside available for other use.
60
In the Verizon/Alltel Merger Order, the FCC reaffirmed a screen for
mergers that led to the merged firm controlling more than 95 MHz of
57
For a list of spectrum reallocation status as of December 2007, see US spectrum capable of providing mobile service (Federal Communications
Department of Commerce (2008). Commission, 2008b).
G.L. Rosston, M.D. Topper / Information Economics and Policy 22 (2010) 103–119 117

would have to assess the implications of the differences, if Without these artificial barriers, more wireless provid-
any, in spectrum at different frequencies. ers with low costs would have an incentive to build out
Finally, the FCC should consider all other mechanisms, networks in rural areas (and in urban areas because their
such as the ‘‘Big Bang’’ (Kwerel and Williams, 2002) where tax rates for the Universal Service Fund would be lower).
all unallocated spectrum is combined with spectrum put The more network build-out by additional competitors,
up by private licensees in a single auction or some variant the stronger competition will be. Getting rid of the pro-
to rationalize spectrum rights to make them allocated to incumbent bias in the universal service program would
the public more efficiently. As Kwerel and Williams dis- help competition and diminish the need for ex ante regula-
cuss, the ability to auction large blocks of underutilized tion of vertical relationships.
or inefficiently utilized spectrum rights in a single market-
place can substantially reduce aggregation risks for spec-
trum buyers and also ensure that sellers realize the value 4.3.4. Antitrust enforcement
of their spectrum. As described above in Section 2, vertical restrictions can
be, on balance, procompetitive or anticompetitive, depend-
4.3.2. Allowing operating flexibility ing on the particular circumstances. Regulation that is pre-
With the potential for additional competition, one would emptive and overly broad will prevent procompetitive
not want to institute rules that would frustrate new com- vertical arrangements alongside anticompetitive ones. Ex
petitors and new investments. If vertical integration was post situation-specific antitrust enforcement is better able
an important competitive strategy, new entrants might be to target just the anticompetitive relationships. Thus, the
frustrated from entering if they could not vertically inte- antitrust authorities and the FCC should continue to be vig-
grate. For example, some new wireless entrants have usage ilant in investigating specific practices that may on balance
restrictions to manage their networks and make entry more be found to be anticompetitive.62
attractive. For example, XOHM, the Sprint WiMAX service However, antitrust enforcement introduces new po-
which has been combined with Clearwire, and Lariat Net- tential costs. A targeted antitrust investigation is likely
works, a wireless internet access provider, impose accept- to require detailed and expensive investigation, is time
able use and network management policies such as consuming, and may not be completed until long after
restricting downloading speeds and transfer rates or limit- the alleged anticompetitive restrictions were put in
ing the number of sessions or applications of protocols. place.
Owen and Rosston (2006) discuss how policy can affect
the entry incentives of new entrants and investment incen-
tives of incumbents. Although the Owen and Rosston anal- 5. Conclusion
ysis focuses on wireline broadband access, similar
incentive issues arise in the wireless context. Finally, oper- It is important for policy makers to think about the pos-
ating flexibility should also be reflected in rules and regu- sible outcomes, intended or otherwise, of any network
lations that help to promote an active secondary market neutrality regulation. The competition policy analysis in
for spectrum and spectrum services (Mayo and Wallsten, this article has been focused on the wireless marketplace,
2009). While initial allocations may be optimal at the time but the framework is applicable to other network settings
of the allocation, both demand and technology will change, as well. Policy makers have two broad choices—institute
leading to different valuations for spectrum in providing prophylactic network neutrality rules or forebear from
different services. such rules and rely on situation specific analysis and
enforcement. In antitrust terms, this is the difference be-
4.3.3. Increasing competition through universal service policy tween a per se rule prohibiting certain actions and a ‘‘rule
The current universal service program is also a barrier of reason’’ approach.
to competition and is so inefficient that it should be If policy makers adopt network neutrality rules and
scrapped.61 Instituting a low-cost, efficient, and competi- such regulation is effective, it will be more difficult for net-
tively neutral universal service program would be much bet- work operators to charge different prices for similar uses of
ter for promoting competition between wireless providers, bandwidth. If network operators try to raise prices for
and between wireless and wireline providers. The most anti- some services, third-party providers will be able to enter
competitive aspect of the current universal service program and provide the same services at a lower price.
is the proposal to pay incumbent telephone providers more As a result of wireless network neutrality rules, pricing
than new competitors for providing the same services. The for network services would likely move toward pricing for
incumbents are right that new entrants should not be paid a single product – bandwidth. There may be differential
the same high rates that incumbents receive. Instead, all pricing with some volume discounts, and possibly some
providers, including the incumbents, should be paid the form of congestion pricing, but essentially network opera-
minimum amount necessary for the most efficient provider tors will move toward single product providers. If there are
to provide service. But incumbents have been able to use no big benefits from vertical integration or the ability to
the regulatory process to forestall competition. engage in Ramsey pricing, then this would lead to an effi-
cient form of segregation of the network provision from
61
content and application provision.
For more background on the universal service program, see Riordan
(2002). For a set of guideposts for future universal service policy, see Mayo
62
(forthcoming). FTC Chairman Leibowitz discussed this recently (PC World, 2009).
118 G.L. Rosston, M.D. Topper / Information Economics and Policy 22 (2010) 103–119

If competition between network operators would ulti- Acknowledgements


mately lead to a breakdown of price discrimination, net-
work neutrality rules will have little effect. But in the We thank Barbara Esbin, Nathan Goldstein, Michael
wireless market with its significant fixed costs and network Keeley, John Mayo, Howard Shelanski, Andrea Shepard,
investment, some services will have prices above short-run Scott Wallsten, and an anonymous referee for helpful com-
marginal cost to pay for the network, even with vigorous ments. We also thank Zach Brown and Stanley Watt for
competition between network operators. To cover network helpful comments and research assistance.
costs efficiently in such a market setting, it is likely there
will be price discrimination, but such discrimination is
not necessarily a measure or indicator of consumer harm.
References
On the other hand, if network neutrality regulation forces
firms to a solution that would not arise from market forces, Beard, R. et al, 2001. Regulation, vertical integration and sabotage. Journal
then it will shift returns away from the network operators of Industrial Economics 49, 319–333.
and possibly cause a reduction in network investment. Blumberg, S., Luke, J., 2009. Wireless Substitution: Early Release of
Estimates from the National Health Interview Survey, July–December
If policy makers do not force network neutrality, there 2008. National Center for Health Statistics.
are several possibilities: competition might force firms Brennan, T., 1987. Why regulated firms should be kept out of unregulated
closer to non-discriminatory pricing schemes; competi- markets: understanding the divestiture in United States v. AT&T.
Antitrust Bulletin 32 (3), 741–793.
tion might lead to pricing of services with some discrim- Burton, M. et al, 2009. Common costs and cross-subsidies: misestimation
ination that is procompetitive (see the rationales versus misallocation. Contemporary Economic Policy 27 (2), 193–199.
discussed above for procompetitive vertical restraints); CDMA Development Group, 2004. Opportunity for All: Using Wireless to
Provide Universal Access to Telecom Services. <http://www.cdg.org/
firms might choose a neutral pricing scheme even with- resources/white_papers/files/Universal_Services_10-28-04.pdf>.
out competitive pressure; or firms might discriminate in CTIA, 2007. Opposition of CTIA – the wireless association. In: The Matter
an anticompetitive manner that harms wireless of Skype Communications SARL. Petition to Confirm a Consumer’s
Right to Use Internet Communications Software and Attach Devices to
consumers.
Wireless.
The policy question for a regulatory agency is whether it CTIA, 2008. CTIA’s Wireless Industry Indices Semi-Annual Data Survey
thinks that competition will not be sufficient to force firms Results: A Comprehensive Report from CTIA Analyzing the US
into efficient behavior. If regulators intervene, they risk Wireless Industry Midyear 2008 Results, October.
Davies, C., 2009. Android Tethering Apps Pulled from Market. Android
reducing the incentive for firms to invest in their networks Community Blog, 3/31/09. <http://androidcommunity.com/android-
and can prevent efficiency-enhancing investment both up- tethering-apps-pulled-from-market-20090331/>.
stream and downstream. On the other hand, if they do not Farrell, J., Weiser, P., 2003. Modularity, vertical integration, and open
access policies: towards a convergence of antitrust and regulation in
intervene, they risk a firm frustrating consumers and entre- the internet age. Harvard Journal of Law and Technology 17 (1), 86–
preneurs who would otherwise invest to complement the 134.
network and compete with services of the network. Federal Communications Commission, 1968. Use of the Carterfone Device
in Message Toll Telephone Service, 13 FCC 2d 420, Docket Nos. 16942
Regulators should consider the competitive nature of and 17073.
the market and the potential procompetitive aspects of Federal Communications Commission, 2005. Consent decree. In: The
vertical restrictions before making blanket decisions. As Matter of Madison River Communications, LLC and Affiliated
Companies, File No. EB-05-IH-0110.
discussed above, a rule of reason approach is more Federal Communications Commission, 2006. Eleventh Annual Report and
appropriate when actions can have both procompetitive Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions with Respect to
and anticompetitive results. Some behaviors are viewed Commercial Mobile Services.
Federal Communications Commission, 2007. 700 MHz Second Report and
as problematic in a concentrated market when a firm is
Order, WT Docket No. 06-150.
dominant but procompetitive and to the benefit of con- Federal Communications Commission, 2008a. Twelfth Annual Report and
sumers when there is sufficient competition. Moreover, Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions with Respect to
regulators should account for the challenges of adopting Commercial Mobile Services.
Federal Communications Commission, 2008b. Application of Cellco
effective regulation, especially in an industry with rapid Partnership d/b/a Verizon Wireless and Atlantis Holdings LLC for
innovation and the potential adverse consequences of Consent to Transfer Control of Licenses Authorizations, and Spectrum
regulation. Manager and De Facto Transfer Leasing Arrangements, WT Docket No.
08-95.
The competition analysis in this article shows that the Federal Communications Commission, 2009a. Thirteenth Annual Report
wireless market is not ‘‘perfectly competitive,’’ but that de- and Analysis of Competitive Market Conditions with Respect to
spite significant fixed costs, wireless is a market with sig- Commercial Mobile Services.
Federal Communications Commission, 2009b. Notice of proposed
nificant competition among network operators. As in any rulemaking. In: The Matter of Preserving the Open Internet, GN
market, it would be better to have more competition. How- Docket No. 09-191.
ever, there are better policy tools for increasing wireless Frieden, R., 2008. Wireless Carterfone: A Long Overdue Policy Promoting
Consumer Choice and Competition. New America Foundation
competition than ex ante Carterfone-style regulation of
Wireless Future Program, Working Paper No. 20.
wireless providers. Increasing the amount of spectrum, Greenstein, Shane, 2009. Glimmers and Signs of Innovative Health in the
providing operational flexibility to network operators, Commercial Internet. Northwestern University, Working Paper.
Grubb, Michael, 2009. Selling to overconfident consumers. American
speeding the relocation of government users, vigorous
Economic Review 99 (5), 1770–1807.
antitrust enforcement and revamping universal service to Hahn, R., et al., 2007. The Economics of ‘‘Wireless Net Neutrality.’’ AEI-
be competitively neutral all have the effect of harnessing Brookings Joint Center for Regulatory Studies, Working Paper.
market forces, and give consumers, rather than regulators Hazlett, T., 2007. Wireless Carterfone: An Economic Analysis.
J.D. Power and Associates, 2006. J.D. Power and Associates Reports: The
or specific firms, a big vote in the future development of Number of Call Quality Problems Experienced with a Wireless Service
wireless voice and data services. has Declined for a Second Consecutive Year. Press Release, 11/5/07.
G.L. Rosston, M.D. Topper / Information Economics and Policy 22 (2010) 103–119 119

Kwerel, E., Williams, J., 2002. A Proposal for a Rapid Transition to Market Robinson, G., 1988. Titanic remembered: AT&T and the changing world of
Allocation of Spectrum. Federal Communications Commission OPP telecommunications. Yale Journal of Regulation 5, 517–545.
Working Paper Series, No. 38. Schwartz, M., Mini, F., 2007. Hanging Up on Carterfone: The Economic
Lessig, L., 2002. The Government’s Role in Promoting the Future of Case Against Access Regulation in Mobile Wireless, Working Paper.
Telecommunications Industry and Broadband Deployment. Scott, B., 2007. Testimony before the United States Senate Committee on
Testimony before the Senate Commerce Committee. Small Business and Entrepreneurship Regarding Improving Internet
Lessig, L., 2004. Free Culture: How Big Media Uses Technology and the Access to Help Small Business Compete in the Global Economy, 9/26/
Law to Lock Down Culture and Control Creativity. Penguin Press, New 07.
York, NY. Shelanski, H., 2007. Network neutrality: regulating with more questions
Mayo, J., 2008. It’s no time to regulate wireless telephony. The than answers. Journal on Telecommunications and High Technology
Economist’s Voice 5 (1), 1–4. Law 6.
Mayo, J., forthcoming. Universal service: can we do more with less. In: Skype Communications SARL, 2007. Petition to Confirm a Consumer’s
May, R. (Ed.), New Directions in Communications Policy. Carolina Right to Use Internet Communications Software and Attach Devices to
Academic Press, Durham, NC. Wireless Networks.
Mayo, J., Wallsten, S., 2009. Enabling Efficient Wireless Communications: Sprint Nextel Corp., 2009. 2008 Form 10-K, 2/27/2009.
The Role of Secondary Spectrum Markets, Working Paper. TechWeb News, 2005. Wireless Carriers Cutting Churn Rates: Study, 11/
Mossberg, W., 2007. Free my Phone. All Things Digital Blog, 10/21/07. 30/05.
Nielsen Mobile, 2008. Critical Mass: The Worldwide State of the Mobile The Wall Street Journal, 2008. Verizon Wireless Unveils Open-Network
Web, July 2008. Policy, 3/20/08.
Noll, R., Owen, B., 1994. The anticompetitive uses of regulation: United US Department of Commerce, 2008. 1710–1755 MHz Spectrum Band
States v. AT&T (1982). In: Kwoka, J., White, L. (Eds.), The Antitrust Relocation. First Annual Progress Report. <http://www.ntia.doc.gov/
Revolution – The Role of Economics, second ed. reports/2008/SpectrumRelocation2008.pdf>.
HarperCollinsCollegePublishers, New York, NY. van Schewick, B., 2007. Toward an economic framework for network
NPD Group, 2008. The NPD Group: US Consumer Mobile Phone Unit-Sales neutrality regulation. Journal on Telecommunications and High
Declined 13 Percent Year-over-Year in Q2 2008. Press Release, 8/19/ Technology Law 5, 329–391.
08. Verizon Wireless, 2007. Verizon Wireless to Introduce ‘Any Apps, Any
Nuechterlein, J., 2009. Antitrust oversight of an antitrust dispute: an Device’ Option for Customers in 2008. Press Release, 11/27/07.
institutional perspective on the net neutrality debate. Journal on Verizon Wireless, 2008. Verizon Wireless Says Spectrum Additions from
Telecommunications and High Technology Law 7. FCC’s Auction 73 Will Further Company’s Broadband Strategy. Press
Owen, B., Rosston, G., 2006. Local broadband access: Primum non Nocere Release, 4/4/08.
or Primum Processi? A property rights approach. In: Lenard, T., May, Wallsten, S., 2007. Wireless Net Neutrality? Progress and Freedom
R. (Eds.), Net Neutrality or Net Neutering: Should Broadband Internet Foundation Progress Snapshot. Paper No. 3.2.
Services be Regulated. Springer, New York, NY. Waterman, D., Weiss, A., 1997. Vertical Integration in Cable Television.
PC World, 2009. FTC Chairman: Agency May Enforce Net Neutrality, 5/11/ MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
09. Woroch, G., 2004. Open access rules and equilibrium broadband
Rey, P., Tirole, J., 2007. A primer on foreclosure. In: Armstrong, M., Porter, deployment. In: Madden, G., Cooper, R. (Eds.), Frontiers of
R. (Eds.), Handbook of Industrial Organization, vol. 3. North-Holland. Broadband, Electronic and Mobile Commerce. Physica-Verlag,
Riordan, M., 2002. Universal residential telephone service. In: Cave, M., Heidelberg, Germany.
Majumdar, S., Vogelsang, I. (Eds.), Handbook of Telecommunications Wu, T., 2007. Wireless Carterfone. International Journal of Communication 1.
Economics. Elsevier Science, Amsterdam, North Holland.

You might also like