You are on page 1of 11

The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 54 (2014) 417–427

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/qref

The impact of ADR activity on stock market liquidity: Evidence from


Latin America
Alma D. Hales a,∗ , André V. Mollick b,1
a
Tennessee Tech University, Department of Economics, Finance and Marketing, 1 William L. Jones Drive, Cookeville, TN 38505, United States
b
University of Texas-Pan American, Department of Economics and Finance, 1201W. University Drive, Edinburg, TX 78539, United States

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: This paper examines the impact of ADR activity on liquidity of four major Latin American stock markets.
Received 27 March 2013 We construct a measure of ADR activity in U.S. markets for a sample of ADRs trading during January
Received in revised form 11 February 2014 2003–December 2010, which is subsequent to the financial liberalization episodes and currency crises
Accepted 9 March 2014
that shocked emerging markets in the 1990s. The sample lists 164 depositary receipt programs (Levels I, II,
Available online 18 March 2014
and III): 16 from Argentina, 81 from Brazil, 19 from Chile, and 48 from Mexico. Using System GMM methods
to handle the potential effects from stock market development on economic growth and ADR issuance,
Keywords:
we find that higher ADR turnover in U.S. markets has positive effects on domestic market turnover,
ADR activity
Latin America
particularly for issuance of exchange-listed (Levels II and III) ADRs. This positive relationship is not a
Liquidity statistical artifact created by the global financial crisis of 2008.
United States © 2014 The Board of Trustees of the University of Illinois. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction system, 56% of U.S. holdings of Latin American equity, in 2007,


were in the form of ADRs. This percentage is significantly higher
This paper examines the impact of American Depositary Receipt than any other region in the world—Europe and Africa (20%) and
(ADR) activity on the liquidity of four Latin American stock Asia (14%). In addition, as reviewed by Karolyi (1998, 2006), ADRs
markets (Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Mexico) during the period also benefit their respective issuers because they offer an expanded
2003–2010. ADRs are negotiable instruments issued in the U.S., shareholder base, higher liquidity, higher global visibility, and a
in dollars, but they represent ownership of foreign equities. ADRs lower cost of capital. Despite the documented benefits of flourish-
offer U.S. investors familiar trade, clearance and settlement pro- ing U.S. investment in ADRs from Latin America and the relative
cedures in addition to competitive foreign-exchange rates on macroeconomic stability in Latin American economies, De la Torre
currency conversions for dividends and other cash distributions. and Schmukler (2007) find that Latin American stock markets are
More importantly, an ADR investment offers U.S. investors inter- smaller and less active than similar developing economies. The dis-
national diversification benefits as pointed out by Officer and parity between still flourishing ADR activity and dampened stock
Hoffmeister (1987), Wahab and Khandwala (1993), Choi and Kim market conditions in Latin America generates the following ques-
(2000), Alaganar and Bhar (2001), and Arnold, Nail, and Nixon tion: Has growth in ADR activity inhibited the development of Latin
(2004). American stock markets?
These benefits help explain the consistent rise in U.S. invest- The empirical evidence for earlier periods is mixed. Fernandes
ment in ADRs from Latin America since 2003, except for a major (2009) finds that despite the negative effects of ADR issuance on
contraction associated with the global financial crisis of 2008. The the liquidity of domestic stocks, the net impact of ADR issuance
role of ADRs as convenient vehicles for U.S. investors seeking to is positive, particularly for firms whose returns are highly corre-
hold foreign equity is particularly important in Latin America. lated to those of the cross-listing firm. Moel (2001) and Levine
For instance, according to the U.S. Treasury International Capital and Schmukler (2007) find, however, that ADR growth is detri-
mental to the development of the domestic stock market, while
Karolyi (2004) suggests that ADR activity does not hurt or bene-
fit stock market development: it is an outcome of poor domestic
∗ Corresponding author. Tel.: +1 931 372 3717; fax: +1 931 372 6249.
conditions. These mixed results reflect the dual outcomes associ-
E-mail addresses: ahales@tntech.edu, alma@hales.us (A.D. Hales),
amollick@utpa.edu (A.V. Mollick). ated with ADR growth. On the one hand, ADR activity increases the
1
Tel.: +1 956 665 2494; fax: +1 956 665 5020. liquidity, visibility and shareholder base of issuing firms, with the

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2014.03.005
1062-9769/© 2014 The Board of Trustees of the University of Illinois. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
418 A.D. Hales, A.V. Mollick / The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 54 (2014) 417–427

potential to boost interest and confidence in the remaining domes- market development in one of two ways. First, if cross-listings act
tic market stocks, thus spurring development. On the other hand, as market liberalization events, firms that cross-list attract global
these potential benefits must be balanced against the costs of cross- attention and bring increased visibility, credibility and enhanced
listing, particularly the migration of trade from the domestic to the liquidity to other local market stocks. Consequently, local financial
foreign market. Trade migration to the foreign market leads to a intermediaries feel competitive pressure from global markets and
deterioration of local market operations causing more domestic begin improving the efficiency of trading systems, through greater
firms to seek opportunities in foreign markets, further inhibiting transparency and more stringent disclosure requirements. Ulti-
development at home, other things the same. mately, this leads to integration with global markets, resulting in
This paper contributes to the existing literature in the following higher economic development and growth. Alternatively, if cross-
ways. First, the analysis measures ADR activity with data from the listings divert trading away from the local market they negatively
ADR trading in the United States. Most existing literature meas- impact the market’s quality. In this case, the benefits of cross-listing
ures ADR activity using data from the domestic market, but this accrue only to the large, cross-listing firms which enjoy greater visi-
approach is limited. Specifically, the traditional approach can over- bility and enhanced liquidity but their strictly domestic peers suffer
state the importance of the ADR segment if the ADRs are dormant as the local stock market deteriorates.
in U.S. markets (typically ADRs trading over- the- counter (OTC)) The existing evidence offers mixed results on the effects of
and understate the importance of the ADR segment for those ADRs international cross-listing on local stock market development.
for which the majority of trading has shifted to the U.S. (exchange- Fernandes (2009), for example, documents that despite the neg-
listed issues). By measuring U.S. trading activity, we update the ative effects of trade migration, the net impact of ADR issuance,
quantification of ADR liquidity in four stock markets: Argentina, particularly (but not limited to) a country’s first ADR issue, is
Brazil, Chile and Mexico. Second, this study distinguishes between positive with spillover effects for other domestic firms. This sug-
types of ADRs (exchange listed issues versus OTC issues) with gests that ADR issuance acts as a firm-level liberalization effect:
an additional distinction for exchange listed issues into Level II the positive spillover effects arise from improved risk sharing
(straight cross-listings) and Level III (capital raising issues). Since and accrue primarily to domestic firms whose returns are highly
Level III ADRs are typically issued by large, high-growth firms, correlated with the cross-listing firm. However, Moel (2001)
as documented by Boubakri, Cosset, and Samet (2010), they can finds mixed results with respect to the impact of ADR issues
have a different impact on stock market development than ADRs on stock market development using annual data for a sample
aimed primarily at broadening the shareholder base. Third, this of 28 countries during the period 1988–1997. The results for
study incorporates dynamic panel data models to examine the three aspects of stock market development (liquidity, growth,
relationship between ADR activity and stock market liquidity. and openness) suggest that ADRs negatively affect liquidity and
Claessens, Klingbiel, and Schmukler (2006), for example, suggest growth but they increase disclosure and openness. The negative
that countries with better fundamentals allow for more interna- impact of ADR growth is higher for Africa and Latin America.
tionalization. ADR activity may simultaneously affect and be an Karolyi (2004) extends this analysis using monthly, firm-level
outcome of stock market development, which can be better han- data for twelve emerging markets and considers four measures
dled by dynamic panel data models than static panels. of stock market activity: market capitalization, number of listed
Using system generalized method of moments (SGMM) for firm- companies, turnover, and capital flows. His results suggest that
level data of 164 major Latin American ADRs between January 2003 ADR growth increases cross-border capital flows and stock mar-
and December 2010, the results indicate a positive impact on stock ket development, but only large, cross-listing firms reap the
market turnover (measured by the value of shares traded scaled benefits. The remainder of the market (firms that do not issue
by market capitalization, as explained below) that arises as the ADRs) deteriorates. Levine and Schmukler (2007) adopt a dif-
turnover of the ADR segment trading in the United States increases. ferent approach by examining the impact of internationalization
This finding suggests that failing to account for the ADR segment’s (including ADR issues, cross-listing on a foreign exchange, and issu-
activity in the foreign market provides an incomplete picture of ing capital abroad) on the domestic stock market activity of 55
the role of ADR activity in domestic stock market development. countries. Their findings indicate that internationalization is neg-
Furthermore, we find that the positive effects of ADR activity on atively related to the turnover of domestic firms due to several
domestic market turnover arise primarily from the issuance of factors, including trade migration to international financial mar-
exchange-listed ADRs. Our results show a positive and statisti- kets.
cally significant relationship between ADR turnover and market The empirical evidence on the impact of ADR activity on domes-
turnover for ADRs of Levels II and III but not for Level I ADRs. tic stock market development is inconclusive. One important
Finally, our results show that turbulence in financial markets dur- limitation of the approaches above is that internationalization is
ing the peak of the global financial crisis impacted the relationship treated as exogenous to stock market development. Yet exogene-
between ADR activity and market liquidity. However, the posi- ity is highly unlikely since internationalization and stock market
tive relationship between ADR turnover in U.S. markets and the development are not independent processes. While the level of
turnover of Latin American markets is not a statistical artifact internationalization may impact stock market development, it is
driven by the effects of the crisis. also a consequence of different levels of development. For instance,
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows: Section Claessens et al. (2006) use annual data for 78 countries during the
2 reviews the related literature. Section 3 describes the sample period 1984–2000 and find that countries with better economic
and measures employed. Section 4 details the methodology while fundamentals have greater stock market development and more
Section 5 presents the empirical results. Section 6 concludes. internationalization.

2. Related literature 3. The sample

Because ADR issues increase the international exposure of We begin the sample construction with the listing of ADR
domestic firms, they can potentially impact the stock market. programs (only Levels I, II, and III, active and terminated) from
As discussed by Karolyi (2006), ADR activity can influence stock Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Mexico available from DataStream
A.D. Hales, A.V. Mollick / The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 54 (2014) 417–427 419

Table 1
Descriptive statistics: stock market development in Latin America and the U.S.

Capitalization Value of shares traded

$U.S. $U.S. % Of GDP, value % Of capitalization,


Billions Billions traded turnover

Argentina 2004 40.59 4.84 3.16 11.92


2006 51.24 5.28 2.46 10.30
2008 39.85 6.64 2.02 16.67
2010 63.91 3.81 1.03 5.95

Brazil 2004 330.35 104.56 15.75 31.65


2006 710.25 275.93 25.33 38.85
2008 591.97 750.25 45.38 126.74
2010 1545.57 868.81 41.58 56.21

Chile 2004 116.92 11.96 12.70 10.23


2006 174.42 27.97 19.18 16.03
2008 131.81 35.64 20.67 27.04
2010 341.80 53.82 26.38 15.75

Mexico 2004 171.40 45.07 5.93 26.30


2006 348.35 95.65 10.05 27.46
2008 234.05 112.80 10.21 48.19
2010 454.35 119.12 11.50 26.22

United States 2004 16,323.73 19,354.90 164 118.57


2006 19,425.85 21,509.98 250 110.73
2008 11,737.65 33,267.64 450 283.43
2010 17,138.98 64,014.24 211 373.50

Notes: Annual stock market capitalization and value of shares traded (in current $U.S. billions) for Latin American markets are calculated from monthly data extending from
January 2003 to December 2010. Values are computed at year end. For the Latin American markets, stock market data are from the World Federation of Exchanges and GDP
data are from the International Monetary Fund’s Principal Global Indicators and International Financial Statistics databases. Annual data for the United States are from the
World Bank.

International at the end of 2010.2 Level I ADRs are traded in over- 3.1. Measuring stock market development
the-counter (OTC) exchanges while Levels II and III ADRs are traded
on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or NASDAQ. Further- Our analysis focuses on the liquidity of Latin American stock
more, Levels II and III ADRs differ significantly in purpose. The markets. To capture the depth of the market, we use Value Traded
former are issued with the intent to meet U.S. investor demand which is the total value of shares traded in the stock market each
for foreign equity while the latter raise capital in the U.S. market. month, scaled by GDP. This measure captures trading activity in the
We include only ADRs trading during the period January 2003 to market given the size of the country’s economy. A potential prob-
December 2010 and whose activity is verifiable through the Bank of lem with this variable is that it ignores the size of the stock market.
New York’s, Citibank’s, JP Morgan Chase’s and/or Deutsche Bank’s A small but active market is better developed than a large, inactive
depositary receipt databases.3 ADRs with no verifiable underlying market; yet both will exhibit low Value Traded. To account for
stock, and stocks with missing or distorted price and/or volume this shortcoming, we include a second liquidity measure, Market
data are excluded. In cases where two (or more) ADRs correspond Turnover, which is the total monthly value of shares traded in the
to the same underlying stock, the underlying stock is included stock market scaled by the market capitalization. This yields infor-
only once. These filters result in 164 ADRs included in the sam- mation about the liquidity of the market given its size.
ple: 16 from Argentina; 81 from Brazil; 19 from Chile; and 48 from Table 1 shows an overview of stock market conditions in Latin
Mexico. America and the United States during 2003–2010. The values are
calculated on an annual frequency to highlight general patterns of
development. For the Latin American countries, we obtain stock
market values from the World Federation of Exchanges and GDP
data from the International Monetary Fund’s Principal Global Indi-
cators and International Financial Statistics databases. We obtain
2
While London and Frankfurt have become important outlets for cross-listings all U.S. data from the World Bank. Table 1 suggests that Latin Amer-
more recently, we utilize only U.S. trading data in the construction of the ADR activ- ican stock markets are underdeveloped with respect to both size
ity variable due to the relevance of New York for Latin American countries, and for and liquidity. Both the capitalization and value traded of the four
equity markets in particular. For simplicity the text references only ADRs but to
Latin American markets combined fall significantly below values
obtain a complete picture of the impact of depositary receipt activity on the liquid-
ity of the domestic stock market, Global Depositary Receipts (GDRs) with trading for the U.S. market.
activity in the United States are also included. These GDRs are classified as Level III Table 1 also displays average statistics for Value Traded. The
ADRs when they raise new capital and as Level II ADRs when they are straight cross- depth of U.S. markets is still evident as the value of shares traded
listings. Other types of ADRs include: private placements under Rule144A (in which
exceeds GDP across all years presented. This pattern does not hold
shares are placed amongst qualified institutional buyers (QIBs)) and Regulation S
issues in which capital is raised outside the United States. Our focus is on ADRs of
for Latin American markets, but average Value Traded indicates that
Levels I, II, and III because trading data on Rule 144A and Regulation S issues are the most liquid stock market in Latin America is Brazil followed by
limited. Chile, Mexico and Argentina. To evaluate the value of shares traded
3
Where DataStream International data and depositary receipt databases differ, relative to the size of the stock market, we employ Market Turnover,
the New York Stock Exchange, Over-the-Counter Bulletin Board (OTCBB) and the
which is shown in the last column of Table 1. This variable suggests
Electronic Data Gathering, Analysis and Retrieval (EDGAR) system of the SEC verify
the relevant data. a slightly different pattern than Value Traded regarding the liquidity
420 A.D. Hales, A.V. Mollick / The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 54 (2014) 417–427

Table 2
Descriptive statistics: ADR activity measures for Latin America.

Capitalization Value traded domestically Value traded in the U.S.

$U.S. Billions % Of market $U.S. Billions % Of market $U.S. Billions % Of capitalization

Argentina 2004 24.391 67.0 0.143 35.8 0.196 0.79


2006 31.632 68.2 0.117 26.2 0.339 1.07
2008 29.853 58.9 0.125 22.5 0.463 1.51
2010 27.273 56.6 0.125 37.4 0.408 1.44

Brazil 2004 127.708 52.6 5.391 62.3 5.279 4.20


2006 319.217 52.7 13.262 57.9 19.490 6.14
2008 598.540 52.4 38.202 61.6 70.505 12.33
2010 842.915 63.3 46.530 64.2 61.520 7.38

Chile 2004 28.458 30.6 0.437 44.0 0.350 1.22


2006 44.500 29.9 0.895 38.9 0.555 1.23
2008 56.719 30.5 1.297 45.5 1.695 3.0
2010 75.218 27.4 1.505 35.7 1.559 2.1

Mexico 2004 94.949 65.3 2.495 67.4 3.789 4.02


2006 193.336 70.2 4.727 59.6 8.996 4.73
2008 202.727 57.0 6.461 69.1 15.916 7.92
2010 227.120 59.5 6.338 64.0 9.342 4.21

Notes: Average monthly data on ADR activity in current U.S. dollars for the period 2003–2010. Includes all Level I, II, and III depositary receipt programs trading between 2003
and 2010, available from DataStream International and verifiable via the Bank of New York, Citibank, or Deutsche Bank. Monthly ADR capitalization is obtained by adding
the market capitalization of all the ADR issues identified on a daily basis and taking the monthly average of these sums. The ADR value traded is obtained by first adding
the daily value traded of each ADR identified in the sample (number of shares traded multiplied by the closing price (converted to U.S. dollars at the corresponding closing
spot rate)) to obtain the daily value traded of the ADR segment, then the value traded of the ADR-segment is added across all trading days of each month. Closing prices,
trading volume, and exchange rate data are from DataStream International. Data on total market capitalization and value of shares traded are from the World Federation of
Exchanges.

across Latin America. Brazil continues to exhibit the highest lev- home and abroad, which we discuss below in conjunction with
els of liquidity, but now it is followed by Mexico, then Chile and Fig. 1.
finally Argentina. The difference indicates a large number of listed To examine the liquidity of the ADR segment, we begin by
but inactive stocks in the Chilean market. The statistics also show obtaining the monthly value traded in the home and U.S. markets.
high values of Market Turnover across all countries in 2008, con- The daily value traded of each ADR in the sample is the product
sistent with the global financial crisis. This supports the findings of of: the number of shares traded and the closing price each day
Levy Yeyati, Schmukler, and Van Horen (2008), who document that (converted to U.S. dollars at the corresponding closing spot rate for
emerging markets exhibit large price downturns and higher trad- shares trading in the home market). To obtain the monthly value,
ing activity during crises. Overall, the summary statistics suggest the daily value traded is aggregated across firms and across all trad-
that liquidity was on the rise in Brazil, Chile and Mexico before ing days of each month. DataStream International provides all data
the shocks associated with the global financial crisis, but condi- necessary for calculating value traded of the ADR segment.
tions after the crisis surpassed their pre-crisis levels only in Brazil. Fig. 1 displays the trends in the monthly value traded of the
However, for Argentina liquidity conditions appear to deteriorate stock market and the ADR segment. The figure shows that the
consistently through the sample period. ADR segment composes a significant amount of value traded in the
domestic market. These patterns are confirmed in Table 2. In Brazil
3.2. Measuring ADR activity and Mexico domestic value traded is dominated by ADR-related
stocks (by Column (4), more than 50% in all years). We find slightly
Existing literature, such as Karolyi (2004), Moel (2001), and lower values in the remaining countries: the ADR segment con-
Claessens et al. (2006) has measured ADR activity by examining a stitutes approximately 30% of the stock market in Argentina and
stock market’s share of ADR listings, share of market capitalization 40% in Chile.5 More importantly, Fig. 1 highlights the difference in
and share of value traded domestically captured by ADR issuing activity between the ADR trading in the U.S. and that of its cor-
firms. However, the benefits of ADR issuance do not arise by the responding stock trading in the home market. In Argentina, Brazil,
mere issuance of the security. An ADR issue that is not traded by and Mexico, the dollar trading volume of ADRs exceeded that of the
U.S. investors may as well be non-existent.4 In this study, we there- underlying stocks through most of the sample period. The value of
fore focus on measuring ADR activity using information on the ADR Chilean ADRs traded in the U.S. trailed that of the underlying stocks
segment’s liquidity in U.S. markets. For comparison, in Table 2 we trading in the Chilean market during the early part of the sample
provide descriptive statistics for liquidity of the ADR segment at period but surpassed it by 2008. Furthermore, Fig. 1 suggests that
in several cases the value of ADRs traded in the U.S. exceeded the
value of shares traded in the entire domestic market especially in

4
Consider the following possibility: First, an actively traded firm in Mexico taps
the ADR market through a Level I ADR. The ADR trades for a few days upon issuance
then becomes dormant in the U.S. market. The underlying stock remains actively
5
traded. Measuring liquidity of the ADR segment using data only on the underly- Overall, these summary statistics coincide with those reported for the year 2000
ing stock would overstate the importance of the ADR issue. Alternatively, certain in Karolyi (2004). Regarding ADR Capitalization (% market), the means for this sam-
ADR issues from the four Latin American countries considered here, particularly ple follow the same pattern but are smaller in magnitude. For ADR Value Traded
exchange-listed programs, exhibit higher dollar trading volumes in the U.S. market Domestically (% market), the patterns are also similar except in Argentina. Because
than in the respective home market. For these firms, measuring liquidity of the ADR the sample in Karolyi (2004) stops in 2000 and the sample in this study begins in
segment using only data on the underlying stock understates the importance of the 2003, the difference likely reflects substantial changes occurring in the stock market
ADR issue. as a result of the Argentinian crisis of 2002.
A.D. Hales, A.V. Mollick / The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 54 (2014) 417–427 421

Fig. 1. Value traded of cross-listed companies in Latin America and the United States ($U.S. billions). Notes: Average monthly data in current U.S. dollars for the period
2003–2010. Each graph displays the value of stocks traded in the stock market (Market), the value traded of the ADR segment in the United States (ADR (U.S.)) and the value
traded market of the ADR segment’s underlying stocks in the domestic market (ADR (Home)). Data on the total value of stocks traded in the market are from the World
Federation of Exchanges. Value traded for ADRs and their underlying stocks are based on author’s calculations using price and volume data from DataStream International.
The ADR value traded in the domestic market is converted to U.S. dollars using the WM/Reuters closing spot rates. Only Levels I, II, and III ADRs are included.

Mexico where the relationship was observed through most of the highest during 2008 which may reflect sell-offs during the 2008
sample period. financial crisis. However, unlike the patterns for domestic market
Given the importance of trading in the U.S., we construct a vari- liquidity, ADR liquidity appears to be on the rise throughout the
able that captures the liquidity of the ADR segment in the U.S. sample period in all countries except Mexico where ADR Turnover
market. In Table 2, we also report data on the capitalization of the is lower in 2010 than it was in 2006.
ADR segment. The values suggest that the largest ADR segment
is from Brazil followed by Mexico, Chile and Argentina. Consis- 4. Methodology
tent with the value of shares traded, the ADR segment comprises a
significant portion of the total market capitalization—over 50% in An important characteristic of the stock market and ADR seg-
Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico and approximately 30% in Chile. We ment activity variables is that their construction includes stock
measure the liquidity of the ADR segment relative to its size so we prices. Since stock prices generally follow a random walk, there
construct the variable ADR Turnover which measures the value of is a possibility that the constructed series have unit roots. We
ADR shares traded in the U.S. scaled by the market capitalization conduct the Im, Pesaran and Shin (2003) panel unit root tests on
of the ADR segment.6 value traded, turnover, and ADR turnover. The tests reject the null
Table 2 suggests that the patterns for liquidity of the ADR seg- hypothesis that all panels contain unit roots for each of the series.
ment in the U.S. resemble the liquidity patterns of the domestic We then conduct the Hadri (2000) LM tests of stationarity which
markets. On average, based on ADR Turnover, the most liquid ADR test the opposite null hypothesis, namely that all panels included
segment was that of Brazil followed by Mexico, Chile and Argentina. are stationary. These tests also reject the null that all panels are
In addition, across each Latin American country, ADR Turnover was stationary. Therefore, these results suggest that some, but not all,
of our panels contain a unit root. We also apply Augmented Dickey
Fuller (ADF) tests on individual series. Consistent with the panel
6
Constructing the monthly capitalization of the ADR segment requires adding the results, individual ADF tests are unable to reject the null hypothe-
capitalization of all the identified ADR issues on a daily basis. Then the monthly aver- sis that the series have a unit root for value traded in all countries
age of these sums yields a monthly measure of ADR-related capitalization. Although except Argentina. However, the ADF tests reject the nonstationa-
ADRs represent claims to the same cash flows as their underlying stocks, because the
rity of Market Turnover in all countries except Chile. The tests also
two trade in different markets, their prices, even after adjusting for foreign currency
conversions, are not always equal, as shown by Grossman et al. (2007), Chan, Hong,
reject the null of a unit root in ADR Turnover in all countries except
and Subrahmanyam (2008), Eichler, Karmann, and Maltritz (2009), and Gagnon and Mexico.7
Karolyi (2010). Graphical inspection suggests that the capitalization of ADR-issuing
firms does not differ substantially when measured using U.S. prices versus home
market prices. To be consistent with existing literature, we use home share prices
7
for calculating the capitalization of the ADR segment in the empirical analysis. Panel and individual unit root tests are available from the authors upon request.
422 A.D. Hales, A.V. Mollick / The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 54 (2014) 417–427

To account for the persistence of the market liquidity variables of the entire market).9 If the trade migration channel is opera-
the econometric model includes lagged stock-market liquidity tive, then the impact of ADR Turnover on domestic market liquidity
as an explanatory variable. Since we examine the relationship should be negative: from (1), ˇ1 < 0.
between ADR activity and stock market liquidity and its variation Eq. (1) also includes a set of control variables in the vector zi,t
across countries, our empirical strategy attempts to maximize the such as economic growth, inflation, trade openness, the size of each
use of both the time and cross-country dimensions of the available country’s stock market and the existence of any capital controls.
data. The dynamic equation takes the form: While existing evidence in King and Levine (1993a, 1993b) and
Levine and Zervos (1998) suggests that financial development leads

yi,t = ˇ0 + ıyi,t−1 + ˇ1 xi,t + zi,t + ui,t , (1) to positive economic growth, there is the existence of bidirectional
causality between financial development and growth. Financial
where yi,t represents Value Traded or Market Turnover, xi,t repre- development influences economic growth, but economic growth
sents ADR Turnover, zi,t is a vector of control variables, and ui,t is an will affect a country’s financial development. As the economy
error term that contains country and time specific fixed effects as grows, the financial sector will evolve to respond to the chang-
follows: ui,t = i + εt + i,t , where the i,t are assumed to be inde- ing demands of the real sector. Therefore, economic growth should
pendent and identically distributed with mean zero and variance be positively related to stock market development. The monthly
2 . growth rate of each country’s Industrial Production Index (IP) con-
The impact of international cross-listings on domestic market trols for changes in economic growth. While GDP per capita is the
activity is ambiguous. Cross-listings can act as market liberaliza- typical control for macroeconomic development, since GDP data
tion events such that cross-listing firms attract global attention are only available on a quarterly basis, we employ the Industrial
and bring increased visibility, credibility and enhanced liquidity Production Index which is reported every month.
to other local market stocks. Hargis (2000) predicts that after In addition, the empirical approach controls for the impact of
cross-listing the market capitalization and liquidity of the domestic inflation because financial contracting is difficult in environments
market should increase.8 This coincides with the overview of the of high inflation since future real values are unpredictable. Even
evolution of foreign participation (including ADR issues) and the in low or moderate inflationary environments, inflation is prob-
corresponding stock market development of Latin American stock lematic because it drives down the real rate of return on assets.
markets provided by Hargis (1998). In addition, more recent evi- This increases credit market frictions that result in credit rationing
dence in Halling, Pagano, Randl, and Zechner (2008) indicates that which can potentially distort financial market performance as
domestic turnover increases in the year of cross-listing and remains shown by Boyd, Levine, and Smith (2001). Therefore, inflation, as
higher for cross-listing firms from developed countries. Therefore, measured by changes in each country’s Consumer Price Index (CPI)
the domestic market appears to benefit from the increased com- should be negatively associated with stock market development.
petition between foreign and domestic market makers and the Our analysis also controls for the potential impact of trade openness
additional information generated in the foreign market. Ultimately, on stock market development. One strand in the literature argues
this suggests that increases in ADR Turnover lead to higher liquidity that trade openness and financial openness are simultaneously
in the home market or equivalently: from Eq. (1), ˇ1 > 0. necessary to deliver financial development: Rajan and Zingales
However, Hargis and Ramanlal (1998) suggest that the ben- (2003) and Baltagi, Demetriades, and Law (2009). Others argue that
efits of internationalization on domestic market development trade openness is a prerequisite for financial liberalization, such as
depend on a complex interaction of variables including informa- Chinn and Ito (2006). Either way, trade openness should be posi-
tion transparency and the cross-listing firm’s ability to expand its tively associated with stock market development. The natural log of
shareholder base. Consistent with this view, Domowitz, Glen, and the monthly sum of exports and imports (scaled by GDP) captures
Madhavan (1998) use Mexican data to document that the impact of trade openness.
cross-listing on the liquidity and volume traded in the home mar- We also control for characteristics of the four Latin American
ket varies based on the foreign ownership restrictions of the share stock markets, namely size and regulatory restrictions that may
class. Internationalization can even be detrimental to the home potentially affect their liquidity.10 We measure market size using
market; if order flow migrates to the foreign market, liquidity and the log of each market’s capitalization and expect larger markets
trading volume decrease at home. In the case of trade migration, to be more liquid. We also consider restrictions on capital mar-
the benefits of cross-listing accrue only to the large, cross-listing ket transactions because they can impact stock market activity
firms which enjoy greater visibility and enhanced liquidity but their as documented by Eichler (2012), who finds that capital controls
strictly domestic peers suffer as the local stock market deteriorates. help explain mispricing on a sample of 536 cross-listed stocks. We
The empirical findings of Moel (2001) and Karolyi (2004) support follow the approach in Eichler (2012) and use the dataset provided
this notion as they document that increases in ADR activity nega- by Schindler (2009) which contains information on various capital
tively affect the size and liquidity of non-ADR stocks. Furthermore, controls including restrictions on (a) purchases or sales of equity
Levine and Schmukler (2007) document an inverse relationship domestically by nonresidents of each country and (b) purchases or
between internationalization and the turnover of strictly domes-
tic firms. The authors identify two transmission channels for the
adverse effects of trade migration: spillover effects and trade diver-
sion (a compositional shift in the domestic market as investors
switch away from purely domestic firms into international firms 9
First, the authors document a negative relationship between the share of inter-
increasing the relative importance of international firms as a share
national firms and the domestic turnover of international firms and a positive
relationship between the domestic turnover of international firms and the domes-
tic turnover of domestic firms. Therefore, as internationalization increases, trade
migrates away from the domestic market to major international financial centers.
8
Hargis (2000) also predicts that after cross-listing, the price and liquidity of a In turn, these negative effects of internationalization on the domestic turnover of
stock should increase. The empirical evidence supports this prediction; firms that international firms spill over and decrease the turnover of the strictly domestic
issue ADRs experience the benefits of integration: higher trading volume, higher firms. Second, they find that an individual firm’s share of the total stock market’s
liquidity and a lower cost of capital: i.e., Foerster and Karolyi (1998), Karolyi (2004), turnover increases when the firm becomes international: the trade diversion effect.
10
and Miller (1999). We thank an anonymous referee for this suggestion.
A.D. Hales, A.V. Mollick / The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 54 (2014) 417–427 423

Table 3
Fixed effects and SGMM estimates. Impact of ADR turnover on stock market liquidity in Latin America.

Panel A: fixed effects Panel B: SGMM

Value traded Turnover Value traded Turnover

L.1 0.336*** 0.132 0.714*** 0.260***


(0.041) (0.076) (0.105) (0.048)
ADR Turnover 0.185** 0.150*** 0.114* 0.166***
(0.050) (0.012) (0.064) (0.007)
IP growth 0.049 0.021 0.035 0.017
(0.089) (0.023) (0.088) (0.021)
Inflation −0.194 −0.111 −0.135 −0.076*
(0.278) (0.050) (0.111) (0.043)
Openness −0.001 0.003 −0.002 −0.007***
(0.011) (0.003) (0.004) (0.001)
Market Capitalization 0.025* 0.002 0.009* 0.004***
(0.010) (0.001) (0.005) (0.000)
Nonresident Purchases −0.006* −0.003*** −0.001 −0.003***
(0.002) (0.000) (0.002) (0.000)
Resident Purchases −0.002 0.001 −0.000 0.001*
(0.002) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
Resident Sales −0.001 −0.000 −0.006*** 0.000
(0.003) (0.001) (0.002) (0.001)
Constant −0.628* −0.036 −0.234** −0.112***
(0.241) (0.018) (0.115) (0.008)
R2 78.04 64.23
AB (2) 0.50 0.61
AB (2) p-value (0.620) (0.541)
Sargan test 687.69 853.70***
Sargan test p-value (0.923) (0.003)

Notes: Latin American countries included are Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Mexico. Monthly data from January 2003 to December 2010. Panel A: Fixed effects regression of
Value Traded-value of shares traded scaled by GDP and Turnover-value of shares traded scaled by market capitalization on their respective lagged values L.1–L.6 (due to
space constraints, lags 2–5 are not shown, but are available upon request), ADR Turnover-value traded of ADR shares in the U.S. scaled by ADR capitalization), and control
variables-IP growth which is the monthly change in each country’s industrial production index; Inflation based on the Consumer Price Index; Openness measured by the
log of the sum of exports and imports scaled by GDP; and capital control variables that take on the value of 1 if the country imposes restrictions on domestic purchase by
nonresidents, purchases abroad by residents, and sales abroad by residents, respectively and zero otherwise. Robust standard errors are shown in parentheses. Panel B:
System GMM regression (with ADR Turnover and IP growth entered as endogenous variables and the number of instruments constrained by setting the maximum lags to 2)
of the variables described above.
*
Statistical significance at the 10% level respectively.
**
Statistical significance at the 5% level respectively.
***
Statistical significance at the 1% level respectively.

sales of equity abroad by residents in each country.11 This approach publicly traded security without the costs of changing their repor-
requires creating binary variables that take on the value of 1 in the ting standards because they trade in OTC exchanges and do not
presence of restrictions and zero otherwise. In our estimations, we require registration with the Securities and Exchange Commission
exclude controls on domestic sales by nonresidents because there (SEC) or adherence to U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Princi-
was little variation for this measure in our sample. ples (GAAP). Unlike Level I, issuers of Levels II and III ADRs must
An additional component involves assessing possible impacts of meet SEC disclosure requirements and conform to U.S. GAAP which
the global financial crisis on the relationship between ADR activity enhances the legal protection of the firm’s investors and increases
and stock market development. Levy Yeyati et al. (2008) document the value of the firm (Coffee, 2002; Doidge, Karolyi, & Stulz 2003).
that in emerging markets, crises are associated with higher trad- While Levels II and III ADR issuance is costly, these ADRs create
ing activity and falling market capitalization. Therefore, one must higher visibility for the issuers and are more liquid than Level I
ensure that changes in stock market conditions are not erroneously ADRs. In addition, because Level III ADRs raise capital in U.S. mar-
attributed to changes in ADR activity when they really reflect effects kets, these issues receive more attention from the financial media
from the crisis. Consequently, empirical estimates are conducted and greater analyst coverage further increasing the visibility of the
across two subperiods: pre-crisis and crisis/post-crisis. We employ issuers. The greater visibility, particularly of Level III ADRs, suggests
the following two dates to identify the beginning of the crisis: that they are more likely to affect the domestic stock market.
September 2008 because, as documented by Bartram and Bodnar Estimating (1) can be problematic because lagged stock mar-
(2009), this date reflects the collapse of financial markets after the ket development yi,t−1 depends on ui,t−1 and ui,t−1 is a function of
bankruptcy of Lehman and bailout of AIG; and May 2008 because the country-specific effect, i . Since there is correlation between
Dooley and Hutchison (2009) document evidence that conditions the regressors and the error term, Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
in Latin American markets began deteriorating significantly during estimators are inconsistent. In addition, the fundamental factors
this month. that drive stock market development also drive internationaliza-
We also consider whether the impact of ADR activity on stock tion as in Claessens et al. (2006). Internationalization can affect
market liquidity varies based on the type of ADR-Level I, II, or and be affected by different levels of development making the
III. Level I ADRs allow foreign issuers to reap the benefits of a ADR activity variables endogenously determined. Furthermore, (1)
utilizes the growth rate of the industrial production index to mea-
sure economic activity. As discussed previously, there is likely
11
to be bidirectional causality between financial development and
Schindler (2009) provides data from 1995 to 2005. Data for later dates is col-
lected from various issues of the International Monetary Fund’s Annual Report on
economic growth. Consequently, changes in stock market activ-
Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions. ity should elicit changes in industrial production (the so-called
424 A.D. Hales, A.V. Mollick / The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 54 (2014) 417–427

Table 4
SGMM estimates. Impact of ADR turnover on stock market liquidity in Latin America, pre- and post-global financial crisis.

Crisis start: September 2008 Crisis start: May 2008

Pre-Crisis Post-Crisis Pre-Crisis Post-Crisis

Value traded Turnover Value traded Turnover Value traded Turnover Value traded Turnover
*** *** * *** *** *
L.1 0.726 0.295 0.221 0.060 0.732 0.297 0.270 0.137*
(0.107) (0.055) (0.121) (0.096) (0.106) (0.049) (0.148) (0.081)
ADR turnover 0.135 0.149*** 0.355*** 0.224*** 0.181 0.172*** 0.250*** 0.213***
(0.126) (0.008) (0.066) (0.021) (0.139) (0.007) (0.060) (0.036)
IP growth 0.167* 0.054* −0.031 −0.002 0.181* 0.054* −0.011 −0.004
(0.095) (0.029) (0.030) (0.006) (0.096) (0.031) (0.054) (0.007)
Inflation −0.035 −0.037 −0.315** −0.175*** −0.067 −0.027 −0.222** −0.158**
(0.178) (0.039) (0.138) (0.066) (0.152) (0.048) (0.111) (0.062)
Openness −0.001 −0.007*** −0.015*** −0.010*** 0.000 −0.006*** −0.016*** −0.009***
(0.006) (0.001) (0.002) (0.001) (0.006) (0.001) (0.003) (0.001)
Market capitalization 0.006 0.003*** 0.038*** 0.007*** 0.006 0.003*** 0.037*** 0.007***
(0.005) (0.001) (0.008) (0.001) (0.004) (0.001) (0.009) (0.001)
Nonresident purchases −0.002 −0.002** 0.018*** −0.001 −0.002 −0.002*** 0.002 0.002**
(0.003) (0.001) (0.002) (0.001) (0.002) (0.001) (0.002) (0.001)
Resident Purchases −0.004 0.000 0.001 0.002** −0.004 0.001 −0.002 0.002
(0.003) (0.001) (0.003) (0.001) (0.003) (0.001) (0.003) (0.002)
Resident sales −0.001 0.000 −0.060*** −0.000 −0.000 −0.000 −0.056*** −0.001
(0.001) (0.001) (0.011) (0.001) (0.002) (0.001) (0.013) (0.001)
Constant −0.157 −0.088*** −0.994*** −0.196*** −0.142 −0.086*** −0.945*** −0.179***
(0.104) (0.029) (0.195) (0.039) (0.092) (0.025) (0.237) (0.031)
AB (2) 0.44 0.77 −0.04 0.44 0.38 0.84 −0.15 0.39
AB (2) p-value (0.658) (0.442) (0.972) (0.658) (0.706) (0.400) (0.881) (0.694)
Sargan test 473.66 577.74** 269.89*** 273.77 440.82 547.12** 305.51*** 319.76***
Sargan test p-value (0.919) (0.035) (0.006) (0.004) (0.930) (0.028) (0.006) (0.001)

Notes: Latin American countries included are Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Mexico. Monthly data from January 2003 to December 2010. System GMM regression (with ADR
Turnover and IP growth entered as endogenous variables and the number of instruments constrained by setting the maximum lags to 2) of Value Traded-value of shares
traded scaled by GDP and Turnover-value of shares traded scaled by market capitalization on their respective lagged values Lag 1, ADR Turnover-value traded of ADR shares
in the U.S. scaled by ADR capitalization), and control variables-IP growth which is the monthly change in each country’s industrial production index; Inflation based on the
Consumer Price Index; Openness measured by the log of the sum of exports and imports scaled by GDP; and capital control variables that take on the value of 1 if the country
imposes restrictions on domestic purchase by nonresidents, purchases abroad by residents, and sales abroad by residents, respectively and zero otherwise. Robust standard
errors are shown in parentheses.
*
Statistical significance at the 10% level respectively.
**
Statistical significance at the 5% level respectively.
***
Statistical significance at the 1% level respectively.

“wealth effect”). This casts doubt on exogenous economic activity (2004). This approach takes a regression with fixed effects and aug-
and thus suggests an endogenous IP growth rate. ments it with six lags of the dependent variable to alleviate the
To better handle these problems, we incorporate GMM estima- bias that is associated with the dynamic nature of the equation.13
tors and allow for endogenous regressors. While two methods are Due to space constraints, we report only the coefficients for the
available – the difference GMM (DGMM) estimator of Arellano and first lag and the remaining coefficients are available upon request.
Bond (1991) and the system GMM (SGMM) estimator of Arellano While Karolyi (2004) finds that ADR activity neither helps nor hin-
and Bover (1995) and Blundell and Bond (1998) – the SGMM is ders stock market development, our results suggest that as ADR
selected because Blundell and Bond (1998) show that in situa- Turnover increases in U.S. markets, the domestic market benefits
tions where the lagged dependent and explanatory variables are from increased liquidity. The positive relationship holds for both
persistent, the lagged-level instruments are weak, which compro- measures of stock market liquidity: value traded and turnover.
mises the asymptotic precision of DGMM estimator. The system Although these coefficients highlight the importance of account-
approach jointly estimates the dynamic regression equation in ing for activity in U.S. markets, a limitation of this approach is that
first differences and levels, using different sets of instruments for it assumes exogeneity of all the regressors.
each part. In generating the internal instruments necessary, this Since stock market liquidity and the degree of ADR Turnover may
method employs the lagged levels and the lagged differences of all be simultaneously determined, SGMM estimates of (1) allow for the
endogenous variables but only the lagged differences of exogenous endogenous determination of ADR Turnover and growth in Industrial
variables. The extra moment conditions of the SGMM estimator Production. The results with the number of lags limited to 2, are
improve precision and lower the finite sample bias.12 reported in Panel B of Table 3.14 The SGMM estimates complement
the benchmark fixed-effects model, in which ADR turnover and
5. Results industrial production growth are now allowed to respond to fluc-
tuations in the two dependent variables: value traded and turnover
Panel A of Table 3 displays the empirical results of our bench- of the home market. The results continue to indicate that if ADR
mark model which resembles the approach employed by Karolyi

13
We test the appropriateness of the fixed effects model using a Hausman test. The
12
Roodman (2009) discusses the proliferation of instruments. One possibility is test statistics of 61.19 (0.0000) and 28.81 (0.0111) for Value Traded and Turnover,
to collapse the instrument matrix. The estimations constrain the number of instru- respectively, support the use of fixed effects.
14
ments by limiting the number of lags (to 2 and 1) and collapsing the instrument The specification with the maximum lags set to 2 minimizes the number of
matrix. In our samples, this collapsing approach did not help the specification tests instruments while maintaining acceptable diagnostics. Other specifications are
in most of the cases. available upon request.
A.D. Hales, A.V. Mollick / The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 54 (2014) 417–427 425

programs from Latin America are liquid in the foreign market, Table 5
SGMM Estimates. Impact of ADR turnover (by Level) on stock market turnover in
internationalization can increase liquidity in the domestic mar-
Latin America.
ket as shown by the positive coefficients on both Value Traded
and Turnover. Serial correlation tests in AB (2) are satisfactory in Level I Level II Level III
both cases. However, the SGMM results for Turnover should be L.1 0.336*** 0.274*** 0.281***
interpreted cautiously as the Sargan test rejects the validity of the (0.068) (0.053) (0.031)
overidentifying restrictions. The SGMM estimates also confirm the ADR turnover −0.130 0.095*** 0.098***
(0.092) (0.009) (0.009)
expected negative impacts of inflation and restrictions on domestic
IP growth 0.068* 0.057* 0.060*
purchases by nonresidents but the positive effect of market size on (0.036) (0.034) (0.033)
domestic market liquidity (as measured by turnover). Inflation −0.078* −0.050 −0.007
Our results suggest that when one accounts for ADR activity in (0.044) (0.052) (0.046)
Openness −0.007*** −0.010*** −0.007***
U.S. markets, there is a beneficial role to ADR issuance for domes-
(0.001) (0.001) (0.002)
tic market development in Latin America. Interestingly, for Latin Market capitalization 0.006*** 0.004*** 0.004***
America, the value traded of international stocks is typically higher (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
abroad than domestically (see the discussion of Table 2 earlier); Nonresident purchases −0.002*** −0.002*** −0.002***
the value traded of international stocks in the foreign market can (0.001) (0.000) (0.000)
Resident purchases 0.000 −0.001 0.001
even exceed the total value traded in the domestic market. While
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
this pattern would predict the detrimental effects of trade migra- Resident sales 0.001 0.001 0.000
tion, our results indicate that increasing trading activity in the (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
foreign market stimulates domestic trading activity. Therefore, for Constant −0.153*** −0.119*** −0.109***
(0.019) (0.024) (0.026)
these four Latin American countries, it appears that the foreign and
AB (2) 0.18 1.06 0.30
domestic markets are complementary and not substitute trading AB (2) p-value (0.855) (0.290) (0.767)
venues. This contrasts with the findings by Levine and Schmukler Sargan test 422.36 505.87 518.68
(2007). The difference likely arises because our focus is on the Sargan test p-value (0.803) (0.268) (0.155)
impact of foreign turnover and not the concentration of ADR firms Notes: Latin American countries included are Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Mexico.
within a domestic market. Halling et al. (2008) find positive effects Monthly data from January 2003 to May 2008. System GMM regression (with ADR
on domestic liquidity as a result of cross-listing but they find that Turnover and IP growth entered as endogenous variables and the number of instru-
ments constrained by setting the maximum lags to 2 of Turnover-value of shares
these positive effects do not accrue to emerging markets. However,
traded scaled by capitalization on its respective lagged value Lag 1, ADR Turnover-
their emerging market sample extends beyond Latin America and value traded of ADR shares in the U.S. scaled by ADR capitalization), and control -IP
includes only 27 Latin American cross-listed firms (as opposed to growth which is the monthly change in each country’s industrial production index;
the 164 ADRs included here). The cross-listing dynamics may be dif- Inflation based on the Consumer Price Index; Openness measured by the log of the
ferent in Latin America in the 2000s, especially when coupled with sum of exports and imports scaled by GDP; and capital control variables that take on
the value of 1 if the country imposes restrictions on domestic purchase by nonres-
the relative macroeconomic stability in the four countries during
idents, purchases abroad by residents, and sales abroad by residents, respectively
this time. and zero otherwise. Robust standard errors are shown in parentheses.
To unveil any potential effects arising from the global financial *
Statistical significance at the 10% level respectively.
***
crisis, the sample period is decomposed into two parts: the pre- Statistical significance at the 1% level respectively.
crisis period begins in January 2003 and extends through August
2008 while the crisis/post-crisis period extends from September
2008 until December 2010. The results are presented in Table 4. using SGMM with endogenous ADR activity and IP growth, and
The results indicate that the turmoil in financial markets during limiting the maximum number of lags to 2. Across all specifica-
the peak of the global financial crisis significantly impacted the tions the diagnostic tests are satisfactory, including the test on
relationship between ADR Turnover and stock market liquidity. instrument validity which indicated problems in some estimates
For example, the positive relationship between ADR Turnover and of Tables 3 and 4. The coefficient for the impact of ADR Turnover
Value Traded is observed only during the crisis/post-crisis period on Market Turnover is statistically insignificant for ADRs of Level I.
suggesting that the relationship is possibly driven by the massive However, the impact is positive and statistically significant (at the
sell-offs occurring during this time period. However, the relation- 1% level) for Levels II (0.095 coefficient) and III ADRs (0.098 coeffi-
ship between ADR Turnover and Market Turnover is robust to the cient). Therefore, the positive impact of ADR Turnover on domestic
effects of the crisis. The coefficients on ADR Turnover are positive market liquidity stems mainly from the turnover of exchange-listed
and statistically significant in both the pre-crisis and crisis/post- ADRs in U.S. markets. The lack of discernible impact on Level I but
crisis periods. Therefore, during tranquil periods, for Latin America, positive impact of Levels II and III highlights two important points.
an increasingly liquid ADR segment in the foreign market boosts First, an important part of measuring ADR activity is accounting
domestic market liquidity. Therefore, decomposing the sample for liquidity in U.S. markets. For positive effects from liquidity in
periods into sub-periods to account for the global financial cri- the U.S. market to spill over to the home market, the ADRs must
sis does not eliminate the primary finding that increasingly liquid be liquid in the U.S. market. However, Level I ADRs tend to have
ADRs in the U.S. market can foster domestic market liquidity, as low liquidity and high trading infrequency in U.S. markets. Across
measured by turnover. The result is robust to different definitions of all markets the value of Level I shares traded in the home market
the beginning of the crisis but it is important to note that similar to exceeds that of the ADRs trading in the United States. Therefore,
the full-period results, across the different specification the Sargan it is not surprising that we find no benefit arising from the Level I
test statistic rejects the validity of the overidentifying restrictions ADR segment. Second, the benefits from increased ADR turnover in
for market Turnover. Following Dooley and Hutchison (2009), May U.S. markets are primarily due to the effects from large cross-listed
2008 is also included to mark the beginning of the crisis period. firms that choose to adhere to the relatively strict listing require-
To address the research question in more detail, estimates of Eq. ments of U.S. markets. Both Levels II and III exhibit positive impacts
(1) by ADR level are provided next. Based on the findings in Table 4, because they have the strongest capacity for increasing visibility
we include only the effect of ADR activity on market Turnover, by and credibility of the domestic market because they enjoy the high-
level and during the pre-crisis period. Table 5 displays the results est coverage from media and analysts. If these firms are effectively
426 A.D. Hales, A.V. Mollick / The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 54 (2014) 417–427

“bonding” to the U.S. regulatory environment, then by subjecting Baltagi, B. H., Demetriades, P. O., & Law, S. H. (2009). Financial development and
themselves to the scrutiny of investors, analysts, the SEC, and the openness: Evidence from panel data. Journal of Development Economics, 89,
285–296.
exchanges themselves, they improve the information environment.
Bartram, S. M., & Bodnar, G. M. (2009). No place to hide: The global crisis in
The results here indicate that these improvements also accrue to equity markets in 2008/2009. Journal of International Money and Finance, 28,
the domestic market improving its overall liquidity. 1246–1292.
Blundell, R., & Bond, S. (1998). Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic
panel data models. Journal of Econometrics, 87, 115–143.
Boubakri, N., Cosset, J., & Samet, A. (2010). The choice of ADRs. Journal of Banking
6. Concluding remarks
and Finance, 34, 2077–2095.
Boyd, J. H., Levine, R., & Smith, B. D. (2001). The impact of inflation on financial sector
This paper examines the impact of ADR activity on the liquidity performance. Journal of Monetary Economics, 47, 221–248.
of four Latin American stock markets. We take into account three Chan, J. S. P., Hong, D., & Subrahmanyam, M. G. (2008). A tale of two prices: Liquidity
and asset prices in multiple markets. Journal of Banking & Finance, 32, 947–960.
elements not present in the literature for emerging markets: mea- Chinn, M. D., & Ito, H. (2006). What matters for financial development? Capital
surement of ADR activity using U.S. trading data, a re-examination controls, institutions, and interactions. Journal of Development Economics, 81,
of different levels of exchange-listed ADRs under these measures, 163–192.
Choi, Y. K., & Kim, D. (2000). Determinants of American depositary receipts and
and reverse causation since home market liquidity may affect eco- their underlying stock returns: Implications for international diversification.
nomic growth at home and (very likely) the extent of liquidity of International Review of Financial Analysis, 9, 351–368.
ADRs in the U.S. market. Our analysis shows that in these four Latin Claessens, S., Klingbiel, D., & Schmukler, S. (2006). Stock market development and
internationalization: Do economic fundamentals spur both similarly? Journal of
American countries the ADR segment represents approximately Empirical Finance, 13, 316–350.
50% of the home stock markets. Our analysis updates the quantifica- Coffee, J. C. (2002). Racing towards the top: The impact of cross-listings and
tion of ADR activity by examining the turnover of the ADR segments stock market competition on international corporate governance. Columbia Law
Review, 102, 1757–1831.
in U.S. markets. We find for these Latin American countries that De la Torre, A., & Schmukler, S. L. (2007). Emerging capital markets and globalization:
the value of shares traded in the U.S. typically exceeds the value The Latin American experience. Washington, DC: Stanford University Press and
of shares traded at home. In some cases, the value of ADR shares the World Bank.
Doidge, C. A., Karolyi, G. A., & Stulz, R. M. (2003). Why are firms that list in the U.S.
traded in the U.S. even exceeds the total value of shares traded in
worth more? Journal of Finance, 53, 2107–2137.
the domestic market. Domowitz, I., Glen, J., & Madhavan, A. (1998). Market segmentation and stock prices:
By accounting for U.S. activity, we find that increases in ADR Evidence from an emerging market. Journal of Finance, 52, 1059–1085.
turnover boost turnover in the domestic market. These effects are Dooley, M., & Hutchison, M. (2009). Transmission of the U.S. subprime crisis to
emerging markets: Evidence on the decoupling-recoupling hypothesis. Journal
not driven by effects of the global financial crisis as the positive rela- of International Money and Finance, 28, 1331–1349.
tionship exists even in the tranquil period before the crisis (January Eichler, S. (2012). Limited investor attention and the mispricing of American deposi-
2003–April 2008). Furthermore, we document that the positive tary receipts. Economics Letters, 115, 490–492.
Eichler, S., Karmann, A., & Maltritz, D. (2009). The ADR shadow exchange rate as an
effects of ADR turnover on domestic market liquidity exist only for early warning indicator for currency crises. Journal of Banking and Finance, 33,
large, exchange-listed ADRs. This suggests that the potential bene- 1983–1995.
fits of ADR issuance in Latin American markets stems on their ability Fernandes, N. (2009). Market liberalizations at the firm level: Spillovers from ADRs
and implications for local markets. Journal of International Money and Finance,
to enhance the visibility of other domestic stocks and their ability 28, 293–321.
to ease capital constraints. Ultimately, our results do not indicate Foerster, S. R., & Karolyi, G. A. (1998). Multimarket trading and liquidity: A trans-
that internationalization has inhibited development, as shown by action data analysis of Canada-US interlistings. Journal of International Financial
Markets Institutions and Money, 8, 393–412.
the low levels of liquidity in these four major Latin American mar- Gagnon, L., & Karolyi, G. A. (2010). Multi-market trading and arbitrage. Journal of
kets. Instead, our results suggest that activity in the foreign market Financial Economics, 97, 53–80.
is a complement to domestic activity. If this is the case, even when Grossman, A., Ozuna, T., & Simpson, M. W. (2007). ADR mispricing: Do costly
arbitrage and consumer sentiment explain the price deviation? Journal of Inter-
domestic activity is stagnant, improvements in the international
national Financial Markets, Institutions, & Money, 17, 361–371.
activity of these countries’ firms can bring the liquidity, risk diver- Hadri, K. (2000). Testing for stationarity in heterogeneous panel data. Econometrics
sification and information necessary for the stock market to fulfill Journal, 3, 148–161.
its role in the efficient allocation of funds. Important questions Halling, M., Pagano, M., Randl, O., & Zechner, J. (2008). Where is the market? Evidence
from cross-listings in the United States. Review of Financial Studies, 21, 725–761.
left for future research include: What is the impact of interna- Hargis, K. (1998). Do foreign investors stimulate or inhibit stock market devel-
tionalization on economic growth? and, provided such an impact opment in Latin America? Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 38,
exists, is it driven by Latin American firms issuing exchange-listed 303–318.
Hargis, K. (2000). International cross-listing and stock market development in
ADRs? emerging economies. International Review of Economics and Finance, 9, 101–122.
Hargis, K., & Ramanlal, P. (1998). When does internationalization enhance the devel-
opment of stock markets? Journal of Financial Intermediation, 7, 263–292.
Acknowledgments Im, K., Pesaran, H., & Shin, Y. (2003). Testing for unit roots in heterogenous panels.
Journal of Econometrics, 115, 53–74.
Karolyi, G. A. (1998). Why do companies list shares abroad? A survey of the evidence
The authors wish to thank an anonymous Referee for comments and its managerial implications. Financial Markets, Institutions and Instruments,
that helped improve the paper and Hadi S. Esfahani for editorial 7, 1–60.
comments. The usual disclaimer applies. Karolyi, G. A. (2004). The role of American depositary receipts in the development
of emerging equity markets. Review of Economics and Statistics, 86, 670–690.
Karolyi, G. A. (2006). The world of cross-listings and cross-listings of the world:
Challenging conventional wisdom. Review of Finance, 10, 99–152.
References King, R., & Levine, R. (1993a). Finance and Growth: Schumpeter might be right.
Quarterly Journal of Economics, 108, 717–737.
Alaganar, V. T., & Bhar, R. (2001). Diversification gains from American depositary King, R., & Levine, R. (1993b). Finance, entrepreneurship and growth: Theory and
receipts and foreign equities: Evidence from Australian stocks. Journal of Inter- evidence. Journal of Monetary Economics, 32, 513–542.
national Financial Markets Institutions, and Money, 11, 97–113. Levine, R., & Schmukler, S. (2007). Migration, spillovers, and trade diversion: The
Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte impact of internationalization on domestic stock market activity. Journal of
Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. Review of Economic Banking and Finance, 31, 1595–1612.
Studies, 58, 277–297. Levine, R., & Zervos, S. (1998). Stock markets, banks, and economic growth. American
Arellano, M., & Bover, O. (1995). Another look at the instrumental variables estima- Economic Review, 88, 537–558.
tion of error-components models. Journal of Econometrics, 68, 29–51. Levy Yeyati, E., Schmukler, S. L., & Van Horen, N. (2008). Emerging market liquidity
Arnold, T., Nail, L., & Nixon, T. D. (2004). Do ADRs enhance portfolio performance for and crises. Journal of the European Economic Association, 6, 668–682.
a domestic portfolio? Evidence from the 1990. Research in International Business Miller, D. P. (1999). The market reaction to international cross-listing: Evidence from
and Finance, 18, 341–359. depositary receipts. Journal of Finance, 42, 483–510.
A.D. Hales, A.V. Mollick / The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 54 (2014) 417–427 427

Moel, A. (2001). The role of American depositary receipts in the development of Roodman, D. (2009). A note on the theme of too many instruments. Oxford Bulletin
emerging markets. Economía, 2, 209–273. of Economics and Statistics, 71, 305–9049.
Officer, D. T., & Hoffmeister, J. R. (1987). ADRs: A substitute for the real thing? Journal Schindler, M. (2009). Measuring financial integration: A new dataset. IMF Staff
of Portfolio Management, 13, 61–65. Papers, 56, 222–238.
Rajan, R., & Zingales, L. (2003). The great reversals: The politics of financial devel- Wahab, M., & Khandwala, A. (1993). Why not diversify internationally with ADRs?
opment in the 20th century. Journal of Financial Economics, 69, 5–49. Journal of Portfolio Management, 19, 75–82.

You might also like