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PLN ‐ Solar PV DEVELOPMENT PLAN
PLN Solar PV DEVELOPMENT PLAN
Moch. Sofyan
Head of New & Renewable Energy Division
PT PLN ( Persero )
SOLAR WORKSHOP
JAKARTA, INDONESIA , FEBRUARY 8 TH, 2013
1
Background
Indonesia as an archipelago country, a thousands of island are
not electrified yet
not electrified yet
7 Provinces with the electrification ratio ( ER ) of less than 60 %,
LNG
PLN has set up a plan to accelerate the ER target using renewable
PLN has set up a plan to accelerate the ER target using renewable
G
Gas
energy include solar PV.
Generated
Generated power in the remote area mostly supplied by diesel
power in the remote area mostly supplied by diesel
power, with an expensive transportation cost and fuel supply Coal
security problem
71 Locations of small and medium isolated system currently
HSD MFO
supplied by diesel power.
PLN ‐ high generation cost at the remote island Geothermal
Trend of cost reduction and efficiency improvement on PV Hydro
technology
2
PLN Electricity Development Plan
PLN Plan & Polic
2020
Non‐ReNEW Hydro Geothermal
8% • The electricity demand growth
11%
by 8.5 % annually, supplied by
LNG
various energy resources.
G
Gas
Fossil power plant remain
81% dominant ( 81 % ), mainly Coal
Steam Power Plant with 63 %
New Plants Expansion : 55,3 GW Coal
8,000
6,877
, 7,164
share by 2020.
7,000
4 000
4,000
4,271 4,181 21 % ( 2011)) to 3 % byy 2015.
3,000
• Development of renewable Geothermal
2,000
Hydro
1 000
1,000 energy resources will be first
‐
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 priority, include solar PV.
PLTU PLTA PLTP PLTGU PLTG PLT Lain Total 3
Electrification Ratio ( as of June 2012 )
2012
2012 2012
R/E Realisasi
Target Pred
Sem I
PLN 71.2% 70.5% 73.3%
KALTIM:71.1%
KALBAR: 68.4%
RIAU:73.4% SULUT: 74.0%
NAD: 88.1% GORONTALO:54.9% MALUT: 62.8%
%
SULBAR: 63.2% PAPUA: 30.4%
SUMUT: 84.8%
SUMBAR: 74.8%
SULTENG:62 8%
SULTENG:62.8%
JAMBI: 67.4%
BENGKULU: 65.1%
BABEL: 88.0%
SUMSEL: 63.0%
KALSEL:72.8%
DKI: 93.9% MALUKU: 67.1%
KALTENG: 52.1% SULTRA:56.8%
LAMPUNG: 65.2%
SULSEL: 74.1%
BANTEN 77.1%
BANTEN: 77 1%
JABAR: 72.8%
PT PLN (Persero)| 4
PLN Plan on Solar PV
5
PLN ‐ PV Development Plan
90
Wp
Capaccity, MW
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Year
PV Development
D l t Program
P up to
t 2020 : 620 MW
6
1000 ISLANDS – PV DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM
Pengembangan PLTS
PV Development Program up to 2020 : 620 MW
Sumsel Jambi,
Sumsel, Jambi Bengkulu:
6 lokasi 3.4 MWp Kalselteng: 96 lokasi 48.7 MWp
Sulselrabar:
Lampung: 18 lokasi 2.5 MWp 17 lokasi 29.7 MWp
PLN plan to developed Solar as an hybrid system with existing Diesel, Biomass or other
RE potentials in a small islands, to respond with GOI policy to reduce oil consumption
PLN - PV Design Configuration Options
DEVELOPED BY PLN
Off grid: PV Stand Alone System ( connected to LV feeder, 230 V/ 400 V or
MV line 20 kV, PV and Storage Bank /Battery)
On Grid System (cap: 100 ‐ 1000 Kw )
H
Hybrid System
b id S t with
ith Exist.Diesel
E i t Di l or Ohers Power Plant +
Oh P Pl t PV+Battery
PV B tt
( connected to new or existing MV Line )
On grid System (
On grid System ( connected to existing MV line and without battery)
connected to existing MV line and without battery)
DEVELOPED BY IPP
On grid system (cap: 1 – 10 MW)
On grid System ( connected to existing MV line and without battery)
Least Cost Supply Options ( case study )
Levelized Financial Cost of Electricityy
Lipu Kinipan Karitana Hangga
7,000
Annual Demand
6,000 (kWh/Year) 341,640 138,335 60,590 55,115
Levelized Financial Electricity Cost (IDR/kWh)
5,000
,
PV 80% Availability
PV: 80% Availability 3 135
3,135 4 088
4,088 4 332
4,332 4 099
4,099
IDR/kWh
4,000 PV‐diesel hybrid: 100%
Availability 3,514 4,544 4,442 4,353
3,000 Differential 11% 10% 2% 6%
2 000
2,000 PV: 100% Availabilityy 4,087
, 5,258
, 5,772
, 5,286
,
1,000 Diesel: 100% Availability
(Base Case) 6,991 7,024 6,135 6,438
‐
Lipu
p Kinipan
p Karitana Hangga
gg
• For 100 percent availability/reliability least cost option is PV‐diesel hybrid
• H
However, for 80 percent availability, PV stand‐alone system has least electricity cost –
f 80 t il bilit PV t d l t h l t l t i it t but the system
b t th t
suffers from low reliability and high customer dissatisfaction
• For a marginally higher expense, a PV‐diesel hybrid offers high system reliability, and availability, and
a much more satisfied customer base
a much more satisfied customer base
Electricity Cost from PV-diesel hybrid with 100 percent availability, only marginally higher
9
Least Cost PV-Diesel Hybrid Option – Case Study
(drastically reduces reliance on diesel)
Diesel Required for PV‐Diesel Hybrid Compared to Diesel Only Option
25% 12,000
el Option
10,000
Option
20%
Year for PV‐Diese
Percentt of Diesel Only O
8,000
15%
6,000
10%
4 000
4,000
Liters per Y
5%
2,000
0% ‐
Lipu Kinipan Karitana Hangga
Liters/Year Percent of Diesel Only Case
• Diesel required for PV diesel hybrid is about 6‐20% of stand‐alone diesel
• Diesel supplies 6‐13% of electricity, the balance from PV
• Less frequent and lower quantities of diesel would be required
10
Operational implications of PV-Diesel Hybrids
• Has greater operating flexibility in responding to demand variations and near‐term
demand growth – there is time for investing in additional PV as demand grows
demand growth there is time for investing in additional PV as demand grows
• Fuel delivery network manageable
– Fuel quantities are significantly less than in diesel‐only option
– Most of the fuel is required in months with lower solar radiation (rainy season
with challenging sea conditions), therefore sufficient storage needs to be
maintained
maintained
• Diesel generator maintenance manageable
– Frequency of maintenance much less as diesels operate fewer hours/year
– PV hybrid system operation are more complex
• strong capacity building required
• especially for PV‐diesel hybrids in load following mode, automated controls
i ll f PV di l h b id i l d f ll i d t t d t l
are required to facilitate hybrid operations management – however more
advanced operators skills are required.
11
FEED‐in TARIFFS Policy (FIT)
FIT policy for PV, plan to be issued by GOI.
Qualified IPP Developer selected based on
IPP Developer selected based on administration
administration
criteria and quality of technical propossal.
Technical specification should comply with National and or
Technical specification should comply with National and or
PLN Standard.
Tariff incentive available to attract the use of local content.
Tariff incentive available to attract the use of local content.
Bank or equity deposit required in the form of escrow
account or others form of Bank sertificate at the National
Bank by IPP Developer before PPA signed
PPA will be signed with PLN for 20 years contract period using
the tariff listed in FIT. PLN will prepare a standard contract.
12
Propossed Location Criteria of PV ‐ IPP
•Small
Small & medium isolated system which currently supplied
by Diesel power
•The maximum PV capacity limited by 20% of the average
system demand , ranges between 1 MW up to 10 MW .
•PLN average generation cost at the location higher than
the propossed FIT tariff
tariff.
•System configuration: on grid, no battery and operate as an
hybrid system with existing power plants
plants.
67 Location of Isolated system with total capacity of 150 MW
propossed for the first phase of IPP ‐ solar development
13
On Grid Hybrid Solar System base for IPP
El
Electricity is
t i it i No battery storage required
produced and PV Capacity ranges 1 up to 10
directly connected to
directly connected to MW
the PLN grid. PV‐diesel hybrids in load following
Design
Design as PV
as PV – hybrid mode, required automated controls
, q
system to provide to facilitate hybrid operations
continuous, reliabbe management
power and Comply with National or PLN
comfortable. standard specification.
14
Summary and Conclusion
PLN h
has sett up a plan
l tto d
develope
l 620 MW off S
Solar
l PV up tto
2020.
SSolar
l - hybrid
h b id system
t with
ith existing
i ti DiDiesel,
l Bi
Biomass or other
th
RE potentials selected as least cost option in a small islands,
to respond with GOI policy to reduce oil consumption
consumption.
PV - Diesel Hybrid operation manageable, drastically reduce oil
consumption but strong capacity building for operational staf
required.
GOI plan to issued the FIT policy to attract IPP participation on
PV development and about 150 MW capacity of PV - on grid
system has
syste as bee
been allocated
a ocated for
o tthe
e first
st p
phase
ase o
of PV Base
ase IPP
development.
An incentive policy for domestic product are available to
encourage the development of domestic solar PV industries.
15
Terima Kasih
16