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We live in a VUCA world: Volatile – Uncertain – Complex – Ambiguous. This term has been kicking around
business strategy circles for at least a decade now with references as traditional as Harvard Business
Review and as new media as YouTube. For supply chain leaders, the topic is especially challenging given
our traditional love of predictability.
Applying this idea to the food supply chain is uniquely critical because of the way food underpins
everything on earth from demographics and political stability, to human health and social justice. Kellogg’s
e orts with its agricultural supply base are a major step in the right direction.
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3/30/2019 Kellogg stabilises the food supply base: a VUCA response | SCM World
In contrast to a narrowly de ned sourcing mandate that might focus simply on cost, this strategy
encourages bigger thinking about value. It includes using predictive analytics on mountains of data to nd
common sense ways to achieve the win-win.
This works, for instance, by understanding how long-term environmental trends like water shortages and
threats to biodiversity interact with consumer trends like millennials’ preference for “real” food to create
revenue opportunities. The implication for marketing folks is to pitch responsibly-sourced products.
Globally, agriculture employs in the region of 1.3 billion people and accounts for 25% of all greenhouse gas
emissions on the planet. It is also extremely vulnerable to climate change, so food security and supporting
action in agriculture is as foundational as it gets. Bringing consumer demand trends together with
education, engineering and public-private partnerships upstream in the world’s farms is vital to building the
agility we all need to contend with in the VUCA world.
Kellogg’s supply chain sustainability approach boils the entire issue down to four key pillars.
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For team members, colleagues elsewhere in the company and external partners, these simple principles
combine accountability upstream in the food supply chain with business impact downstream at the point
of sale. The reputation element in particular is key, since rising consumer demand for food authenticity
depends, above all, on a transparent and responsible supply chain.
Alistair Hirst, Kellogg’s SVP of Global Supply Chain, touched on the reputation element of this strategy in a
keynote address delivered this month at the SEDEX conference in London. Using an evocative metaphor,
reputations are fragile like a corn ake, he says. This is especially true today with the power of social media
magnifying every blip on the radar screen, including false accusations.
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The takeaway is clear: in a VUCA world, supply chains are an interconnected web of dependencies
comprising industrial, chemical and logistics specialists working together to put food on the table.
Leadership from global companies like Kellogg is essential to our long-term well-being.
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Geraint John
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Matt Davis
Pierfrancesco Manenti
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