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Katherine Hirschfeld
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Contents
1 Introduction 1
1.1 Secret Vices 1
1.2 What Is Organized Crime? 3
1.3 Evolutionary Stable Strategies 7
1.4 Abbreviated Case Study: Post-Soviet Russia 10
1.5 Gangs as Primitive States 12
1.6 Collapse and Regeneration 17
1.7 Darwinian Political Economy 19
3 Failing Economics 38
3.1 Contaminated Markets 38
3.2 The Cold War in Economic Thinking 39
3.3 The Road to Friedmanistan 44
3.4 Experimental Vignette: The Other Invisible Hand 46
Notes 129
References 151
Index 171
List of Figures and Tables
Tables
Figures
ix
Preface
Only a few years after these rosy predictions, Russia fell into a mas-
sive financial crisis driven in part by years of unchecked racketeering,
corruption, asset-stripping, rent-seeking and bank fraud. The country
underwent rapid decline and experienced dramatic increases in poverty,
violence and disease. Twenty years later, Russia has re-emerged as Putin’s
Kleptocracy – a corrupt, authoritarian regime with imperial ambitions
and a poor human rights record (Dawisha, 2014).
Social scientists still have not been able to explain this course of events.
There is a theoretical void surrounding the political economy of organ-
ized crime and kleptocracy that does not bode well for making sense of
x
Preface xi
While the individual elements of this work may have these and
other limitations, I believe it offers important contributions to schol-
ars interested in the intersection of political economy, criminology and
international relations. It proposes a new way to explain complexity,
stratification and state formation in prehistoric as well as contemporary
populations and links archaeological research on secondary state for-
mation with contemporary studies of warlords and failed states. Recent
work in all of these fields has been limited by an outdated 20th-century
vocabulary that defines key concepts like “free markets,” “the state,”
“crime” and “corruption” in artificially static ways that limit under-
standing of post-Soviet transitions, warlordism, emerging kleptocracies
and other contemporary problems. My hope is that this work will stimu-
late new ways of thinking and generate new research that will allow
scholars to better understand how these forces are combining to shape
international political economy in the 21st century.
Acknowledgments
1
2 Gangster States
rifles, 140 machine guns, six anti-tank missile launchers and 33 grenade
launchers were confiscated from criminals” in Russia (Cooper, 1999:22).
The human costs of this rapid escalation of violence and racketeer-
ing were enormous (Parsons, 2014). During one particularly turbulent
period, almost all of the personal savings held by Russian citizens effec-
tively disappeared from banks (Satter, 2003:47). The national treasury
was similarly plundered. Life expectancy declined sharply, and the
country’s GDP fell by half (Parsons, 2014). The annual inflation rate
reached over 2000 percent (Satter, 2003). One researcher has described
Russia’s decline as follows,
The globalization of banking and finance also meant that these devel-
opments in Russia were not isolated or contained. By 1998, Russia’s
economy had become so unstable that its currency collapsed. To any-
one paying attention to the gangsterization of banking and the paral-
lel conversion of the government into a “mafiacracy” (Konanykhine
and Gratcheva, n.d.), this should not have come as a surprise. Most US
economists, however, did not acknowledge the corrosive expansion of
organized crime in Russia. These trends were not factored in quantita-
tive risk models developed by external investors, who instead predicted
that these newly “free” markets would soon bring about peace and
prosperity.
This blindness resulted in a chain of unfortunate events that ulti-
mately led to the bankruptcy of an enormous American hedge fund
named Long Term Capital Management (LTCM). LTCM was run by two
Nobel Prize-winning economists who failed to incorporate the destabi-
lizing variables of organized crime and political corruption into their
risk models for Russia. As a result, they were unable to anticipate Rus-
sia’s rapid financial collapse. The costs of this misperception were ampli-
fied by highly speculative derivatives trades that formed the basis of
LTCM’s investments. If not for aggressive intervention by the US Federal
12 Gangster States
Reserve, the collapse of LTCM would have destabilized the entire global
economy (Lowenstein, 2001).
These events in post-Soviet Russia have not been satisfactorily
addressed by economists, who do not identify a causal link between
aggressive anti-state privatization and rapid formation of warring organ-
ized crime groups fighting to gain monopoly control over the country’s
remaining productive enterprises. While Joseph Stiglitz has used terms
like “mafia capitalism” (1997:254) to describe the result of privatiza-
tion in Russia, he does not propose a mechanism to explain why IMF
policies would lead to this particular outcome. One criminologist has
also blamed “rapid economic liberalization” for Russia’s problems with
organized crime in the 1990s (see Beetham, 2003:x), but an exact mech-
anism to explain this relationship is not identified.
This work seeks to correct this shortsightedness by developing a new
vocabulary to explain the evolution of organized crime, racketeering and
violence in aggressively deregulated markets or in other quasi-stateless
realms. This task will be accomplished with tools from behavioral
ecology, which render the dynamics of organized crime more visible
than conventional economic modeling.
The relativistic perspective of cultural anthropology also informs this
work. A look around various corners of the world suggests that racketeer-
ing may actually be more common than the optimal, equilibrating free
markets celebrated by contemporary economists. This observation sug-
gests that economists may be falsely naturalizing what is actually a very
unnatural and culturally specific phenomenon—their vision of optimal,
virtuous unregulated markets. The inverse is also true: racketeering may
be a more primal (though certainly not desirable) mode of organizing
human economic behavior.
Simkins, 1963). One of the goals of Chapter 4 will be to argue that this
term does not have much utility when applied to gangster-states. The
term “corruption” suggests that these regimes aspire to be democratic
but have somehow been led astray by malevolent forces, such as greed
or rent-seeking behavior on the part of public officials. Gangster-states,
however, are not Westphalian states that have become corrupted by bad
actors. Economic predation, territorial expansion and wealth extraction
are the organizing principles of their existence. Governance in the inter-
est of citizens is an afterthought, if it is considered at all.
Predatory kleptocratic regimes of this sort have been described in many
places around the world, but because they are rhetorically constructed as
prehistoric and contemporary societies. This model also allows for more
successful understanding of the array of entrenched humanitarian prob-
lems (increased poverty and socioeconomic stratification, banking cri-
ses, instability, dictatorships, epidemics and violent conflicts) that have
emerged to define these regimes in the contemporary era.
2
What Is Organized Crime?
23
24 Gangster States
The attributes of the actors and the acts that make organized crime in
fact organized include a self-perpetuating, organized hierarchy, a crim-
inal conspiracy, which exists to profit from providing illicit goods
and services in public demand or providing legal goods and services
in an illicit manner. The co-conspirators may comprise a crime fam-
ily, a gang, a cartel, or a criminal network, but these characteristics
are not important to the definition. These same co-conspirators may
also share certain ethnic identities, but that too is not essential to
their being defined as organized crime groups. Essential to the defini-
tion of organized crime is the use of violence or the threat of violence
to facilitate criminal activities and to maintain monopoly control of
markets [emphasis in original].
It is clear, however, that rival student gangs fought bitterly for control
of the stateless territory of the university campus. As one New York Times
reporter described, “The presidency of the University Student Federa-
tion has been won more than once at revolver point” (9 October 1949).
Throughout the 1940s and early 1950s, there are numerous reports of
weapons caches found on campus, chronic gang warfare between rival
student groups and collusion between radical students and international
organized crime groups. This pattern persisted until the autonomy of
the campus was revoked by Fulgencio Batista in 1953 (see Thomas,
1998; New York Times, 24 September 1953). This development, however,
should not be taken as a sign of increased rule of law in Cuba but as an
example of a gangster-state (the Batista regime) taking control of smug-
gling and contraband from rival non-state gangsters (6).
Labor rackets also offer an example of the way violence can be used to
organize both sides of a market (labor and capital) so that wealth accu-
mulates into the hands of racketeers. In a labor racket, gangsters seek
control over strategic interstitial spaces between labor and capital so that
they can organize both sides of this market to extract maximum wealth
for themselves. This is accomplished in two ways: extorting money from
laborers (in the form of union dues or pension funds) and using control
over labor to extort money from business owners or capitalists (in the
form of strikes or threats of work interruption). In this way, organized
crime groups are able to insert themselves into the strategic interstitial
spaces between labor and capital and “squeeze” both sides of these con-
flicts to generate maximum revenues.
These dynamics were central to many of the turbulent labor disputes
that took place in New York in the 1920s and 1930s. While a sympa-
thetic Marxist might regard the conflicts of this era as textbook exam-
ples of class struggle, deeper analysis reveals that many violent conflicts
between labor and capital were actively orchestrated to enrich organized
crime groups.
In the 1920s, racketeers in Brooklyn were well aware of the strategic
importance of dock workers in maintaining supply chains for large cor-
porations that relied on time-sensitive imports. Gangsters successfully
exploited this vulnerability by using violence to take over the longshore-
men’s union. When a union leader attempted to break free of organ-
ized crime control in the 1930s, he was killed and his body dumped
in a lime pit (7). Using violence in this way allowed gangsters to gain
32 Gangster States
Racketeers also used their control of labor unions to gain control over
lucrative pension funds and union dues revenues. At the time, there
were no federal, state or local laws that regulated the use of these union
funds, so this form of extortion was not technically illegal and went
largely unnoticed by government authorities.
There are also numerous accounts of organized crime groups who alter-
nately hired out “muscle” (meaning low-tier enforcers) as strikebreakers
for management one week and then as “union thugs” on behalf of
organized labor groups the next. By doing this, organized crime groups
were able to gain control of strategic interstitial spaces between labor
and capital and to squeeze both sides of this market to extract wealth
from both sides. As one memoir describes,
(such as advertising false winnings) and then rigging the games so that
the payout rates are much smaller than would be dictated by chance
alone.
These practices were common in Cuba prior to the legalization of
gambling in the mid-1950s. One legendary casino game known as “raz-
zle” or “razzle-dazzle” had all the key elements of a successful gambling
racket. Demand was artificially primed by offering tourists low-cost
travel packages, cheap alcohol and orchestrated public displays of fake
winners who presented themselves around casinos with piles of cash
allegedly won at the tables. One Saturday Evening Post reporter described
such a scene rather memorably as follows:
The “sweating little executive” described in this article lost over $8000
in only 11 minutes of play (whereupon he promptly fainted and fell
over). The racketeers, however, were not yet done with him. Since most
tourists did not carry large amounts of cash with them to Cuba, the
casino operators accepted personal checks. Many of the fleeced tour-
ists would regret being swindled when they regained their senses and
would lodge complaints with the US Embassy, whereupon they would
be told by the Consul to stop payment on the check before it could clear
at their bank in the United States. To preempt this strategy, one of the
casino owners opened a check-cashing service that effectively thwarted
stop payment orders by arranging to have casino receipts flown by char-
ter plane to Miami every night and processed before the stop payment
orders could be received by the home banks (8). Similar practices were
reported at other Havana casinos in the early 1950s, which one FBI
informant described as “all crooked” with the lone exceptions of Meyer
Lansky’s craps game at the Montmartre Club (9).
What Is Organized Crime? 35
2.9 Prohibition
An earnest reader might well ask at this point, “But where were the
police?” Presumably if the police were doing their jobs, none of these
examples of racketeering or the organization of illicit commerce would
have been possible. A closer examination, however, reveals that this
assumption is problematic.
In the example of labor racketeering in New York, gangsters were
able to take advantage of lax laws that did not explicitly prohibit labor
racketeering. While many citizens and legitimate businesspeople were
deeply disturbed by these developments, the legal infrastructure was not
adequately developed to fully prosecute these activities. Labor racket-
eering was frequently invisible to all but a very few individuals who
could easily be intimidated into silence. In many cases, gangsters could
seize control of unions without detection and use the unions to extort
money from capitalists and laborers and gain control of pension funds
with no one the wiser. Even though authorities were vaguely aware of
these activities, it was difficult for them to grasp the extent of the prob-
lem since few people were willing to complain openly about organized
crime control of labor. According to one New York Times article, shippers
in New York were so afraid of retaliation that they refused to file formal
complaints about racketeering, even to a government panel appointed
to investigate labor abuses (New York Times, 10 December 1930). The
lack of strong, consistent anti-racketeering statutes also made prosecu-
tion of these crimes much more problematic in the 1920s than in later
years.
Adulteration of bootleg alcohol also did not occasion much atten-
tion or sympathy from police. During Prohibition, alcohol was an illegal
commodity, and police were much more concerned with arresting ship-
pers, importers and (occasionally) consumers than with guaranteeing
the quality of alcoholic beverages. In other words, when the market for
alcohol was transferred to the informal economy, there was no oppor-
tunity to inspect or regulate production. Quality declined, as individual
consumers had no way of detecting toxic adulterants, except by suffer-
ing grave illnesses or death, at which point it would be too late to switch
to a new supplier.
In the case of Cuban gambling, police themselves were deeply
enmeshed in the operations of illicit casinos. The Cuban police, in fact,
often stationed a representative in the casinos to control unruly patrons
who were angry at being swindled, not to prosecute rigged or illegal gam-
bling. In short, the answer to the question “Where were the police?” in
Cuba is that they were facilitating the organization of gambling rackets.
What Is Organized Crime? 37
38
Failing Economics 39
The reason many scholars have not fully problematized the origins
of racketeering stems in part from the ideological polarization and
binary language that dominated the field of political economy during
the Cold War. For most of the 20th century, theory and language in
this area were heavily influenced by bitter conflicts between Marxist
40 Gangster States
49
50 Gangster States
Table 4.1 Original Payoff Matrix for Hawks and Doves Game (taken from Smith,
1982:12).
Hawks Doves
Hawks 1/2 (V-C) V
Doves 0 V/2
Intricate behavioral systems like this appear quite remarkable. How can
lowly creatures like fish restrain their appetites in such a s ophisticated,
discerning and cooperative way? The system appears to have all the ele-
ments of intentional design, along with human qualities of cooperation
and communication. Biologists, however, understand these kinds of
complexities as produced by the forces of evolution and natural selec-
tion, driven in part by the innovation of cheating.
The relationship of the two fish species described above is explicable
in evolutionary terms, and this explanation centers on the most funda-
mental concepts of evolution: variation followed by differential survival
and differential reproduction. Many generations ago, ancestors of contem-
porary cleaner fish were probably opportunists who used their speed
and maneuverability to sneak in and grab snacks and bites of flesh off
of larger, predatory fish. But in this population of pre-cleaner fish there
would have been variation. Some would have been more aggressive
about sneaking bites of the larger fish, and some would have been more
reticent. If the more aggressive individuals were more likely to get eaten
by the big fish, the behavioral traits of later generations would come to
reflect more reticence. Correspondingly, the population of predator fish
would also have a continuum of variation, and individuals who were
more tolerant of cleaner fish progenitors would have increased their
ability to survive and reproduce, due to decreased parasite burdens. Over
enough generations, a cooperative behavioral interaction evolved that
led to increased survival of both species: the cleaner fish got ample food,
and the predatory fish had their parasites removed.
The second half of the story, however, is also important. As Casti
describes, a new variant of “fake” cleaner fish has arisen, with mark-
ings virtually identical to legitimate cleaner fish. These imitators use
their camouflage to try and cheat the system and sneak in for bites of
actual flesh instead of parasites. This development is also explicable
through natural selection. The existence of legitimate cleaner fish will
favor mimicry in other species. Non-cleaner fish who resemble cleaner
fish will be able to get closer and snatch more illicit bites of large fish
than non-cleaner fish who do not resemble cleaner fish. This will give
individuals with these traits a slight survival advantage, so that over
time a population of pseudo cleaner fish will eventually evolve. While
traits that appear to constitute cheating may appear morally wrong to
humans, they are “right” in evolutionary terms, since the sole criteria
56 Gangster States
Let others invest money and take the time and trouble to bring in
the liquor. It still had to be unloaded, carried to warehouses, and
eventually sold and delivered. A few tough, armed gangsters could
seize the precious cargo and sell it for the same price with none of the
overhead (Messick, 1971:24).
When raiders compete with one another, they must also use the sur-
plus they obtain from farmers to fund new investments in weaponry
and defensive technologies. This can create an arms race between raid-
ing groups that further depletes the agricultural base. Raiders who can
support the largest army will be the ones who can effectively retain
monopoly control of an entire region. But armies are expensive to
build and maintain. Larger armies mean the productive base of farmers
must support a growing population of non-productive soldiers as well
as specialized craftspeople engaged in weapons production. All of these
expenses will require some combination of agricultural intensification
combined with increasing downward economic pressure on farmers.
At this point, the farmer-raider system of exchange has begun to
resemble the kind of balanced polymorphism produced by frequency-
dependent selection. Two alternative behavioral strategies maintain one
another in dynamic equilibrium. Too much raiding means too little
farming is going on to support the system. Too much farming creates an
opportunity for increased raiding. A system of all farmers is increasingly
vulnerable to raiding. A system of all raiders will have no agricultural
surplus to raid.
It is logical to predict that the farmer-raider economy would even-
tually stabilize or find a point of equilibrium with the development
of something resembling the informal “taxation” of a classic protec-
tion racket. Farmers would agree to an exclusive relationship with one
group of raiders, who would then protect them from other raiders. This
would create an asymmetrical mode of exchange that limits the para-
sitic extraction of raiding to sustainable levels. It is a racket rather than
a legitimate form of exchange because it would not be necessary for
farmers to purchase protection if raiders were not threatening to steal
their crops in the first place. Once relations of protection are formal-
ized, the behavioral system cannot revert to a defenseless egalitarian
community—the protection racket becomes an ESS. It can be invaded
by rival racketeers but not by a decentralized system of cooperative
exchange. The innovation of protection stabilizes the level of predation
so that agricultural production can continue in a way that guarantees
the survival of both groups.
Protection rackets differ from simple theft or looting in that the goal is
not a one-time transfer of wealth but is instead to establish an ongoing
extractive presence within an existing system of exchange. Protection
62 Gangster States
rackets are most likely to emerge and flourish where wealth and prop-
erty are unprotected, meaning where there is no government or other
stable political authority in place to defend property rights or adjudi-
cate conflicts regarding economic transactions. As Diego Gambetta has
astutely noted, thieves do not like to be robbed any more than the rest
of us (Gambetta, 1993). In a stateless realm, rational economic actors
will recognize the incentives for seizing or threatening unprotected
wealth this way.
In such an environment, protection rackets emerge as a way to secure
the continuity of production and exchange. Racketeers guarantee the
flow of goods and services will continue and productive enterprises will
remain viable over time. So even though racketeering is built on vio-
lence and coercion, there are elements of a rudimentary, asymmetrical
social contract between the racketeer and those who are coerced into
purchasing protection.
. . . [A]s more and more dealers buy protection, the risk to those who
do not increases, for if the protection is effective, predators will con-
centrate their efforts on the unprotected. As a result, there will be
progressively more genuine incentive to buy protection, which would
act as a catalyst for a chain reaction in which everyone ends up buy-
ing protection simply because everyone else is doing so (1993:30).
The nature of the market for protection also guarantees that it must
be organized as a monopoly. Sellers of protection will not tolerate the
presence of rival racketeers in their economic territory. They instead
claim sole ownership of the productive apparatus of individual entre-
preneurs and possibly even the collective output of an entire geographic
region. Those who resist paying for protection will be likely to have
their business (or their person) destroyed. This gives the racketeers de
facto monopoly on violence within their established geographies, mak-
ing them congruent with Max Weber’s definition of the state (Gerth and
Mills, 1958).
In short, rackets evolve as fundamentally economic entities, devoted
to extracting and concentrating wealth in the hands of racketeers. But
rackets are also stratified and hierarchical, and racketeers frequently
assume government-like administrative control over their territories
and constituent populations. If basic rules of behavioral ecology drive
the evolution of racketeering from unorganized systems of economic
exchange, then these forces are also driving the parallel evolution of a
rudimentary form of government.
The boy who became Genghis Khan grew up in a world of excessive tribal
violence, including murder, kidnapping, and enslavement . . . From this
harsh setting, he learned, in dreadful detail, the full range of human
emotion: desire, ambition, and cruelty . . .
66 Gangster States
If the Mongols had nothing to trade, they raided the herders they could
find on the steppe or in isolated valleys. The attackers used the same tactics
in approaching human prey as animals, and at first sign of attack, the
targeted victims usually fled, leaving behind most of their animals, the
material goods of their homes and whatever else the attackers might want.
Since the object of the attack was to secure goods, the attackers usually
looted . . . and rounded up the animals rather than pursuing the fleeing
people. Because the raiders wanted goods, casualties in this type of struggle
remained low . . . Hunting, trading, herding and fighting formed a seamless
web of subsistence activities in the lives of the early Mongol tribes . . . This
alternating pattern of trade and raiding supplied a slow, but steady, trickle
of metal and textile goods moving northward . . .
The position of a steppe khan rested on his ability to win in battle and
to ensure a steady supply of trade goods . . . Frequently a new tribe emerged
from the steppes to displace the older tribe that had grown weak and
dissipated from several generations of soft city life. In a long-established
cycle, a nomadic army swept down from the steppe, conquered the peasants
and the cities to the south, created a new dynasty, and, after a few years,
fell to the attack of another marauding tribe . . .
In all the centuries of raiding and trading, no leader had brought back
to his homeland nearly the amount of goods as Genghis Khan . . . Year by
year, he gradually defeated everyone more powerful than he was, until he
had conquered every tribe on the Mongolian steppe . . . In conquest after
conquest, the Mongol army transformed warfare into an intercontinental
affair fought on multiple fronts stretching across thousands of
miles . . . In twenty-five years, the Mongol army subjugated more lands and
people than the Romans had conquered in four hundred years. . . . At its
zenith, the empire covered between 11 and 12 million contiguous square
miles . . . As Genghis Khan’s cavalry charged across the thirteenth century,
he redrew the boundaries of the world. His architecture was not in stone
but in nations. Unsatisfied with the vast number of little kingdoms,
Genghis Khan consolidated smaller countries into larger ones . . . In
nearly every country touched by the Mongols, the initial destruction and
shock of conquest by an unknown and barbaric tribe yielded quickly to
an unprecedented rise in cultural communication, expanded trade, and
improved civilization (Weatherford, 2004).
68
Organized Crime and Kleptocracy 69
This model of political economy does not relegate the evolution of the
state to a remote and distant past that is inaccessible to contemporary
researchers. Instead, it posits that the same processes that originally led
to the formation of prehistoric states is ongoing in the contemporary era,
visible in territorial contests between rival racketeering groups fighting
to organize and defend underworld monopolies. Because these conflicts
take place in the negative cartographic space of the informal economy,
they are unmapped, and their significance is easily overlooked by con-
temporary researchers. A survey of literature from criminology, history
and archaeology, however, reveals that the dynamics of underworld ter-
ritoriality, leadership and violence today appear consistent with the way
scholars in archaeology have described state formation in prehistory.
goes on to note that these conditions create a strong incentive for “com-
petitive violence“ between groups, since an aggressive competitor can
effectively increase his own wealth and power by “muscling in” on his
neighbor’s market share (Reuter, 1984:140).
There are also a number of descriptions provided by journalists,
though these works tend to focus exclusively on Italian-American organ-
ized crime groups in the United States. The five boroughs of New York,
for instance, were allegedly divided up by the five leading Mafia families
of the early 20th century. Florida was similarly partitioned (1). The lack
of a visual reference for underworld territoriality makes it difficult for
outsiders to perceive the significance of these boundaries.
Diego Gambetta has also described Sicilian Mafia families as “territo-
rial oligopolies” that predate the founding of the Italian state (Gambetta,
1993:110). Gambetta also describes the inscription of these geographic
boundaries as motivated by the necessity of regulating commerce under
Mafia control. “This type of regulation [of protection rackets] is easier if
the protection market and the geographical territory coincide, as cus-
tomers are more readily policed within territorial rather than functional
boundaries” (1993:70). In other words, research into organized crime
reveals a tendency for racketeers to inscribe their monopoly economic
control on the physical landscape as well as on the physical bodies of
their subordinates.
Researchers who study warlords also focus on territoriality (Cooper,
1999; Ezrow and Frantz, 2013; Marten, 2012; Markowitz, 2013;
McNulty, 1999; Rich, 1999; Segell, 1999). Unfortunately, criminolo-
gists who study organized crime and political scientists who study
warlordism have not discovered that their respective definitions of
these phenomena are virtually interchangeable. Kimberly Marten, for
instance, defines warlords as “individuals who control small pieces of
territory using a combination of force and patronage” (2012:Kindle
edition location 152). Marten goes on to discuss other components
of warlordism, such as levying taxes, providing security to businesses
through deployment of personal militias, protecting transit and redis-
tributing wealth in the form of public services to local populations.
One Afghan warlord is described as sharing wealth and providing pub-
lic goods for his population but also stifling economic growth by main-
taining monopoly control of a lucrative transportation route (Marten,
2012: Kindle edition location 290–303). Marten then makes a compari-
son with the way anthropologists have described chiefs, or the phase
of cultural evolution that commonly precedes state formation (Earle,
1998, 2002).
Organized Crime and Kleptocracy 71
successful racketeering in the same way they are for any legitimate busi-
ness enterprise or political leadership:
Public displays of violence and terror are used to discipline those guilty
of insubordination and restore faith in (as well as create demand for) the
protection sold by racketeers.
Rival racketeering groups, however, are excluded from these social con-
tracts and are instead understood to be competing for rights of parasitic
extraction upon the subservient population. Attacks on rivals, therefore,
do not bring dishonor but reaffirm the power and legitimacy of racket-
eers to provide protection. Patterns of raiding and retaliatory violence in
border zones will be common, as each group seeks to increase its market
share and defend its reputation at the expense of its rivals.
These patterns of territoriality and violence are currently visible in
the organized-crime–controlled regions of the US-Mexican borderlands.
Rival racketeering groups are competing with one another for control
of lucrative smuggling routes as well as with the formal security forces
of the Mexican state. Cartels have successfully gained control of large
sections of the region’s geography and have implemented a rudimen-
tary system of personalistic law and order consistent with the principles
outlined above. Border zones between cartel territories are among the
most violent, as each group attempts to expand its political-economic
resources at the expense of its rivals.
The ability of outsiders to perceive these emergent gangster-polities in
Mexico is facilitated by Stratfor’s map of cartel territories (available here:
http://www.stratfor.com/weekly/mexicos-drug-war-balkanization-leads-
regional-challenges#axzz3E3CVHuBL). When the geographic contours
of the underworld are mapped in this way, it becomes easier to visualize
the evolutionary continuum between gangs and states. While each of
these zones of cartel control is located within or around the larger polity
of Mexico, each is also seeking to establish itself as a (gangster-)state-
within-a-state. Cartels also form alliances with one another against the
formal Mexican state but still compete for control over lucrative smug-
gling territory and resources.
Each cartel proto-state also extends beyond the territorial boundaries
of Mexico itself and includes smuggling pipelines and distribution cent-
ers in the United States and other foreign countries. Revenues from this
informal economy are estimated to be nearly $45 billion or about half
the GDP of the formal sector of the Mexican economy (2).
parallels with the way archaeologists and historians have described the
political-economic organization of prehistoric and early modern states.
In their comparative study of early states, for instance, Classen and Van
de Velde detail patterns of rule consistent with territorial protection
rackets: political domination by a narrow strata of elites who control
subjugated populations by means of extensive “tributary relations” over
defined geographic territory (1987:4).
This description has been echoed by a number of anthropologists,
who describe prehistoric state formation as characterized by resource
monopolization, social stratification, conflict and inequality (Classen
and Van de Velde, 1987; Cohen, 1978; Earle, 2002; Shifferd, 1987; John-
son and Earle, 1987). In her comparative study of 22 early states, Patricia
Shifferd described centralized control of economic activity as a key fac-
tor driving state formation (1987). She also noted extensive evidence of
“intra and intersocial conflict and instability” accompanying political
centralization in early states, suggesting that surrounding groups were
integrated into monopolistic hierarchical polities under some duress
(1987:39). This is similar to the way archaeologists have characterized
the Ottoman Empire as a “gigantic tribute-levying machine” that sur-
vived only by seizing new territory (Prunier and Gisselquist, 2003:109).
Roberto Carniero has also pointed out that primary state formation
typically occurred in geographically circumscribed areas (1970, 1988).
In other words, the world’s earliest states evolved in geographic regions
that were rich in natural resources necessary for intensive agricultural
production but surrounded by uninhabitable terrain that created barri-
ers to expansion. Two commonly cited examples include the Nile river
valley in Egypt and the lush intermountain valleys in the high Andes
of Peru. Both of these regions are conducive to agriculture, with sta-
ble climate and abundant supplies of sunshine and water for irrigation.
Both are also surrounded by hostile environments: arid deserts or frigid
mountaintops. Carneiro has theorized that these geographic boundaries
facilitated the evolution of socio-political complexity by simultaneously
encouraging population growth and limiting geographic expansion.
The resulting resource competition and conflicts are viewed as driving
technological innovations (such as irrigation) as well as the formaliza-
tion of political hierarchies, inequality and stratification.
Carneiro’s circumscription thesis is also consistent with the evo-
lutionary model presented here. Geographic circumscription places
sharp limitations on the supply of arable land and water in an environ-
ment characterized by increasing demand due to population growth.
If the supply/demand curve of these strategic resources reaches the
Organized Crime and Kleptocracy 75
The reason for the killing in most cases is not to get rid of an individ-
ual who may have balked at the orders and extortions of the under-
world but to serve notice on other individuals that the word of the gang
is law. Hence, the killing of a person would be a great waste, unless
it were established publicly that this particular individual was killed
because he defied the demands of the underworld. And so the gang
leaves its trademark on the victim. The trademarks vary from time to
time and place to place, but every knowing crime investigator knows
the mark of the mob. This mark is the ‘commercial,’ the brand, the
Organized Crime and Kleptocracy 77
The Narcos I grew up with killed only certain people. That’s why, in those
years, we didn’t breathe the same air that people breathe now in Monterrey,
the air that makes them not want to park far away from the entrance to the
theater when they go to the movies, that makes well-heeled women afraid
of even going to the supermarket. On the border, when I lived there, there
were shootouts, even bombs. But it was the bad guy’s house that got blown
up. The guy in the business. If you had nothing to do with that particular
industry, your house was safe . . .
Not long ago some of my younger cousins went to a birthday party. The
parents of the birthday boy discreetly excluded a narco’s son who went to
78 Gangster States
the same school. The day of the party the boy calmly showed up, smartly
dressed, and with a chauffeur. He brought a huge present. The hosts of
the party received him. Everyone understood the message. I suspect that
the adults that afternoon exchanged the same glances I had learned to
recognize in Monterrey . . .
A customer was leaving a store where they rent movies and sell candy
when two men got out of a car, which they left running on the sidewalk.
The men grabbed the customer, forced him into the car, and drove away.
An acquaintance who witnessed the incident told me, still shaken from
the scene, ‘Then I got in my car because nobody did anything, and I went
to City Hall, because I know there’s always a patrol car parked there.’ He
knocked on the bored police officer’s window and described everything he’d
seen, down to the hair on the men’s faces, as any decent, concerned citizen
would do. ‘They told me I’d better go home.’ He didn’t understand. I said to
him, The cops did their duty with regard to you, at least: they protected you.
He complained that they hadn’t done anything. Because he still believes in
the duty of the authorities. Because he doesn’t know that nothing is gained
by reporting crimes, and that a lot can be lost . . .
There is no way to count the dead. We hush them up. We silence the
bodies dissolved in acid. We silence the bullets to the head. We don’t
know what to call it. We say, Se lo llevaron, they took him, because the
truth—they killed him—is too terrible. And too common. And we resist
the thought that death and torture live so comfortably among us. We don’t
want to look at death. We busy ourselves with the living. Even if among
the living are, as they say now in Tamaulipas, los malos. The other day
someone referred to los de la letra—those of the letter—and everyone
understood. Nobody calls them by their name, Los Zetas. Whereas those
beyond their reach define them so clinically: ‘the armed wing of the Gulf
Cartel.’
Outsiders talk forthrightly about the elite former soldiers who were
recruited into the drug trade in the Nineties, and point to them directly
as those responsible for the violence in the campaigns to eliminate rival
cartels. In the United States and Europe they spell out ‘kidnapping’ with
all its letters when they talk about our cities . . . and they don’t feel our
shame . . .
The silence we kept before was for the sake of caution and comfort. It
wasn’t fear. Like the fear we felt when we saw the first heads: detached
from bodies, arranged on top of cars in residential neighborhood. The
corpses that carry messages carved with ice picks. Before, these things
weren’t visible. Public acts of terror: a grenade that exploded in Michoacán
in the middle of a crowd celebrating Independence Day. The cynicism. The
Organized Crime and Kleptocracy 79
We are happily borne . . . down the long and crooked streets of our
lives, past all kinds of walls and fences made of rotting wood, rammed
earth, brick, concrete iron railings. We have never given a thought to
what lies behind them. We have never tried to penetrate them with
our vision or our understanding. But there is where the Gulag coun-
try begins, right next to us, two yards away from us . . . (1972:3–4).
house as looking entirely innocent and blending invisibly into its sur-
roundings. It “looked as if it belonged in the suburbs rather than in
Queens,” with “neatly trimmed hedges, mowed lawns and numerous
trees” (James, 1994). But inside police discovered 86 kilos of cocaine,
several handguns and over $700,000 in cash. Neighbors interviewed by
the news media expressed shock and indignation. One nearby resident
stated, “they [cocaine traffickers] tried to hide their heinous business
by fitting in.” The media reinforced this image of alien invasion by
concluding the story with the following statement: “For Fred Rizzi, an
architectural draftsman who lives across the street . . . [d]rugs, and the
evil they represent, had come to his beautiful, quiet and until now, safe
block” (James, 1994).
But this representation is not entirely accurate. Organized crime
constitutes a vast transnational enterprise that includes transportation
networks, logistics coordinators, warehouses, banking, finance, loss pre-
vention and retail sales outlets. The ready availability of illicit goods in
urban and rural areas of the United States suggests that these networks
consistently connect with a nationwide customer base. In other words,
illicit markets are everywhere in the United States but blend impercep-
tibly into the landscape so as to not attract attention from law enforce-
ment. The message of the drug house in Queens is not one of alien
invasion but one of a very commonplace activity that suddenly became
visible to outsiders.
If law enforcement in democratic regimes becomes weak, racket-
eers may begin to operate more openly. At that point, the smuggler’s
archipelago of transportation and trade networks becomes visible to all
citizens, not just those engaged in illicit commerce. Any weakening of
the core institutions or security forces of a democratic state creates an
opportunity for racketeers to expand beyond the confines of the infor-
mal economy and encroach on formal systems of governance. In these
cases, national political boundaries will remain unchanged, and vestiges
of democratic institutions (such as periodic elections) may persist. But a
truly democratic polity is incompatible with a racketeer economy, and
eventually the institutions of democracy will fail if the economy is over-
taken by racketeering.
Organized crime groups may find a way to penetrate the formal
apparatus of government and gain control of security forces in order
to repurpose them back into agents of monopoly enforcement and pri-
vate wealth aggregation. Democratically elected leaders may themselves
be unable to resist the allure of racketeering and repurpose the secu-
rity forces of the state toward private wealth building. In these cases,
82 Gangster States
continue to expand until they gain control over the formal security
forces of the police and army. When this happens, these forces can
become repurposed back into agents of monopoly enforcement for elites,
and the state evolves (or devolves) from democracy to a gangster-driven
kleptocracy. This would be an example of post-democratic or tertiary
gangster-state formation: the expansion of organized crime groups operat-
ing in the informal economy into formal institutions of the democratic
state, so that police and security forces become repurposed back into
agencies of monopoly enforcement for elites. If these struggles become
contested—for example, if different branches of the armed forces fall
under the control of rival racketeering groups—prolonged civil conflict
may result, with a phase of destructive state failure followed by recon-
figuration of territorial boundaries under new kleptocratic elites (5).
During these years, the public treasury was repeatedly looted, preda-
tory taxation was imposed on the population and the police and army
were repurposed to defend the economic monopolies of the leadership.
In the words of one New York Times correspondent,
The idea that politics is a spoils system and that political office is a
means of enriching the individual rather than serving the public was
one of the evil inheritances from Spanish rule. It is still the prevail-
ing attitude in Cuba, despite many honorable exceptions. Padding
of public payrolls, bribing of legislators, graft in public expenditures
of all kinds, open raids on the national lottery funds, outright theft
of public funds—these have been the rule in Cuban politics in the
last fifty years. To them, violence and gangsterism were added by
Machado and kept up in varying degree under every administration
since (Matthews, 1952).
hands of public officials (Chapman, 1927; Jenks, 1929). One New York
Times reporter criticized Cuba’s excessive military spending in the early
1930s as follows:
The army and navy appropriation of $10 million is the largest item
in the [Cuban] national budget. Four new fighting planes have been
purchased. Shipments of arms and ammunition are pouring into
Cuba constantly, despite the fact that there is no necessity for Cuba
to arm against any foreign enemy. The military forces are in complete
control throughout Cuba . . . The formation of the first company of
the militia comes as a surprise to the public, owing to the large defi-
cit already apparent in the 1932–1933 budget and the heavy loans
which Cuba has just contracted to pay on her foreign obligations
(New York Times, 11 January 1933).
many members of the military still remained loyal to Batista (New York
Times, 23 November 1944). Grau’s armed group of students went on to
form the core of the Caribbean Legion, an international brigade that
had ties to both United States and Soviet intelligence operatives (12).
Government under the Auténticos was also done by executive decree,
with the judicial and legislative branches increasingly rendered irrel-
evant to public administration (New York Times, 19 January 1947). In
1946, President Grau signed approximately 3000 executive decrees, and
the Cuban Congress approved only 20 laws (Phillips, 1959:238). The
campus of the University of Havana continued to serve as a base of oper-
ations for all manner of criminal smuggling activity. The brother of one
Auténtico president allegedly used some of these armed student gangs to
seize monopoly control of narcotics smuggling on the island for several
years (Thomas, 1998).
The Auténtico looting spree came to an end with Batista’s return to
power in a coup d’état in 1952. This marked the final expansive phase
of Havana’s vice economy. From 1952 to 1959, a dazzling array of lav-
ish hotels and casinos were built, and hundreds of Batista’s followers
grew rich from casino payoffs, smuggling and graft. Early anti-Batista
activism appears to have been confined to rival grafters from the Autén-
tico Party, but a new strain of moral purity began to express itself in an
oppositional youth movement headed by an anti-corruption crusader
named Eddie Chibas. Chibas founded the Ortodoxo Party as an anti-
vice campaign that attracted many young, idealistic Cubans, including
Fidel Castro. Eventually all of the anti-Batista groups joined forces to
overthrow the general in 1959, and the rest (as they say) is history (13).
and beating of citizens before they could cast their votes . . . (Sante,
1991:260). A US diplomat who was sent to Cuba in the 1920s to address
problems of widespread racketeering and corruption in the Zayas regime
described a profound sense of shame as he returned to Chicago and
witnessed similar patterns of graft, corruption and electoral violence at
home (described in Guggenheim, 1934).
5.12 Hispañola
Political gangsterism and kleptocracy are also readily visible in the 20th
century histories of Cuba’s closest neighbors. In the Dominican Repub-
lic, Rafael Trujillo was in power for over 30 years, and during that time
he was estimated to have gained control of between 65 and 85 percent
of all productive enterprises in the country (Goff and Locker, 1969:267).
This was accomplished by using the security forces of the state to organ-
ize and defend economic monopolies in salt, sugar, tobacco, insurance,
timber, cattle, coffee, rice, cacao and gambling (Wiarda, 1968). Accord-
ing to one observer, Trujillo preferred to recruit his security forces “from
the criminal element” so that he could more effectively “squeeze the
population . . . and literally starve his people to death for the sake of
building up his own private income” (Wiarda, 1968:86).
In the 1930s, Trujillo used his security forces to take over the island’s
salt industry, whereupon he raised retail prices from 50 cents per 100
pounds to three dollars (Hicks, 1946:67). These business tactics alleg-
edly earned him over $400,000 per year in personal income from salt
alone. During this time, all government workers were required to sur-
render 10 percent of their income to Trujillo’s political party, which
allegedly brought in another $500,000 per year (Hicks, 1946). Trujillo
also established a monopoly on rice (the most important staple of
the Dominican diet) and increased the retail price over 200 percent
in just a few years (Hicks, 1946:69). After a particularly devastating
hurricane, he appointed himself president of the country’s Red Cross
so that he could gain control of aid dollars flowing into the country
(Hicks, 1946).
During this time, Trujillo also seized prime farmland and cattle
ranches, staffed them with prison labor and had the owners arrested.
Some fled to exile in the United States. As one observer described, “all
opposition was overcome through the comparatively unrefined tech-
niques of beatings, murders or forced exile” (Wiarda, 1968:52). These
tactics allowed the Trujillo family to gain control of over 50 percent of
the arable land in the country—an estimated 700,000 acres (Wiarda,
94 Gangster States
5.13 Haiti
levies “that could either bring about their ruin or ensure their success”
(1972:49).
As many international observers have noted, Haiti still remains one
of the most impoverished countries in the hemisphere. Some anecdotal
reports suggest that the predatory dynamics of the Duvalier regime
still remain in place and that foreign aid has now become a focal
point of political looting. The detailed narrative provided by Timothy
Schwartz provides many examples to support these conclusions. Haitian
police, for instance, are described as “totally unreliable in the case of
crime, indeed inclined to save the criminal and persecute the victim”
(Schwartz, 2012:Kindle edition location 585).
One government road-building initiative in rural Haiti was alleg-
edly controlled by a local strongman who “monopolized access to jobs
on the road . . . forcing anyone who worked on the project to give
him a twenty-five percent kickback from their paychecks” (Schwartz,
2012:Kindle edition location 616). This same individual also controlled
road-building materials and sold them for profit in the informal econ-
omy in addition to falsifying land titles and selling supplies to UNOPS
(the United Nations Office for Project Services). The result was to greatly
inflate the cost of road building while sharply reducing the quality and
quantity of the final product.
In another example of government predation, a local state coopera-
tive in Haiti advertised a banking service to peasant farmers, promising
to pay interest at 23 percent per month on cash deposits. Most farmers
were skeptical, but a few intrepid souls opened savings accounts. After a
few months, they saw their balances grow and encouraged their friends
to participate as well. Encouraged by these small successes,
5.14 Zaire
The collapse of the Communist superpower, the Soviet Union, is the single
most important event prompting the exponential growth of organized crime
around the world in the last two decades. Almost overnight, it provoked
a chaotic scramble for riches and survival that saw virtually every citizen
sucked into a vortex of violence. From the bitter wards of the Caucasus to
the shoot-outs in towns and cities, this was a deadly environment as a new
100 Gangster States
The financial crisis of 2008 led some critics to assert that decades of
banking deregulation and free-market fundamentalism have allowed
racketeering to increasingly intrude into the formal sector of the US
economy (Naylor, 2002; Smith, 2010). In other words, deregulation has
102 Gangster States
104
Things Fall Apart . . . and Rebuild 105
[T]he roads leading toward the present complexity are the major
concerns of general, or universal evolutionists . . . In other words,
research starts at the highest level of complexity in order to trace back
its origins and development. Small wonder that such an approach
invariably results in unilinear models that indicate an ever-growing
complexity (1985:8).
For the first half of the 20th century, belief in the Doctrine of Progress
was sustained by positioning impoverished, unstable, insecure regimes
as starting points on a linear developmental continuum. Two variants
of modernist ideology offered competing frameworks for improving
conditions in these “underdeveloped” countries: modernization theory,
which proposed that problems of underdevelopment be addressed by
facilitating economic growth, and Marxist/Leninist theory, which pro-
posed revolutionary socialism and state control of markets as the answer
(Berger, 1974) (3).
Modernization theory and Marxism both reflect modernity’s recon-
figuration of time from premodern, sacred “archetypal time” (described
by Octavio Paz as “time outside of time—the eternity of devils and
angels, the just and the damned”) to a linear, secular, irreversible “cult
of progress” that reconfigures human history as a narrative of ongoing
betterment (Paz, 1990:3) (4). The abrupt breakup of the USSR and its
rapid “devolution” from global superpower to violent mafiacracy in the
1990s threw this linear progressivism into question. Political collapse
was no longer a phenomenon of the remote past visible in archaeologi-
cal ruins; it appeared to be unfolding throughout the post-Soviet world
in ways that confounded modernist assumptions of linear, progressive
time. Modernity promised “a vista of infinite improvement” (Ulam,
1966:116), but in the mid-1990s, the post-Soviet world was looking a lot
more like humanity’s primitive past.
Things Fall Apart . . . and Rebuild 107
The model presented here rejects the one-way evolutionism and direc-
tionality embedded within Enlightenment models of state formation.
Instead, I present a Darwinian alternative that has no embedded notions
of directionality or progress and proposes that states are made and
unmade by the same invisible hands: racketeering and organized crime.
Racketeering organizes economic production to enrich elites and creates
a monopoly on violence with defined geographic territory. It creates the
institutional scaffolding that facilitates the subsequent development of
formal political institutions associated with bureaucratic states.
This alternative model of state formation makes it easier to visualize
inverse processes of territorial contraction, decline and collapse. Com-
petitive racketeering (when two racketeers fight to monopolize the same
resources or the same territory) can rapidly destabilize and disorganize
economic production. In these cases, resources are increasingly squeezed
from peasant producers to provision armies, leaving human and natu-
ral resources vulnerable to over-extension and collapse. Rival racketeers
also attack one another’s productive infrastructure, leading to rapid
economic and political decline. These conflicts resolve only when one
group of racketeers successfully sustains a monopoly on violence within
a given territory over time. This is the point at which production and
commerce can begin to regenerate. But this stable phase is also tempo-
rary, as any number of other variables can combine to reignite conflict.
In this model, the evolutionary phase from gang to state (and back
again) is inscribed geographically, visible in the expansion, contraction
or erasure of political-economic boundaries over time. Racketeering
(including territorial contests between rival racketeers) is correspond-
ingly understood to be the energetic core that drives the transformation
from one phase to another. This is a dynamic model in which no phase
is final, and there is no positive directionality to evolutionary process.
Instead, territorial gangs, kleptocratic gangster-states, democratic states,
empires and failed states are all understood as potential iterations of
a dynamic, longitudinal, bidirectional evolutionary process. Any phase
can “progress” to the next or the previous level, depending on the cir-
cumstances in a given area. Just as warring gangs can naturally stabilize
into territorial proto-states with fixed boundaries, bureaucratic states can
also evolve into post-state chieftaincies that decentralize territories of
110 Gangster States
Achille Mbembe and Charles Piot have used the term “gray zones” to
describe the decoupling of gangster-warlord cartographies from formal
political boundaries in Africa (Piot, 2010). Gray zones are equivalent
to “ungoverned spaces” (Clunan, 2010), “phantom or mirage states”
(Gros, 1996) or the interstitial “warlord territories” described by William
Reno (1998) and Kimberly Marten (2012). International security spe-
cialists find gray zones worrisome, as they often become sanctuaries for
“terrorists, proliferators of weapons of mass destruction (WMD), narco-
traffickers and gangsters” (Clunan, 2010:3).
114 Gangster States
mutilated bodies may persist for long periods of time, terrorizing onlook-
ers and indicating complete breakdown of kin relations and social order.
Smith described coming across a number of such scenes while fighting
in the Congo during the 1960s:
Some elements of this pattern were repeated in Zaire during the 1990s.
When Mobutu’s mirage state finally collapsed, urban areas were left
without the resources necessary to maintain morgues and organize buri-
als (see The Economist, 22 March 1997). According to the New York Times,
during this final phase of destruction, defeated Zairian soldiers stole
United Nations transport vehicles in order to further “pillage Zairian
towns rather than beating a tactical retreat or digging in to defensive
positions” (French, 1996). By doing this, they effectively completed the
evolutionary cycle from predatory gang to kleptocratic state and back
again. Many inhabitants implored rebel groups to advance into the capi-
tal city and restore order (see The Economist, 22 March 1997).
The complete failure of Zaire eventually resulted in the generation
of a secondary polity under the control of a former rebel commander.
But it is difficult to say if the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC)
has improved the lives of impoverished citizens. After decades of eco-
nomic predation and conflict under Mobutu, many zones of the DRC
remain gray, and mortality rates from displacement, malnutrition and
preventable diseases are high (IRC, 2007). Mining regions remain con-
tested spaces as new rebel groups (often backed by rival kleptocrats from
neighboring countries) try to “muscle in” on established smuggling net-
works to finance their own territorial challenges (11).
In Somalia, competing racketeer-warlords hijacked humanitarian
shipments of food, effectively amplifying gray-zone hunger and dislo-
cation into crises of starvation and famine in order to increase their
own political/economic power. Water reservoirs in enemy territories
were intentionally destroyed by rival clan militias during these conflicts
(see Adam, 1995). This is the terrible economic logic of racketeering:
the greater the level of hunger and desperation, the more power will be
gained by groups who find a way to monopolize scarce resources. This
116 Gangster States
6.7 Yugoslavia/Bosnia
When the Soviet Union collapsed in the early 1990s, individual ethnic
groups in Yugoslavia sought to establish new states based largely on the
internal territorial divisions of the six provinces. The Yugoslav military
had a large number of Serbs who were suddenly left without a formal
nation or a socialist revolution for which to fight. A fierce ethnic con-
sciousness arose, and Serb soldiers began “cleansing” other groups from
what they perceived to be their ancestral territories. Bosnians and Mus-
lims were denounced as enemy invaders, even though all three groups
had previously coexisted for many decades in the same neighborhoods.
Non-Serbs in these territories were systematically dispossessed of home-
steads and property. Those who resisted were killed, placed in concentra-
tion camps or forced into exile (Mahmutcehajic, 2003; Rieff, 1998) (12).
This outbreak of ethnic violence shocked and confused many observ-
ers, in part because it seemed so temporally, geographically and histori-
cally wrong. State failure and ethnic massacres were expected to happen
in “underdeveloped” parts of the world but not in modern “civilized”
Europe. David Rieff offers an excellent description of cognitive disso-
nance generated by these aspects of the Bosnian conflicts:
that (as Rieff points out) was unimaginable to the majority of the inhab-
itants, as well as to many observers from surrounding countries (see
Mahmutcehaijic, 2003).
At the beginning of the conflict, Bosnia did not have a professional
army and was unable to protect its own imagined ethnic nation from
incursion by more highly trained Serbs. For protection, Bosnian lead-
ers repurposed powerful organized crime groups (with their associated
weaponry and racketeer-soldiers) into a defense force for the city of Sara-
jevo. This development was viewed positively by most residents, who
hailed the gangsters as a “patriotic mafia” protecting the fragile Bosnian
proto-state from invasion (Andreas, 2008:28).
This racketeer-army functioned reasonably well as a defense force. But
over time, capital accumulation began to take precedence over defense,
and it was no longer clear whether these troops were protecting Bosnian
civilians or their own lucrative monopoly on the city’s black-market
commerce (Andreas, 2008; Rieff, 1998). The siege of Sarajevo lasted
almost four years. During that time, Serb forces surrounded the city and
launched daily assaults with sniper fire and mortar attacks and main-
tained a blockade that prevented most goods from entering or leaving.
To prevent mass starvation, the United Nations undertook humanitar-
ian relief operations in the form of an airlift of supplies delivered to
the Sarajevo airport, where they were relayed in convoys to distribution
points for the neediest citizens.
Bosnia’s racketeer-soldiers provided “security” for these daily UN ship-
ments and (similar to Somali warlords) soon began imposing predatory
taxation in goods and cash. Over time, this percentage was estimated to
reach approximately 30 percent of all humanitarian shipments (Andreas,
2008). Skimmed goods were sold at highly inflated prices on the black
market to desperate Sarajevans. According to Peter Andreas, the price of
a carton of American cigarettes at a UN retail store was increased tenfold
when resold on the black market (2008:49).
These perverse economic incentives shaped the later years of the con-
flict. In some cases, “aid convoys were deliberately stalled” by Bosnia’s
racketeer-army as a way to further inflate black-market prices for stolen
goods. These artificially engineered shortages exponentially increased
profit margins (Andreas, 2008:45). The end result was a prolongation of
the siege, which greatly intensified suffering of the captive civilian pop-
ulation. By the final years of the war, Sarajevo’s defenders were “increas-
ingly stealing from and terrorizing those they were supposed to be
defending” (Andreas, 2008:91). Aid convoys were hijacked and storage
facilities raided. Ordinary citizens were kidnapped by racketeer soldiers
120 Gangster States
and forced to dig trenches on the front lines. Others were killed simply
because military gangsters coveted their apartments. Shakedowns and
extortion were common.
Even more interesting was the way the expansion of the informal
economy facilitated the emergence of a parallel informal society that
forged bonds across ethnic groups in the underworld. Even while bru-
tal ethnic violence was ongoing in the upper world, the underworld
became a place of shared business interests, reciprocity and multiethnic
collaboration (Andreas, 2008).
These illicit trade networks helped forge post-conflict relationships
between leaders of the newly partitioned regimes. The wealth generated
by these activities also fueled the creation of a highly corrupt, quasi-
criminal group of political-military leaders (Andreas, 2008; Dlouhy,
1999; United States Government General Accounting Office, 2000). The
pre-conflict mafia helped build the post-conflict state, and once these
political gangsters became ensconced as public officials, they continued
to exploit the public sector for private gain. One New York Times arti-
cle claimed that nearly a billion dollars of aid sent for post-war recon-
struction in Bosnia was diverted to private hands (Hedges, 1999). A
US General Accounting Office report released in 2000 also stated that
“[w]artime underground networks have turned into political criminal
networks involved in massive smuggling, tax evasion and trafficking in
women and stolen cars” (General Accounting Office, 2000:2–3).
This work began back in the 1990s, when a seedy crime novel collided
with a graduate seminar in evolutionary biology to generate an unusual
set of research questions: Is racketeering an evolutionary stable strategy?
Is the geographic inscription of protection rackets a phase of primary
and secondary state formation? How do conflicts between rival racket-
eers shape longitudinal patterns of inequality, political stability, state
formation and state failure?
These questions are not answerable with conventional research meth-
ods in anthropology. The underworld does not readily give up its secrets
to law enforcement professionals, much less social scientists. Prehistory
is temporally remote, and failed states are inhospitable places to con-
duct research. Organized crime, state formation and political collapse
cannot be easily simulated in laboratory settings.
These limitations, however, do not mean these questions are unan-
swerable. The indirect methods used in this work still reveal important
patterns and generate testable hypotheses (1). While this approach may
not reflect the same gold standard of empiricism as research in biomedi-
cal or physical sciences, indirect methods can advance knowledge and
contribute to scholarly debates about the political economy of organ-
ized crime and state formation.
Archaeologists, for instance, cannot observe prehistoric societies in
real time. Instead, they reconstruct the political and economic lives of
past populations by excavating and analyzing material remains. This
research suggests that monopoly control of resources was one of the
key traits driving the development of complexity in prehistoric societies
(Shifferd, 1987; Earle, 2002). Armies, agricultural subsistence, marked
geographic boundaries, warfare, complexity and economic stratification
all appear together as defining features of early states in widely divergent
cultural contexts (Brown, 1987; Carneiro, 1970, 1988, 2003; Classen and
122
Darwinian Political Economy 123
Van de Velde, 1987; Cohen, 1978, 1991; Earle, 2002; Service, 1968, 1978;
Shifferd, 1987).
Criminologists cannot easily observe behavior like racketeering in the
contemporary era. But they can study aggregate data to identify com-
mon patterns. One of the most consistent patterns visible in the study
of organized crime is its overwhelming prevalence around the world.
Organized crime exists in all countries, regardless of surrounding politi-
cal, cultural or religious beliefs or whether the country has a socialist
or capitalist economic system. This is true even for extremely closed,
controlled environments such as prisons. Inmates have no right to pri-
vacy or property, yet they still manage to form sophisticated smuggling
gangs to oversee trade in contraband goods. The appearance of organ-
ized crime and racketeering in so many different cultural, geographic
and temporal contexts suggests the existence of a common evolutionary
mechanism.
in any one region, gray zones may become spaces of deeply entrenched
violence and human misery (2). Competitive destruction of infrastruc-
ture and public acts of terror may be routinely directed against the cap-
tive population. Relief agencies and peacekeeping troops can become
unwitting accomplices to these conflicts as aid convoys are hijacked and
used to resupply warring militias.
If a racketeering group succeeds in establishing itself as an autono-
mous sovereign polity, it will retain a kleptocratic core. There will be few
public-sector resources, and wealth generated by the country’s produc-
tive activities will be aggregated upward into the hands of elites. The
presence of gangster-kleptocrats in office will generate rival gangster-
kleptocrat insurgencies in the informal economy (see Grossman, 1999).
Longitudinal historical research illustrates that this pattern was mani-
fest in Cuba and other Caribbean countries during the 20th century (3).
While in power, Cuba’s racketeer-politicians used political power to gain
monopoly control of numerous industries, including the lucrative vice
markets of the informal economy. By the 1920s, the public sector was
increasingly impoverished, large international bank loans were used to
cover budgetary shortfalls and the country sank into a morass of debt,
instability and corruption. Coalitions of rival kleptocrats collaborated
with international organized crime groups during this time to smuggle
contraband, purchase weapons and seize control of the public sector.
Over time, the scope of these contests amplified until the government
became dysfunctional and impoverished. Parallel historical research in
Haiti and the Dominican Republic reveal similar patterns of kleptocracy
and racketeering in the regimes of Trujillo and Duvalier.
Behavioral ecology also predicts that behavioral systems naturally
evolve toward stability. This means that a stateless realm composed
exclusively of cooperative economic actors is easily invaded by racket-
eering. It also means that a stateless realm of violent political collapse
can be invaded by stabilizing innovations of protection rackets. In other
words, evolutionary theory predicts that failed states will not persist in
a state of anarchy but will naturally regenerate functional, productive
(though asymmetrical) political economies over time. These second-
ary states will also be extractive gangster-states, but they will regenerate
commerce and some degree of political order.
Useful evidence of the way racketeering serves a dual force of state
building and state destruction can be found in many secondary sources,
including recent studies of failed and failing states (Andreas, 2008; Eng-
vall, 2006; Ezrow and Frantz, 2013; Lemarchand, 2003; Marten, 2012;
Markowitz, 2013; Prunier and Gisselquist, 2003; Rasanayagam, 2011;
126 Gangster States
When these diverse strands of evidence are woven together, they support
a cyclical Darwinian rather than a linear or stepwise model of political
economy and sociopolitical evolution. A Spencerian worldview assumes
that continuous improvement in all things is the natural order of the
universe. Vestiges of these beliefs still influence thinking in econom-
ics and political theory. Economists focus their energies on generating
positive growth curves that naturalize “vistas of infinite improvement.”
Political scientists still regard the evolution of the state as a one-way
transition that symbolizes the emergence of civilization. Failed states are
seen as troubling aberrations, and political economies that do not con-
form to Enlightenment visions of the Westphalian state are described as
corruptions of an idealized norm.
Almost no one questioned the linearity of history or the inevitability
of progress during the first half of the 20th century. Between 1900 and
1950, the world witnessed a dizzying array of innovations (sanitation,
water, vaccines, antibiotics, transportation, refrigeration) that greatly
improved human health and welfare and led to an overwhelming sense
of optimism about the future. This was evident in a euphoric speech
given by a British Labor Party leader in the 1940s, in which he promised
Darwinian Political Economy 127
the country would soon be delivered from “the giant evils of Want, Dis-
ease, Ignorance and Squalor” (quoted in Ulam, 1966:117).
By the 1960s, these goals had receded to a more modest vision: “to
close the gap in the balance of payments” (Ulam, 1966:117). A similar
scaling back of expectations took place in the futuristic visions of Soviet
leaders. The original Marxist idea of a perfect society of equality and har-
mony was downgraded around the same time to one of increased steel
production and “free rides on buses and railways” promised by Kruschev
(Ulam, 1966:117). As Adam Ulam dryly noted, “Those are not the kinds
of things which stir men’s hearts and imaginations” (p. 117).
The collapse of the Soviet Union in the 1990s further eroded popular
faith in the future, as post-Soviet societies seemed to be inexplicably
regressing into an array of premodern forms: gangster-kleptocracies,
warring chieftaincies, failed states and “contemporary feudal societies”
(Shlapentokh, 2007). These trends have only intensified in the first dec-
ades of the 21st century. Militarized interventions and failed state-build-
ing efforts in Iraq have left behind “a toxic brew of sectarian politics and
oil-fueled kleptocracy” (Khedery, 2014). At the time of this writing, parts
of the Middle East have become dominated by rival militias fighting to
establish a “medieval caliphate” funded by revenues gained from illicit
exploitation of petroleum reserves. Ethnic violence has erupted, and
entire communities of religious minorities have been killed and placed
on display in horrific ways (Khedery, 2014). Similar patterns are visible
in the reconstructed Afghan polity, which remains dominated by “war-
lords with dark pasts” who show little concern for improving health or
security for the population (Nordland, 2014).
Equally disturbing premodern trends have become visible in patterns
of global health. Diseases from the 19th century, like cholera, polio,
measles and whooping cough, have increased dramatically in recent
years, in part due to expanding gangster-state political economies that
make effective containment of infectious disease impossible (4). Charles
Piot has perfectly captured the sense of collective dismay generated by
these painful regressions in the title of his recent ethnography, Nostalgia
for the Future (2010).
A cyclical Darwinian model of political-economic evolution does
not view the emergence of premodern political economies or health
patterns in the contemporary era as a temporal or developmental
paradox. In a cyclical model, from a certain vantage point, the future
begins to look a lot like the past (5). Darwinian theory does not natu-
ralize the present complexity of human society but instead views it
as a recent and potentially fragile aberration. There are no “vistas of
128 Gangster States
1 Introduction
1 Criminologists may be perplexed to hear of anyone in the 21st century
describing organized crime in ethnic terms. But the field of cultural anthro-
pology remains organized around concepts of cultural determinism, rela-
tivism and historical particularism. Few anthropologists study organized
crime, but when they do it is most often explored through ethnographic
field research. This immersion generates powerful narratives of lived experi-
ence that provide a human voice to the more distanced analytical writings
of other social scientists (see Nordstrom, 2007, and the collected articles in
Ferrell and Hamm, 1998). Because they are focused on the ethnography of
lived experience, cultural anthropologists are not looking for economic laws
that configure longitudinal patterns of organized crime and racketeering.
Exploring the lived experience of crime does not generate an anthropological
theory of crime, since each narrative is embedded in its own ethnographic
specificity.
The atheoretical approach to organized crime found in anthropology is
reinforced by postmodern social theory, which challenges the very translat-
ability of Western concepts like “crime” or “corruption.” Any attempt by
anthropologists to develop a universal model of organized crime would most
likely be regarded as an act of cultural imperialism or hegemony by post-
modern scholars (see Cormaroff and Cormaroff, 2007; Penglase, Kane and
Parnell, 2009).
As a result, anthropology has no consistent approach to the study of organ-
ized crime. At a recent meeting of the American Anthropological Associa-
tion, in fact, I heard a distinguished scholar introduce his panel on organized
crime and illicit markets in South America by stating, “What is organized
crime? I have no idea.” In other AAA panels on crime, I have seen anthro-
pologists present organized crime in ethnic, cultural terms and in orthodox
Marxist terms without ever addressing the fundamental incompatibility of
these two approaches.
Marxist scholars interpret crime (especially among impoverished ethnic
minorities, postcolonial subjects or immigrant populations) as a form of
resistance to capitalist exploitation and hegemony. This approach is visible
in the works of Phillipe Bourgois (2002, 2009) and Jean and John Cormaroff
(2007). In these works, racketeering and violence in postcolonial states are
explained as a way for disempowered postcolonial subjects to gain access to
resources traditionally monopolized by European elites. Louis Perez’s work
on 20th century Cuba offers ideological justifications to explain crime and
corruption in Cuban politics during the early 20th century (1978, 1986).
Some Marxist anthropologists have also interpreted outbreaks of gangsterism
in the post-Soviet world as part of the larger pattern of Western imperialism
129
130 Notes
and colonial violence (see Callari, Cullenberg and Biewener, 1996; Spivak,
1996; Gibson-Graham, 1996).
The model presented in this work does not follow any of these anthropo-
logical traditions. The research is not ethnographic, and the guiding theory is
not Marxist or postmodern. Instead, I apply models from behavioral ecology
to predict the evolution of organized crime in systems of exchange and then
explore case studies through primary and secondary historical research. This
approach has more in common with the work of British social anthropolo-
gists than American cultural anthropologists, as it focuses on social relations
and stratification in a way that minimizes the significance of culture. There
are also some areas of overlap with works on cultural evolution in archae-
ology. These researchers remain curious about the origins of stratification,
inequality and complexity in human societies (for interesting reading in this
area, see Carniero, 2003; Earle, 1998, 2002; Sanderson, 1990; Trigger, 1998;
Wright, 2006; Parkinson and Galaty, 2007).
2 For useful anthropological discussions of the role of economic exchange in
structuring social life and political hierarchy in prehistoric chiefdoms and
states, see Earle (1998, 2002) and Sahlins (1974). These researchers have based
their work on insights obtained from socially informed economists like Karl
Polanyi.
3 Some scholars have argued that there is no such thing as a stateless realm in
the modern world, since all the earth’s territory is mapped by cartographers,
and no territory (except for Antarctica) falls outside of defined nation-states
(see Marten, 2012). If maps are the only indicators of the existence of a state,
this is true. But there are other stateless territories that do not appear on maps.
This includes the liminal space of the informal economy, which by definition
falls outside the control of the state, even when transactions take place within
defined national borders. Contested borderlands between nation-states can
become very lucrative smuggling territories and may be colonized by organ-
ized crime groups who become de facto security services for these zones. These
gangster-territories are not typically mapped by cartographers, even though
the formal state has technically ceded control of these lands to smuggling
cartels.
Political scientists and economists sometimes mistakenly conflate “state-
lessness” with anarchy, which is very troubling to anthropologists. Much
anthropological field research takes place in remote areas, among tribal
populations who may have little if any connection to a national govern-
ment. These tribal societies are not characterized by Hobbesian anarchy but
typically have kin-based systems of political authority and conflict resolu-
tion. For some classic readings in this area, see Lewellen, 1992; McGlynn and
Tuden, 1991; Leach, 1967; Bohannan, 1989.
4 Academic research on organized crime is often limited by problems of data
collection. It is difficult for researchers to study organized crime ethnograph-
ically in contemporary populations. Declassified historical records offer a
much better way to learn about the longitudinal dynamics of crime and
corruption in any one locale. These sources include police reports, consular
dispatches, narratives from confidential informants, transcripts of recorded
conversation and social network maps. Many of these documents contain
very specific economic data, such as estimates of the total dollar amount
Notes 131
of narcotics traffic passing through a specific port or payoff rates for politi-
cians following a contentious election. Some documents provide a surprising
degree of detail about organized crime connections between leading political
figures and businesspeople. These facts and figures can be reassembled in
biographical and chronological form to create a mosaic history of the under-
world in a particular location. It is especially useful to triangulate multiple
record collections, since police and intelligence agencies typically conceal
information from one another in an attempt to protect the integrity of an
active investigation. The FBI and CIA were once rather famously opposi-
tional in this regard—they refused to share data and actively spied on one
another as much as or more than they spied on foreign operatives. When
sufficient time has elapsed for records to become declassified, it is possible to
review documents from multiple intelligence agencies to gain a much more
comprehensive picture of underworld events than could be obtained from
any one source.
5 Some interdisciplinary scholars have done truly innovative research that
bridges economics, criminology and political science. My own favorite works
in this area would include Andreas (2008, 2013); Acemoglu, Robinson and
Verdier (2004); Anderson (1995); Frye and Shleifer (1997); Gambetta (1993);
Gloster-Coates and Quest (2005); Naylor (2002, 2003); Naím (2005); Rasanay-
agam (2011); Reuter (1985, 1995); Skaperdas and Syropoulos (1995); Frye and
Shleifer (1997); Marcomiller and Young (1995); Grossman (1995, 1999); and
Zack-Williams (1990).
As a general rule, however, economists do not study criminal economic
activity. This is in part because economic activity in the informal sector does
not lend itself to robust empirical research or quantitative modeling. Infor-
mation obtained from criminals is inherently unreliable, and information
obtained from law enforcement is often fragmented and anecdotal. Crimi-
nologists are (by definition) interested in reducing or combating crime, and
this mandate commonly shapes research in the field. Focusing on crime con-
trol makes for a very different set of research priorities than understanding
the natural evolution of crime.
6 This stateless realm is hypothetical because it is not a literal place or time.
We know (because archaeologists tell us so) that states are a relatively recent
innovation for human societies. But it is not possible to use the archaeological
record to delineate a specific moment at which a state has evolved. We also
know (because historians tell us so) that states appear, disappear and recon-
figure their boundaries over time. These processes are also gradual and may
extend beyond a single human life span. Periods of statelessness may occur
that are only visible in retrospect. State collapse is by definition a time of vio-
lence and chaos and is difficult to study empirically.
7 A curious addendum has to follow this statement. It turns out that in some
circumstances intestinal parasites are desirable additions to the human gut.
People who suffer autoimmune diseases like IBS or Crohn’s disease have been
shown to benefit from intentional infection with benign intestinal parasites.
The reasoning behind this unconventional treatment is that the human gut
originally evolved in the presence of parasites, and the absence of these crea-
tures in contemporary populations may create pathologies of autoimmune
dysfunction. For details see Sachs, 2008.
132 Notes
8 This description applies to many similar regimes around the world, past and
present. Markowitz (2013) offers observations from Tajikistan, where people
in certain regions of the country were described as “terrified of the secu-
rity and police agents” (2013:Kindle edition location 1924). Schwartz (2012)
described witnessing a surreal nighttime scene in rural Haiti that involved
agents of the SIMO (described as the “feared special police”) fighting with
cocaine smugglers, rural peasants and a local judge to retrieve and resell
packages of cocaine spilled during an aborted Colombian drug-smuggling
flight. According to Schwartz, “the judge reputedly made over US$500,000
before he was relieved of his judgeship by . . . superiors who were unhappy
at not getting their cut” (Kindle edition location 3699).
9 Scenarios like this are commonly encountered by individuals from humani-
tarian relief organizations who are sent to provide emergency assistance to
starving non-combatants trapped in these contested territories. In the case
of Somalia, international donations of food aid became a new locus of com-
petition between gangster-warlords, who hijacked shipments and diverted
supplies to their own forces, further exacerbating the region’s famine and
humanitarian crisis. By the time a decision was made to send US troops to
provide humanitarian aid, approximately 80 percent of relief goods were
being looted (Ezrow and Frantz, 2013:Kindle edition location 8076). As a
result, at least 300,000 people died in Somalia from starvation, disease and
dislocation between 1991 and 1993 (Mills, Pham and Kilcullen, 2013). It is
not uncommon for international aid workers to express outrage and frustra-
tion when humanitarian aid supplies are looted by armed militias or diverted
by government kleptocrats. See Schwartz (2012) for a discussion of how these
dynamics have contributed to failed international relief and development
initiatives in Haiti.
10 In Full House, Steven J. Gould provides an insightful discussion of all the
ways Darwin’s ideas combined with the emerging science of paleontology
during the Victorian era to “dethrone” deeply held beliefs about the place
of humankind in the cosmos and the inevitability of progress over time
(1996:18–19). This expanded temporal perspective suggests a universe of ran-
dom catastrophes and periodic mass extinction events. The “deep geologic
time” unearthed by research in paleontology further diminishes the signifi-
cance of humanity in the cosmos. Or, as Gould put it in a public lecture I
attended in Atlanta, if the timeline of Earth’s history as a planet were repre-
sented by the distance between a man’s nose to the tip of his index finger,
all of human existence could be erased by the single pass of a nail file. This is
not a feel-good message.
11 Criminologists may have some difficulty with these assertions. Robert Lacey
has described the field as composed of equal parts “science, gossip and the-
ology” (Lacey, 1991:367). By this he means that criminologists struggle to
formulate a science out of fragmented and anecdotal information (gossip)
provided by unwilling and dishonest informants. The theology of organized
crime is what unifies the field in the face of these methodological challenges.
This is not a literal theology, but it occupies a parallel niche. The moral con-
sensus of criminology and law enforcement imposes order on underworld
violence by locating the origin of these atrocities in human wickedness and
vice. This approach shields law enforcement personnel from the trauma that
Notes 133
would otherwise result from too much exposure to the chaotic violence and
suffering of this realm. Police must confront the bloody aftermath of organ-
ized crime conflicts and reconcile the dead bodies and brutality of this realm
on a daily basis. Constant exposure to chaotic homicidal violence is likely
to result in psychological stresses of alienation and “annihilation anxiety,”
which Robert J. Lifton has described as one of the most painful of human
emotions and the “forerunner of all human anxiety” (1961:70). Under these
circumstances, the emergence of quasi-theological beliefs about organized
crime is rational and protective.
Strong theology may be psychologically protective, but it also serves to
stifle innovation. The study of infectious disease offers a useful historical
analogy of these dynamics. In the early 1800s, lethal epidemics were under-
stood in theological terms as evidence of God’s displeasure with human
wickedness and sin (Johnson, 2006; Rosenberg, 1987). Physicians and reli-
gious leaders responded to outbreaks of cholera by calling for a national
day of prayer as well as increased vigilance against moral degeneration.
Eventually a contrarian physician decided to map cholera cases in two
London neighborhoods to see if the geographic distribution of the disease
could help determine a cause. This was doubly heretical, as it challenged
prevailing medical and religious beliefs about the origins of the disease. It
seemed unthinkable that a plague that produced such theological agony
(Why is God so capricious and cruel?) could be prevented by something
as mundane as sewer systems. This secular transformation, however, even-
tually laid the foundation for the modern science of epidemiology and
the first effective strategies for limiting the spread of waterborne diseases.
Exploring organized crime and kleptocracy from a secular, naturalistic per-
spective will hopefully offer similar strategies for improved prevention and
control.
12 As is almost always the case, clever science-fiction writers are ahead of social
scientists in imagining what a gangster-state future for the United States
might look like. One of the most ironic of these portrayals comes from the
opening pages of Neil Stephenson’s classic Snow Crash (1992). In this futur-
istic dystopia, the private sector is dominated by the mafia, and the gov-
ernment has retreated to a shadowy, secretive entity that does little more
than hoard electronic data obtained from massive surveillance of all citizens.
The mafia owns a chain of pizza parlors called CosaNostra Pizza that openly
advertise with giant billboards that say, “The mafia: you’ve got a friend in the
family!”
3 Failing Economics
1 As previously mentioned, there are a number of innovative economists who
do model the organization of racketeering and organized crime. See Acemo-
glu, Robinson and Verdier (2004); Gambetta (1993); Naylor (2002, 2003); Reu-
ter (1985, 1995); Skaperdas and Syropoulos (1995); Frye and Shleifer (1997);
Marcomiller and Young (1995); Grossman (1999).
2 The recently published work of Ezrow and Frantz (2013) has some excellent
comparative data on corruption and kleptocracy from several different regimes
around the world, including Indonesia, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, Geor-
gia, Russia, Mexico, Uganda, the Philippines, Kazakhstan and Bangladesh.
Notes 137
Reno (1999) also presents some excellent data on kleptocratic looting in Sierra
Leone, Zaire and Nigeria.
3 An analogous situation once prevailed among microbiologists. Early in the
20th century, it was recognized that certain kinds of fungi could contaminate
bacterial cultures. Scientists would become frustrated when this happened,
since it meant that they would have to discard their cultures and begin experi-
ments anew. One scientist, however, suspected that the contaminants them-
selves might be of interest, and this shift in perspective eventually resulted
in the discovery of penicillin. In other words, when the language of science
constructs a substance or a behavior as an unwanted contaminant, it becomes
excluded from analysis. This protects the purity of existing models but ulti-
mately serves to limit the ability of researchers to grasp the significance of
unanticipated events and processes.
4 My own field of anthropology has been troubling in this regard. During all of
my years of undergraduate and graduate training, I never heard a single anthro-
pology professor describe the USSR or any of its satellites in anything other
than positive terms. This was particularly apparent in the area of comparative
health research. Soviet health statistics (now known to have been censored and
falsified) were held up as evidence for the moral superiority of socialism and
the necessity of Marxist revolutions as a precondition to improve the health of
the working class. Praise for the USSR in anthropology has diminished in recent
years as the true extent of environmental degradation, biowarfare research and
human rights abuses has become more widely known.
5 Many social scientists still use Marxist theory to explain social problems in
the contemporary era, despite the apparent uselessness of Marxism for pre-
dicting the repression and violence of Soviet society, the rapidity with which
the USSR collapsed or the widespread gangsterism that resulted in the after-
math. Social theorists still invoke capitalism as the cause of global poverty and
oppression. Irving Horowitz has used the term “leftist myopia” to describe
this tendency and has argued that postmodern leftists have “replaced uto-
pia with myopia” (1993:32). My own beliefs on this topic have been heavily
influenced by the writings of Soviet and Cuban dissidents (Edwards, 1993;
Hollander, 1983, 1998; Llovio-Menendez, 1988; Padilla, 1984) as well as theo-
rists such as Abbott Gleason (1997), Stephen Louw (1997), Leszek Kolakowski
(1977, 1978), Martin Malia (1994), Frank Manuel (1992) and Peter Berger
(1974, 1977, 1986).
6 In 1997 and 1998, I spent nearly ten months in Cuba conducting research for
my PhD thesis. This experience provided a fascinating glimpse into the pecu-
liar political-economic contradictions of late socialism in a struggling Soviet
satellite. After the fall of the USSR, Cuba experienced a severe economic col-
lapse as Soviet subsidies were eliminated virtually overnight. A number of
policies were enacted to try and prevent collapse. These included limited free-
market activities and licensing of private home-based businesses like small
restaurants. Only people with impeccable revolutionary credentials, however,
were allowed to participate in these privatized sectors of the economy. Gov-
ernment licensing restrictions served as a way to restrict capitalism to socialist
elites like high-ranking military or intelligence officers. Some Cubans referred
to these newly wealthy political types as Yummies: Young Upwardly Mobile
Marxists.
138 Notes
For a brief moment in the 1990s, free-market reforms and luxury hotels with
private beaches were touted as the most expedient path to achieving Marx’s
(and Fidel’s) vision of socialist equality. The decriminalization of American dol-
lars created considerable resentment among some sectors of the population:
one day holding dollars was punishable by a sentence of several years in prison;
the next day it was legalized and encouraged as a way to achieve socialism.
None of the prisoners serving jail terms were released when this policy change
was announced, as this would imply fallibility on the part of the regime. So
these Cubans were left to serve out their sentences even though their original
crimes had become revolutionary by the time of their release. By the end of the
1990s, when there were finally enough hotels in place to support the expan-
sion of the tourist trade, unauthorized renting of rooms to foreign visitors was
recriminalized. A “campaign against indiscipline” was launched that strove to
impose socialist purity on the increasingly decadent behaviors of new Cuban
elites. Black-market vendors were arrested, as were hundreds of prostitutes who
frequented tourist zones. This campaign was also short-lived.
7 A quotation from Mossimo Salvadori provides some useful detail on this point:
developing world and challenges a number of World Bank and IMF develop-
ment policies, including “shock therapy” for post-Soviet economies and other
failed utopian attempts to engineer free-market economies and democratic
governance. In the book, Easterly discusses the problem of cheating, and his
list of potential solutions reveals much about how economists see the world.
His suggestions are based exclusively in the private sector and include better
credit bureau reporting practices and more efficient debt collection agencies
(see Easterly 2006:88–95). Easterly also discusses organized crime and “Mafia-
like” organizations as potential providers of contract enforcement outside the
confines of the state. But he notes rather cryptically that this type of organiza-
tion “almost always overstays its welcome.” He concludes this discussion on
a decidedly ambiguous note, by stating, “Western social scientists don’t begin
to comprehend fully the complex process of state formation and rule of law in
the West, so they shouldn’t be too quick to predict how it will work anywhere
else” (p. 89).
3 Future researchers may develop a way to explore these predictions in labora-
tory settings. But empirical research is beyond the scope of this project, which
is focused more on generating new hypotheses for other researchers to test.
4 Readers without a background in anthropology will require some additional
discussion here. Most introductory anthropology classes begin by situating
humankind in evolutionary perspective. This includes presentation of a time-
line of human biological evolution as well as a timeline for various cultural
innovations. The vast majority of our time as a species has been spent in a
hunter-gatherer type of subsistence and social environment. These societies
are relatively egalitarian, populations are mobile and conflicts are typically
resolved by fissioning instead of warfare or violence (though homicide is not
unknown). Since these groups live off the land, there is very little surplus or
craft production, though trade within and outside the groups does take place.
Agricultural subsistence first developed around 10,000 years ago in the Middle
East, and industrial agricultural appeared only a few hundred years ago. Much
curiosity surrounds the transition to agriculture: Why would humans aban-
don hunting and gathering to take up farming? Paleopathological evidence
suggests this transition was very unhealthy for the majority of the popula-
tion. Skeletal remains from these communities show signs of growth stunt-
ing, nutritional stress, high rates of mortality, infectious disease and multiple
dental pathologies. The first signs of warfare, socioeconomic stratification and
craft specialization also occur along with this transition.
The hypothetical scenario presented here proposes that raiding behavior
most likely evolved together with production of agricultural surplus and that
this form of “cheating” is what underlay the subsequent emergence of sys-
temic complexity in early agricultural societies. A more specific evolutionary
pathway for this scenario would link increased population growth in early
farming communities with increased competition for desirable farmland and
water. For a variety of reasons, agricultural subsistence dramatically increases
human fertility. Even though death rates from infectious disease and malnu-
trition are high in prehistoric agricultural communities, the comparatively
high birth rate means population growth remained positive after transition-
ing to agricultural subsistence. Population pressures would presumably lead
to increased competition for arable land, with some kin groups dominating
140 Notes
the most desirable territories. Rival kin groups might end up in very mar-
ginal or unproductive lands and turn to raiding as a way to supplement their
resources. Raiding is likely to result in destructive cycles of feuding and retali-
ation, and even though farmers and raiders are linked in a single economy,
they may disaggregate into two distinct ethnic groups, each with its own
primary subsistence strategy. This pattern has been reported in several nota-
ble studies of ethnicity. Resource competition between groups seems to play
a consistent role in the creation and maintenance of ethnic boundaries and
ethnic tensions. For some classic case studies of this phenomenon, see the
articles collected by Barth, 1969.
5 This example illustrates the truth of a saying common to professional stock
traders: “First the innovators, then the imitators, then the idiots.” This refers
to the benefits of being the first to develop a new investment product, like
synthetic derivatives. The innovators are the ones who anticipate the next
big trend. Their success inspires dozens of imitators, who increase demand
and drive up prices. The idiots are the ones who buy in after the market has
peaked and who ultimately suffer huge losses. Several recent examples of this
pattern can be seen in the narratives of Das (2011), Lewis (2010) and Partnoy
(2009).
6 Cuba was chosen for several reasons. Cuba has a long history of close ties with
the US and had a heavy mafia presence during the booming casino years of
the 1940s and 1950s. There are abundant archival materials available in US
repositories.
7 This research involved the development of some unique archival methods
to create a thorough historical narrative from these fragmented, anecdotal
records. Early in my research it became clear that US government agencies
kept their information compartmentalized and were often more concerned
with protecting their own turf from encroachment by rival government agen-
cies. So diplomatic correspondence from the US Embassy in Havana might
include biographical background information on a group of Cuban politicians
for review by the State Department in Washington, DC. FBI agents monitoring
the activities of US organized crime groups operating in Havana might include
information to their superiors describing the smuggling operations or casino
skim received by those same politicians. Military Intelligence groups might
be monitoring the covert arms shipments of the same group of politicians.
US newspapers might carry police reports describing groups of Cuban revolu-
tionaries involved in weapons thefts from US military installations. In many
cases, these individual agency reports were referring to the exact same groups
of Cubans. Because their various activities (including colluding with organ-
ized crime groups, smuggling weapons, planning insurrections and eventually
running the country) were monitored by competing US agencies, the perspec-
tive of US officials became fragmented and incomplete. This became quite
evident in the late 1950s, when one US government agency was covertly pro-
viding arms and training to a group of Cuban rebels, whereupon another US
government agency would arrest the same rebels for violations of the Neutral-
ity Act.
By triangulating from multiple sources in this way, it became possible
to create a composite (though still incomplete) portrait of the fluid con-
duits between the Cuban underworld and the formal polity of the Cuban
(gangster-)state. Many of Cuba’s leading political figures from this era began
their careers as outlaws or political gangsters, seized power by force as insur-
gents, looted the country as kleptocrats, were unseated by rivals and returned
to the underworld to start the process anew.
8 Years of exploring the minutia of the Cuban underworld have left me deeply
cynical about the work of several leading historians in this area. Key elements
of the Castro regime’s self-serving hagiography have become repeated so
often, by so many historians, that these distortions are now widely accepted
as historical facts even though they are not supported by primary source mate-
rial. I have addressed some of these myths in my previous book (Hirschfeld,
2007), but more persist. Most troublesome is the tendency of leftist historians
to uncritically accept the Castro regime’s assertion that US imperialism was
solely to blame for Cuba’s widespread problems of poverty and other indi-
cators of underdevelopment prior to 1959. The history of the underworld
suggests instead that widespread looting and internecine warfare on the
part of the Cuban political gangsters played a major role in impoverishing
the nation. US policy toward Cuba vacillated between aggressive meddling
in Cuban affairs to more distanced laissez-faire manipulations. But neither
approach had much impact on politicians’ appetites for graft and looting.
142 Notes
in 1932 under the title Island of Lost Souls. In the film, a mad scientist has been
exiled to a tiny tropical island where he conducts vivisection and breeding
experiments intended to accelerate the evolution of animalistic natives (“sav-
ages”) into modern civilized humans. The film reflects all of the odd racial/
eugenic/evolutionary beliefs of the 19th century: the idea that evolution was
linear and stepwise; that white Europeans represented the final phase and ulti-
mate achievement of evolution; the notion that there were multiple species
of humans that could be ranked hierarchically, with the lowest groups indis-
tinguishable from animals; and the idea that eugenics and genetics could be
combined in ways that would allow human researchers to seize control of evo-
lutionary processes and optimize humankind through selective breeding.
3 Peter Berger defines the 20th century as a time of fierce ideological com-
petition between these two dueling ideologies of modernism: the myth of
revolution embraced by the Soviet Union and the myth of growth embraced
by the United States and other Western democracies. The language of West-
ern economists exalts growth as the engine of progress in a neo-Spencerian
way. The language of Marxism exalts revolution and anti-imperialism.
Berger regards both ideologies as equivalent to cargo cults that promise
impoverished countries prosperity and redemption for adhering to a specific
ideological program. In Berger’s words,
The myth of growth first must be seen within the larger context of a
mythology of modernity . . . The prime guarantor of movement toward
the mythic goal is man’s a bility to impose ever-increasing control over
both the natural and the social environment . . . In this mythologi-
cal context, the antiseptic concept of economic growth carries a heavy
freight of redemptive hope (Berger, 1974:13–19).
4 In The Other Voice (1990), Octavio Paz includes a lengthy discussion of mod-
ernism and postmodernism in art and literature and observes that the very
idea of a society or an intelligentsia declaring itself to be “postmodern” is
flawed. “People have never known the name of the age in which they live,
and we are no exception to this rule. To call ourselves ‘postmodern’ is merely
a naive way of saying that we are extremely modern” (1990:54). He points
out that in the cultural logic of modernity, the only possible phase to fol-
low is ultramodern or hypermodern, since the future must always be better
than the past. For more insightful reading on the topic of modernity and
temporality, see Berger (1974); Buber (1996[1950]); Kolakowski (1977, 1978);
Talmon (1960); Ulam (1966).
5 Francis Fukuyama is one of the most widely read political theorists of the
post-Soviet era (2004, 2006, 2012). His message is often Spencerian in its
assertion of directionality and progress in human political evolution. He
regards Western liberal democracies as the natural end point for human soci-
eties, and he interpreted the end of the USSR in these optimistic terms. This
analytical gaze minimizes the violence and instability of post-Soviet transi-
tions by dismissing them as bumps along the way to peace and prosperity. As
Fukuyama put it, “There had been a broad assumption in the years following
the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 that virtually all countries were transition-
ing to democracy and that failures of democratic practice would be overcome
with the simple passage of time” (2006:Ibooks edition location 25).
146 Notes
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Index
171
172 Index