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SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY TOWARD
LATIN AMERICA
By RONALD R. POPE*
*This essay is based on a research report written by the author for the Foreign Policy
Research Institute, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
139
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140 RONALD R. POPE
Progressive Governments
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SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY 141
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142 RONALD R. POPE
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SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY 143
Diplomatic Ties
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144 RONALD R. POPE
well as with the Central American countries of Costa Rica, Mexico, and,
of course, Cuba. More than half of the current ties have been made
since 1969." There are at least four possible motives for Soviet
attempts to expand diplomatic relations in Latin America: (1) the
desire to offset U.S. influence; (2) the desire to encourage a "favorable"
direction for both the internal and external policies of Latin American
governments through (more or less) diplomatic channels; (3) the desire
to increase trade; and (4) the hope of increasing the stature and
therefore the effectiveness of local Moscow-oriented communist
parties.2s That the last possibility is not always uppermost in the
Russians' minds is clearly indicated by the fact that Moscow often
carries on negotiations and establishes ties with governments (e.g., Peru)
that actively suppress the local communists.26 It has also been
suggested that aid for left-wing military governments could serve to
draw away support from the communist parties.27
The available biographical data on the Soviet diplomats accredited to
Latin American countries suggest that they have respectable
backgrounds and are well prepared for their jobs. It is particularly
interesting to note that among the past ambassadors to Cuba were
Maxim Litvinov (1942-1943) and A. A. Gromyko (1943-1946)."
An article in the New York Times,29 based on information supplied
by American intelligence specialists, indicates that the caliber of Soviet
intelligence agents assigned to Latin America is now quite good.
According to the article, a typical Soviet agent is now "personable,
gregarious, cosmopolitan, and fluent in Spanish and often in English."
It is estimated that one-half of the accredited Soviet personnel in Latin
America are intelligence agents, with a range of from 70 percent in
Mexico (where activities center on the United States) to 25 percent in
Uruguay. While the U.S. intelligence analysts see the Soviet Union as
willing to "quietly back both rural and urban revolutionary movements
in Latin America, depending on time and place," they also believe that
Soviet policy is now "aimed at convincing Latin Americans that its
diplomatic personnel are personable, professional, responsible
people-always correct. .. .
Here the Russians face a dilemma. Moscow's involvement with
revolutionaries can be both embarrassing and threatening to Soviet
gains in influence and prestige in Latin America. This was illustrated by
the recent flurry in Mexico centering on the arrest of 19 young
revolutionaries whose leaders, it was charged, had studied in Moscow at
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SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY 145
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146 RONALD R. POPE
the original.) Of course Lenin argued that such a mass party would
never be able to win power by violent revolution.
Young Latin American radicals have evidently been attracted to the
possibility of an early rise to power by utilizing Chinese (and Cuban)
supported tactics. Moscow does not like to lose influence with such
elements, nor see the Chinese gain in influence. Complaints can be
heard that "sundry elements, using a welter of pseudo-revolutionary
phrases, are trying to arrogate authorship of a policy [anti-imperialism]
the Communists have been faithfully operating for decades.""
Beginning with the Bolshevik takeover in Russia in 1917, all of the
current communist governments have seized power primarily through
the use of force-with the hopeful (for a communist) exception of
Chile. It must be difficult for the Russians to live down this
tradition-assuming that all the leadership might wish to live it down.
Besides, as noted above, they do not seem to want to leave the realm of
revolutionary violence to the exclusive influence of Mao (or Castro).
A Latin American communist who is apparently in favor with
Moscow-he writes a great deal on Latin America in Soviet-controlled
journals, particularly New Times and World Marzist Review-has noted
the balance that currently seems to be sought:
For reasons that have already been discussed, and possibly others,
the Russians have not eliminated violence as a possible means in the
struggle for socialism in Latin America. The same article referred to
above that condemned the Chinese for trying artifically to "speed up"
social change in Latin America also argues that the concrete choice of
violent or peaceful means depends on "objective conditions." Writing in
1964, the authors quote the communist party of Chile as believing that
conditions there could change, requiring a turn to armed rebellion. In
Argentina the choice of methods would also depend on "concrete
circumstances." In the Caribbean the existence of reactionary
dictatorships might possibly make violence necessary.
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SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY 147
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148 RONALD R. POPE
illegally." In the past, as one Soviet writer notes, the other left-wing
groups had refused to cooperate with the communist parties because
they considered them "dictatorial."4" A move on the part of the
Chilean communists to insure their grip on power by declaring the
opposition no longer legitimate would be bound to have an adverse
effect on the acceptability of all the Latin American parties as coalition
partners. Further, any attempt by the Russians .to intervene would
revive and strengthen the charge that the local parties are merely a
"tool for penetration by 'Soviet imperialsim.' "41 In short, it seems
logical to assume that any attempts to build socialism "without internal
opposition" and to strengthen the ties of the "socialist community"
(i.e., increase Soviet influence by way of the local parties) are likely to
affect adversely the general acceptability of the communists within
Latin America. Any such attempts would also probably bring into
question the respectability and trustworthiness of the Soviet Union as
their alleged sponsor.
Although Soviet trade has been growing fairly steadily since the end
of World War II, it is still not very large, particularly outside the Soviet
bloc, and especially with the Third World. This is shown by the data in
Table 1 which were taken directly from a Soviet source.42
TABLE 1
RECENT TRENDS IN SOVIET FOREIGN TRADE
(billions of rubles, in current prices)
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SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY 149
TABLE 2
TRADE OF INDIVIDUAL LATIN AMERICAN COUNTRIES
(millions of U.S. dollars)
1963 1964 1965 1966 1967
Argentina
Exports: USSRa 18.4 19.9 72.0 107.3 23.1
Totalb 1,365 1,411 1,493 1,593 1,465
Imports: USSR 0.9 4.4 20.3 7.4 4.8
Total 981 1,077 1,199 1,124 1,096
Brazil
Exports: USSR 43.4 37.1 32.8 30.5 34.7
Total 1,407 1,430 1,596 1,741 1,654
Imports: USSR 29.4 24.0 27.7 27.7 12.0
Total 1,487 1,264 1,096 1,496 1,667
Cuba
Exports: USSR 164.4 288.0 342.2 285.9 372.7
Total 544 714 686 593 ...
Imports: USSR 399.7 366.0 375.4 479.8 562.7
Total 867 1,019 866 926 ...
Uruguay
Exports: USSR 5.2 1.0 3.0 9.2 4.0
Total 165 179 191 186 159
Imports: USSR 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4
Total 177 198 150 164 170
aDerived from Union of Soviet Socialist Republics, Table 6 (p. 868), United Nations, Year
book of International Trade Statistics, Vol. 18 (1967). Rubles were converted to U.S. dollars
by multiplying by a conversion factor of 1.111.
bSource: Table A, Ibid.
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150 RONALD R. POPE
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SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY 151
Cultural Exchange
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152 RONALD R. POPE
increased cultural exchange between the Soviet Union and Latin America
"promotes rapproachement between the Latin American and the Soviet
peoples," demonstrates the desire of both sides to know each other
better, and helps to end the imperialist-imposed isolation of Latin
America.57
In 1969, out of 12,075 foreign students from noncommunist countries
studying in the USSR, approximately 1,450 were Latin Americans." At
the same time dramatically demonstrating the lack of Soviet economic
penetration of the area, excluding those in Cuba, there were 20 economic
technicans from the Soviet Union working in Latin America out of a total
of 9,870 Soviet specialists in the noncommunist Third World (over 3,000
of this total were in Africa and almost 6,000 were in the Near East and
South Asia).59 In 1970 the largest group of foreign students at Lumumba
University in Moscow was from Latin America (964), with the largest
single contingent being from Mexico (109). The next largest group was
from Africa (864), with 81 of the group coming from Kenya.60
The Russians do not always obtain the favorable results that they
desire from cultural exchange. The confrontation with the realities of the
Soviet system and Soviet society is sometimes disillusioning for the
foreign student,61 and Soviet technicians and advisers do not always leave
the best impression when working abroad. (These problems are of course
not limited to the Soviets.) However, the Russians are certainly making
their existence and accomplishments known, and overall they may well be
enhancing their prestige in Latin America through these exchanges.
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SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY 153
Propaganda
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154 RONALD R. POPE
broadcast in Creole to Haiti, the curious claim was made that the
United States planned to replace its military bases in Panama with bases
in Haiti, since the continued existence of bases in Panama, according to
the broadcast, was now in danger.68
The Russians regularly attack the OAS as the main instrument of
American political control in Latin America. One recent article quotes
John J. Johnson, a "former State Department official [and] noted
expert on Latin American affairs," to the effect that the Latin
Americans "have known full well that the OAS is first of all a means to
give the appearance of collective action to what is actually the will and
policy of the United States."69
Moscow is particularly sensitive about U.S. anticommunist
propaganda, arguing that its aim is to isolate the Latin Americans from
the socialist countries and thus perpetuate U.S. control and the power
of reactionary Latin American governments. As one writer puts it, "The
people who take their stand against imperialism today are becoming
increasingly aware that anticommunism is an integral part of U.S.
expansionist policy in Latin America and the bulwark of the local
ruling exploiter classes of the continent."* He further says that "the
logic of anticommunism is perfectly clear: social transformations are
out of the question in Latin America because they are what the
communists stand for."
The United States government is also accused of using aid and other
means to pave the way for, and then protect, private American
investment. Once in the door, the American firms supposedly acquire
monopoly control of the market and then proceed to reap excess
profits."'
The aim of all this propaganda is clearly to support and encourage
the already existent anti-American feelings and thereby to further
weaken U.S. influence in Latin America. By this means, and at little
cost and risk to themselves, the Russians obviously hope to enhance
their relative position in power and prestige vis--vis the United States.
Radio Moscow's broadcasts to Haiti have been attacking the
government there as terrorist and despotic. Jean-Claude Duvalier is
labeled a fool and a tool of U.S. imperialist and monopoly control."7
The local communist party is of course singled out as the leader in the
struggle for freedom and democracy,7" but interestingly enough the
Haitian army has been called upon to overthrow the "corrupt"
government.74 Haiti would appear to be the one country in Latin
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SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY 155
Just how important a place does Latin America hold in the hierarchy
of Soviet foreign policy interests? In an attempt to provide at least a
partial answer to this question a simple form of content analysis was
applied to a Soviet summary of significant foreign policy events. Table
3, then, can be taken as a rough measure of the relative degree of
TABLE 3
A MEASURE OF RELATIVE SOVIET INTEREST
IN LATIN AMERICA
1966a 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971b TOTALS
TOTAL REFERENCES 32 96 118 89 90 23 448
U.N. 1 2 8 5 4 0 20
COMMUNIST 10 (1) 29c (3) 47 (2) 44 (1) 29 9 (7) 168
China 0 4 0 13 2 0 19
Soviet Union 2 3 8 8 9 3 31
East Europe (1) 6 18 (6)27 (2)17 (3) 13 (1)5 (13)86
Other Communistd
(excluding Cuba) 2 3 9 6 4 1 25
NON-COMMUNIST 13 27 28 14 31 9 122
United States 5 7 7 3 13 5 40
West Europee 6 15 (2)19 8 17 3 (2)68
Other Non-Communist 2 5 2 3 1 1 14
THIRD WORLD 8 38 35 26 26 5 138
Africa 1 6 9 2 4 0 22
Middle East 4 (10)23 (3) 13 (5)16 (4)12 (2)5 (24)73
Asia 3 (1)5 (1)11 3 (1)6 0 (3)28
Latin America 0 4 2 5 4 0 15
Cuba 0 3 0 2 3 0 8
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156 RONALD R. POPE
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SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY 157
The preceding sections dealt first with the various areas of Soviet
involvement in Latin America and then with the relative lack of
attention paid by the Soviets to this region. Utilizing the evidence
presented above, some of the major reasons for the general absence of
Soviet influence in the Western Hemisphere will be presented.
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158 RONALD R. POPE
There are also risks inherent in Soviet involvement in this region that
are (theoretically) independent of U.S. actions. For example, along
with the possibility that Soviet support could serve to maintain in
power a rival to Moscow's authority and influence (e.g., Castro), there
is also the possibility that, in spite of Soviet aid, failure could still
occur. The local communists might, for instance, lead or participate in
an attempt to overthrow a government by force, but fail. Moscow could
receive some of the blame for the actions of its "followers," resulting in
a rupture of diplomatic relations with the state involved and possibly
with other Latin American countries. In such event, all of Moscow's
previous gains in the area could well be lost. Further, this type of prob
lem might also lead to troubles for the Russians throughout the rest of
the Third World. (The Soviet Foreign Ministry, which has a large
organizational stake in maintaining stable ties with Third World
countries, would be particularly apt to lobby against Soviet policies
likely to promote revolutions or coups.)
Liabilities would also be incurred by Moscow should an initially
"successful revolution" fail and reaction set in. The Russssians are not
in the same position to militarily "restore order" as they were in
Czechoslovakia. They still lack required military capability and in any
case would run the serious risk of a direct confrontation with the
United States. The Kremlin might therefore simply have to stand by
and watch a socialist state such as Chile go under. That they would find
this difficult to do-both for ideological and political reasons-and, as a
result, would suffer serious losses is suggested by the numerous
comments made about the events in Czechoslovakia in 1968. At the
24th Party Congress, Brezhnev seems to have summed up the Soviet
attitude toward "protecting the gains of socialism" when, in reference
to Czechoslovakia, he stated that "the peoples of the socialist countries
clearly demonstrate to the whole world that their revolutionary gains
will not be given up, that the frontiers of the socialist community are
inviolable and not to be encroached upon."82 ( Emphasis added.)
Finally there is also the possibility that a socialist regime might
manage to stay in power but with a noticeable lack of success in
handling the country's social and economic problems. Despite the
country's failure to build a "model socialist system" in an acceptable
time period (i.e., failing to confirm the Soviet claim that adopting
socialism insures rapid development), the Russians might still feel
compelled "to meet their internationalist obligations" and continue to
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SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY 159
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160 RONALD R. POPE
support this "socialist" state at considerable cost and with little gain.
(This appears to be what has happened with Cuba.)
That the Russians seem to fear that this last possibility is quite real is
suggested by the numerous references to the thesis that the Third World
countries are not yet ready for a socialist revolution. For example, "the
developing countries constitute a reserve of world socialism, [but] most
of them are not ready to make a direct transition to socialism in the
immediate future."83 The Russians argue that Third World governments
must continue to make use of Western development capital and
aid-which will become less exploitive because of the pressures exerted
by the example of the socialist system (see note 54)-and improve the
utilization of their own resources if they are to develop economically.84
In his 1967 article on "Soviet Policy in Latin America," Herbert
Dinerstein notes that "in a sense, the Soviet Union has been forced into
the very position for which it criticized the Mensheviks in 1917. It
prefers that capital be accumulated before the socialist revolution so
that the new Communist states will have a better chance of success and
not make embarrassing demands upon the Soviet Union."85
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SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY 161
but hesitant to initiate it (e.g., the policy toward Cuba in the early
1960s and possibly Chile in the 1970s).
4. Quietly status quo: maintenance of ideological front but
conservative actions (e.g., tacit U.S.-Soviet cooperation, dis
couragement of Castroites).
5. Openly and stubbornly status quo: open resistance to change
(e.g., Stalin's policy of "socialism in one country," the Non
proliferation Treaty, the refusal to support the Chinese, and the
Hungarian (1956) and Czech (1968) invasions).
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162 RONALD R. POPE
socialism. (2) They tend, in the Soviet view, to weaken the United
States' position and therefore to strengthen the relative Soviet position
(although not directly adding to Soviet power). (3) They do not require
the massive economic, political, and possible military commitment that
a pro-Soviet socialist government does (e.g., Cuba).17 (4) They do not
appear as a radical shift in the balance of forces (as did the Cuban
revolution) and therefore are less likely to elicit a strong U.S. response
that could be detrimental to Soviet interests (e.g., Soviet prestige as in
the Cuban missile crisis or the Vietnam conflict-in both of which cases
the Russians failed to act as firmly as some other communists,
especially Castro and the Chinese, thought they should). (5) They do
not represent the same potential for ideological and political challenge
as does a relatively independent socialist state such as China, Yugo
slavia, or Cuba.
To the degree that the Russians do believe that the future lies with
socialism they need not worry about the fact that not all the
"progressive" military governments are interested in socialism. (See
note 23.) It is obvious that the nationalism of these governments places
limits on Soviet influence. That their "half measures" and "failure to
involve the masses" (i.e., the communists) are frustrating to the local
communists is equally obvious. Herein may lie a problem for Moscow.
Will the local parties act in a restrained (a "legal") enough manner to
avoid the wrath of the military governments, or will they take actions
(with or without Moscow's consent) which will elicit that wrath (as
may have in part happened in Bolivia)-the end results being both their
own suppression and strained relations between Moscow and the
nationalist military governments?
Edward Gonzalez, a close observer of Cuba and an Assistant
Professor at the University of California (Berkeley), has suggested that
in Cuba the Russians initially desired the type of limited gains and
therefore limited commitment and risk on their part as discussed above.
He argues that the Cuban revolution was viewed as an asset to the
Soviet Union to the extent that it "disturbed inter-American solidar
ity," challenged U.S. dominance in the region, and "diverted Washing
ton's attention from other areas." But, according to Gonzalez, "the
Soviets evidently hoped to realize these limited cold-war objectives with
a minimum of direct involvement in Cuba and with the revolution
retaining its liberationist but noncommunist character. "88
Possibly in part because of its experience with Castro, the Kremlin
seems even more inclined to limit its commitment to revolutions in
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SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY 163
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164 RONALD R. POPE
policy, [its] failure ... would seriously damage the Kremlin's policy
line and prestige in this area.""
This ambiguity that, it has been suggested, exists in Soviet foreign
policy toward Latin America is illustrated in more general terms by a
statement of overall Soviet goals made by Leonid Brezhnev at the 24th
Party Congress in March 1971. He stated that the aims of Soviet policy
were to provide "favorable international conditions for the construc
tion of socialism and communism," to strengthen "the unity and
cohesion of the socialist countries, their friendship and brotherhood,"
to support "the national liberation movement," to defend consistently
"the principle of peaceful coexistence with states having differing social
systems," to rebuff resolutely "the aggressive imperialist forces," and to
save "mankind from a new world war."93
The Soviet Union is peace-loving and wants to strengthen the
socialist system. Yet it wants to support national liberation movements,
while cooperating with the new nations (whether liberated or not?).
Peaceful coexistence is to be defended, but imperialist "aggression" is
to be thwarted. In the end mankind is to be saved from nuclear war.
One might argue that in Soviet theory these statements do not
represent ambiguity or contradiction. In practice, however, it certainly
must be difficult for the Russians to reconcile promoting revolutionary
change with pursuing peaceful coexistence with the West and coopera
tion with the new nations, and combatting "aggression" with avoiding a
new war.
Out of the five possible emphases for Soviet foreign policy discussed
earlier, it seems most likely that the "ambiguity model" should
continue to apply to Latin America for the foreseeable future.94 There
are at least five basic reasons for making this assumption: (1) The lack
of deeply established Soviet interests in the area (as opposed, for
example, to the Middle East), coupled with its remoteness from the
USSR and proximity to the United States, will tend to limit the direct
Russian pursuit of gains in the region. (2) This proximity to the United
States, however, will still make it tempting for the Russians to claim
victories for socialism when local groups take an anti-American stand
(e.g., in Peru and Chile). (3) On the other hand, these "progressive"
governments can probably expect little by way of substantial Soviet
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SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY 165
NOTES
1. Stephen Clissold, ed., Soviet Relations with Latin America, 19IS?1968: A Documentary
Survey (London: Oxford University Press, 1970), p. 3.
2. Victor V. Vol'skii, the director of the USSR's Latin American Institute, takes a contrary
view, stating that Russia's interest in Latin America began with the "first word of the New
World" in 1530. See Victor V. Vol'skii, "The Study of Latin America in the USSR," in Robert
G. Carlton, ed., Soviet Image of Contemporary Latin America: A Documentary History,
1960-1968 (Austin: University of Texas Press, 1970), p. 13.
3. Vol'skii, Ibid., p. 20. The other departments are Economics, Foreign Policy and
International Relations, Workers' and National Liberation Movements, Agrarian Problems,
History, Culture, and Geography.
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166 RONALD R. POPE
41. Ibid.
42. New Times, December 16, 1970, p. 21.
43. For a Soviet view of trade with Latin America see O. G. Klesmet, "The Significance of
the Socialist System for the Future Economic Development of Latin America," in Carlton, op.
cit., p. 307. For a contrasting western evaluation see Jan. F. Triska and David Finley, Soviet
Foreign Policy (New York: Macmillan, 1968), p. 272.
44. See V. Borovsky's interview with President Figures of Costa Rica in Pravda, February
11, 1971, p. 4.
45. See "Soviet Foreign Trade," New Times, December 16, 1970, p. 22.
46. Triska and Finley, op. cit., pp. 273-280. The quotation is from page 276.
47. Interview with Vladimir Alkhimov, "Soviet Foreign Trade Today and Tomorrow," New
Times, April 7, 1971, p. 10. Also see the interview with N. S. Patolichev, "Soviet Foreign
Trade," New Times, April 14, 1970, p. 19. Mr. Patolichev is the USSR Minister of Foreign
Trade.
48. Patolichev, op. cit., p. 18.
49. Ibid., p. 19.
50. Interview with Vasily Sergeyev, Vice-Chairman, State Committee of the USSR Council
of Ministers for Foreign Economic Relations, "The Soviet Union and the Developing
Countries," New Times, January 20, 1971, p. 18. Also see Brezhnev's speech to the 24th Party
Congress, op. cit., pp. 13 and 22, and Kosygin's speech, "The 24th CPSU Congress Directives
for the 5-Year Plan for the Development of the USSR National Economy for 1971-1975," as
translated in FBIS Supplement, vol. 7 (April 7, 1971), p. 40.
51. V. Shelepin, "The Socialist World and the Developing Countries," New Times, March 3,
1970, p. 21.
52. M. Lavrichenko, "Speculation on the Needs of Developing Nations," International
Affairs (Moscow), no. 8, 1969, pp. 63-68.
53. Ibid., p. 68.
54. M. Lavrichenko, "Who is Responsible for Third World Economic Backwardness?"
International Affairs (Moscow), no. 8, 1968, p. 46.
55. Shelepin, op. cit., p. 23.
56. S. Romanovsky, "Misuse of Cultural Cooperation," International Affairs (Moscow), no.
4, 1967, pp. 56-61.
57. Z. I. Romanova, "The Development of Postwar Soviet Political and Cultural Ties with
Latin America," in Carlton, op. cit., pp. 304?305.
58. Research Study RECS-5 (July 9, 1970), "Communist States and the Developing
Countries: Aid and Trade in 1969," U.S. State Department, p. 11.
59. Ibid, p. 8.
60. Theodore Shabad, "Soviet Union: What Do they Do at Old Lumumba U.," New York
Times, April 18, 1971, section 4, p. 3. Also see Alvin Z. Rubenstein, "Lumumba University: An
Assessment," Problems of Communism, Nov.-Dec. 1971, pp. 64-69.
61. See Thomas Pauken, "A Look Inside Russia: Personal Report From A White House
Aide," U.S. News & World Report, August 2, 1971, p. 65.
62. "Jane's Says U.S. Fleet Declines While Soviet Has a 'Supemavy,' " New York Times,
July 29, 1971, p. 2.
63. See William R. Kinter and Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr., Soviet Military Trends:
Implications for U.S. Security, American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research,
Special Analysis No. 6, June 1971, pp. 47?49.
64. See Cuba and the Caribbean, Hearings before the Subcommittee on Inter-American
Affairs, House of Representatives, Ninety-First Congress, Second Session, August 20, 1970, p.
115.
65. R. Tuchnin, "Another Lie," Izvestia, February 28, 1971, p. 2 as translated in Current
Digest of the Soviet Press, March 30, 1971. For accounts of the Cuban incident see the New
York Times for November 15, 1970 (p. 1) and November 18, 1970 (p. 11).
66. Vitaliy Brovskiy, "In Whose Interests?" Pravda, June 2, 1971, as translated in FBIS,
June 4, 1971.
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SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY 167
sons. This has opened up opportunities in the military for young men from working class
families. Nelson A. Rockefeller, Quality of Life in the Americas, Reprinted by the Agency for
International Development, pp. 17?19.
19. Jorge del Prado, "Novyi etap?novyee formy borby" (A New State?New Forms of
Struggle"), Pravda, June 25, 1971, p. 4.
20. Ibid. Also see by the same author, "Is There a Revolution in Peru?" World Marxist
Review, January 1971, pp. 17-27.
21. Padilla, et al, op. cit., p. 9.
22. Sec Ibid.
23. Mirskii, op. cit. A recent article in the New York Times describes the end sought by
President Juan Velasco Alvarado of Peru as a "cooperative society," neither capitalist nor
communist. According to this article, in a recent speech the President attacked leftists while
hardly mentioning the rightists. He is reported to "believe Peru's small Communist Party is
potentially more dangerous to his nationalist reforming government than the country's
conservatives." Joseph Novitski, "Peru's President Details His Goals," New York Times, July
29, 1971, p. 4.
24. See Research Study RARS-11 (August 3, 1970), "Communist Diplomatic, Consular and
Trade Representation in Latin America," U.S. Department of State. Costa Rica's on-and-off
decision to exchange ambassadors with the USSR was off again as of September 1971. See The
Times of the Americas for May 26, 1971, p. 8; August 18, 1971, p. 5 and September 1, 1971,
p. 7. At the time of this writing no word was available on the status of Moscow's relations with
the new, and probably no longer "progressive," regime in Bolivia.
25. For an explanation by a Soviet official for this growth in diplomatic relations see S.
Gonionsky, "The Soviet Union and Latin America," New Times, February 17, 1971, p. 20.
Professor Gonionsky is identified as the First Vice-President of the Soviet Association for
Friendship and Cultural Co-operation with Latin American Countries. For western views see
John Keep, op. cit., and Tretiak, op. cit., p. 746.
26. See Aguilar, "Fragmentation of the Marxist Left," op. cit., p. 11.
27. See Robert J. Alexander, "Communist Parties of Latin America," Problems of
Communism, July-August 1970, p. 46.
28. For a catalogue of facts, without commentary, on this subject see Crowley, op. cit.
Litvinov of course was given this post on his way down, while Gromyko was on his way up.
29. Benjamin Welles, "Soviet Intelligence Role in Latin America Rises," New York Times,
December 7, 1970, p. 1.
30. See "Mexico Sees Plot by North Koreans," New York Times, March 16, 1970, p. 9.
Also see the newsletter Latin America, vol. v, no. 13 (March 26, 1971), pp. 100-101 and vol. v,
no. 14 (April 2, 1971), pp. 111-112.
31. Zbigniew Brzezinski notes that in their dispute with the Chinese the Russians have even
taken to labeling their own October Revolution as "almost peaceful." "They have also,"
according to Brzezinski, "cited the Hungarian revolution of 1918 and the Czechoslovak coup of
1948 as other examples of such peaceful transitions." The Soviet Bloc: Unity and Conflict,
Revised Edition (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1967), p. 508.
32. M. Kudachkin and N. Mostovets, "The Liberation Movement in Latin America," in
Carlton, op. cit., pp. 26?33.
33. Niko Schvarz, "Fighting for Popular Unity in Uruguay," World Marxist Review, March
1971, p. 52.
34. Athos Fava, "Victor Codovilla and the Argentine Communist Movement," World
Marxist Review, November 1970, p. 42.
35. Becerra, op. cit., p. 45.
36. Kudachkin and Mostovets, op. cit., p. 31.
37. Alexander, op. cit., p. 40.
38. Ibid., pp. 40-41.
39. Luis Corvalan, "Chile: The People Take Over," World Marxist Review, December 1970,
p. 11.
40. M. V. Danilevich, "Disruptive Socialist Activity in the National-Liberation Movement
and Possibilities for the Movement's Future Cooperation with the Communist Party," in
Carlton, op. cit., p. 57.
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168 RONALD R. POPE
4. Edward L. Crowley, ed., The Soviet Diplomatie Corps, 1917-1967 (Metuchen, N.J.: The
Scarecrow Press, Inc., 1970), pp. 218-219.
5. Akademiia Nauk SSSR: Institut Mirovoi Ekonomiki i Mezhdunarodnykh Otnosheniikh,
Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniia posle vtoroi mirovoi voiny [USSR Academy of Science: Institute
of World Economy and International Relations, International Relations Since the Second World
War] (Moscow, Politicheskaia literatura, 1965), vol. Ill, p. 604.
6. John Keep, "The Soviet Union and the Third World," Survey, no. 72 (Summer 1969), p.
29.
7. Vol'skii, op. cit., p. 18.
8. For useful and informative discussions of Moscow's initial reaction to Cuba and their
current relationship see Luis E. Aguilar, "Fragmentation of the Marxist Left," Problems of
Communism, July-August 1970, pp. 1-12; Clissold, op. cit., pp. 43-44; W. Raymond
Duncan, "Castro's New Approach Toward Latin America," World Affairs, March 1971, pp.
275?282; Edward Gonzalez, "Castro's Revolution, Cuban Communist Appeals and the Soviet
Response," World Politics, October 1968, pp. 39-68; Daniel Tretiak, "Cuba and the
Communist System: The Politics of a Communist Independent, 1967-1969," Orbis, Fall 1970,
pp. 740?764; and especially Andres Suarez, Cuba: Castroism and Communism, 1959?1966
(Cambridge: M.I.T. Press, 1967).
9. Hans J. Morgenthau, A New Foreign Policy for the United States (New York: Praeger,
1969), p. 55. President Allende of Chile is reportedly presenting Chile as the newest and
possibly the most relevant model of transition from capitalism to socialism. See Everett G.
Martin, "In Chile, Marxism is 'Very Special,' " The Wall Street Journal, August 31, 1971, p. 7.
For a detailed discussion of Castro's changing attitude toward his relations with Moscow see
K. S. Karol, Guerrillas in Power: The Course of the Cuban Revolution (New York: Hill and
Wang, 1970), especially eh. vi.
10. Broadcast of 8 January 1971 as quoted in Leon Goure' and Jaime Suchlicki, "The
Allende Regime: Actions and Reactions," Problems of Communism, May?June 1971, p. 57.
11. M. Kudachkin and N. Mostovets, "The Liberation Movement in Latin America," in
Carlton, op. cit., p. 30.
12. Leonid Brezhnev, Report to the 24th CPSU Party Congress, Radio Moscow domestic
service (live), March 30, 1971 as translated in Daily Report (Soviet Union), Foreign Broadcast
Information Service, no. 62, supplement 17, vol. 2 (March 31, 1971), p. 14. (This source is
hereafter cited as FBIS.) This speech is also translated in Current Digest of the Soviet Press, vol.
xxiii, nos. 12 and 13.
13. G. Mirskii, "Natsional'no-osvoboditel'noe dvizhenie, ego tendentsii sovremennom
mire," Mezhdunarodnaia Zhizn' ("The National Liberation Movement: Its Tendencies in
Today's World," International Life), no. 7, 1971, p. 26. International Life is the Russian
language version of International Affairs (Moscow). The articles in the Russian edition are
generally translated about one month later for the English edition. Therefore, this article should
appear in no. 8, 1971, of International Affairs.
14. Brezhnev, op. cit.
15. Longino Becerra, "Leninism and topical problems of revolutionary struggle in Latin
America," World Marxist Review, March 1970, p. 45.
16. Juan Cobo, "The Peruvian Phenomenon," New Times, March 17, 1970, p. 21. Also see
Y. Gavrikov, "Peruvian Example," International Affairs (Moscow), no. 2, 1971, p. 83.
17. See K. Maydanik, "Rol'armii razvivaushikh stranakh," Mirovaia Ekonomika i
Mezhdunarodnie Otnosheniia ("The Role of the Army in Developing Countries," World
Economy and International Relations), May 1970, pp. 140?141. This is a review of G. I.
Mirskii, Armiia i politika stranakh Azii i Afriki (The Army and Politics in the Countries of
Asia and Africa) (Moscow, Nauka, 1970).
18. See L. Padilla, J. Laborde and E. Sousa, "Latin America: Anti-Imperialist Fight and the
Armed Forces," World Marxist Review, March 1971, p. 87. In his report to the President on
Latin America, Nelson Rockefeller corroborates the first part of this Soviet analysis. According
to Rockefeller, the conservative Latin American landowners are shifting their interests to urban
industrial life, with a corresponding decline in the attractiveness of military service for their
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SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY 169
67. Vitaliy Levin, "Dangerous Plans," Pravda, May 9, 1971, p. 5 as translated in FBIS, May
12, 1971.
68. Radio Moscow, May 14, 1971 as translated in FBIS, May 17, 1971.
69. S. Gonionsky, "Crisis in OAS," International Affairs (Moscow), no. 1, 1971, p. 22.
The Johnson quotation is taken from Current History, January 1969, p. 6. Also see L.
Kosichev, "OAS: Mounting Contradictions," International Affairs (Moscow), no. 9, 1970, p.
85; and Oleg Ignatyev, "A Dialog with a Mute," Pravda, April 27, 1971, p. 5 as translated
in FBIS, May 3, 1971.
70. K. Khachaturov, "Anti-Communism in the Latin American Policy of the USA,"
International Affairs (Moscow), no. 6, 1970, p. 50.
71. Theodosio V?rela, "Imperialism Continues to Plunder Latin American," World Marxist
Review, May 1971, pp. 96?103. Also see Radio Moscow broadcast in Portuguese to Brazil, May
7, 1971 as translated in FBIS, May 10, 1971.
72. See for example Radio Moscow broadcast in Creole to Haiti, May 11, 1971 as translated
in FBIS, May 13, 1971.
73. See Jaques Dorcilier, "Courage and Dedication of Haiti's Communists," World Marxist
Review, November 1970, pp. 95?97.
74. See for example Radio Moscow broadcast in Creole to Haiti, May 28, 1971 as translated
in FBIS, June 2, 1971.
75. International Affairs (Moscow), no. 2, 1971, p. 91.
76. A separate article discussing these data in detail is planned and hopefully will be
published at a later date.
77. It should be noted that agreements to establish diplomatic relations made in 1969 with
Bolivia, Ecuador, and Peru, and in 1970 with Venezuela were not mentioned in the chronicle.
78. See Uri Ra'anan, "Tactics in the Third World: Contradictions and Dangers," Survey,
October 1965, pp. 26-37 and, by the same author, The USSR Anns the Third World: Case
Studies in Soviet Foreign Policy (Cambridge: M.I.T. Press, 1969), pp. 7-8.
79. See note 30 above.
80. See for example, Edward Gonzalez, op. cit., pp. 47-48, 57 and 67?68.
81. Adam Ulam writes that "there is no doubt that the masters of world Communism
would have viewed any ambitious Communist venture in Latin America prior to Castro's
take-over of Cuba with disfavor. Before 1933 recognition by, and after 1933 good relations
with, the United States were considered by the Russians to be of infinitely greater importance
than Communist successes in Mexico or Chile. Even in the most hopeful revolutionary
situations, such as in Mexico in the 1930s, the Russians gave local Communists no
encouragement to strike out for power on their own." Expansion and Coexistence: The History
of Soviet Foreign Policy, 1917-67 (New York: Praeger, 1968), p. 645.
82. Brezhnev, op. cit., p. 9. For similar comments also see O. Pavlov, "Proletarian
Internationalism and Defense of Socialist Gains," International Affairs (Moscow), no. 10, 1968,
p. 12; and P. Fedoseyev, "Marxism and Internationalism," International Affairs (Moscow), no.
3, 1969, p. 8.
83. Shelepin, op. cit., p. 20. Also see Kudachkin and Mostovets, op. cit., pp. 29-30; V.
Tkachenko, "Latin America in Search of a Future," International Affairs (Moscow), no. 4,
1971, p. 101; and Longino Becerra, "Latin America Looks to the Future," World Marxist
Review, January 1971, p. 113.
84. See O. G. Klesmet, "Capitalistic Sources for Financing Economic Development in Latin
America," in Carlton, op. cit., pp. 234-241. An article by R. Ul'ianovskii in Kommunist (no. 4,
1971) also emphasizes the need of developing countries to "gradually [break] with capitalism."
The article is translated under the title of "Some Questions of Noncapitalist Development" in
Soviet Law and Government, Fall 1971, pp. 124?140.
85. Herbert S. Dinerstein, "Soviet Policy in Latin America," American Political Science
Review, March 1967, p. 82.
86. William Welch developes a similar but much more complicated "classificatory
scheme"?he takes more than just the protectionist-interventionist factor into account?in his
excellent book, American Images of Soviet Foreign Policy: An Inquiry into Recent Appraisals
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170 RONALD R. POPE
from the Academic Community (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1970). See especially pages
37-43.
87. A large number of western observers can be found who would probably accept number
3 (Ambivalent) as an accurate description of current overall Soviet foreign policy. For example,
K. J. Holsti states that "there is almost constant conflict among Soviet policymakers who must
attempt to reconcile short-run political and diplomatic goals with an ideological commitment to
support the 'international proletarian movement.' " International Politics: A Framework for
Analysis (Englewood Cliffs, N.J: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1967), p. 128. Also see Adam Ulam, op.
cit., pp. 751-752; Charles O. Lerche, Jr., The Cold War. . . and After (Englewood Cliffs, N. J.:
Prentice-Hall, 1965), pp. 51?54; Zbigniew Brzezinski, "Meeting Moscow's 'Limited Coexis
tence,' " The New Leader, December 16, 1968, p. 12; and Triska and Finley, op. cit., pp.
312-313.
It is interesting that William Welch's extensive analysis of American academic views of
Soviet foreign policy indicates a definite trend toward a view roughly corresponding to this
essay's "Ambivalent" label (see pp. 280?281). Welch feels that American views, as represented
by books of at least respectable scholarship published between 1958 and 1968, fall into three
distinct categories or images: (1) "ultra-hard": Soviet conduct is "utterly aggressive" and
unchanging (p. 267); (2) "hard": it was originally aggressive but is changing (p. 272); and (3)
"mixed": it is "driven by fear, posing moderate threat to mankind, and moderately changing."
(p. 270) The ultra-hard image clashes fairly directly with our thesis on current Soviet policy
toward Latin America, while the hard and mixed views do not. Welch's Tables 1 (pp. 6?7) and
5 (p. 44) indicate that no ultra-hard book (worthy of inclusion is his survey) has been written
since 1962?63. American Images . . ., op. cit. (The page numbers are for Welch's book.)
88. Gonzalez, op. cit., p. 48.
89. Yale H. Ferguson, "Moscow and Peking in Latin America," Problems of Communism,
May?June 1971, p. 74. The books he was reviewing were J. Gregory Oswald and Anthony J.
Strover, eds., The Soviet Union and Latin America (New York: Praeger, 1970); Clissold, op.
cit.; Carlton, op. cit.-, and Cecil Johnson, Communist China and Latin America, 1957?1967
(New York: Columbia University Press, 1970).
90. See note 12.
91. See note 13.
92. Gour? and Suchlicki, op. cit., p. 55.
93. Brezhnev, op. cit., p. 2. For a remarkably similar statement see V. Trukhanovsky,
"Proletarian Internationalism and Peaceful Co-existence," International Affairs (Moscow), no.
8, 1966, p. 54.
94. A similar conclusion is arrived at (from a different perspective) by Walter C. Clemens in
"Soviet Policy in the Third World in the 1970s: Five Alternative Futures," Orbis, Summer 1969,
p. 482.
95. Before it became politicized and popularized in the Nixon Doctrine, the "low profile"
image referred to radial ply tires that appear to need air even though fully inflated. The
question, then, is whether the Russians might not be seeking to remain unobtrusive in Latin
America while nevertheless pursuing in full measure their full range of foreign policy goals. But
the "air" in this case is not a "free good." Our analysis leads us to believe that the "tire" in
question is in fact relatively flat. (Dr. Harvey Sicherman brought this analogy to the author's
attention.)
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