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12/4/2018 India Energy Security Scenarios

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CROSS BORDER ELECTRICITY TRADE

Download One Pager (docs/Supply Onepagers/Cross-border-electricity-trade-import.pdf) Detailed Documentation (docs/ISGF_CBT Documentation.pdf)

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CROSS BORDER ELECTRICITY TRADE (IMPORT)


Presently India is importing 1.5 GW hydropower from Bhutan, and also exporting around 500 MW to Pakistan; 120-150
MW to Nepal and around 500 MW to Bangladesh. During 2017-22, import has been projected at 8 GW mostly from
Bhutan, and possibly Nepal as well. Options of power export/imports from Myanmar, Bangladesh, Pakistan and Sri Lanka
are also being explored. The inter-connection with India’s neighbors is important from future import/export/balancing
viewpoints. This analysis captures only the contracted electricity imports and exports. The recent SAARC agreement on a
south Asian grid will enable this trade.

Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4

Level 1 assumes that India’s integration with regional grids is poor. One implication of this is, that India is unable to tap the hydro potential in the Himalayan
States, that may have helped balance our grid. Resultantly, imports continue to be low, as projects planned are delayed. An increase in electricity imports of 3GW
during 13th Plan (2017-22) is likely as some of the under construction projects will be completed and thereafter will reach 7GW by 2042 and 10GW by 2047.

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CROSS BORDER ELECTRICITY TRADE (EXPORT)


Presently India is a net exporter to Bangladesh, Nepal and Pakistan. It is assumed that by 2022, the situation will change,
and Nepal (and Bhutan) will be net exporter of electricity to India, whereas only Pakistan and Sri Lanka will remain as a
net importer from India. This is likely to help stabilize the Indian grid and balance excess generation, particularly of RE
origin.

Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4

Level 1 assumes that export continues to be low as India will be focusing more on meeting domestic demand. Electricity export will be of 1.5GW during 14th Plan
(2022-27) as some of the under construction projects in Pakistan and Bangladesh will be completed (thereby, obviating the need to import electricity), and
thereafter will reach 2GW by 2037 and remain same till 2047.

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