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1. INTRODUCTION
Banks work as facilitators or intermediately agencies of public money. A bank has an
obligation to pay the liabilities when demanded, but cannot liquidate the same
quantum of assets as certain intrinsic conditions are built in them. Similarly, banks
face challenges when there is a change in the economic and political scenario either
locally or internationally. This leads to credit risk, operation risk, and market risk i.e.
interest rate risk and liquidity risk, all this risk revolve around assets and liabilities,
irrespective of their nature and treatment.
These risks are not recent developments. They have been defined since the
inception of the banking industry. Even in the late 1970s bankers began to recognize
the importance managing both assets and liabilities for the purpose of mitigating
liquidity risk and interest rate risk and simultaneously increasing the market value of
their banks. It is here that asset liability management (ALM) helps in proper planning,
directing, controlling the flow, level, mix and rates on the assets and liabilities can be
made with the changing scenario.
There are various tools, which can be employed for detecting and assessing the
extent of miss match in ALM. For assessing the interest rate risk, the present study
uses the GAP analysis, which is a tool for managing the interest rate risk. Based on
the sensitivity of the assets and liabilities to the interest rate fluctuations, they are
classified in to different maturity buckets. The GAP or mismatch risk can be
measured by calculating GAPs over different times intervals as at a given date. GAP
analysis measures the mismatches between rate sensitive liabilities (including off-
balance sheet positions). An asset or liability is normally classified as rate sensitive if:
Within the time interval under consideration, there is a cash flow;
The interest rate resets/reprises contractually during the interval;
RBI changes the interest rates (i.e. interest rate on savings bank deposits, DRI
advances, export credit refinance, and CRR balance) in cases where interest rates
administered; and
It is contractually pre-payable or withdrawal before the stated maturities.
The GAP is the difference between Rate Sensitivity Assets (RSA) and Rate
Sensitive Liabilities (RSL) for each time bucket. The positive GAP indicates that it
has more RSAs than RSLs, whereas the negative GAP indicates that it has more
RSLs. The GAP reports indicates whether the institution is in a position to benefits
from rising interest rates by having positive GAP (RSA>RSL) or whether it is in a
position to be benefit from declining interest rates by a negative GAP (RSL>RSA).
The GAP can, therefore, be used as a measure of interest rate sensitivity. The GAP
analysis is subject to limitations. GAP analysis does not capture basis risk or
investment risk, is generally based on parallel shifts in the yield curve, does not
incorporate future growth in the mix of business, and does not account for the time
value of money.
The GAPs have been identified in the following time buckets:
1-28 Days
Between 29 Days to 3 Months
Over 3 Months and up to 6 Moths
Over 6 Moths and up to 1 Year
Over 1 Year and up to 3 year
Over 3 Years and up to 5 Years
Over 5 Years, and
Non sensitive
The positive GAP indicates that has more RSAs than RSLs, whereas the negative
GAP indicates that it has more RSLs. Symbolically:
RSAs>RSLs Positive GAP
RSAs <RSLs Negative GAP
The GAP reports indicates whether the institution is in a position to benefit from
rising interest rates by having a positive GAP or whether it is in a position to benefit
from declining interest rates by a negative GAP. The GAP can, therefore, be used as a
measure of interest rate sensitivity. Traditionally, banks in India have not been
following this maturity structure. They had been only reflecting total assets and total
liabilities from which it is difficult to say that if there is any liquidity mismatch giving
rise to liquidity risk or GAP between RSAs and RSLs giving rise to interest rate risk.
GAP and the Net Interest Income (NII)
If the bank wants to keep its NII immune from changes in interest rates it must
closely monitor and manage its GAP carefully, Net Interest Income and interest
expenses.
NII = Interest income-Interest expenses
Changes in interest rates only affect the RSAs and RSLs over the planning
horizon. The fixed rate assets and liabilities are not affected by the changes in interest
rate. Thus,
NII = (RSAs-RSLs)* r
Where,
R= Changes in interest rate
Since GAP has been earlier expressed as a difference between RSAs and RSLs,
NII can be expressed as:
NII=GAP* r
A negative or liability-sensitive GAP occurs when interest-bearing liabilities
exceed interest-earning assets for a specific or cumulative maturity period, that is,
more liabilities re price than assets. In this situation, a decrease in interest rates should
improve the net interest spread in the short-term, as deposits are rolled over at lower
rates before the corresponding assets. On the other hand, an increase in interest rates
lowers earning by narrowing or eliminating the interest spread. A positive are asset-
sensitive GAP occurs when interest –earning assets exceed interest-bearing liabilities
for a specific or cumulative maturity period, i.e. more assets re price than liabilities. In
these situations, a decline in the interest rates should lower or eliminate the net
interest rates spread in the short- term; assets are rolled over at lower rates before the
corresponding liabilities. An increase in interest rates should increase the net interest
period.
3. METHODOLOGY
The present study is an analytical and empirical presentation of research and as such it
relies on published data and opinions of top management team of the bank with regard
to asset liability management practices, its corporate governance practices and
regulatory provisions prescribed by RBI. Therefore, the present study uses primary
data and secondary data in the analysis of the topic.
5. TIME SPAN
For the effective examination of Asset Liability Management policies, practices and
systems in Vijaya Bank, the data for a period of nine years starting from 2010 to 2014
is utilized for the purpose of the present study. Further the period of the study is also
influenced by availability of data in few cases.
50000
40000
30000
20000
Rs. in Crores
10000
-10000
-20000
-30000
Maturity Patterns
Risk sensitive assets Risk sensitive liabilities Gap Cumulative gap
The bank has positive GAP in the time buckets of 3 Years to 5 Years and over 5
Years, which signifies that the Rate Sensitive Assets are more than Rate Sensitive
Liabilities in the long run. This implies that the bank gives more long term loans and
advances as compared to long-run deposits.
The cumulative GAP of the bank has a negative GAP throughout in all time
buckets (except in the time buckets 1-3 years, 3-5 years and over 5 years time
buckets) which signifies that bank is expecting a decline in the interest rates to have
positive impact on the banks earnings.
The GAP as a percentage of outflows which was a negative in the short run in all
time buckets except in one case, and this trend continued up to 6months year to year
time bucket and thereafter turned positive in 1 year to 3 years, 3 to 5 years and over 5
year time buckets. This situation demands the effective risk management practices of
the banking keeping in view liquidity profile, scenario analysis of liquidity risk and
preparing contingency plans to meet the liquidity requirements in unforeseen
circumstances.
It can be concluded that the bank has a negative GAP in the time buckets of 1Day,
2-7 Days, 8-14 Days, 15 to 28 Days, 29 Days to 3 Months and 6 months to 1 year
which signifies that the Rate Sensitive Liabilities are more than Rate Sensitive Asse ts
in the short run to medium term. This implies that if required, the bank will have to
meet its short-term liabilities with the long-term assets.
40000
30000
20000
10000
Rs. in Crores
-10000
-20000
-30000
Maturity Patterns
Risk Sensitive Assets Risk Sensitive Liabilities Gap Cumulative Gap
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
Rs. in Crores
0
-10000
-20000
-30000
-40000
-50000
-60000 29 Days Over 6
8-14 15 to 28 Over 3 to 1 to 3 3 to 5 Over 5
1 Day 2-7 Days to 3 Months
Days Days 6 Months years years years
Months to 1 Year
Risk Sensitive Assets 555.65 977.77 402.55 783.89 3,821 2,922.19 4,423.90 38,171.09 13,498.75 21,762.01
Risk Sensitive Liabilities 918.53 6622.87 1516.66 3,033.35 11,604.18 6,663.24 29,820.76 9,688.05 18,031.24 1,281.13
Gap -362.88 -5645.1 -1114.11 -2,249.46 -7,783.18 -3,741.05 -25,396.86 28,483.04 -4,532.49 20,480.88
Cumulative Gap -362.88 -6007.98 -7122.09 -9,371.55 -17,154.73 -20,895.78 -46292.64 -17,809.60 -22,342.09 -1,861.21
Maturity Patterns
Risk Sensitive Assets Risk Sensitive Liabilities Gap Cumulative Gap
implies that if required, the bank will have to meet its short-term liabilities with the
long-term assets.
The bank has positive GAP in the time buckets of 1 year to 3 years and over 5
years which signifies that the Rate Sensitive Assets are more than Rate Sensitive
Liabilities in the long run. This implies that the bank gives more long term loans and
advances as compared to long-run deposits.
The cumulative GAP of the bank has a negative GAP throughout in all time
buckets which signifies that bank is expecting a decline in the interest rates to have
positive impact on the banks earnings.
The GAP as a percentage of outflows which was negative in the short run in all
time buckets went positive in the time bucket of 1 year to 3 years but again shoot
negative after that. The average negative GAP in the short run is 74.45 percent. The
situation demands the effective risk management practices of the banking keeping in
view liquidity profile, scenario analysis of liquidity risk and preparing contingency
plans to meet the liquidity requirements in unforeseen circumstances.
It can be concluded that the bank has a negative GAP in the time buckets of 1
Day, 2-7 Days, 8-14 Days, 15 days to 28 days, 29 Days to 3 Months, Over 3 to 6
Months and 6 Months to 1 year meaning which signifies that the Rate Sensitive
Liabilities are more than Rate Sensitive Assets in the short run to medium term. This
implies that if required, the bank will have to meet its short-term liabilities with the
long-term assets.
60000
40000
20000
Rs. in Crores
-20000
-40000
-60000
Maturity Patterns
60000
40000
20000
Rs. in Crores
-20000
-40000
-60000
Maturity Patterns
7. SUGGESTIONS
7.1. Management of Interest Rate Risk
Measuring interest rate risk; It is suggested that the bank’s interest rate risk should be
identified and quantified before it could be managed. Therefore, it is essential that
quantum of interest rate risk in the balance sheet is identified. It is difficult to measure
the degree of risks to which bank is exposed and it is equally difficult to develop
effective risk management strategies/hedging techniques without being able to
understand the correct risk position of the bank.
The IRR measurement system should address all material sources of interest rate
risk including gap or mismatch, basis, embedded option, yield curve, price,
reinvestment and net interest position risks exposures. The IRR measurement system
should also take into account the specific characteristics of each individual interest
rate sensitive position and should capture in detail the full range of potential
movement in interest rates.
There are different techniques for measurement of interest rate risk, ranging from
the traditional Maturity Gap Analysis (to measure the interest rate sensitivity of
earnings), Duration (to measure interest rate sensitivity of capital). Simulation and
Value at Risk, therefore, it is suggested that bank may use them in combination or use
hybrid methods that combine features of all the techniques.
The general approach towards measurement and hedging of IRR varies with the
segmentation of the balance sheet. Therefore, the bank should broadly position with
balance sheet into Trading and Investment or Banking Books. While the assets in the
trading book are held primarily for generating profit on short-term differences in
prices/yields, the banking book comprises assets and liabilities, which are contracted
basically on account of relationship or steady income and statutory obligations and are
generally held till maturity.
Trading Book; The top management of the bank should lay down policies with
regard to volume, maximum maturity, holding period, duration, stop loss, defeasance
period, rating standards etc. for classifying securities in the trading book. Therefore, it
is suggested that while the securities held in the trading book should ideally be
marked to market on a daily basis, the potential price risk to changes in the market
risk factors should be estimated through internally developed Value at Risk (VaR)
models. If in an environment where VaR is difficult to estimate for lace of data, non-
statistical concepts such as stop loss and gross/net positions can be used.
Banking Book; The changes in market interest rates have earnings and economic
value impacts on the banks banking book. This, given the complexity and range of
balance sheet products, bank should have IRR measurement system that assesses the
effects of the rate changes on both earnings and economic value. The variety of
techniques ranges from simple maturity and re-pricing to static simulation, based on
current on and off balance sheet positions, to highly sophisticated dynamic modelling
techniques that incorporate assumptions on behavioural pattern of assets, liabilities
and off-balance sheet items and can easily capture the full range of exposures against
basic risk, embedded option risk, yield curve risk, etc.
REFERENCES
[1] Sharma, Kapil and P.R. Kulakarni(2006), “Asset Liability Management
Approach in Indian banks: A Review and Suggestions”, The journal of
Accounting and Finance, Vol. 20, No. 2, April-September 2006, pp.3-14.
[2] Slyer, Veena (2006), “Strategy- Performance-Return Relationship in the Indian
Banking Industry”, IIMB Management Review, Vo1.18, No.4, December 2006,
pp.327 -338.
[3] Suryachandra Rao, D. (2006), “Reforms in Indian Banking sector: An evaluative
study of the performance of commercial banks”, Department of Commerce,
AndhraUniversity.
[4] Athma, Pramadwara. (2006), “Prudential ‘norms and their effect on commercial
banks profits: A case study of Andhra Bank, Dept. ofCommerce, Osmania
University.
[5] Sharma, Kapil. “An Insight into Value-at-Risk”, Asset Liability Management in
Banks: Emerging Challenges, Icfaian Books, 2007, pp.19-35.
[6] Vaidya, Pramod and Arvind Shahi, “Asset Liability Management in Indian
Banks”, Asset Liability Management in Banks: Emerging Challenges, Icfaian
Books, 2007, pp.91-104.
[7] Sy, Amadou. “Managing the Interest Rate Risk of Indian Bank’s Government
Securities Holdings”, Asset Liability Management in Banks Emerging
Challenges, Icfaian Books, 2007, pp.105-123.
[8] Ranjan, Rahul and Rahu Nallari, “Study of Asset Liability in Indian Banks:
Canonical Correlation Analysis”, Asset Liability Management in Banks :
Emerging Challenges, Icfaian Books, 2007, pp.124-135.
[9] Metz, Pia Kronistedt. “The Swedish Market for Balancing Liquidity”, Asset
Liability Management in Banks: Emerging Challenges, Icfaian Books, 2007,
pp.136-161.