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马来西亚
RHB Research
技术分析 Institute Sdn Bhd
A member of the
RHB Banking Group
Company No: 233327 -M
每日交投策略
MARKET DATELINE
2010 年 10 月 22 日
市场技术解读
有望重新试叩 1,500 点…
图 1∶
∶富时大马综合指数(
富时大马综合指数(FBM KLCI)(
)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 2∶
∶富时大马综合指数(
富时大马综合指数(单日线图)
单日线图)
本地股市的交投指引∶
♦ 马股周四趋升,主要因为隔夜华尔街股市的涨势和大部分区域股市的进一步反弹成功激励本地交投士气。
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
Page 1 of 6
请仔细阅读位于本报告尾页的重要披露
请仔细阅读位于本报告尾页的重要披露(
报告尾页的重要披露( IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES)
2010 年 10 月 22 日
每日交投策略∶
每日交投策略∶
♦ 一旦能够持续处于 10 日移动平均线以上,那么这表示短期的交投士气已转俏。
♦ 与此同时,我们也认为,强劲的交投量和健全的轮流炒风将有能力限制当前的套利压力。
表 1 ∶每日统计 表 2∶
∶主要海外指数及原产品
10 月 10 月 10 月 10 月 10 月 变动 变动
收盘
股市摘要 15 日 18 日 19 日 20 日 21 日 本地主要指数 (点) (%))
上升股 富时大马综合指数 1,491.02 4.24 0.3
324 299 438 385 459
下跌股 富时大马 100 指数 9,833.35 33.05 0.3
405 468 369 408 301
平盘 富时大马创业板 4,292.24 47.76 1.1
341 298 276 293 316
无交易 各大海外指数
296 306 288 286 296
道琼斯工商指数 11,146.57 38.60 0.3
市场资本 纳斯达克指数 2,459.67 2.28 0.1
总成交量 标准与普尔 500 1,180.26 2.09 0.2
(百万股) 1,021 1,331 1,500 1,489 1,429
伦敦金融时报指数 5,757.86 28.93 0.5
总成交值 恒生指数 23,649.48 92.98 0.4
(百万令吉) 1,647 1,610 1,820 1,803 1,848 雅加达综合指数 3,588.01 9.06 0.3
东京日经 225 指数 9,376.48 -5.12 -0.1
首尔综合指数 1,874.69 4.25 0.2
外汇 上海综合指数 2,983.53 -20.42 -0.7
令吉兑美元 3.0800 3.1005 3.1070 3.1165 3.1045 曼谷综合指数 988.8 0.69 0.1
新加坡海峡时报指数 3,163.53 -15.62 -0.5
资料来源∶RHBInvest &彭博社( Bloomberg)
台湾加权指数 8,131.23 6.61 0.1
印度 Sensex 指数 20,260.58 388.43 2.0
主要原产品
纽约商品交易所
(NYMEX)原油期货
(每桶/美元) 80.56 -1.98 -2.4
MDEX 原棕油 – 第 3
个月 (每公吨/令吉) 2,990.00 6.00 0.2
美国利率 目前 最新
10 年 9 月
隔夜联邦基金利率 0-0.25% 无变动
21 日
下个联邦公开市场操作
2010 年 11 月 2 日-3 日
委员会(FOMC)会议
Page 2 of 6
2010 年 10 月 22 日
图 3∶
∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(
吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(
)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 4∶
∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(
吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(
)(单日线图
)(单日线图)
单日线图)
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 一如现货市场的反弹一样,吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)昨日一连第 3 日扩大复苏动力。
♦ 在图表上,从它所形成的“十字线”(doji)看来,这表示期指的当前走向处于不明朗格局。
每日交投策略∶
每日交投策略∶
♦ 保持看俏,并放眼它将在近日重新试探 1,501 点。
表 3∶∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(
吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI))收盘
月份)
月份
FKLI (月份 变动
合约 开盘 最高 最低 收盘 (点) 结算 成交量 未平仓宗数
10 年 10 月 1494.50 1498.50 1491.00 1495.00 4.00 1495.00 4348 19909
10 年 11 月 1495.50 1498.50 1491.00 1495.00 3.50 1495.00 364 964
10 年 12 月 1494.50 1497.50 1491.00 1495.00 4.50 1495.00 57 372
11 年 3 月 1495.00 1497.00 1493.50 1493.50 3.50 1495.50 3 111
Page 3 of 6
2010 年 10 月 22 日
图 5∶
∶美国道琼斯工商指数(
美国道琼斯工商指数(DJIA)
)(日线图
日线图)
日线图 图 6∶
∶美国纳斯达克指数(
美国纳斯达克指数( Nasdaq)
)(日线图
日线图)
日线图
美国股市的交投指引∶
美国股市的交投指引∶
♦ 华尔街股市周四在波动激烈的交投下收高,鉴于强于预期的公司业绩成功抵消金融股的卖压和美元回弹的利淡消息。
♦ 开市后,主要企业,如麦当劳(McDonald’s)(+1.3%),电子湾(EBay)(+6%)和 Travelers(+0.6%)便公布
一系列标青的业绩,而这成功鼓舞了投资者。
♦ 虽然套利压力较后涌现,归咎于市场继续担心美国银行(Bank of America)(-3.3%)可能被迫回购债券而抛售了金融
股,还有美元也回弹 0.4%,但美国市场最后还是在收市时收高。
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 由于它只能取得一根小阳烛,加上随机指标(stochastic oscillators)也没法触发一个新“买入”讯号,所以我们认为它在
重拾多头动力方面或会面临挑战。
Page 4 of 6
2010 年 10 月 22 日
每日技术焦点∶
每日技术焦点∶
图 7∶
∶成功集团(
成功集团( BjCorp)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 8∶
∶ 成功集团(
成功集团(单日线图)
单日线图)
多头交投情绪有望显现
多头交投情绪有望显现…
交投情绪有望显现
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 10 日移动平均线(
日移动平均线(10-day SMA): RM1.052
♦ 40 日移动平均线(
日移动平均线(40-day SMA): RM1.05
Page 5 of 6
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES
This report has been prepared by RHB Research Institute Sdn Bhd (RHBRI) and is for private circulation only to clients of RHBRI and RHB Investment Bank Berhad
(previously known as RHB Sakura Merchant Bankers Berhad). It is for distribution only under such circumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. The
opinions and information contained herein are based on generally available data believed to be reliable and are subject to change without notice, and may differ or
be contrary to opinions expressed by other business units within the RHB Group as a result of using different assumptions and criteria. This report is not to be
construed as an offer, invitation or solicitation to buy or sell the securities covered herein. RHBRI does not warrant the accuracy of anything stated herein in any
manner whatsoever and no reliance upon such statement by anyone shall give rise to any claim whatsoever against RHBRI. RHBRI and/or its associated persons
may from time to time have an interest in the securities mentioned by this report.
This report does not provide individually tailored investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives
of persons who receive it. The securities discussed in this report may not be suitable for all investors. RHBRI recommends that investors independently evaluate
particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. The appropriateness of a particular investment or
strategy will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives. Neither RHBRI, RHB Group nor any of its affiliates, employees or agents accepts
any liability for any loss or damage arising out of the use of all or any part of this report.
RHBRI and the Connected Persons (the “RHB Group”) are engaged in securities trading, securities brokerage, banking and financing activities as well as providing
investment banking and financial advisory services. In the ordinary course of its trading, brokerage, banking and financing activities, any member of the RHB
Group may at any time hold positions, and may trade or otherwise effect transactions, for its own account or the accounts of customers, in debt or equity
securities or loans of any company that may be involved in this transaction.
“Connected Persons” means any holding company of RHBRI, the subsidiaries and subsidiary undertaking of such a holding company and the respective directors,
officers, employees and agents of each of them. Investors should assume that the “Connected Persons” are seeking or will seek investment banking or other
services from the companies in which the securities have been discussed/covered by RHBRI in this report or in RHBRI’s previous reports.
This report has been prepared by the research personnel of RHBRI. Facts and views presented in this report have not been reviewed by, and may not reflect
information known to, professionals in other business areas of the “Connected Persons,” including investment banking personnel.
The research analysts, economists or research associates principally responsible for the preparation of this research report have received compensation based
upon various factors, including quality of research, investor client feedback, stock picking, competitive factors and firm revenues.
Technical Recommendation:
Trading Buy = Short-term positive opportunity spotted. It is an aggressive trading recommendation with a book to sellers’ price for short-term technical upside.
Bargain Buy = Short-term positive but technical signals have yet to trigger a rally. Traders can park and queue for their desired entry level within a small range.
Buy on Weakness = Short- to Medium-term positiveness anticipated, but technical readings are still negative. Traders can pick-up the stock for future rally.
Sell on Strength = Short-term momentum still positive, Traders are advice to lock in profit base on current strength.
Take Profit = Short-term target achieved. Traders are advice to exit before the technical readings turn bearish.
Avoid = Risky situation in the short-term and high volatility expected on the share price. Traders’ best strategy is staying away until it stabilises.
Technical recommendations are generally short-term in nature and may differ from RHBRI’s equity fundamental view and recommendation on the same company.
RHBRI is a participant of the CMDF-Bursa Research Scheme and will receive compensation for the participation. Additional information on recommended
securities, subject to the duties of confidentiality, will be made available upon request.
This report may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, without the written permission of RHBRI and RHBRI accepts no liability whatsoever for the
actions of third parties in this respect.
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