Professional Documents
Culture Documents
North-Holland
David H. MALMQUIST
Securities und Exchange Commission, Washington, DC 20549. USA
This paper’s results are consistent with the choice of accounting method in the oil and gas
industry being dominated by measurable characteristics of firms and guided by the principles of
efficient contracting. The results are inconsistent with an alternative hypothesis, opportunistic
behavior by managers. The efficient contracting explanation is also consistent with the empirical
findings from earlier studies: [e.g., Lilien and Pastena (1982) and Deakin 1979)].
*I am especially grateful to Ross Watts and S.P. Kothari who provided me with much
encouragement, many useful ideas, and editorial comments, and to Robert Holthausen (my
discussant at the 1988 JAE/Olin Conference) whose constructive criticism has helped to improve
the paper. I am also grateful to Joseph Weintrop, Jerold Zimmerman. Ken Lehn, John R.
Norsworthy, Michael Ryngaert, Larry Harris, Charles Trzcinka, Jeffry Netter, Mark Mitchell,
Thomas Lys. Joy Begley, Horace Brock, Jack Albert, John Heyman, Clarence Staubs, James Ford,
Wayne Marr. Ronald Lease, and Ralph !&mders for their comments. Several research assistants
and interns. especially Robby Tapscott, Kevin Hughes, Jim Zabala, and Robert Vazzo, provided
help with data. Responsibility for any remaining errors is solely the author’s.
i *The Securities and Exchange Commission, as a matter of policy, disclaims nsponsibility for
&y private publication or statement by any of its employees. The views here expressed are those
of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of the Co mmission or the author’s colleagues on
the staff of the Commission.
‘See Sunder (1976, pp. 1-18).
‘See Sunder (1976, p. 5).
The full cost and successful efforts methods usually produce markedly
different results. Full cost always yields higher book asset values than success-
ful efforts. Net income is higher under full cost when drilling and exploration
costs are sufficiently large relative to production, and is lower when this is not
the case.3 Furthermore, the issue of which method produces higher variability
of reported results depends upon certain firm characteristics (discussed below).
It is also well known that the largest firms - the so-called ‘majors’ - use
almost exclusively the successful efforts method. By contrast, it is generally
understood that pipelines and public utilities (largely because of regulations
requiring it in past years) account for their oil and gas activities under the full
cost method, and that small firms also prefer the full cost method.
Earlier studies of this issue have limited their samples to firms that are
characterized as drilling and exploration firms, on the implicit assumption that
the choice of method is only relevant to such firms. This paper takes the
approach that the choice between these two methods is relevant to all firms
who do, or may in the near future do, some drilling, and who have reserves to
value and contracts to monitor. The central theme of the paper is that firms
choose systematically the accounting method that provides the most efficient
monitoring of contracts between all economic agents.
‘See Sunder (1976, p. 6) for a mathematical treatment of the conditions under which net income
is higher under full cost, and when it is higher under successful efforts.
D. H. Malmquist, Oil and gas indwtv accounting choice 175
Full cost accounting has been the subject of controversy since its inception.
On two occasions in 1986 the SEC grappled with important policy proposals
relating to full cost accounting. In May 1986 the SEC voted not to suspend
temporarily the so-called ceiling test in establishing the balance sheet value of
proved reserves of full cost oil and gas companies.’ Then in October the SEC
considered a proposal to eliminate completely full cost accounting as an
acceptable accounting method. As a first step, such proposals are relased for
public comment. It was determined at that time not to seek public comment
on the proposal, and it went no further.6 In each of these instances the SEC’s
decision was based largely on efficient contracting arguments.’
The FASB, in Financial Accounting Standard No. 19 (FAS 19) proposed
the elimination of full cost as an acceptable method in 1979. That particular
event provided an experiment on the impact of mandatory accounting changes.
Several studies examine the stock price effects of the release of the exposure
draft of FAS 19.” Lys (1984) finds that full cost firms experienced significant
negative net-of-market returns on the day the original exposure draft appeared
in the Wall Street Journal. He also finds insignificant negative net-of-market
returns on the day the formal proposal of FAS 19 appeared in the Wall Street
Journal and insignificant net-of-market returns on the day the Wall Street
Journal reported that the SEC had overruled FAS 19 with its approval of
Accounting Standards Release (ASR) 253. Lys also examines the various
was proposed by the FASB in 1979 and by the, SEC’s Office of the Chief
Accountant in 1986, then the costs associated with the increase in legal
expenses and potential loss of brand name faced by underwriters would have
to be passed on to issuers and might result in some issues not coming to
market at a11.9
‘Seen in this context, the question of access to capital markets can be’s real issue. At the time
the proposal to eliminate full cost accounting was debated at the SEC, Commission staff
economists were not fully aware of the underwriter brand name issue and hence not persuaded by
the access to capital markets argument.
“In discussing white noise, no claim is made here that oil and gas firms can accurately assess
how much of total variance in accounting numbers represents true underlying variance and how
much represents white noise. Nevertheless, taking the debt-equity ratio as an example, successful
efforts can produce near zero (or even negative) book values of equity, even when there may be
substantial market value in the reserves. Forcing the denominator of the debt-equity ratio (or any
ratio for that matter) toward zero will cause its variance to explode. On the other hand, there can
be some masking of underlying equity value variance under full cost due to the fact that dry hole
costs are capitalized. Which of these two etl’ects dominates will depend upon, among other things,
the relative values of assets and liabilities and the number of independent drilling projects. Thus, a
firm whose assets relative to liabilities are large, and has a large number of independent drilling
projects, will probably derive a truer picture of the variance in its debt-equity ratio when it
employs successful efforts. On the other hand, a firm whose assets relative to liabilities are small,
and has a small number of independent drilling projects, will probably derive a truer picture of
the variance in its debt-equity ratio when it employs full cost. Somewhere in between, there is
likely a range where the relative accuracy of debt-equity variance under full cost vs. successful
efforts will be difficult to assess. Therefore, a tirm that wishes to most efficiently monitor its
contracts will have to make a judgement call, based on such factors as suggested here, as to
whether full cost or successful efforts will produce a truer picture of the variation in its financial
performance.
178 D. H. Malmquist, Oil and gas industry accounting choice
“Foster (1980. p. 36) cites examples of particular companies who claimed in their responses to
FAS 19 that their borrowings would not be affected by a mandated switch to successful efforts.
For example. Juniper Petroleum claimed that most of their ability to borrow related to engineer-
ing projections of revenues of producing properties. However, an examination of Moody’s (1980,
p. 4865) reveals that at the end of 1979 Jumper Petroleum had an outstanding credit agreement in
the amount of $21 million due May 31,1982. That agreement required the company, among other
things, ‘ . . . to maintain current assets equal to 100% of current liabilities, maintain a ratio of total
liabilities to equity of 250% or less.. ’ and further provided ‘ for certain restrictions relative to
the repurchase of capital stock, purchase of oil and gas properties and the payment of dividends’.
A similar description of the credit agreement covenants appears in the 1977, 1978, and 1979
M&v’s, Interestingly, in December of 1981 Juniper arranged another credit agreement. This
agreement was for a maximum of $25 million and borrowing was limited to the value of oil and
gas reserves (presumably an engineering based constraint). However, this credit was arranged with
the Continental Illinois Bank which subsequently filed for reorganization under Chapter 11 in
large measure because of bad loans to oil and gas companies. On February 10,1983, Jumper was
acquired by Damson Oil, whose credit arrangements contain accounting-based covenants.
“I examined six firms selected from table 4 in the appendix to determine what, if any,
accounting-based constraints they faced as of year end 1985. The following list summarizes the
findings: (1) Damson Oil [Moody’s (1986, p. 2757)] had an additional debt restriction which
would not permit it to increase its funded debt to the point where its ‘consolidated funded
indebtedness would exceed the sum of (i) 75% of the discounted net value of proved reserves plus
(ii) 60% of consolidated net tangible assets’. While the first part of this restriction might be
engineering-based, the second part obviously is not. Additionally, Damson Oil had accounting-
based dividend constraints. (Dividend restrictions are often based on retained earnings pools; but
however they are done, they are invariably accounting-based.) (2) Pennzoil [Moody’s (1986, p.
4276)] had credit agreements wherein the ceiling amounts that could be borrowed were based on
engineering estimates of the value of reserves. However, Pennzoil also faced dividend restrictions:
‘Pemuoil is subject to restrictions as to the payment of dividends under certain bank credit
agreements and indentures. Under the provision most restrictive in its effect at December 31,
1985, approximately $747.000.000 were unrestricted as to the payment of dividends.’ (3) Coastal
Corporation [ Moo&‘s (1986. p. 3001)] also had an effective restriction on the payment of
dividends. (4) The same was true for Noble Affiliates [ Mooc@‘s (1986, p. 4217)]. (5) Chevron
[Moo&‘s (1986, p. 198)] had a restriction which limited the total debt on hens by certain
subsidiaries to 10% of the company’s consolidated net tangible assets. (6) Tesoro Petroleum
Moo&‘s (1986, p. 6118)] had accounting-based dividend restrictions.
Frost and Bernard (1988, p. 26) present data on 19 full cost oil and gas companies. Of the 15 of
these that had private loan agreements, 11 had accounting-based covenants. Of the nine that had
public loan agreements, six had accounting-based covenants. Of the four that had no accounting-
based covenants in their private agreements, three had accounting-based covenants in their public
agreements; while of the three with no accounting-based covenants in their public agreements, one
had accounting-based covenants in their private agreements. In sum, 16 of 19 full cost firms had
accounting-based covenants in either public or private agreements.
Press and Weintrop have only five oil companies in their sample. All had some element of
accounting constraint. Press and Weintrop confirm that in general it is necessary to examine both
public and private agreements to determine the existence of accounting-based constraints and that
M&V’s does not pick up all the private agreements that are filed with the SEC.
D. H. Mulmquist, Oil and gas indwtry accounting choice 179
‘3Coase (1937) reasoned the firm to be a means by which an entrepreneur can achieve greater
simplicity and efficiency in the contracting relationships among factors of production than could
be achieved by contracting directly for such services in the market. Elaborating on this theme,
Jensen and Meckling (1976, p. 84) describe the private corporation as a ‘ . legal fiction which
serves as a nexus for contracting relationships and which is also characterized by the existence of
divisible residual claims on the assets and cash flows of the organization which can generally be
sold without permission of the other contracting individuals’.
“Some researchers have suggested that it is relatively easy to modify bonus compensation
packages when there is a change in accounting method; see, for example, Watts and Zimmerman
(1978). This suggests that the choice of managerial compensation plan may be endogenous to the
system determining choice of accounting method.
180 D. H. Mulmqui~t, Oil and gas industty accounting choice
“As Holthausen and Leftwich (1983, p. 85) point out: ‘Rational managers anticipate the extent
to which the value of their human capital falls if they opportunistically take actions that increase
their own wealth, but do not maximize the value of the firm. If ac4~unting rules are to alTect
managers’ wealth via management compensation plans, negotiation and renegotiation of those
plans must be costly. and the adjustment in the value of managers human capital must be less
than perfectly offsetting.’
‘?See. for example, Alchian and Kessel(1%2), Watts and Zimmerman (1978). and Zimmerman
(1983).
“Further. firms that have high debt-quity ratios may be closer to covenants (under either
method) than firms with low debt-equity ratios, and hence will have heightened interest in
accurate monitoring.
D. H. Malmquist, Oil and gas Musty accountingchoice 181
Hypothesis I. Ceteris paribus, the higher the debt-equity ratio, the greater the
likelihood that a Jirm will choose fill cost.
With respect to the effect of covenants, it is also possible that the type of
debt - public or private - can matter. On the assumption that public debt
permits less creativity in the writing of covenants,” it is expected that the use
of public debt will heighten a firm’s sensitivity to excessive variance in the
debt-equity ratio. This theory suggests the following hypothesis:
Hypothesis 2. Ceteris paribus, if a $rm uses the public debt market, there will
be a greater likelihood of its choosing full cost than if it does not.
The discussion under political costs suggests that size may be an important
variable. Specifically, large firms may derive benefit from the selection of
successful efforts. It was also suggested in the section under securities under-
writing that large firms are likely, for political reasons, to prefer successful
efforts. Small firms, especially new small firms tend to prefer full cost. Also, as
noted by several writers, including Sunder (1976) and Lys (1984), the effec-
tiveness of full cost in reducing that part of reported earnings variance due to
drilling risk diminishes as firm size increases. This is because of the portfolio
effect of having a greater number of drilling projects. These three factors all
point in the same direction and suggest the following testable hypothesis:
Hypothesis 3. Ceteris par&us, the larger the firm, the lesser the likelihood it
will choose full cost.
IsRecent work by Press and Weintrop (1990) and Frost and Bernard (1988) suggest that private
agreements can contain quite restrictiveaccounting covenants; however, private debt contracts are
also less costly to renegotiate. Fmthermore, it may be more a function of who you are than
whether you use the privateor publicdebt market.Exxonwillprobablynot be strap@ withtight
accounting-based covenants in the public or the private debt market. In the sample of firms
employed here 126 out of a total 316 (40%) had public debt at the end of 1985. Of the so-called
independents, 42 out of 192 (22%)had public debt.
182 D. H, Mulmquist, Oil and gas industry accounting choice
lYSunder(1976. p. 6) derives mathematically the conditions under which the expected variance
of earnings will be lower or higher under full cost as compared to successful efforts. The variance
of reported earnings is shown to differ according to the probability of a successful strike, net
operating cash flow per successful well per period, exploration cost per well, the life of a successful
well, and the number of exploratory wells drilled per period. This analysis centers mainly on
engineering risk. The price of oil (market risk) enters implicitly into the analysis through its etl’ect
upon net operating cash flow per period.
“Smith and Stulh (1985) point out that the desire to achieve smoother results through hedging
does not depend upon risk aversion by the firm but upon the assumption that firms respond to
incentives existing ‘within the contracting process to maximize the market value of the firm’. Such
firms, they argue, will hedge for reasons of ‘(1) taxes, (2) costs of financial distress, and (3)
managerial risk aversion’. The third category refers to the existence of management compensation
schemes.
D. H. Mulmquist, Oil and gas induwy accounting choice 183
“However, they employ a book.valw measure of the debt-equity ratio, which contains a large
measure of method dependency for which they must correct. To a small degree - largely as result
of accrued interest expense on unproved wells - exploration costs are also method-dependent.
184 D. H. Mulmquist, Oil and gap indust~ accounting choice
present paper, the question of the necessity to exclude firm types is treated
empirically. In fact, it is a basic premise of this paper that no categories, or
types, of firms should be excluded from the analysis. To the extent that there
may be some effects of firm type not fully captured by the analysis, the model
developed below attempts to control for that through the use of dummy
variables.
where
*%he logit approach is generally preferable to discriminant analysis in that it requires fewer
assumptions and is virtually no less efficient than disuiminant analysis even when all the
assumptions of discriminant analysis hold [see Harm11and Lee (1985)]. There are a number of
“factors present in this analysis which indicate the use of maximum likelihood approach to
estimating this logit model: the existence of several independent variables in the model, a umber
of which are continuous, and the fact that only one choice is associated with each set of
observations. Given these conditions, one is faced with a choia between maximum likelihood
estimation or an alternative nonlinear estimation method, and the latter tend to be computation-
ally cumbersome. Furthermore, ‘a unique maximum always exists for the logit model’ thus making
maximum likelihood especially attractive in logit applications; see Pindyck and Rubinfeld (1976.
p. 251) for a fuller explanation of this point.
23Since Pr, is the probability that the firm will be on full cost, (1 - P,) is the probability that
the firm will be on successful efforts. The predicted value of the dependent variable is therefore the
maximum likelihood estimate of the natural logarithm of the odds that the Arm in question will be
on full cost.
D. H. Malmquist, Oil and gac industry accountingchoice 185
The economic rationale and our prior expectations about the variables in
this model are as follows: SALES should pick up any effect or size of firm
upon choice of method. By Hypothesis 3 the prior expectation is therefore that
the coefficient on this variable should unambiguously be negative.
PROD and EXC are concentration of activities variables. PROD measures
how important the activity of producing oil and gas is to the firm; and EXC
measures how important exploring is to the firm. Consistent with our theory
of product market versus engineering risk outlined above, the prior expecta-
tions - from Hypotheses 4 and 5 - are that EXC will have a positive impact
upon the likelihood of choosing full cost, and PROD a negative one.25
D/E26 enters the equation in order to test Hypothesis 1. The prior expecta-
tion by that hypothesis is that the sign on this variable is positive.
DpubDebt is included to test Hypothesis 2. The prior expectation here is a
positive coefficient.
The type-of-firm dummy variables are included to test directly the explicit
assumption of Deakin (1979) - and implicitly by Lilien and Pastena
%iversified companies includes firms whose main activities are largely unrelated to the oil and
gas business (e.g.. Burlington Northern).
%lternatively. the higher (lower) is EXC and the lower (higher) is PROD, the more likely the
firm can be described by Sunder’s definition as expanding (declining). The sign predictions from
this approach are the same.
*%e choice of market value of quity increases the likelihood of finding signiticauce for this
term vs. a measure employing book value. It does not mean that a bias has been introduced;
rather, a potentially large bias against finding si@Scance due to the use of book values has been
avoided. The market value of equity should provide an unbiased estimate of the market value of
the firm.
186 D. H. Mcdmquist, Oil and gas induwy accounting choice
271nitially. type-of-firm dummies were constructed from categories applied to each firm by
Arthur Andersen & Co. Arthur Andersen’s four categories are: (1) majors, (2) independents, (3)
pipelines and public utilities, and (4) diversified companies. These categories are largely based
upon Arthur Andersen’s subjective evaluation and appear highly correlated with size of firm. In
particular, the category major is by definition based on size. It was determined therefore that a
more objective. less size-dependent method for establishing types of firms was necessary, and an
alternative set of categories was developed based on the firm’s dominant SIC code.
The four categories developed from SIC codes have rough correspondence with the Arthur
Andersen categories. For example, major companies always have refining and processing (2911) as
their dominant SIC code and most independents have drilling and exploration (1311) as theirs.
The pipelines and public utilities form nearly the same list of firms whether the determination is
made by reference to Arthur Andersen’s survey or by the dominant SIC code; there are, however,
some differences. There is also some similarity between the ‘diversified’ category from the Arthur
Andersen survey and the ‘everything-eke category based on SIC codes.
The use of SIC-based categories relieved the multicollinearity problems inherent in the model
employing Arthur Andersen dummies and also produced more robust econometric results. For
these reasons, only the SIC-based dummies are presented here.
*sArthur Andersen (1987) contains data for several years, the most recent being 1986. As
mentioned, the data employed here are for 1985.
2YThese firms were eliminated first because they tended to be those firms for which many of the
other variables, such as long-term debt, and end-of-year price, sales, etc., were not available and
because of concerns over zero dividend problems that might arise in the PROD and EXC
variables.
30Some data elements which were missing from Compustat II were filled in with information
such as Standard & Poor’s Corporation Records.
D, H. Malmquikt. Oil and gas industry accotmting choice 187
were available, the firm is likewise deleted from the sample. The result of these
deletions is a sample of 316 firms for which usable data could be obtained for
all the variables in the estimating equations.
All the final data values used in the regressions discussed in the next section
are presented in, or can be inferred from, table 4 in the appendix.31 A brief
description of the initial calculation of each of the variables is as follows:
SALES: Total sales in millions of dollars from Compustat II for the fiscal
year ending in 1985, normalized and logged.32
EXC: Total exploration costs for the year ending 12/31/85 from Arthur
Andersen (1987) divided by the total market value of equity on 12/31/85
from Compustat II, normalized and logged.
PROD: Millions of barrels of oil and gas (at BTU equivalence) produced
during the year ending 12/31/85 divided by the total market value of equity
on 12/31/85 from Compustat II, normalized and logged.
D/E: Total book value of debt at year ending in 1985 from Compustat II
divided by the total market value of equity on 12/31/85 from Compustat II,
normalized and logged.
: This variable is set equal to one if, according to National
QukizE Bureau (1986), there was outstanding public debt at the end of
1985, and equal to zero otherwise.
The three type-of-firm categories for which dummy variables are assigned
are formed from the firm’s predominant SIC code from Compustat II as
follows: (1) Drer= 1 if SIC = 2911, 0 otherwise; (2) Ddex= 1 if SIC = 1311,
1381,1382, or 1389,O otherwise; Dp = 1 if SIC = 4922,4923,4924,4931,4932,
5170, or 5171, 0 otherwise.
4. Empirical results
Tables 1 through 3 present the main empirical results for three samples -
(1) all firms for which we could obtain data, (2) all firms excluding pipelines
and public utilities, and (3) all firms excluding pipelines, public utilities, and
the major oil and gas companies. Thus (2) and (3) are subsets of (1).
3’Instead of separately listing the type of firm dummies in table 4, each firm’s respective SIC
code is given. The interested reader could therefore reconstruct the dummies employed here or
create different ones. Similarly, the dependent variable is not presented as a 0,l dummy. Rather,
under the heading ‘Method’ are listed two letter designations, ‘s’ (successful efforts) and ‘F’ (full
cost). The heading ‘Type’ refers to Arthur Andersen’s categories: ‘D’ (diversified), ‘I’ (indepen-
dent), ‘M’ (major), ‘P’ (pipelines and public utilities).
32Specifically. observations on continuous variables are divided by the mean value for that
particular series. and then the natural logarithm is taken. This is done primarily for ease of
interpretation of the coefficients, to eliminate potential problems associated with variables being
on widely disparate scales, and because of priors that a logarithmic specification simply makes
more intuitive sense. A shift factor of 0.5 was added to eaeh ratio value before taking the
logarithm, in order to avoid the problem taking the logarithm in the neighborhood of zero.
Furthermore. these variable transformations were undertaken before a single regression was run in
order not to bias the results because of a ‘hunt’ for the right specification.
188 D.H. Mahnquist,Oiland gar lndwtryaccountingchoice
Table 1
Logit regression results for all firms in the study, based on 1985 end-of-year data (number of
firms = 316: 197 full cost, 119 successful eflorts).
coetticient
Explanatory Predicted Value
variable’ sign (standard error) p-value
INTERCEPT ? 0.322 0.512
(0.491)
SALES - - 0.910 0.002
(0.295)
EXC + 2.354 0.002
(0.761)
PROD - - O&48 0.026
(0.292)
D/E + 0.758 0.002
(0.244)
+ 0.426 0.167
(0.308)
Drcf ? - 1.033 0.156
(0.731)
Ddex ? -0.149 0.789
(0.553)
DP + 2.384 0.002
(0.760)
Ddex * EXC ? - 2.008 0.009
(0.538)
-2.logL 356.71
Model chi-square 61.90
(degrees of freedom) (9)b
%A LES - total corporate revenues; EXC - total exploration costs divided by total market
value of equity: PROD-oil and gas production divided by the market value of equity;
D/E- total debt divided by market vahre of equity: DpubDcb,,Dmr, Ddexrand D,, arc dummy
variables signifying the existence of public debt, a reIining and prowssing Arm, a drilling and
exploration firm, and a pipeline or public utility, respectively.
bSignificant at 1% level.
The empirical results are interesting from several points of view. First, in
each case the chi-square statistic for the model as a whole is highly significant,
ranging in value from 32.18 (with eight degrees of freedom, signiticant at the
1% level) to 61.90 (with nine degrees of freedom, significant at the 1% level).
The coefficients in all four continuous variables - SALES, EXC, PROD,
and D/E - are highly significant and have the correct signs in each of the
three sample specifications. Furthermore, the coe&ients on these four vari-
ables are also quite stable across the different samples. Thus, Hypotheses 1, 3,
4, and 5 are strongly supported by the results. Hypothesis 2 is close ‘to
significance only in table 2 and therefore is rejected.
D. H. Mrrlmquis~,Oil and gas industry accounting choice 189
Table 2
Logit regression results for all firms in tbe study except pipelines and public utilities, based on
1985 end-of-year data (number of firms - 287: 171 full cost, 116 successful efforts).
Coet%cient
Explanatory Predicted value
variable’ sign (standard error) p-value
J.A.E.-G
190 D. H. Malmquist, Oil and gas industry accountingchoice
Table 3
Logit regression results for all firms in the study except pipelines and public utilities and majora
oil and gas companies based on 1985 end-of-year data (number of firms = 273: 171 full cost, 102
successful efforts).
Alternate specification
Coefficient Coefficient
Explanatory Predicted value value
variableh sign (standard error) p-value (standard error) p-value
INTERCEPT ? 0.426 0.409 0.463 0.370
(0.516) (0.517)
SALES - - 0.779 0.047 - 0.797 0.044
(0.393) (0.396)
EXC f 2.649 0.002 2.877 0.001
(0.855) (0.873)
PROD - - 0.582 0.048 - 0.465 0.141
(0.295) (0.316)
D/E + 0.692 0.005 0.697 0.014
(0.246) (0.284)
D Puhllkht f 0.454 0.156 0.435 0.177
(0.320) (0.323)
D rcl ? - 0.578 0.435 - 0.569 0.443
(0.737) (0.742)
Ddcx ? -0.190 0.745 - 0.230 0.693
(0.582) (0.583)
Ddcx l EXC ? - 2.317 0.008 - 2.413 0.006
(0.868) (0.868)
D PuhDcht * EXC ? - 0.454 0.259
(0.402)
D Puhl)eht * D/E ? - 0.172 0.716
(0.475)
-24logL 328.64 326.99
Model chi-square 32.18 33.84
(degrees of freedom) (8)’ (10)’
“Companies are excluded as ‘majors’ if they are so classified by Arthur Andersen & Co. (1987).
hSALES = total corporate revenues; EXC = total exploration costs dividedby total market
value of equity: PROD= oil and gas production divided by the market value of equity:
D/E= total debt divided by market value of equity; DpubDcb,, D,,, and Ddex are dummy
variables signifying the existence of public debt, a refining and processing firm, and a drilling and
exploration firm. respectively.
‘Significant at 1% level.
D.H. Mulmquist, Oil and gus industry accounting choice 191
any of the three sample specifications. Even the drilling and exploration
dummy is only significant in interaction with EXC.
5. A competing hypothesis
This paper argues that the choice of accounting method is motivated by the
requirements of efficient contracting. Nevertheless, an alternative explanation
is that the choice of accounting method results rather from management’s
ability and willingness to engage in opportunistic behavior, i.e., the existence
of a serious agency problem. Two areas of potential agency conflict are
management versus shareholders and shareholders versus bondholders. The
usual argument is that an agency problem in the management vs. shareholder
relationship enables management to behave opportunistically in the choice of
accounting method. One motivation for such behavior is the management
incentive compensation plan. To get such a result, two conditions are required.
First, it must be costly for shareholders to remove managers. For example,
managers might possess unique skills in the management of assets that are
specific to the firm. Second, the cost of recontracting the compensation plans
must be sufficiently high to allow managers to engage in their opportunism.33
This being the case, it is unlikely that opportunistic behavior could be so
pervasive as to explain the systematic consistency and strength of the results
presented in tables 1, 2, and 3.
Nevertheless, some additional empirical findings presented here provide
clues about the possibility that choice of method is dominated by opportunis-
tic behavior by managers. Data on management holdings and type of compen-
sation plan were developed from reading proxy statements at the SEC. The
overall sample size dropped from 316 to 282 because the relevant information
could not be found for some firms. The data were grouped into four compen-
sation plan types: (1) those with no bonus compensation plan, (2) those based
strictly on the market value of equity, (3) those with strictly accounting-based
plans, and (4) those with bonus compensation plans based in part on the
market value of equity and in part on accounting data. The dollar value of
management holdings34 was normalized and logged so as to be similar in
construction to the other continuous variables. This variable was identified as
MGT. Then dummies were. created for three of the four bonus plan
categories - D, (equity compensation plan), DAc (accounting compensation
plan), D,, (blended compensation plan).
These four new variables were added to the models presented in tables 1, 2,
and 3. In none of the three sample specifications - (1) all firms, (2) all less
pipelines and utilities, (3) all less pipelines, utilities, and majors - can a
significant coefficient be found on any of the compensation plan dummies.
Furthermore, their signs defy interpretation. DAc and D, are both negative,
while D,, is positive, in all three samples. Interestingly, the estimated coeffi-
cient on MGT is positive and significant in two of the three samples.
Meanwhile, all the estimated coefficients that are significant in tables 1, 2, and
3 retain their significance in these results. They also retain their signs and their
approximate magnitudes. The coefficients on the new variables for the sample
exclusive of public utilities (these results being the most favorable of all to the
opportunistic behavior hypothesis) are as follows:
6. Conclusions
I postulate a model of accounting choice grounded on the theory that
managers are rational and are guided by the principles of firm value maximiza-
tion and avoidance of recontracting costs. The empirical model employed is
one of logit regression analysis, where the dependent variable is a zero/one
dummy (full cost = 1, successful efforts = 0), transformed in the usual way.
The independent variables are a measure of ti size, the relative importance
of exploration, the relative importance of production, the debt-equity ratio, a
dummy variable for the existence of public debt, and several industry dum-
mies.
The present paper differs from earlier works in several respects. First, it
considers a wide variety of firm types, in contrast to the more narrowly defined
samples of earlier papers. The paper fails to provide support.for the notion
D. H. Malmquist, Oil and gas industry accounting choice 193
that the choice between full cost and successful efforts is only relevant to firms
that are predominantly drillers, although exploration costs is the most impor-
tant continuous variable. After excluding pipelines and public utilities, there is
no information contained in knowledge of the firm’s predominant SIC code
that is not contained in the continuous variables. The coefficients on the
dummy for the existence of public debt have the correct sign (positive). Theory
suggests that the existence of public debt eliminates flexibility in covenant
writing, thus shifting more of the burden of efficient monitoring to accounting
choice. However, the results on this variable are only marginally significant,
and are quite weak in comparison to the results on the continuous variables.
The sign on production (negative) is consistent with efficient contracting;
however, it is also consistent with producers wanting to show higher income
(which they generally would under successful efforts). Nevertheless, it is
difficult to ignore the strength of the overall results. In particular, the coeffi-
cient on the debt-equity ratio is significant at the 1% level in all three
specifications. Leverage is the variable that most clearly points to potential
problems in contracting. 35 The significance of this variable strongly indicates
that the costliness of contracting and recontracting is very important to
accounting choice. While some authors argue that the costliness of recontract-
ing allows opportunistic managers to raise their own income at shareholders’
expense by choosing the method that gives them the highest bonus compensa-
tion, research findings developed in this paper provide no support for the
proposition that this is a significant explanation of accounting choice in this
industry. Clearly, pipelines and public utilities are different, as a result of their
recent regulatory history. However, during the time period from which our
data are taken, the regulations requiring these firms to use full cost had not
been in effect for several years. Nevertheless, there is a very high level of
significance on the dummy variable for pipelines and public utilities indicating
that it may be costly to switch accounting methods. Perhaps it is more costly
than modifying managerial compensation plans. This information is inconsis-
tent with the opportunistic behavior thesis, which implicitly argues otherwise.
In sum, the empirical results are generally consistent with the efficient
contracting model developed in the paper. The evidence suggests that the
choice between full cost and successful efforts accounting in the oil and gas
industry is governed by the need to efficiently moniforthe contracts among the
economic agents of the firm.
35Lys (1982) suggests that the debt-equity ratio is an incomplete measure of the riskiness of
debt contracting. However, the potential for the wealth transfers, which he speaks of, may at any
given time be difficult to forecast, and the choice of accounting method is one which is generally
made with a considerable time horizon in mind. Additionally, Lys’ arguments are not at all
inconsistent with efficient contracting. Rather, they raise some interesting questions regarding the
use of the debt-equity ratio, particularly in studies of the stock price effects of mandated
accounting changes.
Appendix
Table 4
The data.
Company name CUSIP Method Type DPubDebt SIC SALES PROD EXC D/E
ADAMS RES. & ENERGY 006351 S D 0 5170 - 0.56544 - 0.05569 - 0.69315 - 0.12141 .g
ADOBE RESOURCES 007240 F I 1 1311 - 0.61867 - 0.24235 0.41330 -0.24035 .
ALAMCO 010742 S I 0 1311 - 0.66895 1.16505 - 0.69315 1.71530 $
ALBION INTL RES. 013325 S I 0 1311 - 0.69240 0.00803 - 0.69315 0.04401 $-
ALEXANDER ENERGY 014617 F I 0 1311 - 0.68509 0.28126 0.26889 0.21904 2.
ALLEGHENY &WESTERN 017227 S P 0 4924 - 0.44164 - 0.65257 - 0.69315 - 0.29867 P
ALTA ENERGY 021270 F I 0 1311 - 0.69070 0.39018 - 0.69315 0.25968 8
ALTEX INDUSTRIES 021454 S D 0 1389 - 0.68943 - 0.36732 - 0.69315 - 0.65958
AMAX 023127 S D 1 1000 0.37337 - 0.55412 - 0.45393 0.58279 &
AMBER RESOURCES 023184 F I 0 1311 - 0.69261 - 0.03447 - 0.69315 - 0.69315
AMCOLE ENERGY 023412 F D 0 4922 - 0.68815 - 0.57171 - 0.69315 - 0.56892 2__
AMERADA HESS 023551 S M 1 2911 1.52074 0.39479 0.63843 0.01666 $
AMERICAN EXPL. 025762 F I 0 1311 - 0.68213 - 0.29581 0.06094 0.02988
AMERICAN FRONTIER EXPL. 026295 F I 0 1311 - 0.68826 0.767% - 0.69315 1.39029 3
AMERICAN NATL PET. 028602 F I 0 1311 - 0.68234 1.22783 - 0.69315 0.38690 8
AMERICAN OIL & GAS 028711 F P 0 4922 - 0.58561 - 0.48419 - 0.69315 0.20098 s
AMERICAN PETROFINA 028861 F D 0 2911 0.57651 - 0.00369 0.33098 0.10308 z.
AMERICAN QUASER PET. 029145 F I 1 1311 - 0.66656 0.89149 1.15231 2.12942 fs
AMOCO 031905 S M 1 2911 2.69709 0.20705 0.60692 -0.45216 t
APACHE CORP. 037411 F I 1 1311 - 0.56488 0.10467 - 0.37327 -0.16681 p
APACHE PET. CO. (MLP) 037463 F I 1 1311 - 0.45079 - 0.05881 - 0.33545 - 0.18727
ARAPAHO PETROLEUM 038655 F I 1 1311 - 0.68837 0.99062 1.92806 1.22350
ARCH PETROLEUM INC. 039388 S I 0 1311 - 0.69134 0.52769 - 0.69315 - 0.69315
ARGO PETROLEUM F I 1 6023 - 0.36016 - 0.58375 - 0.64584 - 0.53610
ARKLA 041237 F P 1 4923 0.02859 - 0.42579 - 0.64678 -0.18277
ASAMERA 043411 F D 0 2911 - 0.34953 0.11206 0.11959 - 0.51130
ASHLAND OIL 044540 S D 1 2911 1.54804 - 0.29723 - 0.12063 - 0.09911
ASPEN EXPL. 045295 F I 0 1311 - 0.69251 - 0.17842 - 0.69315 - 0.69315
ATLANTIC RICHFIELD 048825 S M 1 2911 2.49055 0.23020 0.35391 - 0.13570
AZTEC RESOURCES 055033 F I 0 1311 - 0.69240 -0.15013 1.73564 -0.61386
BARNWELL INDUSTRIES 068221 F I 0 1311 - 0.67782 0.65691 - 0.69315 0.81367
BARRET RESOURCES 068480 F I 0 1311 - 0.69059 - 0.40566 0.65923 - 0.67614
BARUCH-FOSTER 069689 S I 0 1311 - 0.67698 0.13025 0.22611 - 0.35973
BASIC EARTH SCIENCE 069842 F I 0 1311 - 0.68911 0.79028 1.52035 - 0.50152
BASIX CORP. 070121 S D 0 2150 - 0.55565 - 0.33707 - 0.49818 0.13610
BAYOU RESOURCES 073047 F I 0 1311 - 0.68974 0.56428 - 0.69315 0.05749
BEARD OIL 073847 S I 0 1311 - 0.67186 -0.17158 0.61100 - 0.23251
BELCOR INC. 071443 F I 0 1311 - 0.69230 - 0.65143 - 0.69315 - 0.52269
BELLWETHER EXPL. 079895 S I 0 1311 - 0.68667 0.48308 1.06064 0.44701
BIG PINEY 089365 S 0 1311 - 0.69261 0.16317 0.69315 - 0.65100
BLACKGOLD ENERGY RES. 092368 F I 0 1311 - 0.69187 - 0.40314 - 0.69315 - 0.25869
BLUE JAY ENERGY 095645 S I 0 1311 - 0.69230 1.10306 - 0.69315 0.82494
BGGERT OIL 097205 S 0 1311 - 0.67353 0.50676 0.20077 - 0.00787
BOLYARD 097903 S I 0 1311 - 0.69283 - 0.26430 - 0.69315 - 0.69315
BOW VALLEY IND. 102169 F D 0 1311 - 0.35202 0.23645 1.12101 0.04179
BRACKEN EXPL. 103901 F 0 1311 - 0.68540 0.33057 0.38463 - 0.68673
BROCK EXPL. 111628 F I 0 1311 - 0.68392 0.61415 - 0.69315 0.21853
TOM BROWN 115660 F D 0 1311 - 0.66149 0.39355 0.49054 - 0.69315
BURLINGTON NORTHERN 121897 F D 1 4011 1.63057 - 0.49257 - 0.43294 - 0.06850
BURTON/HAWKS 123051 S I 0 1311 - 0.69049 0.35715 -0.69315 - 0.50615
TEXAS GAS RES. (CSX) 126408 S D 4011 1.48116 - 0.61246 - 0.43005 - 0.12928
CABOT CORP. 127055 S D 1 1311 0.22216 - 0.30593 - 0.19589 -0.18948
CALLON PETROLEUM 131238 F I 0 1311 - 0.65891 0.91943 1.41249 - 0.42848
CALUMET INDUSTRIES 131429 S D 0 2911 - 0.63090 - 0.48658 - 0.69315 - 0.15622
CAMBRIDGE ROYALTY 132498 S I 0 6792 - 0.68847 0.48949 - 0.69315 0.52928
CAMPBELL RESOURCES 134422 F D 0 1040 - 0.62194 0.17977 0.77298 0.54867
CANADA SOUTHERN 135231 I 0 1311 - 0.69102 - 0.28807 - 0.69315 - 0.69315
CANADIAN OCC. PETRO. 136420 D 1 1311 - 0.29578 0.00927 0.25816 - 0.58792
CANADIAN PACIFIC LTD. 136440 D 4011 1.82883 - 0.31322 -0.13470 0.25891
CARLING O’KEEFE 142263 D 2082 -0.16487 - 0.47905 - 0.59868 - 0.22978
CENERGY CORP. (CENTEX) 151317 D 1311 - 0.64369 0.14910 0.83738 0.01820
CHAPARRAL RESOURCES 159420 I 1311 - 0.69240 - 0.54780 - 0.69315 - 0.65381
CHAPMAN ENERGY 159512 I 1311 - 0.67322 - 0.22147 - 0.28658 0.06724
CHEVRON 166751 M 2911 3.12362 0.38613 0.36829 -0.10045
Table 4 (continued)
Company name CUSIP Method Type buhFkh{ SIC SA LES PROD EXC D/E
Company name CUSIP Method rme D P”hD&l SIC SALES PROD EXC D/E
Company name CUSIP Method Type DPuhmht SIC SALES PROD L-XC D/E
Company name CUSIP Method Type D Putnm SIC SA IL-S PROD EXC D/E
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