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no año Carga (x-´x) (y-ý) (x-´x)*(y-ý)

1 1980 2934 -13 -9759.7 126876.6


2 1981 3242 -12 -9451.7 113420.9
3 1982 3773 -11 -8920.7 98128.1
4 1983 3741 -10 -8952.7 89527.4
5 1984 4171 -9 -8522.7 76704.7
6 1985 4884 -8 -7809.7 62477.9
7 1986 5625 -7 -7068.7 49481.2
8 1987 6672 -6 -6021.7 36130.4
9 1988 7487 -5 -5206.7 26033.7
10 1989 7999 -4 -4694.7 18779.0
11 1990 8738 -3 -3955.7 11867.2
12 1991 9184 -2 -3509.7 7019.5
13 1992 10276 -1 -2417.7 2417.7
14 1993 11205 0 -1488.7 0.0
15 1994 12064 1 -629.7 -629.7
16 1995 13383 2 689.3 1378.5
17 1996 14369 3 1675.3 5025.8
18 1997 15251 4 2557.3 10229.0
19 1998 16109 5 3415.3 17076.3
20 1999 17465 6 4771.3 28627.6
21 2000 18821 7 6127.3 42890.8
22 2001 19805 8 7111.3 56890.1
23 2002 21347 9 8653.3 77879.3
24 2003 23062 10 10368.3 103682.6
25 2004 24750 11 12056.3 132618.9
26 2005 27107 12 14413.3 172959.1
27 2006 29267 13 16573.3 215452.4
28 2007 32217
29 2008 34107
30 2009 34894
31 2010 37639
32 2011
33 2012
34 2013
35 2014
36 2015
37 2016
38 2017
1993 12693.74074 1582945
Promedio Promdio sumatoria
Y=a+bx Y=-1259405,48+637,1532x
r= 0.980170015
Sy= 9154.416418
Sx= 9.284962376
b= 966.3888889
a= -1913319.315
(x-´x)^2 (y-ý)^2 Y=a+bx
169 95252539.3 130.69 40000.00
144 89335403.0 1097.07
35000.00
121 79579615.4 2063.46
100 80151566.8 3029.85 30000.00
81 72637109.7 3996.24
25000.00
64 60992050.4 4962.63
49 49967095.7 5929.02 20000.00
36 36261361.5 6895.41
25 27110149.1 7861.80 15000.00

16 22040590.6 8828.19 10000.00


9 15647884.8 9794.57
4 12318280.1 10760.96 5000.00
1 5845470.3 11727.35
0.00
0 2216349.0 12693.74 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
1 396573.4 13660.13
4 475078.3 14626.52
9 2806493.6 15592.91
16 6539574.9 16559.30
25 11663995.8 17525.69
36 22764914.9 18492.07
49 37543306.0 19458.46
64 50570008.3 20424.85
81 74878895.8 21391.24
100 107500800.1 22357.63
121 145353387.3 23324.02
144 207742042.5 24290.41
169 274672922.5 25256.80
26223.19
27189.57
28155.96
29122.35
30088.74
31055.13
32021.52
32987.91
33954.30
34920.69
35887.07
1638 1592263459
sumatoria sumatoria
85 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
x y
no año Carga X^2 X^3
1 1980 2934 3920400 7762392000
2 1981 3242 3924361 7774159141
3 1982 3773 3928324 7785938168
4 1983 3741 3932289 7797729087
5 1984 4171 3936256 7809531904
6 1985 4884 3940225 7821346625
7 1986 5625 3944196 7833173256
8 1987 6672 3948169 7845011803
9 1988 7487 3952144 7856862272
10 1989 7999 3956121 7868724669
11 1990 8738 3960100 7880599000
12 1991 9184 3964081 7892485271
13 1992 10276 3968064 7904383488
14 1993 11205 3972049 7916293657
15 1994 12064 3976036 7928215784
16 1995 13383 3980025 7940149875
17 1996 14369 3984016 7952095936
18 1997 15251 3988009 7964053973
19 1998 16109 3992004 7976023992
20 1999 17465 3996001 7988005999
21 2000 18821 4000000 8000000000
22 2001 19805 4004001 8012006001
23 2002 21347 4008004 8024024008
24 2003 23062 4012009 8036054027
25 2004 24750 4016016 8048096064
26 2005 27107 4020025 8060150125
27 2006 29267 4024036 8072216216
28 2007 32217 4028049 8084294343
29 2008 34107 4032064 8096384512
30 2009 34894 4036081 8108486729
31 2010 37639 4040100 8120601000
32 2011 4044121
33 2012 4048144
34 2013 4052169
35 2014 4056196
36 2015 4060225
37 2016 4064256
38 2017 4068289
Sumatorias 53811 342731 107246961 213749722341
m 2
n 38
X^4 X*Y X^2*Y Polinomio
15369536160000 5809320 11502453600 174.4841540894
15400609258321 6422402 12722778362 1129.4685878898
15431729448976 7478086 14821566452 2085.4170765462
15462896779521 7418403 14710693149 3042.3296200587
15494111297536 8275264 16418123776 4000.2062184268
15525373050625 9694740 19244058900 4959.0468716512
15556682086416 11171250 22186102500 5918.8515797316
15588038452561 13257264 26342183568 6879.6203426679
15619442196736 14884156 29589702128 7841.3531604603
15650893366641 15910011 31645011879 8804.0500331088
15682392010000 17388620 34603353800 9767.7109606131
15713938174561 18285344 36406119904 10732.3359429734
15745531908096 20469792 40775825664 11697.9249801899
15777173258401 22331565 44506809045 12664.4780722624
15808862273296 24055616 47966898304 13631.9952191906
15840599000625 26699085 53264674575 14600.4764209751
15872383488256 28680524 57246325904 15569.9216776157
15904215784081 30456247 60821125259 16540.3309891121
15936095936016 32185782 64307192436 17511.7043554646
15968023992001 34912535 69790157465 18484.0417766729
16000000000000 37642000 75284000000 19457.3432527375
16032024008001 39629805 79299239805 20431.6087836579
16064096064016 42736694 85558861388 21406.8383694345
16096216216081 46193186 92524951558 22383.032010067
16128384512256 49599000 99396396000 23360.1897055556
16160601000625 54349535 108970817675 24338.3114558998
16192865729296 58709602 117771461612 25317.3972611006
16225178746401 64659519 129771654633 26297.4471211571
16257540100096 68486856 137521606848 27278.4610360695
16289949838561 70102046 140835010414 28260.439005838
16322408010000 75654390 152065323900 29243.3810304627
30227.2871099433
31212.1572442797
32197.9914334724
33184.789677521
34172.5519764256
35161.2783301861
36150.9687388027
426022715452941 684645828 1367676884708
m 2
n 38

38 a0 53811 + a1 107246961 + a2 =
53811 a0 107246961 + a1 213749722341 + a2 =
107246961 a0 213749722341 + a1 426022715452941 + a2 =

1 a0 0 + a1 0 + a2 =
0 a0 1 + a1 0 + a2 =
0 a0 0 + a1 1 + a2 =

Polinomio 0,0482+-954,3262x+0,482027428004005x^2

Chart Title
40000

35000

30000

25000

20000

15000

10000

5000

0
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
342731
684645828
1367676884708

0.0482838 1
-954.3262085235 x
0.482027428 x^2

8004005x^2

005 2010 2015


x y
no año Carga X^2 X^3
1 1980 2934 3920400 7762392000
2 1981 3242 3924361 7774159141
3 1982 3773 3928324 7785938168
4 1983 3741 3932289 7797729087
5 1984 4171 3936256 7809531904
6 1985 4884 3940225 7821346625
7 1986 5625 3944196 7833173256
8 1987 6672 3948169 7845011803
9 1988 7487 3952144 7856862272
10 1989 7999 3956121 7868724669
11 1990 8738 3960100 7880599000
12 1991 9184 3964081 7892485271
13 1992 10276 3968064 7904383488
14 1993 11205 3972049 7916293657
15 1994 12064 3976036 7928215784
16 1995 13383 3980025 7940149875
17 1996 14369 3984016 7952095936
18 1997 15251 3988009 7964053973
19 1998 16109 3992004 7976023992
20 1999 17465 3996001 7988005999
21 2000 18821 4000000 8000000000
22 2001 19805 4004001 8012006001
23 2002 21347 4008004 8024024008
24 2003 23062 4012009 8036054027
25 2004 24750 4016016 8048096064
26 2005 27107 4020025 8060150125
27 2006 29267 4024036 8072216216
28 2007 32217 4028049 8084294343
29 2008 34107 4032064 8096384512
30 2009 34894 4036081 8108486729
31 2010 37639 4040100 8120601000
32 2011 4044121 8132727331
33 2012 4048144 8144865728
34 2013 4052169 8157016197
35 2014 4056196 8169178744
36 2015 4060225 8181353375
37 2016 4064256 8193540096
38 2017 4068289 8205738913
Sumatorias 53811 342731 107246961 213749722341
m 2
n 38
X^4 X^5 X^6 X*Y
15369536160000 30431681596800000 60254729561664000000 5809320
15400609258321 30508606940733900 60437550349593900000 6422402
15431729448976 30585687767870400 60620833155919200000 7478086
15462896779521 30662924313790100 60804578914245900000 7418403
15494111297536 30740316814311400 60988788559593900000 8275264
15525373050625 30817865505490600 61173463028398900000 9694740
15556682086416 30895570623622200 61358603258513600000 11171250
15588038452561 30973432405238700 61544210189209300000 13257264
15619442196736 31051451087111200 61730284761177000000 14884156
15650893366641 31129626906248900 61916827916529200000 15910011
15682392010000 31207960099900000 62103840598801000000 17388620
15713938174561 31286450905550900 62291323752952000000 18285344
15745531908096 31365099560927200 62479278325367000000 20469792
15777173258401 31443906303993200 62667705263858400000 22331565
15808862273296 31522871372952200 62856605517666700000 24055616
15840599000625 31601995006246900 63045980037462500000 26699085
15872383488256 31681277442559000 63235829775347700000 28680524
15904215784081 31760718920809800 63426155684857100000 30456247
15936095936016 31840319680160000 63616958720959600000 32185782
15968023992001 31920079960010000 63808239840060000000 34912535
16000000000000 32000000000000000 64000000000000000000 37642000
16032024008001 32080080040010000 64192240160060000000 39629805
16064096064016 32160320320160000 64384961280960400000 42736694
16096216216081 32240721080810200 64578164324862900000 46193186
16128384512256 32321282562561000 64771850255372300000 49599000
16160601000625 32402005006253100 64966020037537500000 54349535
16192865729296 32482888652967800 65160674637853400000 58709602
16225178746401 32563933744026800 65355815024261800000 64659519
16257540100096 32645140520992800 65551442166153500000 68486856
16289949838561 32726509225669000 65747557034369100000 70102046
16322408010000 32808040100100000 65944160601201000000 75654390

426022715452941 849115140877089000 1692415697908820000000 684645828


X^2*Y X^3*Y Polinomio
11502453600 22774858128000 3060.9015025348
12722778362 25203823935122 3353.4955002517
14821566452 29376344707864 3699.4151138365
14710693149 29171304514467 4098.7406133413
16418123776 32573557571584 4551.5522689223
19244058900 38199456916500 5057.9303506464
22186102500 44061599565000 5617.9551285654
26342183568 52341918749616 6231.7068728358
29589702128 58824327830464 6899.265853554
31645011879 62941928627331 7620.7123407871
34603353800 68860674062000 8396.1266046167
36406119904 72484584728864 9225.5889151692
40775825664 81225444722688 10109.1795425266
44506809045 88702070426685 11046.9787567705
47966898304 95645995218176 12039.0668280423
53264674575 106263025777125 13085.524026379
57246325904 114263666504384 14186.430621922
60821125259 121459787142223 15341.8668847531
64307192436 128485770487128 16551.9130849391
69790157465 139510524772535 17816.6494926363
75284000000 150568000000000 19136.1563778669
79299239805 158677778849805 20510.5140107721
85558861388 171288840498776 21939.8026614338
92524951558 185327477970674 23424.1025999337
99396396000 199190377584000 24963.4940964282
108970817675 218486489438375 26558.0574209392
117771461612 236249551993672 28207.8728435934
129771654633 260451710848431 29913.0206344873
137521606848 276143386550784 31673.5810637027
140835010414 282937535921726 33489.6344013512
152065323900 305651301039000 35361.2609175295
37288.540882349
39271.554565832
41310.3822381496
43405.1041693687
45555.8006295562
47762.551888898
50025.4382173717
1367676884708 2732159180723058
m 2
n 38

38 a0 53811 + a1 107246961 + a2
53811 a0 107246961 + a1 213749722341 + a2
107246961 a0 213749722341 + a1 426022715452941 + a2
213749722341 a0 426022715452941 + a1 8.491151408771E+17 + a2

1 a0 0 + a1 0 + a2
0 a0 1 + a1 0 + a2
0 a0 0 + a1 1 + a2
0 a0 0 + a1 0 + a2

Polinomio -0,0000287510802619434+52185,6141375663-52,8447214606236x^2+0,01

Chart Title
40000

35000

30000

25000

20000

15000

10000

5000

0
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
213749722341 342731
426022715452941 684645828
8.49115140877089E+017 1367676884708
1.69241569790882E+021 2732159180723058

0 -2.87510802619434E-05 1
0 52185.6141375663 x
0 -52.8447214606 x^2
1 0.0133783492 x^3

6141375663-52,8447214606236x^2+0,0133783492154711x^3

tle

5 2000 2005 2010 2015


Años x y Y' = In y X*Y' X^ 2
1980 1 2934 7.98 7.98 1
1981 2 3242 8.08 16.17 4
1982 3 3773 8.24 24.71 9
1983 4 3741 8.23 32.91 16
1984 5 4171 8.34 41.68 25
1985 6 4884 8.49 50.96 36
1986 7 5625 8.63 60.44 49
1987 8 6672 8.81 70.45 64
1988 9 7487 8.92 80.29 81
1989 10 7999 8.99 89.87 100
1990 11 8738 9.08 99.83 121
1991 12 9184 9.13 109.50 144
1992 13 10276 9.24 120.09 169
1993 14 11205 9.32 130.54 196
1994 15 12064 9.40 140.97 225
1995 16 13383 9.50 152.03 256
1996 17 14369 9.57 162.74 289
1997 18 15251 9.63 173.38 324
1998 19 16109 9.69 184.06 361
1999 20 17465 9.77 195.36 400
2000 21 18821 9.84 206.70 441
2001 22 19805 9.89 217.66 484
2002 23 21347 9.97 229.28 529
2003 24 23062 10.05 241.10 576
2004 25 24750 10.12 252.91 625
2005 26 27107 10.21 265.40 676
2006 27 29267 10.28 277.67 729
2007 28 32217
2008 29 34107
2009 30 34894
2010 31 37639
2011 32
2012 33
2013 34
2014 35
2015 36
2016 37
2017 38
SUMAS 378 342731 249.3908236 3634.6753061 6930
PRONOSTICO
3294.99 b 0.09
3596.03 a' 8.01
3924.57 a'' 3019.16
4283.12
4674.43
50000
5101.50
5567.58 45000

6076.24 40000
6631.37 35000
7237.23
30000
7898.43
8620.04 25000
9407.58 20000
10267.07 15000
11205.09
10000
12228.80
13346.04 5000
14565.36 0
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
15896.07
17348.36
18933.33
20663.11
22550.92
24611.21
26859.73
29313.67
31991.81
34914.63
38104.48
41585.77
45385.11
49531.56
54056.83
58995.55
64385.47
70267.82
76687.60
83693.89

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