Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Handbook
Investment & Financing Keys
Spain 2017
May 2017
Financial Advisory I Real Estate - Hospitality
@ 2016 Deloite Financial Advisory 1
2 4
► From 2013 to 2016, ADR grew on average by Key Investment
14% in Spain. In addition, occupancy rate has
significantly grown from 57% to 66% (+840bps). and Financing
The Hotel Property Handbook ► RevPar has grown by 31% (2013-16) due to
Drivers
Spain 2017 the increase of both ADR and occupancy rate.
Supply & ► 54 new hotels opened in 2016 with a total of
► High Liquidity for both
Equity and Lending due to
Demand 5,697 new rooms. the improvement of KPIs
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY i. 87% of total rooms in 4* and 5* throughout Spain.
hotels and 95% in the selected hotspots
► Increasing financing
ii. 45 hotels belong to mayor hotel
1
demand for prime
chains and only 9 belong to development projects,
independent operators. including refurbishment,
repositioning and greenfield
► The main chains´ priorities are innovation,
sustainability, asset renovation, brand ► Location, category,
repositioning, the client experiences and performance and hotel
Market digital strategy to become the market leaders. brand significantly impact on
financing terms.
Overview
3 5
Tourism is one of Spain’s growth Hotel Real Estate Key
Key drivers
Investment
2015 vs 2016
Market Factors
► GDP growth: +3.2% 2016 (+2.6% 2017 F),
Tourism grew by 4.9% and accounts for 11.3% ► The EMEA region accounts for 27% of the total Hotel Real Full Due Diligence required to
of total Spanish GDP Estate Investment volume. Spain accounts for 12% perform the optimal deal analysis:
► Unemployment fell to 19.2% in 2016, while In Spain, Hotel Investment volume decreased by 21% in
tourism accounted 12% of all employment
►
► Financial Factors: Understanding of GOP vs.
2016 (€2,145m) and accounted for 17% of total non- NOP.
residential investment ► Business Performance: Analysis of market
► 75.6 million visitors in 2016 (+10.9%)
and income sustainability.
► Tourism Business Confidence Index ► SOCIMIs (Spanish REITs) took part in 44% of total ► Legal Factors: Analysis of all intervenient
shows figures that are pre-crisis levels and close Hotel transactions in Spain contracts. Comprehensive legal risk analysis.
to maximum levels ► Tax Factors: Analysis of tax risks and potential
tax structuring alternatives.
► For the second year running, Spain holds the
► Spain is the leader in Real Estate valuation ► Technical Factors: Functional use (Back of
leader position in the WEF Travel & growth in Europe. In 2016 Madrid and Barcelona RE House vs. Front of House), equipment
Tourism Competitiveness Report valuations increased by 11% and 14%, respectively. condition, legal compliance and the hotel
design (BREEAM + LEED certifications).
@ 2016 Deloite Financial Advisory 2
The Hotel Market:
Unitary Values Analysis (€/room)
The Hotel Property Handbook 10 Year
Spain 2017 Bond
2016-2017
(1 March 2017)
0,92% 1,15% -0,22% -0,22% 2,12% 2,12% 0,34% 1,67% 2,12% 0,23% 0,62% 1,67% 0,91% 1,15% 0,55 %
▼4 bps ▼65 bps ▼ 22 bps ▼ 22 bps ▲ 50 bps ▲ 50 bps ▼ 43 bps ▼17 bps ▲ 50 bps ▼ 34 bps ▼ 22 bps ▼17 bps ▼16 bps ▼65 bps ▼ 59 bps
Yield 2016 – Dif. 10
€800k
1
0.5% 1.7% 6.6%
Yielding Assets are more €400k
attractive than Investment 13.9% (3.7%) (1.1%)
7.9% 11.0% 4.6% 15.5% (6.7%) 5.0%
room (2015-16)
2015-2016
2
€200k
Returns expected in Spain
through hotel investment are
above the European average
Copenhagen
Amste rdam
Stockholm
Edinburgh
Strength of the dollar (For
Barcelona
Florence
American investors) and
London
Genev a
Munich
Europe
Madrid
Zürich
Dublin
Rom e
weakness of the Euro since 2014
Milan
Paris
€800k
4
Political and financial
Trend 2006-2016
€400k
Italy Germany Spain United Kingdom United Kingdom Italy United Kingdom France
31%
7%
Hotel Villa Park Plaza InterContinental Hilton Molino Doubletree Le Meridien
France Magna Victoria London O2 Stucky Tower of London Etoile
12%
United Kingdom Hotel Hotel Hotel Hotel Hotel Hotel
23%
Spain
12%
For more information see CHAPTER 4 in the 18 United Kingdom Doubletree by Hilton Hotel Docklands Riverside
378 90 Junson C apital Bayside C apital
19 United Kingdom Radisson Blu Edwardian Grafton Hotel 330 83 n.a. Derwent London
full report (Key Investment and Financing
20 Germany Villa Kennedy 163 77 GEG German Estate Group hausInvest
Drivers).
22 Spain Gran Hotel Velazquez 110 63 Didra (grupo de Rafael Ardid) Familia Salazar
24 Spain Byblos Hotel 144 60 Ayco Grupo Inmobiliario Amsprop Ltd
2 Spanish transactions are 34 Spain Hotel NH Suecia 127 45 Internos Global Investors Explotadora de Hoteles EDTL
included within the Top 20 47 Spain Aldiana Fuerteventura 361 30 Alfredo Morales Mohamed M. Abou El-Enein
European deals. 50 Spain Convento de SAN Bartolome 122 28 C aboel Grupo SL San Bartolome Muinoa SA
€2,000m is expected Source: Deloitte Data Base and third party sources - 21%
to be traded in Spain For more information see CHAPTER 3 (Investment Market)
SPAIN’S GEOPOLITICAL
130 130
GDP CONTEXT 130
grew by 3.2% The Spanish 124 125 129
during 2016. Tourism Industry 125 126 125
Tourism accounts is benefiting from
for 11.3% the current
of Spain’s GDP geopolitical 119 124 120
RECORD context
CONSUMER 120 120 118
CONFIDENCE
FIGURES 2016 117
CCI has
75.6 million tourists
came to Spain in
experienced an 115 115 115
Uptrend since 2012
2016 spending
and is close to
111 111
€77.6k million
max. levels 110 113 114
GROWTH 110 110
TOURISM BUSINESS 106 108
COMPETITIVENESS CONFIDENCE
105 105
Spanish Tourism Tourism Business 105
industry Confidence close
acknowledged as to max. levels
100 105 100
the world’s most since 2016 100 100
competitive 101
EMPLOYMENT BREXIT
In contrast to
Tourism-related
previous estimates, 95 95
employments
12% more UK
accounts for 12%
tourists came to 2013 2014 2015 2016 2013 2014 2015 2016
of Spain’s
Spain during 2016
employments Andalusía Catalonia
Madrid Barcelona
Community of Valencia Balearic Islands
Valencia Avrg. Urban dest.
Canary Islands Avrg. Vacational dest.
160
140
New 80
00
6,907
developments 120
16.8%
Conversion
5,396
5,745 5,697
28.9% 5,120
100 60
00
80
Refurbishment 60
3,124 2,825
40
00
54.3%
40
20
00
20
82 62 68 57 56 34 54
Source: Censo Alimarket Hoteles
- 0
Main Conditions
Institutional
Main Players Investors / Debt Banking / Insurance
MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT Funds Companies
Improvement of fundamentals
Monetary Policy: QE, low funding costs, etc. Upfront Fee 150-250bps 125-175bps 100-150bps 90-135bps
FINANCIAL SECTOR
Restructuring of the Financial Sector Spread 225-400bps 200-250bps 175-225bps 150-225bps
P&L reconstruction
Development loans: (1) Sustainable LTV to deal with the debt service with high funding costs (A higher LTV will result in a greater debt service)
(2) A Balloon is required to cover the high funding costs during the loan´s life (a lower balloon will result in a greater annual debt
Traditional lenders are service). Estimated balloon for a 5-7 years loan.
coming back Location, category, performance, type of operating contract (and mandatory period duration)
and hotel brand significantly affect financing terms.
Senior Debt:
Yielding assets: Source: Deloitte
gathering momentum
@ 2016 Deloite Financial Advisory For more information see CHAPTER 4 (Key Investment and Financing Drivers) 9
The Hotel Property Handbook Main Players:
Spain 2017
Equity Main Chains
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2015 2016
Va l ue
Va l ue
Added
Added
10%
13.7% Core+
11%
NPLs portfolios
Core+ Core
30.0% 56.3%
Core
79%
(€m)
More than 10,000 rooms in Spain
Debt
€m €m
Core 1,522 Core 1,702
Core+ 811 Core+ 234
Value Added 369 Value Added 209
Source: Deloitte
WHAT IS
NEXT?
@ 2016 Deloite Financial Advisory 11
Innovation
LEADING SUSTAINABILITY
CERTIFICATIONS
Hotel
Property
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Select the two most significant drivers to improve
#1 capital and asset efficiency in 2017
Income
“Expectativas 2017 increase
The Experience Revolution” Repositioning investing 35%
#4 Acquisitions 15%
Asset and
capital Supplier and debtor management 7%
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Gran Hotel
Velázquez will be
upgraded to a 5 star
hotel with 111
rooms.
@ 2016 Deloite Financial Advisory 14
The Hotel Property Handbook
Spain 2017
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Deloitte´s role:
• Full sell side advisory:
• Vendors Due Diligence
• Transaction execution
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Deloitte´s role:
• Business Plan analysis & turnaround
advisory.
• Technical and Town Planning review.
Partner
Financial Advisory ‖ Real Estate
jgarciamateo@deloitte.es
Mob: +34 659 90 02 15
Director
Financial Advisory ‖ Real Estate
agranado@deloitte.es
Mob: +34 630 78 44 73
Senior Manager
Financial Advisory ‖ Real Estate
jespejo@deloitte.es
Phone: +34 918 232 692
Fernando Baldellou
Handbook
fbaldellou@deloitte.es
Phone: +34 914 432 514
Spain 2017
Jordi Schoenenberger
Partner
Hospitality Industry Leader
jschoenenberger@deloitte.es
Phone: +34 932 543 932
@ 2016 Deloite Financial Advisory 17