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?.M-4577-PR
TUNE 1965
SOME TABLES OF
Y'• THE NEGATIVE BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION
AND THEIR USE
Bernice Brown
-- / - -
PREPARED FOR:
UNITED STATES AIR FORCE PROJEM;T RAND
biA
MEMORANDUM
RM-4577-PR
JUNE 1965
SOME TABLES OF
THE NEGATIVE BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION
AND THEIR USE
Bernice Brown
Ii'116%wayf h i* -1moninbrretd b%Ith United Statvi- Air Foerm under Projejct 1tA\I-Ceon.
Iact \,,.
WI W 19 l EII M .71k)--nirnitor..d 1,.. 11W I)Ireeo,.e of 0r~ue i 'ar~n'm.
ilmd WIh-ire11',il.v I'ian. ihpui'%Chief of Soff. Rstwort'i, and Develtqnwnet. 1141 t SAL
Vie%o vinllfRu!-liomo I.,otsintwl in thip $hfinorandum ohould nut l.w interlorete so'
re-iiP.tnwtihg 1lw ef~lwial copinlice efi pecik'. of 1w. United States Air Focec.
D1)1
H; VAII.Amix~ry mynaci
Qualifil-fd ret Wmkttrif may oletainl fvopiei of thil~rollmfl from the Ih-ft-tm. Dou)"'4w
tsif Oh~il~
M - T~r
SL,94ARY
L, INTRODUCTION
may study the sample data and make estimates of the param-
limited data.
computation.
judges that the actuator has failed. Assume that the fail-
ure rate for this part ha8 been found to be 25 in 1000 (i.e.,
1 in 40). We may then think of this situation as being
represented by a binomial distribution (p+q) 3 , where
N a 432 (18 inspections per month for 24 months), p a .025,
q a .975 (i.e., q a 1-V, the probability of nonoccurrence).
But the data available to us Is monthly data by squadron,
and we are interested in determining a squadron demand
rate per month. The monthly demand data for the actuator
looks like this: 0-2-O-0I-O--0-.l-O--l-----2-0---I-l--0-
0-1-0-1. These numbers are ordered in time, the first
3. TI NAM
TIYK Z UCIAAL MDZTBU'ION
Poisson distribution often has not been a good fit for the
series of observations. In many cases, the lack of fit
was manifested in more vonths of zero demand thdn that
described by the Poisson distribution. It was also true
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values makes p vary from 1/2 to 6 and k from 1 to 20.
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