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Short-Term Borrowing and Current portion of Long-Term Debt 71 52 110 165 151
Total Current Liabilities 479 591 789 1,027 1,441
Long-Term Debt 647 654 610 788 1,257
Other Liabilities 897 866 1,041 1,103 2,213
Total Liabilities 2,023 2,111 2,441 2,918 4,911
Total Common Stock 1,288 2,522 3,807 4,937 6,368
Minority Interest 238 164 175 482 700
Total Equity 1,526 2,686 3,982 5,420 7,068
Line 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Cash Flow Estimation with Price at $80/ton
1 Revenue: 2 million tons @ $80 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0
a
2 Mining costs 28.8 28.8 28.8 30.4 30.4 30.4 33.6 33.6 33.6
3 Smelting, refining, and freight costs 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0
4 Operating profits 83.2 83.2 83.2 81.6 81.6 81.6 78.4 78.4 78.4
5 Depreciation and amortization 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0
6 EBIT 71.2 71.2 71.2 69.6 69.6 69.6 66.4 66.4 66.4
7 Taxes @ 35% 24.9 24.9 24.9 24.4 24.4 24.4 23.2 23.2 23.2
8 Net income 46.3 46.3 46.3 45.2 45.2 45.2 43.2 43.2 43.2
9 Cash flow from operations 58.3 58.3 58.3 57.2 57.2 57.2 55.2 55.2 55.2
10 Return of working capitalb 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11 Total cash flows 58.3 58.3 58.3 57.2 57.2 57.2 55.2 55.2 55.2
Cash Flow Estimation with Price at $100/ton
12 Revenue: 2 million tons @ $100 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0
13 Mining costs a
28.8 28.8 28.8 30.4 30.4 30.4 33.6 33.6 33.6
14 Smelting, refining, and freight costs 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0
15 Operating profits 123.2 123.2 123.2 121.6 121.6 121.6 118.4 118.4 118.4
16 Depreciation and amortization 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0
17 EBIT 111.2 111.2 111.2 109.6 109.6 109.6 106.4 106.4 106.4
18 Taxes @ 35% 38.9 38.9 38.9 38.4 38.4 38.4 37.2 37.2 37.2
19 Net income 72.3 72.3 72.3 71.2 71.2 71.2 69.2 69.2 69.2
20 Cash flow from operations 84.3 84.3 84.3 83.2 83.2 83.2 81.2 81.2 81.2
21 Return of working capitalb 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
22 Total cash flows 84.3 84.3 84.3 83.2 83.2 83.2 81.2 81.2 81.2
Line 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Capital Takedown Schedule a
60.0
40.0
60.0
40.0
200.0
Line 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Cash Flow Estimation with Price at $80/ton
1 EBIT (based on iron ore at $80/ton) 71.2 71.2 71.2 69.6 69.6 69.6 66.4 66.4 66.4
2 Interest 31.9 10.9 8.0 5.1 2.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
3 Pre-tax profit 39.3 60.3 63.2 64.5 66.9 69.4 66.4 66.4 66.4
4 Taxes @ 35% 13.8 21.1 22.1 22.6 23.4 24.3 23.2 23.2 23.2
5 Net income 25.5 39.2 41.1 41.9 43.5 45.1 43.2 43.2 43.2
6 Depreciation and amortization 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0
7 Cash flows from operations 37.5 51.2 53.1 53.9 55.5 57.1 55.2 55.2 55.2
8 Working capital changes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9 Cash flow for debt repayment and dividends 37.5 51.2 53.1 53.9 55.5 57.1 55.2 55.2 55.2
10 Contractual debt repayment 0.0 13.9 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11 Debt payment under loan covenants 37.5 18.6 19.9 27.0 27.7 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 Cash available for equity holders 0.0 18.6 19.9 27.0 27.7 55.1 55.2 55.2 55.2
13 Equity investment 40 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 Total
Line Loan Principal Payment Schedule 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Senior secured debt—U.S. banks
1 Contractual repayment 0.0 8.5 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Prepayment 22.5 11.2 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
3 Annual debt amortization 22.5 19.7 17.8 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Cumulative debt amortization 22.5 42.2 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0
Debt Outstanding 10.0 50.0 37.5 17.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total Debt Outstanding 40.0 120.0 122.5 89.9 56.7 29.8 2.0 -
13 Total contractual repayment 0.0 13.9 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
14 Total prepayment 37.5 18.6 19.9 27.0 27.7 2.0
15 Total debt amortization 37.5 32.5 33.2 27.0 27.7 2.0
Weighted Average Interest Rate
10% Senior secured debt—U.S. banks 2.50% 4.17% 3.06% 1.98% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
7% Senior unsecured debt—Japanese and Korean banks 1.75% 1.75% 1.43% 0.94% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
9% Senior subordinated debt —Chinese steel makers 4.50% 3.00% 4.41% 6.01% 9.00% 9.00% 9.00%
Cost of Debt 8.75% 8.92% 8.90% 8.93% 9.00% 9.00% 9.00%
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 Total
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.6
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 43.4
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 60.0
60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 29.4
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 40.0
40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 60.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 60.0
60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
- - - - - - - - -
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.2
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 132.8
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 160.0
WACC Calculations
Based on New Earth
Costo de la deuda 10%
Costo del equity 15%
Relación deuda / valor 12%
Relación Equity-valor 88%
Tasa de impuesto 35%
WACC 9.48%
Based on NESA
Cost of Debt 9%
Cost of Equity 24%
Debt-to-Value Ratio 80% Debt 160
Equity-to-Value Ratio 20% Equity 40
Tax Rate 35% Value 200
WACC 9.48%
Approach 1 - VP of Operations
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Cash Flow Estimation with Price at $80/ton
Ingresos a: 2 million toneladas a $80 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0
Costos de extracción 28.8 28.8 28.8 30.4 30.4
Constos de fundición, refinación y transporte 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0
beneficios de explotacion 83.2 83.2 83.2 81.6 81.6
depreciacion y amortizacion 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0
BAII 71.2 71.2 71.2 69.6 69.6
impuestos al 35% 24.9 24.9 24.9 24.4 24.4
Ingresos netos 46.3 46.3 46.3 45.2 45.2
flujo de efectivo de operaciones 58.3 58.3 58.3 57.2 57.2
Retorno del capital de trabajo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Invesiones Iniciales -80.0 -120.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total CASH FLOW (80.0) (120.0) 58.3 58.3 58.3 57.2 57.2
WACC 9.48% 9.48% 9.48% 9.48% 9.48% 9.48% 9.48%
Valor presente de los flujos de caja (80.0) (109.6) - 44.4 40.6 37.1 33.2 30.4
NPV 180.1
160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0
30.4 33.6 33.6 33.6 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4
48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0
81.6 78.4 78.4 78.4 73.6 73.6 73.6 73.6 73.6 73.6
12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0
69.6 66.4 66.4 66.4 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6
24.4 23.2 23.2 23.2 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6
45.2 43.2 43.2 43.2 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0
57.2 55.2 55.2 55.2 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
57.2 55.2 55.2 55.2 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 72.0
9.48% 9.48% 9.48% 9.48% 9.48% 9.48% 9.48% 9.48% 9.48% 9.48%
27.7 24.4 22.3 20.4 17.6 16.0 14.6 13.4 12.2 15.4
nting Officer
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0
30.4 33.6 33.6 33.6 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4
48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0
81.6 78.4 78.4 78.4 73.6 73.6 73.6 73.6 73.6 73.6
12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0
69.6 66.4 66.4 66.4 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6
24.4 23.2 23.2 23.2 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6
45.2 43.2 43.2 43.2 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0
57.2 55.2 55.2 55.2 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
57.2 55.2 55.2 55.2 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 72.0
24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24%
10.2 8.0 6.4 5.2 3.9 3.2 2.6 2.1 1.7 1.9
Consulting Firm
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0
30.4 33.6 33.6 33.6 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4
48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0
81.6 78.4 78.4 78.4 73.6 73.6 73.6 73.6 73.6 73.6
12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0
69.6 66.4 66.4 66.4 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6
24.4 23.2 23.2 23.2 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6
45.2 43.2 43.2 43.2 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0
57.2 55.2 55.2 55.2 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
57.2 55.2 55.2 55.2 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 72.0
24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24%
10.2 8.0 6.4 5.2 3.9 3.2 2.6 2.1 1.7 1.9
alculation
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40
- - - - - - - - - -
40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24%
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
35% 35% 35% 35% 35% 35% 35% 35% 35% 35%
24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24%
Approach 4 - Internal Analyst (Free Cash Flow to Equity)
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Cash Flow Estimation with Price at $80/ton
EBIT (based on iron ore at $80/ton) 71.2 71.2 71.2 69.6 69.6
Interest 31.9 10.9 8.0 5.1 2.7
Pre-tax profit 39.3 60.3 63.2 64.5 66.9
Taxes @ 35% 13.8 21.1 22.1 22.6 23.4
Net income 25.5 39.2 41.1 41.9 43.5
Depreciation and amortization 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0
Cash flows from operations 37.5 51.2 53.1 53.9 55.5
Working capital changes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cash flow for debt repayment and dividends 37.5 51.2 53.1 53.9 55.5
Contractual debt repayment 0.0 13.9 13.3 0.0 0.0
Debt payment under loan covenants 37.5 18.6 19.9 27.0 27.7
Cash available for equity holders 0.0 18.6 19.9 27.0 27.7
Equity investment 40 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Free Cash Flow to Equity 0.0 40.0 0.0 0.0 18.6 19.9 27.0 27.7
Cost of Equity 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24%
PV of FCFE - (32.3) 7.9 6.8 7.4 6.2
NPV 40.7
ree Cash Flow to Equity)
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
69.6 66.4 66.4 66.4 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6
0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
69.4 66.4 66.4 66.4 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6
24.3 23.2 23.2 23.2 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6
45.1 43.2 43.2 43.2 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0
12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0
57.1 55.2 55.2 55.2 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.0
57.1 55.2 55.2 55.2 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 72.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
55.1 55.2 55.2 55.2 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 72.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
55.1 55.2 55.2 55.2 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 72.0
24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24%
9.9 8.0 6.4 5.2 3.9 3.2 2.6 2.1 1.7 1.9