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a. Graph the pdf and verify that the total area under the density curve is indeed 1.
0.075𝑥 5
𝑓(𝑥)𝑑𝑥 = (0.075𝑥 + 0.2)𝑑𝑥 = + 0.2𝑥
2 3
0.075(5 ) 0.075(3 )
+ 0.2(5) − + 0.2(3) = 1
2 2
0.075𝑥 4
𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 4) = (0.075𝑥 + 0.2)𝑑𝑥 = + 0.2𝑥
2 3
0.075(4 ) 0.075(3 )
+ 0.2(4) − + 0.2(3) = 0.4625
2 2
𝑃 (𝑋 ≤ 4)𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑃(𝑋 < 4 𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑙
c. Calculate P(3.5≤X≤4.5) and also P(4< X).
.
0.075𝑥 4.5
𝑃(3.5 ≤ X ≤ 4.5) = (0.075𝑥 + 0.2)𝑑𝑥 = + 0.2𝑥
. 2 3.5
0.075(4.5 ) 0.075(3.5 )
𝑃(3.5 ≤ X ≤ 4.5) = + 0.2(4.5) − + 0.2(3.5) = 0.5
2 2
0.075𝑥 5
𝑃(4 < X) = (0.075𝑥 + 0.2)𝑑𝑥 = + 0.2𝑥
2 4
0.075(5 ) 0.075(4 )
𝑃(4 < X) = + 0.2(5) − + 0.2(4) = 0.5375
2 2
11. Let X denote the amount of time a book on two-hour reserve is actually checked out,
and suppose the cdf is
Use the cdf to obtain the following:
a.𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 1)
1
𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 1) = 𝐹(1) = = 0.25
4
b. 𝑃(.5 ≤ 𝑋 ≤ 1)
1 .5
𝑃(. 5 ≤ 𝑋 ≤ 1) = 𝐹(1) − 𝐹(. 5) = − = 0.1875
4 4
c. 𝑃(𝑋 > 1.5)
2 1.5
𝑃(𝑋 > 1.5) = 𝐹(2) − 𝐹(1.5) = − = 0.4375
4 4
d. The median checkout duration 𝜇 [𝑠𝑜𝑙𝑣𝑒 .5 = 𝐹(𝜇 )]
𝜇
𝐹(𝜇 ) = → 𝜇 = √0.5 ∗ 4 = 1.414
4
e. 𝐹 (𝑥) to obtain the density function 𝑓(𝑥)
1
𝐹 (𝑥) = 𝑑𝑥 = 𝑥
2
1
𝑓(𝑥) = 2 𝑥, 0≤𝑥≤2
0, 𝑜𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑤𝑖𝑠𝑒
f. 𝐸(𝑋)
1 𝑥 2
𝐸(𝑋) 𝑥 ∗ 𝑓(𝑥)𝑑𝑥 = 𝑥 𝑑𝑥 =
2 6 0
2 0 2
𝐸(𝑋) = − = 1.33
6 6 0
g. 𝑉(𝑋) and 𝜎
1 𝑥 2
𝐸(𝑋 ) 𝑥 ∗ 𝑓(𝑥)𝑑𝑥 = 𝑥 𝑑𝑥 =
2 8 0
2 0 2
𝐸(𝑋 ) = − =2
8 6 0
2 2
𝑉(𝑋) = 𝐸(𝑋 ) − 𝐸(𝑋) = 2 − = = 0.22
6 9
2
𝜎 = 𝑉(𝑋) = = 0.4714
9
1 𝑥 2
𝐸(𝑋 ) 𝑥 ∗ 𝑓(𝑥)𝑑𝑥 = 𝑥 𝑑𝑥 =
2 8 0
2 0 2
𝐸(𝑋 ) = − =2
8 6 0
28. Let Z be a standard normal random variable and calculate the following probabilities,
drawing pictures wherever appropriate.
32. Suppose the force acting on a column that helps to support a building is a normally
distributed random variable X with mean value 15.0 kips and standard deviation 1.25 kips.
Compute the following probabilities by standardizing and then using Table A.3.
𝑋−𝜇
𝑍=
𝜎
𝑎. 𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 15) = 𝑃(𝑍 ≤ 0) = Φ(0) = 0.5
𝑏. 𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 17.5) = 𝑃(𝑍 ≥ 2) = 1 − Φ(2) = 1 − 0.9772 = 0.0228
𝑐. 𝑃(𝑋 ≥ 10) = 𝑃(𝑍 ≥ −4) = 1 − Φ(−4) = 0.9999
𝑑. 𝑃(14 ≤ 𝑍 ≤ 18) = 𝑃(−0.8 ≤ 𝑍 ≤ 2.4) = 0.9918 − 0.2119 = 0.7799
𝑒. 𝑃(|𝑋 − 15| ≤ 3) = 𝑃(3 ≤ |𝑋 − 15| ≤ 3) = 𝑃(12 ≤ 𝑋 ≤ 18) = 𝑃(−2.4 ≤ 𝑍 ≤ 2.4)
41. The automatic opening device of a military cargo parachute has been designed to open
when the parachute is 200 m above the ground. Suppose opening altitude actually has a
normal distribution with mean value 200 m and standard deviation 30 m. Equipment damage
will occur if the parachute opens at an altitude of less than 100 m.
What is the probability that there is equipment damage to the payload of at least one of five
independently dropped parachutes?
𝜇 = 200𝑚
𝜎 = 30𝑚
𝑋−𝜇
𝑍=
𝜎
𝑃(𝑋 ≥ 100) = 𝑃(𝑍 ≥ 3.33) = Φ(3.3333) = 0.9996
b. Answer the questions posed in part (a) for a sample size of n = 64 rings.
If n=64, then the center of the distribution of 𝑋 stay the same, but the standard
deviation of the distribution of the X is different.
𝜎
𝜎 = 0.005𝑐𝑚
√𝑛
c. For which of the two random samples, the one of part (a) or the one of part (b), is 𝑋 more
likely to be within .01 cm of 12 cm? Explain your reasoning.
Because the variability of 𝑋 is decreasing when sample size is getting larger, it is more likely
that within 0.01cm form the mean (12cm) 𝑋 will be in the second sample.
53. Rockwell hardness of pins of a certain type is known to have a mean value of 50 and a
standard deviation of 1.2.
𝜇 = 50
𝜎 = 1.2
a. If the distribution is normal, what is the probability that the sample mean hardness for a
random sample of 9 pins is at least 51?
𝑋−𝜇
𝑍=
𝜎
1.2
𝜎 = = 0.4𝑐𝑚
√9
𝑃(𝑋 ≥ 51) = 𝑃(𝑍 ≤ 2.5) = 1 − Φ(2.5) = 0.0062
b. Without assuming population normality, what is the (approximate) probability that the
sample mean hardness for a random sample of 40 pins is at least 51?
1.2
𝜎 = = 0.1897𝑐𝑚
√40
𝑃(𝑋 ≥ 51) ≅ 𝑃(𝑍 ≥ 5.27) = 1 − Φ(5.27) = 0
54. Suppose the sediment density (g/cm) of a randomly selected specimen from a certain
region is normally distributed with mean 2.65 and standard deviation .85 (suggested in
“Modeling Sediment and Water Column Interactions for Hydrophobic Pollutants,” Water
Research, 1984: 1169–1174).
𝜇 = 2.65 𝑍=
𝜎 = .85
a. If a random sample of 25 specimens is selected, what is the probability that the sample
average sediment density is at most 3.00? Between 2.65 and 3.00?
. 85
𝜎 = = 0.17𝑔/𝑐𝑚
√25
𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 3.00) = 𝑃(𝑍 ≤ 2.0588) = Φ(2.0588) = 0.9802
𝑃(2.65 ≤ 𝑋 ≤ 3.00) = 𝑃(0 ≤ 𝑍 ≤ 2.0588) = Φ(2.0588) − 0.5 = 0.9802 − 0.5 = 0.4802
b. How large a sample size would be required to ensure that the first probability in part (a)
is at least .99?
𝑍 = 2.33 (Obtained in table A.3)
𝑋 − 𝜇 3 − 2.65 𝜎
𝜎 = = = 0.1502 𝑛= = 32 𝑢𝑛𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑𝑒𝑠
𝑍 2.33 (𝜎 )