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马来西亚
RHB Research
技术分析 Institute Sdn Bhd
A member of the
RHB Banking Group
Company No: 233327 -M
每日交投策略
MARKET DATELINE
2010 年 10 月 12 日
市场技术解读
近期有望出现更多上涨空间…
图 1∶
∶富时大马综合指数(
富时大马综合指数(FBM KLCI)(
)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 2∶
∶富时大马综合指数(
富时大马综合指数(单日线图)
单日线图)
本地股市的交投指引∶
♦ 在蓝筹股获得强稳的购兴下,马股周一恢复上扬动力而往上走高。
♦ 除此外,华尔街股市于上周五的升势,也同样支撑了本地交投士气,鉴于疲弱的美国就业数据进一步加强了美国联邦储备局
(Federal Reserve)进一步进行宽松措施的预期。
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 惟在它形成一根“星线”(star)后,这意味着即日走势不明朗。
Page 1 of 6
请仔细阅读位于本报告尾页的重要披露(
仔细阅读位于本报告尾页的重要披露( IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES)
2010 年 10 月 12 日
每日交投策略
每日交投策略∶
交投策略∶
♦ 技术而言,虽然富时综指记录一根潜在的“星线”(star)以显示即日可能会回软,但我们认为其下跌空间并不大。
♦ 事实上,从当前的强劲短期动力解读和每日交投量看来,该指数可望在近期取得更多上涨潜能。
表 1 ∶每日统计 表 2∶
∶主要海外指数及原产品
10 月 10 月 10 月 10 月 10 月 变动 变动
收盘
股市摘要 5日 6日 7日 8日 11 日 本地主要指数 (点) (%))
上升股 富时大马综合指数 1,487.41 6.00 0.4
319 443 299 397 479
下跌股 富时大马 100 指数 9,769.09 39.92 0.4
411 330 410 332 287
平盘 富时大马创业板 4,078.75 58.57 1.5
290 283 303 301 293
无交易 各大海外指数
337 301 343 324 296
道琼斯工商指数 11,010.34 3.86 0.0
市场资本 纳斯达克指数 2,402.33 0.42 0.0
总成交量 标准与普尔 500 1,165.32 0.17 0.0
(百万股) 986 955 842 1,075 1,094
伦敦金融时报指数 5,672.40 14.79 0.3
总成交值 恒生指数 23,207.31 263.13 1.1
(百万令吉) 1,505 1,657 1,523 1,657 1,715 雅加达综合指数 3,548.75 1.80 0.1
东京日经 225 指数 9,588.88 休市 休市
首尔综合指数 1,889.91 -7.16 -0.4
外汇 上海综合指数 2,806.94 68.20 2.5
令吉兑美元 3.0963 3.0890 3.0890 3.1125 3.0995 曼谷综合指数 977.85 14.66 1.5
新加坡海峡时报指数 3,163.41 10.07 0.3
资料来源∶RHBInvest &彭博社( Bloomberg)
台湾加权指数 8,176.76 -67.43 -0.8
印度 Sensex 指数 20,339.89 89.63 0.4
主要原产品
纽约商品交易所
(NYMEX)原油期货
(每桶/美元) 82.23 -0.43 -0.5
MDEX 原棕油 – 第 3
个月 (每公吨/令吉) 2,930.00 170.00 6.2
美国利率 目前 最新
10 年 9 月
隔夜联邦基金利率 0-0.25% 无变动
21 日
下个联邦公开市场操作
2010 年 11 月 2 日-3 日
委员会(FOMC)会议
Page 2 of 6
2010 年 10 月 12 日
图 3∶
∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(
吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(
)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 4∶
∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(
吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(
)(单日线图
)(单日线图)
单日线图)
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)昨日恢复涨势,并发动了一轮强力反弹,主要受激励于美国联邦储备局(Fed Reserve)将进
一步放宽货币政策和原棕油期货的强劲涨势。
♦ 从它取得一根阳烛看来,图表显示多头动力即将恢复。
♦ 除此外,短期动力指标的正面解读也指向来日将会有更多涨势。
每日交投策略∶
每日交投策略∶
表 3∶∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(
吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI))收盘
月份)
月份
FKLI (月份 变动
合约 开盘 最高 最低 收盘 (点) 结算 成交量 未平仓宗数
10 年 10 月 1486.00 1493.00 1486.00 1490.50 11.00 1490.50 3817 21806
10 年 11 月 1485.50 1492.50 1485.50 1491.00 11.50 1491.00 153 112
10 年 12 月 1487.00 1490.50 1487.00 1490.50 10.50 1490.50 93 386
11 年 3 月 1487.00 1490.00 1487.00 1490.00 10.50 1490.00 12 135
Page 3 of 6
2010 年 10 月 12 日
图 5∶
∶美国道琼斯工商指数
美国道琼斯工商指数(
指数(DJIA)
)(日线图
日线图)
日线图 图 6∶
∶美国纳斯达克指数(
美国纳斯达克指数( Nasdaq)
)(日线图
日线图)
日线图
美国股市的交投指引∶
美国股市的交投指引∶
♦ 隔夜美股周一在淡静的交投下几乎以平盘挂收,鉴于市场对美国主要企业即将于本周公布业绩的忧虑掩盖了美国货币政策有
望进一步放宽的希望。
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 鉴于它取得一根“十字线”(doji),加上短期动力解读也趋软,这显示来日走势将不明朗。
♦ 同样地,纳指也划出一根“十字线”,显示投资者对即日走向不确定。
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2010 年 10 月 12 日
每日技术焦点∶
每日技术焦点∶
图 7∶
∶居林(
居林( Kulim)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 8∶
∶ 居林(
居林(单日线图)
单日线图)
居林 Kulim (2003)
移动平均线正发出正面的中期讯号…
移动平均线正发出正面的中期讯号
♦ 技术而言,该股可能会在近期面对一些套利活动,归咎于已处于“超买”的随机指标已发出一个“卖出”讯号。尽管如此,
10 日移动平均线成功从 40 日移动平均线掉头回弹,以显示一个正面的中期讯号。
♦ 这表示若近期出现套利跌势,那么其走势将会是短暂性的。
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 10 日移动平均线(
日移动平均线(10-day SMA): RM8.871
♦ 40 日移动平均线
日移动平均线(
平均线(40-day SMA): RM8.524
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IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES
This report has been prepared by RHB Research Institute Sdn Bhd (RHBRI) and is for private circulation only to clients of RHBRI and RHB Investment Bank Berhad
(previously known as RHB Sakura Merchant Bankers Berhad). It is for distribution only under such circumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. The
opinions and information contained herein are based on generally available data believed to be reliable and are subject to change without notice, and may differ or
be contrary to opinions expressed by other business units within the RHB Group as a result of using different assumptions and criteria. This report is not to be
construed as an offer, invitation or solicitation to buy or sell the securities covered herein. RHBRI does not warrant the accuracy of anything stated herein in any
manner whatsoever and no reliance upon such statement by anyone shall give rise to any claim whatsoever against RHBRI. RHBRI and/or its associated persons
may from time to time have an interest in the securities mentioned by this report.
This report does not provide individually tailored investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives
of persons who receive it. The securities discussed in this report may not be suitable for all investors. RHBRI recommends that investors independently evaluate
particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. The appropriateness of a particular investment or
strategy will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives. Neither RHBRI, RHB Group nor any of its affiliates, employees or agents accepts
any liability for any loss or damage arising out of the use of all or any part of this report.
RHBRI and the Connected Persons (the “RHB Group”) are engaged in securities trading, securities brokerage, banking and financing activities as well as providing
investment banking and financial advisory services. In the ordinary course of its trading, brokerage, banking and financing activities, any member of the RHB
Group may at any time hold positions, and may trade or otherwise effect transactions, for its own account or the accounts of customers, in debt or equity
securities or loans of any company that may be involved in this transaction.
“Connected Persons” means any holding company of RHBRI, the subsidiaries and subsidiary undertaking of such a holding company and the respective directors,
officers, employees and agents of each of them. Investors should assume that the “Connected Persons” are seeking or will seek investment banking or other
services from the companies in which the securities have been discussed/covered by RHBRI in this report or in RHBRI’s previous reports.
This report has been prepared by the research personnel of RHBRI. Facts and views presented in this report have not been reviewed by, and may not reflect
information known to, professionals in other business areas of the “Connected Persons,” including investment banking personnel.
The research analysts, economists or research associates principally responsible for the preparation of this research report have received compensation based
upon various factors, including quality of research, investor client feedback, stock picking, competitive factors and firm revenues.
Technical Recommendation:
Trading Buy = Short-term positive opportunity spotted. It is an aggressive trading recommendation with a book to sellers’ price for short-term technical upside.
Bargain Buy = Short-term positive but technical signals have yet to trigger a rally. Traders can park and queue for their desired entry level within a small range.
Buy on Weakness = Short- to Medium-term positiveness anticipated, but technical readings are still negative. Traders can pick-up the stock for future rally.
Sell on Strength = Short-term momentum still positive, Traders are advice to lock in profit base on current strength.
Take Profit = Short-term target achieved. Traders are advice to exit before the technical readings turn bearish.
Avoid = Risky situation in the short-term and high volatility expected on the share price. Traders’ best strategy is staying away until it stabilises.
Technical recommendations are generally short-term in nature and may differ from RHBRI’s equity fundamental view and recommendation on the same company.
RHBRI is a participant of the CMDF-Bursa Research Scheme and will receive compensation for the participation. Additional information on recommended
securities, subject to the duties of confidentiality, will be made available upon request.
This report may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, without the written permission of RHBRI and RHBRI accepts no liability whatsoever for the
actions of third parties in this respect.
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