Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Marketing Research specifies the information required to address these issues, designs
the method for collecting information, manages and implements the data collection
process, analyses the results and communicates the findings and their implications.
- American Marketing Association (AMA)
Marketing environment is the external environment of the company and consists of both
macro and micro environment. Marketing environment is dynamic, uncontrollable and
spins both opportunities and challenges. Marketers need to monitor the developments in
the marketing environment on a continuous basis to be successful. Therefore, marketers
need information about developments in both macro and micro environments.
6) Technological Environment
7) Natural Environment
Micro environment is specific or task environment. It consists of forces which are specific
in nature and with whom company interacts on day-to-day basis. It affects the company’s
ability to achieve sales and profit. It has direct and immediate effect on the company. It
consists of following forces.
1) Customers
2) Competitors
3) Suppliers
4) Intermediatories
5) Facilitators
Marketers need information about developments in both macro and micro environment to
take marketing decisions. The following major marketing decisions related to marketing
strategy are based on sound information about marketing environment.
Market Segmentation and Targeting
Differentiation and Positioning
Competitive Strategy
Marketing Mix Strategy
The following major marketing decisions related to marketing program are based on
sound information about marketing environment.
Product
Price
Promotion
Place
Therefore, the information required about marketing environment for taking right
marketing decisions should be,
Relevant Correct/Accurate/Reliable
Complete Current/Latest/Updated
Valid Timely
Cost-effective Actionable
Stakeholders
Customers
Employees
Suppliers
Intermediatories
Shareholders
Controllable Uncontrollable
Marketing Variables Marketing Variables
Product Economic Env.
Marketing
Price Research Political Env.
Promotion Legal Env.
Place Social and Cultural
Env.
Assess Provide Demographic Env.
Information Accurate Technological Env.
Need Information Natural Env.
Competition
Marketing Manager
Marketing Strategy
Marketing Program
Marketing Decisions
Marketing Problems
Performance and Control
4) Data Collection:
Once research design is finalized the researcher needs to implement the same. In this step
researcher collects or gathers data. This step consumes more resources.
Problem exists when there is negative gap between what is expected and what is
achieved.
Problem exists when there is a knowledge gap.
Business organizations may face problem in any functional area of marketing i.e.
product, price, promotion, place etc.
Therefore, the first step in marketing research is to define problem in crystal clear
words.
The researcher needs to identify, understand and define problem well.
All the resources and efforts would be wasted if the problem is misunderstood or ill-
defined.
It is said that the ‘Problem well defined is half solved’.
“Formulation of problem is often more essential than its solution.” – Albert Einstein
Managers are required to find right answers to the right questions.
Therefore, the most vital step of marketing research process is problem formulation.
First the researcher should understand who is/are the decision makers?
Researcher should interact with the decision maker/s in order to identify and
understand the problem.
Researcher should get clarity about ‘real problem’ rather than symptom of problem.
Researcher needs to understand the business organization and its both external and
internal environment in order to understand the background of the problem.
Researcher needs to use following ways to understand the background of the problem.
o Discussion with the Decision Maker
o Interviews with Experts
o Secondary Data Analysis
o Qualitative Research
Second, Researcher needs to understand business organization and its environment.
o Business Organisation and its Internal Environment:
Nature and History of Business Organisation
Products
Resources
Capabilities and Constraints
Past Information about sales, profits, market share etc.
o Business Organisation and its External Environment:
Macro Environment:
Economic Environment
Political Environment
Legal Environment
Social and Cultural Environment
Demographic Environment
Technological Environment
Natural Environment
Micro Environment
Customers
Competitors
Suppliers
Intermediatories
Facilitators
Once researcher understands the business organization and its both internal and
external environment he/she can identify the environmental factors which have led to
the present situation.
Further, researcher also understands what information is required by the decision
maker to deal with the situation.
Research can be properly designed only when the alternative courses of action being
considered by the decision maker are known.
The decision maker should explicitly tell the researcher the alternative courses of
action being considered without hiding anyone.
The researcher and the decision maker should discuss and come out with a complete
list of decision alternatives.
Researcher should also discuss with the decision maker about the criteria which will
be used to evaluate the decision alternatives for comparison.
Examples:
o Interviews of retailing experts to understand trends in retailing
o Exploration of foreign market
Uses:
o Gain insight of a particular situation or phenomenon
o Formulate a problem or define a problem more precisely
o Develop hypothesis
o Identify alternate courses of action
o Identify variables for further examination
Applications:
Today, focus groups are widely used for diverse marketing research applications. Most
common application of focus group is in consumer related research. Focus groups are
used generally for,
o Generating perception, attitude or images regarding company, product or brands
o Obtaining preliminary consumer reaction to the new marketing program
o Obtaining general background about the topic
o Diagnosing problem
o Stimulating new ideas for product and programs
o Highlighting areas of marketing opportunity
Types:
Focus groups can use several variations.
o Face-to-face Focus Group
o Telephone Focus Group
o Online Focus Group
o Videoconferencing Focus Group
o Two-way Focus Group
o Dual-Moderator Focus Group
Advantages: 10 S’s
o Synergism
o Snowballing
o Stimulation
o Security
o Spontaneity
o Serendipity
o Specialisation
o Scientific Scrutiny
o Structure
o Speed
Disadvantages: 5M’s
o Misuse
o Misjudge
o Moderation
o Messy
o Misrepresentation
Applications:
Primary use of depth interview is to gain insight and understanding of the topic. Depth
interviews are used infrequently in marketing research. Depth interviews are used in
special problem situations in specially consumer research.
o Detailed probing of the customer.
o Discussion of confidential, sensitive or embarrassing topics.
o Situations where strong social norms exist and customer may be influenced by the
group response.
o Detailed understanding of complicated consumer buying behavior.
o Interviews with professional people especially in industrial marketing research.
o Interviews with competitors who are unlikely to reveal the information in a group
setting.
o Situations where the product consumption experience is sensory in nature,
affecting mood states and emotions.
o During depth interview projection techniques can be used to uncover underlying
motivations, beliefs, attitudes and other aspect of the personality.
Advantages:
o Depth Interviews can uncover greater depth of insights about a topic.
o Depth interview attribute the responses directly to the respondent.
o Depth interviews result in free exchange of information that may not be possible
in groups because of social pressure.
Disadvantages:
o Depth Interviews are unstructured and hence are susceptible to the interviewer’s
influence. Therefore the quality and completeness of result depend heavily on
interviewer.
o Only skilled interviewer can conduct depth interview and hence they are
expensive.
o The data obtained is difficult to analyse and interpret and hence services of skilled
psychologist are required.
o Required more time.
o Requires more cost.
o Brand Loyalty
o Brand Switching Behaviour
o Profiling specific Customer Groups
o Promotional Effectiveness
o Controlled Store Tests
Process:
o Generally, consumer panel study is done by professional research agencies or
advertising agencies having research cell. Sometimes companies also maintain
panel or create ‘ad-hoc’ panels depending on their need.
o For creating consumer panel a sample of respondents are chosen who agrees to
participate in the research for a long period of time.
o There are two ways of collecting information.
o Home Audit: In this method the panel member agrees to permit a researcher
(auditor) to check the household stocks of certain product categories at regular
intervals. Further, panel members save all the used cartons, wrappers and so on for
the auditor to record them.
o Mail Diary Method: In this method the panel members records the details of
purchases in certain product categories and returns the completed diary by mail at
regular intervals – weekly, fortnightly or monthly. Paper diaries have been
gradually replaced by electronic diaries. Now, most of the panels are electronic
and the behavior is recorded electronically, either entered online by the
respondents or recorded by electronic devices.
o Panel members are compensated for their participation with gifts, coupons or
cash.
Advantages:
o Consumer panels provide longitudinal data which can be analysed in depth for
tracking the buying behaviour.
o Panel members are willing to participate in the study and therefore, provide higher
quality data.
o Information is recorded at the time of purchase which eliminates recall errors.
o Information recorded by electronic devices is accurate because it eliminates
human errors.
Disadvantages:
o Consumer panels suffer from selection bias. Therefore, panels may not represent
population.
o Over a period of time maturation sets in and the panel members refuse to respond.
This problem of panel attrition is also called as mortality effect and can be tackled
using replacement.
o Panel conditioning (consciousness about testing) may lead to response bias which
in turn affects validity of research.
o Panel members may not record all the purchases leading to incomplete data.
Uses:
o Sales of product categories, products, company, brands, brand variant. Each can
be further subdivided based on region, type of shop etc.
o Market Shares of product categories, products, company, brands, brand variant.
Each can be further subdivided based on region, type of shop etc.
o Percentage of Retailers carrying products of each company, brand or brand
variant.
o ‘Retailer Development Index’ which shows percentage of retailers carrying
company’s products as against the market leader.
o Retail Inventories
o Percentage of ‘Out of Stock’ retailers.
o Stock Cover (Stock Turnover Ratio)
o Retailer support in terms of shelf spacing, special displays, in-store
advertising etc.
o Distribution Problems
o Competition Activity
o Developing Sales Forecasts
Advantages:
o It provides accurate information about movement of many different products at
the retail level
o The information can be broken down by a number of important variables such as
product category, product, company, brand and brand variant.
Disadvantages:
o It has limited coverage
o Audit data cannot be linked to consumer characteristics.
o With advent of electronic scanners the scanner data is available and more
accurate. This has resulted in decrease in the need to perform audit.
o Outcomes:
Based on the audience volume ‘Television Rating Points (TRP)’ is calculated
for various television channels and programs.
The viewers profile of various television channels and programs.
o Uses:
It is useful to companies, advertisers for selection of appropriate cost-effective
television media mix for advertisement.
It is also useful for television media owners for promotion.
Some of the professional research agencies use ‘Diary Panel’ for studying radio
listenership and local television viewership. In such case, the panel members are
asked to record their listening and viewing behavior over a period of time and give the
diary to the agency.
Some of the professional research agencies measures readership of advertisements in
print media especially in newspapers and magazines. These agencies use recognition
method to asses a particular ad’s effectiveness. Four degrees of reading are recorded –
nonreader, noted, associated and read most. Further, cost effectiveness of various
media is calculated using ‘readers per rupee’.
Some of the professional research agencies collect information about multimedia
exposure and product usage. Four different media are considered – newspapers,
magazine, radio and television.
Some of the professional research agencies like tracks internet usage. It reports
website surfed, e-commerce activity and behavior related to banner advertisement.
They provide valuable information about how well the brand has achieved its
positioning.
A good brand tracking system also provides useful information regarding consumer
behaviour, competition, opportunities, problems, marketing effectiveness and
efficiency.
Based on brand tracking studies, tactical decisions related to the branding are taken.
It includes three important decisions.
o What to Track?
o How to Conduct Tracking Study?
o How to Interpret Results of the Tracking Study?
a) What to Track?
Each brand is unique and therefore, faces specific issues. It is necessary that the
tracking studies should be designed to address these specific issues.
Amongst the brand elements, marketers generally use brand name for tracking
studies. But sometimes logo or symbol is also used.
Companies can conduct tracking study for two kinds.
i. Product-Brand Tracking:
o In this case individual product-brand is tracked.
o In this tracking brand awareness and image is measured.
o The measures used are recall and recognition moving from general questions
to specific questions.
o Brand perceptions and associations are studied in the tracking study.
Researcher should assess key brand associations which are influencing brand
equity on the basis of their strength, favourability and uniqueness.
o It also tracks attitude, feeling related to brand and the intensions and behaviour
of the consumer.
ii. Corporate or Family Brand Tracking:
o Marketers track corporate of family brand separately or concurrently with
individual product-brand.
o It measures brand associations, credibility and image.
o If the brand is associated with multiple products, it also measures which
product is most influential in affecting consumer perception about brand.
It identifies value drivers of the brand which influence mind and heart of the
consumer in selecting product or brand.
It also provides useful information regarding consumer behaviour, competition,
opportunities, problems, marketing effectiveness and efficiency.
1.13. HYPOTHESIS:
1.13.1. Meaning of Hypothesis:
Hypothesis is an assumption, supposition or proposition formulated by researcher in
order to test its validity.
Hypothesis is the proposed most possible solution of the research problem.
Hypothesis is Assumed Truth.
Hypothesis needs testing to prove its validity.
Testing of hypothesis can lead to acceptance of it if it is proved right and rejection of
it if it is proved wrong.
Formulation of hypothesis is not essential but it is certainly desirable because it
directs/guides research.
c) Focus Group
d) Analysis of Selected Cases
a) Review of Literature:
Researcher can review literature in order to get insights into the problem and
formulate hypothesis.
Review of literature includes both conceptual literature and empirical literature.
Conceptual literature review includes understanding the concepts and theories related
to the topic.
Empirical literature includes study of research works carried out previously which is
related to the similar topic and problem. Academic Institutions, Government
Organisations, Research Agencies etc. carry out research on regular basis. Researcher
can review the research works carried out by such organisations. Researcher should
study objectives, scope, methodology and findings of past research work.
Researcher can review books, research journals, conference proceedings, articles in
magazines etc.
Literature review also includes review and analysis of the secondary data especially
internal data.
b) Experience Survey:
Researcher can conduct experience survey in order to formulate hypothesis.
It is also called as pilot survey or key informant survey.
Experience Survey is a way of seeking information by interviewing persons having
practical experience related to the topic or problem.
It is collecting information from experts relying on their knowledge, opinion and
experience.
Expert can be company executives as well as persons outside the company.
The objective of experience survey is to gain insight into the topic and identify new
ideas, dimensions, variables etc.
Process:
o Select experienced and competent persons having relevant experience. These
experts are interviewees.
o Researcher is Interviewer.
c) Focus Group:
Researcher can use focus group method to generate hypothesis. (Refer 1.11.1)
Once hypothesis is formulated, researcher needs to make data collection plan as a part of
the research design.
2.5. QUESTIONNAIRE:
Questionnaire consists of set of questions related to the topic of research.
Questionnaire is generally used as data collection instrument in surveys.
Questionnaire is popular data collection instrument in descriptive type of research.
Quality of questionnaire determines the quality of information and hence
questionnaire should be scientifically designed or constructed.
5) Wording of Questions:
Researcher needs to do the wording of question so that respondent can easily understand.
The following guidelines should be followed.
Use Simple, Familiar, Ordinary Words.
Avoid Technical Words.
Avoid Ambiguous/ Vague words.
Avoid Leading/Loaded Questions.
Avoid implicit alternatives and assumptions.
Avoid Double Barreled Questions.
Avoid generalization and estimates.
Appropriate instructions should be provided.
6) Sequencing of Questions:
Researcher need to decide proper order or sequence of questions using following aspects.
Logical order
Beginning: Easy and Interesting Questions, End: Difficult Questions
Funnel Approach: Beginning: General Questions, End: Specific Questions
Beginning: Questions related to Basic Information
End: Questions related to Classification Information followed by Identification
Information
Sensitive questions should be asked late.
Questions should be sequenced so as to reduce order or position bias.
Skip Formats to be provided for branching questions
7) Physical Appearance:
Physical appearance can influence the respondent’s co-operation. Questionnaire should be
presentable. So, researcher should make the physical appearance and layout of the
questionnaire neat. Researcher should consider following aspects.
Quality of Paper
Size of Paper
Formatting: Margins, spacing, font style, size, colour
Quality of Printing
8) Preliminary Questionnaire:
After completing above six stages the first draft of the questionnaire is ready that is called
as preliminary questionnaire. It needs testing and refinement. Therefore it is not
administered on mass scale.
9) Pilot Testing:
Pretesting or Pilot Testing refers to testing of questionnaire on a small sample of
respondents to identify and eliminate potential errors. Preliminary questionnaire is
administered to 10-20 respondents during pilot testing. Testing of questionnaire ensures
accuracy.
4) Physical Appearance:
Observations Form should be presentable. So, researcher should make the physical
appearance and layout of the observations form neat. Researcher should consider
following aspects.
Quality of Paper
Size of Paper
Formatting: Margins, spacing, font style, size, colour
Quality of Printing
6) Pilot Testing:
Pretesting or Pilot Testing refers to testing of observation form on a small sample of
respondents to identify and eliminate potential errors. Preliminary observation form is
used to observe behavior of 10-20 respondents during pilot testing. Testing of
observations form ensures accuracy.
after study, advertisers are interested to measure effectiveness of the advertisement after
releasing it on the mass scale. A research to test the effectiveness of the advertising copy
is called as advertising copy testing research.
c) Readership Survey:
It includes comprehensive and in-depth survey of readers of various print media, listeners
of radio and viewers of television across nation. ‘National Readership Survey’ is
conducted by professional research agencies. It leads to following information
Circulation and market shares of various print media like dailies, weeklies,
fortnightlies and monthlies in different regions and across nation.
Volume of audiences of various radio programs and television channels and
programs.
Geographic, demographic and sociographic profile of the audiences of various media.
Reading, listening or Viewing habits of the audiences of various media.
d) Opinion Poll:
Opinion polls are conducted by professional research agencies, media or government
organizations to study the opinion of the public about elections, major government
decisions and actions, government performance or any other public issues. Generally
opinion polls are conducted before the parliamentary or assembly elections to adjudge the
mood of the voters. Sometimes exit polls are also conducted on the day of polling. It
includes recording the responses of the voters after they exit from the polling booth. Both
opinion and exit polls are used to predict the result of the elections or polls. It is used by
the political parties to design poll strategies.
e) Retail Survey:
Distribution plays a significant role in making the right product available to the
consumers at right quantity, right time, right place, right condition and at reasonable cost.
Retailers occupy important position in the distribution channel as they sell the products to
the end users. Therefore, retail surveys are conducted by the marketers to understand the
retailer behavior, retailer satisfaction, trade-relation mix, competition activity, consumer
behavior, sales, market potential and problems in the distribution etc.
f) Mystery Shopping:
Marketers are interested in understanding the customer’s point of view in shopping the
products. They are keen to understand the customers experience in buying. This helps
marketer to identify areas of improvement in selling and serving the customers.
Consumer surveys may not reveal the reality. Therefore, mystery shopping is used.
Mystery shopping is a technique in which researcher hides his identity and enact a role of
the shopper and do shopping for company’s products and services. Since researcher hides
his/her identity it is called as mystery shopping or ghost shopping. In such research
observation method is used to record shopping experiences.
2.8. MEASUREMENT:
Measurement is the process of assigning number or symbol to a characteristic of an
object according to certain predetermined rule.
Scale is an instrument or continuum used for Measurement.
Scaling is process of construction of a Scale.
Researcher measures characteristics or properties of objects.
There are four levels of measurement.
o Nominal Scale
o Ordinal Scale
o Interval Scale
o Ratio Scale
2.9. SCALE:
Scale is an instrument or continuum used for Measurement.
Scaling is process of construction of a Scale.
Management research is social research. In management research information is
gathered from people about their psychological or social properties and behaviour.
Attitude influences human behaviour. Therefore, in management research attitudes of
people are measured. Many scales have been developed to measure attitude of people.
These are also called as attitude scales.
The commonly used attitude scales are as follows.
1) Rating Scale: Non-Comparative Scale
2) Ranking Scale: Comparative Scale
The following factors are considered while deciding the number of response
categories.
o Knowledge of the respondents
o Nature of object
o Method of data collection
o Method of data analysis
2) Balance Vs. Unbalance Scale:
The scale is balanced if the number of favourable and unfavourable categories is
equal; in an unbalanced scale it is not.
Generally balance scale is used to obtain objective data.
If distribution of responses is likely to be skewed, either positively or negatively, an
unbalance scale with more categories in the direction of skewness is appropriate. In
such scale care should be taken in data analysis.
3) Odd Vs. Even Number of Categories:
The number of response categories could be odd or even.
When the number of categories is odd, generally the middle scale position is neutral
or impartial. In case of even number of categories the neutral or impartial category is
not there.
If researcher thinks that some of the respondents would be neutral towards the object
he/she should use odd number of categories.
If researcher wants to force the respondents to take either favourable or unfavourable
inclination towards object he/she should use even number of categories.
This decision is related to the decision on whether the scale would be forced or
unforced.
Generally odd number of categories is preferred.
4) Forced or Unforced Scale:
In forced scale respondents are forced to express their opinion by choosing either
favourable or unfavourable inclination towards object. Therefore, in forced scale
neutral, impartial or no opinion option is not provided.
In unforced scale respondents are not forced to express their opinion by choosing
either favourable or unfavourable inclination towards object. Therefore, in unforced
scale neutral, impartial or no opinion, no knowledge option is provided.
In case of unforced scale freedom is given to the respondents but data analysis
becomes a challenge as respondents may choose middle path or would be reluctant to
disclose opinion.
Generally unforced scale is used.
5) Verbal Vs. Pictorial Description of Categories:
The scale categories may have verbal, numerical or pictorial descriptions.
Researcher need to consider the knowledge of the respondents in deciding description
of categories.
In case of knowledgeable respondents verbal categories are preferred over numerical
to avoid ambiguity. But in such case strength of the adjectives used to anchor the
scale may influence the response. Therefore, care should be taken.
In case of illiterate or less knowledgeable respondents pictorial categories are
preferred.
6) Physical Form or Configuration:
Scale may be presented vertically or horizontally.
Categories are expressed by boxes, discreet lines or units on continuum and may or
may not have numbers assigned to them.
If numerical values are used they may be positive or negative or both.
Where,
XO = the observed score of measurement
XT = the true score of measurement
XS = systematic error
XR = random error
The total measurement error includes systematic error and random error.
Systematic error affects the measurement ion the constant way and represents stable
factors that affect the observed score in the same way each time the measurement is
taken.
Random error is not constant and represents transient personal and situational factors
that affect the observed score in different ways each time measurement is taken. This
error varies randomly.
Since scales can lead to measurement error it needs to be evaluated. Scale evaluation
involves assessment of reliability, validity and generalisability of scale.
o The time interval between two tests or administrations is typically two to four
weeks.
o The degree of similarity or association between two measurements is determined
by correlation coefficient. Higher the correlation coefficient greater is the
reliability.
o This approach suffers from following problems.
It is sensitive to time interval between testing.
Initial measurement may alter the characteristic being measured.
It may be impossible to make repeated measurements.
The first measurement may have carryover effect on subsequent measurement.
The characteristic being measured may change between measurements.
Correlation coefficient can be inflated by the correlation between different
scale items.
o Because of these problems this approach is used in conjunction with others.
ii) Alternative-Forms Reliability:
o In this approach, same respondents are administered two equivalent forms of scale
at two different times. Since two equivalent forms of scale are constructed, it is
called alternative-forms reliability.
o The time interval between two tests or administrations is typically two to four
weeks.
o The degree of similarity or association between two measurements is determined
by correlation coefficient. Higher the correlation coefficient greater is the
reliability.
o This approach suffers from following problems.
The two forms should be equivalent with respect to content.
It is expensive and time consuming to construct two equivalent forms.
iii) Internal Consistency Reliability:
o This approach is used to assess the reliability of summated scale (e.g. Likert)
where several items are summated to form a total score.
o In summated scale each item measures some aspect of construct measured by the
entire scale.
o In summated scale the items should be consistent in what they indicate about the
characteristic. This approach of evaluating reliability focuses on internal
consistency of the set of scale items forming the scale.
o There are two measures of checking internal consistency.
Split Half Reliability:
o In this approach, the items on the scale are divided into two halves and the
resulting half scores are correlated.
o High correlations between half scores indicate high internal consistency.
o The scale items can be split into two halves based on odd and even
numbered items or randomly.
o This approach suffers from a problem that the result depends on how the
scale items are split.
Coefficient Alpha or Cronbach’s Alpha:
o Coefficient Alpha or Cronbach’s Alpha is the average of all the possible
split half coefficients resulting from different ways of splitting the scale
items.
o This coefficient varies from 0 to 1. If the value of Coefficient Alpha or
Cronbach’s Alpha is more than 0.6 it indicates high internal consistency.
o This approach suffers from one problem - The value of the Coefficient
Alpha or Cronbach’s Alpha tends to increase with the number of scale
items. Therefore, Coefficient Alpha may be artificially and inappropriately
inflated by including several redundant scale items. In order to overcome
this problem, it is used in conjunction with coefficient beta. Coefficient
beta assist in determining whether an averaging process used in calculating
coefficient alpha is masking any inconsistent items.
o Sometimes multi-item scales include several sets of items designed to measure
different dimensions of a multidimensional construct. Since these dimensions are
interdependent, a measure of internal consistency calculated across dimensions
would be inappropriate. However, if several items are to be used for each
dimension, internal consistency reliability can be calculated for each dimension
separately.
o The original scale and short forms of the standard personality instruments
are administered simultaneously to a group of respondents and the results
are compared.
Predictive Validity:
o It is assessed when data on the scale is collected at one point in time and
data on criterion variable sat a future time.
o It is used during consumer panel study. In this case, attitudinal data is
obtained from panel members and their future purchases are tracked. The
predicted and actual purchases are compared to assess predictive validity.
iii) Construct Validity:
o Construct validity addresses the question of what construct or characteristic the
scale is, in fact measuring.
o It requires sound theory of the construct being measured and how it relates to
other construct.
o It is most sophisticated and difficult type of validity to establish.
o There are three measures of checking construct validity.
Convergent Validity: It is the extent to which the scale correlates positively
with other measures of the same construct.
Discriminant Validity: It is the extent to which a measure does not correlate
with other construct from which it supposed to differ.
Nomological Validity: It is the extent to which the scale correlates in the
theoretically predicted ways with measures of different but related constructs.
It assesses relationship between theoretical constructs. It seeks to confirm
significant correlations between the constructs as predicted by theory.
1) Define Population/Universe
2) Get Sampling Frame/Source List
3) Decide Census or Sampling
4) Decide Sample Size
5) Decide Sampling Method/Procedure
3) Specify Value of the Standard Variate (z): It is the value of z associated with
the confidence level.
4) Determine the Standard Deviation of Population (σ): It is a measure of
variability in the population. It is determined on the basis of secondary data or
pilot study or judgement of the researcher. If it is unknown, then Sample
Standard Deviation (S) is used as its estimate.
5) Determine Sample Size (n): It is determined using following formula.
σ 2 z2
n = ---------------
D2
6) Apply Finite Population Correction, if required (fpc): If the size of the
population (N) is known and the resulting sample size is 10% or more of the
population size, finite population correction is required to be applied. The
required sample size then becomes,
nN
nc = --------------
(N + n -1)
Where,
n = sample size without fpc
nc = sample size with fpc
7) Formula if the Precision is specified in relative terms: Sometimes precision
(D) is specified in relative rather than absolute terms. In such case it may be
specified as plus minus R percentage of points of the mean (µ). Then,
Precision will become, D = R µ and the formula for sample size becomes,
C 2 z2
n = ---------------
R2
Where, coefficient of variation C = σ / µ.
nN
nc = ---------------
(N + n -1)
Where,
n = sample size without fpc
nc = sample size with fpc
7) Formula if the Precision is specified in relative terms: Sometimes precision
(D) is specified in relative rather than absolute terms. In such case it may be
specified as plus minus R percentage of points of the proportion ( ). Then,
Precision will become, D = R and the formula for sample size becomes,
z2
n = ------------------
R2
8) From the formula it is observed that it is based on following parameters.
o Size of population (N): Sample size is directly proportional to the size of
population
o Confidence level (z associated with a particular level): Sample size is
directly proportional to the confidence level.
o Precision or degree of accuracy desired (D): Sample size is inversely
proportional to the precision or degree of accuracy required. It means that
researcher will have control over error in research and he/she can pre-
decide acceptable level of error to decide the sample size.
ii) Sample Size Determination in case of Other Probability Sampling Methods:
o The determination of sample size for other probability sampling methods is based
on the same principles. The researcher should specify the precision level and the
confidence level to determine the sample size.
o In stratified and cluster sampling cost of observation influences size of sample.
o Cost per observation varies by strata or cluster and researcher needs some initial
estimates of cost.
o Further, researcher should take into consideration within strata variability and
within and between cluster variability.
These methods are scientific in nature as they are based on concepts of statistics.
These methods use randomness in selection of sampling units/elements.
These methods lead to less margin of error. If researcher uses any of the probability
sampling methods he/she can calculate margin of error.
These methods give accurate results.
The conditions favouring probability sampling methods are as follows.
o It is suitable for conclusive research.
o It is used when magnitude of sampling errors is larger.
o It is used when population is heterogeneous.
o It requires sound knowledge of statistics or help from statistician. Therefore, if
these are available, probability sampling is favoured.
o It is used when operational considerations like resources are availability.
It is used when precise results are expected. It is generally used for demographic and
psychographic profiling of consumers, product/brand usage rate, tracking studies etc.
The Probability Sampling Methods are as follows.
1) Simple Random Sampling Method
2) Stratified Sampling Method
3) Cluster Sampling Method
4) Area Sampling Method
5) Systematic Sampling Method
6) Multistage Sampling Method
The unique identification numbers written on the selected chits constitute the
number of the selected sampling unit/element.
b) Random Number Table: Researcher can make use of the Random Number Table
prepared by the statisticians like Fisher or Tippet.
c) Random Number Generating Software: Researcher can make use of the Random
Number generating Software.
It has following advantages:
o Easy to understand.
o Easy to project result for population.
It has following disadvantages:
o Sometimes difficult to get sampling frame.
o If selected sample is spread over large geographic area more resources are
required.
o It often results in more error and less precision.
o It may not result in representative sample.
Depending upon how many sampling units/elements are to be chosen from each
stratum, Stratified Random Sampling Method has following types:
a) Proportionate Method: In this case the number of sampling units/elements to be
chosen from each stratum is decided based on the proportion of the respective
stratum in the population. There are two varieties of this method.
o Directly Proportional: In this case the proportion of the stratum in the
population and sample remains equal. It means the number of sampling
units/elements to be chosen from population are directly proportional to the
size of the stratum in the population. The number of sampling units/elements
to be chosen from each stratum (stratum sample size) is calculated as follows.
Size of the Stratum in Population
Stratum Sample Size = --------------------------------------------- x Sample Size
Population Size
o Inversely Proportional: This is applicable in case the population is divided
into two strata. It means the number of sampling units/elements to be chosen
from population is inversely proportional to the size of the stratum in the
population. The number of sampling units/elements to be chosen from each
stratum (stratum sample size) is calculated as follows.
Size of the other Stratum in Population
Stratum Sample Size = ------------------------------------------------- x Sample Size
Population Size
b) Disproportionate Method: In this case the number of sampling units/elements to
be chosen from each stratum is not decided based on the proportion of the
respective stratum in the population. In this case the proportion of the stratum in
the population and sample are unequal.
Stratified sampling has following advantages:
o This method leads to drawing a representative sample from population as the
composition of population and sample remains same.
o It is most accurate sampling method as it increases precision.
Stratified sampling has following disadvantage:
o This method requires more resources
o Save resources.
o The sampling units/elements are co-operative and accessible.
It has following disadvantages:
o It is subjective in nature.
o Because of selection bias, it does not lead to representative sample.
o It is not theoretically meaningful to generalize the results.
It is not recommended for conclusive research but can be used for exploratory
research. It is used for focus groups, pilot study etc.
Samples are selected from all the groups based on the purpose or judgement of the
researcher.
It has following advantages:
o More representative sample is drawn.
o It leads to more accurate results than other non-probability sampling methods.
It has following disadvantages:
o It is subjective in nature..
a) Pre-experimental Designs:
These are exploratory in nature as there is no control over the impact of extraneous
variable over the result of experiment. Thus these designs are characterized by an absence
of randomization. The following are commonly used pre-experimental designs.
1) One Group After Only Design (One-Shot Case Study): The experimental group is
exposed to treatment and observations are taken afterwards to measure the results.
EG X O
2) Non Matched Control Group Design: The experimental group is exposed to treatment
and observations are taken afterwards to measure the results. The results are
compared with observations about non matched control group. Treatment Effect is
measured as O1 – O2.
EG X O1
-----------------
CG O2
3) Matched Control Group Design: The experimental group is exposed to treatment and
observations are taken afterwards to measure the results. The results are compared
with observations about matched control group. Treatment Effect is measured as
O1 – O2.
EG M X O1
----------------------
CG M O2
b) True-experimental Designs:
These are such designs in which there is random assignment of the test units to
experimental groups and treatments to experimental groups to reduce the effect of
extraneous variable. The following are commonly used true experimental designs.
1) Two Groups After Only Design (Posttest-Only Control Group Design): The randomly
selected experimental group is exposed to treatment and observations are taken
afterwards to measure the results. The results are compared with the observations
about the randomly selected control group. Treatment Effect is measured as O1 – O2.
EG R X O1
----------------------
CG R O2
2) Two Groups Before-After Design (Pretest-Posttest Control Group Design): The
randomly selected experimental group is exposed to treatment and observations are
taken before and after the treatment. The results are compared with the before and
after observations about the randomly selected control group. Treatment Effect is
measured as (O2 – O1) – (O4 – O3).
EG R O1 X O2
---------------------------
CG R O3 O4
3) Solomon Four Group Design: It is combination of two groups before-after design and
two groups after only design. It overcomes limitations of both the designs and
controls the interactive testing effect in addition to the effect of extraneous variables.
It provides several measures of Treatment Effect as [(O2 – O4), (O2 – O1) - (O4 – O3),
(O6 – O5), (O2 – O4) - (O5 – O6)]. This design requires more resources.
EG R O1 X O2
---------------------------
CG R O3 O4
---------------------------
EG R X O5
---------------------------
CG R O6
c) Quasi-experimental Designs:
These are also called as semi-experimental designs. These are such designs in which there
is some degree of control but there is no random assignment of the test units to the
treatments. The researcher can control when measurements are taken and whom they are
taken. The following is the commonly used quasi experimental designs.
1) Time Series Design: These are similar to one group, before-after design except that a
series of periodic measurements is employed before and after the treatment. There are
two variants of this design, depending on whether the measurements are all from the
same sample or from separate samples.
EG O1 O2 O3 O4 X O5 O6 O7 O8
The multiple time series design is similar to time series design except that another
group of test units is added to serve as a control group.
EG O1 O2 O3 O4 X O5 O6 O7 O8
---------------------------------------------------------
CG O9 O10 O11 O12 O13 O14 O15 O16
2) Continuous Panel Design: In this design researcher collects series of measurements
on the same sample of test units, over an extended period of time. This design helps to
track the behavioural changes in the test units over a period of time. It is used in
consumer panel study in marketing (1.12.1.).
This design ensures that various experimental and control groups are randomly
selected and matched closely on extraneous variable.
It might or might not have control group.
EG1 R X O1
-----------------------
CG1 R O2
_________________
EG2 R X O3
------------------------
CG2 R O4
A solid line separates two experiments.
A variant of this design is shown as below. In this case there is no control group. The
experiment is repeated for two blocks of experimental groups.
EG1 R X1 O1
------------------------
EG2 R X2 O2
------------------------
EG3 R X3 O3
_________________
EG1 R X1 O1
------------------------
EG2 R X2 O2
------------------------
EG3 R X3 O3
A solid line separates two experiments.
The levels of the independent variable are then assigned to the cells in the table. The
assignment rule is that each level of independent variable should appear only once in
each row and each column.
Variable 2
Variable 1
Level 1 Level 2 Level 3
Level 1 IV Level 1 IV Level 2 IV Level 3
Level 2 IV Level 2 IV Level 3 IV Level 1
Level 3 IV Level 3 IV Level 1 IV Level 2
d) Factorial Design:
It is used to measure the effects of two or more independent variables at different
treatment levels.
It allows for interaction between variables. An interaction occurs when simultaneous
effect of two or more variables is different from the sum of their separate effects.
Each treatment level is a combination of levels of two or more independent variables.
Each combination of treatment levels is applied to randomly selected experimental
groups.
EG1 R X1 (Var. 1 Level 1, Var. 2 Level 1) O1
--------------------------------------------------------------
EG2 R X2 (Var. 1 Level 1, Var. 2 Level 2) O2
--------------------------------------------------------------
EG3 R X3 (Var. 1 Level 2, Var. 2 Level 1) O3
-------------------------------------------------------------
EG4 R X4 (Var. 1 Level 2, Var. 2 Level 2) O4
In one experiment effect of two or more variables is determined. Further, this design
provides the ability to determine interactive effects of two or more variables.
It can be expanded to include block effect.
If researcher is interested to study effect of few main and interaction effect, fractional
factorial designs are used.
3.5.9.1.Test Marketing:
It is also called market testing.
It is one of the stages in new product development process.
The three major objectives of the test marketing are,
o To determine market acceptance of the product based on trial, first repeat,
adoption and purchase frequency.
o To forecast sales and market shares and
o To test effect of alternative levels of marketing mix variables.
Test marketing procedures/methods are classified as follows.
1) Sales Wave Approach
2) Simulated Test Markets
3) Controlled Test Markets
4) Standard Test Markets
Second, the products are kept for sales in these selected retail outlets.
Third, the Point of Purchase (POP) material is given to the retail stores for promotion.
Sometimes, advertisements are also given locally.
Fourth, operational things about distribution like warehousing, inventory
management, shelf space, number of facings, displays etc. are managed.
Fifth, interviews of retailers and consumers who have purchased the product are
taken.
This method leads to understanding of opinion of consumers and retailers about new
product, price, effectiveness of POP material, local advertisements and their intention
about repeat-purchase.
d) Standard Test Markets:
It involves launching of planned national marketing mix programme in the test
markets. It constitutes one shot case study.
Sometimes marketing mix variables (independent variables) are varied and their effect
on sales (dependent variable) is monitored so as to develop more effective marketing
mix programme at national level.
Since it is a full fledge test, it reveals the information about,
o market acceptance of the product based on trial, first repeat, adoption and
purchase frequency.
o forecast of sales and market shares and
o effectiveness of all marketing mix variables.
First, the test markets are selected. The test market should represent the total market
of the company so as to increase the validity of the findings. Further, data availability,
media isolation and costs are other elements which are taken into consideration for
selection of test markets.
The number of test markets to be selected depends on the cost considerations. The
more the test markets better would be the validity of the result. If resources are limited
at least two test markets are chosen for each marketing programme variation.
The duration of test depends on the repurchase cycle of the product, probability of
competitive response, cost considerations etc.
The company then launches new product in the selected test markets for the pre-
decided duration with full fledged marketing mix programme.
After the test, retail sales are measured. Further, the distribution channel partners and
consumers are interviewed to understand their opinion about brand awareness,
attitude, trial, repurchase, product acceptance and effectiveness of other marketing
mix elements. Consumer panels also can be set up to understand brand loyalty and
brand switching rates.
The information is analysed to generate estimates about total market regarding sales,
market share etc.
One way to interpret the result based on analysis of trail and repeat purchase rate – is
shown below.
Trial Rate Repeat Purchase Rate Interpretation
High High Good Product and Promotion
Low High Good Product and Poor Promotion
High Low Poor Product and good Promotion
Low Low Poor Product and Promotion
This method is effective as it helps to understand effect of full fledged marketing mix
elements on the market.
This method has two drawbacks – high cost and competitive risk.
The competitors may increase promotional efforts in the test market to distort the
results or may launch similar new product in the national market first.
a) Communication Effect:
The marketers measure communication effect of advertisement – awareness, knowledge
and preference. For this purpose following measures are used.
Recognition:
o It measures whether the customer can recognize the advertisement as seen or read
or listen before.
o Noted score indicates how much percentage of people has noted the
advertisement.
o Brand-association score indicates how much percentage of people has associated
the advertisement with the brand.
Recall:
o It measures whether the customer can recall the content of the advertisement.
o The customers are asked whether they can recall brand name, punch line, caption,
jingle, message, picture or image, music or any other audio visual element etc. of
the advertisement.
Persuasion:
o It measures persuasion ability of the advertisement.
o It measures brand preference change, brand attitude shift, brand beliefs, brand
image amongst customer about the advertised brand.
On-Air Test:
o In this method consumers are recruited to watch a particular program on a
television channel. Advertisement is shown during the program.
o Consumer feedback is used to measure advertisement’s effectiveness.
b) Sales Effect:
The marketers measure sales effect of advertisement.
i) Advertising Pretesting Research:
In this case Experimental Design is used to measure sales effect of the advertisement.
Marketers launch different advertisements in different markets and measure
effectiveness of the advertisements based on their sales effect.
This method is used in advertising pretest to select most effective advertisement.
ii) Advertising Post testing Research:
In this case following methods are used to evaluate sales effect of the advertisement.
Share of Advertising Expenditure and Share of Market:
o The share of advertising expenditure produces share of voice that earns a share of
consumer’s mind and heart and ultimately share of market.
o The company compares share of advertising expenditure and share of market with
competitors to understand whether they are overspending or under spending.
Historical Approach:
o It involves correlating past sales to past advertising expenditure using advance
statistical techniques.
Apart from above studies, marketers conduct tracking studies during the advertising
campaign. Periodic study of the target audience provides time trend of measures of
interest. The purpose is to evaluate and reassess the advertising campaign and also to
understand why it is working or not working. The measures traced are advertising
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awareness, brand awareness, brand attitude, brand belief, brand image, brand preference
and brand usage.
a) Sales Data: In this method effect of sales promotion campaign on the sales generated
and market share during the campaign period is analysed.
b) Consumer Surveys: In this method consumer surveys are carried out in order to
understand how many consumers recall the campaign, what they thought about it,
how many took advantage of it and how the campaign affected their subsequent
brand-choice behavior.
c) Experimental Research: In this method, sales promotion tool, incentive value,
duration and distribution media is varied across different markets and their effect on
sales is evaluated. It is used to design the ingredients of the most effective sales
promotion campaign across national market.
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Q1) Differentiate between census and sample. Point out characteristics of a good sample
design.
Q2) Briefly explain the process of designing sampling plan.
Q3) What is sample size? How sample size is decided?
Q4) Explain various probability sampling methods.
Q5) Explain various non-probability sampling methods.
Q6) Write short notes on,
a) Stratified Random Sampling
b) Cluster Sampling
c) Systematic Sampling
Q7) Explain various concepts in experimental research design.
Q8) Explain various classical experimental research designs.
Q9) Explain various statistical experimental research designs.
Q10) Explain various pre-experimental research designs.
Q11) Explain various true-experimental research designs.
Q12) Explain various quasi-experimental research designs.
Q13) Write short notes on,
a) Completely Randomised Design
b) Randomised Block Design
c) Latin Square Design
d) Factorial Design
Q14) Explain the concept and methods of test marketing.
Q15) How the effectiveness of advertising campaign is evaluated?
Q16) How the effectiveness of sales promotion campaign is evaluated?
Note: Questions can be asked on designing of a sampling plan in the form of a caselet
and sample size decision in the form of a problem.
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o Histogram
o Stem-and-Leaf
o Boxplot
o Candlestick Chart etc.
1) Descriptive Analysis:
It is used for describing the data.
It is used to develop different indices from the raw data.
Depending upon the number of variables the researcher wants to analyse at a time the
Descriptive Analysis is divided into following types.
a) Univariate Analysis
b) Bivariate Analysis
c) Multivariate Analysis
a) Univariate Analysis:
Meaning: Uni-One, Variate-Variable.
When researcher wants to analyse one variable data he/she needs to use univariate
analysis.
Example: Annual Sales (variable) of company in last 10 years.
The following are the univariate analytical tools.
o Measures of Central Tendency
o Measures of Dispersion
o Measures of Shape
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o Index Numbers
o Time-Series Analysis
o One-way ANOVA (Analysis of Variance) etc.
b) Bivariate Analysis:
Meaning: Bi-Two, Variate-Variable
When researcher wants to analyse two variable data he/she needs to use bivariate
analysis.
Bivariate analysis is used to find out relationship or association between variables or
attributes.
Example: Annual Sales (variable) and price of product of company in last 10 years.
The following are the bivariate analytical tools.
o Simple Correlation
o Simple Regression
o Association of Attributes
o Two-way ANOVA (Analysis of Variance) etc.
c) Multivariate Analysis:
Meaning: Multi-More Than Two, Variate-Variable
When researcher wants to analyse more than two variable data he/she needs to use
multivariate analysis.
Example: Annual sales, price of product and advertising budget of company in last 10
years.
The following are the multivariate analytical tools.
o Multiple Correlation
o Multiple Regression
o Multi-Way ANOVA (Analysis of Variance)
o MANOVA (Multivariate Analysis of Variance)
o Conjoint Analysis
o Factor Analysis
o Cluster Analysis
o Multi-Dimensional Scaling
o Discriminant Analysis etc.
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2) INFERENTIAL ANALYSIS:
Inferential analysis is used when researcher wants to draw inferences or conclusions.
It is used for
1) Hypothesis Testing (Tests of Significance)
2) Estimating Population Parameter from Sample Statistic
a) Null Hypothesis:
Null hypothesis shows equality or no relationship or no association.
When researcher is comparing two things and frames the hypothesis that the two
things are equal or at par then that hypothesis is called null hypothesis.
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b) Alternate Hypothesis:
Alternate hypothesis shows inequality or presence of relationship or association.
When researcher is comparing two things and frames the hypothesis that the first
thing is superior or inferior to second or they are not equal then that hypothesis is
called alternate hypothesis.
When researcher states that parameter (characteristic of population) and statistic
(characteristic of sample) are unequal then that hypothesis is called alternate
hypothesis. It means there is no statistical difference between the two.
In case of above two situations depending upon the logic of researcher, alternate
hypothesis may be formed in any of the three ways – not equal to, greater than and
less than.
When researcher states the hypothesis that there is relationship or association between
two variables or attributes then that hypothesis is called alternate hypothesis.
It is denoted by Ha.
It is biased or partial in nature.
Example:
The average Intelligent Quotient (IQ) of MBA II B and Beta division are not equal.
Ha: Avg. IQ of MBA II B Division ≠ Avg. IQ of MBA II Beta Division
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a) Parametric Tests:
These are standard tests.
These tests are applicable when the data is metric i.e. interval or ratio.
The following are the commonly used parametric tests.
o z – test
o t – test
o F – test
o ANOVA (Analysis of Variance)
o Chi-square Test: χ2 – test (Can be used as both parametric & non-parametric test)
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b) Non-Parametric Tests:
These tests are applicable when the data is non-metric i.e. nominal or ordinal.
These tests are distribution free tests as these tests do not assume anything regarding
distribution of data.
The following are the non-parametric tests
o Chi-square Test: χ2 – Test (Can be used as both parametric as well as
non-parametric test)
o Binomial Test of Proportion
o McNemar Test
o Fisher-Irwin Test
o Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
o Test of Randomness or Runs Test
o Sign Test
o Wilcoxon Matched Pair Test
o Median Test
o Mann-Whitney Test
o Wald-Wolfowitz Test
o Spearman’s Rank Correlation Procedure
o Kendall’s Coefficient of Concordance
o Kruskal-Wallis Test etc.
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The following table provides guidelines for the selection of commonly used appropriate
statistical test. Three conditions guide the selection of test.
Characteristic of interest like mean, proportion, variance etc.
Size of the sample i.e. n. If n is greater than 30 it is large sample and if it is less than
or equal to 30 it is small sample.
Population Standard Deviation (σ) is known or unknown.
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Decision
Ho is Accepted Ho is Rejected
Ho is True Correct Decision Type I Error
State of Nature
Ho is false Type II Error Correct Decision
o Type I error is committed when true null hypothesis is rejected. The probability of
making Type I error is called the level of significance (α). In other words it means
the probability of rejecting true null hypothesis.
o Type II error is committed when false null hypothesis is accepted. The probability
of making Type II error is called β. In other words it means the probability of
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Where,
n is the total number of information bits available,
k is the number of linear constraints or restrictions while calculating test statistic.
In determining critical value for two tailed test significance level is considered as α/2.
i) One Sample:
In this case researcher is interested to compare sample mean with hypothesized
population mean.
The formulae are subdivided on the basis of whether population standard deviation
(σ) is known and size of sample.
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X–µ
z = -----------------
σx
Where,
z = Test Statistic
X = Sample Mean
µ = Hypothesized Population Mean
σx = Standard Error of Mean = σ /√ n
Where,
X–µ
t = -------------------
sx
Where,
t = Test Statistic
X = Sample Mean
µ = Hypothesized Population Mean
sx = Standard Error of Mean = s / √ n
Where, s = Sample Standard Deviation
n = Sample Size
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n
∑ (Xi– X) 2
i=1
s= -------------------
n–1
Where,
If the size of the population (N) is known and the resulting sample size is 10% or
more of the population size, finite population correction factor is required to be
applied to the standard error of mean formula as follows. The finite population
correction factor is multiplied as follows.
N–n
------------
N–1
Where,
N = Population Size
n = Sample Size
σ N–n
σx = -------- -----------
√n N–1
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σ12 σ22
σx1 – x2 = ------- + -------
n1 n2
Where,
σ1 = Standard Deviation of Population 1
σ2 = Standard Deviation of Population 2
n1= Size of Sample 1
n2= Size of Sample 2
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1 1
2
sx1 – x2 = sp ------- + -------
n1 n2
Where,
s1 = Standard Deviation of Sample 1
s2 = Standard Deviation of Sample 2
n1= Size of Sample 1
n2= Size of Sample 2
df= Degrees of Freedom = n1 + n2 – 2
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s12 s 22
sx1 – sx2 = ------- + -------
n1 n2
Where,
s1 = Standard Deviation of Sample 1
s2 = Standard Deviation of Sample 2
n1= Size of Sample 1
n2= Size of Sample 2
(n1 – 1) (n2 – 1)
df = ----------------------------------------------
(n2 – 1) g2 + (1 – g)2 (n1 – 1)
Where,
s12 / n1
g = --------------------------------------
2 2
(s1 / n1) + (s2 / n1)
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(D – µD)
t = --------------------
SD/√ n
Where,
t = Test Statistic
D = Mean of Paired Difference Variable
n
∑ Di
i=1
D = ------------------
n
µD= Hypothesized Paired Difference
n = Sample Size or Number of Matched Pairs
SD = Standard Deviation of Paired Difference Variable
n
∑ (Di– D) 2
i=1
sD = --------------------
n–1
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Small Sample:
In this case t-test is used and the test statistic is calculated as follows.
p–
t = -------------------
σp
Where,
t = Test Statistic
p = Sample Proportion
= Hypothesized Population Proportion
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Large Sample:
In this case z test is used and the test statistic is calculated as follows.
( p1 – p2) – ( 1 – 2)
Z = ---------------------------------
Sp1 – p2
Where,
Z = Test Statistic
p1 = Proportion of Sample 1
p2 = Proportion of Sample 2
1 = Proportion of Population 1
2 = Proportion of Population 2
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n1p1 + n2p2
P = ------------------------------
n1+ n2
Small Sample:
In this case t-test is used and the test statistic is calculated as follows.
( p1 – p2) – ( 1 – 2)
t = ----------------------------------
Sp1 – p2
Where,
t = Test Statistic
p1 = Proportion of Sample 1
p2 = Proportion of Sample 2
1 = Proportion of Population 1
2 = Proportion of Population 2
Where,
n1= Size of Sample 1
n2= Size of Sample 2
If both the samples are drawn from homogeneous populations with regard to the
attribute of interest, then standard error of difference of proportion is calculated as
follows.
1 1
Sp1 – p2 = P (1 – P) ------ + ------
n1 n2
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Where,
n1= Size of Sample 1
n2= Size of Sample 2
Total number of successes in the two samples
P = ----------------------------------------------------------------- or
Total number of observations in the two samples
n1p1 + n2p2
P = ------------------------------
n1+ n2
Where,
χ2 = Test Statistic
fo = Observed Frequency of the respective cell (Given Data)
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df = (r – 1) (c – 1)
Where,
r = Number of Rows
c = Number of Columns
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Thus total deviation from any particular data point is broken into two components –
between - groups variance and within – groups variance.
The test statistic used for ANOVA is F-statistic or ratio.
It is based on F-distribution.
ANOVA Techniques:
o One-Way Classification Model: In this case data is classified according to only
one criterion or factor. It is called One-Way ANOVA.
o Two-Way Classification Model: In this case data is classified according to two
criterions or factors. It is called Two-Way ANOVA.
F-Statistic in case of ANOVA is calculated as follows.
a) One-Way ANOVA:
The technique involves following steps.
Obtain the Mean of each Sample i.e. obtain
X1, X2, X3,…,Xk
when there are k samples.
Obtain the Grand Mean i.e. Mean of Sample Means as follows.
X1 + X2 + X3 +…+ Xk
X = ------------------------------
No. of Samples (k)
Take the deviations of the sample means from the grand mean and calculate the
square of such deviations which may be multiplied by the number of items in the
corresponding sample and then obtain their total. This is known as the Sum of
Squares for variance between samples (SS Between).
SS Between = n1 (X1 – X)2 + n2 (X2 – X)2 + ....... + nk (Xk – X)2
Divide the SS Between calculated in the above step by the degrees of freedom
between the samples (k-1) in order to obtain Variance or Mean Square (MS) Between
Samples.
SS Between
MS Between = --------------------
(k – 1)
Obtain the deviations of the values of the sample items for all the samples from
corresponding means of the samples and calculate the squares of such deviations and
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then obtain their total. This total is known as the Sum of Squares for Variance within
Samples (SS Within).
SS Within = ∑ (X1i – X1)2 + ∑ (X2i – X2)2 + …… + ∑ (Xki – Xk)2
Where, i = 1,2,3,…
Divide the SS Within calculated in the above step by the degrees of freedom within
samples (n-k) in order to obtain Variance or Mean Square (MS) Within Samples.
SS Within
MS Within = ---------------------
(n – k)
Where, n = total number of items in all the samples i.e. n1 + n2 +…+ nk
For a check, the Sum of the Deviations for Total Variance can also be worked out by
adding the squares of deviations when the deviations for the individual items in all the
samples have been taken from the grand mean.
SS for Total Variance = ∑ (Xij – X)2
Where, i=1,2,3,… (Items in Samples)
j=1,2,3,…(Different Samples)
The SS for Total Variance should be equal to the addition of SS Between and SS
Within calculated in the above steps.
SS for Total Variance = SS Between + SS Within
The degrees of freedom for Total Variance is equal to the number of items in all
samples minus 1 i.e. n-1. Further, it is also equal to the addition of degrees of freedom
for between and within. This explains the additive property of ANOVA Technique.
n – 1 = (k – 1) + (n – k)
Finally, F-ratio is calculated as follows.
Between-Samples Variance
F = ------------------------------------
Within-Samples Variance
i.e.
MS Between
F = --------------------------------
MS Within
For convenience, the information obtained through above steps can be represented in
the form of a table called as ANOVA Table as follows.
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SS Between
Between Samples 2 2
n1 (X1 – X) + n2 (X2 – X) + ....... + nk (Xk – X) 2
(k – 1) ----------------
(k – 1)
SS Within MS Between
2 2 2
Within Samples ∑ (X1i – X1) + ∑ (X2i – X2) + …… + ∑ (Xki – Xk) (n – k) ---------------- -----------------
(n – k) MS Within
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The Sum of Squares Within the Samples can be found out by subtracting the SS
Between from SS for Total Variance.
(Tj) 2
SS Within = ∑ Xij2 – --------
nj
Divide the SS Within calculated in the above step by the degrees of freedom within
samples (n-k) in order to obtain Variance or Mean Square (MS) Within Samples.
SS Within
MS Within = --------------------
(n – k)
Finally, F-ratio is calculated as follows.
Between-Samples Variance
F = ------------------------------------
Within-Samples Variance
i.e.
MS Between
F = --------------------------------
MS Within
For convenience, the information obtained through above steps can be represented in
the form of a table called as ANOVA Table as follows.
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(Tj)2 (T)2
SS Between
Between Samples ∑ ---------- – --------- (k – 1) ----------------
nj n (k – 1)
MS Between
(Tj)2 SS Within -----------------
Within Samples ∑ Xij2 – ------- (n – k) ---------------- MS Within
nj (n – k)
(T)2
∑ Xij2 – ------ (n – 1)
Total
n
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b) Two-way ANOVA:
In this case two-way design may have repeated measurements of each factor or may not
have repeated values.
ANOVA technique in the context of two-way design when repeated values are not
there involves following steps.
Take the total of values of individual items in all the samples which is called as T.
T = ∑ Xij
Where, i=1,2,3,… (Items in Samples)
j=1,2,3,…(Different Samples)
Find out the correction factor as follows.
(T) 2
Correction Factor = ------------
n
Find out the square of all item values one by one and then take its total. Subtract the
correction factor from this total and the result is the Sum of Squares for Total
Variance.
(T) 2
SS for Total Variance = ∑ Xij2 – ------
n
Where, i=1,2,3,… (Items in Samples)
j=1,2,3,…(Different Samples)
n= total number of items in all the samples i.e. n1 + n2 +…+ nk
Take the total of different columns and then obtain the square of each column total
and divide such squared values of each column by the number of items in the
concerning column and take the total of the result thus obtained. Subtract the
correction factor from this total and the result is the Sum of Squares of Deviations for
Variance Between Columns.
(Tj) 2 (T) 2
SS Between Columns = ∑ ------------ – ---------
nj n
Take the total of different rows and then obtain the square of each row total and
divide such squared values of each row by the number of items in the corresponding
row and take the total of the result thus obtained. Subtract the correction factor from
this total and the result is the Sum of Squares of Deviations for Variance Between
Rows.
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(Ti) 2 (T) 2
SS Between Rows = ∑ ----------- – ---------
ni n
The Sum of Squares of Deviations for Residual or Error Variance can be worked out
by subtracting the sum of SS Between Columns and SS Between Rows from SS for
Total Variance.
SS for Residual or Error Variance
= SS for Total Variance – (SS Between Columns + SS Between Rows)
The Degrees of Freedom (d.f.) can be worked out as follows.
d.f. for Total Variance = (c x r – 1)
d.f. for Variance Between Columns = (c – 1)
d.f. for Variance Between Rows = (r – 1)
d.f. for Residual Variance = (c – 1) (r – 1)
where, c = number of columns
r = number of rows
The ANOVA Table is then set up as follows.
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(T)2
∑ Xij2 – ------ (c x r – 1)
Total n
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ANOVA technique in the context of two-way design when repeated values are there
involves following steps.
In this case of two-way design with repeated measurements for all the categories, it is
required to obtain a separate independent measure of inherent or smallest variations.
For this measure, calculate the sum of squares and degrees of freedom in the same
way as that of sum of squares for variance within samples in case of one-way
ANOVA.
SS for Total Variance, SS for Between Columns and SS for Between Rows is
calculated as discussed in case of two-way ANOVA without repeated values.
Find out left-over sums of squares and left-over degrees of freedom which are used to
calculate SS for Interaction Variation. It is a measure of inter-relationship among the
two different classifications.
SS for Interaction Variation
= SS for Total Variance –
(SS Between Columns + SS Between Rows + SS Within Samples)
The ANOVA Table is then set up as follows.
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(n – 1) – SS Interaction
SS for Total Variance – (SS Between Columns + MS Interaction
Interaction (c – 1) + (r – 1) ----------------------------
SS Between Rows + SS Within Samples) (n – 1) – --------------------------
+ (n – k) MS Within Samples
(c – 1) + (r – 1) + (n – k)
Within SS Within
2 2 2
(X1i – X1) + ∑ (X2i – X2) + …… + ∑ (Xki – Xk) (n – k) ----------------
Samples
(n – k)
Total (T)2 (n – 1)
∑ Xij2 – ------
n
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In the modern method statistical software is used. In the software based on the value of
the test statistic probability value (p-value) is given as the result. In such case the result is
interpreted using following rejection rule about null hypothesis. This rule is common for
all tests.
Reject null hypothesis if the probability value (p-value) is less than significance level.
R: p-value < Significance level
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4.5.2.Applications:
Conjoint analysis can be used in marketing in various areas as follows.
New Product/ Concept Development and Testing
Competitive Analysis
Market Segmentation
Pricing
Advertising
Distribution etc.
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In order to minimize respondent evaluation task, the number of attribute levels are
restricted.
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4.5.4. Assumptions:
It assumes that the important attributes of a product can be identified.
It assumes that consumers evaluate the choice alternatives in terms of these attributes
and make trade-offs. The trade-off model may not be a good representation of choice
process.
Data collection is complex.
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4.6.2.Applications:
Factor analysis can be used in marketing in various areas as follows.
It is used in market segmentation for identifying the underlying variables on which to
group the customers.
In product research, factor analysis is used to determine the brand attributes that
influence consumer choice.
In advertising studies, factor analysis is used to understand the media consumption
habits of the target market.
In pricing studies, factor analysis is used to identify the characteristics of price-
sensitive consumers.
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Q1) What is hypothesis? Explain the concept of null and alternate hypothesis.
Q2) Explain in brief the procedure for testing hypothesis.
Q3) Explain in brief various parametric tests for testing hypothesis and point out
conditions under which each one is suitable.
Q4) Write short notes on,
a) z – test
b) t– test
c) ANOVA
d) Chi-square (χ2) test
Q5) Explain the concept, applications and procedure for conducting conjoint analysis.
Q6) Explain the concept, applications and procedure for conducting factor analysis.
Note: Questions can be asked on statistical tests in the form of a problem and conjoint
analysis and factor analysis in the form of a caselet.
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5.1.2. Applications:
Cluster analysis is used in marketing for variety of purposes.
Segmenting the Market: Cluster analysis is used to divide the customers into
homogeneous groups called as market segments.
Understanding Buyer Behaviour: Cluster analysis is used to identify homogenous
groups of buyers. Thereafter buyer behavior is examined separately in order to design
marketing strategies.
Identifying New Product Opportunities: By clustering products, brands competitive
sets within the market can be determined. Brands in same cluster compete more
fiercely. A company can examine current offerings compared to those of its
competitors to identify new product opportunities.
Selecting Test Markets: By grouping cities into homogeneous clusters, it is possible
to select comparable cities to select various marketing strategies.
Reducing Data: Cluster analysis can be used as a data reduction tool to develop
clusters of data that are more manageable than individual observations. Subsequent
multivariate analysis is conducted on clusters rather than individual observations.
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Agglomerative clustering starts with each object in separate cluster. Clusters are
formed by grouping objects into bigger and bigger clusters. This process is continued
until all objects are members of a single cluster. These methods are commonly used in
marketing research. Agglomerative clustering is further subdivided into linkage
methods, variance methods and centroid methods.
Linkage methods include single linkage, complete linkage and average linkage
methods. Single linkage method is based on minimum distance or nearest neighbor
rule. Complete linkage is based on maximum distance or farthest neighbor rule.
Average linkage method is based on average distance between all pairs of objects
where one member of the pair is from each of the cluster.
Variance methods try to minimize within variance. The commonly used variance
method is Ward’s procedure.
In centroid method distance between two clusters is the distance between their
centroids.
Divisive clustering starts with all objects grouped in single cluster. Clusters are
divided until each object is in a separate cluster.
b) Non-hierarchical Clustering:
Nonhierarchical methods are also referred as k-means clustering.
Nonhierarchical methods can be sequential threshold method, parallel threshold
method and optimizing partitioning method.
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5.2.2. Applications:
Multidimensional scaling is used in marketing for variety of purposes.
The number and nature of dimensions consumers use to perceive different brands in
the marketplace.
The positioning of current brands on these dimensions.
The positioning of consumers’ ideal brand on these dimensions.
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b) Metric MDS:
It assumes that input data is metric and the result is also metric output.
In this method a stronger relationship between input and output data is maintained.
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Brands or stimuli can be selectively eliminated from, the input data and the solutions
determined for the remaining stimuli.
A random error can be added to the input data. The resulting data are subjected to
MDS analysis and the results can be compared.
The input data can be collected at two different points in time and the test-retest
reliability is determined.
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5.3.2. Applications:
Discriminant analysis is used in marketing for variety of purposes.
Development of discriminant functions or linear combinations of the independent
variables which will best discriminate between the categories of the dependent
variable.
Examination of whether significant differences exist among the groups, in terms of
the independent variables.
Determination of which independent variable contributes to most of the intergroup
differences.
Classification of the new object into priori defined groups based on the values of the
independent variables.
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ratio i.e. percentage of cases correctly classified by the discriminant function indicates
the validity of the function. It is desirable to have more hit ratio. Further generally the
hit ratio should be 25% more than percentage of chance classification. The chance
classification is calculated by one divided by number of groups. Sometimes by
interchanging the roles of these two samples double cross-validation is done.
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Q1) Explain the concept, applications and procedure for conducting cluster analysis.
Q2) Explain the concept, applications and procedure for conducting multidimensional
scaling.
Q2) Explain the concept, applications and procedure for conducting discriminant analysis.
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