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No. Education Level (Primary & Secondary) Duration Comments
1 Primary Education 9 min=4; max=9
2 Secondary I: General 6 min=2; max=6
3 Secondary I: Technical 6 min=2; max=6
4 Secondary I: Vocational 6 min=2; max=6
5 Secondary II: General 6 min=2; max=6
6 Secondary II: Technical 6 min=2; max=6
7 Secondary II: Vocational 6 min=2; max=6
8 Secondary II: Teacher Training 6 min=2; max=6

15
Preliminary Exercise: Education Policy Simulation
Education Sector Strategic Plan (ESSP) of Epssimia

Component Pre-Primary Education


A. Diagnosis

In Epssimia, preschool education is underdeveloped. In 2005, the overall gross enrolment rates (GER) are 5% for children aged 3 to 6. Only
1.4% are enrolled at age 3 and some 11% of those aged 6 go to pre-primary education.

A large proportion of educators/caregivers are not qualified: those belonging to Category 1 (primary school leavers) and Category 2 (Lower
secondary level) make up 80% of the educational staff. While largely under-qualified, each educator has on average 36 kids in his/her class.

The situation of poor preschool education is due to several factors, of which:

• No enough preschool facilities (only 500 public kindergartens with an average of 7 groups in each);
• Insufficient public funding (1.9% of education budget allocated for preschool education)
• No proper equipment and material, etc.

B. Policy Goals

The number of target population is expected to increase from 2.1 to 2.9 millions in 2020 if the current 2.2% growth rate is maintained. In
accordance with the Dakar recommendations and in recognition of the importance of pre-school education, the Government decided to develop
preschool education so that half the children aged 4 to 6 are enrolled at preschool establishments by 2020 while improving education and care
conditions and facilities. To this end, the following specific policy targets are to be achieved:

• 80% of those aged 6 enrolled at preschool institutions by 2020


• In-service training will be systematically organized in order to raise the qualification rate to 65% by 2010 (from current 18%), which will be
maintained till 2020
• A minimum funding will be provided to improve the preschool and care facilities and working conditions
• 5% of the education budget will be allocated to development of preschool education by 2020.

C. Policy options
Items 2016 2021 2026 2031
Number of children enrolled M 57,000 107,729 244,413 556,877
(%) 5.3% 9.1% 18.6% 38.1%
F 50,500 97,642 230,796 547,232
(%) 4.8% 8.4% 17.9% 38.1%
Kids:educator ratio 36 32 28 25
Educator qualification rate 18 65 65 65
Number of new educators to recruit (accumulated) - 3,947 12,145 32,075
Number of new rooms to build (accumulated) - 6,921 15,360 39,652
Education budget (‘000,000) 359.9 434.4 550.9 689.20
As % of total government budget (%) 17.0% 18.3% 20.1% 22.0%
Preschool education budget (‘000,000) 7.0 11.1 19.7 34.5
As % of total education budget (%) 1.9% 2.5% 3.6% 5.0%
Deficit of financial resources (%) 1% 58% 168% 356%

Some key questions:

* Will the country Epssimia be able to provide qualification training for 65% educators by 2010?
* Are there going to be enough candidates for the teaching profession?
* Will there be enough classrooms and other rooms for accommodating the kids?
* Last but not least, how to find financial resources required to achieve the policy goals?
Baseline Data and Policy Options
Baseline Data Policy Options Descriptor
Gross enrolment ratio by age Baseline By when? Goals
2016 Age 3 M=4000; F=3500 2031 10.0% <= Age-specific GER
Age 4 M=8000; F=7000 2031 20.0% <= Age-specific GER
Age 5 M=15000; F=13000 2031 50.0% <= Age-specific GER
Age 6 M=30000; F=27000 2031 80.0% <= Age-specific GER
Preschool education staff
2016 Number of sections 3,500 2031 25 <= Pupils:educator ratio
Number of teachers 3,020 2031 23 <= Pupils:section ratio
Teaching personnel 3% <= Teacher attrition rate
Category 1 1,500 2021 1.0% <= as % of the total
Category 2 1,000 2021 34.0% <= as % of the total
Category 3 500 2021 45.0% <= as % of the total
Category 4 20 2021 20.0% <= as % of the total
Non teaching staff 3.0% <= Attrition rate
Admin & support staff 150 2031 10.0% <= as % of the total number of teachers
Other staff 200 2031 15.0% <= as % of the total number of teachers
Materials and equipment From
Kids 2016
Age 3 to 1 <= Book per kid : Same
Age 4 2031 1 <= Book per kid : Same
Age 5 1 <= Book per kid : Same
Age 6 1 <= Book per kid : Same
Educator
For age 3 2 <= Book per educator : Same
For age 4 2 <= Book per educator : Same
For age 5 2 <= Book per educator : Same
For age 6 2 <= Book per educator : Same
Facilities 3.0% <= Building amortization rate
2016 Number of classrooms 3,300 1 <= 1 classroom for 1 section
Other rooms 350 15% <= as % of classrooms
Costs and financing
2016 Teachers (Wage, etc.)
Category 1 1.0 1.0 <= as multiple of GDP per capita : Same
Category 2 1.2 1.2 <= as multiple of GDP per capita : Same
Category 3 1.5 1.5 <= as multiple of GDP per capita : Same
Category 4 2.0 2.0 <= as multiple of GDP per capita : Same
Other Staff Costs
Training 10.0% 10.0% <= lump sum as 10% of total salaries : Same
Admin & Supervision staff 2.0 2.0 <= as multiple of GDP per capita : Same
Workers & others 0.7 0.7 <= as multiple of GDP per capita : Same
Instructional materials
For kids 1.5 1.5 <= $ average per material : Same
For educators 2.0 2.0 <= $ average per material : Same
Other running costs
Maintenance 50 50 <= $ average per room : Same
Water & electricity 100 100 <= $ average per room : Same
Miscellaneous 70 70 <= $ average per room : Same
Constructions & other investments
Constructions 2,000 2000 <= $ average per a new room : Same
Equipment 200 200 <= $ average per a new room : Same
Other maintenance costs 100 100 <= $ average per a new room : Same
Macro-economic data
2016 GDP per capita $800
GDP ('000) 14,112,017 4.0% <= Annual GDP growth rate
National Budget ('000) 2,116,803 2031 16.0% <= Total Budget/GDP
Education budget ('000) 359,856 2031 22.0% <= Education/Total budget
Preschool education budget ('000) 7,000 2031 5.0% <= Preschool/Education budget
POPULATION PROJECTION POPULATION GROWTH RATE: 2.2%
Male 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
0 344,273 349,758 355,415 361,294 367,459 373,863 380,459 387,248 394,166 401,053 409,876 418,893 428,109 437,527 447,153
1 315,173 320,911 326,733 332,677 338,861 345,333 352,026 359,025 366,309 373,704 381,925 390,328 398,915 407,691 416,660
2 298,725 304,660 310,595 316,570 322,670 329,011 335,658 342,551 349,797 357,316 365,177 373,211 381,421 389,813 398,389
3 285,919 291,864 297,922 303,933 309,992 316,202 322,639 329,405 336,445 343,829 351,393 359,124 367,025 375,099 383,351
4 270,572 280,882 286,892 293,012 299,093 305,220 311,508 318,034 324,924 332,080 339,386 346,852 354,483 362,282 370,252
5 262,724 267,673 277,982 284,033 290,178 296,301 302,477 308,805 315,399 322,344 329,436 336,683 344,090 351,660 359,397
6 257,242 261,172 266,155 276,449 282,508 288,674 294,808 301,005 307,368 313,982 320,890 327,949 335,164 342,538 350,073
7 254,545 255,722 259,670 264,694 274,971 281,050 287,227 293,389 299,606 305,996 312,728 319,608 326,639 333,825 341,170
8 253,281 253,047 254,256 258,225 263,287 273,554 279,637 285,828 292,033 298,271 304,833 311,539 318,393 325,398 332,557
9 250,537 251,785 251,596 252,834 256,840 261,933 272,176 278,291 284,512 290,725 297,121 303,658 310,338 317,166 324,143
10 245,404 249,349 250,636 250,472 251,729 255,753 260,870 271,114 277,236 283,482 289,719 296,092 302,606 309,264 316,068
11 238,678 244,541 248,493 249,793 249,659 250,920 254,962 260,096 270,341 276,481 282,564 288,780 295,133 301,626 308,262
12 230,007 237,832 243,699 247,655 248,962 248,853 250,142 254,189 259,352 269,595 275,526 281,588 287,783 294,114 300,584
13 220,076 229,192 237,011 242,872 246,840 248,158 248,067 249,376 253,438 258,625 264,315 270,130 276,073 282,146 288,353
14 210,540 219,291 228,402 236,212 242,074 246,045 247,376 247,296 248,641 252,728 258,288 263,970 269,778 275,713 281,778
15 200,749 209,522 218,249 227,346 235,136 240,996 244,972 246,317 246,266 247,625 253,073 258,640 264,330 270,146 276,089
16-17 375,455 389,949 406,540 423,965 441,704 458,510 472,110 481,924 487,276 488,641 499,391 510,378 521,606 533,081 544,809
18-24 1,099,941 1,137,289 1,175,710 1,216,047 1,259,454 1,306,343 1,357,299 1,410,935 1,464,744 1,515,928 1,549,278 1,583,363 1,618,197 1,653,797 1,690,180
25-49 2,127,099 2,188,661 2,254,329 2,324,215 2,397,902 2,474,795 2,554,518 2,637,112 2,723,180 2,813,684 2,875,585 2,938,848 3,003,503 3,069,580 3,137,110
50-64 511,471 520,885 531,247 542,553 554,866 568,216 582,701 598,337 615,137 633,010 646,936 661,169 675,715 690,580 705,773
65+ 220,119 220,626 221,369 222,458 223,863 225,582 227,612 230,064 233,037 236,560 241,764 247,083 252,519 258,074 263,752
S/Total 8,472,530 8,684,611 8,902,901 9,127,309 9,358,048 9,595,312 9,839,244 10,090,341 10,349,207 10,615,659 10,849,203 11,087,886 11,331,819 11,581,119 11,835,904
Female
0 336,299 341,576 347,038 352,764 358,788 365,010 371,440 378,034 384,702 391,351 399,961 408,760 417,753 426,943 436,336
1 309,001 314,522 320,165 325,999 332,109 338,500 345,120 352,003 359,090 366,266 374,324 382,559 390,975 399,577 408,367
2 292,953 298,680 304,405 310,259 316,305 322,616 329,234 336,086 343,226 350,591 358,304 366,187 374,243 382,476 390,891
3 280,218 286,142 291,989 297,852 303,827 310,006 316,466 323,243 330,256 337,582 345,009 352,599 360,356 368,284 376,386
4 268,084 275,155 281,190 287,119 293,077 299,171 305,452 312,030 318,936 326,085 333,259 340,591 348,084 355,741 363,568
5 259,356 265,270 272,383 278,467 284,448 290,473 296,630 302,967 309,622 316,607 323,572 330,691 337,966 345,401 353,000
6 255,137 258,044 263,996 271,126 277,228 283,241 289,284 295,458 301,842 308,533 315,321 322,258 329,347 336,593 343,998
7 254,121 253,835 256,781 262,780 269,916 276,044 282,083 288,156 294,356 300,772 307,389 314,152 321,063 328,126 335,345
8 254,507 252,832 252,594 255,584 261,615 268,765 274,911 280,970 287,084 293,312 299,765 306,360 313,100 319,988 327,028
9 252,773 253,231 251,593 251,403 254,420 260,493 267,670 273,832 279,921 286,065 292,358 298,790 305,364 312,082 318,948
10 247,831 251,738 252,223 250,633 250,470 253,527 259,615 266,810 273,005 279,105 285,245 291,521 297,934 304,489 311,187
11 240,597 247,076 250,998 251,504 249,939 249,790 252,864 258,986 266,184 272,397 278,390 284,514 290,774 297,171 303,708
12 230,852 239,876 246,348 250,272 250,793 249,260 249,140 252,236 258,387 265,596 271,439 277,411 283,514 289,751 296,126
13 219,484 230,158 239,173 245,646 249,588 250,119 248,616 248,519 251,634 257,809 263,481 269,277 275,201 281,256 287,444
14 208,486 218,833 229,486 238,483 244,973 248,920 249,474 247,991 247,933 251,065 256,588 262,233 268,003 273,899 279,924
15 197,732 207,679 217,993 228,634 237,622 244,109 248,066 248,650 247,183 247,156 252,593 258,150 263,830 269,634 275,566
16-17 370,452 384,455 402,573 422,751 443,622 463,201 478,639 489,085 493,662 492,889 503,733 514,815 526,141 537,716 549,545
18-24 1,183,497 1,191,894 1,208,150 1,233,790 1,269,353 1,313,510 1,365,165 1,422,357 1,482,110 1,540,037 1,573,918 1,608,544 1,643,932 1,680,098 1,717,061
25-49 2,648,516 2,732,988 2,813,726 2,891,397 2,967,051 3,042,178 3,118,084 3,194,864 3,272,925 3,354,274 3,428,068 3,503,486 3,580,562 3,659,335 3,739,840
50-64 600,585 615,414 631,239 648,103 666,081 685,342 705,984 728,201 752,034 777,400 794,503 811,982 829,845 848,102 866,760
65+ 257,010 260,262 267,897 274,004 280,532 287,446 294,728 302,508 310,909 319,901 326,939 334,131 341,482 348,995 356,673

Page 5 of 149 EXER1 Sheet


S/Total 9,167,491 9,379,660 9,601,940 9,828,570 10,061,757 10,301,721 10,548,665 10,802,986 11,065,001 11,334,793 11,584,158 11,839,010 12,099,468 12,365,656 12,637,701
Grand Total 17,640,021 18,064,271 18,504,841 18,955,879 19,419,805 19,897,033 20,387,909 20,893,327 21,414,208 21,950,452 22,433,362 22,926,896 23,431,288 23,946,776 24,473,605

Page 6 of 149 EXER1 Sheet


STUDENT FLOWS 2016

Type 1 Numbers: Enrolments Repetition Promotion Flow Rates 2016


2016 2017 2017 2016 Promotion Repetition Dropout
M F M F M F M F M F M F M F
Grade 1 20,194 19,052 21,894 20,920 1,357 1,344 17,448 16,345 86.4% 85.8% 6.7% 7.1% 6.9% 7.2%
Grade 2 18,770 17,671 18,779 17,677 1,331 1,332 16,097 15,044 85.8% 85.1% 7.1% 7.5% 7.1% 7.3%
Grade 3 17,436 16,357 17,424 16,363 1,327 1,319 14,926 13,914 85.6% 85.1% 7.6% 8.1% 6.8% 6.9%
Grade 4 16,243 15,226 16,250 15,232 1,324 1,318 13,798 12,821 84.9% 84.2% 8.2% 8.7% 6.9% 7.1%
Grade 5 15,104 14,129 15,113 14,133 1,315 1,312 11,237 10,358 74.4% 73.3% 8.7% 9.3% 16.9% 17.4%
Grade 6 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grade 7 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grade 8 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grade 9 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Graduates 11,237 10,358

Type 2 Numbers: Enrolments Repetition Promotion Flow Rates 2016


2016 2017 2017 2016 Promotion Repetition Dropout
M F M F M F M F M F M F M F
Grade 1 2,025 1,915 2,217 2,124 134 132 1,754 1,651 86.6% 86.2% 6.6% 6.9% 6.8% 6.9%
Grade 2 1,879 1,777 1,887 1,784 133 133 1,617 1,522 86.1% 85.6% 7.1% 7.5% 6.9% 6.9%
Grade 3 1,746 1,645 1,749 1,653 132 131 1,503 1,409 86.1% 85.7% 7.6% 8.0% 6.4% 6.4%
Grade 4 1,621 1,532 1,635 1,540 132 131 1,390 1,305 85.7% 85.2% 8.1% 8.6% 6.1% 6.3%
Grade 5 1,515 1,422 1,521 1,436 131 131 1,153 1,055 76.1% 74.2% 8.6% 9.2% 15.2% 16.6%
Grade 6 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grade 7 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grade 8 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grade 9 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Graduates 1,153 1,055

S/Total Numbers: Enrolments Repetition Promotion Flow Rates 2016


2016 2017 2017 2016 Promotion Repetition Dropout
M F M F M F M F M F M F M F
Grade 1 22,219 20,967 24,111 23,044 1,491 1,476 19,202 17,996 86.4% 85.8% 6.7% 7.0% 6.9% 7.1%
Grade 2 20,649 19,448 20,666 19,461 1,464 1,465 17,714 16,566 85.8% 85.2% 7.1% 7.5% 7.1% 7.3%
Grade 3 19182 18002 19173 18016 1459 1450 16429 15323 85.6% 85.1% 7.6% 8.1% 6.7% 6.8%
Grade 4 17864 16758 17885 16772 1456 1449 15188 14126 85.0% 84.3% 8.2% 8.6% 6.8% 7.1%
Grade 5 16619 15551 16634 15569 1446 1443 12390 11413 74.6% 73.4% 8.7% 9.3% 16.7% 17.3%

Page 7 of 149
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grade 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grade 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grade 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Page 8 of 149
Sprague Multipliers

Age-group Pop. 1 Pop. 2 Pop. 3 Pop. 4 Pop. 5

0-4
5-9
10-14
15-19
20-24

Age Pop. 1 Pop. 2 Pop. 3 Pop. 4 Pop. 5


0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24

Age-group Sub Total Sub Total Sub Total Sub Total Sub Total
0-4 0 0 0 0 0
5-9 0 0 0 0 0
10-14 0 0 0 0 0

5-10 0 0 0 0 0
6-10 0 0 0 0 0
6-11 0 0 0 0 0

7-10 0 0 0 0 0
7-11 0 0 0 0 0
7-12 0 0 0 0 0
7-13 0 0 0 0 0

10-13 0 0 0 0 0
10-14 0 0 0 0 0
10-15 0 0 0 0 0
Population projection data (The projected population data should be obtained from the official institution dealing with this issue. In case they are not available, one can apply the past growth rate)
Population growth rate: 2.2%
Year: 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Male
0 344,273 349,758 355,415 361,294 367,459 373,863 380,459 387,248 394,166 401,053 409,876 418,893 428,109
1 315,173 320,911 326,733 332,677 338,861 345,333 352,026 359,025 366,309 373,704 381,925 390,328 398,915
2 298,725 304,660 310,595 316,570 322,670 329,011 335,658 342,551 349,797 357,316 365,177 373,211 381,421
3 285,919 291,864 297,922 303,933 309,992 316,202 322,639 329,405 336,445 343,829 351,393 359,124 367,025
4 270,572 280,882 286,892 293,012 299,093 305,220 311,508 318,034 324,924 332,080 339,386 346,852 354,483
5 262,724 267,673 277,982 284,033 290,178 296,301 302,477 308,805 315,399 322,344 329,436 336,683 344,090
6 257,242 261,172 266,155 276,449 282,508 288,674 294,808 301,005 307,368 313,982 320,890 327,949 335,164
7 254,545 255,722 259,670 264,694 274,971 281,050 287,227 293,389 299,606 305,996 312,728 319,608 326,639
8 253,281 253,047 254,256 258,225 263,287 273,554 279,637 285,828 292,033 298,271 304,833 311,539 318,393
9 250,537 251,785 251,596 252,834 256,840 261,933 272,176 278,291 284,512 290,725 297,121 303,658 310,338
10 245,404 249,349 250,636 250,472 251,729 255,753 260,870 271,114 277,236 283,482 289,719 296,092 302,606
11 238,678 244,541 248,493 249,793 249,659 250,920 254,962 260,096 270,341 276,481 282,564 288,780 295,133
12 230,007 237,832 243,699 247,655 248,962 248,853 250,142 254,189 259,352 269,595 275,526 281,588 287,783
13 220,076 229,192 237,011 242,872 246,840 248,158 248,067 249,376 253,438 258,625 264,315 270,130 276,073
14 210,540 219,291 228,402 236,212 242,074 246,045 247,376 247,296 248,641 252,728 258,288 263,970 269,778
15 200,749 209,522 218,249 227,346 235,136 240,996 244,972 246,317 246,266 247,625 253,073 258,640 264,330
16 195,237 202,773 211,401 220,462 229,686 238,425 245,497 250,600 253,384 254,093 259,683 265,396 271,235
17 180,218 187,176 195,139 203,503 212,018 220,085 226,613 231,324 233,892 234,548 239,708 244,981 250,371
18 176,614 183,432 191,236 199,433 207,778 215,683 222,081 226,697 229,215 229,857 234,914 240,082 245,363
19-24 923,327 953,857 984,474 1,016,614 1,051,676 1,090,660 1,135,218 1,184,238 1,235,529 1,286,071 1,314,365 1,343,281 1,372,833
25-49 2,127,099 2,188,661 2,254,329 2,324,215 2,397,902 2,474,795 2,554,518 2,637,112 2,723,180 2,813,684 2,875,585 2,938,848 3,003,503
50-64 511,471 520,885 531,247 542,553 554,866 568,216 582,701 598,337 615,137 633,010 646,936 661,169 675,715
65+ 220,119 220,626 221,369 222,458 223,863 225,582 227,612 230,064 233,037 236,560 241,764 247,083 252,519
Total M 8,472,530 8,684,611 8,902,901 9,127,309 9,358,048 9,595,312 9,839,244 10,090,341 10,349,207 10,615,659 10,849,203 11,087,886 11,331,819
Female
0 336,299 341,576 347,038 352,764 358,788 365,010 371,440 378,034 384,702 391,351 399,961 408,760 417,753
1 309,001 314,522 320,165 325,999 332,109 338,500 345,120 352,003 359,090 366,266 374,324 382,559 390,975
2 292,953 298,680 304,405 310,259 316,305 322,616 329,234 336,086 343,226 350,591 358,304 366,187 374,243
3 280,218 286,142 291,989 297,852 303,827 310,006 316,466 323,243 330,256 337,582 345,009 352,599 360,356
4 268,084 275,155 281,190 287,119 293,077 299,171 305,452 312,030 318,936 326,085 333,259 340,591 348,084
5 259,356 265,270 272,383 278,467 284,448 290,473 296,630 302,967 309,622 316,607 323,572 330,691 337,966
6 255,137 258,044 263,996 271,126 277,228 283,241 289,284 295,458 301,842 308,533 315,321 322,258 329,347
7 254,121 253,835 256,781 262,780 269,916 276,044 282,083 288,156 294,356 300,772 307,389 314,152 321,063
8 254,507 252,832 252,594 255,584 261,615 268,765 274,911 280,970 287,084 293,312 299,765 306,360 313,100
9 252,773 253,231 251,593 251,403 254,420 260,493 267,670 273,832 279,921 286,065 292,358 298,790 305,364
10 247,831 251,738 252,223 250,633 250,470 253,527 259,615 266,810 273,005 279,105 285,245 291,521 297,934
11 240,597 247,076 250,998 251,504 249,939 249,790 252,864 258,986 266,184 272,397 278,390 284,514 290,774
12 230,852 239,876 246,348 250,272 250,793 249,260 249,140 252,236 258,387 265,596 271,439 277,411 283,514
13 219,484 230,158 239,173 245,646 249,588 250,119 248,616 248,519 251,634 257,809 263,481 269,277 275,201
14 208,486 218,833 229,486 238,483 244,973 248,920 249,474 247,991 247,933 251,065 256,588 262,233 268,003
15 197,732 207,679 217,993 228,634 237,622 244,109 248,066 248,650 247,183 247,156 252,593 258,150 263,830
16 192,635 199,917 209,338 219,831 230,683 240,865 248,892 254,324 256,704 256,302 261,941 267,704 273,593
17 177,817 184,538 193,235 202,920 212,939 222,336 229,747 234,761 236,958 236,587 241,792 247,111 252,547
18 176,039 182,693 191,303 200,891 210,809 220,113 227,449 232,413 234,588 234,221 239,374 244,640 250,022
19-24 1,005,680 1,007,356 1,014,915 1,030,870 1,056,414 1,091,174 1,135,418 1,187,596 1,245,152 1,303,450 1,332,126 1,361,433 1,391,384
25-49 2,648,516 2,732,988 2,813,726 2,891,397 2,967,051 3,042,178 3,118,084 3,194,864 3,272,925 3,354,274 3,428,068 3,503,486 3,580,562
50-64 600,585 615,414 631,239 648,103 666,081 685,342 705,984 728,201 752,034 777,400 794,503 811,982 829,845
65+ 257,010 260,262 267,897 274,004 280,532 287,446 294,728 302,508 310,909 319,901 326,939 334,131 341,482
Total F 9,165,713 9,377,815 9,600,008 9,826,541 10,059,628 10,299,498 10,546,368 10,800,638 11,062,631 11,332,427 11,581,741 11,836,539 12,096,943
Total M+F 17,638,243 18,062,426 18,502,909 18,953,850 19,417,676 19,894,810 20,385,612 20,890,979 21,411,838 21,948,086 22,430,944 22,924,425 23,428,762

Dropout children
Dropout children
Male 47,825 54,487 47,651 42,984 40,262 38,504 37,342 36,848 35,557 36,167 30,709 32,554 30,167
Female 68,226 70,859 60,715 52,511 46,198 40,097 34,511 29,320 22,958 18,039 6,652 15,948 21,579
Dropout at 1-2 grades
Male 18,710 17,719 15,942 14,205 12,409 10,476 8,480 6,432 4,337 2,193 0 0 0
Female 21,200 18,282 15,201 12,298 9,290 6,142 2,865 -538 -4,070 -7,737 -11,546 -7,845 -3,972
Dropout at 3-5 grades
Male 21,589 20,409 19,450 18,079 16,305 14,053 11,562 8,912 6,083 3,109 0 0 0
Female 39,575 36,383 33,377 29,619 25,475 20,120 14,519 8,569 2,142 -4,780 -12,204 -8,435 -4,314
Dropout at 6-7 grades
Male 7,526 16,359 12,260 10,701 11,548 13,975 17,301 21,503 25,138 30,864 30,709 32,554 30,167
Female 7,451 16,195 12,137 10,594 11,432 13,835 17,128 21,288 24,886 30,556 30,402 32,228 29,866

Population of 16 and older


Total 9,392,367 9,640,578 9,910,848 10,197,254 10,502,299 10,822,900 11,154,543 11,493,039 11,832,644 12,169,958 12,437,697 12,711,327 12,990,976
Male 4,334,085 4,457,410 4,589,195 4,729,238 4,877,789 5,033,446 5,194,240 5,358,372 5,523,374 5,687,823 5,812,955 5,940,840 6,071,539
Female 5,058,282 5,183,168 5,321,653 5,468,016 5,624,510 5,789,454 5,960,303 6,134,667 6,309,270 6,482,135 6,624,742 6,770,486 6,919,437

Graduates from PE reaching age 16+


Male 51,399 57,668 64,909 75,167 88,927 156,863 168,697 180,743 193,125 217,184 233,639 245,216 259,116
Female 32,192 35,806 38,843 45,753 53,920 143,741 153,824 165,560 180,439 203,528 216,210 229,718 245,834
Early childhood care and education (ECCE) (All blue cells should be replaced with the data of your country)
Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Early childhood Education (ECE)

A Preschool enrolments

Gross enrolment ratios 3% 5% 7% 9% 11% 13% 15% 17% 19% 21% 23% 25% 27%
Public 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 11% 13% 15% 17% 19% 21% 23% 24%
Male 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 13% 15% 17% 19% 21% 23% 24%
Female 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 11% 13% 15% 17% 19% 21% 23% 24%
Private 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3%
Male 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3%
Female 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3%

Pre-school age pop (3 to 5) 1,626,873 1,666,986 1,708,358 1,744,416 1,780,615 1,817,373 1,855,172 1,894,484 1,935,582 1,978,527 2,022,055 2,066,540 2,112,004
Male 819,215 840,419 862,796 880,978 899,263 917,723 936,624 956,244 976,768 998,253 1,020,215 1,042,659 1,065,598
Female 807,658 826,567 845,562 863,438 881,352 899,650 918,548 938,240 958,814 980,274 1,001,840 1,023,881 1,046,406

Enrolments 42,300 77,764 115,254 153,852 193,980 235,678 279,040 324,199 371,338 420,591 471,741 524,937 580,246
Public 36,000 67,583 100,975 135,360 171,111 208,261 246,894 287,128 329,125 373,005 418,577 465,973 515,252
Male 19,000 34,876 51,793 69,095 87,092 105,782 125,202 145,413 166,497 188,523 211,437 235,267 260,043
Female 17,000 32,707 49,182 66,265 84,019 102,479 121,692 141,715 162,628 184,482 207,140 230,706 255,208
Private 6,300 10,181 14,279 18,492 22,869 27,416 32,146 37,072 42,214 47,585 53,164 58,964 64,994
Male 3,500 5,439 7,504 9,610 11,799 14,071 16,432 18,889 21,453 24,131 26,917 29,813 32,824
Female 2,800 4,742 6,775 8,882 11,070 13,346 15,714 18,183 20,761 23,454 26,247 29,151 32,170

Gross enrolment ratio by class


Public
Male
Class 1 10% 13 0.7% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9%
Class 2 20% 13 1.3% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 16% 17% 19%
Class 3 50% 13 3.6% 3% 7% 11% 14% 18% 21% 25% 29% 32% 36% 39% 43% 46%
Class 4 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Class 1 10% 13 0.7% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9%
Class 2 20% 13 1.3% 3% 4% 5% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 13% 15% 16% 17% 19%
Class 3 50% 13 3.6% 3% 7% 10% 14% 18% 21% 25% 28% 32% 36% 39% 43% 46%

Projections 12 of 149 ECCE Sheet


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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Class 4 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Private
Male
Class 1 2% 13 0.1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2%
Class 2 3% 13 0.2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3%
Class 3 5% 13 0.3% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5%
Class 4 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Class 1 2% 13 0.1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2%
Class 2 3% 13 0.2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3%
Class 3 5% 13 0.3% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5%
Class 4 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Preschool enrolments by class


Public 36,000 36,000 67,583 100,975 135,360 171,111 208,261 246,894 287,128 329,125 373,005 418,577 465,973 515,252
Male 19,000 19,000 34,876 51,793 69,095 87,092 105,782 125,202 145,413 166,497 188,523 211,437 235,267 260,043
Class 1 2,000 2,000 4,130 6,347 8,649 11,039 13,523 16,106 18,801 21,609 24,544 27,597 30,774 34,077
Class 2 8,000 8,000 11,987 16,005 20,188 24,528 29,032 33,714 38,590 43,686 49,001 54,529 60,276 66,249
Class 3 9,000 9,000 18,759 29,441 40,258 51,525 63,227 75,382 88,022 101,201 114,978 129,310 144,217 159,718
Class 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 17,000 17,000 32,707 49,182 66,265 84,019 102,479 121,692 141,715 162,628 184,482 207,140 230,706 255,208
Class 1 2,000 2,000 4,086 6,256 8,509 10,850 13,285 15,822 18,470 21,230 24,112 27,107 30,222 33,461
Class 2 7,000 7,000 10,865 14,865 19,019 23,333 27,820 32,490 37,364 42,457 47,770 53,279 59,007 64,961
Class 3 8,000 8,000 17,756 28,062 38,738 49,836 61,374 73,380 85,881 98,942 112,600 126,754 141,477 156,786
Class 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private 6,300 6,300 10,181 14,279 18,492 22,869 27,416 32,146 37,072 42,214 47,585 53,164 58,964 64,994
Male 3,500 3,500 5,439 7,504 9,610 11,799 14,071 16,432 18,889 21,453 24,131 26,917 29,813 32,824
Class 1 800 800 1,203 1,622 2,057 2,508 2,977 3,464 3,973 4,503 5,057 5,633 6,232 6,855
Class 2 1,100 1,100 1,702 2,311 2,945 3,603 4,285 4,995 5,734 6,507 7,312 8,150 9,022 9,927
Class 3 1,600 1,600 2,534 3,571 4,608 5,688 6,809 7,972 9,182 10,443 11,762 13,134 14,560 16,042
Class 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 2,800 2,800 4,742 6,775 8,882 11,070 13,346 15,714 18,183 20,761 23,454 26,247 29,151 32,170
Class 1 500 500 912 1,339 1,784 2,245 2,725 3,225 3,747 4,291 4,860 5,450 6,064 6,702
Class 2 1,000 1,000 1,582 2,185 2,812 3,462 4,139 4,843 5,578 6,346 7,147 7,977 8,841 9,739
Class 3 1,300 1,300 2,248 3,251 4,287 5,363 6,482 7,646 8,858 10,124 11,448 12,819 14,246 15,729
Class 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Projections 13 of 149 ECCE Sheet


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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Total 42,300 77,764 115,254 153,852 193,980 235,678 279,040 324,199 371,338 420,591 471,741 524,937 580,246
Male 22,500 40,316 59,296 78,704 98,891 119,853 141,634 164,302 187,949 212,655 238,354 265,080 292,868
Class 1 2,800 5,332 7,969 10,706 13,548 16,500 19,571 22,773 26,112 29,600 33,230 37,006 40,932
Class 2 9,100 13,690 18,316 23,133 28,131 33,317 38,709 44,324 50,192 56,314 62,679 69,297 76,177
Class 3 10,600 21,294 33,012 44,866 57,212 70,036 83,354 97,204 111,645 126,740 142,444 158,777 175,760
Class 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 19,800 37,449 55,957 75,147 95,089 115,825 137,406 159,898 183,389 207,936 233,387 259,857 287,379
Class 1 2,500 4,998 7,595 10,292 13,095 16,010 19,048 22,217 25,521 28,972 32,557 36,286 40,164
Class 2 8,000 12,448 17,050 21,830 26,796 31,959 37,333 42,941 48,802 54,917 61,256 67,848 74,700
Class 3 9,300 20,003 31,312 43,025 55,199 67,856 81,026 94,739 109,065 124,047 139,574 155,723 172,515
Class 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

B. Teaching and other Staff

Public
Some indicators
Pupil/teacher ratio 19 12 8.3% 18 18 18 18 18 18 19 19 19 19 19 19 19
Total sections 1,900 1,900 3,550 5,280 7,046 8,867 10,743 12,678 14,678 16,750 18,899 21,114 23,401 25,763
Pupil/section ratio 20 12 8.8% 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 1,849 1,988 2,081 2,196 2,314 2,438 2,569 2,710 2,859 2,998 3,147 3,299
Total teacher requirements 2,000 2,000 3,737 5,558 7,417 9,333 11,308 13,346 15,451 17,632 19,894 22,225 24,633 27,119
Category 1 500 500 865 1,184 1,443 1,644 1,783 1,858 1,866 1,804 1,668 1,453 1,156 772
Category 2 1,000 1,000 1,880 2,813 3,777 4,782 5,828 6,919 8,058 9,250 10,498 11,797 13,150 14,561
Category 3 500 500 992 1,561 2,197 2,908 3,697 4,568 5,527 6,578 7,728 8,976 10,327 11,786
Category 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ratio Category 1 1.0% 13 -1.8% 25% 23% 21% 19% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 7% 5% 3%
Ratio Category 2 54.0% 13 0.3% 50% 50% 51% 51% 51% 52% 52% 52% 52% 53% 53% 53% 54%
Ratio Category 3 45.0% 13 1.5% 25% 27% 28% 30% 31% 33% 34% 36% 37% 39% 40% 42% 43%
Ratio Category 4 0.0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Needs in new Nb teaching staff 3% <= Attrition rate 0 201 231 257 287 319 352 387 426 467 508 551 598
Nb of Workers & others 200 200 389 602 834 1,089 1,366 1,668 1,996 2,351 2,735 3,149 3,592 4,068
Ratio of Workers & others 15.0% 12 0.4% 10% 10% 11% 11% 12% 12% 13% 13% 13% 14% 14% 15% 15%

Private
Some indicators
Pupil/teacher ratio 19 12 22.0% 16 17 17 17 17 17 18 18 18 18 19 19 19
Total sections 380 380 323 438 551 666 782 898 1,017 1,138 1,260 1,385 1,512 1,641
Pupil/section ratio 20 12 28.5% 17 17 17 17 18 18 18 19 19 19 19 20 20
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 247 261 269 280 291 302 315 329 343 356 370 384

Projections 14 of 149 ECCE Sheet


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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Total teacher requirements 385 385 614 850 1,086 1,326 1,570 1,818 2,071 2,330 2,594 2,864 3,140 3,421
Category 1 50 50 74 95 111 123 132 136 135 131 122 108 89 66
Category 2 300 300 467 631 786 936 1,079 1,216 1,347 1,472 1,592 1,705 1,811 1,910
Category 3 35 35 73 124 189 267 360 467 589 727 881 1,052 1,239 1,445
Category 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ratio Category 1 1.0% 13 -0.9% 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Ratio Category 2 54.0% 13 -1.8% 78% 76% 74% 72% 71% 69% 67% 65% 63% 61% 60% 58% 56%
Ratio Category 3 45.0% 13 2.8% 9% 12% 15% 17% 20% 23% 26% 28% 31% 34% 37% 39% 42%
Ratio Category 4 0.0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
New non-teaching staff requirement 3% <= Attrition rate 0 23 27 31 35 39 44 49 54 59 65 70 76
Nb of Workers & others 30 30 52 76 104 135 169 207 248 293 342 395 452 513
Ratio of Workers & others 15.0% 12 0.6% 8% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 11% 12% 13% 13% 14% 14% 15%

Total
Total sections 2,280 3,873 5,718 7,597 9,533 11,524 13,577 15,695 17,888 20,159 22,499 24,914 27,404
New teacher requirements 0 2,097 2,249 2,350 2,476 2,605 2,740 2,884 3,038 3,202 3,354 3,516 3,683
Total teacher requirements 2,385 4,351 6,408 8,503 10,660 12,878 15,164 17,522 19,961 22,488 25,090 27,773 30,539
Category 1 550 939 1,279 1,554 1,767 1,915 1,994 2,001 1,935 1,790 1,561 1,245 838
Category 2 1,300 2,347 3,444 4,563 5,717 6,907 8,135 9,405 10,722 12,090 13,501 14,961 16,471
Category 3 535 1,065 1,685 2,385 3,175 4,057 5,035 6,115 7,305 8,609 10,027 11,566 13,231
Category 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
New non-teaching staff requirements 0 224 258 288 322 358 396 436 480 526 572 622 674
Nb of Workers & others 230 441 679 939 1,224 1,536 1,875 2,244 2,644 3,078 3,544 4,044 4,581

C. Material and teaching guides

Public
Books or material 68,000 68,000 126,951 189,347 253,562 320,332 389,715 461,860 536,985 615,410 697,355 782,449 870,950 962,966
Class 1 4,000 1 <= number of material 4,000 8,216 12,602 17,158 21,889 26,808 31,929 37,271 42,840 48,656 54,705 60,996 67,538
Class 2 30,000 2 per kid 30,000 45,705 61,739 78,413 95,723 113,705 132,408 151,907 172,285 193,543 215,615 238,565 262,420
Class 3 34,000 2 34,000 73,030 115,005 157,991 202,720 249,202 297,523 347,807 400,286 455,156 512,129 571,389 633,008
Class 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 4,944 4,944 9,494 14,282 19,163 24,195 29,382 34,732 40,260 45,985 51,925 58,047 64,369 70,895
Class 1 444 2 <= number of material 444 909 1,387 1,880 2,388 2,911 3,452 4,011 4,590 5,190 5,809 6,449 7,109
Class 2 1,667 2 1,667 2,527 3,398 4,297 5,221 6,174 7,157 8,174 9,230 10,322 11,449 12,611 13,812
Class 3 2,833 3 2,833 6,058 9,496 12,986 16,586 20,297 24,124 28,074 32,166 36,412 40,789 45,308 49,974
Class 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private

Projections 15 of 149 ECCE Sheet


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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Books or material 11,300 11,300 18,247 25,597 33,143 40,985 49,131 57,602 66,423 75,633 85,254 95,244 105,633 116,432
Class 1 1,300 1 1,300 2,114 2,961 3,840 4,753 5,702 6,690 7,720 8,794 9,916 11,083 12,296 13,557
Class 2 4,200 2 4,200 6,569 8,993 11,513 14,130 16,848 19,676 22,624 25,705 28,918 32,256 35,726 39,333
Class 3 5,800 2 5,800 9,564 13,643 17,789 22,102 26,581 31,236 36,079 41,134 46,420 51,906 57,611 63,542
Class 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 770 770 1,516 2,106 2,695 3,294 3,901 4,519 5,149 5,794 6,454 7,127 7,813 8,514
Class 1 159 2 159 255 352 451 551 653 757 863 971 1,081 1,194 1,309 1,427
Class 2 257 2 257 396 535 676 819 965 1,113 1,264 1,418 1,577 1,738 1,902 2,070
Class 3 354 3 354 865 1,218 1,568 1,923 2,283 2,650 3,023 3,405 3,796 4,195 4,601 5,016
Class 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total
Books or material 79,300 145,198 214,943 286,705 361,317 438,846 519,462 603,408 691,043 782,609 877,693 976,582 1,079,398
Class 1 5,300 10,330 15,564 20,998 26,642 32,509 38,618 44,991 51,634 58,572 65,788 73,292 81,095
Class 2 34,200 52,274 70,732 89,926 109,853 130,553 152,084 174,531 197,989 222,461 247,871 274,291 301,753
Class 3 39,800 82,594 128,648 175,781 224,822 275,783 328,759 383,886 441,420 501,576 564,035 629,000 696,550
Class 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 5,714 11,010 16,387 21,858 27,489 33,283 39,252 45,409 51,779 58,379 65,174 72,182 79,409
Class 1 603 1,164 1,740 2,332 2,939 3,564 4,208 4,874 5,561 6,271 7,004 7,758 8,536
Class 2 1,923 2,924 3,934 4,973 6,041 7,139 8,270 9,438 10,648 11,899 13,186 14,514 15,882
Class 3 3,188 6,923 10,714 14,553 18,509 22,580 26,773 31,097 35,571 40,209 44,984 49,910 54,991
Class 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

D. Classrooms and other rooms

Public
Total classroom requirements 2,100 2,100 3,550 5,280 7,046 8,867 10,743 12,678 14,678 16,750 18,899 21,114 23,401 25,763
Classrooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 1,557 1,888 1,977 2,087 2,199 2,316 2,440 2,574 2,716 2,849 2,989 3,134
Classrooms to build (Accumulated) 0 1,557 3,445 5,422 7,509 9,707 12,023 14,464 17,038 19,754 22,602 25,592 28,726
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 1,557 3,445 5,422 7,509 9,707 12,023 14,464 17,038 19,754 22,602 25,592 28,726
Total other room requirements 105 15% <= Ratio other rooms 105 533 792 1,057 1,330 1,611 1,902 2,202 2,513 2,835 3,167 3,510 3,864
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 444 283 297 313 330 347 366 386 407 427 448 470
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 444 727 1,023 1,336 1,666 2,013 2,380 2,766 3,173 3,600 4,049 4,519
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 444 727 1,023 1,336 1,666 2,013 2,380 2,766 3,173 3,600 4,049 4,519
Private
Total classroom requirements 400 400 323 438 551 666 782 898 1,017 1,138 1,260 1,385 1,512 1,641
Classrooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 10 128 130 135 139 144 149 155 161 166 172 178

Projections 16 of 149 ECCE Sheet


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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Classrooms to build (Accumulated) 0 10 138 268 403 542 686 835 989 1,150 1,317 1,489 1,667
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 10 138 268 403 542 686 835 989 1,150 1,317 1,489 1,667
Total other room requirements 20 15% <= Ratio other rooms 20 48 66 83 100 117 135 153 171 189 208 227 246
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 30 19 20 20 21 22 22 23 24 25 26 27
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 30 49 69 89 110 131 154 177 201 226 252 278
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 30 49 69 89 110 131 154 177 201 226 252 278
Total
Total classroom requirements 2,500 3,873 5,718 7,597 9,533 11,524 13,577 15,695 17,888 20,159 22,499 24,914 27,404
Classrooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 1,567 2,016 2,107 2,221 2,338 2,460 2,589 2,729 2,877 3,015 3,162 3,312
Classrooms to build (Accumulated) 0 1,567 3,583 5,690 7,912 10,249 12,709 15,298 18,027 20,904 23,919 27,080 30,393
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 1,567 3,583 5,690 7,912 10,249 12,709 15,298 18,027 20,904 23,919 27,080 30,393
Total other room requirements 125 581 858 1,140 1,430 1,729 2,037 2,354 2,683 3,024 3,375 3,737 4,111
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 473 302 316 333 351 369 388 409 431 452 474 497
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 473 776 1,092 1,425 1,776 2,145 2,533 2,942 3,374 3,826 4,300 4,797
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 473 776 1,092 1,425 1,776 2,145 2,533 2,942 3,374 3,826 4,300 4,797

EARLY CHILDHOOD CARE PROGRAMMES

A. Projections of care-receivers

Projections of target population


Programme 1 (0 to 2) 1,896,424 1,930,107 1,964,351 1,999,563 2,036,192 2,074,333 2,113,937 2,154,947 2,197,290 2,240,281 2,289,567 2,339,938 2,391,416
Male 958,171 975,329 992,743 1,010,541 1,028,990 1,048,207 1,068,143 1,088,824 1,110,272 1,132,073 1,156,979 1,182,432 1,208,446
Female 938,253 954,778 971,608 989,022 1,007,202 1,026,126 1,045,794 1,066,123 1,087,018 1,108,208 1,132,589 1,157,506 1,182,971
Programme 2 (3 to 5) 1,626,873 1,666,986 1,708,358 1,744,416 1,780,615 1,817,373 1,855,172 1,894,484 1,935,582 1,978,527 2,022,055 2,066,540 2,112,004
Male 819,215 840,419 862,796 880,978 899,263 917,723 936,624 956,244 976,768 998,253 1,020,215 1,042,659 1,065,598
Female 807,658 826,567 845,562 863,438 881,352 899,650 918,548 938,240 958,814 980,274 1,001,840 1,023,881 1,046,406

Proportion of children receiving ECC


Programme 1 (0 to 2) 1% 5% 9% 13% 17% 21% 24% 28% 32% 36% 40% 40% 40%
Public 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 20% 20%
Male 20.0% 10 1.9% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 20% 20%
Female 20.0% 10 1.9% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 20% 20%
Private 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 20% 20%
Male 20.0% 10 1.9% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 20% 20%

Projections 17 of 149 ECCE Sheet


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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Female 20.0% 10 1.9% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 20% 20%
Programme 2 (3 to 5) 1% 8% 15% 22% 29% 36% 42% 49% 56% 63% 70% 70% 70%
Public 1% 4% 6% 9% 12% 15% 18% 21% 24% 27% 30% 30% 30%
Male 30.0% 10 2.9% 1% 4% 6% 9% 12% 15% 18% 21% 24% 27% 30% 30% 30%
Female 30.0% 10 2.9% 1% 4% 6% 9% 12% 15% 18% 21% 24% 27% 30% 30% 30%
Private 1% 5% 8% 12% 16% 20% 24% 28% 32% 36% 40% 40% 40%
Male 40.0% 10 3.9% 1% 5% 8% 12% 16% 20% 24% 28% 32% 36% 40% 40% 40%
Female 40.0% 10 3.9% 1% 5% 8% 12% 16% 20% 24% 28% 32% 36% 40% 40% 40%

Projections of children receiving ECC


Programme 1 (0 to 2) 20,000 20,000 95,524 173,721 254,709 338,675 425,805 516,262 610,203 707,767 808,864 915,827 935,975 956,567
Public 10,000 10,000 47,762 86,861 127,354 169,338 212,902 258,131 305,102 353,884 404,432 457,913 467,988 478,283
Male 5,000 5,000 24,087 43,854 64,324 85,541 107,556 130,407 154,140 178,802 204,364 231,396 236,486 241,689
Female 5,000 5,000 23,675 43,007 63,031 83,797 105,347 127,725 150,962 175,081 200,068 226,518 231,501 236,594
Private 10,000 10,000 47,762 86,861 127,354 169,338 212,902 258,131 305,102 353,884 404,432 457,913 467,988 478,283
Male 5,000 5,000 24,087 43,854 64,324 85,541 107,556 130,407 154,140 178,802 204,364 231,396 236,486 241,689
Female 5,000 5,000 23,675 43,007 63,031 83,797 105,347 127,725 150,962 175,081 200,068 226,518 231,501 236,594
Programme 2 (3 to 5) 20,000 20,000 135,133 255,971 381,339 511,706 647,251 788,295 935,284 1,088,685 1,248,904 1,415,438 1,446,578 1,478,403
Public 10,000 10,000 59,231 110,902 164,503 220,241 278,191 338,492 401,335 466,919 535,418 606,616 619,962 633,601
Male 5,000 5,000 29,829 55,981 83,052 111,205 140,459 170,879 202,562 235,617 270,138 306,064 312,798 319,679
Female 5,000 5,000 29,402 54,921 81,451 109,036 137,732 167,613 198,773 231,303 265,281 300,552 307,164 313,922
Private 10,000 10,000 75,901 145,069 216,836 291,465 369,060 449,803 533,949 621,766 713,486 808,822 826,616 844,801
Male 5,000 5,000 38,233 73,236 109,481 147,175 186,345 227,076 269,499 313,758 359,980 408,086 417,064 426,239
Female 5,000 5,000 37,668 71,833 107,354 144,290 182,715 222,726 264,450 308,008 353,506 400,736 409,552 418,562
Total 40,000 230,657 429,692 636,047 850,381 1,073,056 1,304,557 1,545,487 1,796,452 2,057,768 2,331,265 2,382,553 2,434,969
Public 20,000 106,993 197,763 291,858 389,578 491,094 596,623 706,437 820,803 939,850 1,064,530 1,087,949 1,111,884
Male 10,000 53,916 99,835 147,376 196,746 248,015 301,286 356,702 414,419 474,501 537,460 549,284 561,368
Female 10,000 53,077 97,928 144,482 192,833 243,079 295,338 349,735 406,384 465,349 527,070 538,665 550,516
Private 20,000 123,663 231,930 344,190 460,803 581,962 707,934 839,050 975,649 1,117,918 1,266,735 1,294,603 1,323,085
Male 10,000 62,320 117,091 173,805 232,716 293,901 357,483 423,639 492,560 564,344 639,482 653,550 667,928
Female 10,000 61,343 114,839 170,385 228,087 288,061 350,451 415,411 483,089 553,574 627,254 641,053 655,156

B. Caregivers and other staff

Programme 1 (0 to 2)
Public
Children/caregiver ratio 30 10 -144.4% 44 43 42 40 39 37 36 34 33 31 30 30 30
New caregivers required 3% <= Attrition rate 0 919 1,042 1,180 1,336 1,512 1,712 1,938 2,196 2,488 2,860 804 821
Total caregivers required 225 225 1,111 2,090 3,175 4,379 5,720 7,215 8,886 10,760 12,862 15,264 15,600 15,943

Projections 18 of 149 ECCE Sheet


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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Category 1 150 150 683 1,177 1,625 2,015 2,336 2,573 2,710 2,726 2,594 2,290 2,340 2,391
Category 2 50 50 250 476 732 1,022 1,351 1,724 2,148 2,630 3,180 3,816 3,900 3,986
Category 3 25 25 109 437 818 1,343 2,034 2,918 4,029 5,404 7,088 9,158 9,360 9,566
Ratio Category 1 15.0% 10 -5.2% 67% 62% 56% 51% 46% 41% 36% 31% 25% 20% 15% 15% 15%
Ratio Category 2 25.0% 10 0.3% 22% 23% 23% 23% 23% 24% 24% 24% 24% 25% 25% 25% 25%
Ratio Category 3 60.0% 10 4.9% 11% 16% 21% 26% 31% 36% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 60% 60%
Private
Children/caregiver ratio 40 10 -1138.5% 154 142 131 120 108 97 86 74 63 51 40 40 40
New caregivers required 3% <= Attrition rate 0 280 347 433 546 699 912 1,220 1,693 2,469 3,921 603 616
Total caregivers required 65 65 335 663 1,064 1,563 2,197 3,018 4,114 5,638 7,871 11,448 11,700 11,957
Category 1 15 15 75 142 220 310 418 550 717 937 1,244 1,717 1,755 1,794
Category 2 20 20 101 196 309 445 613 824 1,100 1,475 2,013 2,862 2,925 2,989
Category 3 30 30 35 70 111 160 222 300 400 536 729 1,030 1,053 1,076
Ratio Category 1 15.0% 10 -0.8% 23% 22% 21% 21% 20% 19% 18% 17% 17% 16% 15% 15% 15%
Ratio Category 2 25.0% 10 -0.6% 31% 30% 30% 29% 28% 28% 27% 27% 26% 26% 25% 25% 25%
Ratio Category 3 60.0% 10 1.4% 46% 48% 49% 50% 52% 53% 54% 56% 57% 59% 60% 60% 60%
Programme 2 (3 to 5)
Public
Children/caregiver ratio 100 10 555.6% 44 50 56 61 67 72 78 83 89 94 100 100 100
New caregivers required 3% <= Attrition rate 0 995 871 776 711 664 631 608 594 586 579 319 326
Total caregivers required 225 225 1,185 1,996 2,692 3,304 3,852 4,352 4,816 5,253 5,669 6,066 6,200 6,336
Category 1 150 150 729 1,125 1,377 1,520 1,573 1,552 1,469 1,331 1,143 910 930 950
Category 2 50 50 267 455 621 771 909 1,040 1,164 1,284 1,402 1,517 1,550 1,584
Category 3 25 25 117 235 355 466 559 628 666 668 630 546 558 570
Ratio Category 1 15.0% 10 -5.2% 67% 62% 56% 51% 46% 41% 36% 31% 25% 20% 15% 15% 15%
Ratio Category 2 25.0% 10 0.3% 22% 23% 23% 23% 23% 24% 24% 24% 24% 25% 25% 25% 25%
Ratio Category 3 60.0% 10 4.9% 11% 16% 21% 26% 31% 36% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 60% 60%
Private
Children/caregiver ratio 100 10 -538.5% 154 148 143 138 132 127 122 116 111 105 100 100 100
New caregivers required 3% <= Attrition rate 0 462 533 608 694 792 904 1,034 1,185 1,360 1,561 426 435
Total caregivers required 65 65 511 1,014 1,575 2,203 2,908 3,701 4,597 5,613 6,770 8,088 8,266 8,448
Category 1 15 15 114 218 325 437 554 675 801 933 1,070 1,213 1,240 1,267
Category 2 20 20 154 300 457 627 811 1,011 1,229 1,468 1,732 2,022 2,067 2,112
Category 3 30 30 54 106 164 226 294 367 447 534 627 728 744 760
Ratio Category 1 15.0% 10 -0.8% 23% 22% 21% 21% 20% 19% 18% 17% 17% 16% 15% 15% 15%
Ratio Category 2 25.0% 10 -0.6% 31% 30% 30% 29% 28% 28% 27% 27% 26% 26% 25% 25% 25%
Ratio Category 3 60.0% 10 1.4% 46% 48% 49% 50% 52% 53% 54% 56% 57% 59% 60% 60% 60%
Cumulative Total
Public

Projections 19 of 149 ECCE Sheet


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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
New caregivers required 0 1,914 1,914 1,956 2,047 2,176 2,342 2,547 2,791 3,074 3,439 1,123 1,148
Total caregivers required 450 2,295 4,086 5,867 7,683 9,572 11,567 13,702 16,013 18,531 21,330 21,799 22,279
Category 1 300 1,412 2,302 3,002 3,534 3,908 4,126 4,179 4,057 3,737 3,199 3,270 3,342
Category 2 100 516 931 1,353 1,793 2,260 2,763 3,311 3,914 4,581 5,332 5,450 5,570
Category 3 50 226 672 1,174 1,809 2,593 3,546 4,694 6,072 7,718 9,704 9,918 10,136
Private
New caregivers required 0 742 880 1,041 1,241 1,491 1,816 2,254 2,877 3,829 5,481 1,029 1,051
Total caregivers required 130 847 1,677 2,639 3,766 5,104 6,719 8,711 11,251 14,641 19,536 19,966 20,405
Category 1 30 189 360 545 747 972 1,225 1,518 1,869 2,314 2,930 2,995 3,061
Category 2 40 256 497 766 1,072 1,423 1,835 2,329 2,943 3,745 4,884 4,991 5,101
Category 3 60 90 176 274 386 516 667 848 1,070 1,357 1,758 1,797 1,836
Total
New caregivers required 0 2,656 2,794 2,998 3,287 3,667 4,158 4,801 5,668 6,903 8,920 2,152 2,199
Total caregivers required 580 3,142 5,763 8,506 11,449 14,676 18,286 22,414 27,264 33,172 40,866 41,765 42,684
Category 1 330 1,600 2,662 3,547 4,282 4,880 5,350 5,697 5,926 6,051 6,130 6,265 6,403
Category 2 140 772 1,427 2,119 2,865 3,683 4,598 5,640 6,857 8,326 10,216 10,441 10,671
Category 3 110 315 848 1,448 2,195 3,109 4,213 5,542 7,142 9,075 11,462 11,715 11,972

C. Material/guides

Programme 1 (0 to 2) 20,580 98,416 179,227 263,187 350,561 441,637 536,728 636,205 740,563 850,329 969,250 990,574 1,012,366
Public 10,450 49,983 91,041 133,705 178,096 224,342 272,561 322,874 375,404 430,155 488,441 499,187 510,169
Care-receivers 1 10,000 47,762 86,861 127,354 169,338 212,902 258,131 305,102 353,884 404,432 457,913 467,988 478,283
Care-givers 2 450 2,221 4,180 6,350 8,759 11,440 14,430 17,773 21,520 25,724 30,528 31,199 31,886
Private 10,130 48,433 88,186 129,482 172,465 217,296 264,167 313,330 365,159 420,173 480,809 491,387 502,197
Care-receivers 1 10,000 47,762 86,861 127,354 169,338 212,902 258,131 305,102 353,884 404,432 457,913 467,988 478,283
Care-givers 2 130 671 1,325 2,128 3,127 4,393 6,035 8,229 11,276 15,741 22,896 23,399 23,914
Programme 2 (3 to 5) 20,580 138,524 261,991 389,872 522,719 660,771 804,401 954,110 1,110,417 1,273,783 1,443,747 1,475,509 1,507,971
Public 10,450 61,601 114,894 169,887 226,848 285,895 347,196 410,967 477,425 546,757 618,749 632,361 646,273
Care-receivers 1 10,000 59,231 110,902 164,503 220,241 278,191 338,492 401,335 466,919 535,418 606,616 619,962 633,601
Care-givers 2 450 2,369 3,992 5,384 6,607 7,704 8,704 9,632 10,506 11,338 12,132 12,399 12,672
Private 10,130 76,924 147,097 219,985 295,871 374,875 457,204 543,143 632,992 727,026 824,998 843,148 861,697
Care-receivers 1 10,000 75,901 145,069 216,836 291,465 369,060 449,803 533,949 621,766 713,486 808,822 826,616 844,801
Care-givers 2 130 1,023 2,028 3,150 4,406 5,815 7,402 9,194 11,226 13,541 16,176 16,532 16,896
Total 41,160 236,940 441,218 653,059 873,280 1,102,408 1,341,128 1,590,315 1,850,980 2,124,112 2,412,997 2,466,083 2,520,337
Public 20,900 111,584 205,935 303,591 404,944 510,237 619,757 733,842 852,828 976,912 1,107,190 1,131,548 1,156,442
Care-receivers 20,000 106,993 197,763 291,858 389,578 491,094 596,623 706,437 820,803 939,850 1,064,530 1,087,949 1,111,884
Care-givers 900 4,591 8,173 11,734 15,366 19,143 23,134 27,405 32,026 37,062 42,660 43,598 44,558
Private 20,260 125,356 235,283 349,468 468,336 592,171 721,371 856,473 998,151 1,147,200 1,305,807 1,334,535 1,363,895

Projections 20 of 149 ECCE Sheet


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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Care-receivers 20,000 123,663 231,930 344,190 460,803 581,962 707,934 839,050 975,649 1,117,918 1,266,735 1,294,603 1,323,085
Care-givers 260 1,693 3,353 5,278 7,533 10,209 13,437 17,423 22,502 29,282 39,072 39,932 40,810

D. Classrooms and other rooms

Programme 1 (0 to 2) 1,667 7,960 14,477 21,226 28,223 35,484 43,022 50,850 58,981 67,405 76,319 77,998 79,714
Public 3% <= Amortization rate 833 3,980 7,238 10,613 14,111 17,742 21,511 25,425 29,490 33,703 38,159 38,999 39,857
Rooms 1 20 <= Kids per room 500 2,388 4,343 6,368 8,467 10,645 12,907 15,255 17,694 20,222 22,896 23,399 23,914
Rooms 2 30 333 1,592 2,895 4,245 5,645 7,097 8,604 10,170 11,796 13,481 15,264 15,600 15,943
New rooms 0 3,266 3,475 3,693 3,922 4,163 4,414 4,677 4,950 5,223 5,602 2,009 2,054
Private 3% <= Amortization rate 833 3,980 7,238 10,613 14,111 17,742 21,511 25,425 29,490 33,703 38,159 38,999 39,857
Rooms 1 20 500 2,388 4,343 6,368 8,467 10,645 12,907 15,255 17,694 20,222 22,896 23,399 23,914
Rooms 2 30 333 1,592 2,895 4,245 5,645 7,097 8,604 10,170 11,796 13,481 15,264 15,600 15,943
New rooms 0 3,266 3,475 3,693 3,922 4,163 4,414 4,677 4,950 5,223 5,602 2,009 2,054
Programme 2 (3 to 5) 300 2,056 3,900 5,813 7,802 9,869 12,021 14,263 16,603 19,047 21,587 22,062 22,547
Public 3% <= Amortization rate 133 791 1,482 2,199 2,944 3,718 4,524 5,364 6,240 7,155 8,107 8,285 8,467
Rooms 1 100 100 592 1,109 1,645 2,202 2,782 3,385 4,013 4,669 5,354 6,066 6,200 6,336
Rooms 2 150 33 199 373 554 741 936 1,139 1,350 1,571 1,801 2,040 2,085 2,131
New rooms 0 682 736 782 833 886 942 1,001 1,063 1,130 1,195 427 436
Private 3% <= Amortization rate 167 1,265 2,418 3,614 4,858 6,151 7,497 8,899 10,363 11,891 13,480 13,777 14,080
Rooms 1 100 100 759 1,451 2,168 2,915 3,691 4,498 5,339 6,218 7,135 8,088 8,266 8,448
Rooms 2 150 67 506 967 1,446 1,943 2,460 2,999 3,560 4,145 4,757 5,392 5,511 5,632
New rooms 0 1,136 1,225 1,305 1,390 1,478 1,571 1,669 1,774 1,885 1,993 710 725
Total 1,967 10,017 18,377 27,038 36,024 45,353 55,043 65,113 75,583 86,452 97,906 100,060 102,261
Public 967 4,771 8,721 12,812 17,055 21,460 26,035 30,789 35,730 40,858 46,266 47,284 48,324
Rooms 1 600 2,980 5,452 8,013 10,669 13,427 16,291 19,268 22,363 25,576 28,962 29,599 30,250
Rooms 2 367 1,791 3,269 4,799 6,386 8,033 9,744 11,520 13,367 15,282 17,304 17,685 18,074
New rooms 0 3,805 3,949 4,091 4,244 4,405 4,575 4,754 4,941 5,127 5,408 1,018 1,040
Private 1,000 5,245 9,656 14,227 18,969 23,893 29,008 34,324 39,853 45,594 51,640 52,776 53,937
Rooms 1 600 3,147 5,794 8,536 11,382 14,336 17,405 20,595 23,912 27,356 30,984 31,666 32,362
Rooms 2 400 2,098 3,862 5,691 7,588 9,557 11,603 13,730 15,941 18,238 20,656 21,110 21,575
New rooms 0 4,245 4,411 4,571 4,742 4,924 5,115 5,317 5,529 5,741 6,046 1,136 1,161

Projections 21 of 149 ECCE Sheet


'Non-formal' education (youth and adults, including women) (All blue cells should be replaced with the data of your country)
Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

LITERACY

A. Enrolments

Literacy rates 43% 43% 42% 42% 42% 43% 44% 47% 49% 52% 56% 59% 64%
Male 60% 59% 58% 57% 57% 58% 59% 60% 62% 64% 67% 70% 73%
Female 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 30% 32% 35% 38% 41% 45% 50% 55%

Literate population 4,044,746 4,044,746 4,098,470 4,170,748 4,265,200 4,392,772 4,613,723 4,958,351 5,353,000 5,798,148 6,318,732 6,911,017 7,561,407 8,271,790
Male 2,587,449 Death rate=> 1.6% 2,587,449 2,613,255 2,648,659 2,696,801 2,762,344 2,901,091 3,057,888 3,235,283 3,431,222 3,660,372 3,910,179 4,177,334 4,461,080
Female 1,457,297 1.6% 1,457,297 1,485,215 1,522,088 1,568,399 1,630,428 1,712,632 1,900,463 2,117,717 2,366,926 2,658,360 3,000,838 3,384,072 3,810,710
Does a new policy (e.g. functional literacy) exist?
Adults to enroll at literacy centres 0 <= If yes=1; No=0 54,252 65,140 78,224 93,948 112,848 135,568 162,883 195,726 235,221 282,720 339,852 408,580 491,265
2007 <= if yes, specify the start year
Male 16,823 18.0% <= % increase of new 16,823 19,851 23,424 27,641 32,616 38,487 45,415 53,589 63,235 74,618 88,049 103,898 122,599
Grade 1 16,823 16,823 19,851 23,424 27,641 32,616 38,487 45,415 53,589 63,235 74,618 88,049 103,898 122,599
Grade 2 30% <= Cont. to grade 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 3 3.0% <= Attrition rate of lea 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Success rate 35% 50% 10 3.6% 35% 36% 38% 39% 40% 42% 43% 45% 47% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Female 37,429 21.0% <= % increase of new 37,429 45,289 54,800 66,308 80,232 97,081 117,468 142,137 171,985 208,102 251,804 304,682 368,666
Grade 1 37,429 37,429 45,289 54,800 66,308 80,232 97,081 117,468 142,137 171,985 208,102 251,804 304,682 368,666
Grade 2 30% <= Cont. to grade 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 3 3.0% <= Attrition rate of learners 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Success rate 35% 60% 10 5.5% 35% 37% 39% 41% 43% 46% 48% 51% 54% 57% 60% 60% 60%

B. Teaching and other Staff

Some indicators
Student/teacher ratio 60 11 12.2% 17 19 21 24 27 30 34 38 43 48 53 60 60
Total sections 3,000 3,000 3,230 3,478 3,746 4,035 4,346 4,682 5,045 5,437 5,860 6,317 6,810 8,188
Student/section ratio 60 11 11.5% 18 20 22 25 28 31 35 39 43 48 54 60 60
Needs in new teaching posts 3% <= Attrition rate 0 328 352 377 404 433 465 498 534 573 615 660 1,624
Total teacher requirements 3,201 3,201 3,426 3,668 3,927 4,205 4,503 4,823 5,166 5,534 5,930 6,354 6,810 8,188
Category 1 500 500 433 375 325 282 244 212 184 159 138 120 104 101
Category 2 1,200 1,200 1,321 1,454 1,601 1,764 1,942 2,140 2,357 2,597 2,862 3,154 3,476 4,299
Category 3 1,501 1,501 1,602 1,709 1,824 1,947 2,078 2,219 2,369 2,530 2,702 2,887 3,084 3,696

Projections 22 of 149 NFE Sheet


4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Ratio Category 1 1.0% 13 -19.1% 16% 13% 10% 8% 7% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1%
Ratio Category 2 54.0% 13 2.8% 37% 39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% 46% 47% 48% 50% 51% 53%
Ratio Category 3 45.0% 13 -0.3% 47% 47% 47% 46% 46% 46% 46% 46% 46% 46% 45% 45% 45%
New other staff requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 82 96 113 132 155 182 213 250 293 343 403 807
Total other staff requirements 400 400 468 548 642 752 880 1,031 1,208 1,415 1,658 1,943 2,277 2,995
Total non-teaching staff req 200 200 234 274 321 376 440 516 604 708 829 972 1,139 1,497
Total supervisor requirement 200 200 234 274 321 376 440 516 604 708 829 972 1,139 1,497
Ratio of Non teaching staff 20.0% 13 9.4% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 17% 18%
Ratio of Supervisors 20.0% 13 9.4% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 17% 18%

C. Material and teaching guides

If One manual per learner, one guide per teacher


Learning materials 54,252 65,140 78,224 93,948 112,848 135,568 162,883 195,726 235,221 282,720 339,852 408,580 491,265
Grade 1 1 <= Books per each 54,252 65,140 78,224 93,948 112,848 135,568 162,883 195,726 235,221 282,720 339,852 408,580 491,265
Grade 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching materials 9,603 10,278 11,003 11,780 12,614 13,508 14,468 15,498 16,603 17,789 19,062 20,429 24,563
Grade 1 3 9,603 10,278 11,003 11,780 12,614 13,508 14,468 15,498 16,603 17,789 19,062 20,429 24,563
Grade 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Applying new textbook policy


Learning materials 6,000 6,000 63,140 13,084 17,724 82,040 35,804 45,039 114,883 75,298 92,538 172,016 144,026 175,223
Grade 1 2,000 3 <= Life span 2,000 63,140 13,084 17,724 82,040 35,804 45,039 114,883 75,298 92,538 172,016 144,026 175,223
Grade 2 2,000 3 2,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 3 2,000 3 2,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching materials 900 900 9,978 1,024 10,756 1,858 11,650 2,818 12,680 3,923 13,866 5,196 15,233 9,330
Grade 1 300 2 300 9,978 1,024 10,756 1,858 11,650 2,818 12,680 3,923 13,866 5,196 15,233 9,330
Grade 2 300 2 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 3 300 2 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

D. Classrooms and other rooms

Classroom utilization rate 95% 13 3.6% 60% 62% 64% 67% 69% 72% 74% 77% 80% 82% 85% 89% 92%
Total classroom requirements 5,000 5,000 5,196 5,401 5,615 5,838 6,070 6,313 6,566 6,830 7,105 7,393 7,693 8,929
Classrooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 352 367 382 398 415 432 450 469 489 509 531 1,503
Classrooms to build (Accumulated) 0 352 719 1,101 1,499 1,914 2,346 2,796 3,265 3,753 4,263 4,794 6,297
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 352 719 1,101 1,499 1,914 2,346 2,796 3,265 3,753 4,263 4,794 6,297
Total other room requirements 500 10% <= Ratio other rooms 500 535 556 578 601 625 650 676 703 732 761 792 920

Projections 23 of 149 NFE Sheet


4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 51 38 39 41 43 44 46 48 50 52 55 155
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 51 89 128 169 212 257 303 351 402 454 509 664
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 51 89 128 169 212 257 303 351 402 454 509 664

SCHOOL REINTEGRATION PROGRAMMES FOR DROPOUTS AND YOUTHS


1 (This programme exists: 1 for Yes; 0 for No)
A. Enrolments 2003 <= Start year of this programme 2003
Percentage of out-of-school children going to Reintegration NFE
Dropout at 1-2 grades
Male 90% 7 12.9% 0% 13% 26% 39% 51% 64% 77% 90% 90% 90% 90% 90% 90%
Female 90% 7 12.9% 0% 13% 26% 39% 51% 64% 77% 90% 90% 90% 90% 90% 90%
Dropout at 3-5 grades
Male 100% 7 14.3% 0% 14% 29% 43% 57% 71% 86% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Female 100% 7 14.3% 0% 14% 29% 43% 57% 71% 86% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Dropout at 6-7 grades
Male 100% 7 14.3% 0% 14% 29% 43% 57% 71% 86% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Female 100% 7 14.3% 0% 14% 29% 43% 57% 71% 86% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Enrolments at Reintegration NFE programmes


Male 0 7,531 13,159 17,813 22,298 26,755 31,281 36,204 35,124 35,947 30,709 32,554 30,167
Grade 1 0 2,278 4,099 5,479 6,382 6,735 6,542 5,789 3,903 1,974 0 0 0
Grade 2 0 2,916 5,557 7,748 9,317 10,038 9,910 8,912 6,083 3,109 0 0 0
Grade 3 0 2,337 3,503 4,586 6,599 9,982 14,829 21,503 25,138 30,864 30,709 32,554 30,167
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 0 9,862 16,913 21,978 25,868 28,202 29,335 29,373 23,365 18,813 7,807 16,733 21,976
Grade 1 0 2,351 3,909 4,744 4,778 3,948 2,210 -484 -3,663 -6,963 -10,391 -7,060 -3,575
Grade 2 0 5,198 9,536 12,694 14,557 14,371 12,445 8,569 2,142 -4,780 -12,204 -8,435 -4,314
Grade 3 0 2,314 3,468 4,540 6,533 9,882 14,681 21,288 24,886 30,556 30,402 32,228 29,866
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 0 17,392 30,072 39,791 48,166 54,957 60,616 65,578 58,489 54,760 38,516 49,287 52,144
Grade 1 0 4,629 8,008 10,223 11,160 10,683 8,751 5,304 240 -4,989 -10,391 -7,060 -3,575
Grade 2 0 8,113 15,093 20,442 23,875 24,409 22,355 17,482 8,225 -1,671 -12,204 -8,435 -4,314
Grade 3 0 4,650 6,971 9,126 13,131 19,864 29,510 42,792 50,024 61,420 61,111 64,782 60,033
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

B. Personnel
Some indicators
Learner/teacher ratio 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19
Total sections 0 870 1,504 1,990 2,408 2,748 3,031 3,279 2,924 2,738 1,926 2,464 2,607
Learner/section ratio 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

Projections 24 of 149 NFE Sheet


4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 915 695 559 504 433 385 357 0 0 0 628 228
Total teacher requirements 0 915 1,583 2,094 2,535 2,892 3,190 3,451 3,078 2,882 2,027 2,594 2,744
Category 1 0 9 16 21 25 29 32 35 31 29 20 26 27
Category 2 0 494 855 1,131 1,369 1,562 1,723 1,864 1,662 1,556 1,095 1,401 1,482
Category 3 0 412 712 942 1,141 1,302 1,436 1,553 1,385 1,297 912 1,167 1,235
Ratio of Category 1 1.0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Ratio of Category 2 54.0% 0% 54% 54% 54% 54% 54% 54% 54% 54% 54% 54% 54% 54%
Ratio of Category 3 45.0% 0% 45% 45% 45% 45% 45% 45% 45% 45% 45% 45% 45% 45%
New supervisors required 3% <= Attrition rate 0 94 71 57 52 44 39 36 0 0 0 64 23
Total supervisor requirements 0 92 158 209 254 289 319 345 308 288 203 259 274
Ratio of supervisors 10.0% 0% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%
New other staff requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 189 143 115 103 89 79 73 0 0 0 129 47
Other staff requirements 0 183 317 419 507 578 638 690 616 576 405 519 549
Ratio 20.0% 0% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%

C. Teaching and learning materials

C1. If One manual per learner, one guide per teacher


Learning materials 0 17,392 30,072 39,791 48,166 54,957 60,616 65,578 58,489 54,760 38,516 49,287 52,144
Grade 1 1 <= Book per person 0 4,629 8,008 10,223 11,160 10,683 8,751 5,304 240 -4,989 -10,391 -7,060 -3,575
Grade 2 1 0 8,113 15,093 20,442 23,875 24,409 22,355 17,482 8,225 -1,671 -12,204 -8,435 -4,314
Grade 3 1 0 4,650 6,971 9,126 13,131 19,864 29,510 42,792 50,024 61,420 61,111 64,782 60,033
Grade 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching materials 0 1,831 3,165 4,188 5,070 5,785 6,381 6,903 6,157 5,764 4,054 5,188 5,489
Grade 1 2 0 487 843 1,076 1,175 1,125 921 558 25 -525 -1,094 -743 -376
Grade 2 2 0 854 1,589 2,152 2,513 2,569 2,353 1,840 866 -176 -1,285 -888 -454
Grade 3 2 0 490 734 961 1,382 2,091 3,106 4,504 5,266 6,465 6,433 6,819 6,319
Grade 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

C2. Applying new textbook policy


Learning materials 0 17,392 12,680 9,719 25,767 19,471 15,378 30,729 16,285 23,197 21,628 27,056 26,054
Grade 1 3 <= Life span 0 4,629 3,379 2,214 5,566 2,902 283 2,119 0 0 0 3,331 3,485
Grade 2 3 0 8,113 6,980 5,348 11,546 7,515 3,294 6,673 0 0 0 3,769 4,121
Grade 3 3 0 4,650 2,320 2,156 8,656 9,053 11,801 21,937 16,285 23,197 21,628 19,957 18,448
Grade 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching materials 0 1,831 1,335 1,023 2,712 2,050 1,619 3,235 1,714 2,442 2,277 2,848 2,743
Grade 1 3 0 487 356 233 586 306 30 223 0 0 0 351 367
Grade 2 3 0 854 735 563 1,215 791 347 702 0 0 0 397 434
Grade 3 3 0 490 244 227 911 953 1,242 2,309 1,714 2,442 2,277 2,101 1,942
Grade 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Projections 25 of 149 NFE Sheet


4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
D. Classrooms and facilities

New classrooms 0 966 704 540 465 377 314 276 0 0 0 598 159
Total classroom requirements 90% <= Room utilization ra 0 966 1,671 2,211 2,676 3,053 3,368 3,643 3,249 3,042 2,140 2,738 2,897
New other rooms 0 6,442 0 90 78 63 52 46 0 0 0 100 26
Total other room requirements 15% <= Room/classroom ra 0 6,442 278 368 446 509 561 607 542 507 357 456 483

NFE: SPECIFIC NON FORMAL EDUCATION PROGRAMMES

A. Projections of NFE-receivers

Projections of target population


Programme 1 (e.g. Alternative Non Formal Basic Education) 2,355,627 2,455,204 2,561,966 2,666,233 2,760,146 2,835,854 2,886,850 2,918,268 2,939,836 2,960,616 3,025,749 3,092,316 3,160,347
Male 1,183,434 1,231,386 1,281,438 1,329,828 1,373,532 1,409,392 1,434,606 1,451,610 1,464,836 1,477,476 1,509,980 1,543,200 1,577,150
Female 1,172,193 1,223,818 1,280,528 1,336,405 1,386,614 1,426,462 1,452,244 1,466,658 1,475,000 1,483,140 1,515,769 1,549,116 1,583,196
Programme 2 (19 to 24) 1,929,007 1,961,213 1,999,389 2,047,483 2,108,091 2,181,833 2,270,637 2,371,834 2,480,682 2,589,522 2,646,491 2,704,714 2,764,218
Male 923,327 953,857 984,474 1,016,614 1,051,676 1,090,660 1,135,218 1,184,238 1,235,529 1,286,071 1,314,365 1,343,281 1,372,833
Female 1,005,680 1,007,356 1,014,915 1,030,870 1,056,414 1,091,174 1,135,418 1,187,596 1,245,152 1,303,450 1,332,126 1,361,433 1,391,384
Programme 3 (25 to 49) 4,775,615 4,921,649 5,068,055 5,215,612 5,364,953 5,516,973 5,672,602 5,831,976 5,996,105 6,167,958 6,303,653 6,442,333 6,584,065
Male 2,127,099 2,188,661 2,254,329 2,324,215 2,397,902 2,474,795 2,554,518 2,637,112 2,723,180 2,813,684 2,875,585 2,938,848 3,003,503
Female 2,648,516 2,732,988 2,813,726 2,891,397 2,967,051 3,042,178 3,118,084 3,194,864 3,272,925 3,354,274 3,428,068 3,503,486 3,580,562
Programme 4 (Parental education in proportion to 0 to 2) 1,896,424 1,930,107 1,964,351 1,999,563 2,036,192 2,074,333 2,113,937 2,154,947 2,197,290 2,240,281 2,289,567 2,339,938 2,391,416
Male 958,171 975,329 992,743 1,010,541 1,028,990 1,048,207 1,068,143 1,088,824 1,110,272 1,132,073 1,156,979 1,182,432 1,208,446
Female 938,253 954,778 971,608 989,022 1,007,202 1,026,126 1,045,794 1,066,123 1,087,018 1,108,208 1,132,589 1,157,506 1,182,971

Proportions of adults receiving NFE


Programme 1 (e.g. Alternative Non Formal Basic Education) 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 9% 10%
Public 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Male 5% 13 4.6% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5%
Female 6% 13 5.4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6%
Private 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5%
Male 5% 13 13.8% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4%
Female 6% 13 14.7% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5%
Programme 2 (19 to 24) 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10%
Public 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5%
Male 5% 13 6.1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5%
Female 6% 13 6.5% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6%
Private 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5%
Male 5% 13 6.1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5%
Female 6% 13 6.5% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6%
Programme 3 (25 to 49) 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4%

Projections 26 of 149 NFE Sheet


4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Public 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2%
Male 2% 13 17.7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Female 3% 13 22.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2%
Private 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2%
Male 2% 13 17.7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Female 3% 13 22.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2%
Programme 4 (Parental education in proportion to 0 to 2) 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 10%
Public 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6%
Male 5% 13 12.8% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4%
Female 10% 13 13.2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9%
Private 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 5%
Male 2% 13 19.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Female 10% 13 35.1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7%

Projections of adults receiving NFE


Programme 1 (e.g. Alternati 91,335 91,335 102,178 114,611 128,404 143,315 158,996 175,041 191,664 209,481 229,276 255,137 284,417 317,625
Public 68,502 68,502 74,982 82,176 89,824 97,667 105,393 112,679 119,621 126,547 133,832 143,654 154,198 165,519
Male 32,998 32,998 35,913 39,090 42,430 45,838 49,195 52,376 55,432 58,507 61,724 65,980 70,530 75,393
Female 35,504 35,504 39,069 43,086 47,394 51,830 56,198 60,303 64,189 68,040 72,109 77,674 83,669 90,126
Private 22,833 22,833 27,197 32,435 38,580 45,648 53,603 62,362 72,043 82,935 95,444 111,483 130,219 152,106
Male 10,999 10,999 13,026 15,429 18,224 21,424 25,021 28,988 33,385 38,344 44,019 51,204 59,562 69,284
Female 11,834 11,834 14,171 17,006 20,356 24,224 28,582 33,374 38,658 44,591 51,425 60,279 70,657 82,822
Programme 2 (19 to 24) 95,510 95,510 103,174 111,776 121,670 133,187 146,585 162,246 180,268 200,566 222,730 242,104 263,164 286,057
Public 47,755 47,755 51,587 55,888 60,835 66,594 73,293 81,123 90,134 100,283 111,365 121,052 131,582 143,029
Male 21,270 21,270 23,323 25,550 28,005 30,750 33,849 37,396 41,407 45,854 50,662 54,956 59,615 64,669
Female 26,485 26,485 28,264 30,338 32,830 35,843 39,444 43,727 48,727 54,429 60,703 66,095 71,967 78,359
Private 47,755 47,755 51,587 55,888 60,835 66,594 73,293 81,123 90,134 100,283 111,365 121,052 131,582 143,029
Male 21,270 21,270 23,323 25,550 28,005 30,750 33,849 37,396 41,407 45,854 50,662 54,956 59,615 64,669
Female 26,485 26,485 28,264 30,338 32,830 35,843 39,444 43,727 48,727 54,429 60,703 66,095 71,967 78,359
Programme 3 (25 to 49) 22,238 22,238 27,503 34,000 42,017 51,911 64,128 79,224 97,880 120,952 149,562 183,881 226,142 278,200
Public 11,119 11,119 13,752 17,000 21,008 25,955 32,064 39,612 48,940 60,476 74,781 91,940 113,071 139,100
Male 5,114 5,114 6,193 7,508 9,111 11,064 13,439 16,328 19,839 24,112 29,323 35,272 42,429 51,037
Female 6,005 6,005 7,558 9,492 11,897 14,892 18,624 23,284 29,101 36,364 45,458 56,668 70,643 88,063
Private 11,119 11,119 13,752 17,000 21,008 25,955 32,064 39,612 48,940 60,476 74,781 91,940 113,071 139,100
Male 5,114 5,114 6,193 7,508 9,111 11,064 13,439 16,328 19,839 24,112 29,323 35,272 42,429 51,037
Female 6,005 6,005 7,558 9,492 11,897 14,892 18,624 23,284 29,101 36,364 45,458 56,668 70,643 88,063
Programme 4 (Parental educat 32,635 32,635 34,269 40,152 47,178 55,623 65,829 78,235 93,406 112,076 135,175 164,366 201,102 247,676
Public 28,765 28,765 29,275 33,681 38,759 44,621 51,390 59,208 68,235 78,655 90,659 104,747 121,024 139,831
Male 10,000 10,000 10,179 11,688 13,421 15,417 17,716 20,365 23,418 26,938 30,985 35,722 41,184 47,481
Female 18,765 18,765 19,095 21,993 25,338 29,204 33,674 38,843 44,817 51,717 59,674 69,025 79,840 92,351
Private 3,870 3,870 4,994 6,471 8,419 11,002 14,439 19,027 25,171 33,421 44,516 59,620 80,078 107,845

Projections 27 of 149 NFE Sheet


4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Male 2,000 2,000 2,422 2,934 3,553 4,305 5,218 6,327 7,674 9,311 11,296 13,736 16,704 20,312
Female 1,870 1,870 2,572 3,537 4,866 6,697 9,220 12,700 17,497 24,111 33,220 45,883 63,374 87,532
Cumulative Total (Programme 1 to 3) 241,718 267,124 300,539 339,268 384,036 435,538 494,745 563,217 643,076 736,742 845,487 974,825 1,129,559
Public 156,141 169,595 188,745 210,426 234,837 262,140 292,621 326,930 365,961 410,637 461,393 519,876 587,479
Male 69,382 75,608 83,836 92,967 103,068 114,200 126,465 140,096 155,411 172,693 191,931 213,758 238,581
Female 86,759 93,987 104,909 117,459 131,769 147,940 166,157 186,834 210,550 237,944 269,462 306,118 348,899
Private 85,577 97,529 111,794 128,842 149,199 173,398 202,124 236,288 277,115 326,106 384,095 454,950 542,079
Male 39,383 44,965 51,421 58,893 67,543 77,527 89,038 102,304 117,621 135,300 155,169 178,310 205,302
Female 46,194 52,565 60,373 69,949 81,656 95,871 113,085 133,983 159,494 190,806 228,925 276,640 336,777

B. Trainers and other staff

Programme 1 (e.g. Alternative Non Formal Basic Education)


Public
Student/teacher ratio 50 12 -4.4% 86 82 78 75 72 68 65 63 60 57 55 52 50
New trainer requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 143 165 186 206 222 234 247 267 295 366 411 461
Total trainer requirements 800 800 916 1,050 1,200 1,365 1,540 1,722 1,912 2,115 2,340 2,627 2,949 3,310
Category 1 500 500 416 347 289 239 196 160 129 104 84 68 56 46
Category 2 100 100 128 164 210 268 338 423 526 651 805 1,012 1,271 1,597
Category 3 200 200 371 538 701 858 1,006 1,140 1,258 1,361 1,451 1,547 1,622 1,668
Ratio Category 1 1.0% 13 -27.2% 63% 45% 33% 24% 18% 13% 9% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1%
Ratio Category 2 54.0% 13 11.9% 13% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 25% 27% 31% 34% 39% 43% 48%
Ratio Category 3 45.0% 13 4.6% 25% 41% 51% 58% 63% 65% 66% 66% 64% 62% 59% 55% 50%
Private
Student/teacher ratio 50 12 -1.5% 60 59 58 57 56 55 55 54 53 52 51 51 50
New trainer requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 0 114 136 160 185 209 237 272 317 404 478 567
Total trainer requirements 800 800 462 560 676 811 967 1,141 1,338 1,564 1,826 2,165 2,566 3,042
Category 1 500 500 210 185 163 142 123 106 90 77 65 56 48 42
Category 2 100 100 65 88 118 159 212 280 368 481 629 834 1,106 1,468
Category 3 200 200 187 287 395 510 631 755 880 1,006 1,132 1,275 1,411 1,532
Ratio Category 1 1.0% 13 -27.2% 63% 45% 33% 24% 18% 13% 9% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1%
Ratio Category 2 54.0% 13 11.9% 13% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 25% 27% 31% 34% 39% 43% 48%
Ratio Category 3 45.0% 13 4.6% 25% 41% 51% 58% 63% 65% 66% 66% 64% 62% 59% 55% 50%
Programme 2 (19 to 24)
Public
Student/teacher ratio 50 12 2.8% 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 44 45 46 47 49 50
New trainer requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 638 120 134 151 171 194 217 238 253 216 228 241
Total trainer requirements 800 800 1,396 1,471 1,558 1,659 1,777 1,913 2,068 2,239 2,419 2,558 2,705 2,861
Category 1 500 500 635 487 375 291 226 177 139 110 86 66 51 39
Category 2 100 100 195 230 273 325 390 470 568 689 833 985 1,166 1,380
Category 3 200 200 566 754 910 1,043 1,160 1,266 1,360 1,440 1,500 1,506 1,488 1,441

Projections 28 of 149 NFE Sheet


4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Ratio Category 1 1.0% 13 -27.2% 63% 45% 33% 24% 18% 13% 9% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1%
Ratio Category 2 54.0% 13 11.9% 13% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 25% 27% 31% 34% 39% 43% 48%
Ratio Category 3 45.0% 13 4.6% 25% 41% 51% 58% 63% 65% 66% 66% 64% 62% 59% 55% 50%
Private
Student/teacher ratio 50 12 -2.9% 71 69 67 65 63 62 60 58 56 55 53 52 50
New trainer requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 0 111 129 150 176 208 243 280 317 312 350 391
Total trainer requirements 1,200 1,200 745 831 932 1,051 1,192 1,359 1,555 1,782 2,038 2,282 2,555 2,861
Category 1 500 500 233 195 164 139 118 101 87 75 64 54 45 38
Category 2 500 500 317 361 412 474 549 638 745 871 1,016 1,161 1,326 1,514
Category 3 200 200 195 276 356 438 525 619 723 836 958 1,067 1,184 1,308
Ratio Category 1 1.0% 13 -24.9% 42% 31% 23% 18% 13% 10% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1%
Ratio Category 2 54.0% 13 2.0% 42% 43% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47% 48% 49% 50% 51% 52% 53%
Ratio Category 3 45.0% 13 7.9% 17% 26% 33% 38% 42% 44% 46% 46% 47% 47% 47% 46% 46%
Programme 3 (25 to 49)
Public
Student/teacher ratio 50 12 1.1% 44 44 45 45 46 46 47 47 48 48 49 49 50
New trainer requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 66 80 98 120 146 179 219 268 328 390 476 580
Total trainer requirements 253 253 310 379 463 566 691 845 1,033 1,263 1,545 1,879 2,286 2,782
Category 1 3 3 4 4 5 6 8 9 11 13 16 20 23 28
Category 2 50 50 66 87 115 152 201 266 351 463 612 805 1,058 1,391
Category 3 200 200 240 287 342 407 483 570 671 786 916 1,055 1,205 1,363
Ratio Category 1 1.0% 13 -1.3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Ratio Category 2 54.0% 13 8.0% 20% 21% 23% 25% 27% 29% 31% 34% 37% 40% 43% 46% 50%
Ratio Category 3 45.0% 13 4.6% 79% 77% 76% 74% 72% 70% 67% 65% 62% 59% 56% 53% 49%
Private
Student/teacher ratio 50 12 1.6% 41 42 43 43 44 45 45 46 47 48 48 49 50
New trainer requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 68 83 101 123 149 181 220 268 327 386 468 567
Total trainer requirements 270 270 329 400 486 591 718 873 1,061 1,290 1,570 1,899 2,298 2,782
Category 1 50 50 49 47 46 45 43 42 41 40 39 37 36 35
Category 2 200 200 238 282 335 397 471 559 663 787 934 1,103 1,303 1,539
Category 3 20 20 42 70 105 149 204 272 357 464 597 759 959 1,208
Ratio Category 1 1.0% 13 -20.1% 19% 15% 12% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1%
Ratio Category 2 54.0% 13 -2.4% 74% 72% 71% 69% 67% 66% 64% 62% 61% 60% 58% 57% 55%
Ratio Category 3 45.0% 13 14.9% 7% 13% 18% 22% 25% 28% 31% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 43%
Programme 4 (Parental education in proportion to 0 to 2)
Public
Student/teacher ratio 50 12 1.0% 44 45 45 46 46 47 47 48 48 48 49 49 50
New trainer requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 24 113 129 148 169 193 220 252 287 333 381 435
Total trainer requirements 650 650 655 746 850 968 1,104 1,259 1,436 1,638 1,869 2,138 2,445 2,797
Category 1 20 20 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 28 29 30
Category 2 30 30 37 50 69 95 131 181 249 344 474 654 904 1,250

Projections 29 of 149 NFE Sheet


4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Category 3 600 600 600 676 760 852 950 1,055 1,163 1,270 1,369 1,456 1,512 1,516
Ratio Category 1 1.0% 13 -8.3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Ratio Category 2 54.0% 13 20.8% 5% 6% 7% 8% 10% 12% 14% 17% 21% 25% 31% 37% 45%
Ratio Category 3 45.0% 13 -5.4% 92% 92% 91% 89% 88% 86% 84% 81% 77% 73% 68% 62% 54%
Private
Student/teacher ratio 50 12 9.9% 16 18 19 21 24 26 28 31 34 38 41 46 50
New trainer requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 259 60 73 88 108 131 161 197 242 302 373 462
Total trainer requirements 31 31 282 332 393 468 559 670 807 975 1,181 1,440 1,760 2,157
Category 1 1 1 8 9 10 11 11 13 14 15 17 19 21 24
Category 2 20 20 179 209 244 286 337 398 473 564 674 810 977 1,181
Category 3 10 10 94 115 140 172 211 259 320 396 491 611 762 953
Ratio Category 1 1.0% 13 -8.6% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Ratio Category 2 54.0% 13 -1.4% 65% 64% 63% 62% 61% 60% 59% 59% 58% 57% 56% 55% 55%
Ratio Category 3 45.0% 13 2.6% 32% 33% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 41% 42% 42% 43% 44%

Cumulative Total
Public
New trainer requirements 0 871 479 547 624 707 799 903 1,024 1,162 1,305 1,495 1,717
Total trainer requirements 2,503 3,276 3,645 4,070 4,558 5,112 5,739 6,449 7,255 8,172 9,201 10,385 11,750
Category 1 1,023 1,073 858 689 557 452 369 304 252 213 182 159 143
Category 2 280 426 532 668 841 1,060 1,339 1,694 2,146 2,724 3,456 4,400 5,618
Category 3 1,200 1,777 2,255 2,713 3,160 3,599 4,031 4,451 4,857 5,236 5,563 5,826 5,988
Private
New trainer requirements 0 328 369 439 521 617 729 861 1,018 1,204 1,404 1,669 1,988
Total trainer requirements 2,301 1,818 2,123 2,487 2,921 3,435 4,043 4,761 5,610 6,616 7,786 9,179 10,842
Category 1 1,051 500 437 382 336 296 262 232 206 185 166 151 138
Category 2 820 798 939 1,109 1,316 1,568 1,875 2,249 2,702 3,253 3,908 4,712 5,702
Category 3 430 519 748 996 1,269 1,571 1,906 2,280 2,702 3,178 3,712 4,317 5,001
Total
Nb of caregivers to be trained 0 871 479 547 624 707 799 903 1,024 1,162 1,305 1,495 1,717
Total trainer requirements 2,503 3,276 3,645 4,070 4,558 5,112 5,739 6,449 7,255 8,172 9,201 10,385 11,750
Category 1 1,023 1,073 858 689 557 452 369 304 252 213 182 159 143
Category 2 280 426 532 668 841 1,060 1,339 1,694 2,146 2,724 3,456 4,400 5,618
Category 3 1,200 1,777 2,255 2,713 3,160 3,599 4,031 4,451 4,857 5,236 5,563 5,826 5,988

C. Material and teaching guides

Programme 1 (e.g. Alternative Non Formal Basic Education) 93,335 104,753 117,786 132,206 147,761 164,088 180,764 198,003 216,434 236,858 263,483 293,558 327,581
Public 70,102 76,813 84,275 92,224 100,397 108,474 116,123 123,445 130,778 138,512 148,907 160,096 172,140
Students 1 <= number of books 68,502 74,982 82,176 89,824 97,667 105,393 112,679 119,621 126,547 133,832 143,654 154,198 165,519
Trainers 2 per person 1,600 1,832 2,099 2,400 2,729 3,080 3,444 3,824 4,231 4,680 5,253 5,898 6,621

Projections 30 of 149 NFE Sheet


4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Private 23,233 27,939 33,511 39,982 47,364 55,615 64,641 74,558 85,657 98,346 114,576 133,462 155,441
Students 1 <= number of books 22,833 27,197 32,435 38,580 45,648 53,603 62,362 72,043 82,935 95,444 111,483 130,219 152,106
Trainers 2 per person 400 743 1,076 1,402 1,716 2,012 2,279 2,515 2,722 2,902 3,093 3,243 3,335
Programme 2 (19 to 24) 99,510 107,456 116,382 126,650 138,608 152,522 168,789 187,514 208,607 231,643 251,783 273,684 297,499
Public 49,355 54,379 58,831 63,951 69,912 76,846 84,949 94,270 104,760 116,202 126,167 136,992 148,750
Students 1 <= number of books 47,755 51,587 55,888 60,835 66,594 73,293 81,123 90,134 100,283 111,365 121,052 131,582 143,029
Trainers 2 per person 1,600 2,792 2,942 3,116 3,319 3,553 3,826 4,136 4,477 4,837 5,116 5,410 5,721
Private 50,155 53,077 57,551 62,699 68,696 75,676 83,840 93,244 103,847 115,441 125,616 136,692 148,750
Students 1 <= number of books 47,755 51,587 55,888 60,835 66,594 73,293 81,123 90,134 100,283 111,365 121,052 131,582 143,029
Trainers 2 per person 2,400 1,490 1,663 1,864 2,102 2,383 2,717 3,110 3,564 4,076 4,564 5,110 5,721
Programme 3 (25 to 49) 23,284 28,780 35,557 43,915 54,224 66,947 82,660 102,068 126,058 155,791 191,437 235,311 289,328
Public 11,625 14,371 17,757 21,934 27,087 33,447 41,302 51,006 63,001 77,870 95,698 117,643 144,664
Students 1 <= number of books 11,119 13,752 17,000 21,008 25,955 32,064 39,612 48,940 60,476 74,781 91,940 113,071 139,100
Trainers 2 per person 506 619 757 926 1,131 1,383 1,690 2,066 2,525 3,089 3,758 4,572 5,564
Private 11,659 14,409 17,799 21,980 27,137 33,500 41,358 51,062 63,057 77,921 95,739 117,668 144,664
Students 1 <= number of books 11,119 13,752 17,000 21,008 25,955 32,064 39,612 48,940 60,476 74,781 91,940 113,071 139,100
Trainers 2 per person 540 657 799 972 1,182 1,436 1,746 2,122 2,581 3,140 3,798 4,597 5,564
Programme 4 (Parental education in proportion to 0 to 2) 33,997 36,142 42,308 49,664 58,494 69,153 82,092 97,891 117,302 141,276 171,522 209,512 257,583
Public 30,065 30,584 35,172 40,458 46,557 53,597 61,725 71,106 81,932 94,398 109,023 125,915 145,425
Students 1 <= number of books 28,765 29,275 33,681 38,759 44,621 51,390 59,208 68,235 78,655 90,659 104,747 121,024 139,831
Trainers 2 per person 1,300 1,310 1,492 1,699 1,936 2,207 2,517 2,872 3,277 3,739 4,276 4,890 5,593
Private 3,932 5,558 7,135 9,206 11,937 15,556 20,367 26,784 35,370 46,878 62,499 83,598 112,158
Students 1 <= number of books 3,870 4,994 6,471 8,419 11,002 14,439 19,027 25,171 33,421 44,516 59,620 80,078 107,845
Trainers 2 per person 62 564 664 787 936 1,117 1,340 1,613 1,949 2,363 2,880 3,520 4,314
Total 250,126 277,130 312,032 352,434 399,087 452,710 514,305 585,475 668,402 765,568 878,225 1,012,065 1,171,992
Public 161,147 176,147 196,036 218,567 243,953 272,364 304,100 339,828 380,471 426,982 479,795 540,645 610,979
Students 156,141 169,595 188,745 210,426 234,837 262,140 292,621 326,930 365,961 410,637 461,393 519,876 587,479
Trainers 5,006 6,552 7,291 8,141 9,116 10,224 11,478 12,898 14,510 16,345 18,402 20,770 23,499
Private 88,979 100,983 115,997 133,867 155,135 180,347 210,206 245,648 287,930 338,586 398,430 471,419 561,013
Students 85,577 97,529 111,794 128,842 149,199 173,398 202,124 236,288 277,115 326,106 384,095 454,950 542,079
Trainers 3,402 3,453 4,203 5,025 5,936 6,949 8,082 9,360 10,815 12,481 14,335 16,470 18,934

D. Learning rooms and other rooms

Programme 1 (e.g. Alternative Non Formal Basic Education) 1,522 1,703 1,910 2,140 2,389 2,650 2,917 3,194 3,491 3,821 4,252 4,740 5,294
Public 3% <= Amortization rate 1,142 1,250 1,370 1,497 1,628 1,757 1,878 1,994 2,109 2,231 2,394 2,570 2,759
Rooms 1 100 <= Learners per room 685 750 822 898 977 1,054 1,127 1,196 1,265 1,338 1,437 1,542 1,655
Rooms 2 150 457 500 548 599 651 703 751 797 844 892 958 1,028 1,103
Private 3% <= Amortization rate 381 453 541 643 761 893 1,039 1,201 1,382 1,591 1,858 2,170 2,535
Rooms 1 100 <= Learners per room 228 272 324 386 456 536 624 720 829 954 1,115 1,302 1,521
Rooms 2 150 152 181 216 257 304 357 416 480 553 636 743 868 1,014

Projections 31 of 149 NFE Sheet


4 2016 Hypothes of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Programme 2 (19 to 24) 1,592 1,720 1,863 2,028 2,220 2,443 2,704 3,004 3,343 3,712 4,035 4,386 4,768
Public 3% <= Amortization rate 796 860 931 1,014 1,110 1,222 1,352 1,502 1,671 1,856 2,018 2,193 2,384
Rooms 1 100 <= Learners per room 478 516 559 608 666 733 811 901 1,003 1,114 1,211 1,316 1,430
Rooms 2 150 318 344 373 406 444 489 541 601 669 742 807 877 954
Private 3% <= Amortization rate 796 860 931 1,014 1,110 1,222 1,352 1,502 1,671 1,856 2,018 2,193 2,384
Rooms 1 100 <= Learners per room 478 516 559 608 666 733 811 901 1,003 1,114 1,211 1,316 1,430
Rooms 2 150 318 344 373 406 444 489 541 601 669 742 807 877 954
Programme 3 (25 to 49) 371 458 567 700 865 1,069 1,320 1,631 2,016 2,493 3,065 3,769 4,637
Public 3% <= Amortization rate 185 229 283 350 433 534 660 816 1,008 1,246 1,532 1,885 2,318
Rooms 1 100 <= Learners per room 111 138 170 210 260 321 396 489 605 748 919 1,131 1,391
Rooms 2 150 74 92 113 140 173 214 264 326 403 499 613 754 927
Private 3% <= Amortization rate 185 229 283 350 433 534 660 816 1,008 1,246 1,532 1,885 2,318
Rooms 1 100 <= Learners per room 111 138 170 210 260 321 396 489 605 748 919 1,131 1,391
Rooms 2 150 74 92 113 140 173 214 264 326 403 499 613 754 927
Programme 4 (Parental education in proportion to 0 to 2) 544 571 669 786 927 1,097 1,304 1,557 1,868 2,253 2,739 3,352 4,128
Public 3% <= Amortization rate 479 488 561 646 744 857 987 1,137 1,311 1,511 1,746 2,017 2,331
Rooms 1 100 <= Learners per room 288 293 337 388 446 514 592 682 787 907 1,047 1,210 1,398
Rooms 2 150 192 195 225 258 297 343 395 455 524 604 698 807 932
Private 3% <= Amortization rate 65 83 108 140 183 241 317 420 557 742 994 1,335 1,797
Rooms 1 100 <= Learners per room 39 50 65 84 110 144 190 252 334 445 596 801 1,078
Rooms 2 150 26 33 43 56 73 96 127 168 223 297 397 534 719
Total 4,029 4,452 5,009 5,654 6,401 7,259 8,246 9,387 10,718 12,279 14,091 16,247 18,826
Public 2,602 2,827 3,146 3,507 3,914 4,369 4,877 5,449 6,099 6,844 7,690 8,665 9,791
Rooms 1 1,561 1,696 1,887 2,104 2,348 2,621 2,926 3,269 3,660 4,106 4,614 5,199 5,875
Rooms 2 1,041 1,131 1,258 1,403 1,566 1,748 1,951 2,180 2,440 2,738 3,076 3,466 3,917
Rooms to build by year 0 224 319 361 407 455 508 572 651 745 846 975 1,127
Private 1,426 1,625 1,863 2,147 2,487 2,890 3,369 3,938 4,619 5,435 6,402 7,582 9,035
Rooms 1 856 975 1,118 1,288 1,492 1,734 2,021 2,363 2,771 3,261 3,841 4,549 5,421
Rooms 2 571 650 745 859 995 1,156 1,347 1,575 1,847 2,174 2,561 3,033 3,614
Rooms to build by year 0 199 238 284 339 403 479 569 680 817 966 1,181 1,452

Projections 32 of 149 NFE Sheet


PRIMARY EDUCATION (All blue cells should be replaced with the data of your country)
Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

A. School enrolments

Intake rate at Grade 1


Children of school intake age 512,379 519,216 530,151 547,575 559,736 571,915 584,092 596,463 609,210 622,515 636,210 650,207 664,512
Male 257,242 261,172 266,155 276,449 282,508 288,674 294,808 301,005 307,368 313,982 320,890 327,949 335,164
Female 255,137 258,044 263,996 271,126 277,228 283,241 289,284 295,458 301,842 308,533 315,321 322,258 329,347

Intakes at Grade 1
Public 490,000 490,000 496,217 506,313 522,636 533,881 545,130 556,363 567,767 579,515 591,779 604,400 617,697 631,286
Male 250,000 250,000 253,243 257,489 266,840 272,069 277,376 282,626 287,912 293,330 298,962 304,845 311,552 318,406
Female 240,000 240,000 242,974 248,824 255,797 261,812 267,755 273,737 279,855 286,185 292,817 299,555 306,145 312,880
Private 13,200 13,200 14,293 15,591 17,210 18,796 20,521 22,395 24,437 26,672 29,125 31,811 32,510 33,226
Male 7,000 7,000 7,553 8,180 9,029 9,806 10,648 11,556 12,539 13,608 14,772 16,044 16,397 16,758
Female 6,200 6,200 6,740 7,411 8,181 8,991 9,873 10,838 11,898 13,064 14,353 15,766 16,113 16,467
Total 503,200 503,200 510,510 521,903 539,846 552,677 565,651 578,758 592,204 606,187 620,904 636,210 650,207 664,512
Male 257,000 260,796 265,668 275,869 281,875 288,024 294,183 300,451 306,938 313,734 320,890 327,949 335,164
Female 246,200 249,714 256,235 263,977 270,803 277,628 284,575 291,753 299,249 307,170 315,321 322,258 329,347

Gross intake rate


Public 96% 96% 96% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95%
Male 95% 10 -0.2% 97% 97% 97% 97% 96% 96% 96% 96% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95%
Female 95% 10 0.1% 94% 94% 94% 94% 94% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95%
Private 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Male 5% 10 6.3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Female 5% 10 7.5% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Total 98% 98% 98% 99% 99% 99% 99% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Male 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Female 96% 97% 97% 97% 98% 98% 98% 99% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Gross enrolment ratios 90% 93% 97% 100% 102% 102% 103% 103% 103% 104% 104% 105% 104%
Public 89% 92% 95% 97% 99% 99% 99% 99% 99% 100% 100% 100% 99%
Male 89% 93% 96% 98% 100% 100% 100% 99% 99% 99% 98% 98% 98%
Female 89% 91% 94% 96% 98% 98% 99% 99% 100% 100% 101% 101% 101%
Private 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5%
Male 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5%
Female 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5%

School age population (Primary) 2,525,378 2,540,755 2,559,500 2,594,200 2,642,984 2,703,034 2,768,281 2,834,853 2,896,963 2,960,243 3,025,368 3,091,926 3,159,949
Male 1,261,009 1,271,075 1,282,313 1,302,674 1,329,335 1,360,964 1,394,718 1,429,627 1,460,755 1,492,456 1,525,290 1,558,846 1,593,141
Female 1,264,369 1,269,680 1,277,187 1,291,526 1,313,649 1,342,070 1,373,563 1,405,226 1,436,208 1,467,787 1,500,078 1,533,080 1,566,808

Page 33 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Student enrolments 2,262,400 2,370,072 2,475,267 2,583,243 2,686,394 2,765,961 2,841,963 2,919,805 2,995,963 3,072,961 3,152,156 3,232,313 3,298,399
Public 2,240,000 2,337,420 2,431,483 2,527,118 2,616,726 2,681,604 2,746,491 2,814,394 2,880,346 2,946,315 3,013,452 3,082,629 3,138,956
Male 1,120,000 1,177,421 1,229,519 1,281,767 1,330,084 1,363,443 1,392,521 1,421,523 1,447,929 1,473,660 1,499,645 1,526,878 1,553,730
Female 1,120,000 1,159,999 1,201,964 1,245,351 1,286,641 1,318,161 1,353,970 1,392,871 1,432,417 1,472,655 1,513,807 1,555,750 1,585,226
Private 22,400 32,652 43,784 56,125 69,669 84,357 95,472 105,411 115,617 126,646 138,704 149,685 159,443
Male 11,200 16,732 22,670 29,241 36,388 44,082 49,731 54,666 59,640 64,962 70,742 76,011 80,705
Female 11,200 15,920 21,115 26,884 33,281 40,276 45,740 50,745 55,977 61,684 67,962 73,674 78,739

Flow rates
Public
Promotion rate
Male
Grade 1 86% 99% 10 1.3% 86% 88% 89% 90% 91% 93% 94% 95% 96% 98% 99% 99% 99%
Grade 2 86% 99% 10 1.3% 86% 88% 89% 90% 91% 93% 94% 95% 96% 98% 99% 99% 99%
Grade 3 86% 99% 10 1.3% 86% 88% 89% 90% 91% 93% 94% 95% 96% 98% 99% 99% 99%
Grade 4 86% 99% 10 1.3% 86% 88% 89% 90% 91% 93% 94% 95% 96% 98% 99% 99% 99%
Grade 5 86% 99% 10 1.3% 86% 88% 89% 90% 91% 93% 94% 95% 96% 98% 99% 99% 99%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 7 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 8 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 9 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 85% 99% 10 1.4% 85% 86% 88% 89% 91% 92% 93% 95% 96% 98% 99% 99% 99%
Grade 2 87% 97% 10 1.0% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94% 95% 96% 97% 97% 97%
Grade 3 86% 99% 10 1.3% 86% 87% 88% 90% 91% 92% 94% 95% 96% 98% 99% 99% 99%
Grade 4 85% 99% 10 1.4% 85% 86% 88% 89% 91% 92% 93% 95% 96% 98% 99% 99% 99%
Grade 5 79% 99% 10 2.0% 79% 81% 83% 85% 87% 89% 91% 93% 95% 97% 99% 99% 99%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 7 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 8 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 9 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Repetition rate
Male
Grade 1 10% 1% 10 -0.9% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Grade 2 10% 1% 10 -0.9% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Grade 3 10% 1% 10 -0.9% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Grade 4 10% 1% 10 -0.9% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Grade 5 10% 1% 10 -0.9% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 7 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 8 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 9 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Page 34 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Female
Grade 1 10% 1% 13 -0.7% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Grade 2 10% 3% 13 -0.5% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4%
Grade 3 10% 1% 10 -0.9% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Grade 4 10% 1% 13 -0.7% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Grade 5 10% 1% 13 -0.7% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 7 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 8 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 9 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Private
Promotion rate
Male
Grade 1 86% 100% 13 1.0% 86% 87% 88% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94% 95% 96% 97% 98% 99%
Grade 2 86% 100% 13 1.1% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 95% 96% 97% 98% 99%
Grade 3 86% 100% 13 1.1% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94% 96% 97% 98% 99%
Grade 4 85% 100% 13 1.2% 85% 86% 87% 88% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94% 95% 97% 98% 99%
Grade 5 74% 100% 13 2.0% 74% 76% 78% 80% 82% 84% 86% 88% 90% 92% 94% 96% 98%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 7 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 8 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 9 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 86% 100% 13 1.0% 86% 87% 88% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94% 95% 96% 97% 98% 99%
Grade 2 86% 100% 13 1.1% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 95% 96% 97% 98% 99%
Grade 3 86% 100% 13 1.1% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94% 96% 97% 98% 99%
Grade 4 86% 100% 13 1.1% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94% 96% 97% 98% 99%
Grade 5 86% 100% 13 1.1% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94% 96% 97% 98% 99%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 7 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 8 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 9 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Repetition rate
Male
Grade 1 10% 1% 13 -0.7% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Grade 2 10% 3% 13 -0.5% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4%
Grade 3 10% 1% 13 -0.7% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Grade 4 10% 1% 13 -0.7% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Grade 5 10% 1% 13 -0.7% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 7 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 8 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Page 35 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 9 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 10% 1% 13 -0.7% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Grade 2 10% 3% 13 -0.5% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4%
Grade 3 10% 1% 13 -0.7% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Grade 4 10% 1% 13 -0.7% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Grade 5 10% 1% 13 -0.7% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 7 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 8 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 9 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Student enrolments
Public 2,240,000 2,240,000 2,337,420 2,431,483 2,527,118 2,616,726 2,681,604 2,746,491 2,814,394 2,880,346 2,946,315 3,013,452 3,082,629 3,138,956
Male 1,120,000 1,120,000 1,177,421 1,229,519 1,281,767 1,330,084 1,363,443 1,392,521 1,421,523 1,447,929 1,473,660 1,499,645 1,526,878 1,553,730
Grade 1 280,000 280,000 281,243 283,082 290,053 293,243 296,143 298,914 301,662 304,492 307,488 310,687 314,659 321,552
Grade 2 240,000 240,000 265,925 270,742 273,921 281,570 286,165 290,267 294,214 298,130 302,123 306,279 310,643 314,618
Grade 3 220,000 220,000 229,365 253,987 261,574 266,121 274,502 280,375 285,634 290,721 295,777 300,915 306,226 310,599
Grade 4 200,000 200,000 210,084 220,183 243,904 253,696 259,580 268,743 275,805 282,187 288,390 294,573 300,852 306,172
Grade 5 180,000 180,000 190,804 201,527 212,315 235,455 247,052 254,221 264,207 272,399 279,882 287,191 294,499 300,788
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 1,120,000 1,120,000 1,159,999 1,201,964 1,245,351 1,286,641 1,318,161 1,353,970 1,392,871 1,432,417 1,472,655 1,513,807 1,555,750 1,585,226
Grade 1 280,000 280,000 270,974 274,045 279,407 283,949 288,286 292,587 296,960 301,489 306,268 311,099 315,717 320,409
Grade 2 240,000 240,000 262,000 258,911 263,715 271,342 278,548 285,579 292,607 299,750 307,095 314,745 322,514 325,709
Grade 3 220,000 220,000 230,800 251,563 251,059 255,671 263,284 270,745 278,043 285,339 292,752 300,374 308,306 315,922
Grade 4 200,000 200,000 208,330 220,058 241,047 244,105 250,216 259,378 268,694 277,937 287,241 296,730 306,500 312,532
Grade 5 180,000 180,000 187,895 197,387 210,124 231,574 237,827 245,683 256,567 267,903 279,298 290,859 302,712 310,654
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private
Students enrolments 22,400 22,400 32,652 43,784 56,125 69,669 84,357 95,472 105,411 115,617 126,646 138,704 149,685 159,443
Male 11,200 11,200 16,732 22,670 29,241 36,388 44,082 49,731 54,666 59,640 64,962 70,742 76,011 80,705
Grade 1 2,800 2,800 7,833 8,909 9,796 10,582 11,413 12,303 13,259 14,291 15,410 16,625 16,909 17,161
Grade 2 2,400 2,400 2,659 7,101 8,517 9,486 10,330 11,213 12,161 13,184 14,294 15,502 16,819 17,241
Grade 3 2,200 2,200 2,278 2,522 6,463 8,096 9,136 10,022 10,939 11,925 12,994 14,158 15,428 16,819
Grade 4 2,000 2,000 2,083 2,169 2,401 5,937 7,719 8,831 9,761 10,715 11,743 12,861 14,083 15,422
Grade 5 1,800 1,800 1,879 1,969 2,063 2,287 5,484 7,362 8,546 9,524 10,520 11,596 12,771 14,061
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Page 36 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 11,200 11,200 15,920 21,115 26,884 33,281 40,276 45,740 50,745 55,977 61,684 67,962 73,674 78,739
Grade 1 2,800 2,800 7,020 8,065 8,876 9,694 10,574 11,529 12,572 13,712 14,965 16,330 16,615 16,864
Grade 2 2,400 2,400 2,659 6,390 7,707 8,593 9,456 10,380 11,388 12,492 13,706 15,045 16,512 16,941
Grade 3 2,200 2,200 2,278 2,522 5,838 7,325 8,276 9,168 10,120 11,161 12,306 13,569 14,968 16,507
Grade 4 2,000 2,000 2,083 2,169 2,401 5,381 6,984 7,999 8,925 9,908 10,985 12,175 13,493 14,958
Grade 5 1,800 1,800 1,879 1,969 2,063 2,287 4,986 6,663 7,741 8,704 9,722 10,843 12,086 13,469
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total
Student enrolments 2,262,400 2,370,072 2,475,267 2,583,243 2,686,394 2,765,961 2,841,963 2,919,805 2,995,963 3,072,961 3,152,156 3,232,313 3,298,399
Male 1,131,200 1,194,153 1,252,189 1,311,008 1,366,472 1,407,525 1,442,252 1,476,189 1,507,569 1,538,622 1,570,387 1,602,889 1,634,435
Grade 1 282,800 289,076 291,990 299,849 303,825 307,557 311,217 314,921 318,783 322,898 327,313 331,568 338,714
Grade 2 242,400 268,585 277,843 282,439 291,055 296,495 301,480 306,375 311,315 316,417 321,781 327,462 331,859
Grade 3 222,200 231,643 256,509 268,037 274,217 283,638 290,397 296,573 302,646 308,772 315,073 321,654 327,418
Grade 4 202,000 212,167 222,352 246,305 259,634 267,299 277,574 285,566 292,903 300,133 307,434 314,935 321,594
Grade 5 181,800 192,683 203,495 214,378 237,742 252,536 261,584 272,753 281,922 290,402 298,787 307,270 314,849
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 1,131,200 1,175,918 1,223,078 1,272,235 1,319,922 1,358,437 1,399,711 1,443,617 1,488,394 1,534,339 1,581,769 1,629,424 1,663,964
Grade 1 282,800 277,994 282,110 288,282 293,643 298,860 304,116 309,532 315,201 321,233 327,429 332,333 337,272
Grade 2 242,400 264,659 265,301 271,422 279,936 288,004 295,959 303,995 312,242 320,801 329,790 339,026 342,650
Grade 3 222,200 233,078 254,085 256,896 262,996 271,560 279,913 288,163 296,500 305,058 313,943 323,274 332,429
Grade 4 202,000 210,413 222,227 243,449 249,487 257,200 267,377 277,619 287,844 298,226 308,905 319,993 327,490
Grade 5 181,800 189,774 199,356 212,186 233,861 242,813 252,346 264,308 276,606 289,021 301,702 314,798 324,123
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

B. Teaching and other Staff

Public
Some indicators
Student/teacher ratio 40 12 -2.8% 56 54 53 51 50 49 47 46 45 44 42 41 40
Nb of sections (classes) 35,000 35,000 38,229 41,625 45,284 49,080 52,647 56,440 60,538 64,851 69,436 74,336 79,595 84,837
Student/section (class) ratio 37 12 -4.5% 64 61 58 56 53 51 49 46 44 42 41 39 37

Page 37 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Nb of multigrade sections (class 1,500 1,500 1,758 2,055 2,399 2,790 3,212 3,695 4,253 4,889 5,618 6,455 7,417 8,484
% of multigrade sections (classes) 10% 12 7.3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10%
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 4,214 4,375 4,636 4,754 4,472 4,679 4,960 5,144 5,378 5,649 5,955 5,893
Total teacher requirements 40,000 40,000 42,927 45,924 49,087 52,273 55,093 58,030 61,156 64,369 67,715 71,228 74,935 78,474
Category 1 15,000 15,000 16,458 18,001 19,671 21,417 23,077 24,851 26,776 28,813 30,989 33,326 35,845 38,378
Category 2 5,000 5,000 5,563 6,171 6,839 7,551 8,251 9,011 9,846 10,745 11,720 12,781 13,942 15,137
Category 3 10,000 10,000 10,001 9,971 9,933 9,858 9,682 9,505 9,335 9,156 8,977 8,800 8,628 8,420
Category 4 10,000 10,000 10,904 11,781 12,644 13,448 14,082 14,663 15,199 15,654 16,029 16,320 16,520 16,538
Ratio Category 1 50.0% 13 2.2% 38% 38% 39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47% 48% 49%
Ratio Category 2 20.0% 13 3.7% 13% 13% 13% 14% 14% 15% 16% 16% 17% 17% 18% 19% 19%
Ratio Category 3 10.0% 13 -6.8% 25% 23% 22% 20% 19% 18% 16% 15% 14% 13% 12% 12% 11%
Ratio Category 4 20.0% 13 -1.7% 25% 25% 26% 26% 26% 26% 25% 25% 24% 24% 23% 22% 21%
New non-teaching staff requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 402 480 579 687 784 933 1,115 1,321 1,569 1,867 2,225 2,583
Total non-teaching staff requ 1,600 1,600 1,943 2,353 2,847 3,431 4,092 4,879 5,819 6,932 8,254 9,826 11,700 13,867
Ratio of Non teaching staff 20.0% 13 13.2% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 10% 11% 12% 14% 16% 18%

Private
Some indicators
Student/teacher ratio 40 12 -1.6% 48 48 47 46 45 45 44 43 43 42 41 41 40
Nb of sections (classes) 501 501 742 1,011 1,316 1,660 2,042 2,347 2,633 2,934 3,265 3,632 3,982 4,309
Student/sections (class) ratio 37 12 -1.6% 45 44 43 43 42 41 41 40 39 39 38 38 37
Nb of multigrade sections (class 53 53 78 106 137 172 211 241 270 299 331 367 400 431
% of multigrade sections (classes) 10% 12 -0.5% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 243 276 319 364 410 348 337 360 397 441 434 422
Total teacher requirements 463 463 686 934 1,217 1,534 1,887 2,170 2,434 2,713 3,019 3,359 3,683 3,986
Category 1 250 250 362 482 613 755 908 1,020 1,118 1,218 1,324 1,440 1,543 1,632
Category 2 53 53 82 117 158 209 268 321 376 438 509 591 676 764
Category 3 70 70 100 133 167 204 243 271 295 318 343 370 393 411
Category 4 90 90 142 203 278 366 468 557 645 739 843 959 1,072 1,179
Ratio Category 1 40.0% 13 -2.3% 54% 53% 52% 50% 49% 48% 47% 46% 45% 44% 43% 42% 41%
Ratio Category 2 20.0% 13 4.4% 11% 12% 12% 13% 14% 14% 15% 15% 16% 17% 18% 18% 19%
Ratio Category 3 10.0% 13 -3.1% 15% 15% 14% 14% 13% 13% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11% 10%
Ratio Category 4 30.0% 13 3.4% 19% 21% 22% 23% 24% 25% 26% 26% 27% 28% 29% 29% 30%
New non-teaching staff requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 15 19 26 34 43 46 53 64 79 98 112 128
Total non-teaching staff requ 21 21 35 52 76 106 145 186 232 287 356 440 536 645
Ratio of Non teaching staff 18.0% 13 11.2% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 16%

Total
Nb of sections (classes) 35,501 38,970 42,636 46,600 50,740 54,688 58,787 63,171 67,785 72,700 77,968 83,578 89,146
Nb of multigrade sections (classes) 1,553 1,836 2,160 2,536 2,962 3,423 3,936 4,523 5,188 5,949 6,821 7,817 8,915
New teacher requirements 0 4,458 4,651 4,955 5,118 4,882 5,026 5,298 5,504 5,775 6,090 6,389 6,316
Total teacher requirements 40,463 43,612 46,858 50,304 53,808 56,980 60,200 63,590 67,082 70,734 74,587 78,618 82,460
Category 1 15,250 16,819 18,482 20,284 22,172 23,985 25,872 27,894 30,031 32,314 34,766 37,388 40,010
Category 2 5,053 5,645 6,287 6,997 7,759 8,519 9,332 10,222 11,183 12,228 13,372 14,618 15,901

Page 38 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Category 3 10,070 10,102 10,104 10,100 10,062 9,926 9,776 9,629 9,475 9,320 9,170 9,020 8,832
Category 4 10,090 11,046 11,984 12,922 13,814 14,550 15,221 15,844 16,393 16,873 17,279 17,592 17,717
New non-teaching staff requirements 0 416 500 605 721 828 979 1,168 1,385 1,648 1,965 2,337 2,712
Total non-teaching staff requirements 1,621 1,978 2,405 2,922 3,537 4,238 5,065 6,051 7,220 8,609 10,266 12,236 14,512

C. Textbooks and teaching guides

C1. A textbook per subject per student; a teaching guide per subject per teacher

Public
Textbooks 5,240,000 5,471,952 5,702,119 5,961,627 6,198,281 6,357,882 6,521,007 6,694,061 6,861,118 7,027,442 7,196,257 7,369,820 7,508,057
Grade 1 2 <= number of books 1,120,000 1,104,434 1,114,254 1,138,918 1,154,384 1,168,859 1,183,002 1,197,245 1,211,963 1,227,512 1,243,572 1,260,751 1,283,922
Grade 2 2 per pupil 960,000 1,055,851 1,059,305 1,075,272 1,105,823 1,129,426 1,151,691 1,173,644 1,195,761 1,218,436 1,242,049 1,266,315 1,280,654
Grade 3 2 880,000 920,329 1,011,099 1,025,267 1,043,583 1,075,573 1,102,240 1,127,353 1,152,119 1,177,059 1,202,578 1,229,064 1,253,042
Grade 4 3 1,200,000 1,255,242 1,320,720 1,454,854 1,493,405 1,529,388 1,584,362 1,633,497 1,680,372 1,726,893 1,773,908 1,822,056 1,856,113
Grade 5 3 1,080,000 1,136,096 1,196,741 1,267,315 1,401,086 1,454,636 1,499,712 1,562,323 1,620,904 1,677,542 1,734,150 1,791,633 1,834,326
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 133,571 143,419 153,621 164,887 176,094 185,713 195,812 206,616 217,698 229,228 241,323 254,086 266,175
Grade 1 3 <= number of books 30,000 30,424 31,568 33,184 34,591 36,021 37,493 39,024 40,627 42,318 44,091 45,971 48,147
Grade 2 3 per teacher 25,714 29,086 30,011 31,330 33,136 34,805 36,501 38,254 40,084 42,005 44,037 46,174 48,025
Grade 3 3 23,571 25,353 28,645 29,873 31,271 33,146 34,934 36,746 38,621 40,579 42,637 44,816 46,989
Grade 4 4 28,571 30,737 33,260 37,679 39,778 41,894 44,634 47,327 50,070 52,919 55,906 59,056 61,870
Grade 5 4 25,714 27,819 30,137 32,822 37,319 39,847 42,250 45,265 48,298 51,407 54,653 58,070 61,144
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private
Textbooks 52,400 73,228 95,845 121,178 155,230 193,888 221,800 245,796 270,084 296,262 324,883 351,802 376,797
Grade 1 2 <= number of books 11,200 29,705 33,946 37,344 40,551 43,974 47,664 51,661 56,006 60,749 65,911 67,049 68,050
Grade 2 2 per pupil 9,600 10,637 26,983 32,448 36,158 39,571 43,186 47,098 51,353 56,000 61,094 66,662 68,364
Grade 3 2 8,800 9,113 10,087 24,601 30,843 34,824 38,380 42,118 46,173 50,600 55,454 60,792 66,651
Grade 4 3 12,000 12,500 13,016 14,409 33,956 44,109 50,492 56,059 61,869 68,185 75,109 82,728 91,142
Grade 5 3 10,800 11,274 11,812 12,376 13,721 31,410 42,077 48,860 54,683 60,727 67,316 74,571 82,591
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 1,546 2,223 2,979 3,843 4,953 6,226 7,212 8,111 9,050 10,082 11,228 12,340 13,406
Grade 1 3 <= number of books 347 936 1,086 1,214 1,340 1,476 1,625 1,790 1,971 2,172 2,395 2,475 2,552

Page 39 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 2 3 per teacher 298 335 864 1,055 1,194 1,328 1,473 1,632 1,807 2,002 2,220 2,461 2,564
Grade 3 3 273 287 323 800 1,019 1,169 1,309 1,459 1,625 1,809 2,015 2,244 2,499
Grade 4 4 331 350 370 416 997 1,316 1,530 1,726 1,936 2,167 2,425 2,714 3,038
Grade 5 4 298 316 336 358 403 937 1,275 1,505 1,711 1,930 2,174 2,447 2,753
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total
Textbooks 5,292,400 5,545,180 5,797,964 6,082,804 6,353,511 6,551,770 6,742,807 6,939,857 7,131,202 7,323,704 7,521,139 7,721,622 7,884,855
Grade 1 1,131,200 1,134,139 1,148,201 1,176,262 1,194,936 1,212,834 1,230,666 1,248,906 1,267,969 1,288,261 1,309,483 1,327,800 1,351,972
Grade 2 969,600 1,066,488 1,086,288 1,107,720 1,141,982 1,168,997 1,194,877 1,220,741 1,247,114 1,274,436 1,303,143 1,332,978 1,349,018
Grade 3 888,800 929,442 1,021,186 1,049,867 1,074,426 1,110,397 1,140,620 1,169,472 1,198,292 1,227,659 1,258,032 1,289,857 1,319,694
Grade 4 1,212,000 1,267,742 1,333,737 1,469,263 1,527,361 1,573,497 1,634,854 1,689,556 1,742,241 1,795,078 1,849,016 1,904,784 1,947,254
Grade 5 1,090,800 1,147,369 1,208,553 1,279,691 1,414,807 1,486,046 1,541,789 1,611,182 1,675,587 1,738,270 1,801,466 1,866,204 1,916,916
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 135,118 145,642 156,600 168,731 181,047 191,939 203,024 214,727 226,748 239,309 252,551 266,426 279,581
Grade 1 30,347 31,360 32,654 34,398 35,931 37,497 39,118 40,813 42,598 44,490 46,485 48,446 50,699
Grade 2 26,012 29,421 30,874 32,385 34,330 36,134 37,973 39,886 41,891 44,008 46,256 48,634 50,588
Grade 3 23,844 25,640 28,968 30,672 32,290 34,315 36,242 38,205 40,246 42,388 44,652 47,059 49,489
Grade 4 28,902 31,087 33,630 38,096 40,775 43,210 46,165 49,053 52,005 55,086 58,331 61,770 64,908
Grade 5 26,012 28,135 30,473 33,180 37,721 40,784 43,525 46,770 50,009 53,337 56,826 60,516 63,897
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

C2. Application of the new textbook policy

Public Stock of books available


Textbooks 50,000 Life span 50,000 5,421,952 230,168 309,507 5,658,606 389,769 472,632 5,831,660 556,826 638,956 6,000,475 730,389 777,194
Grade 1 10,000 3 10,000 1,094,434 9,820 34,664 1,109,900 24,295 48,807 1,124,143 39,012 64,356 1,140,203 56,192 87,527
Grade 2 10,000 3 10,000 1,045,851 3,454 25,967 1,076,402 27,057 48,232 1,098,355 49,174 70,907 1,121,967 73,441 85,246
Grade 3 10,000 3 10,000 910,329 90,770 24,167 928,645 122,760 50,835 953,758 147,526 75,775 979,277 174,013 99,752
Grade 4 10,000 3 10,000 1,245,242 65,478 144,134 1,283,792 101,461 199,108 1,332,928 148,336 245,629 1,379,943 196,484 279,686
Grade 5 10,000 3 10,000 1,126,096 60,645 80,575 1,259,866 114,195 125,651 1,322,477 172,777 182,289 1,379,085 230,259 224,982
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Page 40 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Teaching guides 50,000 50,000 93,419 10,202 61,267 104,625 19,821 71,365 115,429 30,904 82,895 127,524 43,667 94,984
Grade 1 10,000 3 10,000 20,424 1,143 11,616 21,831 2,573 13,089 23,362 4,176 14,780 25,135 6,056 16,956
Grade 2 10,000 3 10,000 19,086 925 11,319 20,892 2,595 13,014 22,646 4,424 14,936 24,677 6,561 16,786
Grade 3 10,000 3 10,000 15,353 3,293 11,227 16,751 5,168 13,015 18,563 7,043 14,973 20,622 9,221 17,147
Grade 4 10,000 3 10,000 20,737 2,523 14,420 22,835 4,640 17,160 25,528 7,382 20,009 28,514 10,533 22,824
Grade 5 10,000 3 10,000 17,819 2,318 12,685 22,315 4,846 15,088 25,331 7,879 18,197 28,577 11,296 21,271
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private
Textbooks 15,000 15,000 58,228 22,616 40,333 92,281 61,274 68,245 116,277 85,563 94,422 144,898 112,482 119,417
Grade 1 3,000 3 3,000 26,705 4,241 6,398 29,912 7,664 10,088 33,909 12,010 14,831 39,070 13,148 15,832
Grade 2 3,000 3 3,000 7,637 16,346 8,465 11,347 19,758 12,081 15,259 24,014 16,728 20,352 29,582 18,429
Grade 3 3,000 3 3,000 6,113 974 17,514 12,355 4,955 21,070 16,094 9,009 25,497 20,947 14,348 31,357
Grade 4 3,000 3 3,000 9,500 517 4,392 29,047 10,669 10,776 34,614 16,479 17,091 41,538 24,099 25,505
Grade 5 3,000 3 3,000 8,274 539 3,564 9,619 18,227 14,231 16,401 24,051 20,275 22,990 31,306 28,295
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 15,000 15,000 677 756 2,410 1,787 2,028 3,397 2,686 2,967 4,428 3,832 4,079 5,494
Grade 1 3,000 3 3,000 588 151 475 714 287 624 878 469 826 1,100 549 903
Grade 2 3,000 3 3,000 37 528 489 177 662 634 336 838 829 553 1,079 932
Grade 3 3,000 3 3,000 14 36 750 233 186 890 384 352 1,074 589 581 1,330
Grade 4 3,000 3 3,000 19 20 377 600 339 591 796 548 823 1,054 837 1,147
Grade 5 3,000 3 3,000 18 20 319 63 555 658 292 761 877 536 1,033 1,183
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total
Textbooks 65,000 65,000 5,480,180 252,784 349,840 5,750,887 451,043 540,877 5,947,937 642,388 733,379 6,145,373 842,871 896,611
Grade 1 13,000 13,000 1,121,139 14,061 41,062 1,139,813 31,959 58,894 1,158,052 51,022 79,187 1,179,274 69,340 103,359
Grade 2 13,000 13,000 1,053,488 19,800 34,432 1,087,749 46,815 60,313 1,113,613 73,188 87,635 1,142,319 103,023 103,676
Grade 3 13,000 13,000 916,442 91,744 41,681 941,000 127,715 71,905 969,852 156,536 101,272 1,000,224 188,361 131,109
Grade 4 13,000 13,000 1,254,742 65,995 148,526 1,312,840 112,131 209,884 1,367,542 164,815 262,720 1,421,481 220,583 305,191
Grade 5 13,000 13,000 1,134,369 61,184 84,138 1,269,485 132,423 139,881 1,338,878 196,827 202,564 1,402,075 261,565 253,277
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Page 41 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Teaching guides 65,000 65,000 94,096 10,958 63,677 106,412 21,850 74,762 118,115 33,871 87,323 131,357 47,746 100,478
Grade 1 13,000 13,000 21,013 1,294 12,091 22,545 2,860 13,713 24,240 4,645 15,606 26,235 6,605 17,859
Grade 2 13,000 13,000 19,123 1,453 11,808 21,069 3,257 13,648 22,982 5,262 15,764 25,230 7,640 17,718
Grade 3 13,000 13,000 15,367 3,328 11,977 16,984 5,353 13,905 18,947 7,394 16,047 21,210 9,802 18,476
Grade 4 13,000 13,000 20,756 2,543 14,797 23,435 4,979 17,751 26,323 7,931 20,832 29,568 11,370 23,971
Grade 5 13,000 13,000 17,837 2,339 13,004 22,379 5,401 15,745 25,623 8,640 19,074 29,113 12,330 22,455
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

D. Classrooms and other rooms

Public
% of double shift sections (classes) 5.0% 10 5.4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Total classroom requirements 34,000 34,000 36,252 39,345 42,655 46,061 49,215 52,543 56,109 59,826 63,738 67,876 72,450 76,959
Classrooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 3,340 4,273 4,590 4,788 4,631 4,904 5,250 5,512 5,824 6,175 6,747 6,818
Classrooms to build (Accumulated) 0 3,340 7,613 12,202 16,990 21,621 26,525 31,775 37,286 43,110 49,285 56,032 62,850
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 3,340 7,613 12,202 16,990 21,621 26,525 31,775 37,286 43,110 49,285 56,032 62,850
Total other room requirements 4,700 15% <= Ratio other rooms 4,700 5,438 5,902 6,398 6,909 7,382 7,881 8,416 8,974 9,561 10,181 10,867 11,544
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 901 641 688 718 695 736 787 827 874 926 1,012 1,023
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 901 1,542 2,230 2,949 3,643 4,379 5,166 5,993 6,866 7,793 8,805 9,827
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 901 1,542 2,230 2,949 3,643 4,379 5,166 5,993 6,866 7,793 8,805 9,827
Private
% of double shift sections (classes) 5.0% 10 38.0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5%
Total classroom requirements 500 500 701 954 1,241 1,563 1,918 2,198 2,454 2,717 2,997 3,293 3,612 3,909
Classrooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 222 282 324 368 413 346 330 344 370 396 426 415
Classrooms to build (Accumulated) 0 222 504 828 1,197 1,609 1,955 2,285 2,629 2,999 3,395 3,821 4,236
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 222 504 828 1,197 1,609 1,955 2,285 2,629 2,999 3,395 3,821 4,236
Total other room requirements 75 15% <= Ratio other rooms 75 105 143 186 234 288 330 368 408 449 494 542 586
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 33 42 49 55 62 52 49 52 55 59 64 62
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 33 76 124 179 241 293 343 394 450 509 573 635
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 33 76 124 179 241 293 343 394 450 509 573 635
Total
Total classroom requirements 34,500 36,953 40,299 43,896 47,624 51,133 54,741 58,563 62,543 66,734 71,170 76,061 80,868
Classrooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 3,562 4,554 4,914 5,156 5,044 5,249 5,580 5,856 6,193 6,571 7,174 7,233
Classrooms to build (Accumulated) 0 3,562 8,116 13,030 18,187 23,230 28,480 34,059 39,915 46,109 52,679 59,853 67,086
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 3,562 8,116 13,030 18,187 23,230 28,480 34,059 39,915 46,109 52,679 59,853 67,086
Total other room requirements 4,775 5,543 6,045 6,584 7,144 7,670 8,211 8,784 9,381 10,010 10,675 11,409 12,130

Page 42 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 934 683 737 773 757 787 837 878 929 986 1,076 1,085
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 934 1,617 2,355 3,128 3,885 4,672 5,509 6,387 7,316 8,302 9,378 10,463
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 934 1,617 2,355 3,128 3,885 4,672 5,509 6,387 7,316 8,302 9,378 10,463

Page 43 of 149
Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

A. Student enrolments

Graduates from the Primary


Primary Public 297,723 319,457 343,032 370,073 416,772 440,685 462,440 490,187 517,319 544,477 572,270 591,239 605,328
Male 155,523 167,262 179,200 191,468 215,303 229,019 238,868 251,580 262,811 273,558 284,319 291,554 297,780
Female 142,200 152,195 163,831 178,605 201,469 211,666 223,571 238,607 254,507 270,919 287,951 299,685 307,547
Primary Private 2,880 3,064 3,271 3,491 3,940 9,164 12,494 14,762 16,808 18,983 21,393 24,086 27,104
Male 1,339 1,435 1,542 1,656 1,881 4,620 6,347 7,536 8,586 9,691 10,911 12,268 13,784
Female 1,541 1,629 1,729 1,834 2,059 4,544 6,147 7,226 8,222 9,292 10,483 11,818 13,320
Primary Total 300,603 322,521 346,303 373,564 420,712 449,850 474,934 504,949 534,127 563,460 593,663 615,325 632,432
Male 156,863 168,697 180,743 193,125 217,184 233,639 245,216 259,116 271,397 283,249 295,230 303,822 311,565
Female 143,741 153,824 165,560 180,439 203,528 216,210 229,718 245,834 262,729 280,211 298,433 311,503 320,867

Corresponding school age population (Secondary I) 1,379,694 1,428,675 1,465,722 1,487,742 1,495,781 1,497,100 1,503,791 1,523,402 1,559,336 1,600,503 1,635,714 1,671,700 1,708,477
Male 688,761 711,565 729,203 740,320 745,461 747,931 753,171 763,661 783,131 804,701 822,404 840,497 858,988
Female 690,933 717,110 736,519 747,422 750,320 749,169 750,620 759,741 776,205 795,802 813,310 831,202 849,489

Registration rates
General 1C
Public
Male 57% 40% 13 -1.3% 57% 56% 54% 53% 52% 50% 49% 48% 47% 45% 44% 43% 41%
Female 60% 40% 13 -1.5% 60% 58% 57% 55% 54% 52% 51% 49% 48% 46% 45% 43% 42%
Private
Male 1% 5% 13 0.3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5%
Female 1% 5% 13 0.3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5%
S/Total
Male 58% 57% 56% 55% 54% 53% 52% 51% 50% 49% 48% 47% 46%
Female 61% 60% 59% 57% 56% 55% 54% 52% 51% 50% 49% 47% 46%

Technical 1C
Public
Male 9% 20% 13 0.8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 17% 18% 19%
Female 10% 20% 13 0.8% 10% 11% 12% 12% 13% 14% 15% 15% 16% 17% 18% 18% 19%
Private
Male 4% 5% 13 0.1% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Female 5% 5% 13 0.0% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
S/Total
Male 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 19% 20% 21% 22% 23% 24%
Female 15% 16% 17% 17% 18% 19% 20% 20% 21% 22% 23% 23% 24%

Vocational 1C
Public
Male 12% 10% 13 -0.2% 12% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10%

Page 44 of 149
Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Female 10% 10% 13 0.0% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%
Private
Male 7% 2% 13 -0.4% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2%
Female 8% 2% 13 -0.5% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2%
S/Total
Male 19% 19% 18% 18% 17% 17% 16% 16% 15% 15% 14% 14% 13% 13%
Female 18% 18% 18% 17% 17% 16% 16% 15% 15% 14% 14% 13% 13% 12%

Student Flows
General 1C
Public
Promotion rate
Male
Grade 1 85% 95% 13 0.8% 85% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 93% 94%
Grade 2 84% 95% 13 0.8% 84% 85% 86% 87% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 92% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 3 73% 95% 13 1.7% 73% 75% 76% 78% 80% 81% 83% 85% 87% 88% 90% 92% 93%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 85% 95% 13 0.8% 85% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 93% 94%
Grade 2 84% 95% 13 0.8% 84% 85% 86% 87% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 92% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 3 72% 95% 13 1.8% 72% 74% 76% 77% 79% 81% 83% 84% 86% 88% 90% 91% 93%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Repetition rate
Male
Grade 1 8% 4% 13 -0.3% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 2 9% 2% 13 -0.5% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 3 9% 4% 13 -0.4% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 8% 4% 13 -0.3% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 2 9% 2% 13 -0.5% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 3 9% 4% 13 -0.4% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Private

Page 45 of 149
Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Promotion rate
Male
Grade 1 90% 95% 13 0.4% 90% 90% 91% 91% 92% 92% 92% 93% 93% 93% 94% 94% 95%
Grade 2 94% 95% 13 0.0% 94% 94% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95%
Grade 3 88% 95% 13 0.5% 88% 89% 89% 90% 90% 91% 91% 92% 92% 93% 93% 94% 94%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 90% 95% 13 0.4% 90% 90% 91% 91% 92% 92% 92% 93% 93% 93% 94% 94% 95%
Grade 2 94% 95% 13 0.0% 94% 94% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95%
Grade 3 88% 95% 13 0.5% 88% 89% 89% 90% 90% 91% 91% 92% 92% 93% 93% 94% 94%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Repetition rate
Male
Grade 1 5% 4% 13 -0.1% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4%
Grade 2 6% 2% 13 -0.3% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2%
Grade 3 6% 4% 13 -0.1% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 5% 4% 13 -0.1% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4%
Grade 2 6% 2% 13 -0.3% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2%
Grade 3 6% 4% 13 -0.1% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Technical 1C
Public
Promotion rate
Male
Grade 1 85% 95% 13 0.8% 85% 86% 87% 87% 88% 89% 90% 90% 91% 92% 93% 93% 94%
Grade 2 85% 95% 13 0.8% 85% 86% 87% 87% 88% 89% 90% 90% 91% 92% 93% 93% 94%
Grade 3 72% 95% 13 1.8% 72% 74% 75% 77% 79% 81% 83% 84% 86% 88% 90% 91% 93%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 83% 95% 13 0.9% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 91% 92% 93% 94%

Page 46 of 149
Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 2 83% 95% 13 0.9% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 3 71% 95% 13 1.9% 71% 72% 74% 76% 78% 80% 82% 84% 86% 87% 89% 91% 93%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Repetition rate
Male
Grade 1 8% 4% 13 -0.3% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 2 8% 2% 13 -0.4% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2%
Grade 3 8% 4% 13 -0.3% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 8% 4% 13 -0.3% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 2 8% 2% 13 -0.4% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2%
Grade 3 8% 4% 13 -0.3% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Private
Promotion rate
Male
Grade 1 85% 95% 13 0.8% 85% 86% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 90% 91% 92% 93% 93% 94%
Grade 2 85% 95% 13 0.8% 85% 86% 87% 87% 88% 89% 90% 90% 91% 92% 93% 93% 94%
Grade 3 75% 95% 13 1.5% 75% 77% 78% 80% 81% 83% 84% 86% 87% 89% 90% 92% 93%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 83% 95% 13 0.9% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 2 83% 95% 13 0.9% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 3 72% 95% 13 1.8% 72% 74% 76% 77% 79% 81% 83% 84% 86% 88% 90% 91% 93%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Repetition rate
Male
Grade 1 8% 4% 13 -0.3% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 2 8% 2% 13 -0.4% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2%
Grade 3 8% 4% 13 -0.3% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4%

Page 47 of 149
Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 8% 4% 13 -0.3% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 2 8% 2% 13 -0.4% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2%
Grade 3 8% 4% 13 -0.3% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Vocational 1C
Public
Promotion rate
Male
Grade 1 86% 95% 13 0.7% 86% 87% 87% 88% 89% 89% 90% 91% 92% 92% 93% 94% 94%
Grade 2 85% 95% 13 0.8% 85% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 93% 94%
Grade 3 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 81% 95% 13 1.0% 81% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 2 83% 95% 13 0.9% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 3 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Repetition rate
Male
Grade 1 8% 2% 13 -0.5% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2%
Grade 2 9% 2% 13 -0.5% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 3 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 11% 2% 13 -0.7% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 2 11% 2% 13 -0.7% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 3 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Page 48 of 149
Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Private
Promotion rate
Male
Grade 1 83% 95% 13 0.9% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 2 83% 95% 13 0.9% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 3 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 81% 95% 13 1.0% 81% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 2 81% 95% 13 1.1% 81% 82% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 3 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Repetition rate
Male
Grade 1 12% 2% 13 -0.7% 12% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 2 12% 2% 13 -0.7% 12% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 3 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 11% 2% 13 -0.7% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 2 11% 2% 13 -0.7% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 3 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Student enrolments
General 1C
Public 385,720 385,720 430,594 480,269 534,769 568,203 606,725 644,058 677,440 702,013 722,805 742,485 759,954 771,647
Male 194,550 194,550 218,150 244,514 273,236 289,906 308,795 327,956 345,164 357,488 366,281 373,691 379,371 382,444
Grade 1 70,110 70,110 92,980 98,911 103,250 107,299 116,870 122,406 124,869 127,898 129,846 131,210 132,278 131,610
Grade 2 64,710 64,710 65,090 84,877 91,936 96,567 100,772 109,860 115,727 118,647 121,921 124,236 125,971 127,409
Grade 3 59,730 59,730 60,080 60,726 78,049 86,040 91,154 95,691 104,567 110,943 114,514 118,245 121,123 123,425
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Page 49 of 149
Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Female 191,170 191,170 212,443 235,755 261,533 278,297 297,930 316,102 332,277 344,525 356,524 368,794 380,582 389,203
Grade 1 69,030 69,030 89,533 94,422 98,642 104,116 113,485 117,078 120,276 124,257 128,126 131,707 135,030 135,619
Grade 2 63,580 63,580 63,950 81,732 87,685 92,114 97,551 106,544 110,661 114,140 118,312 122,436 126,310 129,952
Grade 3 58,560 58,560 58,960 59,601 75,206 82,067 86,894 92,480 101,340 106,128 110,086 114,652 119,242 123,632
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private 11,000 11,000 11,531 13,145 15,964 20,263 25,775 31,967 38,670 45,622 53,069 61,165 69,842 78,715
Male 5,500 5,500 5,851 6,774 8,324 10,539 13,353 16,554 20,004 23,537 27,186 31,054 35,095 39,186
Grade 1 2,000 2,000 2,151 2,831 3,613 4,480 5,723 6,914 8,048 9,328 10,639 12,006 13,453 14,815
Grade 2 1,800 1,800 1,900 2,045 2,672 3,420 4,254 5,439 6,595 7,700 8,942 10,220 11,556 12,971
Grade 3 1,700 1,700 1,800 1,899 2,039 2,638 3,376 4,201 5,362 6,509 7,606 8,828 10,087 11,401
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 5,500 5,500 5,680 6,371 7,640 9,724 12,422 15,413 18,666 22,085 25,883 30,111 34,747 39,528
Grade 1 2,000 2,000 1,980 2,582 3,309 4,183 5,363 6,401 7,535 8,846 10,291 11,867 13,587 15,181
Grade 2 1,800 1,800 1,900 1,890 2,439 3,132 3,969 5,096 6,108 7,207 8,476 9,880 11,416 13,094
Grade 3 1,700 1,700 1,800 1,899 1,893 2,409 3,091 3,916 5,022 6,032 7,116 8,364 9,744 11,253
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total 396,720 442,124 493,414 550,733 588,466 632,500 676,025 716,110 747,635 775,875 803,650 829,796 850,361
Male 200,050 224,002 251,288 281,560 300,444 322,148 344,510 365,168 381,025 393,468 404,745 414,466 421,631
Grade 1 72,110 95,132 101,742 106,863 111,779 122,593 129,320 132,917 137,226 140,485 143,216 145,730 146,425
Grade 2 66,510 66,990 86,922 94,609 99,987 105,026 115,299 122,322 126,346 130,863 134,456 137,526 140,380
Grade 3 61,430 61,880 62,624 80,088 88,679 94,530 99,892 109,929 117,452 122,120 127,073 131,210 134,825
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 196,670 218,123 242,125 269,173 288,021 310,352 331,515 350,943 366,610 382,407 398,905 415,330 428,731
Grade 1 71,030 91,513 97,004 101,951 108,299 118,848 123,480 127,812 133,103 138,417 143,574 148,617 150,800
Grade 2 65,380 65,850 83,622 90,124 95,246 101,520 111,640 116,769 121,347 126,788 132,316 137,726 143,046
Grade 3 60,260 60,760 61,500 77,098 84,477 89,985 96,396 106,362 112,159 117,203 123,015 128,986 134,885
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Technical 1C
Public 56,770 56,770 70,494 85,727 105,121 122,822 144,242 167,587 192,102 216,642 242,416 270,163 299,603 329,131
Male 27,150 27,150 35,445 43,373 53,364 62,396 73,281 85,403 98,102 110,643 123,234 136,397 149,979 163,486
Grade 1 11,010 11,010 16,295 19,249 22,231 25,443 30,408 34,802 38,683 43,072 47,433 51,900 56,571 60,780

Page 50 of 149
Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 2 10,020 10,020 10,150 14,741 17,693 20,570 23,665 28,354 32,659 36,508 40,823 45,161 49,626 54,316
Grade 3 6,120 6,120 9,000 9,383 13,440 16,383 19,208 22,247 26,760 31,063 34,979 39,336 43,781 48,390
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 29,620 29,620 35,050 42,354 51,756 60,426 70,961 82,184 94,000 105,999 119,182 133,766 149,624 165,644
Grade 1 10,930 10,930 16,310 18,942 21,710 25,064 29,807 33,451 37,327 41,824 46,713 51,961 57,605 62,527
Grade 2 9,840 9,840 9,860 14,449 17,104 19,761 22,954 27,433 31,059 34,880 39,310 44,169 49,422 55,108
Grade 3 8,850 8,850 8,880 8,962 12,942 15,600 18,200 21,300 25,614 29,295 33,159 37,636 42,597 48,010
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private 29,900 29,900 33,483 37,924 43,254 47,493 52,633 57,996 63,318 68,181 73,037 78,120 83,326 88,230
Male 15,177 15,177 16,523 18,444 20,853 22,936 25,514 28,319 31,132 33,700 36,120 38,572 41,014 43,329
Grade 1 5,511 5,511 6,825 7,520 8,190 8,886 10,112 11,065 11,798 12,638 13,425 14,203 15,000 15,645
Grade 2 5,010 5,010 5,071 6,222 6,933 7,593 8,279 9,441 10,395 11,146 11,988 12,791 13,590 14,411
Grade 3 4,656 4,656 4,627 4,702 5,731 6,456 7,123 7,813 8,939 9,916 10,706 11,578 12,425 13,273
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 14,723 14,723 16,960 19,480 22,400 24,557 27,120 29,677 32,186 34,481 36,917 39,549 42,312 44,902
Grade 1 5,470 5,470 7,607 8,254 8,865 9,627 10,807 11,487 12,173 12,985 13,840 14,721 15,635 16,289
Grade 2 4,920 4,920 4,930 6,756 7,478 8,095 8,841 9,969 10,689 11,396 12,225 13,104 14,018 14,973
Grade 3 4,333 4,333 4,423 4,470 6,057 6,835 7,472 8,221 9,324 10,100 10,853 11,724 12,658 13,639
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total 86,670 103,978 123,651 148,374 170,315 196,876 225,583 255,420 284,823 315,453 348,284 382,929 417,361
Male 42,327 51,968 61,817 74,218 85,332 98,795 113,722 129,234 144,343 159,354 174,969 190,993 206,815
Grade 1 16,521 23,120 26,769 30,420 34,330 40,520 45,867 50,481 55,710 60,858 66,103 71,571 76,425
Grade 2 15,030 15,221 20,963 24,626 28,164 31,944 37,795 43,054 47,654 52,811 57,952 63,216 68,726
Grade 3 10,776 13,627 14,085 19,171 22,839 26,331 30,060 35,699 40,979 45,685 50,914 56,206 61,663
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 44,343 52,009 61,834 74,157 84,982 98,081 111,861 126,186 140,480 156,099 173,315 191,936 210,546
Grade 1 16,400 23,917 27,196 30,575 34,692 40,614 44,939 49,500 54,809 60,553 66,682 73,240 78,816
Grade 2 14,760 14,790 21,205 24,582 27,855 31,795 37,401 41,748 46,276 51,535 57,273 63,441 70,081
Grade 3 13,183 13,303 13,433 18,999 22,435 25,672 29,521 34,939 39,395 44,012 49,360 55,255 61,649
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Page 51 of 149
Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Vocational 1C
Public 50,991 50,991 60,070 70,501 76,027 81,015 88,248 95,503 100,609 105,433 110,456 115,322 120,162 124,108
Male 29,000 29,000 33,992 39,669 42,473 44,755 48,231 51,980 54,394 56,343 58,196 59,758 61,184 62,187
Grade 1 15,000 15,000 19,832 21,281 22,421 23,527 25,894 27,407 28,268 29,296 30,109 30,821 31,498 31,787
Grade 2 14,000 14,000 14,160 18,388 20,052 21,228 22,338 24,573 26,126 27,047 28,087 28,937 29,686 30,401
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 21,991 21,991 26,078 30,832 33,554 36,260 40,017 43,522 46,216 49,089 52,260 55,564 58,977 61,921
Grade 1 11,501 11,501 15,583 16,919 18,113 19,592 21,899 23,206 24,500 26,036 27,646 29,298 31,005 32,176
Grade 2 10,490 10,490 10,495 13,914 15,441 16,668 18,118 20,316 21,716 23,054 24,614 26,266 27,973 29,744
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private 34,161 34,161 39,757 44,979 46,090 46,248 47,089 47,400 46,174 44,370 42,216 39,561 36,440 32,640
Male 16,750 16,750 19,569 22,224 22,812 22,796 23,119 23,355 22,804 21,860 20,710 19,302 17,701 15,850
Grade 1 8,700 8,700 11,382 11,742 11,750 11,646 12,029 11,911 11,414 10,897 10,222 9,438 8,572 7,542
Grade 2 8,050 8,050 8,187 10,482 11,061 11,150 11,090 11,444 11,390 10,963 10,489 9,864 9,129 8,308
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 17,411 17,411 20,188 22,755 23,278 23,452 23,970 24,045 23,370 22,510 21,506 20,259 18,739 16,790
Grade 1 9,111 9,111 11,845 12,115 12,125 12,193 12,595 12,265 11,800 11,320 10,726 9,998 9,133 7,978
Grade 2 8,300 8,300 8,343 10,640 11,153 11,259 11,374 11,780 11,570 11,190 10,780 10,260 9,606 8,812
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total 85,152 99,827 115,480 122,117 127,263 135,338 142,902 146,783 149,802 152,672 154,883 156,602 156,748
Male 45,750 53,562 61,893 65,285 67,551 71,351 75,335 77,198 78,203 78,906 79,060 78,885 78,037
Grade 1 23,700 31,214 33,023 34,171 35,173 37,923 39,318 39,682 40,193 40,331 40,259 40,071 39,329
Grade 2 22,050 22,347 28,870 31,113 32,378 33,428 36,017 37,516 38,010 38,575 38,801 38,815 38,708
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 39,402 46,265 53,587 56,832 59,712 63,987 67,567 69,586 71,599 73,766 75,823 77,717 78,711
Grade 1 20,612 27,428 29,034 30,238 31,785 34,495 35,471 36,300 37,356 38,373 39,296 40,138 40,154

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 2 18,790 18,837 24,553 26,594 27,927 29,492 32,096 33,286 34,243 35,394 36,526 37,579 38,557
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Secondary I (total)
Public 493,481 561,158 636,497 715,916 772,040 839,216 907,148 970,152 1,024,087 1,075,677 1,127,970 1,179,718 1,224,885
Male 250,700 287,587 327,556 369,073 397,057 430,308 465,339 497,659 524,474 547,711 569,846 590,534 608,118
Grade 1 96,120 129,108 139,441 147,902 156,269 173,171 184,615 191,820 200,266 207,389 213,931 220,347 224,177
Grade 2 88,730 89,400 118,007 129,682 138,365 146,775 162,787 174,512 182,202 190,830 198,334 205,283 212,126
Grade 3 65,850 69,080 70,109 91,489 102,423 110,362 117,938 131,327 142,006 149,493 157,582 164,904 171,815
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 242,781 273,571 308,941 346,844 374,983 408,908 441,809 472,492 499,613 527,966 558,124 589,184 616,768
Grade 1 91,461 121,426 130,283 138,465 148,773 165,192 173,736 182,103 192,117 202,485 212,966 223,640 230,322
Grade 2 83,910 84,305 110,095 120,231 128,542 138,622 154,293 163,436 172,073 182,236 192,871 203,705 214,804
Grade 3 67,410 67,840 68,563 88,148 97,668 105,094 113,780 126,954 135,423 143,245 152,288 161,839 171,641
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private 75,061 84,771 96,048 105,308 114,003 125,498 137,363 148,162 158,173 168,322 178,846 189,609 199,586
Male 37,427 41,944 47,443 51,989 56,271 61,986 68,228 73,940 79,097 84,016 88,928 93,811 98,365
Grade 1 16,211 20,359 22,093 23,553 25,013 27,865 29,890 31,260 32,863 34,285 35,647 37,025 38,003
Grade 2 14,860 15,158 18,749 20,666 22,163 23,623 26,324 28,380 29,808 31,418 32,875 34,274 35,689
Grade 3 6,356 6,427 6,601 7,770 9,094 10,498 12,014 14,301 16,425 18,312 20,405 22,512 24,674
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 37,634 42,827 48,605 53,318 57,733 63,512 69,135 74,222 79,076 84,306 89,918 95,798 101,220
Grade 1 16,581 21,432 22,951 24,299 26,003 28,765 30,153 31,509 33,151 34,857 36,586 38,355 39,448
Grade 2 15,020 15,173 19,285 21,069 22,486 24,184 26,845 28,367 29,793 31,480 33,245 35,040 36,880
Grade 3 6,033 6,223 6,369 7,950 9,244 10,563 12,137 14,347 16,131 17,969 20,087 22,403 24,892
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total 568,542 645,929 732,545 821,224 886,044 964,714 1,044,511 1,118,314 1,182,260 1,244,000 1,306,816 1,369,327 1,424,471
Male 288,127 329,531 374,999 421,062 453,328 492,294 533,567 571,600 603,571 631,727 658,774 684,345 706,483
Grade 1 112,331 149,466 161,534 171,455 181,282 201,036 214,504 223,080 233,130 241,674 249,578 257,372 262,180
Grade 2 103,590 104,558 136,755 150,348 160,528 170,398 189,111 202,892 212,010 222,249 231,209 239,557 247,815
Grade 3 72,206 75,507 76,709 99,259 111,518 120,860 129,952 145,628 158,431 167,805 177,987 187,416 196,489

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 280,415 316,398 357,546 400,162 432,716 472,419 510,944 546,714 578,689 612,272 648,042 684,982 717,988
Grade 1 108,042 142,858 153,234 162,764 174,776 193,956 203,889 213,611 225,268 237,342 249,552 261,995 269,770
Grade 2 98,930 99,477 129,380 141,300 151,028 162,806 181,137 191,803 201,867 213,716 226,115 238,745 251,683
Grade 3 73,443 74,063 74,932 96,097 106,912 115,657 125,917 141,300 151,554 161,214 172,375 184,242 196,534
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Gross Enrolment Ratios 41% 45% 50% 55% 59% 64% 69% 73% 76% 78% 80% 82% 83%
Public 36% 39% 43% 48% 52% 56% 60% 64% 66% 67% 69% 71% 72%
Male 36% 40% 45% 50% 53% 58% 62% 65% 67% 68% 69% 70% 71%
Female 35% 38% 42% 46% 50% 55% 59% 62% 64% 66% 69% 71% 73%
Private 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 11% 11% 12%
Male 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 9% 10% 10% 10% 11% 11% 11%
Female 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 11% 12% 12%

B. Teaching and other staff

General 1C
Public
Some indicators Student Teacher
Nb of sections 7,710 26 22 <= Weekly 7,710 8,826 10,095 11,527 12,559 13,752 14,970 16,147 17,158 18,116 19,083 20,029 20,855
Student/section ratio 37 12 -2.5% 50 49 48 46 45 44 43 42 41 40 39 38 37
Teacher utilization rate 85% 12 1.2% 74% 75% 76% 77% 77% 78% 79% 80% 81% 82% 83% 84% 85%
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 2,039 2,293 2,562 1,945 2,200 2,246 2,190 1,949 1,873 1,890 1,863 1,694
Total teacher requirements 12,320 13,941 15,761 17,789 19,159 20,737 22,313 23,790 24,989 26,080 27,155 28,173 28,997
Category 1 6,460 6,460 7,283 8,204 9,226 9,900 10,676 11,446 12,159 12,725 13,232 13,727 14,190 14,551
Category 2 2,930 2,930 3,272 3,650 4,065 4,320 4,614 4,899 5,154 5,342 5,501 5,653 5,787 5,877
Category 3 1,430 1,430 1,600 1,788 1,995 2,124 2,273 2,418 2,548 2,646 2,730 2,811 2,883 2,933
Category 4 1,500 1,500 1,786 2,119 2,503 2,815 3,174 3,551 3,929 4,275 4,616 4,965 5,314 5,635
Ratio Category 1 50.0% 13 -0.4% 52% 52% 52% 52% 52% 51% 51% 51% 51% 51% 51% 50% 50%
Ratio Category 2 20.0% 13 -1.3% 24% 23% 23% 23% 23% 22% 22% 22% 21% 21% 21% 21% 20%
Ratio Category 3 10.0% 13 -1.1% 12% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10% 10%
Ratio Category 4 20.0% 13 3.9% 12% 13% 13% 14% 15% 15% 16% 17% 17% 18% 18% 19% 19%
New other staff requirements 0 429 550 704 736 927 1,116 1,315 1,490 1,737 2,059 2,422 2,773
Total other staff requirements 1,330 1,707 2,192 2,811 3,444 4,243 5,203 6,328 7,590 9,056 10,791 12,828 15,147
New technical assistants required 0 86 117 159 182 242 309 388 470 580 724 897 1,085
Total technical assistants require 210 3% <= Attrition rate 210 287 392 535 697 911 1,185 1,527 1,938 2,445 3,077 3,858 4,799
Ratio Technical assistants 20.0% 13 20.9% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 14% 17%
New supervisory staff required 0 178 223 280 282 348 408 467 511 577 662 753 829
Total supervisory staff required 590 3% <= Attrition rate 590 745 940 1,185 1,424 1,721 2,067 2,460 2,884 3,360 3,905 4,522 5,195

Page 54 of 149
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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Ratio Supervisory staff 20.0% 13 11.6% 5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 10% 12% 13% 14% 16% 18%
New workers and others required 0 165 210 265 271 337 398 460 510 581 673 772 859
Total workers and others required 530 3% <= Attrition rate 530 675 859 1,091 1,322 1,611 1,951 2,341 2,768 3,251 3,810 4,448 5,153
Ratio Workers and others 20.0% 13 12.5% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 14% 16% 18%

Private
Some indicators Student Teacher
Nb of sections 250 26 22 <= Weekly 250 266 308 379 488 630 792 972 1,164 1,374 1,606 1,861 2,127
Student/section ratio 37 12 -1.4% 44 43 43 42 42 41 40 40 39 39 38 38 37
Teacher utilization rate 85% 12 2.4% 64% 66% 67% 69% 71% 72% 74% 76% 77% 79% 81% 83% 85%
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 32 78 130 192 244 274 298 311 333 362 388 399
Total teacher requirements 460 478 540 650 818 1,031 1,267 1,519 1,777 2,048 2,340 2,648 2,958
Category 1 200 200 210 240 292 371 473 588 712 842 981 1,133 1,296 1,463
Category 2 130 130 132 145 170 208 255 305 356 406 456 507 559 608
Category 3 100 100 98 104 118 140 166 193 217 239 260 280 298 314
Category 4 30 30 38 51 70 99 137 182 233 289 351 420 495 573
Ratio Category 1 50.0% 13 1.1% 43% 44% 44% 45% 45% 46% 46% 47% 47% 48% 48% 49% 49%
Ratio Category 2 20.0% 13 -2.6% 28% 28% 27% 26% 25% 25% 24% 23% 23% 22% 22% 21% 21%
Ratio Category 3 10.0% 13 -5.8% 22% 20% 19% 18% 17% 16% 15% 14% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11%
Ratio Category 4 20.0% 13 9.0% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 19%
New other staff requirements 0 8 14 23 38 57 79 107 140 185 246 322 412
Total other staff requirements 30 37 50 71 106 158 230 327 454 621 841 1,129 1,496
New technical assistants required 0 3 5 8 13 19 26 36 47 62 82 107 137
Total technical assistants require 10 3% <= Attrition rate 10 12 17 24 35 53 77 109 151 207 280 376 499
Ratio Technical assistants 20.0% 13 18.6% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 10% 12% 14% 17%
New supervisory staff required 0 3 5 8 13 19 26 36 47 62 82 107 137
Total supervisory staff required 10 3% <= Attrition rate 10 12 17 24 35 53 77 109 151 207 280 376 499
Ratio Supervisory staff 20.0% 13 18.6% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 10% 12% 14% 17%
New workers and others required 0 3 5 8 13 19 26 36 47 62 82 107 137
Total workers and others required 10 3% <= Attrition rate 10 12 17 24 35 53 77 109 151 207 280 376 499
Ratio Workers and others 20.0% 13 18.6% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 10% 12% 14% 17%

S/Total
Some indicators
Nb of sections 7,960 9,092 10,402 11,906 13,047 14,382 15,762 17,119 18,322 19,490 20,689 21,890 22,983
New teacher requirements 0 2,071 2,371 2,691 2,137 2,444 2,520 2,488 2,259 2,207 2,252 2,251 2,092
Total teacher requirements 12,780 14,419 16,301 18,439 19,977 21,768 23,580 25,309 26,765 28,128 29,495 30,821 31,955
Category 1 6,660 7,493 8,444 9,518 10,271 11,149 12,034 12,871 13,567 14,213 14,860 15,486 16,015
Category 2 3,060 3,403 3,795 4,234 4,528 4,869 5,204 5,510 5,748 5,957 6,159 6,345 6,485
Category 3 1,530 1,698 1,892 2,113 2,264 2,439 2,610 2,766 2,886 2,990 3,090 3,181 3,247
Category 4 1,530 1,825 2,170 2,574 2,914 3,310 3,732 4,162 4,565 4,967 5,385 5,809 6,208
New other staff requirements 0 437 564 727 774 984 1,195 1,422 1,630 1,923 2,305 2,744 3,185
Total other staff requirements 1,330 1,744 2,241 2,882 3,549 4,401 5,433 6,655 8,044 9,677 11,633 13,958 16,643
New technical assistants required 0 88 122 167 195 261 336 423 516 642 806 1,004 1,222

Page 55 of 149
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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Total technical assistants required 220 300 409 559 732 964 1,262 1,636 2,090 2,652 3,357 4,234 5,297
New supervisory staff required 0 180 228 288 295 367 434 502 558 638 744 860 966
Total supervisory staff required 600 758 957 1,208 1,460 1,773 2,144 2,569 3,035 3,567 4,185 4,899 5,694
New workers and others required 0 168 214 273 284 356 425 496 556 643 755 879 996
Total workers and others required 540 687 875 1,115 1,358 1,664 2,028 2,450 2,919 3,458 4,090 4,825 5,652

Technical 1C
Public
Some indicators Student Teacher
Nb of sections 1,810 26 22 <= Weekly 1,810 2,217 2,659 3,216 3,706 4,293 4,919 5,562 6,187 6,828 7,506 8,210 8,895
Student/section ratio 37 12 1.4% 31 32 32 33 33 34 34 35 35 36 36 36 37
Teacher utilization rate 85% 12 1.6% 70% 71% 72% 74% 75% 76% 77% 78% 80% 81% 82% 84% 85%
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 736 793 980 868 1,020 1,079 1,099 1,068 1,089 1,138 1,171 1,140
Total teacher requirements 3,050 3,676 4,339 5,165 5,857 6,677 7,530 8,378 9,171 9,961 10,775 11,599 12,368
Category 1 1,550 1,550 1,866 3,233 3,826 4,314 4,889 5,481 6,064 6,600 7,128 7,668 8,209 8,705
Category 2 750 750 890 1,106 1,339 1,544 1,788 2,049 2,314 2,571 2,833 3,107 3,390 3,663
Category 3 550 550 634 715 813 881 960 1,034 1,100 1,151 1,194 1,235 1,270 1,294
Category 4 200 200 287 391 526 663 829 1,014 1,214 1,420 1,638 1,873 2,120 2,369
Ratio Category 1 50.0% 13 -0.1% 51% 51% 51% 51% 51% 51% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50%
Ratio Category 2 20.0% 13 -1.6% 25% 24% 24% 23% 23% 23% 22% 22% 22% 21% 21% 21% 20%
Ratio Category 3 10.0% 13 -4.4% 18% 17% 16% 16% 15% 14% 14% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10%
Ratio Category 4 20.0% 13 9.0% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19%
New other staff requirements 0 128 162 225 248 327 404 486 568 679 821 984 1,143
Total other staff requirements 350 478 641 865 1,114 1,441 1,845 2,332 2,899 3,578 4,399 5,382 6,525
New technical assistants required 0 39 49 69 78 104 130 159 188 227 278 337 396
Total technical assistants require 100 3% <= Attrition rate 100 139 188 257 335 439 569 727 915 1,142 1,420 1,756 2,152
Ratio Technical assistants 20.0% 13 14.9% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 13% 15% 17%
New supervisory staff required 0 51 63 86 92 120 144 169 192 224 265 310 351
Total supervisory staff required 150 3% <= Attrition rate 150 201 265 351 444 563 708 877 1,069 1,294 1,559 1,869 2,221
Ratio Supervisory staff 20.0% 13 11.4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 10% 12% 13% 14% 16% 18%
New workers and others required 0 39 49 69 78 104 130 159 188 227 278 337 396
Total workers and others required 100 3% <= Attrition rate 100 139 188 257 335 439 569 727 915 1,142 1,420 1,756 2,152
Ratio Workers and others 20.0% 13 14.9% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 13% 15% 17%

Private
Some indicators Student Teacher
Nb of sections 1,330 26 22 <= Weekly 1,330 1,429 1,553 1,699 1,789 1,902 2,011 2,106 2,176 2,236 2,294 2,348 2,385
Student/section ratio 37 12 4.2% 22 23 24 25 27 28 29 30 31 33 34 35 37
Teacher utilization rate 85% 12 2.2% 65% 67% 68% 70% 71% 73% 74% 76% 78% 80% 81% 83% 85%
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 198 240 276 177 211 201 176 133 117 112 103 78
Total teacher requirements 2,410 2,533 2,692 2,881 2,968 3,087 3,192 3,270 3,304 3,321 3,334 3,337 3,315
Category 1 1,050 1,050 1,115 1,198 1,296 1,349 1,418 1,482 1,534 1,567 1,592 1,615 1,633 1,640
Category 2 700 700 715 738 768 769 777 780 777 763 745 727 707 682
Category 3 340 340 348 360 375 377 381 384 383 377 369 361 352 340

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Category 4 320 320 355 395 442 474 511 545 575 597 615 631 645 652
Ratio Category 1 50.0% 13 1.1% 44% 44% 45% 45% 45% 46% 46% 47% 47% 48% 48% 49% 49%
Ratio Category 2 20.0% 13 -2.8% 29% 28% 27% 27% 26% 25% 24% 24% 23% 22% 22% 21% 21%
Ratio Category 3 10.0% 13 -2.6% 14% 14% 13% 13% 13% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10%
Ratio Category 4 20.0% 13 3.2% 13% 14% 15% 15% 16% 17% 17% 18% 18% 19% 19% 19% 20%
New other staff requirements 0 15 22 31 38 54 73 96 123 161 212 279 359
Total other staff requirements 40 55 77 108 147 201 273 369 492 653 865 1,144 1,503
New technical assistants required 0 7 10 13 16 22 28 36 44 55 70 89 110
Total technical assistants require 20 3% <= Attrition rate 20 27 36 50 66 87 115 151 194 250 320 409 519
Ratio Technical assistants 20.0% 13 27.7% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 10% 12% 16%
New supervisory staff required 0 4 6 9 11 16 22 30 40 53 71 95 125
Total supervisory staff required 10 3% <= Attrition rate 10 14 20 29 41 57 79 109 149 202 273 368 492
Ratio Supervisory staff 20.0% 13 34.7% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 11% 15%
New workers and others required 0 4 6 9 11 16 22 30 40 53 71 95 125
Total workers and others required 10 3% <= Attrition rate 10 14 20 29 41 57 79 109 149 202 273 368 492
Ratio Workers and others 20.0% 13 34.7% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 11% 15%

S/Total
Some indicators
Nb of sections 3,140 3,646 4,211 4,915 5,495 6,195 6,930 7,668 8,362 9,064 9,800 10,557 11,280
New teacher requirements 0 935 1,033 1,256 1,045 1,231 1,280 1,276 1,201 1,206 1,250 1,275 1,218
Total teacher requirements 5,460 6,209 7,031 8,046 8,826 9,764 10,722 11,648 12,475 13,282 14,109 14,936 15,683
Category 1 2,600 2,981 4,431 5,121 5,663 6,307 6,963 7,598 8,167 8,720 9,283 9,842 10,345
Category 2 1,450 1,605 1,844 2,107 2,313 2,565 2,829 3,091 3,334 3,578 3,834 4,097 4,345
Category 3 890 981 1,075 1,188 1,258 1,341 1,419 1,483 1,528 1,563 1,596 1,622 1,635
Category 4 520 642 787 968 1,137 1,339 1,560 1,790 2,018 2,254 2,504 2,765 3,021
New other staff requirements 0 144 184 256 287 382 477 582 690 839 1,033 1,263 1,502
Total other staff requirements 390 534 718 973 1,260 1,642 2,119 2,701 3,391 4,231 5,264 6,527 8,029
New technical assistants required 0 45 59 83 94 125 158 194 231 282 348 426 506
Total technical assistants required 120 165 224 307 401 526 684 878 1,109 1,392 1,740 2,165 2,672
New supervisory staff required 0 56 70 95 104 136 167 200 232 277 336 405 476
Total supervisory staff required 160 216 285 380 484 620 787 986 1,218 1,495 1,832 2,237 2,713
New workers and others required 0 43 56 78 89 120 152 189 227 280 349 432 520
Total workers and others required 110 153 208 286 376 496 648 837 1,064 1,344 1,692 2,124 2,645

Vocational 1C
Public
Some indicators Student Teacher
Nb of sections 1,350 26 22 <= Weekly 1,350 1,593 1,873 2,023 2,160 2,357 2,555 2,696 2,830 2,970 3,106 3,242 3,354
Student/section ratio 37 12 -0.2% 38 38 38 38 38 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37
Teacher utilization rate 85% 12 4.0% 53% 55% 58% 60% 62% 65% 67% 70% 73% 76% 79% 82% 85%
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 506 560 270 230 332 319 204 182 183 168 159 118
Total teacher requirements 2,990 3,394 3,839 3,989 4,096 4,299 4,483 4,551 4,595 4,639 4,667 4,686 4,664
Category 1 1,250 1,250 1,439 1,650 1,738 1,809 1,925 2,036 2,095 2,145 2,195 2,239 2,279 2,300

Page 57 of 149
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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Category 2 840 840 929 1,023 1,036 1,036 1,060 1,077 1,065 1,047 1,030 1,010 987 957
Category 3 450 450 495 542 546 544 553 559 550 538 526 513 499 481
Category 4 450 450 532 623 669 707 761 812 842 865 888 906 920 925
Ratio Category 1 50.0% 13 1.4% 42% 42% 43% 44% 44% 45% 45% 46% 47% 47% 48% 49% 49%
Ratio Category 2 20.0% 13 -2.6% 28% 27% 27% 26% 25% 25% 24% 23% 23% 22% 22% 21% 21%
Ratio Category 3 10.0% 13 -3.1% 15% 15% 14% 14% 13% 13% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11% 10%
Ratio Category 4 20.0% 13 2.2% 15% 16% 16% 17% 17% 18% 18% 18% 19% 19% 19% 20% 20%
New other staff requirements 0 118 146 111 117 158 176 165 177 199 217 238 244
Total other staff requirements 450 568 714 825 942 1,100 1,275 1,440 1,618 1,816 2,033 2,271 2,515
New technical assistants required 0 36 45 36 38 51 58 56 61 69 76 85 88
Total technical assistants require 130 3% <= Attrition rate 130 166 211 247 285 336 394 450 511 580 656 741 829
Ratio Technical assistants 20.0% 13 12.5% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 13% 14% 16% 18%
New supervisory staff required 0 43 52 38 40 54 59 54 57 63 68 74 74
Total supervisory staff required 170 3% <= Attrition rate 170 213 265 303 343 396 455 509 567 630 698 772 847
Ratio Supervisory staff 20.0% 13 10.2% 6% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 14% 15% 16% 18%
New workers and others required 0 39 49 37 39 53 59 55 59 66 72 79 81
Total workers and others required 150 3% <= Attrition rate 150 189 238 275 314 367 426 481 540 606 678 758 839
Ratio Workers and others 20.0% 13 11.2% 5% 6% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 11% 12% 13% 15% 16% 18%

Private
Some indicators Student Teacher
Nb of sections 900 26 22 <= Weekly 900 1,050 1,190 1,222 1,229 1,254 1,265 1,235 1,189 1,134 1,065 983 882
Student/section ratio 37 12 -0.2% 38 38 38 38 38 38 37 37 37 37 37 37 37
Teacher utilization rate 85% 12 1.5% 71% 72% 73% 74% 75% 77% 78% 79% 80% 81% 82% 84% 85%
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 275 259 81 40 68 46 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total teacher requirements 1,498 1,721 1,922 1,945 1,926 1,936 1,924 1,850 1,755 1,649 1,525 1,387 1,227
Category 1 750 750 862 962 973 964 969 963 926 878 825 763 694 613
Category 2 680 680 734 769 731 680 641 598 540 481 424 369 315 261
Category 3 27 27 35 45 52 59 67 76 84 91 97 103 107 108
Category 4 41 41 91 146 189 224 259 287 300 305 302 291 272 244
Ratio Category 1 50.0% 13 0.0% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50%
Ratio Category 2 20.0% 13 -6.1% 45% 43% 40% 38% 35% 33% 31% 29% 27% 26% 24% 23% 21%
Ratio Category 3 10.0% 13 14.1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9%
Ratio Category 4 20.0% 13 16.5% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 13% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 20% 20%
New other staff requirements 0 65 72 45 41 52 51 37 30 25 16 5 0
Total other staff requirements 240 305 377 422 463 515 566 603 633 658 674 679 665
New technical assistants required 0 22 24 15 14 17 17 12 10 8 5 1 0
Total technical assistants require 80 3% <= Attrition rate 80 102 126 141 154 172 189 201 211 220 225 226 222
Ratio Technical assistants 20.0% 13 10.7% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 16% 18%
New supervisory staff required 0 23 26 15 13 17 17 11 9 7 3 0 0
Total supervisory staff required 90 3% <= Attrition rate 90 113 139 154 168 185 201 212 221 228 231 231 224
Ratio Supervisory staff 20.0% 13 9.7% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 13% 14% 15% 17% 18%
New workers and others required 0 20 22 15 14 17 18 13 12 10 7 4 0
Total workers and others required 70 3% <= Attrition rate 70 90 112 127 141 158 176 189 201 211 218 222 219

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Ratio Workers and others 20.0% 13 11.8% 5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 13% 14% 16% 18%

S/Total
Some indicators
Nb of sections 2,250 2,643 3,063 3,245 3,389 3,610 3,819 3,931 4,019 4,104 4,171 4,225 4,236
New teacher requirements 0 781 818 350 269 400 364 204 182 183 168 159 118
Total teacher requirements 4,488 5,115 5,761 5,933 6,022 6,235 6,407 6,401 6,351 6,288 6,192 6,073 5,890
Category 1 2,000 2,300 2,612 2,711 2,773 2,894 2,998 3,021 3,023 3,020 3,002 2,973 2,913
Category 2 1,520 1,662 1,793 1,767 1,716 1,701 1,675 1,605 1,529 1,454 1,378 1,302 1,219
Category 3 477 530 588 598 602 620 635 633 629 623 616 606 589
Category 4 491 622 769 857 930 1,020 1,099 1,142 1,171 1,190 1,197 1,192 1,169
New other staff requirements 0 183 218 156 158 210 227 201 208 224 232 243 244
Total other staff requirements 690 873 1,091 1,247 1,405 1,615 1,842 2,043 2,251 2,475 2,707 2,950 3,179
New technical assistants required 0 58 69 51 52 69 75 68 71 78 81 86 88
Total technical assistants required 210 268 337 387 439 508 583 651 722 800 881 967 1,051
New supervisory staff required 0 66 78 54 53 71 76 65 66 70 72 74 74
Total supervisory staff required 260 326 404 457 510 581 657 722 788 858 929 1,003 1,070
New workers and others required 0 59 71 52 53 70 76 68 71 76 79 83 81
Total workers and others required 220 279 351 402 455 525 602 670 741 817 897 979 1,058

C. Textbooks and teaching guides

C1. A textbook per subject per student; a teaching guide per subject per teacher

General 1C
Public
Textbooks 3,085,760 3,444,748 3,842,151 4,278,149 4,545,625 4,853,800 5,152,465 5,419,522 5,616,100 5,782,442 5,939,881 6,079,628 6,173,174
Grade 1 8 1,113,120 1,460,108 1,546,663 1,615,135 1,691,317 1,842,839 1,915,874 1,961,166 2,017,240 2,063,781 2,103,332 2,138,461 2,137,834
Grade 2 8 1,026,320 1,032,320 1,332,875 1,436,975 1,509,446 1,586,579 1,731,229 1,811,100 1,862,293 1,921,860 1,973,376 2,018,249 2,058,886
Grade 3 8 946,320 952,320 962,613 1,226,039 1,344,863 1,424,381 1,505,362 1,647,256 1,736,567 1,796,801 1,863,174 1,922,918 1,976,454
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 114,671 129,757 146,700 165,575 178,326 193,013 207,683 221,427 232,588 242,742 252,752 262,226 269,892
Grade 1 11 41,365 54,999 59,054 62,510 66,351 73,281 77,224 80,128 83,543 86,636 89,500 92,236 93,467
Grade 2 11 38,139 38,885 50,891 55,614 59,216 63,091 69,782 73,997 77,126 80,678 83,970 87,051 90,015
Grade 3 11 35,166 35,872 36,754 47,451 52,759 56,641 60,677 67,302 71,919 75,428 79,281 82,939 86,411
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private
Textbooks 88,000 92,248 105,159 127,715 162,101 206,203 255,738 309,360 364,977 424,555 489,318 558,739 629,718
Grade 1 8 32,000 33,048 43,307 55,376 69,308 88,689 106,521 124,664 145,394 167,435 190,987 216,319 239,969

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 2 8 28,800 30,400 31,476 40,886 52,413 65,782 84,281 101,626 119,254 139,344 160,798 183,770 208,520
Grade 3 8 27,200 28,800 30,377 31,453 40,380 51,733 64,936 83,070 100,329 117,776 137,532 158,651 181,229
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 4,282 4,448 5,026 6,050 7,611 9,595 11,795 14,141 16,536 19,064 21,778 24,647 27,531
Grade 1 11 1,557 1,594 2,070 2,623 3,254 4,127 4,913 5,699 6,587 7,519 8,500 9,542 10,491
Grade 2 11 1,401 1,466 1,504 1,937 2,461 3,061 3,887 4,646 5,403 6,257 7,157 8,106 9,117
Grade 3 11 1,323 1,389 1,452 1,490 1,896 2,407 2,995 3,797 4,546 5,289 6,121 6,998 7,923
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total
Textbooks 3,173,760 3,536,996 3,947,310 4,405,863 4,707,727 5,060,003 5,408,203 5,728,881 5,981,077 6,206,997 6,429,198 6,638,368 6,802,892
Grade 1 1,145,120 1,493,156 1,589,969 1,670,511 1,760,625 1,931,528 2,022,395 2,085,830 2,162,634 2,231,216 2,294,319 2,354,780 2,377,803
Grade 2 1,055,120 1,062,720 1,364,351 1,477,861 1,561,859 1,652,361 1,815,509 1,912,726 1,981,547 2,061,205 2,134,174 2,202,019 2,267,406
Grade 3 973,520 981,120 992,990 1,257,492 1,385,243 1,476,114 1,570,299 1,730,326 1,836,896 1,914,577 2,000,706 2,081,569 2,157,683
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 118,952 134,205 151,726 171,625 185,937 202,608 219,478 235,568 249,123 261,807 274,530 286,873 297,424
Grade 1 42,922 56,593 61,124 65,133 69,605 77,408 82,137 85,826 90,130 94,154 98,000 101,778 103,958
Grade 2 39,541 40,351 52,396 57,551 61,677 66,152 73,669 78,642 82,529 86,935 91,127 95,157 99,131
Grade 3 36,490 37,261 38,206 48,941 54,655 59,048 63,672 71,100 76,464 80,717 85,402 89,938 94,334
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Technical 1C
Public
Textbooks 283,850 352,472 428,634 525,603 614,110 721,212 837,937 960,510 1,083,211 1,212,079 1,350,816 1,498,014 1,645,654
Grade 1 5 109,700 163,024 190,957 219,706 252,538 301,076 341,266 380,048 424,479 470,729 519,304 570,880 616,537
Grade 2 5 99,300 100,050 145,950 173,987 201,655 233,094 278,934 318,593 356,942 400,664 446,648 495,242 547,119
Grade 3 5 74,850 89,399 91,727 131,909 159,917 187,042 217,737 261,870 301,790 340,687 384,864 431,892 481,999
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 18,065 21,774 25,702 30,592 34,694 39,549 44,601 49,625 54,321 59,000 63,823 68,701 73,256
Grade 1 7 6,982 10,071 11,450 12,788 14,267 16,510 18,165 19,635 21,287 22,913 24,536 26,181 27,445
Grade 2 7 6,320 6,181 8,752 10,127 11,392 12,782 14,847 16,460 17,900 19,503 21,103 22,712 24,355
Grade 3 7 4,764 5,523 5,500 7,678 9,034 10,257 11,590 13,529 15,134 16,583 18,184 19,807 21,456
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private
Textbooks 149,500 167,415 189,621 216,268 237,464 263,166 289,979 316,592 340,906 365,184 390,602 416,632 441,152
Grade 1 5 54,905 72,161 78,869 85,274 92,569 104,594 112,763 119,856 128,118 136,324 144,619 153,178 159,671
Grade 2 5 49,650 50,004 64,890 72,053 78,440 85,599 97,046 105,418 112,711 121,063 129,477 138,040 146,919
Grade 3 5 44,945 45,250 45,862 58,941 66,455 72,973 80,171 91,318 100,077 107,797 116,506 125,415 134,562
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 14,275 15,000 15,943 17,063 17,581 18,284 18,905 19,369 19,571 19,673 19,746 19,764 19,638
Grade 1 7 5,242 6,466 6,631 6,728 6,854 7,267 7,352 7,333 7,355 7,344 7,311 7,266 7,108
Grade 2 7 4,741 4,480 5,456 5,685 5,807 5,947 6,327 6,449 6,471 6,522 6,545 6,548 6,540
Grade 3 7 4,291 4,054 3,856 4,650 4,920 5,070 5,227 5,587 5,745 5,807 5,890 5,949 5,990
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total
Textbooks 433,350 519,888 618,254 741,871 851,574 984,378 1,127,916 1,277,102 1,424,117 1,577,264 1,741,418 1,914,646 2,086,806
Grade 1 164,605 235,185 269,826 304,979 345,108 405,670 454,028 499,904 552,597 607,053 663,922 724,058 776,208
Grade 2 148,950 150,054 210,840 246,041 280,094 318,693 375,980 424,011 469,653 521,726 576,125 633,281 694,038
Grade 3 119,795 134,648 137,588 190,851 226,372 260,015 297,908 353,187 401,867 448,484 501,370 557,307 616,561
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 32,340 36,775 41,645 47,655 52,275 57,832 63,506 68,993 73,892 78,673 83,569 88,465 92,894
Grade 1 12,224 16,537 18,082 19,516 21,121 23,777 25,516 26,968 28,642 30,258 31,847 33,448 34,553
Grade 2 11,061 10,661 14,207 15,811 17,200 18,729 21,174 22,909 24,371 26,025 27,649 29,261 30,895
Grade 3 9,055 9,577 9,356 12,328 13,955 15,327 16,816 19,116 20,880 22,391 24,074 25,756 27,446
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Vocational 1C
Public
Textbooks 152,973 180,210 211,503 228,082 243,045 264,745 286,508 301,828 316,298 331,368 345,966 360,486 372,323
Grade 1 3 79,503 106,246 114,597 121,602 129,358 143,379 151,840 158,303 165,997 173,267 180,358 187,509 191,889
Grade 2 3 73,470 73,964 96,906 106,480 113,686 121,367 134,668 143,526 150,301 158,101 165,608 172,976 180,434
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 12,650 14,360 16,240 16,875 17,328 18,188 18,967 19,253 19,442 19,627 19,746 19,825 19,731

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 1 5 6,574 8,466 8,799 8,997 9,223 9,850 10,052 10,098 10,203 10,263 10,294 10,312 10,169
Grade 2 5 6,076 5,894 7,441 7,878 8,105 8,338 8,915 9,155 9,239 9,364 9,452 9,513 9,562
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private
Textbooks 102,483 119,271 134,937 138,269 138,744 141,267 142,199 138,522 133,109 126,649 118,683 109,320 97,921
Grade 1 3 53,433 69,681 71,572 71,626 71,516 73,874 72,526 69,643 66,650 62,844 58,309 53,115 46,561
Grade 2 3 49,050 49,590 63,365 66,643 67,227 67,393 69,673 68,879 66,459 63,805 60,374 56,205 51,360
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 6,338 7,282 8,133 8,227 8,150 8,192 8,141 7,829 7,427 6,976 6,453 5,868 5,189
Grade 1 5 3,304 4,254 4,314 4,262 4,201 4,284 4,152 3,936 3,719 3,461 3,171 2,851 2,467
Grade 2 5 3,033 3,028 3,819 3,965 3,949 3,908 3,989 3,893 3,708 3,514 3,283 3,017 2,722
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total
Textbooks 255,456 299,481 346,441 366,351 381,789 406,013 428,707 440,350 449,407 458,016 464,649 469,806 470,245
Grade 1 132,936 175,927 186,170 193,228 200,875 217,252 224,366 227,946 232,647 236,111 238,666 240,625 238,450
Grade 2 122,520 123,554 160,271 173,123 180,914 188,760 204,341 212,405 216,760 221,906 225,982 229,181 231,795
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 18,988 21,641 24,373 25,102 25,478 26,380 27,107 27,082 26,869 26,603 26,199 25,694 24,920
Grade 1 9,879 12,720 13,113 13,259 13,423 14,134 14,204 14,034 13,922 13,724 13,464 13,164 12,636
Grade 2 9,109 8,921 11,260 11,844 12,054 12,246 12,903 13,048 12,947 12,879 12,735 12,530 12,284
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

C2. Application of the new textbook policy

General 1C
Public Stock of books available
Textbooks 900,000 Life span 900,000 2,544,748 397,402 1,335,998 2,812,225 705,577 1,634,663 3,079,281 902,155 1,801,005 3,236,720 1,041,903 1,894,551

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 1 300,000 3 300,000 1,160,108 86,555 368,472 1,236,291 238,077 441,507 1,281,583 294,150 488,048 1,321,133 329,280 487,421
Grade 2 300,000 3 300,000 732,320 300,555 404,101 804,790 377,689 548,750 884,661 428,882 608,317 936,177 473,756 648,954
Grade 3 300,000 3 300,000 652,320 10,293 563,426 771,144 89,811 644,407 913,037 179,123 704,640 979,410 238,867 758,176
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 45,000 45,000 84,757 16,943 18,875 57,751 99,443 31,614 32,618 68,912 109,598 41,623 42,093 76,578
Grade 1 15,000 4 15,000 39,999 4,055 3,455 18,841 46,930 7,998 6,359 22,256 50,023 10,862 9,095 23,487
Grade 2 15,000 4 15,000 23,885 12,006 4,723 18,601 27,760 18,697 8,938 21,731 31,313 21,989 12,019 24,695
Grade 3 15,000 4 15,000 20,872 882 10,696 20,309 24,754 4,919 17,321 24,925 28,263 8,772 20,979 28,397
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private
Textbooks 6,000 Life span 6,000 86,248 12,911 28,556 120,634 57,013 78,090 174,257 112,630 137,668 239,019 182,052 208,647
Grade 1 2,000 3 2,000 31,048 10,259 14,069 44,980 29,640 31,901 63,123 50,370 53,942 86,675 75,702 77,592
Grade 2 2,000 3 2,000 28,400 1,076 11,410 39,928 14,444 29,909 57,273 32,072 49,999 78,727 55,043 74,749
Grade 3 2,000 3 2,000 26,800 1,577 3,076 35,727 12,929 16,280 53,861 30,187 33,728 73,617 51,306 56,306
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 600 600 3,848 578 1,024 2,161 5,833 2,777 3,370 4,555 8,362 5,490 6,240 7,440
Grade 1 200 4 200 1,394 476 553 831 2,267 1,262 1,339 1,719 3,198 2,244 2,381 2,669
Grade 2 200 4 200 1,266 38 432 724 1,866 864 1,191 1,482 2,720 1,764 2,141 2,492
Grade 3 200 4 200 1,189 63 38 606 1,700 651 840 1,354 2,443 1,483 1,718 2,279
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total
Textbooks 906,000 2,630,996 410,314 1,364,554 2,932,860 762,590 1,712,753 3,253,538 1,014,785 1,938,674 3,475,739 1,223,955 2,103,198
Grade 1 302,000 1,191,156 96,813 382,541 1,281,270 267,717 473,408 1,344,705 344,521 541,990 1,407,808 404,982 565,013
Grade 2 302,000 760,720 301,631 415,510 844,718 392,133 578,658 941,934 460,954 658,316 1,014,904 528,799 723,703
Grade 3 302,000 679,120 11,870 566,502 806,871 102,740 660,687 966,898 209,310 738,368 1,053,027 290,173 814,483
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 45,600 88,605 17,521 19,899 59,912 105,277 34,391 35,989 73,467 117,960 47,114 48,332 84,018
Grade 1 15,200 41,393 4,531 4,009 19,672 49,196 9,260 7,698 23,976 53,221 13,106 11,476 26,155
Grade 2 15,200 25,151 12,044 5,155 19,326 29,626 19,561 10,129 23,212 34,033 23,753 14,159 27,186
Grade 3 15,200 22,061 945 10,735 20,915 26,454 5,569 18,162 26,279 30,706 10,255 22,697 30,676
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Technical 1C
Public
Textbooks 21,000 Life span 21,000 331,472 76,161 117,969 419,980 183,263 234,695 542,552 305,964 363,563 681,289 453,162 511,203
Grade 1 7,000 3 7,000 156,024 27,933 35,749 188,856 76,470 75,939 227,638 120,902 122,189 276,213 172,478 167,846
Grade 2 7,000 3 7,000 93,050 45,900 35,037 120,717 77,339 80,878 160,376 115,689 124,599 206,360 164,283 176,476
Grade 3 7,000 3 7,000 82,399 2,328 47,183 110,406 29,454 77,878 154,538 69,374 116,774 198,716 116,401 166,882
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 600 600 21,174 3,950 4,890 4,680 26,029 9,002 9,913 9,377 30,708 13,826 14,791 13,932
Grade 1 200 4 200 9,871 1,379 1,337 1,680 12,114 3,034 2,808 3,331 13,740 4,657 4,453 4,595
Grade 2 200 4 200 5,981 2,571 1,375 1,466 7,370 4,636 2,988 2,906 8,973 6,236 4,597 4,549
Grade 3 200 4 200 5,323 0 2,177 1,534 6,545 1,333 4,117 3,139 7,994 2,933 5,740 4,788
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private
Textbooks 9,000 Life span 9,000 158,415 22,205 35,647 179,612 47,907 62,460 206,225 72,221 86,739 231,642 98,251 111,258
Grade 1 3,000 3 3,000 69,161 6,708 9,404 76,457 18,733 17,573 83,551 26,994 25,779 91,845 35,553 32,273
Grade 2 3,000 3 3,000 47,004 14,886 10,163 53,391 22,045 21,610 61,763 29,338 29,962 70,178 37,900 38,841
Grade 3 3,000 3 3,000 42,250 612 16,080 49,764 7,129 23,278 60,911 15,889 30,998 69,620 24,798 40,145
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 300 300 14,700 1,141 1,120 718 15,304 1,763 1,583 920 15,406 1,836 1,602 794
Grade 1 100 4 100 6,366 166 97 226 6,779 250 78 248 6,768 217 33 89
Grade 2 100 4 100 4,380 976 229 223 4,520 1,355 351 244 4,571 1,379 354 236
Grade 3 100 4 100 3,954 0 794 270 4,006 157 1,154 428 4,068 239 1,214 469
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total
Textbooks 30,000 489,888 98,367 153,616 599,591 231,170 297,155 748,777 378,185 450,301 912,931 551,413 622,461
Grade 1 10,000 225,185 34,641 45,154 265,313 95,203 93,512 311,189 147,896 147,968 368,058 208,032 200,118
Grade 2 10,000 140,054 60,786 45,201 174,108 99,384 102,488 222,139 145,026 154,561 276,538 202,183 215,317
Grade 3 10,000 124,648 2,940 63,262 160,170 36,583 101,155 215,449 85,263 147,772 268,335 141,199 207,026
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 900 35,875 5,091 6,010 5,398 41,334 10,765 11,497 10,297 46,114 15,661 16,392 14,727

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Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 1 300 16,237 1,545 1,434 1,905 18,893 3,284 2,885 3,580 20,508 4,874 4,486 4,685
Grade 2 300 10,361 3,546 1,604 1,688 11,890 5,991 3,340 3,150 13,544 7,615 4,952 4,784
Grade 3 300 9,277 0 2,972 1,804 10,551 1,490 5,272 3,568 12,062 3,173 6,954 5,258
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Vocational 1C
Public
Textbooks 10,000 Life span 10,000 170,210 31,293 26,579 185,173 52,993 48,341 200,494 67,463 63,411 215,092 81,983 75,249
Grade 1 5,000 3 5,000 101,246 8,352 12,004 109,003 22,372 20,466 115,465 30,066 27,735 122,556 37,217 32,115
Grade 2 5,000 3 5,000 68,964 22,942 14,574 76,171 30,622 27,875 85,028 37,397 35,676 92,535 44,765 43,134
Grade 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 400 400 13,960 1,880 635 852 14,820 2,659 922 1,041 15,005 2,777 1,002 947
Grade 1 200 4 200 8,266 333 198 425 8,894 535 244 531 8,953 566 263 388
Grade 2 200 4 200 5,694 1,547 438 427 5,926 2,124 678 510 6,052 2,212 739 559
Grade 3 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private
Textbooks 6,000 Life span 6,000 113,271 15,667 9,332 113,746 18,190 10,264 110,068 12,777 5,903 100,002 7,352 1,059
Grade 1 3,000 3 3,000 66,681 1,891 3,054 66,571 4,249 1,707 63,688 1,256 0 57,052 0 0
Grade 2 3,000 3 3,000 46,590 13,775 6,278 47,175 13,941 8,557 46,381 11,521 5,903 42,950 7,352 1,059
Grade 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 300 300 6,982 851 146 171 7,024 872 50 0 6,053 641 0 0
Grade 1 150 4 150 4,104 60 0 37 4,187 0 0 0 3,461 0 0 0
Grade 2 150 4 150 2,878 792 146 134 2,837 872 50 0 2,592 641 0 0
Grade 3 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total
Textbooks 16,000 283,481 46,960 35,910 298,919 71,184 58,605 310,562 80,240 69,314 315,094 89,334 76,307
Grade 1 8,000 167,927 10,243 15,058 175,574 26,621 22,172 179,153 31,322 27,735 179,609 37,217 32,115
Grade 2 8,000 115,554 36,717 20,852 123,345 44,563 36,433 131,409 48,918 41,579 135,485 52,117 44,192

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Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 700 20,941 2,731 782 1,023 21,844 3,531 973 1,041 21,058 3,418 1,002 947
Grade 1 350 12,370 393 198 463 13,081 535 244 531 12,414 566 263 388
Grade 2 350 8,571 2,339 584 561 8,763 2,996 728 510 8,644 2,852 739 559
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

D. Classrooms and other rooms

General 1C
Public
Total classroom requirements 4,700 4,700 5,394 6,169 7,044 7,675 8,404 9,148 9,867 10,486 11,071 11,662 12,240 12,745
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 856 960 1,086 861 981 1,019 1,015 933 918 941 945 887
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 856 1,816 2,902 3,763 4,745 5,763 6,778 7,711 8,629 9,570 10,515 11,402
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 22 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 856 1,816 2,902 3,763 4,745 5,763 6,778 7,711 8,629 9,570 10,515 11,402
Total lab and specialized room requ 1,030 1,030 1,226 1,402 1,601 1,744 1,910 2,079 2,243 2,383 2,516 2,650 2,782 2,897
Lab to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 233 218 247 196 223 232 231 212 209 214 215 202
Lab to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 233 451 698 894 1,116 1,348 1,579 1,791 1,999 2,213 2,428 2,630
Lab built by year (Updated) 5 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 233 451 698 894 1,116 1,348 1,579 1,791 1,999 2,213 2,428 2,630
Total other room requirements 700 15% <= Ratio other rooms 700 809 925 1,057 1,151 1,261 1,372 1,480 1,573 1,661 1,749 1,836 1,912
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 133 144 163 129 147 153 152 140 138 141 142 133
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 133 277 440 570 717 869 1,022 1,162 1,299 1,440 1,582 1,715
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 133 277 440 570 717 869 1,022 1,162 1,299 1,440 1,582 1,715
Private
Total classroom requirements 130 130 162 188 232 298 385 484 594 711 839 981 1,137 1,300
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 37 31 51 76 98 114 128 138 153 172 190 202
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 37 68 119 195 293 407 535 673 826 998 1,187 1,389
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 22 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 37 68 119 195 293 407 535 673 826 998 1,187 1,389
Total lab and specialized room requ 30 30 35 41 51 65 84 106 130 155 183 214 248 284
Lab to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 7 7 11 16 21 25 28 30 33 37 41 44
Lab to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 7 13 24 41 62 87 115 145 179 216 257 302
Lab built by year (Updated) 4 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 30 <= for the space 0 7 13 24 41 62 87 115 145 179 216 257 302
Total other room requirements 20 15% <= Ratio other rooms 20 24 28 35 45 58 73 89 107 126 147 171 195
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 5 5 8 11 15 17 19 21 23 26 28 30

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Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 5 10 17 29 43 60 80 100 123 149 178 208
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 5 10 17 29 43 60 80 100 123 149 178 208
S/Total
Total classroom requirements 4,830 5,556 6,357 7,276 7,973 8,789 9,632 10,462 11,197 11,910 12,643 13,377 14,045
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 0 893 992 1,137 937 1,079 1,133 1,143 1,071 1,071 1,112 1,135 1,089
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) 0 893 1,884 3,021 3,958 5,037 6,170 7,313 8,384 9,455 10,567 11,702 12,792
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 0 893 1,884 3,021 3,958 5,037 6,170 7,313 8,384 9,455 10,567 11,702 12,792
Total lab and specialized room requirements 1,060 1,261 1,443 1,651 1,809 1,994 2,185 2,372 2,538 2,699 2,865 3,030 3,180
Lab to build by year (apparent) 0 239 225 258 212 244 256 259 242 242 251 256 246
Lab to build (Cumulated) 0 239 464 722 934 1,179 1,435 1,694 1,936 2,178 2,429 2,685 2,931
Lab built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 0 239 464 722 934 1,179 1,435 1,694 1,936 2,178 2,429 2,685 2,931
Total other room requirements 720 833 954 1,091 1,196 1,318 1,445 1,569 1,680 1,787 1,897 2,007 2,107
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 138 149 171 141 162 170 171 161 161 167 170 163
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 138 287 458 598 760 930 1,101 1,262 1,423 1,590 1,760 1,923
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 138 287 458 598 760 930 1,101 1,262 1,423 1,590 1,760 1,923

Technical 1C
Public
Total classroom requirements 1,000 1,000 1,355 1,625 1,965 2,265 2,623 3,006 3,399 3,781 4,173 4,587 5,017 5,436
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 395 319 399 367 437 473 495 495 517 552 581 582
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 395 714 1,114 1,481 1,918 2,392 2,886 3,381 3,898 4,450 5,031 5,613
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 22 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 395 714 1,114 1,481 1,918 2,392 2,886 3,381 3,898 4,450 5,031 5,613
Total lab and specialized room requ 250 250 296 355 429 494 572 656 742 825 910 1,001 1,095 1,186
Lab to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 54 70 87 80 95 103 108 108 113 120 127 127
Lab to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 54 124 211 291 387 490 598 706 819 939 1,066 1,193
Lab built by year (Updated) 4 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 30 <= for the space 0 54 124 211 291 387 490 598 706 819 939 1,066 1,193
Total other room requirements 180 15% <= Ratio other rooms 180 203 244 295 340 394 451 510 567 626 688 753 815
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 29 48 60 55 66 71 74 74 78 83 87 87
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 29 77 137 192 258 329 403 477 555 638 725 812
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 29 77 137 192 258 329 403 477 555 638 725 812
Private
Total classroom requirements 810 810 873 949 1,038 1,093 1,163 1,229 1,287 1,330 1,366 1,402 1,435 1,457
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 89 104 120 88 104 103 97 82 78 78 76 66
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 89 193 314 402 506 609 706 788 866 944 1,020 1,086
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 22 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 89 193 314 402 506 609 706 788 866 944 1,020 1,086
Total lab and specialized room requ 170 170 191 207 226 239 254 268 281 290 298 306 313 318

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Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Lab to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 26 23 26 19 23 23 21 18 17 17 17 14
Lab to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 26 49 75 94 117 140 161 179 196 213 229 244
Lab built by year (Updated) 4 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 30 <= for the space 0 26 49 75 94 117 140 161 179 196 213 229 244
Total other room requirements 100 15% <= Ratio other rooms 100 131 142 156 164 174 184 193 199 205 210 215 219
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 35 16 18 13 16 15 15 12 12 12 11 10
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 35 51 69 82 97 113 127 140 151 163 174 184
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 35 51 69 82 97 113 127 140 151 163 174 184
S/Total
Total classroom requirements 1,810 2,228 2,574 3,003 3,358 3,786 4,235 4,686 5,110 5,539 5,989 6,452 6,893
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 0 485 423 520 456 541 576 591 578 595 629 656 649
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) 0 485 908 1,428 1,883 2,424 3,001 3,592 4,170 4,765 5,394 6,050 6,699
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 0 485 908 1,428 1,883 2,424 3,001 3,592 4,170 4,765 5,394 6,050 6,699
Total lab and specialized room requirements 420 486 562 655 733 826 924 1,022 1,115 1,209 1,307 1,408 1,504
Lab to build by year (apparent) 0 81 92 113 99 118 126 129 126 130 137 143 142
Lab to build (Cumulated) 0 81 173 286 386 504 630 759 885 1,014 1,152 1,295 1,437
Lab built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 0 81 173 286 386 504 630 759 885 1,014 1,152 1,295 1,437
Total other room requirements 280 334 386 451 504 568 635 703 767 831 898 968 1,034
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 64 63 78 68 81 86 89 87 89 94 98 97
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 64 128 206 274 355 442 530 617 706 801 899 996
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 64 128 206 274 355 442 530 617 706 801 899 996

Vocational 1C
Public
Total classroom requirements 600 600 664 780 843 900 982 1,064 1,123 1,179 1,237 1,294 1,351 1,398
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 84 140 88 84 111 114 93 91 95 96 97 89
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 84 224 312 395 507 621 714 805 901 996 1,093 1,182
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 15 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 84 224 312 395 507 621 714 805 901 996 1,093 1,182
Total lab and specialized room requ 550 550 797 936 1,012 1,080 1,178 1,277 1,348 1,415 1,485 1,553 1,621 1,677
Lab to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 270 168 105 101 134 137 111 110 115 115 117 106
Lab to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 270 438 544 645 778 916 1,027 1,136 1,251 1,365 1,482 1,589
Lab built by year (Updated) 15 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 30 <= for the space 0 270 438 544 645 778 916 1,027 1,136 1,251 1,365 1,482 1,589
Total other room requirements 70 15% <= Ratio other rooms 70 100 117 126 135 147 160 168 177 186 194 203 210
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 33 21 13 13 17 17 14 14 14 14 15 13
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 33 54 67 79 96 113 127 141 155 169 184 197
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 33 54 67 79 96 113 127 141 155 169 184 197
Private

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Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Total classroom requirements 450 450 437 496 509 512 522 527 514 495 472 444 409 368
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 13 73 29 18 26 20 15 15 14 13 12 11
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 13 86 115 133 159 180 195 210 224 238 250 261
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 15 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 13 86 115 133 159 180 195 210 224 238 250 261
Total lab and specialized room requ 450 450 525 595 611 614 627 632 617 595 567 532 491 441
Lab to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 91 88 34 22 31 24 19 18 17 16 15 13
Lab to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 91 179 213 235 266 291 309 327 344 360 375 388
Lab built by year (Updated) 15 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 30 <= for the space 0 91 179 213 235 266 291 309 327 344 360 375 388
Total other room requirements 50 15% <= Ratio other rooms 50 66 74 76 77 78 79 77 74 71 67 61 55
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 18 11 4 3 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 18 29 33 36 40 43 45 47 49 51 53 55
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 18 29 33 36 40 43 45 47 49 51 53 55
S/Total
Total classroom requirements 1,050 1,101 1,276 1,352 1,412 1,504 1,591 1,638 1,675 1,710 1,738 1,760 1,765
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 0 97 213 117 102 138 135 108 106 110 109 109 100
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) 0 97 310 427 529 666 801 909 1,015 1,125 1,234 1,343 1,443
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 0 97 310 427 529 666 801 909 1,015 1,125 1,234 1,343 1,443
Total lab and specialized room requirements 1,000 1,321 1,532 1,623 1,694 1,805 1,910 1,965 2,010 2,052 2,085 2,112 2,118
Lab to build by year (apparent) 0 361 256 140 122 165 162 130 127 132 131 131 120
Lab to build (Cumulated) 0 361 617 757 879 1,044 1,206 1,336 1,463 1,595 1,725 1,857 1,976
Lab built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 0 361 617 757 879 1,044 1,206 1,336 1,463 1,595 1,725 1,857 1,976
Total other room requirements 120 165 191 203 212 226 239 246 251 256 261 264 265
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 50 32 17 15 21 20 16 16 16 16 16 15
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 50 82 100 115 136 156 172 188 204 221 237 252
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 50 82 100 115 136 156 172 188 204 221 237 252

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SECONDARY EDUCATION II (All blue cells should be replaced with the data of your country)
Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

A. Student enrolments

Graduates from Secondary I


General 1C
Public 85,830 88,429 91,462 119,140 133,591 144,563 156,027 174,287 187,485 197,864 209,192 220,048 230,438
Male 43,550 44,826 46,339 60,885 68,581 74,206 79,525 88,679 95,971 101,005 106,306 110,950 115,156
Female 42,280 43,603 45,122 58,255 65,010 70,357 76,502 85,608 91,515 96,859 102,886 109,097 115,282
Private 3,000 3,195 3,390 3,530 4,559 5,874 7,416 9,540 11,588 13,679 16,064 18,633 21,403
Male 1,500 1,598 1,695 1,831 2,383 3,066 3,838 4,926 6,015 7,067 8,249 9,478 10,771
Female 1,500 1,598 1,695 1,699 2,176 2,808 3,578 4,614 5,573 6,612 7,815 9,156 10,632
S/Total 88,830 91,624 94,852 122,671 138,149 150,437 163,442 183,827 199,073 211,543 225,255 238,681 251,841
Male 45,050 46,424 48,034 62,716 70,964 77,272 83,363 93,605 101,985 108,072 114,554 120,428 125,928
Female 43,780 45,200 46,817 59,955 67,186 73,165 80,079 90,222 97,088 103,471 110,701 118,253 125,914

Technical 1C
Public 10,652 13,071 13,748 20,251 25,135 30,081 35,810 44,024 51,837 59,760 68,913 78,908 89,821
Male 4,402 6,633 7,082 10,383 12,947 15,521 18,371 22,572 26,753 30,747 35,275 40,038 45,112
Female 6,250 6,438 6,665 9,868 12,187 14,560 17,439 21,452 25,084 29,014 33,637 38,870 44,709
Private 6,633 6,823 7,066 9,265 10,664 11,950 13,392 15,554 17,376 19,069 20,992 23,007 25,126
Male 3,512 3,560 3,689 4,582 5,259 5,909 6,600 7,685 8,674 9,527 10,476 11,430 12,410
Female 3,120 3,263 3,377 4,683 5,405 6,041 6,792 7,869 8,702 9,543 10,515 11,578 12,716
S/Total 17,285 19,894 20,813 29,516 35,799 42,031 49,202 59,578 69,213 78,830 89,904 101,915 114,947
Male 7,915 10,194 10,771 14,965 18,206 21,430 24,971 30,257 35,427 40,273 45,751 51,468 57,522
Female 9,370 9,701 10,043 14,551 17,593 20,601 24,231 29,320 33,785 38,556 44,153 50,447 57,425

Vocational 1C
Public 20,547 20,896 27,651 30,685 33,083 35,661 39,952 42,989 45,446 48,255 51,019 53,783 56,619
Male 11,840 12,089 15,846 17,441 18,634 19,787 21,964 23,562 24,610 25,781 26,794 27,726 28,637
Female 8,707 8,807 11,805 13,244 14,449 15,874 17,988 19,427 20,837 22,474 24,225 26,058 27,982
Private 13,402 13,716 17,738 18,879 19,268 19,540 20,433 20,431 19,935 19,352 18,513 17,422 16,092
Male 6,682 6,871 8,894 9,487 9,666 9,717 10,133 10,190 9,909 9,577 9,098 8,504 7,816
Female 6,720 6,845 8,844 9,391 9,602 9,823 10,301 10,242 10,026 9,775 9,415 8,919 8,277
S/Total 33,948 34,612 45,389 49,563 52,352 55,201 60,386 63,421 65,382 67,607 69,532 71,205 72,711
Male 18,522 18,960 24,740 26,928 28,300 29,504 32,097 33,752 34,519 35,358 35,891 36,229 36,452
Female 15,427 15,652 20,649 22,635 24,051 25,697 28,288 29,669 30,863 32,249 33,640 34,976 36,259

Total
Public 117,029 122,396 132,861 170,076 191,809 210,304 231,789 261,300 284,769 305,880 329,123 352,739 376,878
Male 59,792 63,548 69,268 88,709 100,162 109,514 119,860 134,813 147,334 157,533 168,374 178,714 188,905
Female 57,237 58,848 63,593 81,367 91,646 100,790 111,929 126,487 137,435 148,347 160,749 174,024 187,973

Page 70 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Private 23,034 23,734 28,193 31,674 34,492 37,364 41,241 45,526 48,899 52,101 55,568 59,063 62,621
Male 11,694 12,029 14,277 15,901 17,308 18,692 20,570 22,801 24,598 26,171 27,823 29,411 30,997
Female 11,340 11,705 13,916 15,774 17,183 18,672 20,671 22,725 24,301 25,930 27,746 29,652 31,625
S/Total 140,063 146,131 161,054 201,750 226,300 247,669 273,030 306,826 333,667 357,980 384,691 411,802 439,499
Male 71,486 75,577 83,545 104,609 117,470 128,206 140,430 157,614 171,931 183,704 196,197 208,125 219,902
Female 68,577 70,553 77,509 97,141 108,830 119,462 132,599 149,212 161,736 174,277 188,494 203,676 219,598

Registration rates to Secondary II


General 2C
Public
Male 50% 30% 13 -1.5% 50% 48% 47% 45% 44% 42% 41% 39% 38% 36% 35% 33% 32%
Female 50% 30% 13 -1.5% 50% 48% 47% 45% 44% 42% 41% 39% 38% 36% 35% 33% 32%
Private
Male 1% 5% 13 0.3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5%
Female 1% 5% 13 0.3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5%
S/Total
Male 51% 51% 50% 49% 47% 46% 45% 44% 42% 41% 40% 39% 37% 36%
Female 51% 51% 50% 49% 47% 46% 45% 44% 42% 41% 40% 39% 37% 36%

Technical 2C
Public
Male 9% 20% 13 0.8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 17% 18% 19%
Female 10% 20% 13 0.8% 10% 11% 12% 12% 13% 14% 15% 15% 16% 17% 18% 18% 19%
Private
Male 4% 5% 13 0.1% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Female 5% 5% 13 0.0% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
S/Total
Male 13% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 19% 20% 21% 22% 23% 24%
Female 15% 15% 16% 17% 17% 18% 19% 20% 20% 21% 22% 23% 23% 24%

Vocational 2C
Public
Male 12% 10% 13 -0.2% 12% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10%
Female 10% 10% 13 0.0% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%
Private
Male 7% 2% 13 -0.4% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2%
Female 8% 2% 13 -0.5% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2%
S/Total
Male 19% 19% 18% 18% 17% 17% 16% 16% 15% 15% 14% 14% 13% 13%
Female 18% 18% 18% 17% 17% 16% 16% 15% 15% 14% 14% 13% 13% 12%

Teacher Training 2C
Public
Male 12% 10% 13 -0.2% 12% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10%

Page 71 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Female 10% 10% 13 0.0% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%
Private
Male 7% 2% 13 -0.4% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2%
Female 8% 2% 13 -0.5% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2%
S/Total
Male 19% 19% 18% 18% 17% 17% 16% 16% 15% 15% 14% 14% 13% 13%
Female 18% 18% 18% 17% 17% 16% 16% 15% 15% 14% 14% 13% 13% 12%

Student Flows
General 2C
Public
Promotion rate
Male
Grade 1 85% 95% 13 0.8% 85% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 93% 94%
Grade 2 84% 95% 13 0.8% 84% 85% 86% 87% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 92% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 3 73% 95% 13 1.7% 73% 75% 76% 78% 80% 81% 83% 85% 87% 88% 90% 92% 93%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 85% 95% 13 0.8% 85% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 93% 94%
Grade 2 84% 95% 13 0.8% 84% 85% 86% 87% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 92% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 3 72% 95% 13 1.8% 72% 74% 76% 77% 79% 81% 83% 84% 86% 88% 90% 91% 93%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Repetition rate
Male
Grade 1 8% 4% 13 -0.3% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 2 9% 2% 13 -0.5% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 3 9% 4% 13 -0.4% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 8% 4% 13 -0.3% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 2 9% 2% 13 -0.5% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 3 9% 4% 13 -0.4% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Private

Page 72 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Promotion rate
Male
Grade 1 90% 95% 13 0.4% 90% 90% 91% 91% 92% 92% 92% 93% 93% 93% 94% 94% 95%
Grade 2 94% 95% 13 0.0% 94% 94% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95%
Grade 3 88% 95% 13 0.5% 88% 89% 89% 90% 90% 91% 91% 92% 92% 93% 93% 94% 94%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 90% 95% 13 0.4% 90% 90% 91% 91% 92% 92% 92% 93% 93% 93% 94% 94% 95%
Grade 2 94% 95% 13 0.0% 94% 94% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95%
Grade 3 88% 95% 13 0.5% 88% 89% 89% 90% 90% 91% 91% 92% 92% 93% 93% 94% 94%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Repetition rate
Male
Grade 1 5% 4% 13 -0.1% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4%
Grade 2 6% 2% 13 -0.3% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2%
Grade 3 6% 4% 13 -0.1% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 5% 4% 13 -0.1% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4%
Grade 2 6% 2% 13 -0.3% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2%
Grade 3 6% 4% 13 -0.1% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Technical 2C
Public
Promotion rate
Male
Grade 1 85% 95% 13 0.8% 85% 86% 87% 87% 88% 89% 90% 90% 91% 92% 93% 93% 94%
Grade 2 85% 95% 13 0.8% 85% 86% 87% 87% 88% 89% 90% 90% 91% 92% 93% 93% 94%
Grade 3 72% 95% 13 1.8% 72% 74% 75% 77% 79% 81% 83% 84% 86% 88% 90% 91% 93%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 83% 95% 13 0.9% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 91% 92% 93% 94%

Page 73 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 2 83% 95% 13 0.9% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 3 71% 95% 13 1.9% 71% 72% 74% 76% 78% 80% 82% 84% 86% 87% 89% 91% 93%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Repetition rate
Male
Grade 1 8% 4% 13 -0.3% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 2 8% 2% 13 -0.4% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2%
Grade 3 8% 4% 13 -0.3% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 8% 4% 13 -0.3% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 2 8% 2% 13 -0.4% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2%
Grade 3 8% 4% 13 -0.3% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Private
Promotion rate
Male
Grade 1 85% 95% 13 0.8% 85% 86% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 90% 91% 92% 93% 93% 94%
Grade 2 85% 95% 13 0.8% 85% 86% 87% 87% 88% 89% 90% 90% 91% 92% 93% 93% 94%
Grade 3 75% 95% 13 1.5% 75% 77% 78% 80% 81% 83% 84% 86% 87% 89% 90% 92% 93%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 83% 95% 13 0.9% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 2 83% 95% 13 0.9% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 3 72% 95% 13 1.8% 72% 74% 76% 77% 79% 81% 83% 84% 86% 88% 90% 91% 93%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Repetition rate
Male
Grade 1 8% 4% 13 -0.3% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 2 8% 2% 13 -0.4% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2%
Grade 3 8% 4% 13 -0.3% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4%

Page 74 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 8% 4% 13 -0.3% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 2 8% 2% 13 -0.4% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2%
Grade 3 8% 4% 13 -0.3% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Vocational 2C
Public
Promotion rate
Male
Grade 1 86% 95% 13 0.7% 86% 87% 87% 88% 89% 89% 90% 91% 92% 92% 93% 94% 94%
Grade 2 85% 95% 13 0.8% 85% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 93% 94%
Grade 3 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 81% 95% 13 1.0% 81% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 2 83% 95% 13 0.9% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 3 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Repetition rate
Male
Grade 1 8% 2% 13 -0.5% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2%
Grade 2 9% 2% 13 -0.5% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 3 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 11% 2% 13 -0.7% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 2 11% 2% 13 -0.7% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 3 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Page 75 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Private
Promotion rate
Male
Grade 1 83% 95% 13 0.9% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 2 83% 95% 13 0.9% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 3 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 81% 95% 13 1.0% 81% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 2 81% 95% 13 1.1% 81% 82% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 3 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Repetition rate
Male
Grade 1 12% 2% 13 -0.7% 12% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 2 12% 2% 13 -0.7% 12% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 3 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 11% 2% 13 -0.7% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 2 11% 2% 13 -0.7% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 3 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Teacher Training 2C
Public
Promotion rate
Male
Grade 1 86% 95% 13 0.7% 86% 87% 87% 88% 89% 89% 90% 91% 92% 92% 93% 94% 94%
Grade 2 85% 95% 13 0.8% 85% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 93% 94%
Grade 3 85% 95% 13 0.8% 85% 86% 87% 87% 88% 89% 90% 90% 91% 92% 93% 93% 94%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Female
Grade 1 81% 95% 13 1.0% 81% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 2 83% 95% 13 0.9% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 3 86% 95% 13 0.7% 86% 87% 87% 88% 89% 89% 90% 91% 92% 92% 93% 94% 94%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Repetition rate
Male
Grade 1 8% 2% 13 -0.5% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2%
Grade 2 9% 2% 13 -0.5% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 3 5% 2% 13 -0.2% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 11% 2% 13 -0.7% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 2 11% 2% 13 -0.7% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 3 10% 2% 13 -0.6% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Private
Promotion rate
Male
Grade 1 83% 95% 13 0.9% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 2 83% 95% 13 0.9% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 3 85% 97% 10 1.2% 85% 86% 87% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 95% 96% 97% 97% 97%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 81% 95% 13 1.0% 81% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 88% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 2 81% 95% 13 1.1% 81% 82% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94%
Grade 3 85% 98% 5 2.6% 85% 88% 90% 93% 95% 98% 98% 98% 98% 98% 98% 98% 98%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Repetition rate
Male
Grade 1 12% 2% 13 -0.7% 12% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3%

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
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2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 2 12% 2% 13 -0.7% 12% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 3 2% 2% 5 0.0% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Female
Grade 1 11% 2% 13 -0.7% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 2 11% 2% 13 -0.7% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3%
Grade 3 5% 2% 5 -0.6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
Grade 4 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 5 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grade 6 0% 0% 0 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Student enrolments
General 2C
Public 208,000 208,000 205,806 205,520 211,990 232,674 258,836 285,791 306,508 327,462 347,516 364,756 377,422 387,346
Male 101,000 101,000 101,719 103,663 108,966 120,495 134,327 148,236 158,535 168,819 178,915 187,575 193,581 197,443
Grade 1 35,000 35,000 37,449 38,349 40,754 48,756 53,005 55,699 58,524 62,834 65,644 67,027 68,198 68,789
Grade 2 34,000 34,000 32,645 34,722 35,787 38,079 45,398 49,806 52,649 55,526 59,769 62,730 64,324 65,669
Grade 3 32,000 32,000 31,626 30,591 32,425 33,660 35,924 42,731 47,362 50,459 53,502 57,818 61,059 62,986
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 107,000 107,000 104,087 101,857 103,024 112,178 124,509 137,555 147,972 158,643 168,601 177,181 183,841 189,902
Grade 1 37,000 37,000 36,181 35,878 37,817 45,259 49,097 51,867 55,202 59,460 61,760 63,551 65,472 67,255
Grade 2 36,000 36,000 34,443 33,726 33,521 35,308 42,094 46,087 48,962 52,294 56,510 58,996 60,944 63,001
Grade 3 34,000 34,000 33,463 32,253 31,686 31,612 33,318 39,601 43,808 46,889 50,332 54,634 57,425 59,647
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private 3,800 3,800 4,432 5,566 7,298 9,983 13,358 17,305 21,508 26,451 32,029 38,075 44,436 51,286
Male 1,900 1,900 2,235 2,842 3,764 5,172 6,929 8,970 11,113 13,624 16,482 19,571 22,776 26,119
Grade 1 700 700 970 1,269 1,668 2,413 3,095 3,792 4,601 5,661 6,729 7,779 8,932 10,137
Grade 2 600 600 663 912 1,197 1,577 2,279 2,941 3,615 4,396 5,417 6,456 7,483 8,607
Grade 3 600 600 602 661 899 1,181 1,555 2,238 2,897 3,566 4,336 5,336 6,362 7,375
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 1,900 1,900 2,197 2,724 3,534 4,811 6,428 8,335 10,394 12,827 15,547 18,503 21,660 25,167
Grade 1 700 700 932 1,186 1,548 2,241 2,868 3,532 4,342 5,359 6,331 7,378 8,577 9,913
Grade 2 600 600 663 877 1,120 1,464 2,117 2,725 3,367 4,148 5,127 6,076 7,095 8,263
Grade 3 600 600 602 661 866 1,106 1,444 2,078 2,685 3,321 4,088 5,050 5,988 6,991
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total 211,800 210,238 211,086 219,288 242,657 272,193 303,096 328,015 353,914 379,544 402,830 421,859 438,632
Male 102,900 103,954 106,504 112,730 125,667 141,256 157,206 169,649 182,443 195,397 207,146 216,357 223,562
Grade 1 35,700 38,419 39,618 42,422 51,169 56,100 59,491 63,125 68,495 72,372 74,806 77,130 78,926
Grade 2 34,600 33,308 35,634 36,984 39,656 47,677 52,747 56,264 59,922 65,187 69,187 71,807 74,276
Grade 3 32,600 32,228 31,252 33,323 34,841 37,479 44,968 50,259 54,025 57,838 63,153 67,421 70,361
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 108,900 106,284 104,581 106,558 116,990 130,937 145,890 158,367 171,471 184,147 195,684 205,501 215,070
Grade 1 37,700 37,113 37,064 39,365 47,500 51,965 55,399 59,545 64,819 68,091 70,929 74,049 77,168
Grade 2 36,600 35,106 34,604 34,641 36,772 44,210 48,812 52,329 56,441 61,637 65,072 68,039 71,263
Grade 3 34,600 34,065 32,914 32,552 32,718 34,762 41,679 46,493 50,211 54,420 59,684 63,413 66,638
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Technical 2C
Public 39,820 39,820 40,806 43,675 49,327 60,429 74,521 90,518 106,725 125,432 146,107 168,007 190,495 214,315
Male 19,620 19,620 20,045 21,622 24,705 30,547 37,895 46,170 54,441 63,950 74,598 85,863 97,259 108,901
Grade 1 7,000 7,000 7,579 8,644 10,258 13,659 16,440 19,081 22,102 26,118 29,985 33,620 37,553 41,581
Grade 2 6,500 6,500 6,463 6,983 7,971 9,479 12,612 15,320 17,895 20,824 24,699 28,508 32,123 36,032
Grade 3 6,120 6,120 6,003 5,995 6,477 7,409 8,842 11,769 14,443 17,008 19,913 23,736 27,584 31,288
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 20,200 20,200 20,761 22,053 24,622 29,881 36,627 44,348 52,284 61,481 71,509 82,144 93,236 105,414
Grade 1 7,500 7,500 7,955 8,723 10,154 13,390 15,937 18,450 21,495 25,320 28,733 32,301 36,359 40,824
Grade 2 6,700 6,700 6,762 7,188 7,912 9,236 12,184 14,663 17,107 20,050 23,754 27,153 30,712 34,769
Grade 3 6,000 6,000 6,044 6,143 6,556 7,255 8,505 11,235 13,682 16,111 19,022 22,691 26,165 29,821
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private 17,450 17,450 18,116 18,913 20,258 23,283 27,109 31,287 35,134 39,409 43,951 48,527 52,932 57,395
Male 8,350 8,350 8,582 8,933 9,615 11,182 13,152 15,294 17,259 19,447 21,831 24,257 26,578 28,843
Grade 1 3,100 3,100 3,156 3,376 3,778 4,768 5,467 6,067 6,740 7,662 8,486 9,200 9,957 10,703
Grade 2 2,800 2,800 2,851 2,915 3,121 3,498 4,407 5,100 5,695 6,356 7,251 8,073 8,796 9,559
Grade 3 2,450 2,450 2,574 2,642 2,716 2,916 3,278 4,127 4,823 5,429 6,093 6,983 7,826 8,581
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Female 9,100 9,100 9,534 9,980 10,643 12,101 13,957 15,993 17,874 19,962 22,121 24,271 26,354 28,552
Grade 1 3,500 3,500 3,698 3,801 4,146 5,140 5,778 6,335 7,009 7,860 8,512 9,151 9,868 10,634
Grade 2 3,000 3,000 3,143 3,338 3,459 3,783 4,688 5,328 5,886 6,549 7,385 8,055 8,711 9,446
Grade 3 2,600 2,600 2,693 2,841 3,038 3,178 3,491 4,330 4,980 5,553 6,223 7,065 7,774 8,471
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total 57,270 58,922 62,588 69,585 83,712 101,630 121,805 141,858 164,841 190,058 216,535 243,427 271,709
Male 27,970 28,627 30,555 34,320 41,730 51,046 61,464 71,700 83,398 96,429 110,120 123,837 137,743
Grade 1 10,100 10,735 12,021 14,036 18,427 21,907 25,148 28,842 33,781 38,472 42,820 47,509 52,284
Grade 2 9,300 9,314 9,897 11,092 12,977 17,019 20,420 23,591 27,180 31,950 36,581 40,918 45,591
Grade 3 8,570 8,578 8,637 9,192 10,325 12,120 15,896 19,267 22,437 26,007 30,719 35,410 39,869
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 29,300 30,295 32,033 35,265 41,983 50,584 60,341 70,159 81,443 93,629 106,415 119,590 133,966
Grade 1 11,000 11,652 12,524 14,300 18,530 21,715 24,785 28,504 33,180 37,246 41,451 46,227 51,458
Grade 2 9,700 9,905 10,526 11,372 13,020 16,873 19,991 22,993 26,600 31,139 35,208 39,423 44,216
Grade 3 8,600 8,738 8,983 9,594 10,433 11,996 15,565 18,662 21,664 25,245 29,756 33,939 38,292
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Vocational 2C
Public 31,850 31,850 32,297 33,094 35,041 40,626 47,142 51,944 56,516 62,185 67,891 72,591 77,085 81,707
Male 17,450 17,450 17,719 18,271 19,387 22,398 25,870 28,298 30,465 33,191 36,028 38,236 40,132 41,925
Grade 1 9,000 9,000 9,218 9,560 10,343 12,620 13,999 15,027 16,152 17,769 19,039 19,970 20,915 21,755
Grade 2 8,450 8,450 8,501 8,711 9,044 9,778 11,871 13,272 14,313 15,422 16,989 18,266 19,217 20,171
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 14,400 14,400 14,578 14,823 15,653 18,229 21,272 23,645 26,051 28,994 31,863 34,356 36,953 39,782
Grade 1 7,600 7,600 7,657 7,810 8,470 10,438 11,707 12,794 14,102 15,757 17,005 18,213 19,571 21,015
Grade 2 6,800 6,800 6,921 7,013 7,183 7,791 9,565 10,852 11,949 13,237 14,858 16,143 17,382 18,766
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private 19,900 19,900 20,719 21,129 21,272 23,099 25,075 25,749 25,903 26,110 25,887 24,849 23,328 21,438
Male 9,500 9,500 9,997 10,265 10,420 11,351 12,352 12,700 12,751 12,842 12,789 12,331 11,595 10,670
Grade 1 5,000 5,000 5,307 5,283 5,417 6,220 6,500 6,528 6,516 6,601 6,458 6,113 5,690 5,160

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 2 4,500 4,500 4,691 4,981 5,003 5,131 5,852 6,172 6,235 6,241 6,331 6,218 5,905 5,509
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 10,400 10,400 10,721 10,865 10,851 11,748 12,723 13,049 13,152 13,268 13,098 12,519 11,732 10,768
Grade 1 5,400 5,400 5,768 5,591 5,669 6,487 6,732 6,759 6,789 6,848 6,597 6,215 5,764 5,209
Grade 2 5,000 5,000 4,954 5,273 5,183 5,261 5,991 6,290 6,362 6,420 6,502 6,304 5,968 5,559
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total 51,750 53,015 54,224 56,312 63,725 72,217 77,693 82,419 88,295 93,779 97,441 100,413 103,145
Male 26,950 27,716 28,535 29,808 33,749 38,221 40,999 43,216 46,033 48,817 50,566 51,727 52,595
Grade 1 14,000 14,525 14,843 15,760 18,840 20,498 21,555 22,668 24,370 25,498 26,083 26,605 26,915
Grade 2 12,950 13,191 13,692 14,047 14,909 17,723 19,444 20,548 21,663 23,320 24,484 25,122 25,680
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 24,800 25,299 25,688 26,504 29,977 33,995 36,695 39,203 42,262 44,961 46,874 48,686 50,550
Grade 1 13,000 13,424 13,402 14,138 16,925 18,439 19,553 20,892 22,605 23,601 24,428 25,336 26,225
Grade 2 11,800 11,875 12,287 12,366 13,052 15,556 17,142 18,311 19,657 21,360 22,446 23,350 24,325
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Teacher training 2C
Public 44,350 44,350 45,987 47,099 49,404 55,523 63,317 71,686 78,940 86,776 94,880 102,734 109,861 116,772
Male 24,450 24,450 25,215 25,886 27,240 30,602 34,787 39,157 42,720 46,514 50,481 54,252 57,476 60,300
Grade 1 9,000 9,000 9,218 9,560 10,343 12,620 13,999 15,027 16,152 17,769 19,039 19,970 20,915 21,755
Grade 2 8,450 8,450 8,501 8,711 9,044 9,778 11,871 13,272 14,313 15,422 16,989 18,266 19,217 20,171
Grade 3 7,000 7,000 7,496 7,615 7,852 8,205 8,917 10,859 12,255 13,323 14,453 16,017 17,344 18,375
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 19,900 19,900 20,772 21,213 22,164 24,921 28,530 32,528 36,219 40,262 44,399 48,482 52,385 56,472
Grade 1 7,600 7,600 7,657 7,810 8,470 10,438 11,707 12,794 14,102 15,757 17,005 18,213 19,571 21,015
Grade 2 6,800 6,800 6,921 7,013 7,183 7,791 9,565 10,852 11,949 13,237 14,858 16,143 17,382 18,766
Grade 3 5,500 5,500 6,194 6,390 6,511 6,692 7,258 8,883 10,168 11,268 12,536 14,126 15,432 16,690
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private 27,600 27,600 28,782 29,394 30,123 31,986 34,215 36,234 37,077 37,544 37,510 36,758 35,085 32,715
Male 13,000 13,000 13,803 14,277 14,727 15,728 16,887 17,918 18,320 18,532 18,544 18,226 17,448 16,287
Grade 1 5,000 5,000 5,307 5,283 5,417 6,220 6,500 6,528 6,516 6,601 6,458 6,113 5,690 5,160
Grade 2 4,500 4,500 4,691 4,981 5,003 5,131 5,852 6,172 6,235 6,241 6,331 6,218 5,905 5,509
Grade 3 3,500 3,500 3,805 4,013 4,307 4,378 4,536 5,218 5,569 5,690 5,755 5,896 5,853 5,618
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 14,600 14,600 14,979 15,116 15,396 16,257 17,327 18,315 18,757 19,012 18,966 18,532 17,637 16,427
Grade 1 5,400 5,400 5,768 5,591 5,669 6,487 6,732 6,759 6,789 6,848 6,597 6,215 5,764 5,209
Grade 2 5,000 5,000 4,954 5,273 5,183 5,261 5,991 6,290 6,362 6,420 6,502 6,304 5,968 5,559
Grade 3 4,200 4,200 4,258 4,251 4,545 4,509 4,604 5,266 5,605 5,744 5,867 6,013 5,905 5,659
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total 71,950 74,769 76,492 79,527 87,509 97,532 107,919 116,017 124,320 132,389 139,492 144,946 149,487
Male 37,450 39,018 40,163 41,967 46,331 51,675 57,076 61,041 65,046 69,025 72,479 74,924 76,588
Grade 1 14,000 14,525 14,843 15,760 18,840 20,498 21,555 22,668 24,370 25,498 26,083 26,605 26,915
Grade 2 12,950 13,191 13,692 14,047 14,909 17,723 19,444 20,548 21,663 23,320 24,484 25,122 25,680
Grade 3 10,500 11,301 11,628 12,159 12,582 13,453 16,077 17,825 19,013 20,208 21,912 23,197 23,993
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 34,500 35,751 36,329 37,560 41,178 45,857 50,844 54,976 59,274 63,365 67,014 70,022 72,899
Grade 1 13,000 13,424 13,402 14,138 16,925 18,439 19,553 20,892 22,605 23,601 24,428 25,336 26,225
Grade 2 11,800 11,875 12,287 12,366 13,052 15,556 17,142 18,311 19,657 21,360 22,446 23,350 24,325
Grade 3 9,700 10,452 10,641 11,056 11,201 11,862 14,149 15,774 17,013 18,403 20,139 21,336 22,349
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Secondary II (total)
Public 324,020 324,896 329,388 345,761 389,252 443,816 499,939 548,688 601,856 656,394 708,089 754,863 800,140
Male 162,520 164,699 169,441 180,298 204,043 232,878 261,862 286,161 312,475 340,022 365,926 388,448 408,570
Grade 1 60,000 63,465 66,114 71,698 87,656 97,442 104,834 112,931 124,490 133,708 140,587 147,580 153,879
Grade 2 57,400 56,109 59,127 61,846 67,114 81,752 91,670 99,170 107,194 118,446 127,769 134,881 142,042
Grade 3 45,120 45,125 44,200 46,753 49,273 53,684 65,358 74,061 80,790 87,868 97,570 105,987 112,648
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 161,500 160,197 159,947 165,463 185,209 210,938 238,077 262,527 289,381 316,372 342,163 366,415 391,570

Page 82 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 1 59,700 59,449 60,221 64,910 79,525 88,448 95,904 104,902 116,295 124,502 132,278 140,974 150,110
Grade 2 56,300 55,046 54,941 55,801 60,125 73,408 82,454 89,966 98,817 109,980 118,434 126,420 135,303
Grade 3 45,500 45,701 44,785 44,753 45,559 49,081 59,719 67,659 74,269 81,889 91,451 99,022 106,158
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private 68,750 72,049 75,001 78,951 88,351 99,756 110,575 119,621 129,514 139,377 148,209 155,781 162,833
Male 32,750 34,617 36,316 38,527 43,433 49,320 54,883 59,444 64,445 69,646 74,385 78,398 81,918
Grade 1 13,800 14,740 15,211 16,280 19,620 21,561 22,914 24,373 26,525 28,131 29,205 30,269 31,160
Grade 2 12,400 12,896 13,789 14,325 15,338 18,391 20,385 21,781 23,235 25,330 26,965 28,088 29,184
Grade 3 6,550 6,982 7,316 7,921 8,475 9,368 11,583 13,290 14,684 16,184 18,215 20,041 21,574
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 36,000 37,432 38,685 40,425 44,918 50,436 55,692 60,178 65,069 69,731 73,824 77,383 80,915
Grade 1 15,000 16,165 16,170 17,031 20,355 22,110 23,386 24,930 26,914 28,037 28,958 29,974 30,966
Grade 2 13,600 13,713 14,762 14,945 15,769 18,787 20,632 21,978 23,537 25,516 26,739 27,743 28,827
Grade 3 7,400 7,554 7,753 8,449 8,794 9,539 11,674 13,269 14,618 16,179 18,128 19,667 21,122
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total 392,770 396,944 404,389 424,712 477,603 543,572 610,514 668,310 731,370 795,771 856,298 910,644 962,973
Male 195,270 199,316 205,757 218,824 247,476 282,198 316,744 345,605 376,919 409,668 440,311 466,845 490,488
Grade 1 73,800 78,204 81,325 87,979 107,276 119,004 127,748 137,304 151,016 161,839 169,792 177,849 185,040
Grade 2 69,800 69,005 72,916 76,171 82,451 100,143 112,055 120,951 130,429 143,776 154,735 162,969 171,226
Grade 3 51,670 52,107 51,516 54,675 57,748 63,052 76,941 87,350 95,475 104,052 115,785 126,027 134,222
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Female 197,500 197,629 198,632 205,888 230,127 261,374 293,769 322,705 354,450 386,103 415,987 443,799 472,485
Grade 1 74,700 75,614 76,391 81,941 99,880 110,558 119,290 129,832 143,209 152,539 161,236 170,948 181,076
Grade 2 69,900 68,760 69,703 70,745 75,894 92,195 103,086 111,944 122,354 135,496 145,172 154,163 164,130
Grade 3 52,900 53,255 52,539 53,202 54,353 58,620 71,393 80,928 88,887 98,068 109,579 118,689 127,279
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Corresponding school age population (Secondary II) 1,205,379 1,258,015 1,314,869 1,370,967 1,420,175 1,459,360 1,484,277 1,495,179 1,500,111 1,508,970 1,542,167 1,576,095 1,610,769
Male 606,526 631,586 658,052 684,020 706,896 725,466 737,845 744,213 748,291 754,446 771,044 788,007 805,343
Female 598,853 626,429 656,817 686,948 713,278 733,894 746,432 750,965 751,820 754,523 771,123 788,087 805,425

Gross Enrolment Ratios 33% 32% 31% 31% 34% 37% 41% 45% 49% 53% 56% 58% 60%

Page 83 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Public 27% 26% 25% 25% 27% 30% 34% 37% 40% 43% 46% 48% 50%
Male 27% 26% 26% 26% 29% 32% 35% 38% 42% 45% 47% 49% 51%
Female 27% 26% 24% 24% 26% 29% 32% 35% 38% 42% 44% 46% 49%
Private 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10%
Male 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10%
Female 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10%

B. Teaching and other staff

General 2C
Public
Some indicators Student Teacher
Nb of sections 7,710 26 22 <= Weekly 7,710 7,430 7,227 7,261 7,763 8,411 9,046 9,449 9,833 10,164 10,391 10,473 10,469
Student/section ratio 27 37 12 2.7% 27 28 28 29 30 31 32 32 33 34 35 36 37
Teacher utilization rate 74% 85% 12 1.2% 74% 75% 76% 77% 77% 78% 79% 80% 81% 82% 83% 84% 85%
New teacher requirements 0 3% <= Attrition rate 0 0 0 258 991 1,222 1,204 857 828 750 598 386 261
Total teacher requirements 12,320 12,320 11,736 11,284 11,206 11,842 12,683 13,483 13,922 14,321 14,632 14,787 14,731 14,556
Category 1 6,460 6,460 6,132 5,874 5,812 6,119 6,530 6,916 7,116 7,293 7,424 7,475 7,419 7,304
Category 2 2,930 2,930 2,754 2,613 2,561 2,670 2,822 2,960 3,016 3,061 3,087 3,078 3,026 2,950
Category 3 1,430 1,430 1,347 1,280 1,257 1,313 1,390 1,461 1,491 1,517 1,532 1,530 1,507 1,472
Category 4 1,500 1,500 1,504 1,517 1,577 1,740 1,941 2,145 2,299 2,450 2,590 2,703 2,778 2,829
Ratio Category 1 52% 50.0% 13 -0.4% 52% 52% 52% 52% 52% 51% 51% 51% 51% 51% 51% 50% 50%
Ratio Category 2 24% 20.0% 13 -1.3% 24% 23% 23% 23% 23% 22% 22% 22% 21% 21% 21% 21% 20%
Ratio Category 3 12% 10.0% 13 -1.1% 12% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10% 10%
Ratio Category 4 12% 20.0% 13 3.9% 12% 13% 13% 14% 15% 15% 16% 17% 17% 18% 18% 19% 19%
New other staff requireme 0 0 151 179 255 421 545 643 670 777 883 972 1,033 1,124
Total other staff requirement 1,330 1,330 1,437 1,569 1,771 2,128 2,595 3,144 3,703 4,350 5,081 5,876 6,708 7,603
New technical assistant 0 0 39 48 66 106 143 180 204 251 302 354 402 464
Total technical assistants 210 3% <= Attrition rate 210 242 281 337 431 557 716 894 1,111 1,372 1,675 2,017 2,409
Ratio Technical assist 2% 20.0% 13 20.9% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 14% 17%
New supervisory staff r 0 0 56 66 95 160 204 234 234 263 289 305 309 322
Total supervisory staff req 590 3% <= Attrition rate 590 627 673 746 880 1,053 1,249 1,440 1,653 1,885 2,126 2,365 2,608
Ratio Supervisory staff 5% 20.0% 13 11.6% 5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 10% 12% 13% 14% 16% 18%
New workers and others 0 0 55 65 93 155 197 229 232 264 293 313 321 338
Total workers and others 530 3% <= Attrition rate 530 568 615 687 817 985 1,179 1,370 1,586 1,824 2,074 2,326 2,587
Ratio Workers and oth 4% 20.0% 13 12.5% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 14% 16% 18%

Private
Some indicators Student Teacher
Nb of sections 250 26 22 <= Weekly 250 271 316 384 488 607 730 842 962 1,081 1,194 1,293 1,386
Student/section ratio 15 37 12 7.7% 15 16 18 19 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 37
Teacher utilization rate 64% 85% 12 2.4% 64% 66% 67% 69% 71% 72% 74% 76% 77% 79% 81% 83% 85%
New teacher requirements 0 3% <= Attrition rate 0 41 84 125 183 205 209 188 196 193 179 157 144
Total teacher requirements 460 460 487 554 659 818 993 1,167 1,316 1,468 1,612 1,739 1,841 1,927

Page 84 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Category 1 200 200 214 246 296 371 456 541 617 696 772 842 901 953
Category 2 130 130 134 149 172 208 246 281 309 335 359 377 388 396
Category 3 100 100 100 107 120 140 160 177 188 198 205 208 207 205
Category 4 30 30 39 53 71 99 132 167 202 239 277 312 344 373
Ratio Category 1 43% 50.0% 13 1.1% 43% 44% 44% 45% 45% 46% 46% 47% 47% 48% 48% 49% 49%
Ratio Category 2 28% 20.0% 13 -2.6% 28% 28% 27% 26% 25% 25% 24% 23% 23% 22% 22% 21% 21%
Ratio Category 3 22% 10.0% 13 -5.8% 22% 20% 19% 18% 17% 16% 15% 14% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11%
Ratio Category 4 7% 20.0% 13 9.0% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 19%
New other staff requireme 0 0 9 15 23 37 51 66 80 103 128 155 183 219
Total other staff requirement 30 30 38 51 72 106 152 212 283 375 489 625 785 975
New technical assistant 0 0 3 5 8 12 17 22 27 34 43 52 61 73
Total technical assistants 10 3% <= Attrition rate 10 13 17 24 35 51 71 94 125 163 208 262 325
Ratio Technical assist 2% 20.0% 13 18.6% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 10% 12% 14% 17%
New supervisory staff r 0 0 3 5 8 12 17 22 27 34 43 52 61 73
Total supervisory staff req 10 3% <= Attrition rate 10 13 17 24 35 51 71 94 125 163 208 262 325
Ratio Supervisory staff 2% 20.0% 13 18.6% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 10% 12% 14% 17%
New workers and others 0 0 3 5 8 12 17 22 27 34 43 52 61 73
Total workers and others 10 3% <= Attrition rate 10 13 17 24 35 51 71 94 125 163 208 262 325
Ratio Workers and oth 2% 20.0% 13 18.6% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 10% 12% 14% 17%

S/Total
Some indicators
Nb of sections 7,960 7,960 7,701 7,543 7,646 8,251 9,018 9,775 10,291 10,795 11,245 11,585 11,766 11,855
New teacher requirements 0 0 41 84 383 1,174 1,427 1,413 1,045 1,024 943 777 543 406
Total teacher requirements 12,780 12,780 12,223 11,838 11,866 12,660 13,676 14,650 15,238 15,789 16,245 16,525 16,572 16,483
Category 1 6,660 6,660 6,345 6,120 6,108 6,491 6,986 7,458 7,732 7,988 8,196 8,317 8,320 8,258
Category 2 3,060 3,060 2,888 2,762 2,733 2,878 3,068 3,241 3,325 3,397 3,445 3,455 3,414 3,346
Category 3 1,530 1,530 1,446 1,387 1,377 1,453 1,550 1,638 1,680 1,714 1,737 1,738 1,715 1,677
Category 4 1,530 1,530 1,543 1,570 1,648 1,839 2,073 2,313 2,501 2,689 2,866 3,016 3,123 3,202
New other staff requireme 0 0 159 194 278 458 596 709 750 880 1,012 1,127 1,216 1,343
Total other staff requirement 1,330 1,330 1,475 1,620 1,843 2,234 2,747 3,356 3,987 4,725 5,569 6,501 7,493 8,578
New technical assistant 0 0 42 53 74 119 161 202 231 285 345 406 463 537
Total technical assistants 220 220 254 298 361 466 608 787 988 1,236 1,535 1,884 2,279 2,734
New supervisory staff r 0 0 59 71 103 173 221 256 260 297 332 357 370 395
Total supervisory staff req 600 600 640 690 770 916 1,103 1,320 1,534 1,778 2,048 2,335 2,626 2,933
New workers and others 0 0 58 70 101 167 214 251 259 298 335 364 382 411
Total workers and others 540 540 581 632 711 853 1,036 1,250 1,465 1,711 1,987 2,283 2,588 2,912

Technical 2C
Public
Some indicators Student Teacher
Nb of sections 1,810 26 22 <= Weekly 1,810 1,776 1,820 1,969 2,310 2,728 3,173 3,582 4,031 4,497 4,952 5,376 5,792
Student/section ratio 37 12 4.4% 22 23 24 25 26 27 29 30 31 32 34 35 37
Teacher utilization rate 85% 12 1.6% 70% 71% 72% 74% 75% 76% 77% 78% 80% 81% 82% 84% 85%

Page 85 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 0 115 286 598 719 759 701 760 781 762 715 699
Total teacher requirements 3,050 3,050 2,945 2,971 3,162 3,651 4,242 4,856 5,396 5,976 6,560 7,109 7,596 8,053
Category 1 1,550 1,550 1,495 2,214 2,342 2,688 3,106 3,535 3,905 4,301 4,695 5,059 5,376 5,668
Category 2 750 750 713 757 820 962 1,136 1,321 1,490 1,675 1,865 2,050 2,220 2,385
Category 3 550 550 508 489 498 549 610 667 708 750 787 815 832 843
Category 4 200 200 230 268 322 413 527 654 782 926 1,079 1,235 1,389 1,542
Ratio Category 1 50.0% 13 -0.1% 51% 51% 51% 51% 51% 51% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50%
Ratio Category 2 20.0% 13 -1.6% 25% 24% 24% 23% 23% 23% 22% 22% 22% 21% 21% 21% 20%
Ratio Category 3 10.0% 13 -4.4% 18% 17% 16% 16% 15% 14% 14% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10%
Ratio Category 4 20.0% 13 9.0% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19%
New other staff requirements 0 33 55 91 164 222 274 312 388 467 546 623 724
Total other staff requirements 350 383 439 530 694 916 1,190 1,502 1,889 2,356 2,902 3,525 4,249
New technical assistants required 0 11 18 29 51 70 88 102 128 156 185 214 251
Total technical assistants 100 3% <= Attrition rate 100 111 129 157 209 279 367 468 596 752 937 1,150 1,402
Ratio Technical assistants 20.0% 13 14.9% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 13% 15% 17%
New supervisory staff required 0 11 20 34 61 81 98 108 132 155 176 196 222
Total supervisory staff req 150 3% <= Attrition rate 150 161 181 215 276 358 456 565 697 852 1,029 1,224 1,446
Ratio Supervisory staff 20.0% 13 11.4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 10% 12% 13% 14% 16% 18%
New workers and others required 0 11 18 29 51 70 88 102 128 156 185 214 251
Total workers and others 100 3% <= Attrition rate 100 111 129 157 209 279 367 468 596 752 937 1,150 1,402
Ratio Workers and others 20.0% 13 14.9% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 13% 15% 17%

Private
Some indicators Student Teacher
Nb of sections 1,330 26 22 <= Weekly 1,330 1,266 1,213 1,191 1,256 1,341 1,420 1,463 1,505 1,539 1,559 1,560 1,551
Student/section ratio 37 12 9.0% 13 14 16 17 19 20 22 24 26 29 31 34 37
Teacher utilization rate 85% 12 2.2% 65% 67% 68% 70% 71% 73% 74% 76% 78% 80% 81% 83% 85%
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 0 0 0 126 158 145 85 83 70 47 18 5
Total teacher requirements 2,410 2,410 2,245 2,103 2,021 2,084 2,177 2,254 2,271 2,285 2,287 2,265 2,217 2,157
Category 1 1,050 1,050 988 936 909 947 1,000 1,046 1,066 1,084 1,096 1,097 1,085 1,067
Category 2 700 700 634 577 538 540 548 551 540 528 513 494 470 444
Category 3 340 340 308 281 263 264 269 271 266 261 254 245 234 221
Category 4 320 320 314 309 310 333 360 385 400 413 424 429 428 424
Ratio Category 1 50.0% 13 1.1% 44% 44% 45% 45% 45% 46% 46% 47% 47% 48% 48% 49% 49%
Ratio Category 2 20.0% 13 -2.8% 29% 28% 27% 27% 26% 25% 24% 24% 23% 22% 22% 21% 21%
Ratio Category 3 10.0% 13 -2.6% 14% 14% 13% 13% 13% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10%
Ratio Category 4 20.0% 13 3.2% 13% 14% 15% 15% 16% 17% 17% 18% 18% 19% 19% 19% 20%
New other staff requirements 0 9 11 16 27 39 52 63 84 109 138 172 218
Total other staff requirements 40 49 60 76 103 142 193 256 340 449 588 760 978
New technical assistants required 0 4 5 6 11 15 20 23 30 37 46 54 66
Total technical assistants 20 3% <= Attrition rate 20 24 28 35 46 61 81 105 134 172 217 272 338
Ratio Technical assistants 20.0% 13 27.7% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 10% 12% 16%
New supervisory staff required 0 3 3 5 8 12 16 20 27 36 46 59 76
Total supervisory staff req 10 3% <= Attrition rate 10 13 16 21 28 40 56 76 103 139 185 244 320

Page 86 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Ratio Supervisory staff 20.0% 13 34.7% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 11% 15%
New workers and others required 0 3 3 5 8 12 16 20 27 36 46 59 76
Total workers and others 10 3% <= Attrition rate 10 13 16 21 28 40 56 76 103 139 185 244 320
Ratio Workers and others 20.0% 13 34.7% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 11% 15%

S/Total
Some indicators
Nb of sections 3,140 3,043 3,033 3,160 3,566 4,069 4,593 5,045 5,536 6,036 6,511 6,936 7,343
New teacher requirements 0 0 115 286 724 878 904 787 843 851 808 733 704
Total teacher requirements 5,460 5,190 5,074 5,183 5,734 6,419 7,110 7,667 8,262 8,847 9,374 9,813 10,210
Category 1 2,600 2,483 3,149 3,251 3,635 4,106 4,581 4,971 5,385 5,791 6,156 6,461 6,735
Category 2 1,450 1,346 1,334 1,358 1,502 1,684 1,872 2,030 2,203 2,378 2,544 2,690 2,829
Category 3 890 816 771 761 813 879 938 975 1,011 1,041 1,060 1,065 1,064
Category 4 520 544 577 632 746 887 1,039 1,182 1,339 1,503 1,664 1,817 1,967
New other staff requirements 0 42 67 107 191 260 326 375 472 576 684 795 942
Total other staff requirements 390 432 499 606 797 1,057 1,383 1,758 2,230 2,806 3,490 4,285 5,227
New technical assistants required 0 15 22 35 63 85 108 125 158 193 230 268 317
Total technical assistants required 120 135 157 192 255 340 448 573 731 924 1,154 1,422 1,739
New supervisory staff required 0 14 23 38 69 93 114 128 159 191 223 255 298
Total supervisory staff required 160 174 197 235 305 398 512 641 800 991 1,214 1,469 1,766
New workers and others required 0 14 21 33 59 82 104 122 155 192 231 273 327
Total workers and others required 110 124 144 178 237 319 423 544 699 891 1,122 1,395 1,722

Vocational 2C
Public
Some indicators Student Teacher
Nb of sections 1,350 26 22 <= Weekly 1,350 1,319 1,301 1,327 1,482 1,657 1,758 1,842 1,953 2,053 2,115 2,163 2,208
Student/section ratio 37 12 3.8% 24 24 25 26 27 28 30 31 32 33 34 36 37
Teacher utilization rate 85% 12 2.6% 63% 64% 66% 68% 69% 71% 73% 75% 77% 79% 81% 83% 85%
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 0 0 56 282 309 181 149 187 168 105 83 77
Total teacher requirements 2,550 2,550 2,428 2,336 2,322 2,528 2,754 2,849 2,911 3,007 3,082 3,094 3,085 3,070
Category 1 1,250 1,250 1,192 1,148 1,143 1,247 1,360 1,409 1,442 1,492 1,532 1,540 1,538 1,533
Category 2 840 840 770 713 682 714 749 745 733 729 719 694 666 638
Category 3 450 450 410 378 359 375 391 387 378 374 367 353 337 321
Category 4 10 10 56 97 137 192 254 307 357 412 465 507 544 579
Ratio Category 1 50.0% 13 0.2% 49% 49% 49% 49% 49% 49% 49% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50%
Ratio Category 2 20.0% 13 -3.8% 33% 32% 31% 29% 28% 27% 26% 25% 24% 23% 22% 22% 21%
Ratio Category 3 10.0% 13 -4.3% 18% 17% 16% 15% 15% 14% 14% 13% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10%
Ratio Category 4 20.0% 13 35.3% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 11% 12% 14% 15% 16% 18% 19%
New other staff requirements 0 18 24 39 85 106 97 106 135 154 157 175 201
Total other staff requirements 300 318 343 382 467 573 671 776 912 1,066 1,223 1,398 1,599
New technical assistants required 0 5 7 14 38 45 35 34 42 43 36 36 37
Total technical assistants 200 3% <= Attrition rate 200 205 212 226 264 310 344 378 420 462 499 534 571
Ratio Technical assistants 20.0% 13 7.5% 8% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 19%

Page 87 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
New supervisory staff required 0 7 9 12 23 31 31 36 47 56 60 70 82
Total supervisory staff req 50 3% <= Attrition rate 50 57 65 78 101 132 163 199 246 302 362 432 514
Ratio Supervisory staff 20.0% 13 19.6% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 10% 12% 14% 17%
New workers and others required 0 7 9 12 23 31 31 36 47 56 60 70 82
Total workers and others 50 3% <= Attrition rate 50 57 65 78 101 132 163 199 246 302 362 432 514
Ratio Workers and others 20.0% 13 19.6% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 10% 12% 14% 17%

Private
Some indicators Student Teacher
Nb of sections 900 26 22 <= Weekly 900 898 877 846 880 915 900 868 838 796 732 658 579
Student/section ratio 37 12 4.4% 22 23 24 25 26 27 29 30 31 33 34 35 37
Teacher utilization rate 85% 12 1.5% 71% 72% 73% 74% 75% 77% 78% 79% 80% 81% 82% 84% 85%
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 18 0 0 75 76 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total teacher requirements 1,498 1,498 1,472 1,417 1,346 1,379 1,413 1,369 1,300 1,237 1,157 1,048 929 806
Category 1 750 750 737 709 674 690 707 685 650 619 579 524 465 403
Category 2 680 680 627 567 506 487 468 426 380 339 298 253 211 172
Category 3 27 27 30 33 36 42 49 54 59 64 68 71 71 71
Category 4 41 41 77 107 131 160 189 204 211 215 212 200 182 161
Ratio Category 1 50.0% 13 0.0% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50%
Ratio Category 2 20.0% 13 -6.1% 45% 43% 40% 38% 35% 33% 31% 29% 27% 26% 24% 23% 21%
Ratio Category 3 10.0% 13 14.1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9%
Ratio Category 4 20.0% 13 16.5% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 13% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 20% 20%
New other staff requirements 0 21 17 14 39 44 27 21 22 16 2 0 0
Total other staff requirements 240 261 278 292 331 376 403 424 446 462 463 455 437
New technical assistants required 0 7 6 5 13 15 9 7 7 5 0 0 0
Total technical assistants 80 3% <= Attrition rate 80 87 93 97 111 125 135 141 149 154 155 152 146
Ratio Technical assistants 20.0% 13 10.7% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 16% 18%
New supervisory staff required 0 7 5 4 13 15 9 6 6 4 0 0 0
Total supervisory staff req 90 3% <= Attrition rate 90 97 102 107 120 135 143 149 156 160 159 154 147
Ratio Supervisory staff 20.0% 13 9.7% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 13% 14% 15% 17% 18%
New workers and others required 0 7 6 5 13 15 10 8 8 7 2 0 0
Total workers and others 70 3% <= Attrition rate 70 77 83 88 101 116 125 133 141 148 150 149 144
Ratio Workers and others 20.0% 13 11.8% 5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 13% 14% 16% 18%

S/Total
Some indicators
Nb of sections 2,250 2,216 2,178 2,173 2,362 2,572 2,658 2,710 2,790 2,849 2,846 2,821 2,788
New teacher requirements 0 18 0 56 356 385 181 149 187 168 105 83 77
Total teacher requirements 4,048 3,900 3,752 3,668 3,907 4,167 4,219 4,211 4,244 4,240 4,143 4,014 3,876
Category 1 2,000 1,929 1,858 1,817 1,937 2,067 2,095 2,093 2,111 2,111 2,064 2,002 1,936
Category 2 1,520 1,397 1,279 1,187 1,201 1,217 1,171 1,112 1,068 1,017 948 877 810
Category 3 477 440 411 395 417 440 441 437 438 435 423 408 391
Category 4 51 134 204 268 353 443 511 568 627 677 707 727 739
New other staff requirements 0 39 41 53 125 151 124 126 158 170 160 175 201

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Total other staff requirements 540 579 620 674 798 949 1,074 1,200 1,358 1,528 1,686 1,852 2,035
New technical assistants required 0 12 13 19 51 60 44 41 49 48 37 36 37
Total technical assistants required 280 292 304 324 375 435 479 519 568 616 653 686 717
New supervisory staff required 0 14 14 17 37 45 40 42 53 60 60 70 82
Total supervisory staff required 140 154 168 185 221 267 307 349 402 462 521 586 660
New workers and others required 0 14 14 18 36 45 41 44 55 62 62 70 82
Total workers and others required 120 134 148 166 202 247 288 332 388 450 512 580 658

Teacher Training 2C
Public
Some indicators Student Teacher
Nb of sections 1,350 26 22 <= Weekly 1,350 1,386 1,406 1,460 1,624 1,834 2,056 2,242 2,440 2,642 2,832 2,999 3,156
Student/section ratio 37 12 1.0% 33 33 34 34 34 35 35 35 36 36 36 37 37
Teacher utilization rate 85% 12 2.6% 62% 64% 66% 67% 69% 71% 73% 75% 77% 79% 81% 83% 85%
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 78 46 107 299 370 383 315 328 326 302 260 241
Total teacher requirements 2,560 2,560 2,561 2,531 2,562 2,778 3,056 3,339 3,547 3,762 3,969 4,147 4,279 4,388
Category 1 1,250 1,250 1,253 1,240 1,258 1,366 1,506 1,648 1,754 1,864 1,970 2,062 2,132 2,190
Category 2 840 840 809 770 750 783 829 872 892 910 924 930 923 912
Category 3 450 450 431 408 395 410 432 452 460 467 472 472 467 458
Category 4 20 20 68 113 159 218 289 366 441 521 602 683 757 828
Ratio Category 1 50.0% 13 0.2% 49% 49% 49% 49% 49% 49% 49% 49% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50%
Ratio Category 2 20.0% 13 -3.7% 33% 32% 30% 29% 28% 27% 26% 25% 24% 23% 22% 22% 21%
Ratio Category 3 10.0% 13 -4.2% 18% 17% 16% 15% 15% 14% 14% 13% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10%
Ratio Category 4 20.0% 13 28.3% 1% 3% 4% 6% 8% 9% 11% 12% 14% 15% 16% 18% 19%
New other staff requirements 0 35 35 50 92 123 149 161 195 231 267 300 347
Total other staff requirements 300 335 370 420 512 635 784 945 1,139 1,371 1,637 1,937 2,284
New technical assistants required 0 15 13 20 41 53 60 57 64 70 73 73 76
Total technical assistants 200 3% <= Attrition rate 200 215 228 249 290 343 403 460 524 594 668 741 816
Ratio Technical assistants 20.0% 13 7.5% 8% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 19%
New supervisory staff required 0 10 11 15 25 35 45 52 65 80 97 113 136
Total supervisory staff req 50 3% <= Attrition rate 50 60 71 86 111 146 191 242 308 388 485 598 734
Ratio Supervisory staff 20.0% 13 19.6% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 10% 12% 14% 17%
New workers and others required 0 10 11 15 25 35 45 52 65 80 97 113 136
Total workers and others 50 3% <= Attrition rate 50 60 71 86 111 146 191 242 308 388 485 598 734
Ratio Workers and others 20.0% 13 19.6% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 10% 12% 14% 17%

Private
Some indicators Student Teacher
Nb of sections 900 26 22 <= Weekly 900 924 929 937 980 1,032 1,076 1,084 1,080 1,062 1,025 963 884
Student/section ratio 37 12 1.6% 31 31 32 32 33 33 34 34 35 35 36 36 37
Teacher utilization rate 85% 12 1.5% 71% 72% 73% 74% 75% 77% 78% 79% 80% 81% 82% 84% 85%
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 62 31 36 90 105 92 36 19 0 0 0 0
Total teacher requirements 1,498 1,498 1,515 1,501 1,491 1,536 1,593 1,636 1,624 1,595 1,545 1,469 1,359 1,229
Category 1 750 750 758 751 746 769 797 819 812 798 773 735 680 615

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Category 2 680 680 646 600 560 542 528 509 474 437 398 355 308 262
Category 3 27 27 31 35 40 47 56 65 74 83 91 99 104 108
Category 4 41 41 80 114 145 179 213 244 264 277 283 280 267 245
Ratio Category 1 50.0% 13 0.0% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50%
Ratio Category 2 20.0% 13 -6.1% 45% 43% 40% 38% 35% 33% 31% 29% 27% 26% 24% 23% 21%
Ratio Category 3 10.0% 13 14.1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9%
Ratio Category 4 20.0% 13 16.5% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 13% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 20% 20%
New other staff requirements 0 29 26 29 45 55 58 47 46 42 32 16 3
Total other staff requirements 240 269 294 324 369 424 482 529 575 617 649 665 666
New technical assistants required 0 10 9 10 15 18 19 16 15 14 11 5 0
Total technical assistants 80 3% <= Attrition rate 80 90 98 108 123 141 161 177 192 206 217 222 222
Ratio Technical assistants 20.0% 13 10.7% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 16% 18%
New supervisory staff required 0 10 9 10 15 18 19 15 14 13 9 3 0
Total supervisory staff req 90 3% <= Attrition rate 90 100 108 118 134 152 171 186 201 213 223 226 224
Ratio Supervisory staff 20.0% 13 9.7% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 13% 14% 15% 17% 18%
New workers and others required 0 9 9 10 15 18 19 16 16 15 12 7 2
Total workers and others 70 3% <= Attrition rate 70 79 88 97 112 130 150 166 182 198 210 217 220
Ratio Workers and others 20.0% 13 11.8% 5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 13% 14% 16% 18%

S/Total
Some indicators
Nb of sections 2,250 2,310 2,334 2,397 2,604 2,866 3,132 3,326 3,520 3,704 3,857 3,962 4,040
New teacher requirements 0 141 76 143 390 476 475 351 347 326 302 260 241
Total teacher requirements 4,058 4,076 4,031 4,053 4,313 4,650 4,975 5,171 5,357 5,514 5,615 5,638 5,617
Category 1 2,000 2,011 1,991 2,004 2,135 2,303 2,467 2,567 2,662 2,743 2,797 2,811 2,805
Category 2 1,520 1,455 1,370 1,310 1,324 1,357 1,381 1,366 1,347 1,322 1,285 1,232 1,174
Category 3 477 462 443 435 457 488 517 534 550 563 571 571 566
Category 4 61 148 227 304 397 502 610 705 798 886 963 1,024 1,073
New other staff requirements 0 63 61 79 137 178 207 208 241 273 299 316 350
Total other staff requirements 540 603 664 744 881 1,059 1,266 1,474 1,714 1,987 2,286 2,602 2,950
New technical assistants required 0 25 22 30 56 71 79 73 80 84 84 78 76
Total technical assistants required 280 305 327 357 413 484 563 636 716 800 884 962 1,039
New supervisory staff required 0 20 20 25 41 53 64 67 79 93 106 117 136
Total supervisory staff required 140 160 179 204 245 298 362 429 508 601 707 824 958
New workers and others required 0 19 19 25 40 53 64 68 81 96 109 121 138
Total workers and others required 120 139 158 183 223 276 340 408 490 586 695 816 954

C. Textbooks and teaching guides

C1. A textbook per subject per student; a teaching guide per subject per teacher

General 2C
Public
Textbooks 1,664,000 1,646,448 1,644,160 1,695,917 1,861,389 2,070,686 2,286,326 2,452,062 2,619,698 2,780,127 2,918,046 3,019,379 3,098,766

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 1 8 576,000 589,042 593,820 628,565 752,124 816,814 860,523 909,814 978,356 1,019,226 1,044,620 1,069,362 1,088,349
Grade 2 8 560,000 536,699 547,590 554,469 587,094 699,933 767,150 812,886 862,554 930,231 973,809 1,002,146 1,029,358
Grade 3 8 528,000 520,707 502,749 512,883 522,171 553,939 658,654 729,362 778,789 830,670 899,617 947,871 981,059
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 114,671 109,239 105,029 104,304 110,221 118,052 125,496 129,585 133,293 136,192 137,629 137,110 135,479
Grade 1 11 39,694 39,082 37,933 38,659 44,537 46,567 47,234 48,081 49,780 49,929 49,269 48,560 47,583
Grade 2 11 38,591 35,609 34,980 34,101 34,764 39,904 42,109 42,959 43,887 45,570 45,930 45,507 45,004
Grade 3 11 36,386 34,548 32,115 31,544 30,920 31,581 36,153 38,545 39,625 40,693 42,430 43,043 42,892
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private
Textbooks 30,400 35,457 44,525 58,387 79,864 106,861 138,443 172,060 211,610 256,228 304,597 355,492 410,290
Grade 1 8 11,200 15,213 19,633 25,729 37,232 47,703 58,594 71,547 88,159 104,479 121,257 140,068 160,402
Grade 2 8 9,600 10,613 14,311 18,538 24,331 35,167 45,323 55,861 68,352 84,358 100,258 116,623 134,958
Grade 3 8 9,600 9,631 10,581 14,120 18,301 23,991 34,526 44,652 55,099 67,391 83,082 98,800 114,930
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 4,282 4,530 5,160 6,138 7,616 9,244 10,864 12,247 13,664 15,008 16,184 17,134 17,938
Grade 1 11 1,577 1,944 2,275 2,705 3,551 4,127 4,598 5,093 5,692 6,120 6,443 6,751 7,013
Grade 2 11 1,352 1,356 1,658 1,949 2,320 3,042 3,557 3,976 4,413 4,941 5,327 5,621 5,900
Grade 3 11 1,352 1,230 1,226 1,484 1,745 2,075 2,709 3,178 3,558 3,947 4,414 4,762 5,025
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total
Textbooks 1,694,400 1,681,905 1,688,685 1,754,303 1,941,253 2,177,548 2,424,769 2,624,122 2,831,309 3,036,355 3,222,643 3,374,870 3,509,056
Grade 1 587,200 604,255 613,454 654,294 789,356 864,517 919,117 981,361 1,066,515 1,123,705 1,165,877 1,209,430 1,248,752
Grade 2 569,600 547,312 561,901 573,007 611,425 735,100 812,473 868,747 930,906 1,014,589 1,074,067 1,118,769 1,164,315
Grade 3 537,600 530,339 513,330 527,002 540,472 577,931 693,179 774,014 833,887 898,062 982,698 1,046,672 1,095,989
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 118,952 113,769 110,189 110,442 117,837 127,296 136,359 141,832 146,956 151,200 153,813 154,243 153,417
Grade 1 41,271 41,026 40,208 41,363 48,087 50,694 51,832 53,174 55,472 56,049 55,712 55,310 54,596
Grade 2 39,943 36,965 36,638 36,050 37,085 42,946 45,665 46,935 48,301 50,511 51,256 51,128 50,904
Grade 3 37,738 35,779 33,342 33,028 32,665 33,656 38,863 41,723 43,183 44,640 46,845 47,805 47,917
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Technical 2C
Public
Textbooks 199,100 204,032 218,376 246,635 302,145 372,606 452,592 533,624 627,159 730,533 840,037 952,475 1,071,573
Grade 1 5 72,500 77,669 86,836 102,057 135,246 161,889 187,657 217,985 257,190 293,595 329,604 369,557 412,025
Grade 2 5 66,000 66,125 70,851 79,415 93,578 123,982 149,915 175,012 204,372 242,264 278,301 314,175 354,005
Grade 3 5 60,600 60,238 60,689 65,163 73,321 86,735 115,020 140,628 165,597 194,674 232,132 268,743 305,543
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 18,065 17,446 17,597 18,729 21,622 25,128 28,764 31,960 35,398 38,857 42,107 44,992 47,701
Grade 1 7 6,578 6,641 6,997 7,750 9,679 10,918 11,926 13,056 14,516 15,616 16,521 17,457 18,341
Grade 2 7 5,989 5,654 5,709 6,031 6,697 8,361 9,528 10,482 11,535 12,886 13,950 14,841 15,759
Grade 3 7 5,499 5,151 4,890 4,948 5,247 5,849 7,310 8,422 9,347 10,355 11,636 12,695 13,601
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private
Textbooks 87,250 90,580 94,563 101,291 116,416 135,545 156,433 175,668 197,046 219,757 242,637 264,660 286,974
Grade 1 5 33,000 34,270 35,888 39,621 49,541 56,224 62,008 68,746 77,612 84,993 91,753 99,126 106,686
Grade 2 5 29,000 29,970 31,264 32,902 36,407 45,478 52,139 57,906 64,527 73,180 80,641 87,533 95,027
Grade 3 5 25,250 26,340 27,411 28,768 30,469 33,843 42,286 49,016 54,907 61,584 70,243 78,001 85,261
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 14,275 13,296 12,454 11,969 12,342 12,893 13,350 13,450 13,536 13,545 13,418 13,131 12,775
Grade 1 7 5,399 5,030 4,726 4,682 5,252 5,348 5,292 5,264 5,332 5,239 5,074 4,918 4,749
Grade 2 7 4,745 4,399 4,117 3,888 3,860 4,326 4,450 4,434 4,433 4,511 4,459 4,343 4,230
Grade 3 7 4,131 3,866 3,610 3,399 3,230 3,219 3,609 3,753 3,772 3,796 3,884 3,870 3,795
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total
Textbooks 286,350 294,611 312,939 347,927 418,561 508,151 609,025 709,292 824,205 950,290 1,082,673 1,217,135 1,358,547
Grade 1 105,500 111,939 122,724 141,678 184,786 218,114 249,665 286,731 334,801 378,587 421,357 468,683 518,710
Grade 2 95,000 96,095 102,115 112,317 129,985 169,459 202,054 232,918 268,900 315,444 358,942 401,708 449,032
Grade 3 85,850 86,577 88,100 93,932 103,790 120,578 157,306 189,644 220,504 256,258 302,374 346,744 390,805
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 32,340 30,742 30,051 30,698 33,964 38,021 42,114 45,410 48,934 52,401 55,524 58,123 60,476

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 1 11,977 11,672 11,724 12,432 14,931 16,266 17,218 18,319 19,848 20,855 21,595 22,375 23,090
Grade 2 10,733 10,053 9,827 9,918 10,556 12,687 13,977 14,916 15,968 17,396 18,409 19,184 19,989
Grade 3 9,630 9,017 8,500 8,348 8,477 9,068 10,919 12,176 13,118 14,150 15,520 16,565 17,397
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Vocational 2C
Public
Textbooks 95,550 96,890 99,283 105,122 121,879 141,425 155,832 169,548 186,556 203,674 217,774 231,255 245,122
Grade 1 3 49,800 50,625 52,110 56,439 69,175 77,116 83,462 90,764 100,579 108,132 114,550 121,458 128,310
Grade 2 3 45,750 46,265 47,172 48,682 52,705 64,309 72,370 78,784 85,977 95,542 103,225 109,796 116,811
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 10,788 10,271 9,882 9,824 10,694 11,651 12,054 12,314 12,721 13,040 13,091 13,053 12,990
Grade 1 5 5,623 5,367 5,187 5,275 6,070 6,353 6,456 6,592 6,859 6,923 6,886 6,855 6,800
Grade 2 5 5,166 4,905 4,695 4,550 4,625 5,298 5,598 5,722 5,863 6,117 6,205 6,197 6,190
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private
Textbooks 59,700 62,156 63,388 63,815 69,296 75,224 77,248 77,708 78,329 77,662 74,547 69,983 64,313
Grade 1 3 31,200 33,223 32,624 33,257 38,120 39,695 39,862 39,915 40,346 39,164 36,982 34,363 31,109
Grade 2 3 28,500 28,933 30,764 30,558 31,176 35,529 37,386 37,793 37,983 38,498 37,565 35,620 33,204
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 6,338 6,227 5,993 5,694 5,836 5,979 5,794 5,501 5,233 4,896 4,436 3,930 3,408
Grade 1 5 3,312 3,329 3,085 2,968 3,210 3,155 2,990 2,825 2,695 2,469 2,200 1,930 1,649
Grade 2 5 3,026 2,899 2,909 2,727 2,625 2,824 2,804 2,675 2,537 2,427 2,235 2,000 1,760
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total
Textbooks 155,250 159,046 162,671 168,936 191,175 216,650 233,080 247,256 264,885 281,336 292,322 301,238 309,435
Grade 1 81,000 83,848 84,734 89,696 107,294 116,812 123,323 130,679 140,925 147,297 151,532 155,822 159,420
Grade 2 74,250 75,198 77,937 79,240 83,881 99,838 109,757 116,578 123,960 134,040 140,790 145,416 150,015

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 17,126 16,499 15,876 15,519 16,530 17,630 17,848 17,815 17,954 17,937 17,527 16,982 16,398
Grade 1 8,935 8,695 8,271 8,242 9,280 9,508 9,446 9,417 9,554 9,392 9,087 8,785 8,448
Grade 2 8,191 7,803 7,604 7,276 7,250 8,122 8,402 8,397 8,400 8,544 8,440 8,197 7,950
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Teacher training 2C
Public
Textbooks 133,050 137,960 141,296 148,211 166,569 189,952 215,057 236,819 260,329 284,640 308,203 329,582 350,317
Grade 1 3 49,800 50,625 52,110 56,439 69,175 77,116 83,462 90,764 100,579 108,132 114,550 121,458 128,310
Grade 2 3 45,750 46,265 47,172 48,682 52,705 64,309 72,370 78,784 85,977 95,542 103,225 109,796 116,811
Grade 3 3 37,500 41,071 42,013 43,089 44,690 48,527 59,225 67,271 73,774 80,966 90,429 98,327 105,195
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 10,831 10,836 10,708 10,837 11,752 12,930 14,125 15,008 15,918 16,793 17,544 18,102 18,565
Grade 1 5 4,054 3,976 3,949 4,127 4,880 5,249 5,482 5,752 6,150 6,380 6,521 6,671 6,800
Grade 2 5 3,724 3,634 3,575 3,560 3,718 4,378 4,753 4,993 5,257 5,637 5,876 6,030 6,190
Grade 3 5 3,053 3,226 3,184 3,151 3,153 3,303 3,890 4,263 4,511 4,777 5,148 5,401 5,575
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private
Textbooks 82,800 86,346 88,181 90,370 95,957 102,644 108,701 111,232 112,631 112,529 110,274 105,255 98,144
Grade 1 3 31,200 33,223 32,624 33,257 38,120 39,695 39,862 39,915 40,346 39,164 36,982 34,363 31,109
Grade 2 3 28,500 28,933 30,764 30,558 31,176 35,529 37,386 37,793 37,983 38,498 37,565 35,620 33,204
Grade 3 3 23,100 24,190 24,793 26,556 26,661 27,420 31,452 33,524 34,302 34,866 35,727 35,272 33,831
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 6,338 6,410 6,348 6,310 6,498 6,741 6,923 6,871 6,747 6,537 6,213 5,751 5,201
Grade 1 5 2,388 2,466 2,349 2,322 2,581 2,607 2,539 2,465 2,417 2,275 2,084 1,878 1,649
Grade 2 5 2,181 2,148 2,215 2,134 2,111 2,333 2,381 2,334 2,275 2,237 2,117 1,946 1,760
Grade 3 5 1,768 1,796 1,785 1,854 1,805 1,801 2,003 2,071 2,055 2,026 2,013 1,927 1,793
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Page 94 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

S/Total
Textbooks 215,850 224,306 229,476 238,581 262,526 292,596 323,757 348,051 372,960 397,168 418,477 434,837 448,461
Grade 1 81,000 83,848 84,734 89,696 107,294 116,812 123,323 130,679 140,925 147,297 151,532 155,822 159,420
Grade 2 74,250 75,198 77,937 79,240 83,881 99,838 109,757 116,578 123,960 134,040 140,790 145,416 150,015
Grade 3 60,600 65,261 66,806 69,645 71,351 75,946 90,677 100,795 108,076 115,832 126,155 133,600 139,026
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 17,168 17,246 17,056 17,147 18,249 19,671 21,048 21,878 22,665 23,330 23,757 23,853 23,766
Grade 1 6,442 6,442 6,298 6,449 7,462 7,856 8,021 8,217 8,567 8,655 8,604 8,549 8,448
Grade 2 5,906 5,782 5,790 5,693 5,829 6,711 7,134 7,327 7,532 7,873 7,993 7,977 7,950
Grade 3 4,821 5,022 4,969 5,005 4,958 5,104 5,893 6,334 6,566 6,802 7,161 7,328 7,368
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

C2. Application of the new textbook policy

General 2C
Public Stock of books available
Textbooks 900,000 Life span 900,000 746,448 15,670 933,799 911,920 224,967 1,149,439 1,077,656 392,603 1,309,868 1,215,575 493,936 1,389,255
Grade 1 300,000 3 300,000 289,042 4,778 334,745 412,601 69,467 378,454 461,893 138,009 419,324 487,287 162,750 438,312
Grade 2 300,000 3 300,000 236,699 10,892 306,879 269,324 123,731 374,095 315,060 173,399 441,773 358,638 201,735 468,985
Grade 3 300,000 3 300,000 220,707 0 292,175 229,995 31,769 396,890 300,703 81,196 448,771 369,650 129,451 481,959
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 45,000 45,000 64,239 0 725 45,256 72,070 7,444 4,815 48,964 74,970 8,881 4,295 47,333
Grade 1 15,000 4 15,000 24,082 0 725 19,729 26,113 666 1,573 21,427 26,263 6 863 20,451
Grade 2 15,000 4 15,000 20,609 0 0 14,155 25,749 2,205 850 15,084 27,431 2,564 428 14,580
Grade 3 15,000 4 15,000 19,548 0 0 11,372 20,209 4,573 2,391 12,453 21,276 6,310 3,004 12,302
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private
Textbooks 6,000 Life span 6,000 29,457 9,067 19,862 50,934 36,065 51,443 84,552 75,615 96,061 132,920 126,510 150,860
Grade 1 2,000 3 2,000 13,213 4,421 8,096 24,715 14,892 18,986 37,668 31,505 35,306 54,447 50,316 55,640
Grade 2 2,000 3 2,000 8,613 3,697 6,227 14,406 14,533 16,384 24,944 27,025 32,389 40,844 43,390 50,724
Grade 3 2,000 3 2,000 7,631 949 5,539 11,813 6,640 16,073 21,939 17,086 28,366 37,630 32,805 44,496
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Page 95 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Teaching guides 600 600 3,930 634 978 2,074 5,558 2,254 2,362 3,490 6,902 3,430 3,312 4,294
Grade 1 200 4 200 1,744 332 429 1,046 2,320 803 924 1,645 2,747 1,126 1,233 1,907
Grade 2 200 4 200 1,156 303 290 571 1,878 817 710 1,009 2,405 1,203 1,004 1,288
Grade 3 200 4 200 1,030 0 258 457 1,361 634 727 836 1,750 1,101 1,075 1,099
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total
Textbooks 906,000 775,905 24,737 953,661 962,855 261,032 1,200,882 1,162,208 468,219 1,405,929 1,348,495 620,446 1,540,115
Grade 1 302,000 302,255 9,199 342,841 437,317 84,360 397,440 499,561 169,514 454,630 541,734 213,066 493,952
Grade 2 302,000 245,312 14,589 313,106 283,730 138,264 390,479 340,004 200,423 474,162 399,482 245,125 519,708
Grade 3 302,000 228,339 949 297,714 241,808 38,408 412,963 322,643 98,282 477,137 407,279 162,255 526,455
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 45,600 68,169 634 1,703 47,330 77,628 9,698 7,176 52,454 81,872 12,311 7,607 51,627
Grade 1 15,200 25,826 332 1,155 20,775 28,433 1,470 2,497 23,073 29,010 1,132 2,096 22,358
Grade 2 15,200 21,765 303 290 14,727 27,626 3,022 1,560 16,093 29,836 3,767 1,432 15,868
Grade 3 15,200 20,579 0 258 11,828 21,569 5,207 3,119 13,288 23,026 7,411 4,079 13,401
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Technical 2C
Public
Textbooks 60,000 Life span 60,000 144,032 14,344 88,259 199,541 84,806 168,245 280,574 178,340 271,619 390,078 290,779 390,716
Grade 1 20,000 3 20,000 57,669 9,167 35,221 90,857 35,811 60,989 121,185 75,015 97,394 157,195 114,969 139,861
Grade 2 20,000 3 20,000 46,125 4,726 28,564 60,288 35,130 54,497 85,385 64,490 92,388 121,423 100,364 132,218
Grade 3 20,000 3 20,000 40,238 451 24,474 48,395 13,865 52,760 74,003 38,834 81,837 111,460 75,446 118,637
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 450 450 16,996 411 1,132 3,193 20,392 4,047 4,328 6,631 23,851 7,297 7,213 9,340
Grade 1 150 4 150 6,491 356 753 2,079 7,730 1,365 1,882 3,539 8,830 2,270 2,817 4,424
Grade 2 150 4 150 5,504 55 321 816 7,169 1,221 1,276 1,869 8,520 2,285 2,166 2,787
Grade 3 150 4 150 5,001 0 58 299 5,493 1,461 1,171 1,223 6,501 2,742 2,230 2,129
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private
Textbooks 3,750 Life span 3,750 86,830 3,984 10,478 101,954 23,113 31,366 121,189 44,490 54,077 144,069 66,514 76,391
Grade 1 1,250 3 1,250 33,020 1,618 4,983 42,939 8,302 10,767 49,677 17,168 18,148 56,438 24,541 25,707

Page 96 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 2 1,250 3 1,250 28,720 1,294 2,888 32,225 10,365 9,549 37,992 16,986 18,202 45,452 23,879 25,696
Grade 3 1,250 3 1,250 25,090 1,072 2,607 26,790 4,446 11,050 33,520 10,336 17,728 42,179 18,094 24,988
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 3,750 3,750 9,546 0 0 2,796 10,097 513 144 2,782 10,105 551 130 1,989
Grade 1 1,250 4 1,250 3,780 0 0 1,472 3,876 0 0 1,455 3,783 0 0 966
Grade 2 1,250 4 1,250 3,149 0 0 710 3,615 124 0 694 3,693 73 0 464
Grade 3 1,250 4 1,250 2,616 0 0 614 2,605 390 144 633 2,629 478 130 558
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total
Textbooks 63,750 230,861 18,328 98,737 301,495 107,918 199,611 401,763 222,831 325,696 534,147 357,292 467,108
Grade 1 21,250 90,689 10,785 40,204 133,797 44,113 71,755 170,862 92,184 115,541 213,632 139,510 165,568
Grade 2 21,250 74,845 6,020 31,452 92,513 45,495 64,046 123,378 81,476 110,591 166,875 124,242 157,914
Grade 3 21,250 65,327 1,523 27,081 75,185 18,311 63,810 107,523 49,171 99,564 153,639 93,540 143,625
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 4,200 26,542 411 1,132 5,989 30,489 4,560 4,472 9,413 33,956 7,848 7,343 11,329
Grade 1 1,400 10,272 356 753 3,550 11,607 1,365 1,882 4,995 12,614 2,270 2,817 5,390
Grade 2 1,400 8,653 55 321 1,526 10,784 1,345 1,276 2,563 12,213 2,358 2,166 3,252
Grade 3 1,400 7,617 0 58 912 8,098 1,850 1,315 1,855 9,130 3,220 2,360 2,688
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Vocational 2C
Public
Textbooks 10,000 Life span 10,000 86,890 2,393 15,839 103,647 21,939 30,245 117,363 38,947 47,364 131,464 52,427 61,231
Grade 1 5,000 3 5,000 45,625 1,485 9,329 58,361 9,427 15,674 65,663 19,242 23,227 72,080 26,151 30,079
Grade 2 5,000 3 5,000 41,265 908 6,510 45,287 12,512 14,571 51,701 19,704 24,137 59,384 26,276 31,151
Grade 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 200 200 10,071 0 88 870 10,693 403 348 1,278 11,012 454 309 1,215
Grade 1 100 4 100 5,267 0 88 795 5,470 103 224 1,062 5,535 66 193 1,006
Grade 2 100 4 100 4,805 0 0 75 5,223 300 124 216 5,477 388 116 209
Grade 3 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Page 97 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private
Textbooks 4,500 Life span 4,500 57,656 1,831 4,327 63,138 7,759 6,351 63,598 8,380 5,684 60,483 4,429 2,250
Grade 1 2,000 3 2,000 31,223 0 2,034 36,086 1,576 2,200 36,140 2,006 1,019 33,957 0 0
Grade 2 2,500 3 2,500 26,433 1,831 2,294 27,052 6,184 4,151 27,458 6,374 4,665 26,526 4,429 2,250
Grade 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 157 157 6,070 10 0 243 5,726 0 0 0 4,896 0 0 0
Grade 1 145 4 145 3,184 0 0 243 2,912 0 0 0 2,469 0 0 0
Grade 2 12 4 12 2,887 10 0 0 2,814 0 0 0 2,427 0 0 0
Grade 3 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total
Textbooks 14,500 144,546 4,225 20,166 166,785 29,699 36,596 180,961 47,327 53,048 191,947 56,856 63,480
Grade 1 7,000 76,848 1,485 11,362 94,447 11,003 17,874 101,802 21,249 24,246 106,037 26,151 30,079
Grade 2 7,500 67,698 2,739 8,804 72,338 18,696 18,722 79,159 26,078 28,802 85,909 30,705 33,401
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 357 16,142 10 88 1,113 16,419 403 348 1,278 15,909 454 309 1,215
Grade 1 245 8,450 0 88 1,038 8,383 103 224 1,062 8,004 66 193 1,006
Grade 2 112 7,691 10 0 75 8,037 300 124 216 7,905 388 116 209
Grade 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Teacher training 2C
Public
Textbooks 69,500 Life span 69,500 82,710 3,335 62,165 101,069 26,718 87,270 122,831 50,229 111,580 146,394 71,608 132,315
Grade 1 4,500 3 4,500 46,125 1,485 8,829 58,861 9,427 15,174 66,163 19,242 22,727 72,580 26,151 29,579
Grade 2 60,000 3 60,000 515 908 47,260 4,537 12,512 55,321 10,951 19,704 64,887 18,634 26,276 71,901
Grade 3 5,000 3 5,000 36,071 942 6,076 37,671 4,779 16,775 45,717 11,282 23,967 55,180 19,181 30,835
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 11,700 11,700 3,107 0 178 8,467 4,286 1,195 1,061 9,377 5,161 1,946 1,618 9,840

Page 98 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Grade 1 6,000 4 6,000 0 0 178 4,703 369 232 448 5,101 599 373 598 5,229
Grade 2 700 4 700 2,934 0 0 785 3,593 376 239 1,049 3,973 615 394 1,209
Grade 3 5,000 4 5,000 173 0 0 2,980 324 587 373 3,228 589 957 626 3,402
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Private
Textbooks 18,000 Life span 18,000 68,346 2,434 19,590 73,933 9,121 25,646 76,464 10,520 25,544 74,210 6,114 17,820
Grade 1 7,000 3 7,000 26,223 0 7,034 31,086 1,576 7,200 31,140 2,006 6,019 28,957 0 2,152
Grade 2 6,000 3 6,000 22,933 1,831 5,794 23,552 6,184 7,651 23,958 6,374 8,165 23,026 4,429 5,750
Grade 3 5,000 3 5,000 19,190 603 6,763 19,295 1,362 10,795 21,367 2,140 11,360 22,227 1,685 9,918
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 1,800 1,800 4,610 67 69 1,752 4,853 317 137 1,440 4,643 190 51 518
Grade 1 500 4 500 1,966 0 0 615 1,992 0 0 425 1,850 0 0 0
Grade 2 600 4 600 1,548 67 0 496 1,770 115 0 390 1,731 0 0 28
Grade 3 700 4 700 1,096 0 69 640 1,091 202 137 625 1,062 190 51 490
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S/Total
Textbooks 87,500 151,056 5,770 81,755 175,001 35,840 112,916 199,295 60,749 137,125 220,604 77,722 150,135
Grade 1 11,500 72,348 1,485 15,862 89,947 11,003 22,374 97,302 21,249 28,746 101,537 26,151 31,731
Grade 2 66,000 23,448 2,739 53,054 28,088 18,696 62,972 34,909 26,078 73,052 41,659 30,705 77,651
Grade 3 10,000 55,261 1,545 12,839 56,967 6,141 27,570 67,084 13,422 35,327 77,407 20,866 40,753
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides 13,500 7,717 67 247 10,219 9,139 1,512 1,197 10,817 9,804 2,136 1,669 10,358
Grade 1 6,500 1,966 0 178 5,318 2,361 232 448 5,526 2,449 373 598 5,229
Grade 2 1,300 4,482 67 0 1,281 5,363 491 239 1,439 5,704 615 394 1,237
Grade 3 5,700 1,269 0 69 3,620 1,415 789 510 3,852 1,651 1,147 677 3,892
Grade 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grade 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

D. Classrooms and other rooms

General 2C
Public
Total classroom requirement 4,700 4,700 4,541 4,417 4,437 4,744 5,140 5,528 5,775 6,009 6,211 6,350 6,400 6,398

Page 99 of 149
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 136 133 154 449 550 554 420 415 389 329 242 192
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 136 269 423 871 1,422 1,975 2,395 2,810 3,199 3,528 3,770 3,962
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 22 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 136 269 423 871 1,422 1,975 2,395 2,810 3,199 3,528 3,770 3,962
Total lab and specialized ro 4,000 4,000 1,238 1,205 1,210 1,294 1,402 1,508 1,575 1,639 1,694 1,732 1,745 1,745
Lab to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 37 36 42 122 150 151 115 113 106 90 66 52
Lab to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 37 73 115 238 388 539 653 766 872 962 1,028 1,080
Lab built by year (Updated) 5 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 30 <= for the space 0 37 73 115 238 388 539 653 766 872 962 1,028 1,080
Total other room requiremen 700 15% <= Ratio other rooms 700 681 663 666 712 771 829 866 901 932 953 960 960
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 20 20 23 67 83 83 63 62 58 49 36 29
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 20 40 63 131 213 296 359 422 480 529 565 594
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 20 40 63 131 213 296 359 422 480 529 565 594
Private
Total classroom requirement 130 130 165 193 235 298 371 446 515 588 661 729 790 847
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 40 33 49 72 83 89 84 91 93 90 85 82
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 40 74 123 195 279 367 451 542 635 725 810 892
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 22 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 40 74 123 195 279 367 451 542 635 725 810 892
Total lab and specialized ro 30 30 36 42 51 65 81 97 112 128 144 159 172 185
Lab to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 7 36 42 122 150 151 115 113 106 90 66 52
Lab to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 7 43 85 208 358 509 623 736 842 932 998 1,051
Lab built by year (Updated) 4 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 30 <= for the space 0 7 43 85 208 358 509 623 736 842 932 998 1,051
Total other room requiremen 20 15% <= Ratio other rooms 20 25 29 35 45 56 67 77 88 99 109 119 127
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 6 5 7 11 13 13 13 14 14 14 13 12
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 6 11 18 29 41 55 67 81 95 108 121 133
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 6 11 18 29 41 55 67 81 95 108 121 133
S/Total
Total classroom requirements 4,830 4,706 4,610 4,672 5,042 5,511 5,974 6,289 6,597 6,872 7,080 7,190 7,245
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 0 177 166 203 521 634 642 504 505 482 420 327 274
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) 0 177 342 545 1,066 1,700 2,343 2,847 3,352 3,834 4,253 4,580 4,854
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 0 177 342 545 1,066 1,700 2,343 2,847 3,352 3,834 4,253 4,580 4,854
Total lab and specialized room requirements 4,030 1,275 1,247 1,261 1,359 1,483 1,605 1,687 1,767 1,838 1,891 1,918 1,930
Lab to build by year (apparent) 0 44 72 84 245 300 302 229 226 212 180 132 105
Lab to build (Cumulated) 0 44 117 200 445 746 1,048 1,277 1,503 1,715 1,894 2,026 2,131
Lab built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 0 44 117 200 445 746 1,048 1,277 1,503 1,715 1,894 2,026 2,131
Total other room requirements 720 706 691 701 756 827 896 943 990 1,031 1,062 1,079 1,087
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 26 25 30 78 95 96 76 76 72 63 49 41
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 26 51 81 159 255 351 426 502 575 638 686 728

Page 100 of 149


Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 26 51 81 159 255 351 426 502 575 638 686 728

Technical 2C
Public
Total classroom requirement 1,000 1,000 1,085 1,113 1,203 1,412 1,667 1,939 2,189 2,464 2,748 3,026 3,286 3,540
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 118 60 127 251 305 330 316 349 367 369 358 360
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 118 178 305 556 861 1,191 1,507 1,856 2,223 2,591 2,950 3,310
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 22 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 118 178 305 556 861 1,191 1,507 1,856 2,223 2,591 2,950 3,310
Total lab and specialized ro 250 250 237 243 263 308 364 423 478 538 600 660 717 772
Lab to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 7 13 28 55 67 72 69 76 80 80 78 79
Lab to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 7 20 48 103 169 241 310 386 466 547 625 704
Lab built by year (Updated) 4 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 30 <= for the space 0 7 20 48 103 169 241 310 386 466 547 625 704
Total other room requiremen 180 15% <= Ratio other rooms 180 163 167 180 212 250 291 328 370 412 454 493 531
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 5 9 19 38 46 50 47 52 55 55 54 54
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 5 14 33 71 116 166 213 266 321 376 430 484
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 5 14 33 71 116 166 213 266 321 376 430 484
Private
Total classroom requirement 810 810 774 741 728 768 820 868 894 920 941 953 953 948
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 23 22 22 62 77 74 53 53 49 41 29 28
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 23 45 67 130 207 281 333 387 436 477 506 534
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 22 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 23 45 67 130 207 281 333 387 436 477 506 534
Total lab and specialized ro 170 170 169 162 159 167 179 189 195 201 205 208 208 207
Lab to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 5 5 5 14 17 16 12 12 11 9 6 6
Lab to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 5 10 15 28 45 61 73 84 95 104 110 117
Lab built by year (Updated) 4 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 30 <= for the space 0 5 10 15 28 45 61 73 84 95 104 110 117
Total other room requiremen 100 15% <= Ratio other rooms 100 116 111 109 115 123 130 134 138 141 143 143 142
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 20 3 3 9 12 11 8 8 7 6 4 4
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 20 23 26 36 47 58 66 74 82 88 92 96
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 20 23 26 36 47 58 66 74 82 88 92 96
S/Total
Total classroom requirements 1,810 1,859 1,854 1,931 2,179 2,487 2,807 3,083 3,383 3,689 3,979 4,239 4,488
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 0 141 83 149 313 382 404 369 402 416 409 387 389
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) 0 141 224 373 686 1,068 1,472 1,841 2,243 2,659 3,068 3,455 3,844
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 0 141 224 373 686 1,068 1,472 1,841 2,243 2,659 3,068 3,455 3,844
Total lab and specialized room requirements 420 406 404 421 475 543 612 673 738 805 868 925 979
Lab to build by year (apparent) 0 12 18 32 68 83 88 80 88 91 89 84 85

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Lab to build (Cumulated) 0 12 30 63 131 214 303 383 471 561 651 735 820
Lab built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 0 12 30 63 131 214 303 383 471 561 651 735 820
Total other room requirements 280 279 278 290 327 373 421 462 507 553 597 636 673
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 24 12 22 47 57 61 55 60 62 61 58 58
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 24 37 59 106 163 224 279 340 402 463 522 580
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 24 37 59 106 163 224 279 340 402 463 522 580

Vocational 2C
Public
Total classroom requirement 600 600 549 542 553 618 690 733 768 814 856 881 901 920
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 16 16 27 83 93 64 58 70 68 52 47 46
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 16 33 60 143 237 301 359 429 497 549 596 643
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 15 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 16 33 60 143 237 301 359 429 497 549 596 643
Total lab and specialized ro 550 550 659 651 664 741 828 879 921 976 1,027 1,057 1,081 1,104
Lab to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 129 20 33 100 112 77 70 84 81 62 57 56
Lab to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 129 149 181 281 393 470 540 624 706 768 825 880
Lab built by year (Updated) 15 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 30 <= for the space 0 129 149 181 281 393 470 540 624 706 768 825 880
Total other room requiremen 70 15% <= Ratio other rooms 70 82 81 83 93 104 110 115 122 128 132 135 138
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 15 2 4 12 14 10 9 11 10 8 7 7
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 15 17 21 34 48 58 66 77 87 95 102 109
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 15 17 21 34 48 58 66 77 87 95 102 109
Private
Total classroom requirement 450 450 374 365 352 367 381 375 361 349 332 305 274 241
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 11 11 11 25 26 11 11 10 10 9 8 7
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 11 22 33 58 84 95 106 117 127 136 144 151
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 15 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 11 22 33 58 84 95 106 117 127 136 144 151
Total lab and specialized ro 450 450 449 439 423 440 458 450 434 419 398 366 329 290
Lab to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 13 13 13 30 31 14 13 13 12 11 10 9
Lab to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 13 27 39 70 101 114 127 140 152 163 173 181
Lab built by year (Updated) 15 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 30 <= for the space 0 13 27 39 70 101 114 127 140 152 163 173 181
Total other room requiremen 50 15% <= Ratio other rooms 50 56 55 53 55 57 56 54 52 50 46 41 36
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 8 2 2 4 4 2 2 2 1 1 1 1
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 8 9 11 15 19 20 22 24 25 26 28 29
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 8 9 11 15 19 20 22 24 25 26 28 29
S/Total
Total classroom requirements 1,050 923 908 905 984 1,072 1,108 1,129 1,163 1,187 1,186 1,175 1,162

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 0 28 27 38 108 119 76 69 81 78 61 55 54
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) 0 28 55 93 201 321 396 465 546 624 685 740 794
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 0 28 55 93 201 321 396 465 546 624 685 740 794
Total lab and specialized room requirements 1,000 1,108 1,089 1,087 1,181 1,286 1,329 1,355 1,395 1,425 1,423 1,411 1,394
Lab to build by year (apparent) 0 143 33 46 130 143 91 83 97 93 73 66 64
Lab to build (Cumulated) 0 143 175 221 351 494 585 667 764 858 931 997 1,062
Lab built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 0 143 175 221 351 494 585 667 764 858 931 997 1,062
Total other room requirements 120 139 136 136 148 161 166 169 174 178 178 176 174
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 23 4 6 16 18 11 10 12 12 9 8 8
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 23 27 32 49 67 78 88 100 112 121 130 138
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 23 27 32 49 67 78 88 100 112 121 130 138

Teacher training 2C
Public
Total classroom requirement 600 600 578 586 608 677 764 857 934 1,017 1,101 1,180 1,249 1,315
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 17 26 41 89 110 118 105 113 117 115 107 105
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 17 43 84 173 283 401 507 620 737 852 958 1,063
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 15 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 17 43 84 173 283 401 507 620 737 852 958 1,063
Total lab and specialized ro 550 550 693 703 730 812 917 1,028 1,121 1,220 1,321 1,416 1,499 1,578
Lab to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 164 31 49 107 132 142 126 136 140 138 128 126
Lab to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 164 195 244 350 483 625 751 887 1,027 1,165 1,293 1,419
Lab built by year (Updated) 15 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 30 <= for the space 0 164 195 244 350 483 625 751 887 1,027 1,165 1,293 1,419
Total other room requiremen 70 15% <= Ratio other rooms 70 87 88 91 102 115 129 140 153 165 177 187 197
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 19 4 6 13 17 18 16 17 18 17 16 16
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 19 23 29 43 59 77 93 110 127 144 160 176
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 19 23 29 43 59 77 93 110 127 144 160 176
Private
Total classroom requirement 450 450 385 387 391 408 430 448 452 450 443 427 401 368
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 12 14 15 30 35 32 17 14 13 13 12 11
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 12 25 40 70 105 137 154 167 180 193 205 216
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 15 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 12 25 40 70 105 137 154 167 180 193 205 216
Total lab and specialized ro 450 450 462 464 469 490 516 538 542 540 531 513 482 442
Lab to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 26 16 18 36 41 38 20 16 16 15 14 13
Lab to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 26 42 60 96 138 176 196 212 228 244 258 271
Lab built by year (Updated) 15 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 30 <= for the space 0 26 42 60 96 138 176 196 212 228 244 258 271
Total other room requiremen 50 15% <= Ratio other rooms 50 58 58 59 61 64 67 68 68 66 64 60 55

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 9 2 2 4 5 5 3 2 2 2 2 2
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 9 12 14 18 23 28 31 33 35 37 39 40
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 9 12 14 18 23 28 31 33 35 37 39 40
S/Total
Total classroom requirements 1,050 962 973 999 1,085 1,194 1,305 1,386 1,467 1,543 1,607 1,651 1,683
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 0 29 39 56 119 145 150 122 127 130 128 119 116
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) 0 29 68 124 243 388 538 660 787 917 1,045 1,164 1,280
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 0 29 68 124 243 388 538 660 787 917 1,045 1,164 1,280
Total lab and specialized room requirements 1,000 1,155 1,167 1,199 1,302 1,433 1,566 1,663 1,760 1,852 1,929 1,981 2,020
Lab to build by year (apparent) 0 190 47 67 143 174 180 147 152 156 153 143 139
Lab to build (Cumulated) 0 190 237 304 447 621 801 947 1,099 1,256 1,409 1,551 1,691
Lab built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 0 190 237 304 447 621 801 947 1,099 1,256 1,409 1,551 1,691
Total other room requirements 120 144 146 150 163 179 196 208 220 232 241 248 253
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 29 6 8 18 22 22 18 19 20 19 18 17
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 29 35 43 61 83 105 123 142 162 181 199 216
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 29 35 43 61 83 105 123 142 162 181 199 216

Page 104 of 149


TERTIARY EDUCATION (All blue cells should be replaced with the data of your country)
Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

A. Student enrolments

Graduates from Secondary II


General 2C
Public 47,879 48,343 47,761 49,838 51,871 56,222 68,271 77,173 84,082 91,475 101,008 108,470 114,384
Male 23,332 23,596 23,344 25,294 26,829 29,245 35,512 40,165 43,649 47,191 51,980 55,931 58,766
Female 24,548 24,747 24,418 24,544 25,041 26,978 32,759 37,008 40,433 44,284 49,028 52,539 55,618
Private 1,059 1,069 1,181 1,585 2,066 2,724 3,943 5,128 6,364 7,827 9,704 11,604 13,573
Male 529 534 590 807 1,067 1,412 2,044 2,662 3,295 4,029 4,986 5,978 6,968
Female 529 534 590 778 999 1,312 1,898 2,467 3,069 3,799 4,718 5,626 6,605
S/Total 48,938 49,411 48,942 51,423 53,937 58,946 72,214 82,301 90,446 99,302 110,711 120,074 127,958
Male 23,861 24,130 23,934 26,101 27,896 30,657 37,556 42,827 46,945 51,220 56,965 61,909 65,734
Female 25,077 25,281 25,008 25,322 26,041 28,289 34,658 39,474 43,502 48,083 53,746 58,166 62,224

Technical 2C
Public 8,639 8,807 9,094 10,002 11,523 13,948 18,917 23,642 28,444 34,148 41,565 49,101 56,939
Male 4,402 4,425 4,525 5,003 5,855 7,145 9,718 12,183 14,649 17,504 21,285 25,225 29,168
Female 4,237 4,382 4,569 4,999 5,668 6,804 9,199 11,459 13,795 16,644 20,280 23,875 27,770
Private 3,720 3,968 4,218 4,520 4,888 5,542 7,064 8,349 9,533 10,894 12,656 14,310 15,921
Male 1,848 1,981 2,072 2,171 2,375 2,719 3,486 4,147 4,749 5,422 6,319 7,199 8,023
Female 1,872 1,987 2,146 2,349 2,513 2,823 3,577 4,202 4,784 5,472 6,337 7,110 7,898
S/Total 12,360 12,775 13,312 14,522 16,412 19,490 25,981 31,991 37,976 45,042 54,221 63,410 72,859
Male 6,250 6,405 6,597 7,175 8,230 9,864 13,205 16,330 19,397 22,926 27,604 32,425 37,191
Female 6,110 6,369 6,715 7,348 8,181 9,626 12,776 15,661 18,579 22,116 26,617 30,986 35,668

Vocational 2C
Public 12,790 13,065 13,457 14,027 15,337 18,896 21,471 23,598 25,996 29,161 31,801 34,140 36,655
Male 7,146 7,257 7,507 7,866 8,583 10,516 11,863 12,908 14,032 15,594 16,913 17,948 19,000
Female 5,644 5,808 5,950 6,161 6,754 8,380 9,608 10,690 11,964 13,567 14,888 16,192 17,655
Private 7,783 8,001 8,610 8,655 8,935 10,301 10,965 11,210 11,393 11,676 11,519 11,042 10,404
Male 3,735 3,937 4,227 4,291 4,448 5,127 5,465 5,578 5,641 5,781 5,735 5,501 5,183
Female 4,048 4,064 4,383 4,364 4,487 5,174 5,500 5,632 5,752 5,896 5,784 5,541 5,221
S/Total 20,574 21,066 22,067 22,683 24,272 29,198 32,436 34,808 37,390 40,838 43,320 45,181 47,059
Male 10,881 11,194 11,733 12,158 13,031 15,643 17,328 18,486 19,674 21,375 22,648 23,449 24,183
Female 9,692 9,872 10,334 10,525 11,240 13,554 15,108 16,322 17,716 19,463 20,673 21,733 22,876

Teacher training 2C
Public 10,680 11,799 12,173 12,590 13,167 14,416 17,739 20,314 22,459 24,847 27,973 30,656 33,055
Male 5,950 6,430 6,590 6,856 7,226 7,923 9,731 11,077 12,144 13,285 14,846 16,210 17,315
Female 4,730 5,370 5,583 5,734 5,940 6,493 8,008 9,237 10,315 11,562 13,126 14,446 15,740
Private 6,545 7,010 7,342 8,034 8,233 8,640 9,972 10,695 11,012 11,263 11,612 11,464 10,995
Male 2,975 3,280 3,507 3,816 3,931 4,128 4,811 5,202 5,382 5,513 5,719 5,677 5,449
Female 3,570 3,730 3,835 4,218 4,302 4,512 5,161 5,493 5,629 5,750 5,893 5,787 5,546

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Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
S/Total 17,225 18,809 19,515 20,624 21,400 23,056 27,711 31,009 33,471 36,110 39,584 42,120 44,050
Male 8,925 9,710 10,097 10,672 11,157 12,050 14,542 16,279 17,527 18,798 20,565 21,887 22,764
Female 8,300 9,100 9,418 9,952 10,242 11,005 13,169 14,731 15,944 17,312 19,019 20,233 21,286

Total
Public 79,989 82,014 82,485 86,458 91,897 103,483 126,398 144,727 160,982 179,631 202,346 222,367 241,033
Male 40,830 41,707 41,965 45,019 48,494 54,828 66,824 76,334 84,475 93,574 105,024 115,315 124,250
Female 39,159 40,307 40,520 41,439 43,403 48,655 59,574 68,394 76,507 86,057 97,322 107,053 116,784
Private 19,108 20,048 21,351 22,794 24,123 27,207 31,943 35,383 38,302 41,661 45,491 48,419 50,893
Male 9,088 9,732 10,397 11,086 11,821 13,387 15,807 17,589 19,067 20,744 22,758 24,355 25,623
Female 10,020 10,316 10,955 11,708 12,301 13,820 16,136 17,794 19,234 20,916 22,733 24,064 25,270
S/Total 99,097 102,062 103,836 109,252 116,020 130,690 158,341 180,110 199,283 221,292 247,837 270,786 291,926
Male 49,918 51,439 52,361 56,105 60,315 68,215 82,631 93,922 103,542 114,319 127,782 139,669 149,872
Female 49,179 50,622 51,475 53,147 55,704 62,475 75,710 86,188 95,741 106,973 120,055 131,117 142,054

Enrolment rate at Tertiary Education 30% 10 0.6% 28% 28% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30%
Total Enrolments 546,000 546,000 558,354 572,544 589,736 610,735 635,787 665,524 699,241 735,597 772,351 793,947 811,414 829,265

Share of enrolments by type and specializat 100% 37% 43% 49% 56% 62% 68% 75% 81% 87% 94% 100% 100% 100%
Undergraduate+Graduate Levels 96% 33% 39% 46% 52% 58% 64% 71% 77% 83% 90% 96% 96% 96%
University 60% 29% 32% 35% 39% 42% 45% 48% 51% 54% 57% 60% 60% 60%
Undergraduate 38% 21% 23% 24% 26% 28% 29% 31% 33% 35% 36% 38% 38% 38%
Public 23% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 20% 21% 22% 23% 23% 23%
Social and Human Sciences 5% 10 0.2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
of which women 50% 10 2.9% 21% 24% 27% 30% 33% 36% 39% 41% 44% 47% 50% 50% 50%
Natural Sciences and Technology 10% 10 0.6% 4% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10%
of which women 50% 10 3.5% 15% 19% 22% 26% 29% 33% 36% 40% 43% 47% 50% 50% 50%
Professional 2% 10 0.0% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Teacher Training 4% 10 0.2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Medical 2% 10 0.0% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Private 15% 9% 10% 10% 11% 11% 12% 13% 13% 14% 14% 15% 15% 15%
Social and Human Sciences 2% 10 0.0% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Natural Sciences and Technology 5% 10 0.3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Professional 6% 10 0.4% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Teacher Training 1% 10 -0.1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Medical 1% 10 -0.1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%

Graduate 22% 8% 10% 11% 12% 14% 15% 17% 18% 19% 21% 22% 22% 22%
Public 14% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 12% 13% 14% 14% 14%

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Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Social and Human Sciences 4% 10 0.2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Natural Sciences and Technology 5% 10 0.3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Professional 3% 10 0.3% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Teacher Training 1% 10 -0.1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Medical 1% 10 0.1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Private 8% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8%
Social and Human Sciences 2% 10 0.0% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Natural Sciences and Technology 2% 10 0.2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Professional 2% 10 0.2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Teacher Training 1% 10 0.1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Medical 1% 10 0.1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%

Other Tertiary Education 36% 4% 7% 10% 13% 17% 20% 23% 26% 30% 33% 36% 36% 36%
Undergraduate 17% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 12% 14% 15% 17% 17% 17%
Public 9% 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9%
Social and Human Sciences 3% 10 0.3% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Natural Sciences and Technology 2% 10 0.2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Professional 1% 10 0.1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Teacher Training 1% 10 0.1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Medical 2% 10 0.2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Private 8% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8%
Social and Human Sciences 2% 10 0.2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Natural Sciences and Technology 2% 10 0.2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Professional 2% 10 0.2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Teacher Training 1% 10 0.1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Medical 1% 10 0.1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Graduate 19% 2% 4% 5% 7% 9% 10% 12% 14% 16% 17% 19% 19% 19%
Public 9% 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9%
Social and Human Sciences 2% 10 0.2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Natural Sciences and Technology 2% 10 0.2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Professional 2% 10 0.2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Teacher Training 2% 10 0.2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Medical 1% 10 0.1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Private 10% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 10% 10%
Social and Human Sciences 2% 10 0.2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Natural Sciences and Technology 4% 10 0.4% 0% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Professional 2% 10 0.2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Teacher Training 1% 10 0.1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Medical 1% 10 0.1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%

Post-Graduate 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4%
Public 2% 10 0.0% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%
Private 2% 10 0.0% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
of which women 50% 10 2.0% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 50% 50%

Enrolments by type and special 200,000 200,000 239,908 282,287 328,135 378,522 434,338 496,827 566,308 642,367 723,407 793,947 811,414 829,265
Undergraduate+Graduate Le 180,000 180,000 219,268 260,929 305,937 355,327 409,978 471,103 539,046 613,439 692,773 762,189 778,958 796,095
University 160,000 160,000 180,759 202,928 227,124 253,959 283,892 317,599 355,153 396,198 439,702 476,368 486,848 497,559
Undergraduate 114,000 114,000 126,139 139,147 153,422 169,342 187,173 207,322 229,797 254,339 280,270 301,700 308,337 315,121
Public 64,000 64,000 71,745 80,026 89,080 99,140 110,378 123,046 137,166 152,595 168,930 182,608 186,625 190,731
Social and Human Scien 14,000 14,000 15,677 17,470 19,431 21,611 24,046 26,792 29,852 33,196 36,736 39,697 40,571 41,463
of which women 3,000 3,000 3,807 4,742 5,829 7,101 8,588 10,334 12,367 14,701 17,318 19,849 20,285 20,732
Natural Sciences and Te 20,000 20,000 23,991 28,229 32,814 37,852 43,434 49,683 56,631 64,237 72,341 79,395 81,141 82,927
of which women 3,000 3,000 4,438 6,210 8,367 10,977 14,116 17,886 22,369 27,622 33,638 39,697 40,571 41,463
Professional 10,000 10,000 10,320 10,679 11,099 11,597 12,180 12,862 13,631 14,464 15,317 15,879 16,228 16,585
of which women 3,000 3,000 3,303 3,631 3,996 4,407 4,872 5,402 5,998 6,653 7,352 7,939 8,114 8,293
Teacher Training 10,000 10,000 11,437 12,969 14,638 16,483 18,538 20,848 23,421 26,234 29,219 31,758 32,457 33,171
of which women 3,000 3,000 3,660 4,410 5,270 6,264 7,415 8,756 10,305 12,067 14,025 15,879 16,228 16,585
Medical 10,000 10,000 10,320 10,679 11,099 11,597 12,180 12,862 13,631 14,464 15,317 15,879 16,228 16,585
of which women 3,000 3,000 3,303 3,631 3,996 4,407 4,872 5,402 5,998 6,653 7,352 7,939 8,114 8,293
Private 50,000 50,000 54,394 59,121 64,342 70,201 76,795 84,275 92,630 101,744 111,340 119,092 121,712 124,390
Social and Human Scien 10,000 10,000 10,320 10,679 11,099 11,597 12,180 12,862 13,631 14,464 15,317 15,879 16,228 16,585

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
of which women 3,000 3,000 3,303 3,631 3,996 4,407 4,872 5,402 5,998 6,653 7,352 7,939 8,114 8,293
Natural Sciences and Te 10,000 10,000 11,995 14,114 16,407 18,926 21,717 24,841 28,315 32,118 36,170 39,697 40,571 41,463
of which women 3,000 3,000 3,839 4,799 5,906 7,192 8,687 10,433 12,459 14,774 17,362 19,849 20,285 20,732
Professional 10,000 10,000 12,554 15,259 18,176 21,369 24,896 28,835 33,210 38,003 43,121 47,637 48,685 49,756
of which women 3,000 3,000 4,017 5,188 6,543 8,120 9,958 12,110 14,612 17,481 20,698 23,818 24,342 24,878
Teacher Training 10,000 10,000 9,762 9,534 9,330 9,154 9,001 8,869 8,737 8,579 8,366 7,939 8,114 8,293
of which women 3,000 3,000 3,124 3,242 3,359 3,479 3,600 3,725 3,844 3,946 4,016 3,970 4,057 4,146
Medical 10,000 10,000 9,762 9,534 9,330 9,154 9,001 8,869 8,737 8,579 8,366 7,939 8,114 8,293
of which women 3,000 3,000 3,124 3,242 3,359 3,479 3,600 3,725 3,844 3,946 4,016 3,970 4,057 4,146

Graduate 46,000 46,000 54,621 63,781 73,702 84,617 96,719 110,277 125,356 141,860 159,432 174,668 178,511 182,438
Public 32,000 32,000 37,269 42,876 48,963 55,678 63,136 71,506 80,820 91,009 101,843 111,153 113,598 116,097
Social and Human Scien 10,000 10,000 11,437 12,969 14,638 16,483 18,538 20,848 23,421 26,234 29,219 31,758 32,457 33,171
of which women 3,000 3,000 3,660 4,410 5,270 6,264 7,415 8,756 10,305 12,067 14,025 15,879 16,228 16,585
Natural Sciences and Te 10,000 10,000 11,995 14,114 16,407 18,926 21,717 24,841 28,315 32,118 36,170 39,697 40,571 41,463
of which women 3,000 3,000 3,839 4,799 5,906 7,192 8,687 10,433 12,459 14,774 17,362 19,849 20,285 20,732
Professional 1,000 1,000 2,595 4,274 6,064 8,000 10,119 12,467 15,068 17,924 20,995 23,818 24,342 24,878
of which women 300 300 831 1,453 2,183 3,040 4,048 5,236 6,630 8,245 10,078 11,909 12,171 12,439
Teacher Training 10,000 10,000 9,762 9,534 9,330 9,154 9,001 8,869 8,737 8,579 8,366 7,939 8,114 8,293
of which women 3,000 3,000 3,124 3,242 3,359 3,479 3,600 3,725 3,844 3,946 4,016 3,970 4,057 4,146
Medical 1,000 1,000 1,479 1,984 2,525 3,114 3,761 4,481 5,279 6,154 7,093 7,939 8,114 8,293
of which women 300 300 473 675 909 1,183 1,504 1,882 2,323 2,831 3,404 3,970 4,057 4,146
Private 14,000 14,000 17,352 20,905 24,739 28,939 33,583 38,771 44,536 50,850 57,590 63,516 64,913 66,341
Social and Human Scien 10,000 10,000 10,320 10,679 11,099 11,597 12,180 12,862 13,631 14,464 15,317 15,879 16,228 16,585
of which women 3,000 3,000 3,303 3,631 3,996 4,407 4,872 5,402 5,998 6,653 7,352 7,939 8,114 8,293
Natural Sciences and Te 1,000 1,000 2,037 3,129 4,294 5,557 6,940 8,474 10,174 12,039 14,044 15,879 16,228 16,585
of which women 300 300 652 1,064 1,546 2,112 2,776 3,559 4,476 5,538 6,741 7,939 8,114 8,293
Professional 1,000 1,000 2,037 3,129 4,294 5,557 6,940 8,474 10,174 12,039 14,044 15,879 16,228 16,585
of which women 300 300 652 1,064 1,546 2,112 2,776 3,559 4,476 5,538 6,741 7,939 8,114 8,293
Teacher Training 1,000 1,000 1,479 1,984 2,525 3,114 3,761 4,481 5,279 6,154 7,093 7,939 8,114 8,293
of which women 300 300 473 675 909 1,183 1,504 1,882 2,323 2,831 3,404 3,970 4,057 4,146
Medical 1,000 1,000 1,479 1,984 2,525 3,114 3,761 4,481 5,279 6,154 7,093 7,939 8,114 8,293
of which women 300 300 473 675 909 1,183 1,504 1,882 2,323 2,831 3,404 3,970 4,057 4,146

Other Tertiary Education 20,000 20,000 38,508 58,001 78,813 101,369 126,086 153,505 183,893 217,241 253,071 285,821 292,109 298,535
Undergraduate 10,000 10,000 18,696 27,855 37,637 48,241 59,864 72,759 87,052 102,736 119,584 134,971 137,940 140,975
Public 5,000 5,000 9,627 14,500 19,703 25,342 31,522 38,376 45,973 54,310 63,268 71,455 73,027 74,634
Social and Human Scien 1,000 1,000 2,595 4,274 6,064 8,000 10,119 12,467 15,068 17,924 20,995 23,818 24,342 24,878
of which women 300 300 831 1,453 2,183 3,040 4,048 5,236 6,630 8,245 10,078 11,909 12,171 12,439
Natural Sciences and Te 1,000 1,000 2,037 3,129 4,294 5,557 6,940 8,474 10,174 12,039 14,044 15,879 16,228 16,585
of which women 300 300 652 1,064 1,546 2,112 2,776 3,559 4,476 5,538 6,741 7,939 8,114 8,293
Professional 1,000 1,000 1,479 1,984 2,525 3,114 3,761 4,481 5,279 6,154 7,093 7,939 8,114 8,293
of which women 300 300 473 675 909 1,183 1,504 1,882 2,323 2,831 3,404 3,970 4,057 4,146
Teacher Training 1,000 1,000 1,479 1,984 2,525 3,114 3,761 4,481 5,279 6,154 7,093 7,939 8,114 8,293
of which women 300 300 473 675 909 1,183 1,504 1,882 2,323 2,831 3,404 3,970 4,057 4,146
Medical 1,000 1,000 2,037 3,129 4,294 5,557 6,940 8,474 10,174 12,039 14,044 15,879 16,228 16,585
of which women 300 300 652 1,064 1,546 2,112 2,776 3,559 4,476 5,538 6,741 7,939 8,114 8,293

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Private 5,000 5,000 9,069 13,355 17,934 22,899 28,343 34,383 41,078 48,425 56,317 63,516 64,913 66,341
Social and Human Scien 1,000 1,000 2,037 3,129 4,294 5,557 6,940 8,474 10,174 12,039 14,044 15,879 16,228 16,585
of which women 300 300 652 1,064 1,546 2,112 2,776 3,559 4,476 5,538 6,741 7,939 8,114 8,293
Natural Sciences and Te 1,000 1,000 2,037 3,129 4,294 5,557 6,940 8,474 10,174 12,039 14,044 15,879 16,228 16,585
of which women 300 300 652 1,064 1,546 2,112 2,776 3,559 4,476 5,538 6,741 7,939 8,114 8,293
Professional 1,000 1,000 2,037 3,129 4,294 5,557 6,940 8,474 10,174 12,039 14,044 15,879 16,228 16,585
of which women 300 300 652 1,064 1,546 2,112 2,776 3,559 4,476 5,538 6,741 7,939 8,114 8,293
Teacher Training 1,000 1,000 1,479 1,984 2,525 3,114 3,761 4,481 5,279 6,154 7,093 7,939 8,114 8,293
of which women 300 300 473 675 909 1,183 1,504 1,882 2,323 2,831 3,404 3,970 4,057 4,146
Medical 1,000 1,000 1,479 1,984 2,525 3,114 3,761 4,481 5,279 6,154 7,093 7,939 8,114 8,293
of which women 300 300 473 675 909 1,183 1,504 1,882 2,323 2,831 3,404 3,970 4,057 4,146

Graduate 10,000 10,000 19,812 30,146 41,176 53,127 66,222 80,745 96,841 114,505 133,487 150,850 154,169 157,560
Public 5,000 5,000 9,627 14,500 19,703 25,342 31,522 38,376 45,973 54,310 63,268 71,455 73,027 74,634
Social and Human Scien 1,000 1,000 2,037 3,129 4,294 5,557 6,940 8,474 10,174 12,039 14,044 15,879 16,228 16,585
of which women 300 300 652 1,064 1,546 2,112 2,776 3,559 4,476 5,538 6,741 7,939 8,114 8,293
Natural Sciences and Te 1,000 1,000 2,037 3,129 4,294 5,557 6,940 8,474 10,174 12,039 14,044 15,879 16,228 16,585
of which women 300 300 652 1,064 1,546 2,112 2,776 3,559 4,476 5,538 6,741 7,939 8,114 8,293
Professional 1,000 1,000 2,037 3,129 4,294 5,557 6,940 8,474 10,174 12,039 14,044 15,879 16,228 16,585
of which women 300 300 652 1,064 1,546 2,112 2,776 3,559 4,476 5,538 6,741 7,939 8,114 8,293
Teacher Training 1,000 1,000 2,037 3,129 4,294 5,557 6,940 8,474 10,174 12,039 14,044 15,879 16,228 16,585
of which women 300 300 652 1,064 1,546 2,112 2,776 3,559 4,476 5,538 6,741 7,939 8,114 8,293
Medical 1,000 1,000 1,479 1,984 2,525 3,114 3,761 4,481 5,279 6,154 7,093 7,939 8,114 8,293
of which women 300 300 473 675 909 1,183 1,504 1,882 2,323 2,831 3,404 3,970 4,057 4,146
Private 5,000 5,000 10,185 15,645 21,472 27,785 34,700 42,369 50,868 60,195 70,219 79,395 81,141 82,927
Social and Human Scien 1,000 1,000 2,037 3,129 4,294 5,557 6,940 8,474 10,174 12,039 14,044 15,879 16,228 16,585
of which women 300 300 652 1,064 1,546 2,112 2,776 3,559 4,476 5,538 6,741 7,939 8,114 8,293
Natural Sciences and Te 1,000 1,000 3,154 5,419 7,833 10,443 13,298 16,460 19,963 23,809 27,946 31,758 32,457 33,171
of which women 300 300 1,009 1,843 2,820 3,968 5,319 6,913 8,784 10,952 13,414 15,879 16,228 16,585
Professional 1,000 1,000 2,037 3,129 4,294 5,557 6,940 8,474 10,174 12,039 14,044 15,879 16,228 16,585
of which women 300 300 652 1,064 1,546 2,112 2,776 3,559 4,476 5,538 6,741 7,939 8,114 8,293
Teacher Training 1,000 1,000 1,479 1,984 2,525 3,114 3,761 4,481 5,279 6,154 7,093 7,939 8,114 8,293
of which women 300 300 473 675 909 1,183 1,504 1,882 2,323 2,831 3,404 3,970 4,057 4,146
Medical 1,000 1,000 1,479 1,984 2,525 3,114 3,761 4,481 5,279 6,154 7,093 7,939 8,114 8,293
of which women 300 300 473 675 909 1,183 1,504 1,882 2,323 2,831 3,404 3,970 4,057 4,146

Post-Graduate 20,000 20,000 20,641 21,358 22,198 23,195 24,360 25,724 27,263 28,928 30,634 31,758 32,457 33,171
Public 10,000 10,000 10,320 10,679 11,099 11,597 12,180 12,862 13,631 14,464 15,317 15,879 16,228 16,585
of which women 3,000 3,000 3,303 3,631 3,996 4,407 4,872 5,402 5,998 6,653 7,352 7,939 8,114 8,293
Private 10,000 10,000 10,320 10,679 11,099 11,597 12,180 12,862 13,631 14,464 15,317 15,879 16,228 16,585
of which women 3,000 3,000 3,303 3,631 3,996 4,407 4,872 5,402 5,998 6,653 7,352 7,939 8,114 8,293

B. Teaching and other staff

University (Undergraduate+Graduate)
Public
Some indicators Student Teacher

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Nb of sections 4,000 26 22 <= Weekly 4,000 4,459 4,934 5,440 5,988 6,588 7,251 7,974 8,747 9,544 10,163 10,195 10,228
Student/section ratio 30 12 1.9% 24 24 25 25 26 26 27 27 28 28 29 29 30
Teacher utilization rate 85% 12 -4.4% 146% 140% 134% 128% 122% 117% 112% 107% 102% 97% 93% 89% 85%
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 650 726 821 938 1,076 1,242 1,423 1,610 1,784 1,710 1,047 1,098
Total teacher requirements 3,232 3,232 3,769 4,364 5,034 5,798 6,674 7,685 8,843 10,149 11,585 12,908 13,548 14,220
Category 1 646 646 808 1,004 1,243 1,537 1,898 2,345 2,896 3,566 4,369 5,223 5,883 6,626
Category 2 1,293 1,293 1,430 1,569 1,716 1,874 2,045 2,233 2,436 2,650 2,868 3,030 3,015 3,000
Category 3 1,143 1,143 1,210 1,271 1,330 1,390 1,452 1,517 1,584 1,650 1,709 1,728 1,645 1,567
Category 4 150 150 322 520 744 997 1,279 1,590 1,927 2,283 2,640 2,928 3,005 3,027
Ratio Category 1 50.0% 13 7.3% 20% 21% 23% 25% 27% 28% 31% 33% 35% 38% 40% 43% 47%
Ratio Category 2 20.0% 13 -5.2% 40% 38% 36% 34% 32% 31% 29% 28% 26% 25% 23% 22% 21%
Ratio Category 3 10.0% 13 -9.3% 35% 32% 29% 26% 24% 22% 20% 18% 16% 15% 13% 12% 11%
Ratio Category 4 20.0% 13 11.9% 5% 9% 12% 15% 17% 19% 21% 22% 22% 23% 23% 22% 21%
New other staff requirements 0 423 463 515 580 656 748 847 946 1,034 966 540 565
Total other staff requirements 2,369 2,711 3,082 3,492 3,953 4,475 5,070 5,744 6,495 7,310 8,034 8,325 8,631
New technical assistants required 0 155 167 183 204 227 256 285 314 336 303 148 151
Total technical assistants 910 3% <= Attrition rate 910 1,034 1,166 1,310 1,469 1,647 1,848 2,071 2,315 2,574 2,794 2,856 2,920
Ratio Technical assistants 20.0% 13 -2.6% 28% 27% 27% 26% 25% 25% 24% 23% 23% 22% 22% 21% 21%
New supervisory staff required 0 107 123 144 169 199 235 277 323 369 372 262 283
Total supervisory staff re 459 3% <= Attrition rate 459 550 653 774 915 1,081 1,278 1,510 1,779 2,085 2,386 2,571 2,770
Ratio Supervisory staff 20.0% 13 2.7% 14% 15% 15% 15% 16% 16% 17% 17% 18% 18% 18% 19% 19%
New workers and others required 0 162 173 188 207 230 256 284 310 329 291 130 132
Total workers and others 1,000 3% <= Attrition rate 1,000 1,128 1,263 1,408 1,569 1,746 1,944 2,163 2,401 2,650 2,855 2,898 2,941
Ratio Workers and others 20.0% 13 -3.3% 31% 30% 29% 28% 27% 26% 25% 24% 24% 23% 22% 21% 21%

Private
Some indicators Student Teacher
Nb of sections 2,500 26 22 <= Weekly 2,500 2,766 3,044 3,344 3,673 4,036 4,440 4,885 5,363 5,859 6,250 6,304 6,358
Student/section ratio 30 12 1.3% 26 26 26 27 27 27 28 28 28 29 29 30 30
Teacher utilization rate 85% 12 -2.6% 117% 114% 111% 108% 105% 102% 100% 97% 94% 92% 90% 87% 85%
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 430 472 526 592 670 762 861 959 1,043 965 550 569
Total teacher requirements 2,530 2,530 2,874 3,249 3,664 4,133 4,662 5,267 5,949 6,707 7,524 8,242 8,535 8,840
Category 1 200 200 262 341 443 576 749 975 1,270 1,650 2,133 2,692 3,213 3,835
Category 2 1,300 1,300 1,373 1,444 1,514 1,588 1,667 1,751 1,839 1,928 2,012 2,049 1,974 1,901
Category 3 1,000 1,000 1,022 1,039 1,055 1,070 1,086 1,104 1,122 1,138 1,148 1,132 1,055 983
Category 4 30 30 217 425 652 898 1,160 1,437 1,719 1,991 2,231 2,368 2,294 2,121
Ratio Category 1 50.0% 13 15.2% 8% 9% 10% 12% 14% 16% 19% 21% 25% 28% 33% 38% 43%
Ratio Category 2 20.0% 13 -7.0% 51% 48% 44% 41% 38% 36% 33% 31% 29% 27% 25% 23% 22%
Ratio Category 3 10.0% 13 -10.0% 40% 36% 32% 29% 26% 23% 21% 19% 17% 15% 14% 12% 11%
Ratio Category 4 20.0% 13 24.3% 1% 8% 13% 18% 22% 25% 27% 29% 30% 30% 29% 27% 24%
New other staff requirements 0 118 145 179 224 280 352 441 547 670 746 663 765
Total other staff requirements 410 513 638 794 988 1,230 1,536 1,919 2,394 2,976 3,613 4,152 4,774
New technical assistants required 0 33 41 52 67 85 109 140 178 222 254 236 277
Total technical assistants 100 3% <= Attrition rate 100 129 165 211 269 344 440 563 719 914 1,134 1,330 1,561
Ratio Technical assistants 20.0% 13 13.3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 14% 16% 18%
New supervisory staff required 0 33 41 52 67 85 109 140 178 222 254 236 277
Total supervisory staff re 100 3% <= Attrition rate 100 129 165 211 269 344 440 563 719 914 1,134 1,330 1,561

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Ratio Supervisory staff 20.0% 13 13.3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 14% 16% 18%
New workers and others required 0 53 63 75 91 109 133 161 192 226 238 190 211
Total workers and others 210 3% <= Attrition rate 210 255 309 373 450 543 656 793 956 1,148 1,346 1,491 1,652
Ratio Workers and others 20.0% 13 7.0% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 12% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 19%

S/Total
Some indicators
Nb of sections 6,500 7,224 7,978 8,784 9,662 10,624 11,691 12,859 14,110 15,402 16,413 16,499 16,585
New teacher requirements 0 1,081 1,198 1,347 1,530 1,745 2,004 2,285 2,569 2,827 2,675 1,596 1,668
Total teacher requirements 5,762 6,643 7,613 8,698 9,931 11,336 12,952 14,793 16,856 19,109 21,150 22,084 23,060
Category 1 846 1,070 1,345 1,687 2,113 2,647 3,321 4,166 5,216 6,501 7,916 9,096 10,461
Category 2 2,593 2,803 3,013 3,231 3,462 3,712 3,983 4,275 4,578 4,880 5,079 4,988 4,901
Category 3 2,143 2,232 2,310 2,385 2,460 2,538 2,621 2,706 2,788 2,857 2,859 2,700 2,550
Category 4 180 538 944 1,396 1,895 2,439 3,027 3,646 4,274 4,871 5,296 5,299 5,148
New other staff requirements 0 541 608 694 803 935 1,099 1,287 1,493 1,704 1,712 1,203 1,331
Total other staff requirements 2,369 3,224 3,720 4,286 4,941 5,705 6,606 7,663 8,890 10,285 11,648 12,476 13,405
New technical assistants required 0 187 208 235 270 313 365 425 491 558 557 384 429
Total technical assistants required 1,010 1,162 1,331 1,520 1,738 1,991 2,288 2,634 3,034 3,488 3,928 4,186 4,480
New supervisory staff required 0 140 164 196 235 284 345 417 500 591 626 499 560
Total supervisory staff required 559 678 818 984 1,184 1,425 1,718 2,073 2,498 2,999 3,519 3,901 4,331
New workers and others required 0 214 235 263 298 339 389 445 502 555 529 320 342
Total workers and others required 1,210 1,383 1,571 1,781 2,018 2,289 2,600 2,956 3,357 3,798 4,201 4,389 4,593

Other Tertiary Education


Public
Some indicators Student Teacher
Nb of sections 500 26 22 <= Weekly 500 931 1,355 1,780 2,214 2,662 3,133 3,629 4,145 4,668 5,097 5,036 4,976
Student/section ratio 30 12 3.4% 20 21 21 22 23 24 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Teacher utilization rate 85% 12 0.4% 81% 81% 82% 82% 82% 83% 83% 83% 84% 84% 84% 85% 85%
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 664 668 682 708 743 790 840 884 910 789 97 95
Total teacher requirements 730 730 1,353 1,963 2,568 3,180 3,808 4,464 5,149 5,857 6,570 7,144 7,030 6,918
Category 1 155 155 307 1,588 1,988 2,370 2,749 3,140 3,552 3,988 4,443 4,830 4,780 4,759
Category 2 500 500 843 375 580 810 1,060 1,324 1,598 1,870 2,127 2,314 2,250 2,159
Category 3 55 55 104 154 207 261 320 383 452 525 602 669 673 677
Category 4 20 20 99 220 373 548 740 941 1,146 1,344 1,525 1,645 1,577 1,482
Ratio Category 1 50.0% 13 6.8% 21% 23% 24% 26% 28% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 41% 44% 47%
Ratio Category 2 20.0% 13 -9.0% 68% 62% 57% 52% 47% 43% 39% 35% 32% 29% 27% 24% 22%
Ratio Category 3 10.0% 13 2.2% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 10%
Ratio Category 4 20.0% 13 16.5% 3% 7% 11% 15% 17% 19% 21% 22% 23% 23% 23% 22% 21%
New other staff requirements 0 309 312 321 335 355 381 410 437 455 393 34 35
Total other staff requirements 350 659 972 1,292 1,627 1,981 2,362 2,772 3,209 3,664 4,057 4,065 4,074
New technical assistants required 0 91 94 99 106 114 125 137 148 157 140 17 17
Total technical assistants 100 3% <= Attrition rate 100 191 285 384 489 603 728 865 1,013 1,170 1,309 1,327 1,344
Ratio Technical assistants 20.0% 13 3.0% 14% 14% 15% 15% 15% 16% 16% 17% 17% 18% 18% 19% 19%
New supervisory staff required 0 128 124 123 124 126 131 137 141 141 113 0 0
Total supervisory staff re 150 3% <= Attrition rate 150 278 402 524 648 774 906 1,043 1,184 1,325 1,438 1,412 1,386
Ratio Supervisory staff 20.0% 13 -0.2% 21% 21% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
New workers and others required 0 91 94 99 106 114 125 137 148 157 140 17 17
Total workers and others 100 3% <= Attrition rate 100 191 285 384 489 603 728 865 1,013 1,170 1,309 1,327 1,344
Ratio Workers and others 20.0% 13 3.0% 14% 14% 15% 15% 15% 16% 16% 17% 17% 18% 18% 19% 19%

Private
Some indicators Student Teacher
Nb of sections 500 26 22 <= Weekly 500 931 1,355 1,780 2,214 2,662 3,133 3,629 4,145 4,668 5,097 5,036 4,976
Student/section ratio 30 12 3.4% 20 21 21 22 23 24 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Teacher utilization rate 85% 12 1.5% 71% 72% 73% 74% 75% 76% 78% 79% 80% 81% 82% 84% 85%
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 742 730 730 742 765 799 835 863 872 731 17 16
Total teacher requirements 835 835 1,531 2,195 2,840 3,478 4,119 4,775 5,446 6,126 6,794 7,306 7,109 6,918
Category 1 105 105 214 341 491 669 881 1,135 1,440 1,801 2,222 2,657 2,875 3,111
Category 2 70 70 137 210 291 381 482 598 729 877 1,040 1,196 1,244 1,294
Category 3 340 340 559 720 836 919 977 1,017 1,041 1,051 1,047 1,010 882 771
Category 4 320 320 620 923 1,222 1,509 1,778 2,024 2,236 2,396 2,486 2,444 2,109 1,743
Ratio Category 1 50.0% 13 11.2% 13% 14% 16% 17% 19% 21% 24% 26% 29% 33% 36% 40% 45%
Ratio Category 2 20.0% 13 6.9% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 12% 13% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 19%
Ratio Category 3 10.0% 13 -10.2% 41% 37% 33% 29% 26% 24% 21% 19% 17% 15% 14% 12% 11%
Ratio Category 4 20.0% 13 -4.9% 38% 41% 42% 43% 43% 43% 42% 41% 39% 37% 33% 30% 25%
New other staff requirements 0 343 337 338 345 359 379 402 422 433 362 32 32
Total other staff requirements 400 743 1,080 1,418 1,764 2,122 2,501 2,903 3,325 3,757 4,120 4,090 4,063
New technical assistants required 0 162 150 141 136 132 132 131 129 123 87 0 0
Total technical assistants 200 3% <= Attrition rate 200 362 511 653 788 920 1,052 1,184 1,313 1,436 1,523 1,462 1,403
Ratio Technical assistants 20.0% 13 -1.4% 24% 24% 23% 23% 23% 22% 22% 22% 21% 21% 21% 21% 20%
New supervisory staff required 0 91 94 98 105 113 124 135 146 155 138 16 16
Total supervisory staff re 100 3% <= Attrition rate 100 191 284 383 488 601 725 860 1,006 1,160 1,298 1,314 1,330
Ratio Supervisory staff 20.0% 13 4.0% 12% 12% 13% 13% 14% 15% 15% 16% 16% 17% 18% 18% 19%
New workers and others required 0 91 94 98 105 113 124 135 146 155 138 16 16
Total workers and others 100 3% <= Attrition rate 100 191 284 383 488 601 725 860 1,006 1,160 1,298 1,314 1,330
Ratio Workers and others 20.0% 13 4.0% 12% 12% 13% 13% 14% 15% 15% 16% 16% 17% 18% 18% 19%

S/Total
Some indicators
Nb of sections 1,000 1,861 2,711 3,561 4,428 5,324 6,267 7,258 8,289 9,336 10,193 10,072 9,951
New teacher requirements 0 1,406 1,399 1,412 1,450 1,507 1,589 1,674 1,747 1,782 1,520 113 111
Total teacher requirements 1,565 2,884 4,158 5,408 6,658 7,927 9,239 10,595 11,983 13,364 14,450 14,140 13,836
Category 1 260 521 1,929 2,479 3,039 3,630 4,275 4,992 5,789 6,664 7,486 7,655 7,870
Category 2 570 980 585 871 1,191 1,542 1,922 2,327 2,747 3,167 3,510 3,494 3,453
Category 3 395 664 875 1,043 1,181 1,297 1,400 1,493 1,576 1,649 1,679 1,555 1,448
Category 4 340 719 1,144 1,595 2,057 2,518 2,966 3,381 3,741 4,011 4,089 3,685 3,224
New other staff requirements 0 652 650 658 680 713 760 812 858 887 755 66 67
Total other staff requirements 750 1,402 2,052 2,710 3,390 4,104 4,864 5,675 6,534 7,421 8,176 8,155 8,137
New technical assistants required 0 252 244 240 241 246 257 268 277 280 227 17 17
Total technical assistants required 300 552 796 1,036 1,278 1,524 1,781 2,049 2,326 2,606 2,833 2,788 2,747
New supervisory staff required 0 218 218 221 229 240 255 272 287 296 251 16 16
Total supervisory staff required 250 468 686 907 1,136 1,375 1,630 1,902 2,190 2,485 2,736 2,726 2,717
New workers and others required 0 182 188 197 210 227 248 272 294 311 277 33 33

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Total workers and others required 200 382 569 767 977 1,204 1,453 1,724 2,019 2,330 2,608 2,641 2,674

Post-Graduate
Public
Some indicators Student Teacher
Nb of sections 1,350 26 22 <= Weekly 1,350 1,359 1,371 1,390 1,417 1,451 1,494 1,545 1,599 1,651 1,669 1,664 1,659
Student/section ratio 10 12 2.5% 7 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 10 10 10
Teacher utilization rate 85% 12 -8.2% 237% 217% 200% 183% 168% 154% 142% 130% 120% 110% 101% 93% 85%
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 87 98 111 128 148 172 199 226 251 238 231 251
Total teacher requirements 674 674 739 812 897 995 1,110 1,245 1,402 1,580 1,777 1,957 2,124 2,306
Category 1 125 125 148 175 209 250 301 365 443 539 655 778 912 1,068
Category 2 84 84 95 109 125 143 166 193 225 263 307 351 395 445
Category 3 450 450 426 405 386 370 357 346 337 328 319 303 284 267
Category 4 15 15 69 123 177 231 286 341 396 449 496 524 533 526
Ratio Category 1 50.0% 13 7.9% 19% 20% 22% 23% 25% 27% 29% 32% 34% 37% 40% 43% 46%
Ratio Category 2 20.0% 13 3.7% 12% 13% 13% 14% 14% 15% 16% 16% 17% 17% 18% 19% 19%
Ratio Category 3 10.0% 13 -13.6% 67% 58% 50% 43% 37% 32% 28% 24% 21% 18% 15% 13% 12%
Ratio Category 4 20.0% 13 18.4% 2% 9% 15% 20% 23% 26% 27% 28% 28% 28% 27% 25% 23%
New other staff requirements 0 31 36 43 52 62 76 91 108 126 126 130 149
Total other staff requirements 300 331 367 410 462 524 600 691 799 925 1,051 1,181 1,330
New technical assistants required 0 13 14 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 27 23 24
Total technical assistants 200 3% <= Attrition rate 200 213 227 243 262 283 308 336 368 401 429 451 475
Ratio Technical assistants 20.0% 13 -3.0% 30% 29% 28% 27% 26% 25% 25% 24% 23% 23% 22% 21% 21%
New supervisory staff required 0 9 11 13 17 20 25 31 38 46 49 53 63
Total supervisory staff re 50 3% <= Attrition rate 50 59 70 84 100 121 146 177 216 262 311 365 427
Ratio Supervisory staff 20.0% 13 7.9% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 19%
New workers and others required 0 9 11 13 17 20 25 31 38 46 49 53 63
Total workers and others 50 3% <= Attrition rate 50 59 70 84 100 121 146 177 216 262 311 365 427
Ratio Workers and others 20.0% 13 7.9% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 19%

Private
Some indicators Student Teacher
Nb of sections 900 26 22 <= Weekly 900 937 978 1,026 1,081 1,145 1,220 1,305 1,396 1,492 1,560 1,609 1,659
Student/section ratio 10 12 -0.9% 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10
Teacher utilization rate 85% 12 0.2% 83% 83% 83% 83% 83% 84% 84% 84% 84% 84% 85% 85% 85%
New teacher requirements 3% <= Attrition rate 0 90 97 108 121 136 153 170 184 192 156 130 133
Total teacher requirements 1,286 1,286 1,336 1,391 1,455 1,531 1,618 1,720 1,835 1,959 2,088 2,179 2,242 2,306
Category 1 750 750 770 792 819 851 889 934 985 1,039 1,095 1,129 1,148 1,167
Category 2 68 68 78 90 105 122 143 168 199 235 277 321 365 416
Category 3 427 427 404 384 366 351 339 328 319 311 302 287 270 253
Category 4 41 41 83 125 165 206 247 289 332 374 414 442 459 470
Ratio Category 1 50.0% 13 -1.2% 58% 58% 57% 56% 56% 55% 54% 54% 53% 52% 52% 51% 51%
Ratio Category 2 20.0% 13 10.8% 5% 6% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 16% 18%
Ratio Category 3 10.0% 13 -8.8% 33% 30% 28% 25% 23% 21% 19% 17% 16% 14% 13% 12% 11%
Ratio Category 4 20.0% 13 15.2% 3% 6% 9% 11% 13% 15% 17% 18% 19% 20% 20% 20% 20%
New other staff requirements 0 33 38 45 53 64 77 92 108 125 124 125 141
Total other staff requirements 240 273 311 355 409 473 550 641 749 874 998 1,123 1,264

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
New technical assistants required 0 11 13 15 18 21 26 31 36 42 41 42 47
Total technical assistants 80 3% <= Attrition rate 80 91 104 119 136 158 183 214 250 292 333 375 422
Ratio Technical assistants 20.0% 13 9.4% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 17% 18%
New supervisory staff required 0 11 13 15 18 22 26 31 36 41 40 39 44
Total supervisory staff re 90 3% <= Attrition rate 90 101 114 130 148 170 195 226 262 302 342 381 425
Ratio Supervisory staff 20.0% 13 8.4% 7% 8% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 16% 17% 18%
New workers and others required 0 10 12 14 17 21 25 31 36 42 43 44 50
Total workers and others 70 3% <= Attrition rate 70 80 93 107 124 145 171 201 238 280 323 367 417
Ratio Workers and others 20.0% 13 10.5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 16% 18%

S/Total
Some indicators
Nb of sections 2,250 2,296 2,349 2,416 2,498 2,596 2,715 2,849 2,995 3,143 3,230 3,273 3,317
New teacher requirements 0 177 195 219 250 284 326 368 409 442 395 361 384
Total teacher requirements 1,960 2,075 2,203 2,352 2,526 2,728 2,965 3,236 3,539 3,865 4,136 4,366 4,612
Category 1 875 918 968 1,028 1,102 1,191 1,299 1,428 1,579 1,750 1,907 2,060 2,235
Category 2 152 174 199 229 265 309 361 424 498 585 672 760 861
Category 3 877 831 789 753 722 696 674 656 639 621 591 554 520
Category 4 56 152 247 342 437 533 630 728 823 910 967 992 996
New other staff requirements 0 64 74 88 105 126 153 183 216 250 250 255 290
Total other staff requirements 540 604 678 765 871 997 1,149 1,332 1,549 1,799 2,049 2,304 2,594
New technical assistants required 0 24 27 31 36 43 51 59 67 75 69 64 71
Total technical assistants required 280 304 330 361 398 441 491 550 618 693 762 826 897
New supervisory staff required 0 21 24 29 35 42 51 62 74 87 89 93 107
Total supervisory staff required 140 161 185 213 248 290 341 403 477 564 653 746 853
New workers and others required 0 20 23 28 34 41 51 62 75 88 92 98 113
Total workers and others required 120 140 163 191 225 266 317 379 453 542 634 732 845

D. Classrooms and other rooms

University (Undergraduate+Graduate)
Public
Total classroom requirement 4,700 4,700 2,725 3,015 3,324 3,660 4,026 4,431 4,873 5,345 5,832 6,211 6,230 6,250
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 82 381 409 445 487 538 588 633 662 565 207 207
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 82 463 872 1,317 1,804 2,342 2,930 3,563 4,224 4,789 4,996 5,203
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 22 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 82 463 872 1,317 1,804 2,342 2,930 3,563 4,224 4,789 4,996 5,203
Total lab and specialized ro 1,030 1,030 619 685 756 832 915 1,007 1,108 1,215 1,325 1,412 1,416 1,421
Lab to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 19 87 93 101 111 122 134 144 150 128 47 47
Lab to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 19 105 198 299 410 532 666 810 960 1,088 1,135 1,183
Lab built by year (Updated) 5 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 19 105 198 299 410 532 666 810 960 1,088 1,135 1,183
Total other room requiremen 700 15% <= Ratio other rooms 700 409 452 499 549 604 665 731 802 875 932 935 938
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent 3% <= Amortization rate 0 12 57 61 67 73 81 88 95 99 85 31 31
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 12 69 131 197 271 351 440 534 634 718 749 780
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 12 69 131 197 271 351 440 534 634 718 749 780

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Private
Total classroom requirement 130 130 1,690 1,861 2,044 2,245 2,466 2,713 2,985 3,277 3,580 3,819 3,852 3,885
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 1,611 226 245 268 296 328 361 390 411 354 148 150
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 1,611 1,837 2,082 2,350 2,646 2,974 3,335 3,726 4,136 4,490 4,638 4,788
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 22 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 1,611 1,837 2,082 2,350 2,646 2,974 3,335 3,726 4,136 4,490 4,638 4,788
Total lab and specialized ro 30 30 369 406 446 490 538 592 651 715 781 833 840 848
Lab to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 350 49 53 59 64 72 79 85 90 77 32 33
Lab to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 350 399 453 511 576 647 726 811 901 978 1,010 1,043
Lab built by year (Updated) 4 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 30 <= for the space 0 350 399 453 511 576 647 726 811 901 978 1,010 1,043
Total other room requiremen 20 15% <= Ratio other rooms 20 254 279 307 337 370 407 448 492 537 573 578 583
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent 3% <= Amortization rate 0 241 34 37 40 44 49 54 59 62 53 22 22
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 241 275 312 352 396 446 500 558 620 673 695 718
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 241 275 312 352 396 446 500 558 620 673 695 718
S/Total
Total classroom requirements 4,830 4,415 4,876 5,368 5,904 6,492 7,144 7,858 8,623 9,413 10,030 10,083 10,135
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 0 1,693 607 653 713 783 866 950 1,023 1,072 919 355 357
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) 0 1,693 2,300 2,953 3,667 4,449 5,316 6,265 7,288 8,361 9,279 9,634 9,991
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 0 1,693 2,300 2,953 3,667 4,449 5,316 6,265 7,288 8,361 9,279 9,634 9,991
Total lab and specialized room requirements 1,060 988 1,091 1,201 1,321 1,453 1,599 1,759 1,930 2,107 2,245 2,256 2,268
Lab to build by year (apparent) 0 368 136 146 160 175 194 213 229 240 206 79 80
Lab to build (Cumulated) 0 368 504 651 810 986 1,179 1,392 1,621 1,861 2,066 2,146 2,226
Lab built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 0 368 504 651 810 986 1,179 1,392 1,621 1,861 2,066 2,146 2,226
Total other room requirements 720 662 731 805 886 974 1,072 1,179 1,293 1,412 1,505 1,512 1,520
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 253 91 98 107 117 130 142 153 161 138 53 54
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 253 344 442 549 667 797 939 1,093 1,254 1,391 1,445 1,498
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 253 344 442 549 667 797 939 1,093 1,254 1,391 1,445 1,498

Other Tertiary Education


Public
Total classroom requirement 1,000 1,000 569 828 1,088 1,353 1,627 1,915 2,218 2,533 2,853 3,115 3,077 3,041
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 17 284 292 305 323 345 369 391 405 356 92 91
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 17 301 594 899 1,222 1,567 1,937 2,328 2,733 3,089 3,181 3,272
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 22 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 17 301 594 899 1,222 1,567 1,937 2,328 2,733 3,089 3,181 3,272
Total lab and specialized ro 250 250 124 181 237 295 355 418 484 553 622 680 671 663
Lab to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 4 62 64 67 70 75 81 85 88 78 20 20
Lab to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 4 66 130 196 267 342 423 508 596 674 694 714
Lab built by year (Updated) 4 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 30 <= for the space 0 4 66 130 196 267 342 423 508 596 674 694 714
Total other room requiremen 180 15% <= Ratio other rooms 180 85 124 163 203 244 287 333 380 428 467 462 456
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent 3% <= Amortization rate 0 3 43 44 46 48 52 55 59 61 53 14 14

Page 116 of 149


Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 3 45 89 135 183 235 291 349 410 463 477 491
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 3 45 89 135 183 235 291 349 410 463 477 491
Private
Total classroom requirement 810 810 569 828 1,088 1,353 1,627 1,915 2,218 2,533 2,853 3,115 3,077 3,041
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 17 284 292 305 323 345 369 391 405 356 92 91
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 17 301 594 899 1,222 1,567 1,937 2,328 2,733 3,089 3,181 3,272
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 22 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 17 301 594 899 1,222 1,567 1,937 2,328 2,733 3,089 3,181 3,272
Total lab and specialized ro 170 170 124 181 237 295 355 418 484 553 622 680 671 663
Lab to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 4 62 64 67 70 75 81 85 88 78 20 20
Lab to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 4 66 130 196 267 342 423 508 596 674 694 714
Lab built by year (Updated) 4 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 30 <= for the space 0 4 66 130 196 267 342 423 508 596 674 694 714
Total other room requiremen 100 15% <= Ratio other rooms 100 85 124 163 203 244 287 333 380 428 467 462 456
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent 3% <= Amortization rate 0 3 43 44 46 48 52 55 59 61 53 14 14
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 3 45 89 135 183 235 291 349 410 463 477 491
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 3 45 89 135 183 235 291 349 410 463 477 491
S/Total
Total classroom requirements 1,810 1,138 1,656 2,176 2,706 3,254 3,830 4,435 5,066 5,705 6,229 6,155 6,081
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 0 34 569 585 611 646 691 739 782 811 711 185 182
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) 0 34 603 1,188 1,799 2,444 3,135 3,874 4,656 5,467 6,178 6,362 6,545
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 0 34 603 1,188 1,799 2,444 3,135 3,874 4,656 5,467 6,178 6,362 6,545
Total lab and specialized room requirements 420 248 361 475 590 710 836 968 1,105 1,245 1,359 1,343 1,327
Lab to build by year (apparent) 0 7 124 128 133 141 151 161 171 177 155 40 40
Lab to build (Cumulated) 0 7 132 259 392 533 684 845 1,016 1,193 1,348 1,388 1,428
Lab built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 0 7 132 259 392 533 684 845 1,016 1,193 1,348 1,388 1,428
Total other room requirements 280 171 248 326 406 488 574 665 760 856 934 923 912
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 5 85 88 92 97 104 111 117 122 107 28 27
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 5 90 178 270 367 470 581 698 820 927 954 982
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 5 90 178 270 367 470 581 698 820 927 954 982

Post-Graduate
Public
Total classroom requirement 600 600 566 571 579 590 605 623 644 666 688 696 693 691
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 17 22 25 29 32 37 40 42 42 28 21 21
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 17 39 65 93 126 163 203 245 288 316 337 358
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 15 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 17 39 65 93 126 163 203 245 288 316 337 358
Total lab and specialized ro 550 550 679 686 695 708 726 747 772 799 826 835 832 829
Lab to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 150 27 30 35 39 44 48 51 51 34 25 25
Lab to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 150 177 207 241 280 324 373 424 475 509 534 559
Lab built by year (Updated) 15 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Page 117 of 149


Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Hypothese of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 30 <= for the space 0 150 177 207 241 280 324 373 424 475 509 534 559
Total other room requiremen 70 15% <= Ratio other rooms 70 85 86 87 89 91 93 97 100 103 104 104 104
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent 3% <= Amortization rate 0 17 3 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 4 3 3
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 17 21 25 29 34 39 45 52 58 62 65 69
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 17 21 25 29 34 39 45 52 58 62 65 69
Private
Total classroom requirement 450 450 390 408 427 450 477 508 544 582 622 650 670 691
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 12 29 33 37 41 46 51 56 58 48 40 42
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 12 41 74 110 151 198 249 305 363 411 452 493
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 15 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 36 <= for the space 0 12 41 74 110 151 198 249 305 363 411 452 493
Total lab and specialized ro 450 450 469 489 513 541 573 610 652 698 746 780 804 829
Lab to build by year (apparent) 3% <= Amortization rate 0 33 35 39 44 49 56 62 67 70 58 48 50
Lab to build (Cumulated) Weekly utilization hours 0 33 68 107 151 200 256 318 385 455 512 561 610
Lab built by year (Updated) 15 <= for the students 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 30 <= for the space 0 33 68 107 151 200 256 318 385 455 512 561 610
Total other room requiremen 50 15% <= Ratio other rooms 50 59 61 64 68 72 76 82 87 93 98 101 104
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent 3% <= Amortization rate 0 10 4 5 5 6 7 8 8 9 7 6 6
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 10 15 20 25 31 38 46 54 63 70 76 83
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 10 15 20 25 31 38 46 54 63 70 76 83
S/Total
Total classroom requirements 1,050 957 979 1,007 1,041 1,082 1,131 1,187 1,248 1,310 1,346 1,364 1,382
Classrooms to build by year (apparent) 0 29 52 58 65 74 83 92 98 101 76 61 62
Classrooms to build (Cumulated) 0 29 80 138 204 277 360 452 550 651 728 789 851
Classrooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. Gap) 0 29 80 138 204 277 360 452 550 651 728 789 851
Total lab and specialized room requirements 1,000 1,148 1,175 1,208 1,249 1,298 1,357 1,425 1,498 1,571 1,615 1,636 1,659
Lab to build by year (apparent) 0 182 62 69 78 88 100 110 118 121 92 73 75
Lab to build (Cumulated) 0 182 244 314 392 481 580 690 808 929 1,021 1,094 1,169
Lab built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lab to build (Cumul. Gap) 0 182 244 314 392 481 580 690 808 929 1,021 1,094 1,169
Total other room requirements 120 143 147 151 156 162 170 178 187 196 202 205 207
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 28 8 9 10 11 12 14 15 15 11 9 9
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 28 36 44 54 65 78 91 106 121 133 142 151
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 28 36 44 54 65 78 91 106 121 133 142 151

Page 118 of 149


Internal Efficiency according to the Student Cohort Analysis
<= Click here when the yellow cells (A3 to A5) are completed
2005 <= Please specify the start year
4 <= Please specify the number of grades to analyze
3 <= Please specify the number of repetitions allowed
4 1,000

Year Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Graduates Total

2005 Enrolments 20,194 18,770 17,436 16,243 15,104 72,643


2006 Enrolments 21,894 18,779 17,424 16,250 74,347
Repeters 1,357 1,331 1,327 1,324 5,339
2005 Promotion rate 86.4% 85.8% 85.6% 93.0%
(Flow rates) Repetition rate 6.7% 7.1% 7.6% 8.2%
Dropout rate 6.9% 7.1% 6.8% -1.1%

Male / Female Promoted 925 853 790 799 799


Repeaters 72 71 70 70
Dropouts 69 71 63 -10

Internal efficiency

(Assumption: if 1000 students enrolled in Grade 1)


Total output 799
Total pupil-year 3,843
Total drop-outs 193
Total repeaters 283

Average study time (years)


Graduate 4.75
Drop-outs 1.87
Cohort 4.15

Pupil-year wasted
Due to repeaters 283
Due to dropouts 360
Total 643

Efficiency of the System


Survival rate at last grade 79%
Years input per graduate 4.81
Wastage rate 20%
Coefficient of efficiency 83%

Page 119 of 149


Target Annual Baseline
Hypotheses number increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
(Decision) of years rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

A. Student enrolments

Primary
Public 2,240,000 2,337,420 2,431,483 2,527,118 2,616,726 2,681,604 2,746,491 2,814,394 2,880,346 2,946,315 3,013,452 3,082,629 3,138,956
Male 1,120,000 1,177,421 1,229,519 1,281,767 1,330,084 1,363,443 1,392,521 1,421,523 1,447,929 1,473,660 1,499,645 1,526,878 1,553,730
Female 1,120,000 1,159,999 1,201,964 1,245,351 1,286,641 1,318,161 1,353,970 1,392,871 1,432,417 1,472,655 1,513,807 1,555,750 1,585,226
Private 22,400 32,652 43,784 56,125 69,669 84,357 95,472 105,411 115,617 126,646 138,704 149,685 159,443
Male 11,200 16,732 22,670 29,241 36,388 44,082 49,731 54,666 59,640 64,962 70,742 76,011 80,705
Female 11,200 15,920 21,115 26,884 33,281 40,276 45,740 50,745 55,977 61,684 67,962 73,674 78,739
Total 2,262,400 2,370,072 2,475,267 2,583,243 2,686,394 2,765,961 2,841,963 2,919,805 2,995,963 3,072,961 3,152,156 3,232,313 3,298,399
Male 1,131,200 1,194,153 1,252,189 1,311,008 1,366,472 1,407,525 1,442,252 1,476,189 1,507,569 1,538,622 1,570,387 1,602,889 1,634,435
Female 1,131,200 1,175,918 1,223,078 1,272,235 1,319,922 1,358,437 1,399,711 1,443,617 1,488,394 1,534,339 1,581,769 1,629,424 1,663,964
Gross enrolment ratios 90% 93% 97% 100% 102% 102% 103% 103% 103% 104% 104% 105% 104%
Male 90% 94% 98% 101% 103% 103% 103% 103% 103% 103% 103% 103% 103%
Female 89% 93% 96% 99% 100% 101% 102% 103% 104% 105% 105% 106% 106%

Secondary I
Public 493,481 561,158 636,497 715,916 772,040 839,216 907,148 970,152 1,024,087 1,075,677 1,127,970 1,179,718 1,224,885
Male 250,700 287,587 327,556 369,073 397,057 430,308 465,339 497,659 524,474 547,711 569,846 590,534 608,118
Female 242,781 273,571 308,941 346,844 374,983 408,908 441,809 472,492 499,613 527,966 558,124 589,184 616,768
Private 75,061 84,771 96,048 105,308 114,003 125,498 137,363 148,162 158,173 168,322 178,846 189,609 199,586
Male 37,427 41,944 47,443 51,989 56,271 61,986 68,228 73,940 79,097 84,016 88,928 93,811 98,365
Female 37,634 42,827 48,605 53,318 57,733 63,512 69,135 74,222 79,076 84,306 89,918 95,798 101,220
Total 568,542 645,929 732,545 821,224 886,044 964,714 1,044,511 1,118,314 1,182,260 1,244,000 1,306,816 1,369,327 1,424,471
Male 288,127 329,531 374,999 421,062 453,328 492,294 533,567 571,600 603,571 631,727 658,774 684,345 706,483
Female 280,415 316,398 357,546 400,162 432,716 472,419 510,944 546,714 578,689 612,272 648,042 684,982 717,988
Gross Enrolment Ratios 41% 45% 50% 55% 59% 64% 69% 73% 76% 78% 80% 82% 83%
Male 42% 46% 51% 57% 61% 66% 71% 75% 77% 79% 80% 81% 82%
Female 41% 44% 49% 54% 58% 63% 68% 72% 75% 77% 80% 82% 85%

Secondary II
Public 324,020 324,896 329,388 345,761 389,252 443,816 499,939 548,688 601,856 656,394 708,089 754,863 800,140
Male 162,520 164,699 169,441 180,298 204,043 232,878 261,862 286,161 312,475 340,022 365,926 388,448 408,570
Female 161,500 160,197 159,947 165,463 185,209 210,938 238,077 262,527 289,381 316,372 342,163 366,415 391,570
Private 68,750 72,049 75,001 78,951 88,351 99,756 110,575 119,621 129,514 139,377 148,209 155,781 162,833
Male 32,750 34,617 36,316 38,527 43,433 49,320 54,883 59,444 64,445 69,646 74,385 78,398 81,918
Female 36,000 37,432 38,685 40,425 44,918 50,436 55,692 60,178 65,069 69,731 73,824 77,383 80,915
S/Total 392,770 396,944 404,389 424,712 477,603 543,572 610,514 668,310 731,370 795,771 856,298 910,644 962,973
Male 195,270 199,316 205,757 218,824 247,476 282,198 316,744 345,605 376,919 409,668 440,311 466,845 490,488
Female 197,500 197,629 198,632 205,888 230,127 261,374 293,769 322,705 354,450 386,103 415,987 443,799 472,485
Gross Enrolment Ratios 33% 32% 31% 31% 34% 37% 41% 45% 49% 53% 56% 58% 60%
Male 32% 32% 31% 32% 35% 39% 43% 46% 50% 54% 57% 59% 61%
Female 33% 32% 30% 30% 32% 36% 39% 43% 47% 51% 54% 56% 59%

Tertiary
Public 116,000 138,588 162,581 188,549 217,100 248,737 284,167 323,564 366,688 412,625 452,550 462,506 472,681
Male 85,400 98,688 111,889 125,283 139,120 153,530 168,716 184,512 200,508 215,965 226,275 231,253 236,341
Female 30,600 39,900 50,692 63,266 77,980 95,207 115,450 139,052 166,180 196,660 226,275 231,253 236,341
Private 84,000 101,320 119,706 139,586 161,422 185,601 212,661 242,744 275,679 310,782 341,397 348,908 356,584

Page 120 of 149


Target Annual Baseline
Hypotheses number increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
(Decision) of years rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Male 58,800 68,897 79,006 89,335 100,082 111,361 123,343 135,937 148,867 161,607 170,699 174,454 178,292
Female 25,200 32,422 40,700 50,251 61,340 74,240 89,317 106,807 126,812 149,175 170,699 174,454 178,292
S/Total 200,000 239,908 282,287 328,135 378,522 434,338 496,827 566,308 642,367 723,407 793,947 811,414 829,265
Male 144,200 167,586 190,895 214,618 239,202 264,891 292,059 320,449 349,375 377,572 396,974 405,707 414,633
Female 55,800 72,323 91,392 113,517 139,320 169,447 204,768 245,860 292,993 345,835 396,974 405,707 414,633
Gross Enrolment Ratios 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 30% 30% 30%
Male 16% 18% 19% 21% 23% 24% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 30% 30%
Female 6% 7% 9% 11% 13% 16% 18% 21% 24% 27% 30% 30% 30%

B. Nb of teaching posts and Nb teaching staff


B1. Primary education
Public
New teacher requirements 0 4,214 4,375 4,636 4,754 4,472 4,679 4,960 5,144 5,378 5,649 5,955 5,893
Total teacher requirements 40,000 42,927 45,924 49,087 52,273 55,093 58,030 61,156 64,369 67,715 71,228 74,935 78,474
Category 1 15,000 16,458 18,001 19,671 21,417 23,077 24,851 26,776 28,813 30,989 33,326 35,845 38,378
Category 2 5,000 5,563 6,171 6,839 7,551 8,251 9,011 9,846 10,745 11,720 12,781 13,942 15,137
Category 3 10,000 10,001 9,971 9,933 9,858 9,682 9,505 9,335 9,156 8,977 8,800 8,628 8,420
Category 4 10,000 10,904 11,781 12,644 13,448 14,082 14,663 15,199 15,654 16,029 16,320 16,520 16,538
New non-teaching staff requirements 0 402 480 579 687 784 933 1,115 1,321 1,569 1,867 2,225 2,583
Total other staff requirements 1,600 1,943 2,353 2,847 3,431 4,092 4,879 5,819 6,932 8,254 9,826 11,700 13,867
Private
New teacher requirements 0 243 276 319 364 410 348 337 360 397 441 434 422
Total teacher requirements 463 686 934 1,217 1,534 1,887 2,170 2,434 2,713 3,019 3,359 3,683 3,986
Category 1 250 362 482 613 755 908 1,020 1,118 1,218 1,324 1,440 1,543 1,632
Category 2 53 82 117 158 209 268 321 376 438 509 591 676 764
Category 3 70 100 133 167 204 243 271 295 318 343 370 393 411
Category 4 90 142 203 278 366 468 557 645 739 843 959 1,072 1,179
New non-teaching staff requirements 0 15 19 26 34 43 46 53 64 79 98 112 128
Total other staff requirements 21 35 52 76 106 145 186 232 287 356 440 536 645
Total
New teacher requirements 0 4,458 4,651 4,955 5,118 4,882 5,026 5,298 5,504 5,775 6,090 6,389 6,316
Total teacher requirements 40,463 43,612 46,858 50,304 53,808 56,980 60,200 63,590 67,082 70,734 74,587 78,618 82,460
Category 1 15,250 16,819 18,482 20,284 22,172 23,985 25,872 27,894 30,031 32,314 34,766 37,388 40,010
Category 2 5,053 5,645 6,287 6,997 7,759 8,519 9,332 10,222 11,183 12,228 13,372 14,618 15,901
Category 3 10,070 10,102 10,104 10,100 10,062 9,926 9,776 9,629 9,475 9,320 9,170 9,020 8,832
Category 4 10,090 11,046 11,984 12,922 13,814 14,550 15,221 15,844 16,393 16,873 17,279 17,592 17,717
New non-teaching staff requirements 0 416 500 605 721 828 979 1,168 1,385 1,648 1,965 2,337 2,712
Total other staff requirements 1,621 1,978 2,405 2,922 3,537 4,238 5,065 6,051 7,220 8,609 10,266 12,236 14,512

B2. Secondary Education I


Public
New teacher requirements 0 3,282 3,646 3,812 3,043 3,552 3,643 3,494 3,199 3,145 3,196 3,194 2,951
Total teacher requirements 18,360 21,011 23,939 26,943 29,112 31,713 34,326 36,719 38,755 40,680 42,598 44,458 46,028
Category 1 9,260 10,588 13,087 14,790 16,023 17,490 18,963 20,318 21,470 22,556 23,635 24,678 25,556
Category 2 4,520 5,090 5,779 6,440 6,900 7,462 8,024 8,533 8,960 9,364 9,769 10,164 10,498
Category 3 2,430 2,728 3,045 3,354 3,549 3,785 4,011 4,198 4,335 4,451 4,558 4,652 4,709
Category 4 2,150 2,605 3,134 3,698 4,184 4,764 5,377 5,985 6,561 7,142 7,743 8,354 8,929
New other staff requirements 0 675 858 1,039 1,101 1,412 1,696 1,966 2,235 2,615 3,097 3,643 4,160
Nb of NT staff required 2,130 2,754 3,546 4,501 5,499 6,784 8,324 10,100 12,107 14,450 17,223 20,482 24,187

Page 121 of 149


Target Annual Baseline
Hypotheses number increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
(Decision) of years rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
New technical assistants required 0 160 211 264 298 397 497 602 718 876 1,078 1,318 1,569
Total technical assistants required 440 592 791 1,039 1,316 1,686 2,148 2,704 3,364 4,167 5,153 6,355 7,780
New supervisory staff required 0 272 339 405 414 521 611 690 760 865 996 1,137 1,255
Total supervisory staff required 910 1,159 1,470 1,839 2,211 2,681 3,230 3,846 4,520 5,284 6,162 7,164 8,263
New workers and others required 0 243 308 371 388 493 587 674 756 874 1,023 1,188 1,336
Total workers and others required 780 1,003 1,285 1,623 1,972 2,417 2,946 3,549 4,222 4,999 5,908 6,962 8,144
Private
New teacher requirements 0 505 577 486 408 523 521 474 444 450 474 491 477
Total teacher requirements 4,368 4,732 5,154 5,475 5,712 6,054 6,383 6,640 6,836 7,019 7,199 7,372 7,500
Category 1 2,000 2,187 2,400 2,561 2,684 2,860 3,032 3,172 3,287 3,398 3,510 3,623 3,717
Category 2 1,510 1,580 1,652 1,668 1,656 1,673 1,684 1,674 1,650 1,625 1,602 1,580 1,551
Category 3 467 481 509 546 575 615 653 685 707 727 744 757 762
Category 4 391 484 592 701 796 906 1,014 1,109 1,192 1,269 1,343 1,412 1,470
New other staff requirements 0 88 108 100 117 163 203 239 293 371 474 606 771
Nb of NT staff required 280 397 504 601 715 874 1,070 1,299 1,579 1,932 2,381 2,952 3,664
New technical assistants required 0 31 38 36 42 58 72 83 101 125 158 198 247
Total technical assistants required 110 141 179 214 255 312 381 461 557 676 825 1,012 1,239
New supervisory staff required 0 30 36 32 37 52 65 77 95 121 156 202 262
Total supervisory staff required 110 140 176 207 243 294 357 431 521 636 784 975 1,215
New workers and others required 0 27 33 31 38 53 66 79 98 125 160 206 262
Total workers and others required 90 116 149 180 217 268 332 408 501 619 771 966 1,210
Total
New teacher requirements 0 3,787 4,223 4,298 3,451 4,076 4,164 3,968 3,643 3,595 3,670 3,685 3,428
Total teacher requirements 22,728 25,743 29,093 32,418 34,824 37,767 40,709 43,358 45,591 47,698 49,796 51,830 53,528
Category 1 11,260 12,775 15,487 17,350 18,707 20,350 21,995 23,490 24,757 25,953 27,145 28,301 29,273
Category 2 6,030 6,670 7,431 8,108 8,556 9,135 9,708 10,206 10,610 10,989 11,371 11,745 12,049
Category 3 2,897 3,209 3,555 3,900 4,124 4,401 4,664 4,882 5,042 5,177 5,302 5,408 5,471
Category 4 2,541 3,089 3,726 4,399 4,981 5,669 6,391 7,094 7,753 8,411 9,086 9,766 10,399
New other staff requirements 0 763 966 1,139 1,218 1,575 1,899 2,205 2,528 2,986 3,571 4,250 4,931
Nb of NT staff required 2,410 3,151 4,050 5,103 6,214 7,657 9,393 11,399 13,686 16,382 19,604 23,434 27,851
New technical assistants required 0 192 250 300 340 455 569 685 819 1,002 1,236 1,516 1,816
Total technical assistants required 550 733 970 1,253 1,572 1,998 2,529 3,165 3,921 4,843 5,978 7,367 9,020
New supervisory staff required 0 302 375 436 452 574 677 767 855 986 1,152 1,340 1,516
Total supervisory staff required 1,020 1,299 1,646 2,046 2,454 2,975 3,587 4,277 5,041 5,920 6,947 8,139 9,477
New workers and others required 0 270 341 403 426 546 653 753 854 999 1,183 1,394 1,598
Total workers and others required 870 1,119 1,434 1,803 2,188 2,685 3,277 3,957 4,723 5,619 6,679 7,928 9,354

B3. Secondary Education II


Public
New teacher requirements 0 78 160 708 2,170 2,620 2,527 2,022 2,102 2,025 1,767 1,445 1,279
Total teacher requirements 20,480 19,671 19,122 19,252 20,798 22,736 24,527 25,776 27,066 28,244 29,137 29,691 30,067
Category 1 10,510 10,071 10,476 10,555 11,420 12,502 13,509 14,217 14,950 15,621 16,136 16,465 16,696
Category 2 5,360 5,046 4,852 4,812 5,129 5,536 5,899 6,131 6,376 6,595 6,752 6,836 6,885
Category 3 2,880 2,696 2,555 2,509 2,647 2,823 2,967 3,038 3,108 3,158 3,170 3,142 3,094
Category 4 1,730 1,858 1,995 2,195 2,564 3,011 3,473 3,880 4,308 4,736 5,128 5,468 5,778
New other staff requirements 0 237 293 435 763 996 1,164 1,248 1,495 1,735 1,941 2,130 2,396
Nb of NT staff required 2,280 2,474 2,720 3,102 3,801 4,719 5,789 6,926 8,290 9,873 11,638 13,567 15,735
New technical assistants required 0 70 86 130 237 312 363 397 485 571 648 724 828
Total technical assistants required 710 772 850 969 1,194 1,489 1,830 2,200 2,651 3,181 3,778 4,442 5,198
New supervisory staff required 0 84 105 156 271 351 408 430 507 580 639 688 761

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Target Annual Baseline
Hypotheses number increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
(Decision) of years rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Total supervisory staff required 840 905 991 1,125 1,369 1,688 2,059 2,446 2,903 3,427 4,002 4,619 5,301
New workers and others required 0 83 102 149 255 333 393 422 503 584 655 718 807
Total workers and others required 730 796 880 1,008 1,238 1,542 1,900 2,280 2,736 3,266 3,858 4,506 5,236
Private
New teacher requirements 0 41 84 383 1,174 1,427 1,413 1,045 1,024 943 777 544 406
Total teacher requirements 5,866 5,718 5,574 5,517 5,817 6,176 6,427 6,511 6,585 6,602 6,521 6,346 6,119
Category 1 2,750 2,698 2,642 2,625 2,777 2,960 3,092 3,145 3,196 3,220 3,198 3,130 3,038
Category 2 2,190 2,041 1,893 1,777 1,776 1,789 1,767 1,702 1,639 1,567 1,479 1,377 1,273
Category 3 494 470 457 459 494 534 568 587 605 618 623 617 604
Category 4 432 511 583 657 770 893 1,000 1,076 1,145 1,196 1,222 1,222 1,203
New other staff requirements 0 67 69 83 148 189 203 211 255 295 328 372 440
Nb of NT staff required 550 616 683 764 909 1,093 1,290 1,493 1,737 2,017 2,326 2,665 3,055
New technical assistants required 0 23 24 29 52 65 70 73 87 99 108 121 139
Total technical assistants required 190 213 236 264 315 379 447 517 600 695 797 907 1,030
New supervisory staff required 0 22 22 26 49 62 66 68 82 95 107 124 149
Total supervisory staff required 200 222 244 269 317 378 441 506 585 675 775 886 1,016
New workers and others required 0 22 23 27 48 61 67 71 86 100 113 128 151
Total workers and others required 160 181 203 230 277 337 401 469 552 647 754 872 1,009
Total
New teacher requirements 0 119 245 1,091 3,344 4,047 3,940 3,068 3,126 2,968 2,544 1,988 1,685
Total teacher requirements 26,346 25,389 24,696 24,769 26,615 28,912 30,954 32,287 33,651 34,846 35,658 36,037 36,186
Category 1 13,260 12,769 13,118 13,180 14,198 15,462 16,601 17,363 18,145 18,841 19,334 19,595 19,733
Category 2 7,550 7,086 6,745 6,589 6,905 7,325 7,666 7,833 8,015 8,163 8,231 8,213 8,158
Category 3 3,374 3,165 3,012 2,968 3,141 3,357 3,535 3,625 3,713 3,776 3,793 3,759 3,698
Category 4 2,162 2,369 2,578 2,852 3,334 3,904 4,474 4,956 5,453 5,932 6,350 6,690 6,981
New other staff requirements 0 304 362 517 912 1,184 1,367 1,460 1,750 2,031 2,270 2,502 2,836
Nb of NT staff required 2,830 3,090 3,403 3,866 4,710 5,812 7,078 8,418 10,027 11,890 13,964 16,232 18,790
New technical assistants required 0 93 109 158 289 377 433 469 572 670 756 845 967
Total technical assistants required 900 985 1,086 1,234 1,509 1,868 2,277 2,717 3,251 3,875 4,575 5,349 6,228
New supervisory staff required 0 107 128 183 320 413 474 498 589 675 746 811 910
Total supervisory staff required 1,040 1,127 1,234 1,394 1,686 2,066 2,500 2,952 3,488 4,102 4,777 5,505 6,317
New workers and others required 0 105 125 176 303 395 460 492 590 685 767 845 958
Total workers and others required 890 977 1,083 1,238 1,515 1,879 2,301 2,750 3,288 3,913 4,612 5,378 6,245

B4. Tertiary Education


Public
New teacher requirements 0 1,401 1,492 1,615 1,774 1,967 2,204 2,462 2,719 2,944 2,737 1,375 1,445
Total teacher requirements 4,636 5,861 7,139 8,498 9,973 11,592 13,394 15,394 17,586 19,932 22,009 22,703 23,444
Category 1 926 1,263 2,768 3,441 4,157 4,948 5,850 6,891 8,093 9,466 10,831 11,575 12,454
Category 2 1,877 2,368 2,053 2,420 2,827 3,271 3,750 4,259 4,783 5,302 5,695 5,660 5,603
Category 3 1,648 1,740 1,830 1,923 2,022 2,129 2,247 2,373 2,503 2,630 2,700 2,603 2,511
Category 4 185 490 863 1,294 1,777 2,304 2,872 3,469 4,076 4,661 5,097 5,115 5,035
New other staff requirements 0 764 812 878 966 1,073 1,205 1,348 1,491 1,614 1,484 704 749
Nb of NT staff required 3,019 3,701 4,420 5,194 6,042 6,980 8,033 9,208 10,504 11,899 13,142 13,570 14,035
New technical assistants required 0 258 275 298 328 363 406 450 493 527 470 188 193
Total technical assistants required 1,210 1,437 1,678 1,937 2,220 2,534 2,884 3,272 3,696 4,145 4,532 4,634 4,739
New supervisory staff required 0 244 258 280 309 346 392 445 502 556 534 316 345
Total supervisory staff required 659 886 1,125 1,382 1,663 1,976 2,330 2,730 3,179 3,672 4,135 4,347 4,584
New workers and others required 0 262 278 300 329 364 407 452 496 532 480 200 212
Total workers and others required 1,150 1,378 1,618 1,876 2,158 2,470 2,818 3,205 3,629 4,081 4,476 4,589 4,712

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Target Annual Baseline
Hypotheses number increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
(Decision) of years rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Private
New teacher requirements 0 1,262 1,299 1,364 1,456 1,570 1,715 1,866 2,006 2,107 1,852 696 719
Total teacher requirements 4,651 5,741 6,835 7,960 9,141 10,399 11,761 13,230 14,792 16,407 17,727 17,887 18,063
Category 1 1,055 1,246 1,475 1,754 2,096 2,519 3,045 3,695 4,490 5,449 6,478 7,236 8,112
Category 2 1,438 1,589 1,744 1,910 2,091 2,292 2,517 2,767 3,040 3,329 3,566 3,583 3,611
Category 3 1,767 1,986 2,144 2,257 2,341 2,402 2,449 2,482 2,500 2,497 2,429 2,207 2,006
Category 4 391 920 1,472 2,039 2,613 3,186 3,751 4,286 4,762 5,131 5,254 4,861 4,334
New other staff requirements 0 494 520 562 622 702 808 934 1,077 1,228 1,232 820 939
Nb of NT staff required 1,050 1,528 2,029 2,567 3,160 3,825 4,587 5,463 6,468 7,607 8,731 9,364 10,101
New technical assistants required 0 205 204 208 220 239 267 302 343 387 382 278 324
Total technical assistants required 380 581 780 982 1,193 1,422 1,676 1,961 2,282 2,642 2,990 3,167 3,385
New supervisory staff required 0 135 148 166 190 220 259 306 359 418 431 292 337
Total supervisory staff required 290 421 564 723 905 1,114 1,360 1,649 1,986 2,377 2,774 3,026 3,316
New workers and others required 0 154 169 188 213 243 282 326 375 423 418 250 277
Total workers and others required 380 526 686 862 1,062 1,289 1,551 1,854 2,200 2,588 2,967 3,172 3,400
Total
New teacher requirements 0 2,663 2,791 2,978 3,230 3,537 3,919 4,327 4,725 5,051 4,590 2,071 2,164
Total teacher requirements 9,287 11,602 13,974 16,458 19,114 21,992 25,156 28,624 32,378 36,339 39,736 40,589 41,508
Category 1 1,981 2,509 4,242 5,194 6,254 7,468 8,895 10,586 12,584 14,916 17,309 18,811 20,566
Category 2 3,315 3,957 3,797 4,330 4,919 5,562 6,267 7,026 7,823 8,631 9,261 9,243 9,214
Category 3 3,415 3,726 3,974 4,180 4,363 4,531 4,696 4,855 5,003 5,127 5,130 4,809 4,517
Category 4 576 1,410 2,335 3,333 4,389 5,490 6,623 7,756 8,838 9,792 10,352 9,976 9,369
New other staff requirements 0 1,257 1,332 1,440 1,588 1,775 2,012 2,282 2,568 2,842 2,717 1,524 1,688
Nb of NT staff required 4,069 5,229 6,450 7,761 9,202 10,805 12,619 14,671 16,972 19,506 21,873 22,935 24,136
New technical assistants required 0 463 479 507 548 602 672 752 836 914 853 466 517
Total technical assistants required 1,590 2,018 2,457 2,918 3,414 3,956 4,560 5,233 5,978 6,787 7,522 7,801 8,124
New supervisory staff required 0 378 406 446 498 565 651 751 861 974 965 607 682
Total supervisory staff required 949 1,307 1,689 2,105 2,568 3,090 3,690 4,379 5,165 6,049 6,909 7,373 7,900
New workers and others required 0 416 447 488 542 608 689 778 871 955 898 450 489
Total workers and others required 1,530 1,904 2,303 2,738 3,220 3,759 4,370 5,059 5,829 6,670 7,442 7,761 8,112

C. Textbooks et guides pour Teachers

Hypothesis 1 : a book per subject, per year and per student

C1.1. Primary education


Public 5,373,571 5,615,370 5,855,740 6,126,514 6,374,375 6,543,595 6,716,819 6,900,677 7,078,816 7,256,670 7,437,580 7,623,906 7,774,233
Textbooks 5,240,000 5,471,952 5,702,119 5,961,627 6,198,281 6,357,882 6,521,007 6,694,061 6,861,118 7,027,442 7,196,257 7,369,820 7,508,057
Teaching guides 133,571 143,419 153,621 164,887 176,094 185,713 195,812 206,616 217,698 229,228 241,323 254,086 266,175
Private 53,946 75,452 98,824 125,021 160,183 200,113 229,012 253,907 279,134 306,344 336,111 364,142 390,203
Textbooks 52,400 73,228 95,845 121,178 155,230 193,888 221,800 245,796 270,084 296,262 324,883 351,802 376,797
Teaching guides 1,546 2,223 2,979 3,843 4,953 6,226 7,212 8,111 9,050 10,082 11,228 12,340 13,406
Total 5,427,518 5,690,822 5,954,564 6,251,535 6,534,558 6,743,709 6,945,831 7,154,584 7,357,951 7,563,013 7,773,690 7,988,048 8,164,436
Textbooks 5,292,400 5,545,180 5,797,964 6,082,804 6,353,511 6,551,770 6,742,807 6,939,857 7,131,202 7,323,704 7,521,139 7,721,622 7,884,855
Teaching guides 135,118 145,642 156,600 168,731 181,047 191,939 203,024 214,727 226,748 239,309 252,551 266,426 279,581

C1.2. Secondary education I


Public 3,667,969 4,143,322 4,670,930 5,244,875 5,633,128 6,090,506 6,548,161 6,972,164 7,321,960 7,647,259 7,972,984 8,288,880 8,554,031
Textbooks 3,522,583 3,977,431 4,482,288 5,031,833 5,402,780 5,839,757 6,276,910 6,681,860 7,015,609 7,325,890 7,636,663 7,938,127 8,191,151
Teaching guides 145,386 165,891 188,642 213,042 230,348 250,749 271,251 290,305 306,351 321,369 336,321 350,752 362,880

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Target Annual Baseline
Hypotheses number increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
(Decision) of years rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Private 364,877 405,664 458,819 513,592 571,651 646,708 726,757 805,812 882,525 962,101 1,046,579 1,134,971 1,221,150
Textbooks 339,983 378,934 429,717 482,252 538,309 610,637 687,916 764,474 838,991 916,388 998,602 1,084,692 1,168,791
Teaching guides 24,894 26,730 29,102 31,340 33,342 36,071 38,841 41,339 43,533 45,713 47,977 50,279 52,359
Total 4,032,846 4,548,986 5,129,748 5,758,467 6,204,779 6,737,214 7,274,918 7,777,977 8,204,485 8,609,360 9,019,563 9,423,851 9,775,181
Textbooks 3,862,566 4,356,365 4,912,004 5,514,085 5,941,090 6,450,394 6,964,826 7,446,334 7,854,601 8,242,277 8,635,265 9,022,819 9,359,943
Teaching guides 170,280 192,622 217,744 244,382 263,690 286,820 310,091 331,643 349,884 367,082 384,298 401,032 415,238

C1.3. Secondary education II


Public 2,246,055 2,233,122 2,246,329 2,339,578 2,606,271 2,942,432 3,290,246 3,580,920 3,891,072 4,203,855 4,494,431 4,745,946 4,980,512
Textbooks 2,091,700 2,085,329 2,103,114 2,195,884 2,451,982 2,774,669 3,109,807 3,392,053 3,693,742 3,998,973 4,284,060 4,532,691 4,765,777
Teaching guides 154,355 147,793 143,215 143,694 154,289 167,762 180,439 188,866 197,330 204,882 210,371 213,256 214,735
Private 291,382 305,002 320,613 343,973 393,824 455,131 517,755 574,738 638,796 706,163 772,305 835,336 899,043
Textbooks 260,150 274,539 290,657 313,862 361,533 420,275 480,825 536,669 599,616 666,176 732,055 795,390 859,721
Teaching guides 31,232 30,463 29,956 30,111 32,291 34,856 36,931 38,069 39,180 39,987 40,250 39,946 39,322
Total 2,537,437 2,538,124 2,566,942 2,683,551 3,000,095 3,397,562 3,808,001 4,155,658 4,529,868 4,910,018 5,266,737 5,581,282 5,879,554
Textbooks 2,351,850 2,359,868 2,393,771 2,509,747 2,813,515 3,194,944 3,590,631 3,928,722 4,293,358 4,665,150 5,016,115 5,328,080 5,625,498
Teaching guides 185,587 178,256 173,171 173,805 186,580 202,618 217,369 226,936 236,510 244,868 250,622 253,202 254,056

Hypothesis 2 : a book per subject and per student, but the duration of the books is three to four years

C2.1. Primary education


Public 100,000 5,515,370 240,370 370,774 5,763,231 409,590 543,997 5,947,089 587,730 721,851 6,127,999 774,056 872,178
Textbooks 50,000 5,421,952 230,168 309,507 5,658,606 389,769 472,632 5,831,660 556,826 638,956 6,000,475 730,389 777,194
Teaching guides 50,000 93,419 10,202 61,267 104,625 19,821 71,365 115,429 30,904 82,895 127,524 43,667 94,984
Private 30,000 58,906 23,372 42,743 94,068 63,302 71,642 118,963 88,530 98,851 148,730 116,561 124,912
Textbooks 15,000 58,228 22,616 40,333 92,281 61,274 68,245 116,277 85,563 94,422 144,898 112,482 119,417
Teaching guides 15,000 677 756 2,410 1,787 2,028 3,397 2,686 2,967 4,428 3,832 4,079 5,494
Total 130,000 5,574,276 263,742 413,517 5,857,299 472,893 615,639 6,066,052 676,259 820,702 6,276,729 890,617 997,090
Textbooks 65,000 5,480,180 252,784 349,840 5,750,887 451,043 540,877 5,947,937 642,388 733,379 6,145,373 842,871 896,611
Teaching guides 65,000 94,096 10,958 63,677 106,412 21,850 74,762 118,115 33,871 87,323 131,357 47,746 100,478

C2.2. Secondary education I


Public 977,000 3,166,322 527,630 1,504,945 3,480,661 1,082,126 1,960,974 3,865,781 1,354,913 2,383,290 4,191,327 1,634,933 2,572,460
Textbooks 931,000 3,046,431 504,857 1,480,546 3,417,378 941,833 1,917,699 3,822,327 1,275,583 2,227,979 4,133,101 1,577,048 2,481,003
Teaching guides 46,000 119,891 22,773 24,400 63,283 140,293 43,275 43,454 79,330 155,311 58,227 57,885 91,457
Private 22,200 383,464 53,353 75,825 417,041 151,272 156,226 495,554 203,104 260,131 578,631 295,496 329,198
Textbooks 21,000 357,934 50,783 73,535 413,992 123,111 150,814 490,549 197,628 230,310 570,664 287,655 320,964
Teaching guides 1,200 25,530 2,570 2,290 3,050 28,161 5,412 5,004 5,476 29,822 7,966 7,841 8,234
Total 999,200 3,549,786 580,983 1,580,770 3,897,703 1,233,398 2,117,199 4,361,335 1,558,017 2,643,421 4,769,958 1,930,429 2,901,658
Textbooks 952,000 3,404,365 555,640 1,554,080 3,831,369 1,064,944 2,068,513 4,312,877 1,473,211 2,458,289 4,703,765 1,864,702 2,801,967
Teaching guides 47,200 145,422 25,343 26,690 66,333 168,454 48,687 48,458 84,805 185,132 66,193 65,727 99,691

C2.3. Secondary education II


Public 1,096,850 1,154,493 36,154 1,102,185 1,373,964 465,871 1,448,287 1,608,975 726,369 1,855,424 1,902,088 922,184 2,041,246
Textbooks 1,039,500 1,060,079 35,743 1,100,062 1,316,177 358,430 1,435,200 1,598,424 660,119 1,740,431 1,883,511 908,749 1,973,517
Teaching guides 57,350 94,414 411 2,123 57,787 107,442 13,088 10,551 66,250 114,994 18,577 13,435 67,729
Private 38,557 266,445 18,028 55,304 296,823 102,292 117,892 348,446 146,718 207,914 415,852 207,060 254,122
Textbooks 32,250 242,289 17,317 54,257 289,959 76,059 114,807 345,803 139,006 181,367 411,682 203,567 247,320
Teaching guides 6,307 24,156 711 1,047 6,864 26,233 3,085 2,643 7,712 26,547 4,171 3,493 6,801
Total 1,135,407 1,420,938 54,182 1,157,489 1,670,787 568,164 1,566,179 1,957,420 873,087 2,063,338 2,317,940 1,129,244 2,295,367

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Target Annual Baseline
Hypotheses number increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
(Decision) of years rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Textbooks 1,071,750 1,302,368 53,059 1,154,319 1,606,136 434,489 1,550,006 1,944,227 799,125 1,921,797 2,295,192 1,112,316 2,220,838
Teaching guides 63,657 118,570 1,123 3,170 64,650 133,675 16,172 13,194 73,962 141,541 22,748 16,928 74,530

D. Classrooms and other specialized rooms

D1. Primary Education


Public
Total classroom requirements 34,000 36,252 39,345 42,655 46,061 49,215 52,543 56,109 59,826 63,738 67,876 72,450 76,959
Classrooms to build per annum (Apparent) 0 3,340 4,273 4,590 4,788 4,631 4,904 5,250 5,512 5,824 6,175 6,747 6,818
Classrooms to build (Accumulated) 0 3,340 7,613 12,202 16,990 21,621 26,525 31,775 37,286 43,110 49,285 56,032 62,850
Classrooms built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 3,340 7,613 12,202 16,990 21,621 26,525 31,775 37,286 43,110 49,285 56,032 62,850
Private
Total classroom requirements 500 701 954 1,241 1,563 1,918 2,198 2,454 2,717 2,997 3,293 3,612 3,909
Classrooms to build per annum (Apparent) 0 222 282 324 368 413 346 330 344 370 396 426 415
Classrooms to build (Accumulated) 0 222 504 828 1,197 1,609 1,955 2,285 2,629 2,999 3,395 3,821 4,236
Classrooms built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 222 504 828 1,197 1,609 1,955 2,285 2,629 2,999 3,395 3,821 4,236
Total
Total classroom requirements 34,500 36,953 40,299 43,896 47,624 51,133 54,741 58,563 62,543 66,734 71,170 76,061 80,868
Classrooms to build per annum (Apparent) 0 3,562 4,554 4,914 5,156 5,044 5,249 5,580 5,856 6,193 6,571 7,174 7,233
Classrooms to build (Accumulated) 0 3,562 8,116 13,030 18,187 23,230 28,480 34,059 39,915 46,109 52,679 59,853 67,086
Classrooms built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 3,562 8,116 13,030 18,187 23,230 28,480 34,059 39,915 46,109 52,679 59,853 67,086

D2. Secondary Education I


Public
Total classroom requirements 6,300 7,412 8,574 9,852 10,840 12,009 13,219 14,390 15,446 16,481 17,543 18,608 19,579
Classrooms to build per annum (Apparent) 0 1,335 1,419 1,573 1,313 1,530 1,606 1,602 1,519 1,530 1,588 1,623 1,558
Classrooms to build (Accumulated) 0 1,335 2,754 4,328 5,640 7,170 8,776 10,379 11,898 13,428 15,016 16,639 18,197
Classrooms built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 1,335 2,754 4,328 5,640 7,170 8,776 10,379 11,898 13,428 15,016 16,639 18,197
Nb of Laboratories (Lab) 1,830 2,318 2,693 3,041 3,318 3,661 4,012 4,332 4,623 4,912 5,204 5,497 5,760
Labs to build per annum (Apparent) 0 558 456 439 377 452 472 450 430 436 449 458 435
Labs to build (Cumulated) 0 558 1,013 1,453 1,829 2,282 2,754 3,203 3,633 4,069 4,518 4,976 5,411
Labs built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Labs to build (Cumul. gap) 0 558 1,013 1,453 1,829 2,282 2,754 3,203 3,633 4,069 4,518 4,976 5,411
Total other room requirements 950 1,112 1,286 1,478 1,626 1,801 1,983 2,158 2,317 2,472 2,631 2,791 2,937
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 195 213 236 197 229 241 240 228 230 238 244 234
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 195 408 644 841 1,070 1,311 1,552 1,780 2,009 2,247 2,491 2,725
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 195 408 644 841 1,070 1,311 1,552 1,780 2,009 2,247 2,491 2,725
Private
Total classroom requirements 1,390 1,473 1,633 1,779 1,904 2,070 2,240 2,396 2,536 2,678 2,827 2,981 3,125
Classrooms to build per annum (Apparent) 0 140 209 200 182 228 237 240 236 245 263 278 279
Classrooms to build (Accumulated) 0 140 348 548 730 958 1,196 1,436 1,671 1,917 2,179 2,457 2,736
Classrooms built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 140 348 548 730 958 1,196 1,436 1,671 1,917 2,179 2,457 2,736
Nb of Laboratories (Lab) 650 751 843 888 918 965 1,006 1,028 1,040 1,048 1,052 1,052 1,043
Labs to build per annum (Apparent) 0 123 118 72 58 75 72 68 66 67 70 73 72

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Target Annual Baseline
Hypotheses number increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
(Decision) of years rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Labs to build (Cumulated) 0 123 241 312 370 445 517 585 651 718 789 861 933
Labs built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Labs to build (Cumul. gap) 0 123 241 312 370 445 517 585 651 718 789 861 933
Total other room requirements 170 221 245 267 286 310 336 359 380 402 424 447 469
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 58 31 30 27 34 36 36 35 37 39 42 42
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 58 89 119 146 180 216 252 287 324 363 405 447
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 58 89 119 146 180 216 252 287 324 363 405 447
Total
Total classroom requirements 7,690 8,885 10,207 11,631 12,743 14,079 15,459 16,785 17,982 19,159 20,370 21,589 22,704
Classrooms to build per annum (Apparent) 0 1,474 1,628 1,773 1,494 1,758 1,844 1,842 1,755 1,775 1,851 1,901 1,837
Classrooms to build (Accumulated) 0 1,474 3,102 4,876 6,370 8,128 9,972 11,814 13,569 15,344 17,195 19,096 20,933
Classrooms built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 1,474 3,102 4,876 6,370 8,128 9,972 11,814 13,569 15,344 17,195 19,096 20,933
Nb of Laboratories (Lab) 2,480 3,069 3,536 3,929 4,236 4,625 5,019 5,360 5,663 5,960 6,257 6,550 6,802
Labs to build per annum (Apparent) 0 681 573 511 434 528 544 517 496 503 519 531 507
Labs to build (Cumulated) 0 681 1,254 1,765 2,199 2,727 3,271 3,788 4,284 4,787 5,306 5,837 6,344
Labs built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Labs to build (Cumul. gap) 0 681 1,254 1,765 2,199 2,727 3,271 3,788 4,284 4,787 5,306 5,837 6,344
Total other room requirements 1,120 1,333 1,531 1,745 1,911 2,112 2,319 2,518 2,697 2,874 3,055 3,238 3,406
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 253 244 266 224 264 277 276 263 266 278 285 276
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 253 497 763 987 1,251 1,527 1,804 2,067 2,333 2,611 2,896 3,172
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 253 497 763 987 1,251 1,527 1,804 2,067 2,333 2,611 2,896 3,172

D3. Secondary Education II


Public
Total classroom requirements 6,900 6,753 6,657 6,802 7,450 8,261 9,056 9,665 10,303 10,916 11,437 11,836 12,172
Classrooms to build per annum (Apparent) 0 288 235 349 871 1,060 1,066 899 947 940 865 754 704
Classrooms to build (Accumulated) 0 288 523 872 1,743 2,803 3,869 4,768 5,715 6,655 7,520 8,274 8,978
Classrooms built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 288 523 872 1,743 2,803 3,869 4,768 5,715 6,655 7,520 8,274 8,978
Nb of Laboratories (Lab) 5,350 2,828 2,801 2,866 3,155 3,511 3,838 4,095 4,373 4,641 4,866 5,043 5,199
Labs to build per annum (Apparent) 0 307 100 151 383 461 442 380 409 408 370 329 313
Labs to build (Cumulated) 0 337 437 588 972 1,433 1,875 2,255 2,664 3,072 3,442 3,771 4,084
Labs built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Labs to build (Cumul. gap) 0 337 437 588 972 1,433 1,875 2,255 2,664 3,072 3,442 3,771 4,084
Total other room requirements 1,020 1,013 999 1,020 1,117 1,239 1,358 1,450 1,545 1,637 1,716 1,775 1,826
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 59 35 52 131 159 160 135 142 141 130 113 106
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 59 95 147 278 437 597 731 873 1,015 1,144 1,257 1,363
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 59 95 147 278 437 597 731 873 1,015 1,144 1,257 1,363
Private
Total classroom requirements 1,840 1,698 1,687 1,706 1,841 2,002 2,137 2,221 2,306 2,376 2,414 2,419 2,405
Classrooms to build per annum (Apparent) 0 86 80 97 190 221 206 165 168 165 153 134 129
Classrooms to build (Accumulated) 0 86 167 263 453 674 880 1,044 1,212 1,378 1,531 1,665 1,794
Classrooms built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 86 167 263 453 674 880 1,044 1,212 1,378 1,531 1,665 1,794
Nb of Laboratories (Lab) 1,100 1,116 1,107 1,102 1,162 1,233 1,275 1,283 1,288 1,279 1,245 1,191 1,123
Labs to build per annum (Apparent) 0 52 71 78 202 240 219 159 154 145 125 97 81

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Target Annual Baseline
Hypotheses number increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
(Decision) of years rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Labs to build (Cumulated) 0 52 122 200 402 642 860 1,020 1,173 1,318 1,443 1,539 1,620
Labs built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Labs to build (Cumul. gap) 0 52 122 200 402 642 860 1,020 1,173 1,318 1,443 1,539 1,620
Total other room requirements 220 255 253 256 276 300 321 333 346 356 362 363 361
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 42 12 14 29 33 31 25 25 25 23 20 19
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 42 54 69 97 131 161 186 211 236 259 279 299
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 42 54 69 97 131 161 186 211 236 259 279 299
Total
Total classroom requirements 8,740 8,452 8,344 8,508 9,291 10,263 11,193 11,887 12,610 13,292 13,851 14,255 14,577
Classrooms to build per annum (Apparent) 0 374 315 445 1,061 1,280 1,272 1,064 1,115 1,106 1,018 888 832
Classrooms to build (Accumulated) 0 374 690 1,135 2,196 3,477 4,749 5,813 6,928 8,033 9,051 9,939 10,771
Classrooms built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 374 690 1,135 2,196 3,477 4,749 5,813 6,928 8,033 9,051 9,939 10,771
Nb of Laboratories (Lab) 6,450 3,943 3,908 3,968 4,317 4,744 5,112 5,378 5,661 5,920 6,111 6,234 6,323
Labs to build per annum (Apparent) 0 359 170 229 586 701 661 539 563 552 495 426 393
Labs to build (Cumulated) 0 389 559 788 1,374 2,074 2,735 3,274 3,837 4,389 4,885 5,310 5,703
Labs built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Labs to build (Cumul. gap) 0 389 559 788 1,374 2,074 2,735 3,274 3,837 4,389 4,885 5,310 5,703
Total other room requirements 1,240 1,268 1,252 1,276 1,394 1,539 1,679 1,783 1,891 1,994 2,078 2,138 2,187
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 102 47 67 159 192 191 160 167 166 153 133 125
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 102 149 216 375 567 758 918 1,085 1,251 1,403 1,537 1,661
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 102 149 216 375 567 758 918 1,085 1,251 1,403 1,537 1,661

D4. Tertiary Education


Public
Total classroom requirements 6,300 3,860 4,415 4,991 5,603 6,257 6,968 7,734 8,544 9,373 10,021 10,001 9,982
Classrooms to build per annum (Apparent) 0 116 688 726 779 842 920 998 1,066 1,109 949 320 319
Classrooms to build (Accumulated) 0 116 803 1,530 2,309 3,152 4,072 5,070 6,136 7,245 8,194 8,514 8,833
Classrooms built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 116 803 1,530 2,309 3,152 4,072 5,070 6,136 7,245 8,194 8,514 8,833
Nb of Laboratories (Lab) 1,830 1,423 1,552 1,688 1,835 1,995 2,172 2,364 2,567 2,773 2,926 2,919 2,913
Labs to build per annum (Apparent) 0 172 175 187 202 220 242 263 280 290 240 92 92
Labs to build (Cumulated) 0 172 348 534 737 957 1,199 1,461 1,741 2,031 2,271 2,363 2,455
Labs built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Labs to build (Cumul. gap) 0 172 348 534 737 957 1,199 1,461 1,741 2,031 2,271 2,363 2,455
Total other room requirements 950 579 662 749 840 939 1,045 1,160 1,282 1,406 1,503 1,500 1,497
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 32 103 109 117 126 138 150 160 166 142 48 48
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 32 135 244 361 488 626 775 935 1,102 1,244 1,292 1,340
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 32 135 244 361 488 626 775 935 1,102 1,244 1,292 1,340
Private
Total classroom requirements 1,390 2,649 3,096 3,559 4,048 4,571 5,137 5,746 6,392 7,055 7,584 7,600 7,617
Classrooms to build per annum (Apparent) 0 1,640 540 570 610 660 720 782 837 874 757 281 282
Classrooms to build (Accumulated) 0 1,640 2,179 2,749 3,360 4,019 4,739 5,521 6,359 7,233 7,990 8,271 8,553
Classrooms built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 1,640 2,179 2,749 3,360 4,019 4,739 5,521 6,359 7,233 7,990 8,271 8,553
Nb of Laboratories (Lab) 650 961 1,076 1,196 1,325 1,466 1,620 1,787 1,966 2,149 2,293 2,316 2,340
Labs to build per annum (Apparent) 0 386 147 156 169 184 203 221 237 248 212 101 102

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Target Annual Baseline
Hypotheses number increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
(Decision) of years rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Labs to build (Cumulated) 0 386 533 689 858 1,042 1,245 1,466 1,704 1,952 2,164 2,265 2,367
Labs built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Labs to build (Cumul. gap) 0 386 533 689 858 1,042 1,245 1,466 1,704 1,952 2,164 2,265 2,367
Total other room requirements 170 397 464 534 607 686 770 862 959 1,058 1,138 1,140 1,143
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 254 81 85 92 99 108 117 126 131 114 42 42
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 254 335 420 512 611 719 836 962 1,093 1,207 1,249 1,291
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 254 335 420 512 611 719 836 962 1,093 1,207 1,249 1,291
Total
Total classroom requirements 7,690 6,509 7,511 8,551 9,651 10,828 12,105 13,481 14,936 16,427 17,605 17,601 17,599
Classrooms to build per annum (Apparent) 0 1,755 1,227 1,296 1,390 1,502 1,640 1,780 1,904 1,984 1,706 601 602
Classrooms to build (Accumulated) 0 1,755 2,983 4,279 5,669 7,171 8,811 10,591 12,495 14,478 16,184 16,785 17,387
Classrooms built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Classrooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 1,755 2,983 4,279 5,669 7,171 8,811 10,591 12,495 14,478 16,184 16,785 17,387
Nb of Laboratories (Lab) 2,480 2,384 2,627 2,884 3,161 3,461 3,792 4,151 4,533 4,923 5,219 5,236 5,254
Labs to build per annum (Apparent) 0 558 322 343 371 404 444 484 517 538 452 193 194
Labs to build (Cumulated) 0 558 880 1,223 1,595 1,999 2,444 2,928 3,445 3,983 4,435 4,628 4,823
Labs built per annum (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Labs to build (Cumul. gap) 0 558 880 1,223 1,595 1,999 2,444 2,928 3,445 3,983 4,435 4,628 4,823
Total other room requirements 1,120 976 1,127 1,283 1,448 1,624 1,816 2,022 2,240 2,464 2,641 2,640 2,640
Other rooms to build by year (Apparent) 0 286 184 194 208 225 246 267 286 298 256 90 90
Other rooms to build (Cumulated) 0 286 470 665 873 1,099 1,345 1,612 1,897 2,195 2,451 2,541 2,631
Other rooms built by year (Updated) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other rooms to build (Cumul. gap) 0 286 470 665 873 1,099 1,345 1,612 1,897 2,195 2,451 2,541 2,631

Page 129 of 149


RESULTS OF FINANCIAL FORECASTS (All blue cells should be replaced with the data of your country)
Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Unit costs of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

GDP per capita $800 6% $800 845 892 942 995 1,051 1,109 1,171 1,237 1,306 1,380 1,457
Annual salary increase (no inflation) 4% 104% 108% 112% 117% 122% 127% 132% 137% 142% 148% 154% 160%

1. Primary education (public)


Recurrent costs
1.1 Teachers (Wage, etc.) 112,400,000 127,697,517 144,355,520 162,753,158 182,498,013 202,193,900 223,521,519 246,830,810 271,796,847 298,660,027 327,619,265 358,867,134
Teachers Category 1 2.00 24,000,000 27,806,852 32,117,246 37,063,344 42,611,723 48,486,125 55,138,254 62,735,246 71,289,137 80,967,323 91,948,952 104,437,294
Teachers Category 2 2.50 10,000,000 11,749,826 13,762,863 16,106,677 18,779,383 21,670,082 24,991,191 28,836,093 33,230,665 38,275,099 44,080,265 50,774,293
Teachers Category 3 2.80 22,400,000 23,657,408 24,907,617 26,200,950 27,458,708 28,480,463 29,523,044 30,619,514 31,716,744 32,836,252 33,991,407 35,193,019
Teachers Category 4 7.00 56,000,000 64,483,430 73,567,794 83,382,187 93,648,199 103,557,229 113,869,030 124,639,958 135,560,300 146,581,352 157,598,641 168,462,528
1.2 Other Staff and Administrative Costs 10,420,000 12,111,291 14,053,758 16,322,146 18,924,831 21,767,533 25,088,554 29,015,193 33,620,167 39,068,078 45,557,303 53,334,153
Administration/training 5% <= Share i 5,620,000 6,384,876 7,217,776 8,137,658 9,124,901 10,109,695 11,176,076 12,341,541 13,589,842 14,933,001 16,380,963 17,943,357
Supervisory staff 3.00 3% <= % in r 2,880,000 3,263,791 3,687,213 4,161,921 4,680,235 5,208,892 5,793,890 6,447,898 7,166,700 7,961,501 8,843,442 9,824,704
Clerical and others 1.50 1,920,000 2,462,624 3,148,769 4,022,567 5,119,695 6,448,946 8,118,588 10,225,754 12,863,625 16,173,575 20,332,898 25,566,093
1.3 Teaching/learning material 200,000 11,030,741 480,739 741,548 11,526,462 819,181 1,087,995 11,894,178 1,175,459 1,443,702 12,255,999 1,548,111
Textbooks $2.0 100,000 10,843,904 460,335 619,014 11,317,213 779,538 945,264 11,663,320 1,113,651 1,277,913 12,000,950 1,460,778
Teaching guides $2.0 100,000 186,837 20,404 122,534 209,250 39,643 142,731 230,858 61,808 165,789 255,049 87,334
1.4 Other running costs 1,935,000 2,084,512 2,262,314 2,452,637 2,648,490 2,829,880 3,021,199 3,226,279 3,440,003 3,664,917 3,902,887 4,165,867
Maintenance $10.0 387,000 416,902 452,463 490,527 529,698 565,976 604,240 645,256 688,001 732,983 780,577 833,173
Water & electricity $20.0 774,000 833,805 904,926 981,055 1,059,396 1,131,952 1,208,480 1,290,512 1,376,001 1,465,967 1,561,155 1,666,347
Miscellaneous $20.0 774,000 833,805 904,926 981,055 1,059,396 1,131,952 1,208,480 1,290,512 1,376,001 1,465,967 1,561,155 1,666,347
S/Total 124,955,000 152,924,061 161,152,331 182,269,489 215,597,796 227,610,493 252,719,267 290,966,461 310,032,476 342,836,723 389,335,454 417,915,266
Construction & other investments 35,835,999 41,518,488 44,599,403 46,527,004 45,002,399 47,650,506 51,015,699 53,560,089 56,591,581 60,004,715 65,564,571 66,252,443
Construction $6,500 27,566,153 31,937,299 34,307,233 35,790,003 34,617,230 36,654,235 39,242,846 41,200,069 43,531,986 46,157,473 50,434,286 50,963,418
Equipment $1,300 5,513,231 6,387,460 6,861,447 7,158,001 6,923,446 7,330,847 7,848,569 8,240,014 8,706,397 9,231,495 10,086,857 10,192,684
Other costs $650 2,756,615 3,193,730 3,430,723 3,579,000 3,461,723 3,665,424 3,924,285 4,120,007 4,353,199 4,615,747 5,043,429 5,096,342
1.9 Total Primary Public 160,790,999 194,442,549 205,751,734 228,796,493 260,600,195 275,260,998 303,734,966 344,526,550 366,624,057 402,841,439 454,900,026 484,167,709

Distribution
Teacher salaries (vs recurrent total) 90% 84% 90% 89% 85% 89% 88% 85% 88% 87% 84% 86%
Non-teacher recurrent (vs Recurrent total) 10% 16% 10% 11% 15% 11% 12% 15% 12% 13% 16% 14%
Non-teaching staff vs. non teacher recurrent 83% 48% 84% 84% 57% 86% 86% 66% 88% 88% 74% 90%
Instructional material vs. non teacher recurrent 2% 44% 3% 4% 35% 3% 4% 27% 3% 3% 20% 3%
Other running vs. non teacher recurrent 15% 8% 13% 13% 8% 11% 10% 7% 9% 8% 6% 7%
Recurrent vs Total costs of Primary public education 78% 79% 78% 80% 83% 83% 83% 84% 85% 85% 86% 86%

2. Secondary education I
Recurrent costs
2.1 Teachers (Wage, etc.) 42,294,400 50,673,597 63,420,801 75,064,957 85,280,430 97,682,702 111,173,487 125,063,286 138,818,748 153,247,468 168,787,076 185,301,718
Teachers Category 1 3.0 22,224,000 26,833,523 35,025,241 41,798,275 47,819,527 55,122,177 63,109,885 71,405,751 79,681,360 88,398,396 97,814,252 107,850,785
Teachers Category 2 3.4 12,294,400 14,620,854 17,529,358 20,627,382 23,339,601 26,653,369 30,265,835 33,986,915 37,688,028 41,592,157 45,821,280 50,345,095
Teachers Category 3 4.0 7,776,000 9,219,220 10,866,202 12,639,301 14,121,302 15,907,156 17,797,766 19,670,620 21,449,360 23,256,915 25,151,544 27,105,838
Teachers Category 4 5.0 8,600,000 11,003,421 13,977,536 17,418,508 20,812,800 25,021,279 29,825,180 35,053,859 40,583,182 46,649,149 53,406,563 60,849,335

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Display All Columns
Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Unit costs of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2.2 Other staff and administrative costs 8,272,320 10,927,454 14,568,245 19,006,502 23,910,777 30,435,306 38,607,829 48,525,954 60,358,462 74,865,965 92,868,344 115,091,606
Administration/training 5% <= Share i 2,114,720 2,533,680 3,171,040 3,753,248 4,264,021 4,884,135 5,558,674 6,253,164 6,940,937 7,662,373 8,439,354 9,265,086
Technical assistants 3.4 1,196,800 1,699,426 2,400,326 3,327,648 4,452,833 6,023,296 8,102,223 10,771,487 14,151,267 18,509,358 24,169,155 31,477,917
Supervisory staff 4.5 3,276,000 4,406,808 5,901,716 7,796,449 9,897,342 12,672,362 16,124,329 20,275,559 25,162,649 31,061,334 38,255,100 46,963,925
Clerical and others 2.7 1,684,800 2,287,540 3,095,163 4,129,157 5,296,580 6,855,512 8,822,603 11,225,743 14,103,608 17,632,899 22,004,735 27,384,678
2.3 Teaching/learning material 1,954,000 6,332,644 1,055,260 3,009,891 6,961,322 2,164,252 3,921,948 7,731,562 2,709,825 4,766,580 8,382,654 3,269,866
Textbooks $2.0 1,862,000 6,092,862 1,009,714 2,961,091 6,834,756 1,883,667 3,835,398 7,644,655 2,551,166 4,455,958 8,266,201 3,154,095
Teaching guides $2.0 92,000 239,782 45,547 48,800 126,567 280,585 86,550 86,907 158,659 310,622 116,453 115,771
2.4 Other running costs 454,000 542,103 627,685 718,578 789,198 873,569 960,713 1,044,009 1,119,266 1,193,243 1,268,928 1,344,836
Maintenance $10.0 90,800 108,421 125,537 143,716 157,840 174,714 192,143 208,802 223,853 238,649 253,786 268,967
Water & electricity $20.0 181,600 216,841 251,074 287,431 315,679 349,428 384,285 417,604 447,706 477,297 507,571 537,934
Miscellaneous $20.0 181,600 216,841 251,074 287,431 315,679 349,428 384,285 417,604 447,706 477,297 507,571 537,934
S/Total 52,974,720 68,475,799 79,671,991 97,799,928 116,941,727 131,155,828 154,663,976 182,364,811 203,006,301 234,073,257 271,307,003 305,008,026
Construction & other investments 20,351,375 33,372,950 48,779,707 60,581,195 76,553,277 92,520,280 107,918,349 122,413,277 137,409,363 153,103,523 169,074,161 183,943,087
Construction $7,500 15,654,904 25,671,500 37,522,852 46,600,919 58,887,136 71,169,446 83,014,115 94,164,059 105,699,510 117,771,940 130,057,047 141,494,682
Equipment $1,500 3,130,981 5,134,300 7,504,570 9,320,184 11,777,427 14,233,889 16,602,823 18,832,812 21,139,902 23,554,388 26,011,409 28,298,936
Other costs $750 1,565,490 2,567,150 3,752,285 4,660,092 5,888,714 7,116,945 8,301,411 9,416,406 10,569,951 11,777,194 13,005,705 14,149,468
2.9 Total Secondary I 73,326,095 101,848,749 128,451,698 158,381,123 193,495,004 223,676,108 262,582,325 304,778,088 340,415,664 387,176,779 440,381,164 488,951,113

3. Secondary education II
Recurrent costs
3.1 Teachers (Wage, etc.) 49,019,200 49,126,664 51,873,111 54,699,023 61,965,550 71,039,080 80,374,760 88,623,975 97,677,396 107,013,039 115,942,017 124,123,982
Teachers Category 1 3.0 25,224,000 25,524,795 28,037,784 29,831,113 34,083,579 39,402,408 44,959,073 49,966,477 55,482,192 61,218,694 66,780,448 71,956,078
Teachers Category 2 3.4 14,579,200 14,493,066 14,718,087 15,412,727 17,348,832 19,773,861 22,248,673 24,420,580 26,816,670 29,294,235 31,669,170 33,857,329
Teachers Category 3 4.0 9,216,000 9,108,803 9,117,240 9,455,182 10,533,138 11,862,810 13,167,014 14,236,919 15,378,535 16,500,110 17,492,399 18,310,575
Teachers Category 4 5.0 6,920,000 7,849,320 8,900,175 10,340,643 12,751,808 15,815,032 19,266,389 22,725,342 26,649,443 30,933,419 35,374,239 39,829,499
3.2 Other staff and administrative costs 8,982,960 9,933,054 11,267,264 13,171,310 16,591,060 21,224,807 26,890,108 33,300,041 41,335,195 51,142,180 62,732,303 76,210,482
Administration/training 5% <= Share i 2,450,960 2,456,333 2,593,656 2,734,951 3,098,277 3,551,954 4,018,738 4,431,199 4,883,870 5,350,652 5,797,101 6,206,199
Technical assistants 3.4 1,931,200 2,218,836 2,577,147 3,104,290 4,037,282 5,317,032 6,901,181 8,761,475 11,149,824 14,127,033 17,721,798 22,002,143
Supervisory staff 4.5 3,024,000 3,442,300 3,977,489 4,768,062 6,129,031 7,981,654 10,280,118 12,895,101 16,162,924 20,145,524 24,843,271 30,278,465
Clerical and others 2.7 1,576,800 1,815,585 2,118,973 2,564,006 3,326,469 4,374,167 5,690,070 7,212,267 9,138,577 11,518,972 14,370,134 17,723,674
3.3 Teaching/learning material 2,193,700 2,308,987 72,307 2,204,371 2,747,928 931,743 2,896,574 3,217,949 1,452,737 3,710,848 3,804,176 1,844,369
Textbooks $2.0 2,079,000 2,120,159 71,485 2,200,125 2,632,354 716,860 2,870,399 3,196,848 1,320,238 3,480,861 3,767,021 1,817,499
Teaching guides $2.0 114,700 188,828 822 4,246 115,573 214,883 26,175 21,101 132,500 229,987 37,155 26,870
3.4 Other running costs 663,500 529,685 522,821 534,416 586,110 650,578 712,611 760,500 811,070 859,716 900,931 932,749
Maintenance $10.0 132,700 105,937 104,564 106,883 117,222 130,116 142,522 152,100 162,214 171,943 180,186 186,550
Water & electricity $20.0 265,400 211,874 209,128 213,766 234,444 260,231 285,045 304,200 324,428 343,887 360,372 373,099
Miscellaneous $20.0 265,400 211,874 209,128 213,766 234,444 260,231 285,045 304,200 324,428 343,887 360,372 373,099
S/Total 60,859,360 61,898,389 63,735,504 70,609,119 81,890,647 93,846,208 110,874,053 125,902,465 141,276,398 162,725,784 183,379,427 203,111,581
Constructions & other investments 6,382,441 3,605,697 5,387,320 13,509,062 16,377,234 16,265,257 13,787,116 14,605,900 14,515,484 13,307,222 11,661,092 10,938,840
Constructions $7,500 4,909,570 2,773,613 4,144,092 10,391,586 12,597,872 12,511,736 10,605,474 11,235,308 11,165,757 10,236,325 8,970,071 8,414,493
Equipment $1,500 981,914 554,723 828,818 2,078,317 2,519,574 2,502,347 2,121,095 2,247,062 2,233,151 2,047,265 1,794,014 1,682,899
Other costs $750 490,957 277,361 414,409 1,039,159 1,259,787 1,251,174 1,060,547 1,123,531 1,116,576 1,023,632 897,007 841,449
3.9 Total Secondary II 67,241,801 65,504,086 69,122,823 84,118,181 98,267,881 110,111,464 124,661,170 140,508,365 155,791,882 176,033,007 195,040,519 214,050,421

4. Higher education

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Unit costs of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Recurrent costs
4.1 Teachers (Wage, etc.) 21,942,400 27,630,185 34,762,677 42,567,639 51,635,088 62,262,563 74,856,053 89,754,097 107,239,155 127,440,838 147,923,361 160,323,690
Teachers Category 1 5.0 3,704,000 5,335,926 12,345,134 16,206,095 20,678,277 25,991,640 32,449,653 40,364,134 50,061,028 61,833,473 74,710,515 84,311,790
Teachers Category 2 6.0 9,009,600 12,004,374 10,989,010 13,681,050 16,876,104 20,614,923 24,960,723 29,933,160 35,503,745 41,559,636 47,138,028 49,468,151
Teachers Category 3 7.0 9,228,800 10,289,884 11,428,533 12,680,494 14,080,707 15,656,000 17,445,677 19,456,803 21,674,382 24,047,729 26,074,819 26,543,749
Teachers Category 4 8.0 1,184,000 3,310,421 6,158,984 9,753,597 14,139,043 19,363,895 25,489,888 32,515,324 40,341,756 48,708,441 56,255,528 59,611,413
4.2 Other staff and administrative costs 10,341,840 13,402,958 16,977,794 21,088,252 25,915,756 31,625,150 38,437,827 46,540,654 56,086,654 67,138,995 78,386,161 85,533,509
Administration/training 10% <= Share i 2,194,240 2,763,018 3,476,268 4,256,764 5,163,509 6,226,256 7,485,605 8,975,410 10,723,916 12,744,084 14,792,336 16,032,369
Technical assistants 3.4 3,291,200 4,128,251 5,088,219 6,202,841 7,510,205 9,050,633 10,878,063 13,033,343 15,544,420 18,410,739 21,255,458 22,952,499
Supervisory staff 4.5 2,372,400 3,369,117 4,516,628 5,857,296 7,445,151 9,342,476 11,632,531 14,393,217 17,696,174 21,588,007 25,667,219 28,498,508
Clerical and others 2.7 2,484,000 3,142,572 3,896,680 4,771,351 5,796,892 7,005,784 8,441,629 10,138,684 12,122,145 14,396,166 16,671,147 18,050,134
4.3 Teaching/learning material 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Textbooks $2.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Teaching guides $2.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4.4 Other running costs 454,000 293,067 331,434 371,408 413,915 459,573 509,285 562,919 619,642 677,597 722,494 721,038
Maintenance $10.0 90,800 58,613 66,287 74,282 82,783 91,915 101,857 112,584 123,928 135,519 144,499 144,208
Water & electricity $20.0 181,600 117,227 132,574 148,563 165,566 183,829 203,714 225,167 247,857 271,039 288,998 288,415
Miscellaneous $20.0 181,600 117,227 132,574 148,563 165,566 183,829 203,714 225,167 247,857 271,039 288,998 288,415
4.6 Bursaries 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Inside the country 0 3% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Within the region 0 3% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Abroad 0 3% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
S/Total 32,738,240 41,326,210 52,071,905 64,027,299 77,964,758 94,347,286 113,803,166 136,857,670 163,945,451 195,257,431 227,032,017 246,578,238
Constructions & other investments 3,441,991 10,386,675 10,990,089 11,808,579 12,780,765 13,972,987 15,162,098 16,192,155 16,830,927 14,312,948 4,942,304 4,934,068
Constructions $8,500 2,721,574 8,212,720 8,689,838 9,337,016 10,105,721 11,048,408 11,988,636 12,803,099 13,308,175 11,317,215 3,907,868 3,901,356
Equipment $1,500 480,278 1,449,304 1,533,501 1,647,709 1,783,363 1,949,719 2,115,642 2,259,370 2,348,501 1,997,156 689,624 688,475
Other costs $750 240,139 724,652 766,750 823,854 891,681 974,860 1,057,821 1,129,685 1,174,251 998,578 344,812 344,237
4.9 Total Higher education 36,180,231 51,712,885 63,061,994 75,835,878 90,745,523 108,320,272 128,965,264 153,049,825 180,776,378 209,570,379 231,974,321 251,512,305

6a. Other cross-cutting expenditures


Cabinet 65,000 66,950 68,959 71,027 73,158 75,353 77,613 79,942 82,340 84,810 87,355 89,975
Staff $50,000 3% 50,000 51,500 53,045 54,636 56,275 57,964 59,703 61,494 63,339 65,239 67,196 69,212
Materiel $15,000 3% 15,000 15,450 15,914 16,391 16,883 17,389 17,911 18,448 19,002 19,572 20,159 20,764
Regional Administrations $3 9,172,503 9,670,420 10,192,102 10,766,387 11,334,053 11,893,907 12,460,734 12,999,702 13,518,869 14,035,158 14,548,534 15,051,629
Subsides (Private education) 3,573,860 4,118,096 4,698,534 5,309,693 6,042,078 6,885,124 7,762,822 8,657,883 9,616,100 10,622,747 11,533,063 11,959,393
Subsidies (Primary education) $5 112,000 163,260 218,922 280,623 348,344 421,787 477,358 527,057 578,084 633,228 693,519 748,423
Subsidies (Secondary I) $10 750,610 847,709 960,481 1,053,076 1,140,035 1,254,978 1,373,628 1,481,624 1,581,729 1,683,224 1,788,460 1,896,090
Subsidies (Secondary II) $15 1,031,250 1,080,731 1,125,019 1,184,272 1,325,258 1,496,342 1,658,623 1,794,319 1,942,707 2,090,654 2,223,137 2,336,718
Subsidies (Higher education) $20 1,680,000 2,026,396 2,394,113 2,791,721 3,228,442 3,712,018 4,253,213 4,854,884 5,513,581 6,215,641 6,827,947 6,978,162
Miscellaneous 3% 10,126,174 12,405,248 13,991,647 16,413,950 19,293,258 21,521,065 24,598,312 28,285,885 31,308,239 35,268,648 39,668,881 43,160,446
Total Other expenditures 1 22,937,537 26,260,714 28,951,243 32,561,057 36,742,547 40,375,449 44,899,482 50,023,412 54,525,549 60,011,363 65,837,832 70,261,443

9a. Total costs 360,476,662 439,768,983 495,339,492 579,692,732 679,851,151 757,744,293 864,843,206 992,886,240 1,098,133,529 1,235,632,967 1,388,133,861 1,508,942,991
Recurrent costs 294,464,857 350,885,173 385,582,974 447,266,891 529,137,476 587,335,264 676,959,943 786,114,818 872,786,174 994,904,558 1,136,891,733 1,242,874,553
Investments 66,011,805 88,883,811 109,756,518 132,425,841 150,713,676 170,409,029 187,883,263 206,771,421 225,347,355 240,728,409 251,242,128 266,068,438

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Unit costs of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
0a. Early childhood education (ECE)
Recurrent costs
Teachers (Wage, etc.) 3,920,000 7,779,084 12,285,759 17,409,144 23,262,485 29,927,800 37,502,613 46,100,404 55,855,459 66,910,063 79,363,160 93,383,017
Teachers Category 1 2.00 800,000 1,462,069 2,113,105 2,719,675 3,271,175 3,746,686 4,122,668 4,371,950 4,463,068 4,358,050 4,009,432 3,367,641
Teachers Category 2 2.50 2,000,000 3,970,903 6,274,472 8,895,379 11,891,937 15,306,585 19,189,767 23,600,177 28,607,257 34,284,660 40,683,938 47,892,266
Teachers Category 3 2.80 1,120,000 2,346,111 3,898,183 5,794,090 8,099,373 10,874,529 14,190,178 18,128,277 22,785,135 28,267,353 34,669,790 42,123,111
Teachers Category 4 4.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other Staff and Administrative Costs 805,600 1,614,378 2,574,155 3,681,975 4,965,330 6,445,786 8,148,818 10,104,043 12,346,422 14,913,577 17,834,305 21,153,682
Administration/training 5.0% <= Share i 196,000 388,954 614,288 870,457 1,163,124 1,496,390 1,875,131 2,305,020 2,792,773 3,345,503 3,968,158 4,669,151
Admin & Supervisory staff 3.00 7% <= % in r 369,600 732,097 1,154,102 1,632,410 2,177,331 2,796,193 3,497,719 4,292,065 5,191,252 6,207,972 7,350,821 8,634,755
Workers & others 1.50 240,000 493,327 805,764 1,179,108 1,624,874 2,153,202 2,775,968 3,506,958 4,362,397 5,360,102 6,515,326 7,849,777
Learning/instructional material 110,944 207,454 309,235 413,648 521,861 633,955 750,160 870,810 996,397 1,127,258 1,262,777 1,403,344
Learning material $1.0 72,944 136,445 203,629 272,725 344,528 419,097 496,593 577,244 661,395 749,280 840,496 935,318
Misc. $20.0 38,000 71,009 105,606 140,923 177,333 214,858 253,567 293,566 335,002 377,979 422,281 468,026
Other running costs 110,250 204,151 303,619 405,153 509,832 617,716 729,006 844,001 963,131 1,086,689 1,214,058 1,345,574
Maintenance $10.0 22,050 40,830 60,724 81,031 101,966 123,543 145,801 168,800 192,626 217,338 242,812 269,115
Water & electricity $20.0 44,100 81,661 121,447 162,061 203,933 247,086 291,602 337,600 385,252 434,676 485,623 538,230
Miscellaneous $20.0 44,100 81,661 121,447 162,061 203,933 247,086 291,602 337,600 385,252 434,676 485,623 538,230
S/Total 4,946,794 9,805,067 15,472,768 21,909,921 29,259,508 37,625,256 47,130,598 57,919,258 70,161,409 84,037,588 99,674,300 117,285,618
Construction & other investments 6,801,765 7,383,145 7,730,888 8,158,231 8,596,208 9,054,906 9,541,419 10,065,620 10,618,801 11,137,784 11,688,051 12,254,679
Construction $3,000 6,001,558 6,514,540 6,821,372 7,198,439 7,584,889 7,989,623 8,418,899 8,881,429 9,369,530 9,827,457 10,312,986 10,812,952
Equipment $200 400,104 434,303 454,758 479,896 505,659 532,642 561,260 592,095 624,635 655,164 687,532 720,863
Other costs $200 400,104 434,303 454,758 479,896 505,659 532,642 561,260 592,095 624,635 655,164 687,532 720,863
Total ECCE Preschool Public 11,748,560 17,188,212 23,203,656 30,068,152 37,855,716 46,680,162 56,672,016 67,984,878 80,780,210 95,175,372 111,362,351 129,540,297

0b. Early childhood care (ECC)


Recurrent costs
Teachers (Wage, etc.) 792,000 4,010,160 7,860,711 11,937,150 16,529,473 21,774,366 27,830,888 34,888,593 43,175,655 52,958,373 64,702,455 69,828,960
Teachers Category 1 2.00 480,000 2,385,130 4,107,342 5,655,985 7,031,792 8,211,849 9,153,404 9,791,883 10,036,711 9,763,972 8,827,549 9,526,974
Teachers Category 2 2.50 200,000 1,090,761 2,075,950 3,185,714 4,458,563 5,935,435 7,663,481 9,698,245 12,105,682 14,962,010 18,390,728 19,847,862
Teachers Category 3 2.80 112,000 534,269 1,677,419 3,095,450 5,039,118 7,627,082 11,014,003 15,398,465 21,033,262 28,232,391 37,484,178 40,454,124
Teachers Category 4 5.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other Staff and Administrative Costs 2,977,200 6,121,629 9,733,579 13,773,526 18,338,224 23,494,033 29,319,216 35,905,043 43,359,442 51,798,241 61,332,055 70,848,111
Administration/training 5.0% <= Share i 39,600 200,508 393,036 596,857 826,474 1,088,718 1,391,544 1,744,430 2,158,783 2,647,919 3,235,123 3,491,448
Admin & Supervisory staff 3.00 7% <= % in r 75,600 407,217 765,570 1,160,675 1,605,083 2,111,618 2,694,694 3,370,976 4,159,953 5,083,721 6,179,285 6,668,882
Workers & others 1.50 7% <= % in r 2,862,000 5,513,903 8,574,974 12,015,994 15,906,667 20,293,696 25,232,978 30,789,637 37,040,707 44,066,601 51,917,648 60,687,782
Learning/instructional material 29,000 152,901 279,492 409,196 543,239 682,527 827,961 980,486 1,141,059 1,310,469 1,491,129 1,523,934
Learning material $1.0 20,000 106,993 197,763 291,858 389,578 491,094 596,623 706,437 820,803 939,850 1,064,530 1,087,949
Misc. $20.0 9,000 45,907 81,729 117,338 153,661 191,433 231,338 274,049 320,256 370,619 426,599 435,984
Other running costs 48,333 238,567 436,030 640,579 852,762 1,073,008 1,301,753 1,539,445 1,786,514 2,042,888 2,313,302 2,364,195
Maintenance $10.0 9,667 47,713 87,206 128,116 170,552 214,602 260,351 307,889 357,303 408,578 462,660 472,839
Water & electricity $20.0 19,333 95,427 174,412 256,232 341,105 429,203 520,701 615,778 714,606 817,155 925,321 945,678
Miscellaneous $20.0 19,333 95,427 174,412 256,232 341,105 429,203 520,701 615,778 714,606 817,155 925,321 945,678
S/Total 3,846,533 10,523,256 18,309,812 26,760,451 36,263,698 47,023,935 59,279,818 73,313,566 89,462,670 108,109,970 129,838,941 144,565,200
Construction & other investments 12,935,887 13,427,501 13,909,323 14,428,418 14,976,782 15,554,593 16,163,067 16,800,705 17,433,440 18,388,174 3,460,700 3,536,836
Construction $3,000 11,414,018 11,847,795 12,272,932 12,730,957 13,214,808 13,724,641 14,261,530 14,824,151 15,382,447 16,224,859 3,053,559 3,120,737

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Unit costs of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Equipment $200 760,935 789,853 818,195 848,730 880,987 914,976 950,769 988,277 1,025,496 1,081,657 203,571 208,049
Other costs $200 760,935 789,853 818,195 848,730 880,987 914,976 950,769 988,277 1,025,496 1,081,657 203,571 208,049
Total ECC Care Public 16,782,420 23,950,757 32,219,135 41,188,869 51,240,480 62,578,527 75,442,885 90,114,271 106,896,110 126,498,144 133,299,642 148,102,036

5a. Literacy
Recurrent costs
Teachers (Wage, etc.) 5,161,760 5,757,343 6,451,224 7,256,951 8,190,220 9,269,198 10,514,891 11,951,588 13,607,351 15,514,611 17,710,832 20,239,301
Teachers Category 1 1.50 600,000 548,929 502,271 459,641 420,683 385,078 352,531 322,776 295,569 270,689 247,934 227,119
Teachers Category 2 2.00 1,920,000 2,231,926 2,594,875 3,017,244 3,508,822 4,081,017 4,747,131 5,522,669 6,425,712 7,477,343 8,702,150 10,128,807
Teachers Category 3 2.20 2,641,760 2,976,489 3,354,077 3,780,066 4,260,715 4,803,103 5,415,230 6,106,143 6,886,070 7,766,579 8,760,749 9,883,374
Teachers Category 4 2.40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other Staff and Administrative Costs 1,402,853 1,715,377 2,100,673 2,575,751 3,161,646 3,884,374 4,776,119 5,876,705 7,235,416 8,913,252 10,985,734 13,546,373
Administration/training 3.0% <= Share i 154,853 172,720 193,537 217,709 245,707 278,076 315,447 358,548 408,221 465,438 531,325 607,179
Admin & Supervisory staff 5.0 800,000 988,882 1,222,523 1,511,566 1,869,192 2,311,729 2,859,405 3,537,281 4,376,407 5,415,265 6,701,544 8,294,355
Workers & others 2.8 448,000 553,774 684,613 846,477 1,046,748 1,294,569 1,601,267 1,980,877 2,450,788 3,032,548 3,752,865 4,644,839
Learning/instructional material 7,800 83,097 15,133 39,236 85,756 59,104 50,675 140,243 83,144 120,270 182,408 174,492
Learning material $1.0 6,000 63,140 13,084 17,724 82,040 35,804 45,039 114,883 75,298 92,538 172,016 144,026
Teaching guides $2.0 1,800 19,957 2,049 21,511 3,716 23,300 5,636 25,360 7,846 27,732 10,392 30,466
Other running costs 247,500 257,923 268,089 278,692 289,753 301,292 313,331 325,892 338,999 352,677 366,952 381,851
Maintenance $20.0 110,000 114,632 119,151 123,863 128,779 133,908 139,258 144,841 150,666 156,745 163,090 169,711
Water & electricity $10.0 55,000 57,316 59,575 61,932 64,390 66,954 69,629 72,420 75,333 78,373 81,545 84,856
Miscellaneous $15.0 82,500 85,974 89,363 92,897 96,584 100,431 104,444 108,631 113,000 117,559 122,317 127,284
S/Total 6,819,913 7,813,740 8,835,118 10,150,630 11,727,376 13,513,968 15,655,016 18,294,428 21,264,910 24,900,810 29,245,927 34,342,016
Construction & other investments 1,109,789 1,112,761 1,158,940 1,207,166 1,257,534 1,310,141 1,365,089 1,422,488 1,482,450 1,545,092 1,610,538 4,560,420
Construction $2,000 807,119 809,280 842,865 877,939 914,570 952,830 992,792 1,034,537 1,078,145 1,123,703 1,171,300 3,316,669
Equipment $500 201,780 202,320 210,716 219,485 228,643 238,207 248,198 258,634 269,536 280,926 292,825 829,167
Other costs $250 100,890 101,160 105,358 109,742 114,321 119,104 124,099 129,317 134,768 140,463 146,413 414,584
Total NFE Literacy 7,929,701 8,926,500 9,994,058 11,357,796 12,984,910 14,824,108 17,020,106 19,716,916 22,747,360 26,445,902 30,856,464 38,902,436

5b, School reintegration programme


Recurrent costs
Teachers (Wage, etc.) 0 1,612,364 2,943,968 4,113,533 5,258,200 6,335,512 7,379,271 8,430,388 7,940,080 7,850,236 5,830,715 7,879,079
Teachers Category 1 1.50 0 11,600 21,180 29,594 37,829 45,579 53,088 60,650 57,123 56,477 41,948 56,684
Teachers Category 2 2.00 0 835,182 1,524,933 2,130,751 2,723,672 3,281,704 3,822,356 4,366,820 4,112,847 4,066,309 3,020,227 4,081,250
Teachers Category 3 2.20 0 765,583 1,397,855 1,953,188 2,496,699 3,008,229 3,503,827 4,002,918 3,770,110 3,727,450 2,768,541 3,741,145
Teachers Category 4 2.40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other Staff and Administrative Costs 0 744,356 1,359,097 1,899,032 2,427,472 2,924,819 3,406,675 3,891,928 3,665,575 3,624,098 2,691,777 3,637,414
Administration/training 3.0% <= Share i 0 48,371 88,319 123,406 157,746 190,065 221,378 252,912 238,202 235,507 174,921 236,372
Admin & Supervisory staff 5.0 0 386,658 705,988 986,459 1,260,959 1,519,307 1,769,609 2,021,676 1,904,096 1,882,551 1,398,253 1,889,467
Workers & others 2.0 0 309,326 564,790 789,167 1,008,767 1,215,446 1,415,688 1,617,341 1,523,277 1,506,041 1,118,602 1,511,574
Learning/instructional material 0 8,290 6,049 4,261 10,991 7,001 3,520 8,588 3,428 4,884 4,553 9,027
Learning material $1.0 0 4,629 3,379 2,214 5,566 2,902 283 2,119 0 0 0 3,331
Teaching guides $2.0 0 3,662 2,669 2,046 5,425 4,099 3,237 6,469 3,428 4,884 4,553 5,696
Other running costs 0 333,352 87,710 116,056 140,484 160,290 176,797 191,269 170,592 159,717 112,338 143,753
Maintenance $20.0 0 148,157 38,982 51,580 62,437 71,240 78,576 85,008 75,819 70,985 49,928 63,890
Water & electricity $10.0 0 74,078 19,491 25,790 31,219 35,620 39,288 42,504 37,909 35,493 24,964 31,945

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Baseline Targets/ Number Annual
4 2016 Unit costs of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Miscellaneous $15.0 0 111,117 29,237 38,685 46,828 53,430 58,932 63,756 56,864 53,239 37,446 47,918
S/Total 0 2,698,362 4,396,824 6,132,882 7,837,146 9,427,622 10,966,264 12,522,174 11,779,675 11,638,935 8,639,384 11,669,273
Construction & other investments 20,371,527 1,937,183 1,732,249 1,492,800 1,210,390 1,008,746 884,412 884,412 0 0 1,919,796 509,253
Construction $2,000 14,815,656 1,408,860 1,259,818 1,085,673 880,284 733,633 643,209 643,209 0 0 1,396,215 370,366
Equipment $500 3,703,914 352,215 314,954 271,418 220,071 183,408 160,802 160,802 0 0 349,054 92,591
Other costs $250 1,851,957 176,108 157,477 135,709 110,035 91,704 80,401 80,401 0 0 174,527 46,296
Total Reintegration 20,371,527 4,635,545 6,129,073 7,625,681 9,047,536 10,436,368 11,850,676 13,406,586 11,779,675 11,638,935 10,559,180 12,178,525

5c. Specific non formal education programmes


Recurrent costs
Teachers (Wage, etc.) 3,787,600 5,382,049 6,523,833 7,855,793 9,420,072 11,259,135 13,422,789 15,974,684 18,996,270 22,581,762 26,796,102 31,838,059
Teachers Category 1 1.50 1,227,600 1,360,004 1,147,679 973,999 831,108 712,689 614,461 533,646 468,245 416,478 376,364 348,198
Teachers Category 2 2.00 448,000 719,760 949,665 1,258,148 1,672,319 2,227,510 2,971,213 3,968,594 5,309,716 7,116,746 9,536,115 12,818,282
Teachers Category 3 2.20 2,112,000 3,302,285 4,426,490 5,623,646 6,916,645 8,318,936 9,837,115 11,472,443 13,218,310 15,048,538 16,883,623 18,671,579
Teachers Category 4 2.40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other Staff and Administrative Costs 227,256 322,923 391,430 471,348 565,204 675,548 805,367 958,481 1,139,776 1,354,906 1,607,766 1,910,284
Administration/training 2.0% <= Share i 75,752 107,641 130,477 157,116 188,401 225,183 268,456 319,494 379,925 451,635 535,922 636,761
Admin & Supervisory staff 2.0% <= Share i 75,752 107,641 130,477 157,116 188,401 225,183 268,456 319,494 379,925 451,635 535,922 636,761
Workers & others 2.0% <= Share i 75,752 107,641 130,477 157,116 188,401 225,183 268,456 319,494 379,925 451,635 535,922 636,761
Learning/instructional material 166,153 182,699 203,326 226,708 253,068 282,587 315,578 352,725 394,982 443,327 498,198 561,415
Learning material $1.0 156,141 169,595 188,745 210,426 234,837 262,140 292,621 326,930 365,961 410,637 461,393 519,876
Teaching guides $2.0 10,012 13,104 14,581 16,282 18,231 20,448 22,956 25,796 29,021 32,690 36,805 41,539
Other running costs 117,106 127,196 141,559 157,820 176,128 196,605 219,466 245,197 274,471 307,978 346,045 389,907
Maintenance $20.0 52,047 56,532 62,915 70,142 78,279 87,380 97,540 108,977 121,987 136,879 153,798 173,292
Water & electricity $10.0 26,024 28,266 31,458 35,071 39,140 43,690 48,770 54,488 60,993 68,439 76,899 86,646
Miscellaneous $15.0 39,035 42,399 47,186 52,607 58,709 65,535 73,155 81,732 91,490 102,659 115,348 129,969
S/Total 4,298,115 6,014,866 7,260,148 8,711,668 10,414,472 12,413,876 14,763,200 17,531,088 20,805,499 24,687,972 29,248,110 34,699,664
Construction & other investments 683,895 973,478 1,102,117 1,240,903 1,387,884 1,549,478 1,744,003 1,984,090 2,271,028 2,580,089 2,972,882 3,436,524
Construction $2,000 448,456 638,346 722,700 813,707 910,088 1,016,051 1,143,609 1,301,043 1,489,199 1,691,862 1,949,431 2,253,458
Equipment $700 156,960 223,421 252,945 284,797 318,531 355,618 400,263 455,365 521,220 592,152 682,301 788,710
Other costs $350 78,480 111,711 126,472 142,399 159,265 177,809 200,132 227,683 260,610 296,076 341,150 394,355
Total NFE Specific 4,982,010 6,988,344 8,362,265 9,952,571 11,802,356 13,963,354 16,507,203 19,515,178 23,076,527 27,268,062 32,220,993 38,136,188

6b. Other cross-cutting expenditures


Cabinet 41,000 42,230 43,497 44,802 46,146 47,530 48,956 50,425 51,938 53,496 55,101 56,754
Staff $35,000 3% 35,000 36,050 37,132 38,245 39,393 40,575 41,792 43,046 44,337 45,667 47,037 48,448
Materiel $6,000 3% 6,000 6,180 6,365 6,556 6,753 6,956 7,164 7,379 7,601 7,829 8,063 8,305
Regional Administrations 150% <= Share i 61,500 63,345 65,245 67,203 69,219 71,295 73,434 75,637 77,906 80,244 82,651 85,130
Subsides (Private NFE) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Subsidies (Preschool) $5 31,500 50,905 71,395 92,458 114,345 137,082 160,728 185,358 211,068 237,927 265,818 294,822
Subsidies (ECC) $3 60,000 370,990 695,789 1,032,570 1,382,408 1,745,887 2,123,801 2,517,151 2,926,948 3,353,753 3,800,206 3,883,810
Subsidies (NFE-Literacy) $5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Subsidies (Reintegration) $5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Subsidies (NFE-Specific) $5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Miscellaneous 50% <= Share 51,250 52,788 54,371 56,002 57,682 59,413 61,195 63,031 64,922 66,870 68,876 70,942
Total Other expenditures 2 153,750 158,363 163,113 168,007 173,047 178,238 183,586 189,093 194,766 200,609 206,627 212,826

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2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

9b. Total costs 61,967,968 61,847,721 80,071,301 100,361,077 123,104,046 148,660,759 177,676,472 210,926,922 245,474,648 287,227,025 318,505,257 367,072,308
Recurrent costs 20,065,105 37,013,654 54,437,783 73,833,558 95,675,248 120,182,895 147,978,482 179,769,607 213,668,930 253,575,885 296,853,290 342,774,597
Investments 41,902,863 24,834,067 25,633,518 26,527,519 27,428,798 28,477,863 29,697,990 31,157,315 31,805,718 33,651,139 21,651,967 24,297,711

9. Total costs 422,444,630 501,616,705 575,410,793 680,053,809 802,955,197 906,405,051 1,042,519,678 1,203,813,162 1,343,608,177 1,522,859,991 1,706,639,118 1,876,015,299
Recurrent costs 314,529,962 387,898,827 440,020,757 521,100,449 624,812,723 707,518,159 824,938,425 965,884,426 1,086,455,104 1,248,480,443 1,433,745,023 1,585,649,150
Investments 107,914,668 113,717,878 135,390,036 158,953,360 178,142,474 198,886,892 217,581,253 237,928,736 257,153,073 274,379,548 272,894,095 290,366,149

Percentage distribution of public expenditure on education by level


Primary education (public) 38% 39% 36% 34% 32% 30% 29% 29% 27% 26% 27% 26%
Secondary education I (public) 17% 20% 22% 23% 24% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 26% 26%
Secondary education II (public) 16% 13% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11%
Higher education (public) 9% 10% 11% 11% 11% 12% 12% 13% 13% 14% 14% 13%
Preschool education 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7%
ECC 4% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8%
NFE-Literacy 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
Reintegration 5% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
NFE-Specific 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
Other expenditures 1 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4%
Other expenditures 2 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

BUDGET FRAMEWORK
GDP ('000) $0.80 <= GDP/capi 5.6% 14,110,594 14,900,788 15,735,232 16,616,405 17,546,923 18,529,551 19,567,206 20,662,969 21,820,096 23,042,021 24,332,374 25,694,987
Total government expenditure 15.8% 20% 13 0.3% 15.8% 16% 16% 17% 17% 17% 18% 18% 18% 19% 19% 19%
Value ('000) 2,229,474 2,402,465 2,587,840 2,786,443 2,999,174 3,226,993 3,470,921 3,732,050 4,011,541 4,310,630 4,630,638 4,972,968
Public expenditure on education 20.0% 25% 13 0.4% 20.0% 20% 21% 21% 22% 22% 22% 23% 23% 23% 24% 24%
Value ('000) 445,895 489,733 537,475 589,440 645,976 707,456 774,282 846,888 925,740 1,011,340 1,104,229 1,204,988
Formal Education 92% 85% 13 -0.5% 92.0% 91% 91% 90% 90% 89% 89% 88% 88% 87% 87% 86%
Value ('000) 410,223 447,918 488,688 532,763 580,385 631,813 687,325 747,216 811,803 881,422 956,432 1,037,217
Of which Primary 34% 37% 13 0.2% 34.0% 34% 34% 35% 35% 35% 35% 36% 36% 36% 36% 37%
Value ('000) 151,604 167,639 185,222 204,490 225,595 248,698 273,977 301,623 331,842 364,860 400,920 440,284
Of which Secondary 1 15% 20% 13 0.4% 15.0% 15% 16% 16% 17% 17% 17% 18% 18% 18% 19% 19%
Value ('000) 66,884 75,344 84,756 95,217 106,834 119,723 134,010 149,834 167,345 186,709 208,105 231,729
Of which Secondary 2 23% 15% 13 -0.6% 23.0% 22% 22% 21% 21% 20% 19% 19% 18% 17% 17% 16%
Value ('000) 102,556 109,625 117,004 124,689 132,674 140,947 149,496 158,303 167,345 176,596 186,020 195,579
Of which Higher 20% 13% 20% 19% 19% 18% 18% 17% 17% 16% 16% 15% 15% 14%
Value ('000) 89,179 95,310 101,707 108,366 115,282 122,444 129,841 137,456 145,270 153,257 161,387 169,625
ECCE 3% 5% 13 0.2% 3.0% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5%
Value ('000) 13,377 15,445 17,778 20,404 23,355 26,666 30,376 34,527 39,166 44,343 50,115 56,542
NFE Budget 2% 5% 13 0.2% 2.0% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5%
Value ('000) 8,918 10,925 13,230 15,870 18,882 22,312 26,206 30,618 35,605 41,232 47,567 54,688
Other & cross-cutting 3% 5% 13 0.2% 3.0% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5%
Value ('000) 1.00 1.00 100.0% 13,377 15,445 17,778 20,404 23,355 26,666 30,376 34,527 39,166 44,343 50,115 56,542

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4 2016 Unit costs of years increase 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
2017 (Decision variables) rate 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
BALANCE: BUDGET vs SIMULATION
Gap Formal Education (%) -12% -2% 1% 9% 17% 20% 26% 33% 35% 40% 45% 45%
Additional amount to mobilize ('000) -49,747 -8,149 6,651 46,930 99,467 125,932 177,519 245,670 286,331 354,211 431,702 471,726
Of which for Primary ED 9,187 26,803 20,530 24,306 35,006 26,563 29,758 42,904 34,782 37,981 53,980 43,883
Of which for Secondary 1 6,442 26,505 43,696 63,164 86,661 103,953 128,572 154,944 173,070 200,468 232,276 257,223
Gap ECCE (%) 113% 166% 212% 249% 281% 310% 335% 358% 379% 400% 388% 391%
Additional amount to mobilize ('000) 15,154 25,694 37,645 50,853 65,742 82,593 101,739 123,572 148,510 177,330 194,547 221,101
Gap NFE (%) 182% 62% 63% 64% 64% 63% 63% 64% 56% 54% 52% 61%
Additional amount to mobilize ('000) 24,365 9,626 11,255 13,067 14,952 16,912 19,172 22,020 21,998 24,121 26,070 34,529
Gap Cross-cutting (%) 73% 71% 64% 60% 58% 52% 48% 45% 40% 36% 32% 25%
Additional amount to mobilize ('000) 9,714 10,974 11,336 12,325 13,561 13,888 14,707 15,686 15,554 15,869 15,929 13,933
Gap Budget & Simulation -5% 2% 7% 15% 24% 28% 35% 42% 45% 51% 55% 56%
Additional amount to mobilize ('000) -23,450 11,883 37,936 90,614 156,979 198,949 268,237 356,925 417,868 511,520 602,410 671,027

HOUSEHOLDS/COMMUNITY CONTRIBUTION
Amounts of households contribution
Per pupil
Primary 4 0 14 -0.3 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1
Secondary 1 10 15 14 0.4 10 10 11 11 11 12 12 13 13 13 14 14
Preschool education 4 3 14 -0.1 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3
Total
Primary 8,960 8,682 8,337 7,942 7,476 6,896 6,278 5,629 4,938 4,209 3,444 2,642
Secondary 1 4,935 5,812 6,820 7,926 8,823 9,891 11,015 12,127 13,167 14,214 15,308 16,432
Preschool education 144 266 389 512 636 759 882 1,005 1,128 1,252 1,375 1,498
Gaps (budget deficits) when households contribution is taken into account
Primary (Total) 227 18,121 12,193 16,364 27,529 19,667 23,480 37,275 29,844 33,772 50,536 41,241
Secondary 1 (Total) 1,507 20,693 36,876 55,238 77,837 94,062 117,557 142,817 159,903 186,254 216,968 240,791
Preschool education (Total) 15,010 25,428 37,255 50,341 65,106 81,834 100,857 122,567 147,382 176,078 193,172 219,603
Donors Contribution (estimates)
Grants Direct Budget Support ('000) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Loans Direct Budget Support ('000) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Projects/TA ('000) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Gaps (budget deficits) with both households and donor contribution taken into account
Total Household Contribution ('000) 14,039 14,759 15,546 16,381 16,935 17,545 18,175 18,761 19,233 19,676 20,127 20,572
Total Donor Contribution ('000) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Balance ('000) -37,489 -2,876 22,391 74,233 140,044 181,404 250,062 338,164 398,635 491,844 582,283 650,455

AIDS-RELATED COSTS IN EDUCATION


Primary Education ('000) 1,717 1,874 2,094 2,335 2,592 2,846 3,119 3,418 3,737 4,080 4,450 4,850
Secondary Education 1 ('000) 683 743 916 1,081 1,225 1,400 1,589 1,784 1,976 2,177 2,393 2,623
Secondary Education 2 ('000) 672 625 661 706 809 938 1,073 1,197 1,333 1,477 1,617 1,750
Total Primary & Secondary Education ('000) 3,072 3,242 3,671 4,122 4,626 5,183 5,782 6,398 7,046 7,734 8,460 9,222

Page 137 of 149


Exercises on Calculation of Some Educational Indicators
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Participation Calculate
Flow rates Check

ACCESS INDICATORS

Apparent intake rate: This rate identifies the number of children newly admitted in Grade 1 of the primary
education (irrespective of their age) as a percentage of the number of children
who are of official primary school-entrance age for admission to Grade 1 of this cycle of education.

Exercise 1: In country A, the legal age of entrance to Grade 1 is 6. There are 25 000 pupils in Grade 1
of primary education. Of these, 3200 are repeaters from the previous year. If the country's population
aged 6 amounts to 24 500, then calculate the apparent intake rate.

Number of pupils in Grade 1 =


Number of repeaters in Grade 1 =
Population of legal admission age =

Step 1: Number of new pupils in Grade 1 =

Step 2: Apparent intake rate (%) = %

Verify your answer: TRUE if correct, and FALSE if incorrect => ?


Consult the solution =>

Net intake rate (NIR): New entrants in the first grade of primary education who are of the official primary
school-entrance age, expressed as a percentage of the population of the same age. It can be calculated
by dividing the number of children of official primary school-entrance age who enter
the first grade of primary education by the population of the same age group.

Exercise 2. In country B, the legal age of entrance to Grade 1 is 6. There are 25 000 new entrants
in Grade 1 of primary school. However, of these only 22 000 are aged 6. If the country's population aged 6
amounts to 24 000, calculate the net intake rate.

Number of new entrants in Grade 1


Number of new entrants aged 6 in Grade 1
Population of six-year olds

Net intake rate (%) = %

Verify your answer: TRUE if correct, and FALSE if incorrect => ?


Consult the solution =>

Transition rate: The transition rate calculates the number of new pupils entering a given level of education
as a percentage of the pupils who were at the end of the previous level at the previous year.

Exercise 3. In country C, there were 21 000 pupils in Grade 1 of secondary education in 2004. Of these,
1200 were known to have repeated the grade. If the number of pupils in the final grade of primary education
in 2003 was 23 000, calculate the rate of transition from primary to secondary education for 2003.

Number of pupils in Grade 1 of secondary education in 2004 =


Number of repeaters in Grade 1 of secondary education in 2004 =
Number of pupils who were at the last grade of primary in 2003 =

Number of new pupils in Grade 1 of secondary education in 2004 =

Transition rate from primary to secondary education for 2003 (%) = %

Verify your answer: TRUE if correct, and FALSE if incorrect => ?


Consult the solution =>
Exercises on Calculation of Some Educational Indicators
Access Raw data
Participation Calculate
Flow rates Check

PARTICIPATION INDICATORS

Gross enrolment rate: The gross enrolment rate is the number of pupils in a given cycle of education
expressed as a percentage of 'the population of related school age'.

Exercise 4. In country D, there were 150 000 pupils in primary education (Grades 1-6) in 2004. The legal
admission age was 6, and in the population there were 145 000 children aged 6-11.
Calculate the country's gross enrolment rate for primary education in 2004.

Number of pupils in primary education =


Population aged 6-11 =

Gross enrolment rate (%) = %

Verify your answer: TRUE if correct, and FALSE if incorrect => ?


Consult the solution =>

Net enrolment rate: The net enrolment rate is the number of pupils of official school age in a given
cycle of education expressed as a percentage of 'the population of related school age'.

Exercise 5. In country E, there were 150 000 pupils in primary education in 2004 (Grades 1-6). Of these,
135 000 were in the 6-11 age group. The legal admission age was 6, and in the population there were 145 000
children aged 6-11. Calculate the country's net enrolment rate for primary education in 2004.

Number of pupils in primary education =


Number of pupils aged 6-11 in primary education =
Population aged 6-11 =

Net enrolment rate (%) = %

Verify your answer: TRUE if correct, and FALSE if incorrect => ?


Consult the solution =>

Age-specific enrolment rate: The main characteristic of the age-specific enrolment rate is that
- in contrast to the other two rates - it is not associated with any particular educational cycle. This rate identifies
the number of pupils of a given age in educational institutions as a percentage of the same age in the population.

Exercise 6. In country F, of a total population of 30 000 children aged 11, it was observed that there were 23 500
in primary schools and 1 500 in lower secondary education schools in 2004.
Calculate the age-specific enrolment rate for 11-year old children in the country.

Number of 11-year old pupils in primary schools =


Number of 11-year old pupils in secondary schools =
Number of the population aged 11 =

Number of 11-year old pupils in primary and secondary =

Age-specific enrolment rate for 11-year old children = %

Verify your answer: TRUE if correct, and FALSE if incorrect => ?


Consult the solution =>
Exercises on Calculation of Some Educational Indicators
Access Raw data
Participation Calculate
Flow rates Check

Enrolments of girls in primary and general secondary education in country G, in 2004


Age Enrolments Enrolments Enrolments Population
Primary Lower Upper
(Grades 1-5) Secondary Secondary
(Grades 6-8) (Grades 9-12)
Under 5 507 0 0 0
5 15,257 0 0 54,945
6 27,589 0 0 53,328
7 28,259 0 0 51,695
8 25,370 0 0 50,054
9 20,911 710 1 48,408
10 14,423 2,976 7 47,244
11 8,532 5,223 78 45,625
12 4,387 6,147 388 43,982
13 1,886 5,137 1,249 42,302
14 756 3,572 2,455 40,620
15 382 2,029 2,999 38,989
16 0 942 2,359 37,386
17 0 350 1,431 35,944
18 0 122 615 34,728
19 0 46 253 33,680
20 0 17 145 32,671
Total all ages

Exercise 7. From the table above, calculate:


(a) The gross enrolment rate and the net enrolment rate for girls in country G in primary education in 2004.
(b) The gross enrolment rate and the net enrolment rate for girls in country G in lower secondary education in 2004.

Enrolment Grades 1-5 =


Enrolment Grades 6-8 =
Enrolment Grades 9-12 =

Enrolments aged 6-10 (official age) in Grades 1-5 =


Enrolments aged 11-13 in Grades 6-8 =
Enrolments aged 14-17 in Grades 9-12 =

Legal admission age at Grade 1 =


Population aged 6-10 =
Population aged 11-13 =
Population aged 14-17 =

GER at primary education = %


NER at primary education = %
Verify your answer: TRUE if correct, and FALSE if incorrect => ?
Consult the solution =>

GER at lower secondary = %


NER at lower secondary = %
Verify your answer: TRUE if correct, and FALSE if incorrect => ?
Consult the solution =>

GER at upper secondary = %


NER at upper secondary = %
Verify your answer: TRUE if correct, and FALSE if incorrect => ?
Consult the solution =>
Exercises on Calculation of Some Educational Indicators
Access Raw data
Participation Calculate
Flow rates Check

Exercise 8. From the table above, calculate:


(a) The percentage of girls in primary education in country G in 2004 who were outside the official 6-10 age group.
(b) The percentage of girls in lower secondary education in country G in 2004 who were outside the official 11-13 age group.
(c) The percentage of girls in upper secondary education in country G in 2004 who were outside the official 14-17 age group.

Number of girls in primary education outside the 6-10 age group =


Number of girls in lower secondary outside the 11-13 age group =
Number of girls in upper secondary outside the 14-17 age group =

Total number of girls in primary education =


Total number of girls in lower secondary education =
Total number of girls in upper secondary education =

Percentage of girls in primary outside the 6-10 age group = %


Verify your answer: TRUE if correct, and FALSE if incorrect => ?
Consult the solution =>

Percentage of girls in lower secondary outside the 11-13 age group = %


Verify your answer: TRUE if correct, and FALSE if incorrect => ?
Consult the solution =>

Percentage of girls in upper secondary outside the 14-17 age group = %


Verify your answer: TRUE if correct, and FALSE if incorrect => ?
Consult the solution =>

Exercise 9. From the table above, calculate:


(a) The age-specific enrolment rate for girls in the 6-10 age group in country G in 2004.
(b) The age-specific enrolment rate for girls in the 11-13 age group in country G in 2004.
(c) The age-specific enrolment rate for girls in the 14-17 age group in country G in 2004.

Number of 6-10 years old girls in education =


Number of 11-13 years old girls in education =
Number of 14-17 years old girls in education =

Population of girls aged 6-10 =


Population of girls aged 11-13 =
Population of girls aged 14-17 =

Age-specific enrolment rate for girls in the 6-10 age group = %


Verify your answer: TRUE if correct, and FALSE if incorrect => ?
Consult the solution =>

Age-specific enrolment rate for girls in the 11-13 age group = %


Verify your answer: TRUE if correct, and FALSE if incorrect => ?
Consult the solution =>

Age-specific enrolment rate for girls in the 14-17 age group = %


Verify your answer: TRUE if correct, and FALSE if incorrect => ?
Consult the solution =>
Exercises on Calculation of Some Educational Indicators
Access Raw data
Participation Calculate
Flow rates Check

FLOW RATES

The basic indicators required to measure the internal efficiency of an education system are calculated on the basis of the flow rates (promotion,
repetition and drop-out). To obtain these indicators, one needs to have the enrolment statistics of at least the two most recent successive years.
To calculate the promotion rate, divide the number of those promoted to the grade i+1 in school-year t+1 by the number of pupils enrolled
in the grade i in school-year t. To calculate the repetition rate, divide the number of repeaters in a given grade in school-year t+1
by the number of pupils from the same cohort enrolled in the same grade in the previous school-year t. To calculate the dropout rate,
if the promotion rate and repetition rate are known, deduct the sum of these rates from 1.

Enrolments in primary education by grade for 2003/04 and 2004/05 and repeaters of 2003/05
Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Total
2003/04: Enrolments 20,194 18,770 17,436 16,243 15,104
2004/05: Enrolments 21,894 18,779 17,424 16,250 15,113
Repeaters of 2003/04 1,357 1,331 1,327 1,324 1,315
At the end of 2003/04, a total of 11 237 pupils graduated from Grade 5 => 11,237

Exercise 10. From the table above, calculate:


(a) the promotion rates for grades 1-5 for 2003/04;
(b) the repetition rates for grades 1-5 for 2003/04;
(c) the dropout rates for grades 1-5 for 2003/04.

Those who are promoted to the next grade in 2004/05 0


Those who dropped out in 2003/04 0
Verify your answer: TRUE if correct, and FALSE if incorrect => ?
Consult the solution =>

Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5


Promotion rate % 0%
Repetition rate % 0%
Dropout rate %
Verify your answer: TRUE if correct, FALSE if incorrect => ?
Consult the solution =>
Exercises on Calculation of Some Educational Indicators
Access Raw data
Participation Calculate
Flow rates Check

Exercise 1: In country A, the legal age of entrance to Grade 1 is 6. There are 25 000 pupils in Grade 1
of primary education. Of these, 3200 are repeaters from the previous year. If the country's population
aged 6 amounts to 24 500, then calculate the apparent intake rate.

Number of pupils in Grade 1 = 25,000


Number of repeaters in Grade 1 = 3,200
Population of legal admission age = 24,500

Step 1: Number of new pupils in Grade 1 = 25,000 - 3,200 = 21,800

21,800
Step 2: Apparent intake rate (%) = x 100 = 89.0 %
24,500

<= Return

Exercise 2. In country B, the legal age of entrance to Grade 1 is 6. There are 25 000 new entrants
in Grade 1 of primary school. However, of these only 22 000 are aged 6. If the country's population aged 6
amounts to 24 000, calculate the net intake rate.

Number of new entrants in Grade 1 = 25,000 <= This number is not used for calculation
Number of new entrants aged 6 in Grade 1 = 22,000
Population of six-year olds = 24,000

22,000
Net intake rate = x 100 = 91.7 %
24,000

<= Return

Exercise 3. In country C, there were 21 000 pupils in Grade 1 of secondary education in 2004. Of these,
1200 were known to have repeated the grade. If the number of pupils in the final grade of primary education
in 2003 was 23 000, calculate the rate of transition from primary to secondary education for 2003.

Number of pupils in Grade 1 of secondary education in 2004 = 21,000


Number of repeaters in Grade 1 of secondary education in 2004 = 1,200
Number of pupils who were at the last grade of primary in 2003 = 23,000

Number of new pupils in Grade 1 of secondary education in 2004 = 21,000 - 1,200 = 19,800

19,800
Transition rate from primary to secondary education for 2003 (%) = x 100 = 86.1 %
23,000

<= Return
Exercises on Calculation of Some Educational Indicators
Access Raw data
Participation Calculate
Flow rates Check

Exercise 4. In country D, there were 150 000 pupils in primary education (Grades 1-6) in 2004. The legal
admission age was 6, and in the population there were 145 000 children aged 6-11.
Calculate the country's gross enrolment rate for primary education in 2004.

Number of pupils in primary education = 150,000


Population aged 6-11 = 145,000

150,000
Gross enrolment rate (%) = x 100 = 103.4 %
145,000

<= Return

Exercise 5. In country E, there were 150 000 pupils in primary education in 2004 (Grades 1-6). Of these,
135 000 were in the 6-11 age group. The legal admission age was 6, and in the population there were 145 000
children aged 6-11. Calculate the country's net enrolment rate for primary education in 2004.

Number of pupils in primary education = 150,000 <= This number is not used for calculation
Number of pupils aged 6-11 in primary education = 135,000
Population aged 6-11 = 145,000

135,000
Net enrolment rate (%) = x 100 = 93.1 %
145,000

<= Return

Exercise 6. In country F, of a total population of 30 000 children aged 11, it was observed that there were 23 500
in primary schools and 1 500 in lower secondary education schools in 2004.
Calculate the age-specific enrolment rate for 11-year old children in the country.

Number of 11-year old pupils in primary schools = 23,500


Number of 11-year old pupils in secondary schools = 1,500
Number of the population aged 11 = 30,000

Number of 11-year old pupils in primary and secondary = 23,500 + 1,500 = 25,000

25,000
Age-specific enrolment rate for 11-year old children = x 100 = 83.3 %
30,000

<= Return
Exercises on Calculation of Some Educational Indicators
Access Raw data
Participation Calculate
Flow rates Check

Enrolments of girls in primary and general secondary education in country G, in 2004


Age Enrolments Enrolments Enrolments Population
Primary Lower Upper
(Grades 1-5) Secondary Secondary
(Grades 6-8) (Grades 9-12)
Under 5 507 0 0 0
5 15,257 0 0 54,945
6 27,589 0 0 53,328
7 28,259 0 0 51,695
8 25,370 0 0 50,054
9 20,911 710 1 48,408
10 14,423 2,976 7 47,244
11 8,532 5,223 78 45,625
12 4,387 6,147 388 43,982
13 1,886 5,137 1,249 42,302
14 756 3,572 2,455 40,620
15 382 2,029 2,999 38,989
16 0 942 2,359 37,386
17 0 350 1,431 35,944
18 0 122 615 34,728
19 0 46 253 33,680
20 0 17 145 32,671
Total all ages 148,259 27,271 11,980 691,601

Exercise 7. From the table above, calculate:


(a) The gross enrolment rate and the net enrolment rate for girls in primary education in 2004.
(b) The gross enrolment rate and the net enrolment rate for girls in lower secondary education in 2004.

Enrolment Grades 1-5 = 148,259


Enrolment Grades 6-8 = 27,271
Enrolment Grades 9-12 = 11,980

Enrolment aged 6-10 in Grades 1-5 = 116,552


Enrolment aged 11-13 in Grades 6-8 = 16,507
Enrolment aged 14-17 in Grades 9-12 = 9,244

Legal admission age at Grade 1 = 6


Population aged 6-10 = 250,729
Population aged 11-13 = 131,909
Population aged 14-17 = 152,939

Primary GER = 59.1 %


Primary NER = 46.5 %
<= Return

Lower Sec.GER = 20.7 %


Lower Sec.NER = 12.5 %
<= Return

Upper Sec.GER = 7.8 %


Upper Sec.NER = 6.0 %
<= Return
Exercises on Calculation of Some Educational Indicators
Access Raw data
Participation Calculate
Flow rates Check

Exercise 8. From the table above, calculate:


(a) The percentage of girls in primary education in country G in 2004 who were outside the official 6-10 age group.
(b) The percentage of girls in lower secondary education in country G in 2004 who were outside the official 11-13 age group.
(c) The percentage of girls in upper secondary education in country G in 2004 who were outside the official 14-17 age group.

Number of girls in primary education outside the 6-10 age group = 31,707
Number of girls in lower secondary outside the 11-13 age group = 10,764
Number of girls in upper secondary outside the 14-17 age group = 2,736

Total number of girls in primary education = 148,259


Total number of girls in lower secondary education = 27,271
Total number of girls in upper secondary education = 11,980

Percentage of girls in primary outside the 6-10 age group = 21.4 %


<= Return

Percentage of girls in lower secondary outside the 11-13 age group = 39.5 %
<= Return

Percentage of girls in upper secondary outside the 14-17 age group = 22.8 %
<= Return

Exercise 9. From the table above, calculate:


(a) The age-specific enrolment rate for girls in the 6-10 age group in country G in 2004.
(b) The age-specific enrolment rate for girls in the 11-13 age group in country G in 2004.
(c) The age-specific enrolment rate for girls in the 14-17 age group in country G in 2004.

Number of 6-10 years old girls in education = 120,246


Number of 11-13 years old girls in education = 33,027
Number of 14-17 years old girls in education = 17,275

Population of girls aged 6-10 = 250,729


Population of girls aged 11-13 = 131,909
Population of girls aged 14-17 = 152,939

Age-specific enrolment rate for girls in the 6-10 age group = 48.0 %
<= Return

Age-specific enrolment rate for girls in the 11-13 age group = 25.0 %
<= Return

Age-specific enrolment rate for girls in the 14-17 age group = 11.3 %
<= Return
Exercises on Calculation of Some Educational Indicators
Access Raw data
Participation Calculate
Flow rates Check

Enrolments in primary education by grade for 2003/04 and 2004/05 and repeaters of 2003/05
Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Total
2003/04: Enrolments 20,194 18,770 17,436 16,243 15,104 87,747
2004/05: Enrolments 21,894 18,779 17,424 16,250 15,113 89,460
Repeaters of 2003/04 1,357 1,331 1,327 1,324 1,315 6,654
At the end of 2003/04, a total of 11 237 pupils graduated from Grade 5 => 11,237

Exercise 10. From the table above, calculate:


(a) the promotion rates for grades 1-5 for 2003/04;
(b) the repetition rates for grades 1-5 for 2003/04;
(c) the dropout rates for grades 1-5 for 2003/04.

Those who are promoted to the next grade in 2004/05 17,448 16,097 14,926 13,798
Those who dropped out in 2003/04 1,389 1,342 1,183 1,121
<= Return

Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5


Promotion rate % 86.4% 85.8% 85.6% 84.9% 74.4% 417%
Repetition rate % 6.7% 7.1% 7.6% 8.2% 8.7% 38%
Dropout rate % 6.9% 7.1% 6.8% 6.9% 16.9%
<= Return
Scenarios

2016
2017
Primary education
Gross enrolment ratio 90%
Gross intake rate 98%
Promotion rate 85%
Students/teacher ratio 56
Student enrolments 2,262,400
No of teaching posts 40,463
No of classrooms 34,500
Secondary education I
Registration rate 92%
Promotion rate 80%
Students/teacher ratio 25
Gross enrolment ratio 41%
Student enrolments 568,542
No of teaching posts 22,728
No of classrooms 7,690
No of Labs 2,480
Secondary education II
Registration rate 102%
Promotion rate (Gen & Tech) 83%
Students/teacher ratio 15
Student enrolments 392,770
No of teaching posts 26,346
No of classrooms 8,740
No of Labs 6,450
Higher education
Students/teacher ratio 28%
Students/teacher ratio 22
Student enrolments 200,000
No of teaching posts 9,287
No of classrooms 7,690
No of Labs 2,480
Expenditures
Recurrent costs 294,464,857
Primary education 124,955,000
Secondary education 1st Cycle 52,974,720
Secondary education 2nd Cycle 60,859,360
Higher education 32,738,240
ECCE 8,793,328
Non formal education 11,118,028
Investments 66,011,805
Primary education 35,835,999
Secondary education 1st Cycle 20,351,375
Secondary education 2nd Cycle 6,382,441
Higher education 3,441,991
ECCE 33,307,414
Non formal education 22,165,211

Page 148 of 149


2016
2017
Available domestic resources 445,895
Simulation Costs 422,445
GAP Budget/Simulation costs -5%

Page 149 of 149

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