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LATIN AMERICAN WIRE APRIL 13, 2018
0.7% sulfur content, minimum 9 API gravity, 212-594 CST is mostly privately owned, by participants in the wholesale Crudes 2:30pm Eastern (PGA page 210 & 214)
viscosity and minimum 60 degrees Celsius flashpoint. electricity market, although the Energy Ministry owns a
$/barrel
Offers are due Monday. The first cargo is to be delivered minority stake in it. In Ecuador, Petroecuador bought from WTI 1st month PCACG00 67.42–67.44 67.430 +0.360
WTI 2nd month PCACH00 67.32–67.34 67.330 +0.380
May 14-16; the second cargo May 21-23; the third May Glencore 10 240,000-barrels cargoes of high sulfur diesel Mars 1st month AAMBR00 67.77–67.79 67.780 +0.310
28-30 and the fourth June 4-6, on a DAP basis. Each cargo each. Specifications include 0.5% (5,000 ppm) maximum Mars 2nd month AAMBU00 67.77–67.79 67.780 +0.530
shall be delivered at one lightering area — either Alpha, sulfur, minimum 60 degrees Celsius flashpoint, a minimum LLS PCABN00 70.57–70.59 70.580 +0.260
ANS PCAAD00 71.70–71.74 71.720 +0.480
Delta, or Bahia Blanca — plus one safe port, either Bahia cetane index of 46 and a kinematic viscosity at 40 C of
Basrah AAEJH00 69.84–69.86 69.850 +0.520
Blanca or Buenos Aires or two safe ports in case Bahia between 2 and 5 mm sq/second. The price agreed was a
Crudes at 16:30 London (PGA page 1210)
Blanca is the first port. Price basis for this tender is a $3.64/b premium to S&P Global Platts US Gulf Coast No. 2
Bonny Light PCAIC00 72.73–72.77 72.750 +0.990
differential to Platts Fuel Oil No. 6 1.0% NYH Delivered heating oil waterborne assessments for the two days prior
Cargo, expressed in US$/barrel. The pricing period for the to the bill of lading date, the bill of lading date and two CARIBBEAN FOB CARGOES (PGA page 162)
first cargo will be the average of quotations from April 30 days after. The first cargo is to be delivered May 1-3. ¢/gal Mid Change
to May 4, for the second cargo, May 7-11; for the third Petroecuador will provide notification at least 20 calendar Jet Kero PJAAD10 206.04–206.06 206.050 +1.24
cargo, May 14-18; and for the fourth cargo, May 21-25. This days in advance of the other delivery window dates.
$/barrel
tender follows a previous one issued by Cammesa/YPF Delivery ports are Esmeraldas and/or La Libertad and/or Fuel oil 2.0% PUAAS00 58.72–58.74 58.730 +0.30
seeking to buy 270,000 mt of fuel oil to be delivered March Punta Arenas and/or Tres Bocas, on a DAT basis. Other
29-30, April 9-13, April 23-27, April 30-May 4, May 7-11, May participants in the tender were BB Energy, Phillips 66, Vitol
Bunkers (PGB page 899)
14-18. According to market sources, that tender was and Trafigura, according to sources. In December,
canceled. Price basis was also a differential to Platts Fuel Petroecuador purchased from Glencore four 240,000 Marine fuel prices in Latin America closed the week Friday
Oil No. 6 1.0% NYH delivered cargo. Reasons for the barrels of high sulfur diesel. The price paid was a $4.28/b higher after mixed pricing Thursday on firm pricing and
cancellation are not known. Shell, owner of Refineria premium to the Platts USGC No. 2 heating oil waterborne upticks in the NYMEX front-month ULSD, ICE Brent futures
Buenos Aires, as well as PAE (formerly Axion), which owns assessments for the two days prior to the bill of lading and US Gulf Coast fuel oil assessments. S&P Global Platts
the Campana refinery, have been exporting fuel oil, a date, the bill of lading date and the two days after. Two assessed ICE June Brent as of 2:30 pm EDT (1830 GMT) at
source familiar with the South American market said, other companies participated in that tender — Trafigura $72.53/b, up 48 cents. In the Platts Market on Close
explaining that during the warm months in Argentina and Vitol. assessment process, Peninsula Petroleum Panama posted
© 2018 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global Inc. All rights reserved. 2
LATIN AMERICAN WIRE APRIL 13, 2018
Ex-wharf
Balboa PUBAD00 396.95–397.05 397.000 +16.000 PUBAC00 433.95–434.05 434.000 +16.000 PBACU00 649.95–650.05 650.000 +5.000
Cristobal PUAEF00 396.95–397.05 397.000 +16.000 PUABJ00 433.95–434.05 434.000 +16.000 POABJ00 649.95–650.05 650.000 +5.000
Panama Canal AAXWG00 397.000 +16.000 AAXWL00 434.000 +16.000 AAXWI00 650.000 +5.000
an initial bid at the peg of $386/mt ex-wharf Balboa, Valparaiso market was stable at $807/mt on flat pricing. In CARIBBEAN PRODUCT POSTINGS (PGA page 466)
Panama, for 500 mt for April 16-23. Peninsula gradually Balboa, MGO rose $5 to $650/mt ex-wharf, tracking a 1.64-
Petrotrin (¢/gal) Effective Date
raised its position to $397/mt and Glencore sold to it at that cent increase for NYMEX May ULSD to $2.1002/gal. Pricing 83 Mogas AAOCF09 210.00 10-Apr-18
level. Platts assessed the price at the deal level of $397/mt indications were talked as high as $660/mt ex-wharf Balboa 92 Mogas Unl AANTB00 225.00 10-Apr-18
ex-wharf, up $16. Pricing indications were talked as high as in the morning. A deal was talked at $661/mt ex-wharf basis 95 Mogas Unl PTADR00 234.00 10-Apr-18
Avgas 100/130 PTAHQ09 534.00 10-Apr-18
$395/mt in the morning and deals were talked at $395- in Cristobal, Panama for 45 mt.
Dual Purpose Kero PTAEP09 220.00 10-Apr-18
$397/mt ex-wharf basis for volumes ranging from 400-650 Gasoil 0.5%S PTADQ09 211.00 10-Apr-18
mt in the morning. The increase tracked a 30-cent increase
NYMEX (PGA page 1000) ($/barrel)
in USGC high sulfur fuel oil to an assessment at $58.10/b, Bunker fuel oil PTAEM09 68.00 10-Apr-18
equivalent to a $1.91/mt hike. Along the Pacific Coast of The oil complex strengthened further Friday, capping a Source: Petrotrin
South America, IFO 380 pricing was higher amid higher week-long rally sparked by Middle East geopolitical
price indications. The assessment in Callao and in the tension, lifting NYMEX crude and ICE Brent to highs last fell by 25.6 million barrels to 2.84 billion barrels in
competing port of Guayaquil rose $1 to $458/mt and $426/ seen in late 2014. NYMEX May crude rose 32 cents to settle February, the lowest level since April 2015, the IEA said.
mt, respectively. On the East Coast of South America, at $67.39/b. ICE June Brent settled 56 cents higher at Moreover, OECD inventories now sit 30 million barrels
pricing was $1-$3 higher, with Santos, Brazil, IFO 380 $72.58/b. With the White House threatening to bomb the above the five-year average. That surplus could be erased
assessed $3 higher at $415/mt on rising supplier pricing, Syrian regime, traders remain weary over the potential for soon, achieving an objective OPEC identified when the
while the Buenos Aires market was up $1 at $466/mt. The a broadening conflict pitting Washington against President group agreed to an output cut. “It is not for us to declare
market in Buenos Aires closed the week firm as talk of Bashar Assad’s allies in Moscow. Any supply disruptions on behalf of the Vienna agreement countries that it is
limited availability has pressured the market upwards. would occur against a backdrop of tightening global ‘mission accomplished’, but if our outlook is accurate, it
Marine gasoil in Santos increased $14 to an assessment of inventories, highlighted Friday by the International Energy certainly looks very much like it,” the IEA said. Geopolitical
$754/mt on higher fresh supplier pricing, while the Agency’s latest monthly oil market report. OECD oil stocks threats have been escalating in Yemen, Syria and Iran,
© 2018 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global Inc. All rights reserved. 3
LATIN AMERICAN WIRE APRIL 13, 2018
driving a large part of the $5/b increase in oil prices since NYMEX 2:30PM EASTERN SETTLEMENT (PGA page 701)
last week, Goldman Sachs commodity analysts said in Crude oil ($/barrel) Heating oil (¢/gal) RBOB Unleaded (¢/gal)
note. “As we have argued in the past, with low and May AAWS001 67.39 +0.32 May AAHS001 210.02 +1.64 May AARS001 206.54 +1.08
Jun AAWS002 67.33 +0.38 Jun AAHS002 209.05 +1.49 Jun AARS002 206.86 +1.15
declining inventories the market remains vulnerable to Jul AAWS003 67.00 +0.42 Jul AAHS003 208.42 +1.55 Jul AARS003 206.33 +1.31
even small disruptions,” the note said. Front-month ICE
Brent closed Friday $5.47 higher than a week ago, US WEST COAST REFINERY YIELDS AND NETBACKS (Summer) EFFECTIVE APRIL 13, 2018
marking the largest weekly increase this year. NYMEX
US West Coast Crack Yield & Netback (PGA page 840)
crude rose $5.33/b week on week. One bearish factor
Crack Yield
Freight Crack Netback Spot Price Crack Margin
weighing on NYMEX crude has been US production, which
ANS TYAAD00 82.63 TDDGL00 0.00 TNAAD00 82.63 PCAAD00 71.720 TNAADMR 10.910
continues to climb higher. Output averaged 10.525 million Arab Berri TYAAT00 86.25 TDDAE00 1.29 TNAAT00 84.96 AAXCT00 70.680 TNAATMR 14.280
b/d the week that ended April 6, Energy Information Arab Light TYACX00 81.75 TDDAT00 1.31 TNACX00 80.44 AAXCU00 68.480 TNACXMR 11.960
Administration estimates show. That equaled a year-on- Bakken TYASK00 86.74 TDDRT00 6.50 TNASK00 80.24 AASRU00 65.690 TNASKMR 15.500
Basrah Light TYAGL00 82.23 TDDBW00 1.67 TNAGL00 80.56 AAEJH00 69.850 TNAGLMR 12.930
year increase of 1.29 million b/d. And with US drillers Escalante TYAKN00 77.34 TDDCW00 3.36 TNAKN00 73.98 PCAGC00 67.745 TNAKNMR 6.235
adding more rigs in this higher-priced oil environment, the Kern River TYAMV00 81.84 TDDGM00 1.71 TNAMV00 80.13 PCABJ00 69.970 TNAMVMR 10.160
outlook for production points even higher. The weekly US Line 63 TYANX00 83.36 TDDGN00 0.15 TNANX00 83.21 PCABM00 76.670 TNANXMR 6.540
Minas TYATC00 87.04 TDDGO00 2.40 TNATC00 84.64 PCABO00 67.200 TNATCMR 17.440
oil rig count rose by seven to 815 Friday, the most since Oriente TYAQV00 78.44 TDDEC00 1.44 TNAQV00 77.00 PCADE00 66.890 TNAQVMR 10.110
March 2015, according to Baker Hughes. Crude Mixed Light Sweet TYARD00 91.37 TDDGP00 2.07 TNARD00 89.30 AALRR00 60.240 TNARDMR 29.060
differentials have adjusted, with Brent at a bigger Thums TYASZ00 81.50 TDDGQ00 0.00 TNASZ00 81.50 PCACD00 71.170 TNASZMR 10.330
US West Coast Coke Yield & Netback (PGA page 842)
premium to WTI to encourage more US crude exports. The
Brent/WTI spread was 18 cents wider at $5.25/b Friday Coke Yield Freight Coke Netback Spot Price Coke Margin
ANS TYAAB00 87.21 TDDGL00 0.00 TNAAB00 87.21 PCAAD00 71.720 TNAABMR 15.490
afternoon. From late 2015 until August 2017, that spread
Arab Berri TYAAR00 87.29 TDDAE00 1.29 TNAAR00 86.00 AAXCT00 70.680 TNAARMR 15.320
was around parity to $3/b. A key upcoming event for the Arab Light TYACV00 85.08 TDDAT00 1.31 TNACV00 83.77 AAXCU00 68.480 TNACVMR 15.290
oil market will be the May 12 deadline by which President Basrah Light TYAGJ00 85.05 TDDBW00 1.67 TNAGJ00 83.38 AAEJH00 69.850 TNAGJMR 15.750
Escalante TYAKL00 87.13 TDDCW00 3.36 TNAKL00 83.77 PCAGC00 67.745 TNAKLMR 16.025
Donald Trump must decide whether or not to renew US
Kern River TYAMT00 90.45 TDDGM00 1.71 TNAMT00 88.74 PCABJ00 69.970 TNAMTMR 18.770
sanctions relief against Iran under the Joint Line 63 TYANV00 87.97 TDDGN00 0.15 TNANV00 87.82 PCABM00 76.670 TNANVMR 11.150
Comprehensive Plan of Action. A unilateral move to Minas TYATA00 90.31 TDDGO00 2.40 TNATA00 87.91 PCABO00 67.200 TNATAMR 20.710
Oriente TYAQT00 85.07 TDDEC00 1.44 TNAQT00 83.63 PCADE00 66.890 TNAQTMR 16.740
reimpose sanctions wouldn’t have a big impact on Iranian
Mixed Light Sweet TYARB00 91.71 TDDGP00 2.07 TNARB00 89.64 AALRR00 60.240 TNARBMR 29.400
exports right away, but would be the start of a process Thums TYASX00 88.00 TDDGQ00 0.00 TNASX00 88.00 PCACD00 71.170 TNASXMR 16.830
placing “low-intensity stress” on oil markets, JP Morgan Source: S&P Global Platts, Turner, Mason & Co.
analysts said Friday. The result could be higher oil prices
and above-average volatility, similar in magnitude to the NEWS AND INTERESTS (PGA page 100) March, down from 7,797 b/d in February, the company said
period during the 2011 Arab Spring, the note said. Realized Exploration & Production in a filing with local stock regulators after markets closed
volatility for NYMEX crude has been modest since 2017 late Thursday. That was the first production decline in six
compared with 2011 as well as 2015-16 when oil prices months at Tubarao Martelo, according to Dommo. Dommo’s
Brazil concern registers
crashed because of a global oversupply led by US shale prospects have improved in recent months after the
production. That figure averaged 24% in 2017 and 20% in
decline at Tubarao Martelo company emerged from bankruptcy protection last year.
the year to date. Realized volatility averaged 31% in 2011, Brazilian independent oil producer Dommo Energia, Crude oil production has trended higher at Tubarao Martelo
43% in 2015 and 42% in 2016, according to data supplier formerly known as OGX and OGPar, registered a 3.8% to stabilize at about 7,500 b/d, despite the shutdown of one
GlobalView. NYMEX May ULSD settled 1.64 cents higher month-on-month decline in crude oil output from the of the field’s four production wells for about six months.
Friday at $2.1002/gal. NYMEX May RBOB rose 1.08 cents to Tubarao Martelo Field in March. Tubarao Martelo, Dommo’s Additional output could be squeezed from Tubarao Martelo,
$2.0654/gal. sole production asset, pumped an average of 7,501 b/d in where the company has said that it will seek financing for a
© 2018 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global Inc. All rights reserved. 4
LATIN AMERICAN WIRE APRIL 13, 2018
$28 million investment project that would lift output to SPOT TANKER RATES
10,000 b/d. In addition, Dommo should gain new production From To Cargo size (kt) Worldscale $/mt
from its share of output from the Atlanta Field in a matter Clean Medium Range Tankers West of Suez (PGT page 1910)
of weeks. The Atlanta Field, where Dommo owns a 40% Mediterranean UK Continent PFADCSZ 30 PFADC10 145.00 TCABA00 14.21
stake in the QGEP Participacoes-operated project, is Mediterranean US Atlantic Coast PFACWSZ 37 PFACW10 130.00 TCABC00 18.19
Mediterranean Mediterranean PFADBSZ 30 PFADB10 135.00 TCAAY00 6.55
expected to pump first oil soon. The Petrojarl I floating UK Continent UK Continent PFALYSZ 22 PFALY00 185.00 TCABV00 10.16
production, storage and offloading vessel, or FPSO, arrived UK Continent US Atlantic Coast PFAMASZ 37 PFAMA00 135.00 TCABX00 17.20
at the field late last year and is currently being connected to UK Continent US Gulf Coast PFAMBSZ 37 PFAMB00 135.00 TCACA00 14.13
Black Sea Mediterranean PFABXSZ 30 PFABX00 145.00 TCAAP00 13.51
two production wells.
Clean Medium Range Tankers East of Suez (PGT page 2920)
Worldscale
Argentina refineries run more imported crude Arab Gulf India PFABMSZ 35 PFABM10 182.50 TCAAF00 11.19
Arab Gulf Japan PFABNSZ 35 PFABN10 132.50 TCAAH00 23.96
Argentina’s refineries ran more imported crude oil in Singapore Japan PFAEBSZ 30 PFAEB10 146.00 TCABP00 13.15
Lumpsum
February to compensate for a drop in domestic supplies as Singapore Hong Kong PFAKWSZ 30 PFAKW10 325 TCADI00 10.83
the upstream industry struggles to turn around a 19-year Clean Long Range Tankers East of Suez (PGT page 2922)
production decline, according to data released Friday by an Worldscale
Arab Gulf Japan PFAEYSZ 55 PFAEY10 109.00 TCAAI00 19.71
Arab Gulf Japan PFAMTSZ 75 PFAMT00 89.00 TCAAJ00 16.09
PERUVIAN NAPHTHA EXPORTS Dirty Panamax Tankers Americas (PGT page 1962)
Worldscale
New York Caribbean US Gulf Coast PFANZSZ 50 PFANZ00 110.00 TDABA00 8.54
U NI TE D S T AT ES Washington
Dirty Aframax Tankers West of Suez and Americas (PGT pages 1960 and 1962)
3
Worldscale
Los Angeles
Atlanta Caribbean US Atlantic Coast PFALTSZ 70 PFALT10 97.50 TDAAY00 8.05
Houston Atlantic Ocean Mediterranean Mediterranean PFAJPSZ 80 PFAJP10 75.00 TDABL00 3.47
Mediterranean US Gulf Coast PFAJOSZ 80 PFAJO10 67.50 TDABU00 11.33
2 Miami UK Continent UK Continent PFAKDSZ 80 PFAKD10 95.00 TDACD00 6.44
BAHAMAS
MEX I CO UK Continent US Atlantic Coast PFAKESZ 80 PFAKE10 82.50 TDACG00 10.89
Havana
Guadalajara CUBA Dirty Suezmax Tankers West of Suez (PGT page 1970)
DOM. REP.
JAMAICA
Mexico City BEL IZE HAI TI Worldscale
G UATEMALA HONDURA S West Africa US Gulf Coast PFAIASZ 130 PFAIA10 47.50 TDACV00 8.26
EL S AL V ADOR NICARAG U A UK Continent US Gulf Coast PFAHNSZ 135 PFAHN10 45.00 TDACH00 7.66
Caracas Mediterranean US Gulf Coast PFAHGSZ 135 PFAHG10 42.50 TDABS00 7.14
1 COSTA RICA
© 2018 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global Inc. All rights reserved. 5
LATIN AMERICAN WIRE APRIL 13, 2018
industry group. Refiners processed 34,014 b/d of imported presidential candidate Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador would build and complete two new refineries on Mexico’s Gulf
supplies in February, up from 2,981 b/d in the year-earlier be a mistake. “It is easy to freeze, but difficult to unfreeze Coast in three years at a total cost of $8 billion.
month, the Argentina Oil and Gas Institute, or IAPG, said in a prices. Buckle up your seatbelts because prices will go
monthly report. The imported crude helped offset a decline straight up later,” Coldwell said at a media briefing at an
NEWS BRIEFS
in the processing of domestic supplies, which fell to 469,622 event hosted by the Norwegian embassy in Mexico City. On
b/d from 495,889 b/d over the same period. Total crude Wednesday, Lopez Obrador pledged to freeze energy prices ■■Pemex missed by 16% its projection for additional oil
processing rose to 503,636 b/d in February from 498,870 b/d during the first three years of his administration. Coldwell production from wells drilled in the first quarter of 2018,
in February 2017, the data showed. The increase in runs of said the only way to decrease energy prices is by according to data released Thursday by Mexico’s National
imported crude comes after a decline in local production technological improvements and competition — improving Hydrocarbon Commissions (CNH). The state energy
from a peak of 847,000 b/d in 1998. Argentina produced an logistics and decreasing transportation costs. “Mexico is company gave CNH drilling notice for 51 wells in Q1, of
average of 481,000 b/d in the first two months of this year, seeking to transport more fuel using trains, which is much which it drilled and completed 39 development wells. These
or 43% less than the record, according to IAPG. lower than using trucks,” Coldwell said. The energy well do not require approval from CNH as they are under
secretary said the best way to soften the volatility of fuel production assignment titles. The new development wells
Financial News
prices is to maintain the current fiscal stimulus by changing resulted in additional production of 91,500 b/d of oil
the tax charged to fuels according to fluctuations in equivalent, according to CNH data, compared with a
Mexico energy chief slams Obrador pricing
international fuel prices. “You can absorb volatility without projection of 109,00 b/d. Pemex’s overall oil output during
Mexico’s Energy Secretary Pedro Joaquin Coldwell said having to manipulate the market or incur in expensive the quarter slid to 1.837 million b/d in March from 1.938
Friday the plan to freeze energy prices espoused by leading subsidies,” Coldwell said. Lopez Obrador said he would million b/d in January.
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