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VOL. SCF NO.103 AHMEDABAD, SATURDAY JULY 14, 2018 FREE REPORT
Worldwide Cotton Market Showing Upward Trend inspite of USA Tariff Trade War with China. Recently
WASDE published Monthly Cotton Production, Supply and Ending Stock data and according to latest
estimates Ending Stock being Lower in China since year 2014 and China Consumption will Increase for
2018-19 Season.
In 2018-19 Seaon Worldwide Main Cotton Consumer Country expecting good demand.
As per Survey All India Cotton Bales Stock COTTON VARIETY SPOT RATES
Estimated at 40-45 Lacs Bales with Ginners, (FOB INDIAN PORT) (USC/LBS)
Period in India.
MCU 5 31 MM 93.50 USC
VOL. SCF NO.103 AHMEDABAD, SATURDAY JULY 14, 2018 FREE REPORT
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Punjab 2.85
Haryana 6.65
Rajasthan 5.61
Gujarat 11.44
Maharashtra 19.57
Madhya Pradesh 4.87
Telangana 12.57
Andhra Pradesh 0.79
Karnataka 2.22
Tamilndau 0.032
Orissa 0.076
Others 0.172
Total Sowing 66.85
Total Cotton Sowing Area Project at 122.35 Lakh Hectares
VOL. SCF NO.103 AHMEDABAD, SATURDAY JULY 14, 2018 FREE REPORT
ALL INDIA COTTON VARIERTY LATEST PRICE UPDATES (AS PER CAI)
VOL. SCF NO.103 AHMEDABAD, SATURDAY JULY 14, 2018 FREE REPORT
INTERNATIONAL INDENTING AGENCY FOR COTTON, COTTON YARN AND TEXTILE WASTE
CALL : +91- 92272 00704 / 81600 36673 TELE : +91-79-29704899 EMAIL : ctigroup2017@gmail.com
WORLDWIDE COTTON MARKET REPORT
PUBLISHED BY : TUSHAR SHETH, SHANKAR 6 COTTON FIBERS PVT. LIMITED
VOL. SCF NO.103 AHMEDABAD, SATURDAY JULY 14, 2018 FREE REPORT
VOL. SCF NO.103 AHMEDABAD, SATURDAY JULY 14, 2018 FREE REPORT
14 July (Day1): Heavy to very heavy rain with extremely heavy falls at isolated places very likely over
Gujarat state; Heavy rain at a few places with very heavy rain at isolated places very likely over Konkan
& Goa; heavy to very heavy rain at isolated places over West Uttar Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Odisha,
Madhya Maharashtra, Telangana and South Interior Karnataka; heavy rain at a few places over Coastal
Karnataka & Kerala and heavy rain at isolated places over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura,
Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, East Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh,
Vidarbha and Tamilnadu.
15 July (Day 2): Heavy to very heavy rain at a few places with extremely heavy falls at isolated places
very likely over interior Odisha and Konkan & Goa; Heavy to very heavy rain with extremely heavy falls
at isolated places over Gujarat region; Heavy rain at a few places with very heavy rain at isolated places
very likely over Telangana; heavy to very heavy rain at isolated places over East Madhya Pradesh,
Saurashtra, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Maharashtra and South Interior Karnataka; heavy rain at a
few places over Coastal Karnataka & Kerala and heavy rain at isolated places over Assam & Meghalaya,
Gangetic West Bengal, West Uttar Pradesh, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura,
Uttarakhand, East Rajasthan, West Madhya Pradesh, Marathwada, North Interior Karnataka and
Tamilnadu.
16 July (Day 3): Heavy to very heavy rain at a few places with extremely heavy falls at isolated places
very likely over Madhya Maharashtra, Vidarbha and Konkan & Goa; Heavy to very heavy rain with
extremely heavy falls at isolated places over Gujarat region; Heavy rain at a few places with very heavy
rain at isolated places very likely over Coastal Karnataka, Marathwada & Telangana; heavy to very
heavy rain at isolated places over Madhya Pradesh, Saurashtra & Kutch and South Interior
Karnataka and heavy rain at isolated places over Assam & Meghalaya, Odisha, Chhattisgarh, North
Interior Karnataka and Kerala.
17 July (Day 4): Heavy to very heavy rain at a few places with extremely heavy falls at isolated places
likely over Gujarat state and Konkan & Goa; Heavy rain at a few places with very heavy rain at
isolated places likely over Coastal Karnataka; heavy to very heavy rain at isolated places over Madhya
Maharashtra & South Interior Karnataka and heavy rain at isolated places over East
Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Marathwada and Kerala.
18 July (Day 5): Heavy rain at a few places with very heavy rain at isolated places likely over Konkan &
Goa ; heavy to very heavy rain at isolated places over Gujarat state, Kerala and Coastal & South Interior
Karnataka and heavy rain at isolated places over Madhya Maharashtra.
INTERNATIONAL INDENTING AGENCY FOR COTTON, COTTON YARN AND TEXTILE WASTE
CALL : +91- 92272 00704 / 81600 36673 TELE : +91-79-29704899 EMAIL : ctigroup2017@gmail.com
WORLDWIDE COTTON MARKET REPORT
PUBLISHED BY : TUSHAR SHETH, SHANKAR 6 COTTON FIBERS PVT. LIMITED
VOL. SCF NO.103 AHMEDABAD, SATURDAY JULY 14, 2018 FREE REPORT
VOL. SCF NO.103 AHMEDABAD, SATURDAY JULY 14, 2018 FREE REPORT
Vietnam is the world’s fastest-growing market for cotton. This strong demand has spurred
opportunities for greater U.S. exports. U.S. market share in Vietnam has grown to more than
half from around a third in only 3 years. Burgeoning imports of U.S. cotton are expected to
underpin Vietnam’s record 2018/19 consumption and to surpass projections for 2017/18
record imports and use. New and existing foreign investment continues to flow into
Vietnam’s spinning mills, due to the country’s low-cost environment relative to Japan and
South Korea. A major contributing factor has been Vietnam’s yarn exports, particularly to the
world’s largest yarn importer – China – which accounts for around half of the country’s yarn
production.
China and other foreign exporters (e.g., India and Pakistan) continue to be displaced as
Vietnam’s yarn exports to China practically quintupled compared with 2012/13, signifying
the expanding link between these countries’ textile industries. Expectations for expanded
trade support record spinning in addition to greater cotton imports, especially those from
the United States.
Vietnam was the leading destination for U.S. cotton exports in 2016/17 (and 2017/18 year-to-
date), as cotton was the most valuable U.S. agricultural export to the country during the
same period, accounting for over 40 percent of total agricultural export value. This has
continued in 2017/18 as evidence by record U.S. exports to Vietnam from August to June.
Vietnam’s prowess as the projected second-largest importer in 2017/18 and 2018/19 has
helped propel 2017/18 U.S. exports even higher this month, reaching the highest level in over
a decade.
FOR LETTER OF CREDIT (LC) DISCOUNTING, PACKING CREDIT (PRE & POST SHIPMENT)
CALL : +91- 92272 00704 (TUSHAR SHETH) / 81600 36673 Tele : +91-79-29704899 / 40307878
WORLDWIDE COTTON MARKET REPORT
PUBLISHED BY : TUSHAR SHETH, SHANKAR 6 COTTON FIBERS PVT. LIMITED
VOL. SCF NO.103 AHMEDABAD, SATURDAY JULY 14, 2018 FREE REPORT
(SOURCE : USDA)
FOR LETTER OF CREDIT (LC) DISCOUNTING, PACKING CREDIT (PRE & POST SHIPMENT)
CALL : +91- 92272 00704 (TUSHAR SHETH) / 81600 36673 Tele : +91-79-29704899 / 40307878
WORLDWIDE COTTON MARKET REPORT
PUBLISHED BY : TUSHAR SHETH, SHANKAR 6 COTTON FIBERS PVT. LIMITED
VOL. SCF NO.103 AHMEDABAD, SATURDAY JULY 14, 2018 FREE REPORT
VOL. SCF NO.103 AHMEDABAD, SATURDAY JULY 14, 2018 FREE REPORT
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The U.S. 2018/19 cotton projections show lower production, exports, and stocks compared with last month.
The 1.0-million-bale decrease in the crop projection is due to higher
expected abandonment based on current conditions. Beginning stocks are 200,000 bales lower due to an
increase in 2017/18 exports. 2018/19 exports are reduced 500,000 bales based on lower supplies and
increased foreign competition. With no change in domestic consumption, 2018/19 ending stocks are
projected at 4.0 million bales, down 700,000 bales from the June estimate and unchanged from the revised
2017/18 level. The midpoint of the projected range of the marketingyear-average price is raised 5 cents
from last month, to 75 cents per pound.
Historical revisions to China’s consumption back to 2014/15 account for most of a 3.3-million-bale decline
in 2018/19 world beginning stocks. World 2018/19 consumption is 1.6 million bales higher than in June, as
the revisions to China’s consumption estimates carry through into the 2018/19 projection year with a 1.0-
million-bale increase. Consumption forecasts are also higher for Bangladesh, Pakistan, Brazil, and Vietnam.
World production is projected 290,000 bales lower than in June, as reduced U.S. and Australian production
more than offsets increases for Brazil, India, and Mexico. World trade is projected 165,000 bales higher this
month as lower U.S. exports are more than offset by increases by Brazil and China. Ending stocks are 5.2
million bales lower than in June, with the largest declines in China (4.6 million) and the United States.
India’s and Brazil’s ending stocks are forecast higher.
Exports of 257,400 RB were down 38 percent from the previous week and 34 percent from the prior 4-
week average. The primary destinations were Vietnam (68,700 RB), Turkey (49,400 RB), Indonesia (32,200
RB), China (23,400 RB), and Mexico (18,400 RB). Net sales of Pima totaling 1,900 RB for 2017/2018 were up
82 percent from the previous week, but down 30 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases were
reported for China (1,700 RB, switched from Hong Kong), Thailand (1,100 RB), Bangladesh (500 RB), and
South Korea (500 RB, switched from Vietnam).
Reductions were for Hong Kong (1,700 RB). For 2018/2019, net sales of 1,900 RB were reported for India
(1,300 RB), China (400 RB), and Egypt (200 RB). Exports of 17,200 RB were up 43 percent from the
previous week and 66 percent from the prior 4-week average.
The primary destinations were China (4,900 RB), India (2,600 RB), Mexico (1,800 RB), Thailand (1,500 RB),
and Turkey (1,300 RB).
WORLDWIDE COTTON MARKET REPORT
PUBLISHED BY : TUSHAR SHETH, SHANKAR 6 COTTON FIBERS PVT. LIMITED
VOL. SCF NO.103 AHMEDABAD, SATURDAY JULY 14, 2018 FREE REPORT
This week USDA releases its monthly Supply/Demand report which will be the last one
before beginning the 2019/19 marketing season. Minor adjustments can be expected this
month; however, the August report will give detailed state by state analysis and the first
meaningful estimate for next season’s crop. In the meantime, we continue to take note of
some poor conditions, particularly in Texas, Oklahoma and North Carolina. Texas is rated at
only 21% good to excellent. Additionally, 42% of the crop is in the category of very poor to
poor. It is also worthy to note that conditions in Oklahoma and North Carolina are
respectively rated 25% and 21% poor or worse. Overall, there is a big difference to last year’s
condition report. Only 41% of total US is in the good to excellent condition, whereas last year
same time conditions were 61% good to excellent. Due to the lingering drought conditions it
is unlikely that conditions in Texas and Oklahoma will show much improvement, as it appears
that it is too late for any moisture to be of much help.
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VOL. SCF NO.103 AHMEDABAD, SATURDAY JULY 14, 2018 FREE REPORT
China ZCE cotton futures market bounced off the upper end of the 16’000-15’500 support
area (basis most active Jan19 contract) and is currently testing the former support/new
resistance at 16’650. A confirmed break above would set the first key resistance at 17’240 as
the next minimum upside target.
Now that the trade war between the USA and China has started, the market has become
quiet and ZCE seems without clear direction. On the other hand, the RMB has weakened
further making cotton imports more ex-pensive which is another limiting factor to consider
foreign cotton. The release of the SSD quota is further delayed to about mid-September due
to administrative issues. Sales of reserve cotton continue smooth at a pace of about 50% of
the offered volume. Financial constraints force mills to only consider cotton for near by
delivery.
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Report Published By : Shankar 6 Cotton Fibers Pvt. Limited, Gujarat, India