Professional Documents
Culture Documents
A Ro u g h S t a r t fo r M a rket s
• Equity markets started the year with extremely strong January performance, with the S&P 500 Index posting a monthly return of
5.73%. January was followed by a massive sell-off at the beginning of February, and the market then moved sideways through
the end of the quarter. The S&P 500 Index fell -0.76% for the first quarter, while the Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate Bond Index
returned -1.46% during the same period. The HFRI Fund Weighted Composite, the HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index, and the
Wilshire Liquid Alternatives Index returned 0.35%, -1.02%, and -0.99%, respectively.
• The best performing Wilshire Liquid Alternative sub-strategy index during the quarter was the Wilshire Liquid Alternative Event
Driven Index, which ended the first quarter up 0.21%, while all other sub-strategy indices posted negative returns.
• The worst performing sub-strategy index during the quarter was the Wilshire Liquid Alternative Equity Hedge Index, which ended
the quarter down -2.28%, underperforming the HFRX Equity Hedge Index’s 1.17% quarterly return. The Index was negatively
impacted by approximately 170 basis points due to events surrounding the LJM Preservation and Growth Fund, who’s option
strategy suffered extreme losses during February as volatility spiked.
• During the quarter, all sub-strategy indices saw net inflows. Relative value funds had the largest net inflows of $7.5bn, which
are also the largest net quarterly inflows to this space since the inception of Wilshire Liquid Alternative indices. The equity
hedge and multi-strategy spaces continued to see meaningful net inflows, and the event driven and global macro spaces finally
saw small net inflows after consecutive quarters of outflows.
• Q1 2018 saw two new liquid alternatives fund launches and 24 liquidations. The decrease in fund count and increase in net
inflows is consistent with the theme of industry maturation.
As investors continue to utilize liquid alternatives in their portfolio construction, Wilshire Associates hopes to provide more
clarity and transparency to the broader investment community regarding the evolution and growth of this industry. Our
quarterly and annual presentations will help provide key highlights and insights into the asset changes and capital flows of
this space. The ultimate goal of this piece is to help deliver to investors the meaningful information necessary to stay
updated on key industry activities, major players, and also to provide investors with Wilshire’s thought framework in
understanding and measuring the relative performance of these various strategies to their peer groups.
TA B L E O F C O N T E N T S
Q1 2018 Overview pgs. 4-9
Index Performance
Quarterly Commentary
Universe Overview
Universe Summary
Industry Evolution
Activity Highlights pgs. 10-15
Top 20 Funds
Universe Activity
Capital Flows
Categorization Matrix
Wilshire Liquid Alternatives Index pgs. 16-22
10 Year Returns
10 Year Drawdowns
Index Percentiles
Manager Count
Strategy Weights
Wilshire Manager Coverage Process pgs. 23-24
P E R FO R M A N C E (AS OF 3-31-2018)
Wilshire Wilshire
Wilshire Liquid Wilshire Liquid
HFRI Fund Bloomberg Wilshire Liquid Liquid Liquid
Wilshire Liquid HFRX Global Alternative Alternative
Weighted S&P 500 Barclays U.S. Alternative Alternative Alternative
Alternative Hedge Fund Equity Hedge Multi-Strategy
Composite Index Aggregate Event Driven Global Macro Relative
IndexSM Index Index SM IndexSM
Index Bond Index Index IndexSM Value IndexSM
Mar. 2018 -0.40% -0.25% -0.98% -2.54% 0.64% -0.95% -0.70% -0.31% -0.39% -0.05%
Feb. 2018 -2.16% -1.73% -2.42% -3.69% -0.95% -3.77% 0.05% -4.04% -2.16% -0.61%
Jan. 2018 1.59% 2.37% 2.45% 5.73% -1.15% 2.52% 0.87% 2.74% 1.54% 0.63%
Qtr. Return -0.99% 0.35% -1.02% -0.76% -1.46% -2.28% 0.21% -1.72% -1.04% -0.01%
YTD -0.99% 0.35% -1.02% -0.76% -1.46% -2.28% 0.21% -1.72% -1.04% -0.01%
1 Yr. Return 2.56% 6.29% 3.20% 13.99% 1.20% 3.12% 2.20% 1.32% 3.89% 2.35%
3 Yr. Return1 0.52% 3.58% 0.51% 10.78% 1.20% 0.68% 0.48% -2.15% 0.69% 1.44%
5 Yr. Return1 1.29% 4.27% 1.29% 13.31% 1.82% 1.87% 0.66% 0.84% 1.62% 1.31%
10 Yr. Return1 1.39% 3.62% -0.24% 9.49% 3.63% 0.95% 2.41% -0.06% 1.11% 2.89%
Cumulative
21.23% 61.34% 4.86% 166.79% 64.06% 16.40% 35.13% 7.94% 15.67% 42.86%
Return2
Standard
3.86% 5.89% 5.69% 14.37% 3.20% 3.96% 3.23% 4.71% 5.76% 4.81%
Deviation1,2
1: Annualized, 2: Monthly Returns from Jul 2006 to Mar. 2018 displayed in US Dollar (USD)
Returns provided for each Wilshire Index include data for periods prior to when each Wilshire Index was in active production, using the methodology applied to each index at the time it was created. Therefore certain
returns reflect back-tested calculations. Back tested returns are hypothetical in nature, do not represent actual performance, and may reflect the application of the index methodology with the benefit of hindsight. In
general, all index returns shown do not represent the results of the actual trading of investable assets. Historical returns are not indicative of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.
P E R FO R M A N C E (AS OF 3-31-2018)
Q1 2018 Performance Highlights
• The Wilshire Liquid Alternative Event Driven Index, which includes credit,
merger arbitrage and special situations funds, ended the first quarter up
0.21%. Credit managers focused on taking credit risk in floating rate
products such as leveraged loans and structured credit outperformed as
credit spreads remained tight and interest rates rose. Credit managers with
duration neutral and short duration portfolios also outperformed. Merger
arbitrage strategies were positive as a group and provided non-correlated
returns as broader equity markets were volatile.
P E R FO R M A N C E (AS OF 3-31-2018)
Q1 2018 Performance Highlights Continued..
• The Wilshire Liquid Alternative Relative Value Index, which includes credit,
convertible arbitrage and volatility funds, finished Q1 down -0.01%. The 10-
year U.S. Treasury yield increased from 2.4%, at the beginning of the year
to 2.94% in mid-February, before closing out the quarter at 2.74%. This
large and sudden move was due to inflation concerns after January’s CPI
growth numbers surprised to the upside. After February CPI numbers were
released, those concerned subsided a bit. The potential “trade war” fear
with China led to further uncertainty and volatility. Credit and multi-strategy
managers who had risk-on positions took advantage of a strong January
only to give most of it back in February. Many of the credit strategies were
intentionally underweight duration and therefore did not feel the negative
impact of the sudden rate rise.
U N I V E R S E OV E RV I E W (AS OF 3-31-2018)
Liquid Alts Universe Equity Hedge Global Macro Relative Value Event Driven Multi-Strategy
Total number of Liquid Alt Funds 494 204 73 84 35 98
% of universe (# of funds) 100% 41% 15% 17% 7% 20%
©2018 Wilshire Associates. For Use with Financial Advisors Only. Note: *We reclassified AQR Alternative Risk Premia R6, AQR Style Premia Alternative LV R6 and AQR Style Premia
Alternative from Global Macro category to Multi-Strategy in Q1 2018, which resulted in a meaningful AUM change in 7
these two categories.
Q1 2018 Liquid Alternatives
U N I V E R S E S U M M A RY
New Fund Launches and Closures Key Asset Level Changes
(Through Additions, Liquidations, & Organic
• 2 new liquid alternative funds were launched
during the quarter Growth/Loss)
o 1 relative value fund • $9.0bn increase in assets of the Liquid Alternative
o 1 multi-strategy fund Universe
• 3 funds were reclassified into the universe o $0.1bn increase in equity hedge
• 3 funds were reclassified out of universe o $7.6bn increase in relative value
o $6.7bn increase in multi-strategy*
• 24 funds were liquidated
o $0.1bn increase in event driven
o $5.6bn decrease increase in global macro*
Equity Hedge
17% 15%
5% 25% Global Macro 5% 25%
Relative Value
14% 16%
Event Driven 39%
39%
Multi-Strategy
©2018 Wilshire Associates. For Use with Financial Advisors Only. Note: *We reclassified AQR Alternative Risk Premia R6, AQR Style Premia Alternative LV R6 and AQR Style Premia
Alternative from Global Macro category to Multi-Strategy in Q1 2018, which resulted in a meaningful AUM change in
these two categories.
8
Evolution of the Industry
U N I V E R S E F U N D C O U N T A N D AU M
Universe Activity Commentary
• The liquid alternative universe saw a sizable drop
Wilshire Universe Trends on Fund Count and AUM in fund count during Q1 2018, continuing a period
$400,000 600 of fund count decreases beginning Q1 2016. Only
two new funds were launched in Q1. Of the 24
$350,000 fund liquidations, 8 were equity hedge, 2 were
500 event driven, 6 were global macro, 5 were multi-
$300,000 strategy and 3 were relative value.
400
$250,000 • In terms of AUM, universe assets increased by
$9bn in Q1 2018, mainly through net inflows as
$200,000 300 the Wilshire Liquid Alternative indices posted
mostly negative returns. New entrants (comprised
$150,000 of new fund launches and pre-existing funds that
200 were reclassified as Liquid Alternative during the
$100,000 quarter) brought in $0.9bn, while liquidations
created outflows of $1.8bn. Net capital flows
100
$50,000 totaled $11.9bn, and organic growth contributed
negatively.
$- 0
• The decrease in fund count and increase in AUM
is consist with the theme of industry maturation.
Universe AUM ($ Millions) Total Number Liquid Alt Funds
A S S E T S U N D E R M A N AG E M E N T
Q1 2018 Q4 2017
Top 20 by AUM Q1 2018 Q1 2018 AUM Q4 2017 AUM Change
Ranking Ranking
BlackRock Strategic Income Opportunities Relative Value $34.4bn $31.5bn $2.9bn 1 1
FPA Crescent Equity Hedge $16.9bn $17.5bn -$0.6bn 2 2
JP Morgan Strategic Income Opportunities Relative Value $12.0bn $12.2bn -$0.2bn 3 3
AQR Managed Futures Strategy Global Macro $10.7bn $11.1bn -$0.4bn 4 4
Gateway Equity Hedge $8.3bn $8.5bn -$0.2bn 5 5
PIMCO All Asset All Authority Relative Value $7.9bn $8.1bn -$0.2bn 6 6
John Hancock Strategic Income Opps Relative Value $7.8bn $8.0bn -$0.2bn 7 7
Boston Partners Long/Short Research Equity Hedge $7.1bn $7.0bn $0.1bn 8 8
Guggenheim Macro Opportunities Relative Value $6.9bn $6.5bn $0.4bn 9 9
AQR Long-Short Equity Equity Hedge $6.1bn $5.5bn $0.6bn 10 11
Blackstone Alternative Multi-Strategy Multi-Strategy $6.0bn $5.3bn $0.7bn 11 14
Eaton Vance Global Macro Absolute Return Global Macro $5.6bn $5.4bn $0.2bn 12 12
Wells Fargo Absolute Return Multi-Strategy $5.6bn $5.7bn -$0.1bn 13 10
Calamos Market Neutral Income Relative Value $5.2bn $4.8bn $0.5bn 14 16
AQR Style Premia Alternative Multi-Strategy $5.2bn $4.7bn $0.5bn 15 18
Goldman Sachs Strategic Income Relative Value $4.6bn $5.4bn -$0.7bn 16 13
Eaton Vance Global Macro Abs Ret Advtg* Global Macro $4.6bn $3.9bn $0.8bn 17 n/a
Diamond Hill Long-Short Equity Hedge $4.6bn $4.8bn -$0.2bn 18 17
John Hancock Global Absolute Ret Strategy Global Macro $4.5bn $4.8bn -$0.3bn 19 15
T. Rowe Price Dynamic Global Bond* Relative Value $4.3bn $2.2bn $2.1bn 20 n/a
Source: Morningstar, Universe as defined by Wilshire, 3-31-2018
Note: *Eaton Vance Global Macro Absolute Return Advantage and T. Rowe Price Dynamic Global Bond became new entrants into the Top 20.
Metropolitan West Unconstrained Bond and Columbia Strategic Income exited the Top 20 in Q1 2018.
L A RG E ST AU M C H A N G E S
Top 5 Largest Increases in AUM Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Change* Strategy
T. Rowe Price Dynamic Global Bond $4.3bn $2.2bn $2.1bn Relative Value
Eaton Vance Global Macro Abs Ret Advtg $4.6bn $3.9bn $0.8bn Global Macro
Q 1 2 018 F U N D F LOWS
Top 5 Funds by Inflows Net Inflows Strategy
Eaton Vance Glbl Macro Abs Ret Advtg $0.8bn Global Macro
C A P I TA L F LOWS
Liquid Alternatives Universe Highlights – Q1 2018
Fund Flows during Q1 2018
• All sub-strategy indices saw net inflows during the quarter.
The relative value, equity hedge and multi-strategy spaces
There were approximately $11.9bn in
continued to see meaningful net inflows, and the event
net inflows from the liquid alternatives
driven and global macro spaces finally saw net inflows after
universe:
consecutive quarters of outflows.
• $7.5bn net inflows from relative
value funds • BlackRock Strategic Income continued to see large net
inflows of $2.9bn in Q1, the largest net inflows in the
• $2.0bn net inflows from multi- universe. T. Rowe Price Dynamic Global Bond and Navigator
strategy funds Tactical Fixed Income also had large net inflows in Q1,
$2.1bn each.
• $1.5bn net inflows from equity
hedge funds • Multi-Manager Directional Alt Strategy had the largest net
outflows of $0.8bn in Q1. Goldman Sachs Strategic Income
• $0.1bn net inflows from event Fund continued to see large net outflows of $0.78bn during
driven funds the quarter. FPA Crescent, which is the second largest fund
in the universe, saw significant outflows of $0.4bn.
• $0.8bn net inflows from global
macro funds
Q UA RT E R LY C AT E G O R I Z AT I O N M AT R I X
(AS OF 3-31 -2018)
W I L S H I R E L I Q U I D A LT E R N AT I V E S I N D E X S M
4-1-2008 to 3-31-2018
W I L S H I R E L I Q U I D A LT E R N AT I V E S I N D E X S M
4-1-2008 to 3-31-2018
BY ST R AT E GY (AS OF 3-31-2018)
Percentiles Equity Hedge Event Driven Global Macro Multi-Strat Relative Value
High 17.8 9.1 13.1 29.1 10.2
5th 15.3 8.2 7.7 10.5 6.6
1 Year 25th 9.6 3.8 3.5 5.3 4.2
Return Median 5.7 2.8 1.4 2.7 2.8
75th 1.4 1.3 -2.0 0.7 1.3
95th -3.9 -2.3 -7.4 -4.5 -1.7
Low -13.0 -9.0 -28.7 -6.5 -42.4
Percentiles Equity Hedge Event Driven Global Macro Multi-Strat Relative Value
High 15.4 9.9 32.8 14.8 29.1
1 Year 5th 10.5 9.2 17.9 9.5 5.5
Std. 25th 7.6 3.5 12.8 4.7 2.4
Median 5.8 2.6 8.8 3.4 1.6
Dev.
75th 4.6 2.1 4.8 2.6 1.1
95th 2.7 1.2 2.3 1.5 0.6
Low 1.2 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.5
Percentiles* Equity Hedge Event Driven Global Macro Multi-Strat Relative Value
High 2.3 4.5 4.5 4.1 11.3
5th 1.7 3.5 2.5 2.1 2.4
1 Year 25th 1.2 1.4 2.0 1.2 1.2
Beta* Median 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8
75th 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.4
95th 0.0 0.1 -0.4 0.2 -0.1
Low -1.7 -0.9 -1.6 -1.4 -19.1
Peer Count 183 32 73 82 81
*Note: The peer groups’ beta percentiles are with respect to their sub-strategy indices.
Returns provided for each Wilshire Index include data for periods prior to when each Wilshire Index was in active production, using the methodology applied to each index at the time it was created. Therefore certain
returns reflect back-tested calculations. Back tested returns are hypothetical in nature, do not represent actual performance, and may reflect the application of the index methodology with the benefit of hindsight. In
general, all index returns shown do not represent the results of the actual trading of investable assets. Historical returns are not indicative of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.
BY ST R AT E GY (AS OF 3-31-2018)
Percentiles Equity Hedge Event Driven Global Macro Multi-Strat Relative Value
High 13.4 10.8 7.8 11.9 6.3
5th 8.6 8.9 4.5 6.7 5.1
3 Year 25th 5.8 3.9 2.0 2.7 3.8
Return Median 3.2 2.0 -0.7 1.2 2.6
75th 0.7 1.5 -3.4 -0.2 1.9
95th -4.4 0.0 -9.1 -2.6 0.6
Low -13.7 -10.1 -14.8 -4.7 -37.2
Percentiles Equity Hedge Event Driven Global Macro Multi-Strat Relative Value
High 19.6 14.6 25.6 9.9 23.3
3 Year 5th 12.8 12.8 15.9 8.3 7.7
Std. 25th 9.3 5.5 11.2 4.9 3.7
Median 7.4 3.8 8.6 3.9 3.0
Dev.
75th 5.5 2.5 5.9 3.3 2.3
95th 3.8 1.8 3.7 2.7 1.4
Low 1.9 1.5 2.0 1.2 0.9
Percentiles* Equity Hedge Event Driven Global Macro Multi-Strat Relative Value
High 2.6 3.4 3.7 2.3 2.8
5th 2.0 3.2 2.4 2.0 1.6
3 Year 25th 1.4 1.2 1.8 1.0 1.1
Beta Median 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8
75th 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5
95th -0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.2 0.2
Low -2.4 -2.2 -0.3 -1.0 -5.0
Peer Count 129 27 59 65 69
*Note: The peer groups’ beta percentiles are with respect to their sub-strategy indices.
Returns provided for each Wilshire Index include data for periods prior to when each Wilshire Index was in active production, using the methodology applied to each index at the time it was created. Therefore certain
returns reflect back-tested calculations. Back tested returns are hypothetical in nature, do not represent actual performance, and may reflect the application of the index methodology with the benefit of hindsight. In
general, all index returns shown do not represent the results of the actual trading of investable assets. Historical returns are not indicative of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.
W I L S H I R E L I Q U I D A LT E R N AT I V E S I N D E X S M
600
500
84
400
Number of Constituents
90
300
79
35
200
100 198
0
Dec-99
Jun-00
Dec-00
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
Jun-13
Dec-13
Jun-14
Dec-14
Jun-15
Dec-15
Jun-16
Dec-16
Jun-17
Dec-17
Equity Hedge Event Driven Global Macro Multi-Strategy Relative Value
W I L S H I R E L I Q U I D A LT E R N AT I V E S I N D E X S M
100%
90%
38%
80%
70%
60%
15%
50%
40% 16%
30%
5%
20%
10% 25%
0%
Jun-00
Dec-00
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
Jun-13
Dec-13
Jun-14
Dec-14
Jun-15
Dec-15
Jun-16
Dec-16
Jun-17
Dec-17
Equity Hedge Event Driven Global Macro Multi-Strategy Relative Value
M A N AG E R C OV E R AG E P RO C E S S
Research Coverage Model
Wilshire
Focus Lists
Portfolios
Coverage is driven by the following criteria:
C O N TAC T U S
I M P O RTA N T I N FO R M AT I O N
Wilshire Funds Management is a business unit of Wilshire Associates Incorporated (“Wilshire®”). This material represents the current opinion of
Wilshire Funds Management and is based on sources believed to be reliable. Information and opinions are as of the date indicated, and are
subject to change without notice. Samples provided are for demonstration purposes only and are not to be relied upon. Wilshire shall not be
liable (including for indirect, consequential, or incidental damages) for any error, omission, or inaccuracy of the information contained herein or
for results obtained from its use.
The Wilshire Indexes are calculated and distributed by Wilshire Associates Incorporated ("Wilshire"). The indices do not represent an investment.
It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Exposure to an asset class represented by an index may be available through investable
instruments derived from that index. Wilshire makes no representations regarding the advisability of investing in investment products based on
the Wilshire Indexes not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by Wilshire. Index returns do not reflect payment of certain sales charges or fees
an investor may pay to purchase the securities underlying the Index or investment vehicles intended to track the performance of the Index. The
imposition of these fees and charges would cause actual performance of the securities/vehicles to be lower than the Index performance shown.
Inclusion of a company in the Wilshire Indexes does not in any way reflect an opinion of Wilshire on the investment merits of the company.
This material contains confidential and proprietary information of Wilshire Funds Management and is intended for the exclusive use of the
person to whom it is provided. It may not be disclosed, reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, to any other person or entity without prior
written permission from Wilshire Funds Management.
This material is intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an attempt to sell or solicit any Wilshire products or
services and should not be construed as legal, accounting, tax, investment, or other professional advice.
Wilshire® is a registered service mark of Wilshire Associates Incorporated, Santa Monica, California. All other trade names, trademarks, and/or
service marks are the property of their respective holders. Copyright © 2018 Wilshire Associates Incorporated. All rights reserved.
180437 E0718