You are on page 1of 4

Acquiring Cost Data for

Prefeasibility Studies // by Brad Terhune

Costs are an inherent aspect of any mining property, from acquisition


and exploration through development, operations, and beyond. They
often make or break projects and are typically the final stop before
“go/no go” development decisions are made. As such, I’m sure I
wouldn’t be venturing too far out on a limb to suggest that costs, in
some form or another, are one of the biggest topics of discussion in
the mining industry. And while it may be contrary to what one might
think, I might also suggest that the process for obtaining costs is one
of the least discussed topics in our industry.

As the title of this article implies, this editorial focusses heavily on the process of obtaining cost data for early
stage (pre-feasibility level) mine development projects. It attempts to address several questions that are
worthy of discussion between mine cost estimators. For example:

»» When should costs be obtained/considered?


»» How is the cost data to be utilized?
»» What costs are needed?
»» What accuracy is needed for costs to be useful to the estimator?
»» What hurdles must be overcome to obtain costs?
»» Are there specific strategies for obtaining cost data?

Note: a cost estimator may be someone dedicated to the task or it may be a mining engineer or
geologist responsible for development decisions related to the property.

how much will it cost? // brad terhune www.miningintelligence.com


Understand What Pre-feasibility Means
An obvious generic answer to when costs should be could be. Similarly, if much of your engineering work
obtained and considered might be “on-going”, but for is complete and of final feasibility detail (Feasibility
pre-feasibility costing the true answer is “when you Study, (FS)), you’ve waited too long and possibly sunk
have a measured and indicated resource”. Exploration unnecessary costs into the project. Figure 1, taken
stage properties or properties with only an inferred from a March 2015 PDAC presentation by the Ontario
resource do require cost considerations (Scoping or Securities Commission and the TSX, highlights the
Preliminary Economic Analysis (PEA)) but they are parameters for each study level.
still too speculative and provide only a hint of what

PRE-FEASIBILITY INPUT VS OUTPUT


INPUT

Mineral Maybe a little Expectation for Other misc. information


resource metallurgy? surface/UG operation (power supply, etc.)

OUTPUT

Mining method and pro- Generalized processing


Reserves Preliminary equipment and
duction levels estimated methods chosen
calculated labour levels
(trade-off studies) (trade-off studies)

Recommendations for further resource Recommendations for further mineral


Estimated development costs based on
driling to better understand the deposit exploration to increase resources on the
the above
and to upgrade resource categories whole

FIGURE 1

While the comments above may seem rudimentary If you will notice, I have indicated that pre-feasibility
or common knowledge, the reality is that many in our is contingent upon the amount of scientific data in
industry do not fully understand the concept of pre- hand, not engineering data. Generally speaking, when
feasibility. It is the Author’s opinion that pre-feasibility entering a pre-feasibility level study, your project will
is the point at which you have enough scientific have had very little engineering completed. This is
data in hand that you can safely say “I’ve really got important to remember because the input data is all
something here!” you will have to work with when we talk about the
hurdles that must be overcome to obtain costs.

how much will it cost? // brad terhune www.miningintelligence.com


CRITERIA TECHNICAL & ECONOMIC STUDIES FIGURE 2

Study Preliminary Economic Prefeasibility Study Feasibility Study


Assessment (PEA) (PFS) (FS)

Concept WHAT IT COULD BE WHAT IT SHOULD BE WHAT IT WILL BE

Objective Early stage conceptual Realistic economic and Detailed study of how the mine
assessment of the potential engineering studies sufficient to will be built, used as the basis for
economic viability of mineral demonstrate economic viability a production decision
resources and establish mineral reserves

Cost Accuracy +/- 50% +/- 25% +/- 15%

Engineering <1% 1–5% 5–25%

Mineral Estimate Inputs Inferred/Indicated/Measured


Indicated & measured resources
Resources

Mineral Estimate Inferred/Indicated/Measured


Probable & Proven Reserves
Outputs Resources

Adapted from a March 2015 PDAC presentation by the Ontario Securities Commission and the TSX.

Hurdles to Obtaining Cost Data


The output side of a pre-feasibility level project trade-off studies for proposed mining and processing
provides insight as to what costs are needed and how methods. (refer to Figure 2) Unfortunately, one of
the costing data is utilized…i.e. for a pre-feasibility level the larger tasks encountered during a pre-feasibility
project, preliminary equipment lists and subsequent study is related to the process of obtaining costs for
development costs are derived based on the results of the needed equipment.

What hurdles exist for obtaining cost data?


The three largest hurdles for the cost estimator in an exploration or mining company are:

01. A lack of data to obtain a 02. Highly engineered and 03. The time involved to
reasonable quote. integrated systems. obtain the cost data.

As noted earlier, it is typical at the pre-feasibility level overall costs from ‘off-the-shelf’ component prices.
to have very little engineering data available. For In fact, most manufacturers of complex processing
example, while you may know that you have a surface equipment will not provide component costs at the
copper project that requires loaders and trucks pre-feasibility level.
followed by crushing, milling and flotation, you may
not have enough metallurgical work completed to
The time involved to obtain cost data can be
know how fine the material must be ground or how
substantial…on the order of weeks and months given
the flotation circuit needs to be configured for the best
the strategies that must be employed to mitigate the
recovery of all by-products. This lack of data becomes
first two hurdles noted earlier. The more complex the
an issue when you call equipment manufactures to
project, the more time is needed to prepare quote
obtain budget quotes for their products.
requests and gather quotes. Time is money.

This issue of a general lack of data is compounded


by the highly engineered and integrated systems we
have in the mining industry today. This is particularly
true for the processing side of the equation where the
cost estimator may no longer be able to simply derive

how much will it cost? // brad terhune www.miningintelligence.com


Procurement Strategy
Given the hurdles outlined above, the best procurement strategy is one that aims to simplify quotes and to
mitigate the general lack of data available to you at the pre-feasibility stage. Simply put…

»» The overall cost accuracy »» Manufacturers and suppliers »» Included ancillary equipment
of pre-feasibility level may often request a long may be handled in a manner
development projects is list of engineering or similar to installation costs.
typically +/- 25%. This is material specifications in »» To minimize the time required
an important aspect to order to provide a quote. to obtain cost data, the cost
consider when contacting In the absence of detailed estimator may need to enlist
manufactures and suppliers metallurgical and/or co-workers to process quote
for equipment pricing because engineering data for early pre- requests or to subscribe to
firm, detailed quotes are not feasibility stage projects, the mining cost databases. Mining
needed. Budget or list pricing cost estimator may be required Intelligence’s cost estimating
is adequate. For example, to make assumptions to fill tools and data can greatly
it is satisfactory to receive a in any information gaps…e.g. reduce the amount of time
quote of $9,500,000.00 for a feed and outflow particle required to obtain costing
complete ball mill. A price of sizes for a ball mill or conveyor information.
$9,620,423.25 is not necessary. length from the in- pit primary
»» If possible, request ‘base’ crusher to the secondary
machine pricing or pricing that crusher at another location.
reflects commonly configured »» Installation costs may be
pieces. Consider which specs included in the pricing, but it
are most important to you is often preferred that these
and eliminate other options. costs be provided as a separate
Base machine pricing levels line-item or as a function of
the playing field between the capital investment…e.g.
competing suppliers and installation costs are 10% of
simplifies the quote. The capital or installation costs are
number you receive will be 2x capital.
more than sufficient for pre-
feasibility work.

Summary
The acquisition of cost data for pre-feasibility level. Moreover, a well identified procurement
level mine development studies is not simple. strategy is recommended to overcome the
A thorough understanding of the three primary hurdles associated with the acquisition of costs,
study levels, PEA, Pre-Feasibility, and Feasibility, namely the general lack of project specific data,
is required to identify the types and accuracy of the highly complex nature of modern mining and
costing data that are appropriate for the study processing systems, and time.

costs@miningintelligence.com +1 509 328 8023

how much will it cost? // brad terhune www.miningintelligence.com

You might also like