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There’s a lot of focus right now on short-term speculation in the cryptocurrency space. But at
some undefined future point, a reversal from speculation to value is going to happen. And
when it does, you’ll want to be in the right positions.
Investing exclusively in tokens with real world value creation is the philosophy that my crypto
hedge fund, General Crypto, is predicated on. Unless you’re a skilled day trader and don’t
mind incredible stress levels, it’s wise to buy-and-hold coins with game-changing value rather
than just jumping to and from the flavor of the week.
Analyzing the validity of that value isn’t easy. So I thought it would be interesting to hear what
some very smart people who dedicate themselves full-time to crypto are betting on in the
long-term.
Here are each of their top three picks that they intend to hold (and not decrease position
size) for at least the next two years, and why they believe in them so much.
Food for thought: there is estimated to be around 100 crypto hedge funds currently spinning
up in Q3 and Q4 2017. 100! Our fund was featured on Forbes as one of 15. This means a
massive on-ramp of institutional capital — the likes of which crypto has never seen before —
is about to be opened. And smart money is going to pick the smart cryptos. Here is what
myself and nine others think they are going to back.
Why am I bullish? The market size is as big as it gets (SWIFT moves $5 trillion USD per day),
the technology is already built (Ripple has been working on it since 2012), their team is world-
class, and nearly 100 banking partnerships are already in place with pilots running or about to
start. The CEO of SBI Holdings believes XRP will become the global standard in digital
currencies.
Bitcoin maximalists like saying that XRP is not a true crypto because it’s not decentralized.
The reality is Ripple is working towards making XRP even more decentralized than Bitcoin. It
could take a while, but they’re already off to a good start.
What some people miss about XRP is the timeline. Ripple stands to revolutionize the entire
banking industry. That’s not going to happen overnight. It will have its rallies and its steep
corrections, but I expect it to consistently go up. Don’t buy this one expecting big things to
happen as fast as other coins. (And don’t get cold feet when it drops half.) The key difference
is that XRP is predicated on an extremely strong use case, team, and technology. Be willing
to buy now and hold this token for minimally the next five years and I think you’ll see an
incredible return on investment. If you want a simple way to think about Ripple: XRP is going
to let us move money across borders in the same way that we move information across them
today. And that’s an astronomical upside.
Here’s a long article I wrote about XRP if you’re interested in knowing more.
FACTOM (FCT) — Factom offers the promise of immutable records. This could be huge for
the (trillion-dollar) mortgage industry, banks and audit records, retail with huge databases like
Target, studios with enormous catalogs of movies like Warner Bros., and governments for
historical documents. Factom’s competitions are currently bounded by only proving the
positive (e.g. “can we show X has existed in the chain?”), which would pertain to proof of
existence, integrity, ownership, etc. — which is limited for the overall problem they are trying
to solve. Factom can prove both the positive and the negative and see if a piece of
information didn’t exist at a certain period in time, or whether it’s the latest version. Factom
could change how major record keepers keep records and ensure eternal existence of all
records.
MONERO (XMR) — One of the original promises of Bitcoin was anonymity. It turns out it’s not
quite as anonymous as a lot of people initially think. While who owns a particular wallet
address is unknown, the transactions can be easily followed. So if your identity gets
associated with a wallet address, some analysis can essentially turn your transactions into
public bank statements. Enter anonymous coins (or “anon coins”), of which XMR is leading
the field in privacy. It scrambles your address automatically each time, so you don’t have to
worry about leaving a trail. I can see Monero XMR becoming very popular among those
seeking anonymous transactions. What’s still up in the air is whether or not it can scale.
Within hours of writing, XMR experienced a 50% price surge, which saw vastly extended
transaction times.
MONERO (XMR) — If I were forced to pick one thing that I was most concerned about for
Bitcoin, it would be a lack of privacy. Each Bitcoin should be worth as much as any other
Bitcoin, regardless of who owned it before you or what they did with it. For now, this isn’t a
big problem. But Monero is a good hedge against this risk, since it’s more private than Bitcoin
and therefore doesn’t have the same degree of fungibility risk.
LITECOIN (LTC) — Silver to Bitcoin’s gold. The code is so similar to Bitcoin that Litecoin is
able to leverage Bitcoin’s developer network and improvements. This is a big advantage over
other coins that try to build a developer community from the ground up. If anything
catastrophic happened to Bitcoin, a decent portion of the capital would likely flow to Litecoin.
ETHEREUM (ETH) — While Ethereum won’t replace the function of Bitcoin, it will continue to
play the important role it currently does as a smart-contract engine, and as a master
blockchain to spawn new application tokens.
STEEM (STEEM) — Imagine if your social media posts could earn you money based on how
popular they were. Imagine if you could get paid as tastemaker and curator of content
published by others. Now what if the content creators kept 100% of the ownership rights to
their content, and there were no advertisers or special interests getting between creators
and fans? Steem is the first utility token that is truly being used for this function. Platforms like
Reddit, Medium, and even Facebook should be nervous.
I get excited when I see Bitcoin becoming legal tender in countries like Japan, South Korea,
and India. It’s only a matter of time before a Bitcoin ETF is approved, and we see sovereign
wealth and endowment funds allocating money into Bitcoin as a new asset class.
METAL (MTL) — Metal is one of Alphabit’s core positions that we will be holding long-term.
Currently, it sits at only a $190 million market cap, which we think could grow to $1 billion or
greater over the next year. Metal has the dual-use case of being not only a crypto-rewards
token and peer-to-peer payments app like Venmo, but also an FDIC-insured fiat on-ramp
bank in your pocket for the average person to make it easy to use cryptocurrency. For a
competitor in market cap, I look at Dash which is currently at $2.3 billion, and also focusing
on mass user adoption.
WAVES (WAVES) — Waves is Russia’s largest blockchain project. At it’s core, it’s a
decentralized exchange and user-created token fundraising platform, forked from the NXT
codebase. An ICO was held in 2016 that raised $16 million, which has grown to a market cap
of over $300 million.
This month, a partnership was announced between Gazprombank and Waves. The
partnership focuses on holding ICOs for Russian mining and metals companies, bringing a lot
of legitimacy to the platform.
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ETHEREUM CLASSIC (ETC) — The reason ETC’s price is so low compared to Ethereum (ETH)
is the confusion about what happened during the hardfork a year ago. In July 2016, the
community decided to hard fork the Ethereum blockchain in order to restore lost funds of
DAO investors by rolling back the blockchain to a point in time before the hack.
There was huge resistance in the Ethereum community because of their devotion to the
immutability of blockchains. Part of the community decided to violate that “law” to bail out
those affected by the DAO hack, creating ETH. ETC is currently trading at 14.3% of ETH’s
value, which is a severe undervaluation in my eyes, given it’s loyalty towards the core
principle of cryptocurrency.
ZCASH (ZEC) — There are many undervalued coins offering anonymity to users, with Zcash
and Monero being the most prominent. I think Zcash is positioned to be one of the biggest
winners. It has huge interest, is elaborately designed, and has a high-security creation
process and very limited supply. Its lack of recent price advancement indicates to me that
traders are accumulating it.
DECRED (DCR) — Decred will soon get the Lightening Network. Which means you can send
small transactions for almost no fee, instantly. The Lightening Network is a big thing which
many underestimate. Notable about Decred is that they’ve learned and implemented a lot
from the success of Dash. But whereas Dash has a lot of outside funding (and is accountable
to investors), Decred is self-funded via block subsidy (accountable only to its users) and they
are entirely transparent about the allocations. Decred has decentralized voting, Charlie Lee
(Litecoin’s lead developer) on their team, and their code looks clean and is beautifully written.
Price when this published: $29.97
ZCOIN (XZC) — While a lot of other anonymous coins bill themselves as completely
anonymous, they are not, as this video explains. This is also a great article explaining why
most anon coins aren’t actually completely anonymous. Only ZCoin is completely anonymous
and I think at some point the market will recognize that and it will be in the same league
market cap wise as Monero. Right now, ZCoin looks very undervalued to me as their market
cap is only $26 million (compared to Monero’s $1.2 billion). Also worth noting: Roger Ver has
said good things about ZCoin (and I don’t like Roger Ver at all, but he has very deep pockets).
AUGUR (REP) — Businesses around the world pay a high premium for actionable intelligence
for their own internal and strategic needs. With Augur, anyone in the world can obtain
information on the probability of a future event. Think of it as the Google search for future
events, peering into the future using a fascinating principle known as wisdom of the crowd.
Such a technology could drastically impact many industries, including trillion-dollar or larger
industries like gambling and sports betting.
QTUM (QTUM) — Think of Qtum like an Ethereum for China, except that it’s a Proof of Stake
coin. It’s a more environmentally friendly way to secure the network, with a drastic reduction
in the consumption of electricity compared to Proof of Work systems like Bitcoin. Like
Ethereum, Qtum will host a number of applications developed by independent third parties,
has an all-star cast in terms of advisors (one of their co-founders was recently cited in Forbes
China’s “30 Under 30” list.)
Blocknet removes the third-party risk in sending your coins to trade on an exchange. You can
collateralize 5,000 blocknet in a service node, run any wallets you want on the same
machine as that node, and earn BLOCK in trade fees whenever someone trades a currency
your node supports. The blocknet protocol will fundamentally advance the use of blockchains
the way IE or Netscape standardized and unlocked the World Wide Web.
UBIQ (UBQ) — The DAO philosophical failure and Ethereum network split opened the door to
competitors on smart contract blockchains. Ubiq is the strongest: immutable unlike ETH, and
with a brand focus away from experimentation and toward corporate professionalism. Once
the Ethereum ICO craze breaks and that platform loses trust, Ubiq’s secure network and
failure-free track record will present it as a viable smart contract competitor.
PARKBYTE (PKB) (Soon to be ParkChain; PKC) — Parkbyte is my appcoin bet. It’s a simple
premise to disrupt a ubiquitous and unsexy industry with better tracking, standardized UX,
and lower costs and efficiency throughout. Via industry experience, the developers acutely
understands exactly what needs to be pitched to whom in order to disrupt existing pay-to-
park systems with a blockchain implementation.
LISK (LSK) — This is one of the underdogs that a lot of people missed. It’s currently at $233
million market cap. Lisk (similar to Tezos) is utilizing the Delegated Proof of Stake system,
where “delegates” verify the transactions and have voting capabilities that steer the direction
of Lisk.
The main development plan this year is to create an SDK for developing and deploying
blockchain applications (smart contracts). They have a strong development team and they
have sufficient funds ($62 million) to keep it going for tens of years.
BASIC ATTENTION TOKEN (BAT) — The free and open internet as we know it runs on
advertisements, and yet adblockers are seeing increasing adoption among internet users.
BAT seeks to solve this problem by creating a mutually beneficial common ground between
advertisers and users, centered around their internet browser, Brave.
Price when this published: $0.200
Notice: None of the information contained in this article is investment advice. All of the words
above come directly from those whom they are attributed to. It should not be assumed that
all hold investments in the tokens they’ve mentioned.
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