May

16, 2018

MEMORANDUM FOR: INTERESTED PARTIES

FROM: JEFF DiSANTIS
CHRIS HUTTMAN
20/20 INSIGHT LLC

SUBJECT: POLLING NUMBERS IN DEMOCRATIC RACE FOR GOVERNOR

We have had several requests for a review of our current tracking poll of the Georgia statewide
Democratic primary electorate. This memorandum is an explanation of the attached data of the ballot
test of the Democratic primary for Governor.

At this time, the race is close, with Abrams still leading but her margin greatly reduced over the last few
weeks. The race stands at Abrams with 41%, Evans with 33% and 25% not sure. That is a considerable
tightening from when we began tracking in early April, when Abrams led by almost 15 points, consistent
with the WSB/AJC UGA poll.

Movement of voters

When 20/20 Insight LLC began tracking the statewide primary electorate before either campaign had
communicated with voters, neither gubernatorial candidate was well known and the undecided vote
was even higher than it is now, which is still high this late in the calendar. That said, Abrams led Evans
21% to 7%, a 3:1 margin. Significantly, Abrams led with every demographic group, including white
voters.

Since both campaigns began communicating with voters, Evans has earned the vote of most of the
voters who have decided, with more than 64% of voters who have decided moving to Evans. This
across-the-board movement to Evans includes 86% of white voters who have decided and an impressive
45% of African American voters who have decided since our tracking began. Our polling also shows that
there are still roughly equal number of white and black voters that are undecided. In a close race like
the current Democratic gubernatorial primary, the movement of voters toward a candidate matters and
is an indicator of what will happen once undecided voters make their decision by Election Day.

Conclusion

Evans’ message is moving voters toward her at a much faster rate than Abrams’ message, and that
movement has tightened the contest to its current standing. Evans is also communicating on TV at
almost double the level Abrams’ campaign and her allies. Should current trends continue through
primary day on May 22, Evans will win the Democratic gubernatorial nomination.