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conductor and ground would drop beyond permitted limits. reinforcements (Fig. 1) and the foreseen investments in
For transformers, rated installed MVA power is used as generation capacities, i.e. power plants (Table I), as it is
thermal limit. Every branch with current above its thermal given in [3]. Consumption has been changed (increased by
limit is considered as overloaded. 15%) proportionally in all SEE country nodes, except for
The electric power systems in the one part of the SEE Greece where load has been just slightly adjusted (for 4%
region are modeled with the complete 400 kV and 220 kV due to the fact that numerous potential investments in the
networks (or 150 kV network in the case of Greece) and Greece until 2012 have not been taken into account).
additionally 110 kV network for the power system of Generation and consumption have not been changed in
Montenegro (meshed network). Hungary, Croatia and Slovenia.
The analysis has been performed for the target year 2012,
taking into account the planned transmission network
Fig. 1. Existing tie-lines, recently built (Ia and Ib) and some of the newly planned (II and III) tie-lines in the SEE region
SEE transmission network is connected radial (island model) o Ib) Stip(MK) – Chervena Mogila(BG), 42km long
with the power system of Turkey with two tie-lines (fixed OHL Dubrovo – Stip (internal line in Macedonia)
injection to SEE region of 300 MW). In the considered and transformer 400/110 kV 300 MVA in SS Stip
network model all injection goes to Maritza 400 kV node (Macedonia) [5]
and power exchange from Italy to Greece over DC cable is
• Scenario II: new 400 kV tie-line Podgorica 2(CG) –
held on constant value (100 MW).
Tirana(AL) [6]
Overview of the analyzed scenarios: • Scenario III: new 400 kV tie-line Fillipi(GR) – Maritza
• Scenario I: two 400 kV tie-lines that are already put into East 3(BG)
operation (with additional necessary network elements • Scenario IV: all network elements from Scenarios I-III
that have been constructed): assumed to be in operation as well as the new
o Ia) Bitola(MK) – Florina(GR), and transformer generation capacities (Table I).
400/160 KV in SS Florina [4]
3
TABLE I
NEW GENERATION CAPACITIES (POWER PLANTS) IN SEE REGION
TPP Maritsa East 3 Bulgaria 2x300 2010 Rehabilitation and modernization of the facility
Fig. 2. Change in power flows over the most important tie-lines in SEE region: Scenarios I-III
4
TABLE II
ADDITIONALLY SIMULATED EXCHANGES ON BASE CASE SCENARIO IV (SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS)
Exchange UCTE1 CEE Ukraine Turkey Romania Bulgaria IT_cable Albania Greece
1 -200 200
2 -500 300 200
3 300 300 -300 -100 -200
4 -650 200 200 250
5 -200 100 100 100 100 -100 -100
Insecure system operations for given generation and load lead to overload of Bulgarian internal line Maritza East
patterns are detected in the power systems of Serbia and – Plovdiv. This clearly shows that with the analysed
Bulgaria for the winter model, year 2012 (Fig. 3): 400 kV network reinforcement in Bulgaria and Greece
(new 400 kV lines Maritza East 3 – Fillipi, 400 kV
a) All disturbances on 220 kV side in control area of lines Maritza East 3 – Babaeski and 400 kV lines
Serbia-UNMIK have relatively high influence on Maritza East 3 – Hamitabat) export of Turkey should
transformer 400/220 kV Nis. For example, outage of be limited to 350 MW. Internal network of Bulgaria
220 kV line Kosovo B – Podujevo will lead to should be reinforced in order to support additional
overload of mentioned transformer up to 111% Snom in energy exchange from Turkey towards Balkan area
the simulated Exchanges 2 and 4 (high export of (planned new 400 kV OHL Zlatisa – Plovdiv) but also
Romania and Bulgaria toward the non-modeled UCTE link between Greece and Turkey should be considered
region). In those Exchange cases Serbian 400 kV (400 kV tie-line Nea Santa – Babaeski).
network is loaded higher than usual (power flow over
400 kV Sofia – Nis is increased up to more than 100
Analysis made on the winter model clearly shows the
MW).
importance of node Nis in Serbia (sub-station 400/220 kV)
and also necessity to install an additional transformation unit
b) Loss of the 220 kV line Feronikl – Prizren can cause
400/220 kV, to reconstruct destroyed double 220 kV tie-line
overloading of 220 kV tie-line between Serbia-UNMIK
Kosovo A – Skopje 1 between Serbia-UNMIK and
and Albania (Prizren – Fierze). Problem is caused by
Macedonia (or to replace them with the 400 kV OHL on the
high distributive consumption which is supplied from
same route) or to build new 400 kV tie-line Nis (SR) –
node Prizren (214 MW) and lower Iterm value of OHL
Skopje (MK) [7]. In all analyzed cases transformer 400/220
Fierze – Prizren (720 A compared to 1290 A of OHL
kV in SS Nis is highly loaded (more than 80% Snom).
Feronikl – Prizren). In order to avoid electricity supply
Problem could be temporary solved with the bus coupler in
cuts, 110 kV network inside Serbia-UNMIK area
SS Nis (400 kV side) and with the grouping some of 400 kV
should be reconfigured and part of consumption should
lines to the other bus system (in order to constrain power
be supplied from the other 220 kV stations (if
flow over transformer 400/220 kV). In this case one should
possible). On the other hand, this critical contingency
be careful in order not to shift the existing problem to the
will not have influence on the interconnected high-
other part of the network (by solving problems in node Nis).
voltage network.
Described sensitivity analysis on the winter model has been
performed with the 3rd transformer 400/220 kV in SS
c) In the simulated Exchange cases 1 and 5 (additional
Kosovo B in operation (disconnected in the starting base
Turkey export of 200 MW and 100 MW, respectively)
case model).
tripping of 400 kV tie-line Fillipi – Maritza East 3 can
1
UCTE virtual zone is consisted from CEE region with IT region (only OHLs between Slovenia and Italy, without DC
cable between Greece and Italy) and Ukraine.
5
Fig. 3. Scenario IV – security (n-1) analysis for the 3rd week of January (10:30 a.m.) / winter model – year 2012
Insecure system operations for given generation and load means of redispatch action with the following HPPs:
patterns are detected in the power systems of Serbia, Visegrad (on Bosnian side – cross-border redispatch
UNMIK, Bulgaria, Romania and Greece for the summer necessary) and B. Basta, but also with the HPPs
model, year 2012 (Table III): connected to the 110 kV network in Serbia (Kokin
Brod, Bistrica and Uvac). On the other hand, Exchange
a) All exchange programs have relatively high-impact on cases 2 and 4, have counter-effect on problems related
already congested Bulgarian internal network. The to transformer in SS Nis which can be overloaded up to
weakest link is 220 kV OHL Plovdiv – Aleko which is 115% Snom (problems with transformer 400/220 kV Nis
overloaded after the different (n-1) outages in range are also present in sensitivity analysis performed on the
from 103% Iterm to 124% Iterm. The highest average winter model).
loading of critical internal line is achieved in exchange
cases 1 and 5, i.e. in the situations when the additional c) Critical outage of one transformer 400/220 kV Slatina
export of Turkey has been simulated. in Romania will lead to overloading of the second
transformer (115% Snom).
b) In internal Serbian network, outage of 220 kV OHL B.
Basta – Pozega will lead to overloading of 220 kV d) In internal Serbian network, outage of 400 kV OHL
OHL Pozega – Vardiste and vice versa. It is important Mladost – S. Mitrovica will lead to overloading of 220
to notice that this problem is present only in summer kV OHL Novi Sad – Srbobran in all Exchange cases
model and can be slightly relived in the Exchange cases except Exchange 3 (when additional flows are oriented
2 and 4 (i.e. additional export of Bulgaria and Romania in direction from North to South).
to the rest of UCTE which will cause flows in direction
East-West). Temporary, problem could be solved by
TABLE III
SCENARIO IV – SECURITY (N-1) ANALYSIS FOR THE 3RD WEEK IN JUNE (10:30 A.M.) / SUMMER MODEL – YEAR 2012
400 kV Fillipi - Maritsa East 104 114 111 103 110 113
400 kV Plovdiv - Maritsa East 220 kV Plovdiv - Aleko 112 124 120 113 122 121
400 kV C. Mogila - Vetren 105 115 112 105 113 113
220 kV B. Basta - Pozega 220 kV Pozega - Vardiste 118 119 115 118 106 117
220 kV Pozega - Vardiste 220 kV B. Basta - Pozega 105 105 * 105 * 105
400/220 kV TR Slatina (1) 400/220 TR Slatina (2) 115 116 113 115 118 115
400 kV Mladost - S. Mitrovica 220 kV N. Sad - Srbobran * 102 105 * 105 103
400/220 kV TR Nis 220 kV Kosovo B - Podujevo * * 110 * 115 *
6
TABLE IV
CHANGE IN BUS VOLTAGE: SCENARIO IV (400 KV NODES) – WINTER MODEL / YEAR 2012
Bus Voltage [kV] Bus Voltage [kV] Change in bus Bus voltage (p.u.)
Bus Name
Scenario IV Starting Base Case voltage [kV] Scenario IV
Fillipi (GR) 406,4 402,6 3,8 1,016
Hevic (HU) 407,3 405,5 1,8 1,018
Divaca(SI) 396,9 395,1 1,8 0,99
Zerjavinec (HR) 403,8 402,4 1,4 1,009
Meline (HR) 402,3 401,0 1,3 1,00
TABLE V
CHANGE IN BUS VOLTAGE: SCENARIO IV (220 KV NODES) – WINTER MODEL / YEAR 2012
Bus Voltage [kV] Bus Voltage [kV] Change in bus Bus voltage (p.u.)
Bus Name
Scenario IV Starting Base Case voltage [kV] Scenario IV
Tirana (AL) 216,2 213,5 2,7 0,980
Burrel (AL) 220,7 218,3 2,4 1,002
Urechesti (RO) 234,0 231,9 2,1 1,060
Rovinari (RO) 234,0 231,9 2,1 1,063
Mizia (BG) 240,7 238,7 2,0 1,094
Rashbull (AL) 211,9 210,0 1,9 0,960
Pleven (BG) 236,4 234,9 1,5 1,075
Targu Jiu (RO) 232,4 230,9 1,5 1,056
Elbasan 1 (AL) 217,4 216,0 1,4 0,988
Elbasan 2 (AL) 217,8 216,5 1,3 0,990
Fierza (AL) 212,3 211,1 1,2 0,960
Tirana and the new SS Kashar on its route. In this paper only This is mainly caused by power plant investments (NPP
one new power plant project is considered in Albania (HPP Cerna Voda, unit no.2 with 706 MW of installed power) and
Skavica with installed 300 MW), but according to the study flows (direction from East to South-West) which have high
made by Institute of Hydroelectric Studies and Design [8], influence on transformers 400/220 kV in Slatina node
the new possible power plants to be constructed in Albania (transformer loading 244 MW in Scenario IV compared to
are: HPP Bushati (84 MW, Drin River), HPP Kaludha (75 170 MW in the starting base case scenario – summer
MW, Vjosa River), HPP Dragot-Tepelena (130 MW, Vjosa model).
River), HPP Kalivaci (100 MW, Vjosa River), HPP Bratila The main problems in control area of ESO (Bulgaria) are
(115 MW, Devoll River) and HPP Banja (80 MW, Devoll present after the investment in power plants (especially TPP
River). It is also predicted that TPP Vlora 1 (100 MW) Maritsa East 3) which are not followed with the
should be put in operation until 2012. All of the mentioned reinforcements of the internal network and the radial
investments have to be followed with the proper network connection with Turkey (import of 300 MW). Better
reinforcement, especially strengthening the Vlore and Fieri distribution of the “incoming” power flows from Turkey
nodes and their upgrade to 400 kV level. New 400 kV tie- (import) has been achieved with the splitting of incoming
line between Elbasan and Bitola is also planed as the future flows between Bulgaria and Greece after the construction of
network project. 400 kV tie-line Fillipi (GR) – Maritza East 3 (BG), together
During the analysis it was clearly shown that additional with already constructed 400 kV OHL Fillipi – N.Santa
transformer is needed in SS 400/220 kV Nis (problem could (GR) – Babaeski (TUR). Anyway, network problems in the
be temporary solved with 400 kV bus bar coupler in SS Nis) central part of Bulgaria could be solved with the internal
since the existing transformer is very sensible to 220 kV network reinforcement – new 400 kV OHL Plovdiv –
network situation in Serbia-UNMIK area and also to Zlatitsa (149 km, project investment of 25 mil. €) which is
additional export of Bulgaria towards West. Also, problems one of the most important project for the future synchronous
are located in internal EMS network in the grid near the interconnection of Turkey with UCTE.
following nodes: B.Basta, Vardiste and Pozega. Loading of
the 220 kV OHLs B.Basta – Pozega, Vardiste – Pozega and V. CONCLUSIONS
B.Basta – Vardiste is highly dependent on energy transfer in The Southeast Europe region is faced with new
direction North to South as well as the current engagement challenges related to organization of electricity market. In
of PSHPP B.Basta, HPP Bistrica and HPP Visegrad (Bosnia the process of deregulation, new production companies,
and Herzegovina). Transmission System Operators, supply companies and
In the summer network model, problems are also located traders appeared. Present electricity infrastructure is not
in the Northern part of the country. Namely, outage of 400 fully designed to serve market activities properly and some
kV OHL Mladost – S.Mitrovica would lead to problems in investments in transmission systems internally, as well in
220 kV network (OHL Novi Sad – Srbobran). Future interconnection lines are necessary in order to support
reinforcement in this region are foreseen on 400 kV voltage competition and expected market activities.
level: 400 kV Sombor – S.Mitrovica. New power plant Southeast Europe transmission network operates on
projects (beside TPP Kosovo C) are not considered inside 750 kV, 400 kV, 220 kV, 150 kV and 110 kV voltage levels.
EMS control area since the first one is foreseen for 2015 Power systems are mostly strongly interconnected through
(TPP Kolubara B). many 400kV and 220 kV lines. Analysis has shown that
Some of the problems present in internal transmission some insecure operational conditions are expected in some
network of EMS are also caused by changing thermal limit parts of Romanian, Serbian, Bulgarian and Albanian
of 220 kV lines from the winter to the summer regime (i.e. network so additional network reinforcement activities will
changes in relay-system protection settings) [9],[10]. be necessary in order to minimize network congestions.
There were no problems located in Montenegrin network, Balkan area is the new investment frontier for
except in the starting base case model: critical outage of international power companies. Although, numerous power
400/110 kV transformer in SS Podgorica 2 could lead to plant project that have been planned are not yet constructed
slight overloading of the second parallel transformer 300 and therefore high level of uncertainty is present also when it
MVA in the same substation. The problem is solved after the comes to high-voltage power transmission system extension
construction of 400 kV OHL Podgorica 2 – Tirana. Problem planning.
which is present in the starting base case model highly It is important to underline that the influence of global
depends on configuration of internal Montenegrin network economic crisis on power consumption level in SEE region
as well as on current consumption level. Temporary solution (decrease of energy consumption for industrial consumers)
for relieving congestion and solving network problems and on delay of generation investment projects have to be
would be to use the internal redispatch measures with HPP taken into consideration, as well as influence of other
Perucica or (in some cases when consumption supply from ongoing infrastructure transmission investment projects (for
110 kV substations is not that high, i.e. off-peak hours) example: 400 kV OHL Nis – Leskovac – Vranje (Serbia)
disconnection of the double 110 kV line between SS with the connection point Stip/Skopje in Macedonia) in
Podgorica 1 and SS Podgorica 2 would be necessary in order some future similar analysis.
to avoid parallel operation of 110 kV network (loop flows).
Transformer in Romanian SS 400/220 kV Slatina has
appeared as the weak point during the performed analysis.
8
VI. REFERENCES
[1] Ministerial Council of the Energy Community, “Decision No. 2008-
02 on Implementation of EC Decision amended Annex Regulation
1228/2003”
[2] UCTE, European Interconnections: State of the Art, Annual report of
the joint EURELECTRIC - UCTE Working Group "SYSTINT",
2002.
[3] ETSO, Winter Outlook Report, Detailed country analysis, June 2007.
[Online]. Available: http://www.etso-net.org/.
[4] D. Bajs, G. Majstorovic, M. Majstorovic, “Uticaj izgradnje novih
interkonektivnih dalekovoda u ovom dijelu Europe na rad EES
Hrvatske”, Energetski Institut Hrvoje Pozar, Zagreb 2001.
[5] UCTE, System Adequacy Forecast 2006-2015, 2005. [Online].
Available: http://www.ucte.org,
[6] E. Radheshi, “Priority Infrastructure Investments, Tehnical Workshop
on Priority Infrastructure Investments in Power Sector”, Vienna, April
2008.
[7] MEPSO, Study for optimization of connection point of new 400 kV
interconnection to Serbia, 2008. [Online]. Available:
http://www.mepso.com.mk/,
[8] L. Mihailova, Imagine all renewables… Is There a Potential?,
available at http://www.seeurope.net, January 2006.
[9] SECI Interconnection Study Task Group, “Development of the
interconnection of the electric power systems of SECI member
countries for better integration with European systems: Project of
regional transmission network planning”, Study sponsored by
USAID, 2002.
[10] D. Bajs, "South-East Europe transmission system planning project”,
in Proc. IEEE PES General Meeting, Toronto, Canada, July 2003.
VII. BIOGRAPHIES
Milan Vukasovic (b. 1981) received his DI degree and M.Sc. in Electrical
Engineering, both from the Department of Power Systems, Faculty of
Electrical Engineering Podgorica, University of Montenegro (2004 and
2007). He works in Verbund – Austrian Power Grid AG, Market
Management Department, on issues related to flow-based coordinated
allocation and market coupling. Previously he worked with Electric Power
Company of Montenegro (2005/07). His main interests are in electricity
markets modeling/simulation, congestion management, load-flow analysis
and computer applications in power systems.
Sreten Skuletic (b. 1949) graduated from the Faculty of Engineering at the
University in Titograd, and holds Ma degree (Electrical Engineering
Faculty, Belgrade) and Ph.D. in Electrical Engineering (Electrical
Engineering Faculty, Titograd). He is Full Professor at University of
Montenegro. His main research interests and activities have been in the
field of Power Electric Systems, particularly: Reliability modeling,
assessment, evaluations and analysis, energy, high voltage problems in
power systems, grounding, rational usage of energy, conventional and new
energy sources... He has published 186 papers.