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Article history: The sizing of a solar thermal power plant directly affects its cost and also the annual electricity output
Received 26 March 2015 and hence its financial attractiveness. It involves deciding appropriate values of design DNI, solar mul-
Received in revised form tiple and hours of thermal storage to achieve high annual capacity utilization factor (CUF) with the least
25 August 2015
cost of electricity delivered. An analysis of the impact of these design parameters on the performance of
Accepted 2 November 2015
parabolic trough concentrator (PTC) and linear Fresnel reflector (LFR) based solar thermal power plants is
Available online xxx
presented using System Advisor Model for eight locations in India. Annual electricity output is estimated
using radiation data source of SEC-NREL. Levelized unit cost of electricity (LUCE) is estimated using
Keywords:
Solar thermal power generation
benchmark capital cost and other financial conditions specified by the Central Electricity Regulatory
Parabolic trough collector Commission of Government of India. For a design DNI of 950 W/m2, LUCE is minimum in solar multiple
Linear Fresnel reflector range of 1.4e1.6 for PTC based plants and of 1.8e2.0 for LFR based plants. With a solar multiple of 1.0,
Levelized unit cost of electricity LUCE is minimum in design DNI range of 550e700 W/m2 for PTC based plants and 450e550 W/m2 for
System Advisor model LFR based plants.
© 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2015.11.007
0960-1481/© 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
C. Sharma et al. / Renewable Energy 87 (2016) 666e675 667
Fig. 1. Typical cost breakup of a 50 MW PTC based plant. 2.1. Selection of potential locations to be considered for analysis
2. Methodology
Table 1
Locations selected for the analysis along with corresponding annual values of the DNI.
2.2. Creations of the typical meteorological year (TMY) files it is possible to study the effect of provision of thermal storage
(with the flexibility to choose different hours of thermal storage in
In SAM, it is possible to import weather files in Typical Meteo- the power plant) with the help of SAM. However the currently
rological Year (TMY) format that has hourly values of solar radiation available version of the software (2013.9.20) does not facilitate the
and other parameters for any desired location. Solar resource data same for LFR based systems. One of the possible reasons for the
for the selected locations have been obtained from satellite imagery same could be the difficulty in the storage of steam produced in the
maps developed by Solar Energy Centre (SEC), Ministry of New and solar field of LFR technology. On the other hand, in a PTC plant,
Renewable Energy (MNRE) [19], Government of India in collabo- synthetic oil and molten salt are being used as heat transfer fluid
ration with NREL, USA. This solar radiation data source (referred to and also as thermal storage media as it has attained commercial
as SEC-NREL subsequently in this paper) provides monthly average maturity. In fact, several solar thermal plants in the USA and Spain
daily values of solar radiation. To be able to use the radiation data based on PTC technology are operational and have 6e10 h of
with SAM, TMY files are needed. A TMY file provide annual data set thermal storage. Thus, in order to analyze the effect of thermal
that holds hourly meteorological values that typify conditions at a storage and deciding thermal storage hours for PTC based plants,
specific location over a longer period of time. To have hourly data parametric simulations were also carried out for varying hours of
set of meteorological data, synthetic hourly data generation tool of thermal storage and corresponding values of annual electricity
software PVSyst [20] has been used. Synthetic generation of hourly output were obtained.
values from monthly averages is performed by PVSyst using sto-
chastic models that have been developed by Collares-Pereira in the
1980's. This model first generates a sequence of daily values, and 2.4. Estimation of LUCE
then a sequence of 24 hourly values per day, using Markov transi-
tion matrices. These matrices have been established such as to The output provided by SAM also includes LUCE and other
produce an hourly sequence, with distributions and statistical financial metrics. However, their applicability to solar thermal po-
properties analogous to real hourly meteo data measured. Monthly wer plants in India could be limited as the cost data as used by SAM
average daily values of global horizontal irradiation from SEC-NREL essentially pertains to locations in the USA. In the present analysis,
and monthly average daily values of ambient temperature from benchmark cost and other relevant financial data suggested by the
NASA-SSE for the selected locations have been used to generate Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC) [21] of India have
hourly data set of meteorological parameters such as DNI, diffuse been used. Since a change in solar multiple, DNI and/or hours of
radiation, beam radiation, ambient temperature etc. Software SAM thermal storage will change the solar field and hence the capital
has an option (TMY creator) that creates TMY files with the hourly cost of the plant, it is necessary to internalize any such change in
data set of meteorological parameters. Same has been used for the capital cost into the procedure used for estimation of LUCE. For
creation of TMY files of the selected locations and the files thus this purpose the effect of any change in one or more of these pa-
created were imported in SAM for performing simulations. rameters (solar multiple, design DNI, hours of thermal storage) on
the capital cost of the solar thermal power plant has been taken
into account by using the corresponding changes as observed in the
2.3. Simulation using System Advisor Model (SAM)
cost estimates provided by SAM for the same changes in the pa-
rameter(s). This had to be resorted to, owing to the unavailability of
Specifications of the plants considered in the study are pre-
relevant information for the locations in India. Details of capital
sented in Table 2. The base values of design DNI was assumed as
cost and other financial conditions as prescribed by CERC are pre-
950 W/m2 and that of solar multiple as 1. With the parametric
sented in Table 3. The benchmark capital cost of solar thermal
simulation tool of SAM, annual electricity output and the annual
plants is suggested as Rs. 120 million/MW (US$ 1 ¼ Indian rupees
amount of thermal energy dumped were obtained for different
61.41 as on Jan 23, 2015) by CERC for the year 2014e15. Since CERC
values of solar multiple and design DNI.
has not specified the technology specific capital cost of solar ther-
In case of PTC based solar thermal power generation technology,
mal power plants, in view of almost 90% of solar thermal power
plants being based on PTC technology, it is assumed that the
Table 2 benchmark cost suggested by CERC is for PTC based systems. The
Specifications of the solar thermal power plants considered in the study. capital cost for LFR based systems have been estimated assuming
Parameter PTC LFR that the relative cost differentials amongst different solar thermal
power technologies would remain the same independent of their
Nominal capacity (MW) 50 50
Collector Solargenix SGX e 1 Fresnel mirrors location in the world. With this assumption, the capital cost of LFR
Receiver Schott PTR 70 Cavity based systems was estimated at Rs. 102 million/MW.
Heat Transfer fluid Therminol VP-1 Water Finally the LUCE was estimated using annual electricity output
Solar multiple 1.0 1.0 provided by SAM for different values of solar multiple, design DNI
DNI (W/m2) 950 950
and hours of thermal storage and the capital cost and other
C. Sharma et al. / Renewable Energy 87 (2016) 666e675 669
Table 4
Effect of solar multiple on electricity output and LUCE for 50 MW PTC based plants.
Solar multiple Capital cost Jaisalmer Jodhpur Barmer Anantpur Kachch Surendranagar Sangli Satara
Million Rs./MW GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh
Table 5
Effect of solar multiple on electricity output and LUCE for 50 MW LFR based plants.
Solar multiple Capital cost Jaisalmer Jodhpur Barmer Anantpur Kachch Surendranagar Sangli Satara
Million Rs./MW GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh
implies an increase in solar field (thus leading to an increase in the per kWh is observed at a design DNI of 600 W/m2 whereas for
capital cost of the plant) a decrease in LUCE is still observed initially Satara, this minimum is Rs. 13.99 per kWh at a design DNI of 700 W/
as the electricity output also increases. However, beyond a certain m2. In case of LFR based plants (Table 8), range of the optimal
value of design DNI, the incremental cost of solar field necessitated design DNI that corresponds to minimum LUCE is lower
by a further decrease in design DNI may be larger than the incre- (450e550 W/m2) in comparison to the corresponding range for PTC
mental benefits likely to accrue due to an increase in the amount of based plants (550e700 W/m2). Similar to PTC based plants, for the
electricity produced. As a result LUCE starts increasing with further location of Barmer, the minimum LUCE of Rs. 11.23 per kWh is
decrease in design DNI (Tables 7 and 8). observed at a design DNI of 500 W/m2 whereas for Satara, this
As expected the optimal value of design DNI corresponding to a minimum is Rs. 12.88 per kWh at a design DNI of 550 W/m2. Var-
minimum value of LUCE varies with the location for both PTC and iations of LUCE with design DNI for PTC and LFR plants at all the
LFR based plants (Tables 7 and 8). For example, in case of PTC based locations considered in the study are shown in Figs. 5 and 6.
plants, for the location of Barmer, the minimum LUCE of Rs. 12.17
Fig. 3. Variation of LUCE with solar multiple for PTC based plant.
C. Sharma et al. / Renewable Energy 87 (2016) 666e675 671
Fig. 4. Variation of LUCE with solar multiple for LFR based plant.
3.3. Effect of thermal storage on LUCE for PTC based plants energy being dumped and consequently improve the capacity
utilization of the power block. Since the provision of thermal
In SAM (version 2013.9.20), there is an option of studying the storage involves incremental capital investment in heat transfer
effect of thermal storage for PTC based plants. As explained earlier, fluid (Molten salt or synthetic oil) and required support structure
designing the solar field of solar thermal power plants for higher (including storage tanks and heat exchangers), the LUCE may often
solar multiple or lower design DNI essentially implies an increase in increase due to the incremental cost (of thermal storage) being
the area of solar field and hence increased thermal energy input to more than incremental benefits (due to an increase in electricity
the power block. Since power block cannot utilize thermal energy output).
input beyond its nominal capacity, excess thermal energy produced To analyze the effect of hours of thermal storage on LUCE for PTC
by the solar field may have to be dumped. Providing appropriate based plants, plants designed for optimal design DNI at each
hours of thermal storage can facilitate the use of any thermal selected location (decided on the basis of the results presented in
Table 6
Number of hours in a year when DNI exceeds a particular value at different locations.
DNI (W/m2) more than Number of hours in a year when DNI exceeds a particular value at the location of
Table 7
Effect of design DNI on electricity output and LUCE for 50 MW PTC based plants.
Design DNI Capital cost Jaisalmer Jodhpur Barmer Anantpur Kachch Surendranagar Sangli Satara
Million Rs./MW GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh
450 208 132 13.52 131 13.62 135 13.22 117 15.22 119 14.97 123 14.49 113 15.75 107 16.62
500 191 128 12.90 128 12.90 132 12.52 116 14.21 117 14.09 122 13.53 112 14.71 106 15.53
550 177 122 12.64 124 12.44 126 12.24 113 13.62 114 13.50 119 12.95 109 14.11 104 14.78
600 165 114 12.69 117 12.37 119 12.17 110 13.14 109 13.26 114 12.69 105 13.75 101 14.29
650 156 107 12.85 110 12.50 112 12.29 105 13.09 104 13.21 108 12.73 101 13.59 97 14.14
700 147 99 13.16 102 12.78 104 12.54 100 13.03 97 13.42 101 12.90 96 13.56 93 13.99
750 141 92 13.63 95 13.21 97 12.94 95 13.21 92 13.63 95 13.21 91 13.78 89 14.08
800 134 86 13.93 88 13.62 90 13.33 89 13.47 85 14.09 89 13.47 85 14.09 84 14.26
850 129 80 14.47 82 14.13 85 13.64 84 13.80 79 14.65 83 13.96 80 14.47 79 14.65
900 124 74 15.10 76 14.71 78 14.34 78 14.34 74 15.10 78 14.34 75 14.90 74 15.10
950 120 70 15.51 72 15.08 74 14.68 73 14.88 69 15.73 73 14.88 70 15.51 69 15.73
672 C. Sharma et al. / Renewable Energy 87 (2016) 666e675
Table 8
Effect of design DNI on electricity output and LUCE for 50 MW LFR based plants.
Design DNI Capital cost Jaisalmer Jodhpur Barmer Anantpur Kachch Surendranagar Sangli Satara
Million Rs./MW GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh GWh Rs./kWh
450 178 131 11.85 136 11.42 136 11.42 124 12.50 124 12.50 128 12.12 120 12.91 115 13.46
500 162 121 11.78 122 11.68 127 11.23 117 12.17 117 12.17 121 11.78 113 12.59 109 13.04
550 150 111 11.97 112 11.87 117 11.37 110 12.08 109 12.19 112 11.87 106 12.53 103 12.88
600 140 100 12.49 102 12.25 106 11.79 102 12.25 100 12.49 103 12.13 98 12.74 96 13.00
650 136 90 13.50 92 13.21 96 12.67 95 12.80 91 13.35 94 12.94 91 13.35 89 13.65
700 126 83 13.68 84 13.52 89 12.78 88 12.92 84 13.52 87 13.06 84 13.52 83 13.68
750 120 75 14.49 77 14.12 81 13.44 81 13.44 76 14.30 79 13.77 77 14.12 76 14.30
800 114 67 15.49 69 15.05 72 14.44 73 14.24 68 15.27 71 14.64 69 15.05 69 15.05
850 110 62 16.22 63 15.97 67 15.03 68 14.81 63 15.97 66 15.25 64 15.72 64 15.72
900 106 56 17.38 58 16.79 61 15.97 62 15.72 58 16.79 60 16.23 59 16.51 59 16.51
950 102 51 18.44 52 18.09 55 17.12 57 16.53 52 18.09 55 17.12 54 17.43 54 17.43
Table 8) have been considered as the base case design. For each of plants designed with higher solar multiple as the amount of ther-
these base case designs, the value of solar multiple is then mal energy likely to be dumped is more with such designs. Esti-
increased with each solar multiple being analyzed for different mates of annual electricity outputs for different combinations of
hours of thermal storage. Since the cost of thermal storage was not solar multiple and hours of thermal energy storage are presented in
available for Indian locations, same cost differentials as provided by Table 10.
SAM have been used. Variation of LUCE with hours of thermal It is observed that for a given solar multiple, inclusion of a
energy storage is presented in Table 9. storage component in the system may help increase the amount of
As expected, the efficacy of including storage component in a electricity delivered during the year as the thermal energy being
PTC based solar thermal power plant is observed to be higher for dumped previously is being stored and used for electricity
Fig. 5. Variation of LUCE with design DNI for PTC based plant.
Fig. 6. Variation of LUCE with design DNI for LFR based plant.
C. Sharma et al. / Renewable Energy 87 (2016) 666e675 673
Table 9
Variation of LUCE with hours of thermal energy storage and solar multiple.
generation. However, a large increase in hours of thermal storage solar multiple for the location of Jaisalmer is presented in Figs. 7
for the same solar multiple may not be beneficial as the storage is and 8.
being increased in the same solar field. In fact, an arbitrary increase A noteworthy observation from the above analysis is that the
in the storage component of the same solar field may even reduce estimated values of LUCE for CSP (PTC and LFR) based systems is
the electricity output due to increased losses from the storage higher in comparison to the prevailing electricity tariff in four states
component. As the solar multiple is increased, it may be possible to with considerable potential for solar thermal power generation. A
benefit from increased hours of thermal storage. For example, for comparison of prevailing electricity tariff (in 2013e14) for various
the location of Jaisalmer, annual electricity output is 264 GWh with consumption categories [23] and the obtained values of LUCE for
a solar multiple of 2.2 and provision of 9 h of thermal storage PTC and LFR based systems is presented in Table 11.
whereas for the base case (no storage) annual electricity output is
only 122 GWh. 4. Concluding remarks
From the results presented in Table 9, it may be noted that for all
the combinations of solar multiple and hours of thermal storage, In the present study an attempt has been made to analyze the
LUCE is higher as compared to its value for the base case i.e. no impact of three design parameters (solar multiple, design DNI and
storage. Thus, without dispatch ability being the primary objective, hours of thermal storage to minimize the energy dumped) on the
it may be better to have grid connected systems with minimal performance of two linear solar concentrators (PTC and LFR) at
storage of half an hour to an hour (to take care of variability and eight niche Indian locations using System Advisor Model (SAM). It
intermittence in solar radiation availability). Variation in LUCE and is practically possible to obtain useful a-priori information with the
annual electricity output with varying hours of thermal storage and use of SAM regarding the feasibility of solar thermal power
Table 10
Variation of annual electricity output with hours of thermal energy storage and solar multiple.
Solar multiple Thermal Annual electricity output (GWh) for 50 MW PTC based plant at
Storage hours
Jaisalmer Jodhpur Barmer Anantpur Kachch Surendranagar Sangli Satara
Fig. 7. Variation of LUCE with hours of thermal energy storage for PTC based plant at Jaisalmer.
Fig. 8. Variation of electricity output with hours of thermal energy storage for PTC plant at Jaisalmer.
generation at a chosen location in India. All the locations consid- same location, a somewhat lower cost of LFR based systems may
ered in the study are found to have considerable potential for solar more than compensate for the lower electricity output. It is worth
thermal power generation. Effects of change in the values of solar mentioning that the cost data used in the study for LFR based
multiple, design DNI and thermal storage hours on LUCE have been systems as well as the cost differentials resulting from the envis-
analyzed for 50 MW nominal capacity PTC and LFR based power aged changes in the values of solar multiple, design DNI and hours
plants at the locations considered in the study. For a design DNI of of thermal storage have been estimated on the basis of simplifying
950 W/m2, LUCE is minimum for values of solar multiple in the assumptions due to unavailability of data for the Indian locations.
range 1.4e1.6 for PTC and 1.6e1.8 for LFR based plants. Alterna-
tively, with a solar multiple of 1.0, minimum LUCE is observed in
the design DNI range of 550e700 W/m2 for PTC and 450e550 W/ Acknowledgment
m2 for LFR based plants. For PTC based plants, it is observed that
provision of hours of thermal storage (with appropriate solar Chandan Sharma acknowledges the encouragement provided
multiple) significantly improves capacity utilization factor although by the Department of Technical Education, Government of State of
the same does not lower LUCE. It is also observed that though the Rajasthan (India), Government Engineering College, Ajmer and the
annual electricity output of LFR based plants is lower as compared Quality Improvement Program at Indian Institute of Technology
to that of PTC based plants of the same nominal capacity in the Delhi.
Table 11
Comparison of prevailing electricity tariff (in 2013e14) and LUCE of CSP systems [23].
Appendix-A
Table A1
Sample calculations of LUCE for a 50 MW PTC based plant (Capital cost Rs.120 million per MW)
Appendix-B
Table B1
Sample calculations of LUCE for a 50 MW LFR based plant (Capital cost Rs.102 million per MW)
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