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REVIEWS

A new evidence-based risk stratification


system for cutaneous squamous cell
carcinoma into low, intermediate, and
high risk groups with implications
for management
Christian L. Baum, MS, MD,a Adam C. Wright, MD,b Juan-Carlos Martinez, MD,c Christopher J. Arpey, MD,a
Jerry D. Brewer, MD,a Randall K. Roenigk, MD,a and Clark C. Otley, MDa
Rochester, Minnesota; Jacksonville, Florida; and Knoxville, Tennessee

Most primary cutaneous squamous cell carcinomas are cured with surgery. A subset, however, may
develop local and nodal metastasis that may eventuate in disease-specific; death. This subset has been
variably termed high risk. Herein, we review; an emerging body of data on the risks of these outcomes and
propose an evidence-based; risk stratification for low-, intermediate-, and high-risk tumors that takes into;
account both tumor and patient characteristics. Finally, we discuss a framework for; management of these
tumors on the basis of data, when available, and our; recommendations when data are sparse. ( J Am Acad
Dermatol 2018;78:141-7.)

Key words: cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma; immunosuppression; management; radiotherapy; risk
stratification; sentinel lymph node biopsy; staging.

C utaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC)


has an incidence of 180,000 to 520,000
tumors per year in the United States1-3 and
a metastasis rate of 2% to 5%.4-6 The prevalence of
Abbreviations used:
ART:
BWH:
CLL:
adjuvant radiotherapy
Brigham and Women’s Hospital
chronic lymphocytic leukemia
nodal metastasis (NM) from cSCC in the United States cSCC: cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma
is estimated at 5604 to 12,572 cases per year,3 CT: computed tomography
DSD: disease-specific death
whereas the number of deaths is estimated at 3932 HRcSCC: high-risk cutaneous squamous cell
to 8791, with the upper limit of this range carcinoma
approximating the number of melanoma-related IRcSCC: intermediate-risk cutaneous squamous
cell carcinoma
deaths per year.3,7 The progression of cSCC appears LR: local recurrence
to be stepwise from local recurrence (LR) to regional LRcSCC: low-risk cutaneous squamous cell
spread and then distant metastasis.8 Most disease- carcinoma
MMS: Mohs micrographic surgery
specific deaths are preceded by regional recurrence,9 NM: nodal metastasis
and most regional recurrences involve the head and PNI: perineural invasion
neck region.10 Furthermore, in patients treated with SLNB: sentinel lymph node biopsy
surgery for nodal disease, a relatively low burden of
disease is correlated with lower recurrence rates and
higher overall survival.9 These data indicate that identifying cohorts with elevated and actionable
controlling morbidity and mortality from cSCC is risks for LR and NM may focus efforts intended to
predicated on locoregional control. Therefore, decrease cSCC-associated morbidity and mortality.

From the Department of Dermatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochestera; Correspondence to: Christian L. Baum, MS, MD, Department of
Anderson and Rahman Dermatology, Knoxvilleb; and Dermatology, Mayo Clinic, 200 First St SW, Rochester,
Department of Dermatology, Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville.c Minnesota 55905. E-mail: baum.christian@mayo.edu.
Funding sources: Dr Baum has a Career Development Award in Published online September 13, 2017.
Dermatologic Surgery from the Dermatology Foundation. 0190-9622/$36.00
Conflicts of interest: None declared. Ó 2017 by the American Academy of Dermatology, Inc.
Accepted for publication July 24, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jaad.2017.07.031
Reprints not available from the authors.

141
142 Baum et al J AM ACAD DERMATOL
JANUARY 2018

The term high-risk squamous cell carcinoma has lymph node biopsy (SLNB). Data from the
been variably defined in prior publications.11-15 Multicenter Selective Lymphadenectomy Trial
However, a unified, evidence-based definition of demonstrated that SLNB provides valuable risk
high-risk cSCC (HRcSCC) is absent. Although a stratification into a low-risk, negative SLNB cohort
distinction between HRcSCC and low-risk cSCC compared with the high-risk, positive SLNB cohort,
(LRcSCC) provides a simple binary classification with 85% and 62% 10-year melanoma-specific
system, it does not adequately account for the risk survival rates, respectively.17 These results further
spectrum that reflects the refine the cohort with a 10%
biology of individual tumors. or higher risk of occult
In recent years, sufficient CAPSULE SUMMARY nodal disease into sub-
outcomes data have been groups for which focused
A small subset of cutaneous squamous
d

published to allow stratifica- interventions such as inten-


cell carcinomas are associated with local
tion of cSCC along a risk sive follow-up, imaging,
recurrence, nodal metastasis, and death.
spectrum based on tumor therapeutic lymph node
staging and independent An evidence-based risk stratification
d
dissection, and adjuvant
risk factors, including some system that consists of tumor staging systemic therapy may be
forms of immunosuppres- and patient characteristics is proposed considered. Although the
sion. The purpose of this re- for low-, intermediate-, and high-risk biologic progression pattern
view is to propose an tumors. of cSCC appears more pre-
evidence-based risk stratifi- This risk stratification system may
d dictable than that of mela-
cation of cSCC into LRcSCC, optimize patient management and lead noma, the data for cSCC
intermediate-risk cSCC to better outcomes. outcomes are less mature
(IRcSCC), and HRcSCC on than those for melanoma.
the basis of the most contem- Therefore, we propose that
porary data. We will also an absolute risk of 20% or
discuss a framework for management based on these higher for LR and NM constitutes a reasonable
risk levels. action threshold for defining HRcSCC.

WHAT ARE REASONABLE THRESHOLDS WHAT ARE THE EVIDENCE-BASED


FOR RISK STRATIFCIATION OF cSCC? PATIENT AND TUMOR CHARACTERISTICS
The risk stratification of cSCC is inherently arbi- THAT DEFINE LRcSCC, IRcSCC, AND
trary, although reasonable reference points exist HRcSCC?
within cutaneous oncology. Furthermore, despite The Brigham and Women’s Hospital (BWH) stag-
its arbitrary nature, risk stratification offers value ing system (Table I) is derived from a single-
because it has the potential to incorporate data, such institution cohort of approximately 1800 tumors.
as immunosuppression data, that are currently ab- Not only does the cohort represent the data set for
sent from any staging systems. At the same time, cSCC that has most robust outcomes, but the BWH
stratification may guide management decisions that staging system also currently appears to be the most
are presently based on predominantly empirical precise. BWH T2b/T3 tumors represented 5% of the
data, including considerations of the associated risks cohort but the majority of NMs (70%) and disease-
and costs of various options, as well as more unified specific deaths (DSDs) (83%). In contrast, NM and
research efforts regarding cohorts that have histori- DSD were reported in T2a tumors, albeit at a much
cally been ill defined or not defined at all. lower rate.16 Thus, tumors with a single risk factor
First, the risks of LR and NM for the entire have the potential to develop adverse outcomes. A
cohort of patients with cSCC are each approxi- recent meta-analysis analyzed more than 23,000
mately 2% to 5%.4,16 Given this baseline risk for all tumors and is the most comprehensive analysis of
patients with cSCC, we propose an upper limit of single risk factors for cSCC outcomes to date.18 That
5% for the LRcSCC cohort. The next level of study quantified data that supplement BWH risk
distinction lies between the IRcSCC and HRcSCC stratification of T2a tumors. The application of meta-
cohorts. We believe that this threshold may be analysis data requires consideration of relative risk
extrapolated from other cutaneous malignancies, and heterogeneity of data, the latter of which is
and melanoma is the most thoroughly studied. In quantified with the I2 statistic. Values of 0% and 100%
the case of melanoma, a 10% or higher risk for are associated with low and high levels of
occult nodal disease is the standard accepted heterogeneity, respectively.19 Values of 30% to 60%
action threshold for consideration of a sentinel may represent moderate heterogeneity,20 and given
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Table I. Brigham and Women’s Hospital staging Table III. Follow-up recommendations
system Risk category Follow-up frequency
Tumor stage Definition Low-risk cSCC Annually
T1 0 risk factors Intermediate-risk cSCC 6-12 mo for 2 y, then annually
T2a 1 risk factor High-risk cSCC 2-4 mo for 2 y, then annually;
T2b 2-3 risk factors consider repeating imaging
T3 $4 risk factors OR bone invasion yearly for 2 y

Risk factors are diameter of $2 cm, poorly differentiated histologic cSCC, Cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma.
findings, perineural invasion of at least 0.1 mm, and invasion
beyond subcutaneous fat. adjuvant radiation for cSCC.10 Currently, the immu-
Adapted from Karia et al.16 nosuppressed population with the most robust out-
comes data is the cohort with chronic lymphocytic
Table II. Risk stratification of primary cSCC and leukemia (CLL) or non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma. Not
associated absolute risks for outcomes only do they have an increased risk for cSCC, but also
the LR rates after Mohs micrographic surgery (MMS)
Risk category and risk factors
Absolute risk
for LR
Absolute risk
for NM
are reported at 13.4%.23 Furthermore, 1 study, which
included 377 tumors in 133 patients, demonstrated
Low-risk cSCC
that Rai stage24 (low stage, I-II; high stage, III-IV) is an
BWH T1 0.6% 0.1%
BWH T2a 5% 3%
independent risk factor in cSCC outcomes stratified by
Intermediate-risk cSCC BWH staging.25 Specifically, BWH T1/T2a tumors
BWH T2a with 6% 12% with a high Rai stage had a higher rate (16.9%) of
diameter [2 cm LR, NM, and DSD than BWH T1/T2a tumors with a
BWH T2a with depth 14% d low Rai stage (5.3%). For patients with BWH T2/T3
beyond SC fat tumors, LR, NM, and DSD were increased for patients
High-risk cSCC with a low (27.3%) or high (50%) Rai stage. Therefore,
BWH T2b/T3 21% 67% we believe that another significant and well-
BWH T2a with depth d 22% documented prognostic factor is CLL with Rai stage
beyond SC fat III or IV.
BWH T2a AND CLL with 25% 37%
On the basis of the best available current data, we
Rai stage III or IV
propose that the criteria outlined in Table II16,18,25 be
BWH, Brigham and Women’s Hospital; CLL, chronic lymphocytic used to define primary LRcSCC, IRcSCC, and HRcSCC
leukemia; cSCC, cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma; LR, local for the outcomes of LR and NM.
recurrence; NM, nodal metastasis; SC, subcutaneous.
Adapted from Thompson et al,18 Karia et al,16 and Velez et al.25
A FRAMEWORK FOR MANAGEMENT OF
HRcSCC
As the risk for tumors increases, so too
the heterogeneous nature of cSCC data, an upper should consideration of a multidisciplinary
limit of 60% for I2 is a reasonable cutoff. When a approach. All patients with cSCC should be
relative risk of 5 or higher (as discussed earlier) and educated on self-examination, encouraged to follow
an I2 less than 60% are applied to cSCC, the 2 risk sun-protective measures, and educated on the
factors that qualify are tumor invasion beyond importance of recommended follow-up. There are
subcutaneous fat and diameter larger than 2 cm. no data on the correlation between follow-up times
Current staging systems for cSCC do not and outcomes. However, we recommend that
include immunosuppression as an independent risk follow-up intervals be based on the risk stratification
factor.16,21,22 There is a paucity of outcomes data that of the tumor (Table III) and that each follow-up visit
adjust for staging of primary cSCC across the various include a thorough palpation and visualization for
types of immunosuppression. A recent study of 205 cutaneous and nodal recurrence.
patients, including 58% with recurrent tumors,
demonstrated an increased risk of locoregional recur- Radiologic and surgical staging for occult
rence (hazard ratio, 5.0; P = .0025) in a heterogeneous nodal metastases
group of immunosuppressed patients (including or- All patients with cSCC should have a thorough
gan transplant recipients, patients with hematologic examination of the draining nodal beds at the time of
malignancies, and patients with HIV) compared with definitive treatment for the tumor. Additional staging
immunocompetent patients treated with surgery and is not recommended for LRcSCC. For IRcSCC and
144 Baum et al J AM ACAD DERMATOL
JANUARY 2018

Table IV. Considerations for staging options and adjuvant therapy for HRcSCC
Local Adjuvant therapy for local Nodal Positive Adjuvant therapy for nodal
BWH Disease-specific recurrence recurrence: ‘‘safety margin,’’ metastasis SLNB metastasis: SLNB, imaging,
stage death rate, % rate, % immunostains, radiotherapy rate, % rate, % and radiotherapy
T1 0 0.6 None 0.1 0 None
T2a 1 5 Consider ‘‘safety margin’’ and/ 3 7 None
or immunostains if PNI or
poor tumor differentiation
T2b 10 21 Encourage ‘‘safety margin’’ 21 29 Consider imaging; consider
and/or immunostains; SLNB or radiotherapy to
consider radiotherapy to nodal basin
primary site especially if PNI
or poor tumor differentiation
T3 100 67 Encourage ‘‘safety margin’’ 67 50 Recommend imaging;
excision, immunostaining, encourage SLNB or
and radiotherapy radiotherapy to nodal basin

Data derived from Karia et al,16 Thompson et al,18 and Schmitt et al.26
BWH, Brigham and Women’s Hospital; HRcSCC, high-risk cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma; PNI, perineural invasion; SLNB, sentinel lymph
node biopsy.

Table V. Advantages and disadvantages of staging options and adjuvant therapy, stratified by type of
recurrence
SO or AT Advantage Disadvantage
Local recurrence
‘‘Safety margin’’ (AT) Removal of discontiguous tumor Tissue loss; complexity of repair
Immunostains (AT) Detection of subtle tumor Time (h); technical expertise
Radiotherapy to primary site (AT) Destruction of discontiguous tumor Time (wk); morbidity, logistics
Nodal metastasis
Imaging (SO) Noninvasive; detection of subclinical Relatively low sensitivity
nodal disease
Sentinel lymph node biopsy (SO) Early detection of microscopic disease General anesthesia; surgical morbidity
and removal of metastasis
Radiotherapy to nodal basin (AT) Destruction of micrometastatic tumor Time (wk); high morbidity

AT, Adjuvant therapy; SO, staging option.

HRcSCC, however, additional staging may be DSD) compared with those who did not have
considered. A summary of the staging recommenda- imaging. The authors attributed these results to
tions, considerations, advantages, and disadvantages earlier intervention of advanced disease.31 Positron
is presented in Table IV16,18,26 and Table V. The emission tomographyeCT, although not as well
purpose of staging for occult nodal metastases in described, has demonstrated particular utility in
these cohorts is to decrease the morbidity and patients with cSCC and CLL and may be attributable
mortality related to macroscopic nodal disease. to more intense uptake from cSCC than background
Ultrasonography has been suggested in the nodal involvement of CLL.32 There are no
evaluation of clinically node-negative patients with prospective studies describing the sensitivity,
oral squamous cell carcinoma,27,28 as well as for specificity, or survival benefit of radiologic staging
patients with melanoma and occult NM.29,30 for cSCC.
Although ultrasonography is an intriguing option, SLNB is also an option for staging cSCC. SLNB is a
we are unaware of any data related to detection of safe14 and feasible15 method for identifying a
occult nodal disease from cSCC. Other forms of sentinel lymph node in cSCC, including tumors of
imaging, especially computed tomography (CT), the head and neck. A 2014 meta-analysis reported
have been more extensively analyzed. In the largest that BWH T2b and T3 tumors are associated with
retrospective study to date (N = 98), patients with positive SLNB rates of 29.4% and 50%, respectively.26
BWH T2b/T3 tumors and imaging (79% had CT) had Subsequent studies have demonstrated a positive
50% fewer disease-related outcomes (LR, NM, or SLNB rate in variably defined cohorts ranging from
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12.3%14 to 15.1%15 and negative predictive values of cSCC in negative surgical margins in patients with
98% after a median follow-up of 19.4 months (range, cSCC and CLL or non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma.
2.4-41).14 Recent data have emphasized the Despite meticulous surgical technique and
importance of serial step sectioning of lymph node microscopic scrutiny of margins, LR may occur after
specimens with immunohistochemical staining to margins are interpreted as negative.11,16,23 Data on
minimize false-negative results.15 Although the adjuvant options for HRcSCC in this setting are
impact of SLNB on outcomes of cSCC requires sparse, and adjuvant radiotherapy (ART) is
further study, current data suggest that SLNB may the most commonly described option. Generally,
be considered in practice and should be studied reports of radiotherapy for cSCC are retrospective;
further in comparison with imaging modalities in are underpowered; describe concomitant chemo-
properly selected, high-risk populations, such as the therapy; are frequently missing data regarding
HRcSCC cohort. Within a multidisciplinary surgical margin status; and are enriched for patients
approach, we consider SLNB for all BWH T2b/T3 with recurrent disease, perineural invasion, and/or
tumors and T2a tumors that are larger than 2 cm in NM.10,33,34 To date, it appears that radiotherapy after
diameter. If SLNB is not performed, then either CT or surgery may offer improved rates of locoregional
positron emission tomographyeCT is recommen- recurrence in immunocompetent patients compared
ded. Rigorous clinical follow-up remains a critical with in immunosuppressed patients10 and improved
component in all patients with HRcSCC and may be a local disease control in patients with PNI,35,36
reasonable strategy alone for patients who will particularly in those with extensive microscopic
reliably return to the clinic. PNI but not in those with focal microscopic PNI.37
There are no prospective studies to date on the safety
and efficacy of ART after negative surgical margins
Locoregional disease control for HRcSCC. We conducted a retrospective analysis
LRcSCC can be effectively and efficiently of 32 patients treated with ART to the primary site
managed by a variety of options, such as superficial after negative MMS margins. After a median
destruction, wide local excision, and MMS. The follow-up time of 3.9 years,38 the LR rate was 3.8%
primary intervention for locoregional control of for BWH T2b/T3 tumors (n = 26) and the NM rates
IRcSCC and HRcSCC is surgery with negative were 0% for BWH T2b tumors (n = 20) and 17% for
margins. The efficacy of MMS was demonstrated in BWH T3 tumors (n = 6). Because the morbidity of
260 patients with cSCC with multiple risk factors radiotherapy is higher than that of any other option
($1 of the following: tumor [2 cm, perineural considered in this discussion, we reserve
invasion [PNI], ear/lip location, temple location in consideration of ART to the primary site after
elderly men, and immunosuppression). After a mean negative surgical margins only for HRcSCC.
follow-up of 3.9 years, the LR was 1.2% and the
metastasis rate was 2.3%.11 An LR rate of 13.4% has
been reported after MMS for SCC in patients with CONCLUSION
CLL, which may be attributed, in part, to the In this manuscript we have attempted to define
significant subclinical extension of tumors in these thresholds for LRcSCC, IRcSCC, and HRcSCC in the
patients.23 To optimize peripheral margin control context of existing data and the risk factors that
and to immediately characterize residual tumor, we constitute each risk level. We expect that this
recommend MMS as the preferred primary surgical three-tiered stratification will be refined in the future
intervention for IRcSCC and HRcSCC. Multikeratin and that the associated management should
immunostains may be included during MMS, and if continue to evolve. We look forward to
there is uncertainty in interpretation of the histology well-designed prospective efforts in this evolution
or if the tumor appears discontiguous, an that will ultimately lead to improved patient
additional margin (ie, ‘‘safety margin’’) of normal outcomes.
tissue may be resected and submitted for review of
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