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http://quicktake.morningstar.com/stocknet/secdocuments.aspx?symbol=cpki&GDLTab=Financials
2003 2004
Assets
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents 15,877 17,719
Investments in marketable securities 18,904 26,415
Trade accounts receivable 2,591 4,548
Inventories 2,892 3,068
Current deferred tax asset, net 29
Prepaid income tax 3,702 1,456
Other prepaid expenses and other current assets 3,633
Total assets
2003 2004
Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
Current liabilities:
Short-term borrowings 0 0
Accounts payable 4,069 4,686
Accrued compensation and benefits 12,034 12,620
Accrued rent 12,030 12,429
Deferred rent credits 7,845 3,483
Other accrued liabilities 9,536 12,514
Store closure reserve 0 0
Accrued income tax 1,375 0
2003 2004
Nowc
OCA 25,062 26,820
OCL 25,319 20,598
NOWC -257 6,222
Change in NOWC 0 6,479
2005 2006 2008 2009 2010
474,738 547,968
2,028 3,691
2,083 2,138
750 804
479,599 554,601
118,480 135,848
173,751 199,744
92,827 108,558
385,058 444,150
36,298 43,320
25,440 29,489
4,051 6,964
— —
1,160 —
152 707
600 —
26,840 29,971
— —
739 718
1,105 —
(22 —
1,822 718
28,662 30,689
9,172 9,689
10031.7 10741.15
19,490 21,000
0.67 0.72
0.66 0.7
29,068 29,118
29,607 29,818
188 205
157 176
62,383 65,406
7.5 5.9
45,922 37,917
213,408 255,382
4,513 5,867
5,967 7,754
4,444 3,593
274,254 310,513
2005 2006 2007E 2008 2009 2010
0 0
7,054 15,044 15,452 18,751 15,771 19,155
13,068 15,042
13,253 14,532 16,678 17,807 19,013
4,056 4,494 4,530 5,647 4,558 5,683
9,294 13,275
0 47
0 3,614 0 0 0 0
46,725 66,048
5,383 8,636
24,810 27,486
2005 2006
0 0 0 0 0 0
33,753 44,496 33,984 44,845 34,158 45,108
40,896 46,830 20,800 25,442 20,956 25,641
-7,142 -2,333 13,184 19,403 13,202 19,467
-7,329 4,809 15,517 6,219 -6,201 6,265
9.65% 7.49% 6.77% 106.77%
2003 2004
137 141
2.92%
168 171
1.79%
3.40% 8.00%
NPV
Add Non-operating
Value of Firm
Less BV(Debt)
Equity Value
Share(millions)
Price per Share
Debt Kd Wd
75000 6.16% 33.20%
10000 6.25% 37.63%
20000 6.25% 42.06%
30000 6.25% 46.48%
40000 6.25% 50.91%
50000 6.25% 55.34%
60000 6.25% 59.76%
70000 6.25% 64.19%
80000 6.25% 68.62%
90000 6.25% 73.05%
100000 6.25% 77.47%
110000 6.25% 81.90%
120000 6.25% 86.33%
130000 6.25% 90.75%
140000 6.25% 95.18%
150000 6.25% 99.61%
160000 6.25% 104.03%
growth 2004
Revenue 17.55%
Royalties from Kraft licensing agreement 5.45%
Domestic franchise revenues -3.42%
International franchise revenues 5.37%
Total Revenue 17.38%
Cost of Sales 18.08%
Gross Profits 14.60%
General and administrative (2) 34.00%
Depreciation and amortization 15.74%
Pre-opening costs -82.23%
Severance charges (3) -100.00%
Loss on impairment of property and equipment -100.00%
Store closure costs #DIV/0!
Legal settlement reserve #DIV/0!
352.04%
other cost -80.41%
admin cost 6.82%
Dep per ppe 6.84% 1.14%
ppe per sale 40.56%
ppe 130,532 171,338
CAPEX
Change in CAPEX
K rf 0.05
K m-rf 0.04
Ke 0.08
Kd 0.06
WACC 8.33%
K rf 0.05
K m-rf 0.04
Ke 0.09
Kd 0.06
WACC 8.27%
K rf $0.05
K m-rf 0.04
Ke 0.09
Kd 0.0616
WACC 8%
2005 2006
157 176
11.35% 12.10%
188 205
9.94% 9.04%
7.50% 5.90%
1,625,568.67
0.00
1,625,568.67
0
1,625,568.67
29,130.00
55.80
npv SP K rf
K m-rf
1,363,505.50 46.81 Ke
1,339,540.75 45.98 Kd
1,318,318.18 45.26 WACC
1,297,473.19 44.54
1,276,998.38 43.84
1,256,886.48 43.15
1,237,130.38 42.47 K rf
1,217,723.14 41.80 K m-rf
1,198,657.94 41.15 Ke
1,179,928.13 40.51 Kd
1,161,527.18 39.87 WACC
1,143,448.72 39.25
1,125,686.50 38.64
1,108,234.40 38.04
1,091,086.44 37.46
45.00% 53.00%
2,117,417.23 2,456,203.99
1,799,804.64 2,087,773.39 80.66% 80.53%
81.02% 80.74%
317,612.58 368,430.60
82,351.32 88,444.04
33,021.25 33,438.96
8,589.85 8,698.51
202,240.02 246,547.60
70,784.01 86,291.66
273,024.02 332,839.26
143,048.92 161,071.06
-6,200.95 6,264.93
33,021 33,439
169,197.30 198,942.23
2,565,820.78
2,764,763.02
Beta U 0.85
5.00% Wd 0.00% Beta L
4.00% We 100.00%
8.40% Tax 32.50%
6.16%
8.40%
Beta U
5.00% Wd 33.20% Beta L
4.00% We 66.80%
9.54% Tax 32.50%
6.16%
7.75%