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Kai Carstensen
Chair of Econometrics
Examination in Econometrics I
Preliminary remarks:
2. At the beginning of the exam, fill in the cover sheet and hand in after the exam is finished!
4. Write your name and enrolment (matriculation) number on every sheet of paper!
6. The exam consists of 4 problems printed on 4 pages plus 3 extra pages for answers. Check
your copy for completeness!
Good luck!
Name and Enrolment Number:
Assume E(x1 ) = µ1 , E(x2 ) = µ2 , E(x22 ) = µ3 , and all necessary higher moments exist and
are finite.
(a) Write down an estimable structural equation in terms of the observable variables x#
1
and x2 . Define the error as a function of e1 and u.
(b) State the conditions under which the OLS estimator β̂1 is biased. Explain briefly.
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4. Test whether γ is significantly different from zero. State the null and alternative hypotheses.
Derive a test decision at the 5% significance level given the estimates from question 3.
2
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where hours is the supply of hours (in hours per year), wage is the wage (in US dollars per hour),
age is the age (in years), nwif einc is household income other than that earned by the wife, and
educ is years of education. Assume that age, nwif einc, and educ are exogenous, i.e., uncorrelated
with u. In contrast, the wage is potentially endogenous.
1. State the conditions a variable needs to satisfy to qualify as a valid instrument for the wage.
2. Consider the case that there are as many instruments as there are regressors. Assume the
usual IV assumptions hold. Prove that the baseline IV estimator is asymptotically distributed
as √ d
N (β̂ IV − β) −→ Normal (0, V) .
Carefully state at which step you use which assumption. Also state V as a function of
moments of observable random variables.
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and
log(P ) = β21 log(Q) + α20 + α21 sub + α22 weather + u2 (4)
where Q denotes the average potato quantity sold on the local market (in tons per year), P denotes
the average potato price of the county (in dollars per kilo), sub denotes the subsidies a county
receives from a supranational organization for its agricultural sector (in Million dollars per year),
weather denotes the average county temperature (in degree Celsius), and inc denotes average
annual disposable household income (in dollars). Assume sub, weather, and inc are exogenous to
the potato market.
1. Write down the model in structural matrix form. Determine the parameter matrices Γ and
∆ and the variable vectors y, z and u.
2. Check by means of the order criterion whether the equations are identified (assuming all
αij 6= 0).
3. Suppose consistent estimation yielded β̂12 = −1.5, β̂21 = 2.0, and α̂21 = −0.04.
(c) Interpret the structural form effect and the reduced form effect of subsidies on the price
of potatoes. Briefly explain the economic mechanism by which the reduced form effect
of subsidies is absolutely much smaller than the structural form effect.
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