Rice and Corn Situation and Outlook, October 2017

Submitted by m.cammayo on Tue, 2017-11-21 11:01

Highlights:
Probable palay production for October-December 2017 may surpass the 2016 level by 6.26 percent,
while, corn production may decline by 5.41 percent. The anticipated increment in output may be
attributed to the increase in yield resulting from sustained use of high yielding varieties coupled with
sufficient water supply during the early stages of crop development. Cutback in corn areas are
foreseen due to shifting of crops, inadequate supply of quality seeds and unrealized plantings caused
by often occurrence of rains.

Palay and corn production for calendar year 2017 may rise by 10.11 percent and 9.72 percent,
respectively as compared to 2016 level.

Based on farmers’ planting intentions, probable production of palay and corn for January-March 2018
based on farmers’ planting intentions may incur positive growths of 2.58 percent and 5.45 percent,
respectively.
Release Date:
Tuesday, November 21, 2017
Palay:

The July-September 2017 palay production at 3.39 million MT rose by 14.17 percent from the output
of 2.97 million MT recorded in the same quarter of previous year. Harvest area expanded by 14.43
percent from last year’s level of 745 thousand hectares to 853 thousand hectares this year. Yield per
hectare remained at 3.98 MT from the previous year’s level (Table 1.3).

 Addition in output were notable in Cagayan Valley (1.54 percent), Central Luzon (2.73 percent),
MIMAROPA (1.40 percent), Western Visayas (6.06 percent), and SOCCSKSARGEN (1.27 percent).
o Increases in harvest areas across regions were attributed mainly on sufficient water supply and
government interventions on the provision of high yielding varieties seeds and fertilizer support
during the cropping period.

Corn:

Production for July-September 2017 at 2.59 million MT, decreased by 2.74 percent from the 2.66
million MT output in same quarter of 2016. Harvest area declined to 884.21 thousand hectares or
by 8.58 percent from the 2016 level of 967.23 thousand hectares. However, yield per hectare improved
from 2.75 MT in 2016 to 2.93 MT in 2017 (Table 2.3).

 Cut-back in the output were shared mostly by Northern Mindanao (2.27

percent), SOCCSKSARGEN (2.28 percent) and ARMM (3.24 percent).
 Reduction in harvest area were attributed to the following:
o Marshy areas in ARMM were planted to palay;
o Heavy rains caused lodging of crop and delayed harvesting in Zamboanga Peninsula and
SOCCSKSARGEN, respectively; and
o Shifting of crop from corn to tobacco and cacao in Northern Mindanao and rubber, coffee and
oil palm in SOCCSKSARGEN.