Centre integre d'évaluation du terrorisme TAAT35:E i) 2017-03-31 UNCLASSIFIED For Official Use Only Special Event: 2017 Juno Awards TERRORISM THRE LEVEL FOR CANADA T (On 2017 04 02, Ottawa, Ontario will host the 2017 Juno Awards, 2 Canadian annual awards ceremony honouring outstanding The Juno Awards logo ‘achievements in the music industry. Named after Pierre Juneau, the first chaifperson of the Canadian Radio-television and ‘Telecommunications Commission (CRTC), the first Juno Awards took place in 197% to raise the public profile and recognition of ‘musical ariists in Canada. Approximately 13,000 spectators will be present, as well as many high-profile artists from the music industry. TTAC Is aware encod that the Honourable Mélanie Joly, Minister of Canadian Heritage will atend. ITAC notes that other high-ranking public dignitaries and officials will De present, possibly including the Right Honourable Justin Trudeau, Prime Minister of Canada land the Right Honorable David Johnston, Governor General of Canada, The event will be broadcast on national television, In 2016, the Juno Awards had a cumulative viewership of 1.7 millon, ASSESSMENT + Scope: This assessment only assesses the threat from terrorism, defined as violence against persons or property for the purpose of achieving a poiical, religious or ideological objective. This assessment does not include the threat of violence from local or trans-national armed conflict, civil unrest, or organized crime as that ‘does not fall within ITAC’s mandate. Additionally, this assessment does not include groups or inaividuals who have actively protested against past intemational events and may be motivated by various agendas, including environmental, anti-government, or sectarian issues. Terrorism Threat Environment in Can ITA assesses that a violent act of terrorism in Canada could occur ASSESSMENT NOTE This assessment is based on open Sources ani informed by inteligence DEFINITIONS and HANDLING INSTRUCTIONS are located athe isUNCLASSIFIED TA1TIS5-E 1 Page 2018 For Official Use Only ITAC assesses that a violent act of terrorism affecting uniformed personnel in Canada could occur, + ITAC judges that Canada-based extremists inspired by violent ideologies, such as those propagated by DAESH or al-Qaida (AQ) and its affiliates, targeting unsecured or ightly secured locations, pose the principal terrorism threat to Canada. Individuals inspired by various radical ideologies typically act alone or in relatively ‘small groups, and attack planning can progress rapidly with litle to no warning. + Examples of attacks and attack plotting in Canada include: + On 2017 01 29, Alexandre Bissonnette, a Quebec resident and University of Laval student, was responsible for carrying out a small-arms attack at the Grande mosque de Québec in Quebec City. ‘According to media reporting on 2017 02 06, the RCMP described Bissonnette as a ‘criminal extremist”. Bissonnette was charged with six counts of first-degree murder and five counts of altempted murder using a restricted firearm, Bissonnette had been inspired by extreme nght-wing ideology, which opposed immigration to Quebec + On 2016 08 10, Aaron Driver, Canadian-based DAESH supporter located in Strathroy, Ontario, intended to conduct a jone-actor attack against a large urban centre during rush hour. He was shot and killed after detonating an improvised explosive device (IED) when confronted by police outside his home + On 2016 03 14, a Montreal-bomn, 27-year-okd male, Ayanle Hassan Ali, was arrested after he carried out a knife attack in a Canadian Forces recruitment centre in Toronto. According to open sources, during the incident the attacker said, “Allah told me to come here and kill people.” + On 2014 10 22, Michael Joseph Paul Zehat-Bibeau conducted an ideologically inspired attack at the Canadian National War Memorial and Pariament Hil, kiling a uniformed CAF soldier standing ‘quard al the Canadian National War Memorial. Zehaf-Bibeau was later shot and killed inside the Centre Block of Parliament Hill; + Two days earlier on 2014 10 20, an ideologically inspired vehicular attack by Martin Couture- Rouleau on uniformed personnel in Saint-Jear-sur-Richelieu, Quebec, resulted in the death of one CAF member. : DAESH elements are continuing attempts to inspire tone-actors to conduct attacks against Canada through targeted messaging and online propaganda, On 2016 08 16, the pro-DAESH alWad Foundation Telegram channel posted two online propaganda posters threatening future lone-actor attacks in Canada. The first poster depicted the CN Tower in flames and the second depicted a fighter standing on a street in a destroyed city. The posters included messages warning of fulure lone-actor attacks, “O worshippers of the cross in Canada, now now (ITAC COMMENT: [SIC) fighting came, our wolves will come to you trom ‘where you will not know so you wont enjoy life." Various pro-DAESH media outlets have since reposted these threals across several social media sites. + On 2016 06 28, the pro-DAESH hacking group the United Cyber Caliphate (UCC) released @ new “kill list™ online containing 12,677 exclusively Canadian entries, according to open sources. The list was accompanied by a message inciting “individual wolves’ to immediately kill “12,000 crusaders” in Canada, This occurred weeks afler pro-DAESH hacking groups Telegram Caliphate Cyber Amy, Ghosts Caliphate, and the UCC posted another “kil ist" ontine on 2016 06 07, which included the names and addresses of 152 Canadians with accompanying death threats.UNCLASSIFIED TATTISE » pagesers For Official Use Only Threats to Special Events + Directed or inspired attacks offen include open-area sporting and special events where crowds of people move fluily over a large geographic area, + On 2016 11 11, authorities in Kosovo announced thal, after a series of arrests, they had detained 18 (later 19) suspecs linked to DAESH, who were planning to attack a World Cup qualifying soccer ‘match between Israel and Albania taking place in 2016 11 12. + On 2016 09 17, the Semper Five charity race in Seaside Park, New Jersey, was believed to be the target of an IED planted by Ahmad Khan Rahami, No injuries were reported. Later thal same day, Rahami set off another explosive device in the Chelsea neighbourhood of New York City, injuring thirty-one persons + On 2016 07 14, Mohamed Lahouaie)-Bouhlel, drove a truck info crowds celebrating Bastille Day in Nice, France, kiling 84 persons and injuring hundreds of others + On 2016 11 13, threo individuals detonated suicide bombs in the vicinity of the Stade de France in Paris during a soccer match between the French and German national men's teams. + On 2013 04 18, two individuals detonated an IED at the finish line of the 117th Boston Marathon, kiling three persons and wounding hundreds of others, The Broader Threat Environment DAESH will often use propaganda to offer instruction in an attempt to inspire individuals to conduct an attack These individuals are often previously unknown to authorities for terrorism offences and can mount an attack with fitle or no warning, + On 2018 11 26, DAESH's Wilayah Ar Raqgah media office released a video entitled “You must fight them | Muwahhid’, which details "how to make simple explosive substances with common ingredients", and appropriate knife selection and usage for an attack, (On 2016 10 31, a pro-DAESH Telegram channel, “Dabiq’, urged DAESH supporters and soldiers everywhere to emulate terrorist attacks that have taken place in different paris of the world including the US and Westen Europe, and to use “cars, knives, and rocks to kill infidels” : trend in using vehicular attacks. Vehicles are easy to obtain, the intentions to conduct an attack are difficult to detect, and they can amass casuakies in a short period. Examples ofthis include the July 2016 Nice, France attack, and on 2017 03 22. a vehicle driven by Khalid Masood, rammed into pedestrians along Westminster Bridge before stopping on the perimeter of the Palace of Westminster in London, UK. He exiled the vehicle and fatally stabbed a police officer before being shot and kiled by authorities, leaving five dead and ‘an estimated 50 people injured + On 2016 11 11, DAESH released the third issue of the Rumiyah magazine, this issue provided guidance on vehicular-based attacks. Il called on supporters in the US and Europe to use large trucks to target large ‘outdoor gatherings, crowded streets, outdoor markets, festivals, parades, and political rallies. , : attacks will often test security measures in an attempt to access venues and secured areas, but wil then conduct the attack outside of secure areas when challenged by securily officials: + On 2016 06 08, three individuats conducted an armed assault before detonating suicide bombs at Istanbul's Ataturk International Airport. One detonsting his bomb in the parking area outside the terminal after being confronted by a security official, The other two attackers conducted a firearms attack, commencing al a screening checkpoint. The attack killed 47 people, including the three {errorists, and injured a further 236 people ~he peUNCLASSIFIED TAITAS-E Pages For Official Use Only + Before the previously-mentioned 2015 11 13 attack in France, at least one of the allackers had a ticket to the soccer match and had intended to detonate his explosive device inside the stadium, but was blocked from entering by security personnel, While security personnel were able to prevent the suicide bombers from successfully carrying out an attack inside the stadium, where the number of casualties would have likely been much higher, the bombers opted to detonate their devices outside the venue. + The above-mentioned attacks are notable examples of the vulnerability of both high-profile special events and ‘open-air celebrations to terrorist attacks. Events such as the Juno Awards, and other public events where large ‘crowds move fluidly throughout, along with the presence of high-profile individuals and officials, present attractive targets for terrorist groups. ¢TAATIS5-E 0 Page sot5 THREATLEVEL 1) DEFINITIONS CRITICAL HIGH MEDIUM VERY LOW UNCLASSIFIED For Official Use Only Threat levels: raised Flowered remains: TTAC assesses tot a woerh ato er WIGHLY UKELY and OULD occ x TAC assesses that a volt ect ol ern UKELY. TAC aesesees that a volent act of eoxsm courboceuR. TAC assesces tht a vole at of tetris POSSIBLE BUT UNLIKELY TAC assesses ota violent at of eons HIGHLY UNLIKELY AC was tn queria and uaitave ana ppg tor tive! vs The sty la vee ena yee actor caing caret HANDLING INSTRUCTIONS ce, acon rat, xls he net apse, nd aac Fanucey eo rou TAC caso he mcemason ay to ers line evel vel aed. so steno oy ort ih eo ame ‘This document isthe property ofthe negated Teronsm Assessment Certe TAC). Prepared by ITAC, fis derived fom various sources wth information effective as ofthe date of publeaicn. iis provided fo your ageneydeparment in corfience and may be {unter disseminated by your apereydepar ‘wiout te consent ofthe ongnator ‘Ay feeack shu be directed via ema to TAC at 10 those wh he reed to know. mst not be ruses nary way, ole or Ba, This doctmert consitues & record which may be subject to mandatory exemption under the Access to Information Ato he Prvacy ‘at. The Itomation o irteligence may also be prteced by Ihe provons of the Canada Evidence Act The infomation st inttigence must ret be disclose or used as evidence witout por consultation wih TAC.