Professional Documents
Culture Documents
&
Climate Data
Robert J. Hijmans
http://www.diva-gis.org
Data exploration
Patterns of diversity and turnover
Geo-Cluster
Model Species Distribution
Known Modeled: Modeled:
Distribution Current climate Future climate
www.diva-gis.org - program, manual, and data
Climate Data
‘Current’ climate
CRU-TS
WorldClim
Future climate
Estimates of
current (past) climate
Precipitation (mm)
Temperature (°C)
ºC / year
Temperature change during
the 20th century
CRU-TS
ºC / year
Different models:
HADCM, ECHAM, CCCMA, CSRIO
Different scenarios
ISO92, IPCC SRES
Spatial resolution
Different models, different results
CCMa HADCM
ECHAM GFDL
Change in mean annual
temperature (°C) SRES A2
Emission
scenarios
A2a HadCM
model
B2a
Change in mean annual
temperature (°C)
Duffy et al. LLNL
Statistical downscaling, “delta method”
Temperature change Current climate
Downscaled
& calibrated
future climate
http://www.worldclim.org/