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Sector Report

Banking in
Africa
kpmg.com/africa
The series has the following reports:

• Oil and Gas in Africa


• Private Equity in Africa
• Manufacturing in Africa
• Fast-Moving Consumer Goods in Africa
• Luxury Goods in Africa
• The African Consumer and Retail
• White Goods in Africa
• Insurance in Africa
• Agriculture in Africa
• Power in Africa
• Construction in Africa
• Healthcare in Africa
Contents
Introduction and Overview 2

Regional Sector Profile 3

Southern Africa 3

East African Community 5

Central and West Africa 6

The Market for Banking 7

Key Growth Drivers 9

Remaining Challenges 10

Conclusion 11

Source of Information 12

Contact Details back page


1 | Banking in Africa

Introduction and Overview

“A growing body of evidence suggests Financial sectors on the African continent remain
that financial institutions and financial largely underdeveloped, while banking industries
continue to dominate the landscape in terms of
markets exert a powerful influence total assets and services. Nonetheless, financial
on economic development, poverty sector development has been on the agenda of
alleviation, and economic stability.” African policymakers for some time. Various policy
reforms over the past decade have contributed to
Source: Cihák et al. 2012. an environment more conducive to financial sector
development. Governments have made progress
in introducing much needed legal regulatory
frameworks, information infrastructure and
regulatory institutions. As a result, the depth and
coverage of financial systems, when measured by
the ratios of broad money volumes of bank deposits
and private sector credit to GDP, have improved
over the past two decades 1. Nevertheless, Africa’s
financial sector continues to be less developed
compared to other emerging market regions.
Findings from a benchmarking study commissioned
by the World Bank during 2012 support this
assessment2. Examining various indicators in
relation to financial system access, depth, efficiency
and stability3; the findings suggest that sub-Saharan
Africa (SSA) performed weakest on average.

1
European Investment Bank. 2013.
2
Cihák et al. 2012.
3
The authors distinguish between financial institutions and financial markets when examining the financial systems of various regions. Due to the fact
that Africa’s financial sectors are mostly dominated by financial institutions (higher average financial structure ratio), the findings referring to the latter
is probably more indicative of actual performance.
Banking in Africa | 2

Introduction and Overview

However, Africa enjoys certain key advantages that


will enable the continent to equal or even surpass at
least some of its emerging market counterparts in
terms of financial sector development in the coming
decade and beyond. Most African financial markets
are open to new entrant including foreign players
compared to other emerging market economies.
The growing presence of subsidiaries of major global
banks on the continent has undoubtedly improved
the quality of financial services in recent years; the
focus here has largely, but not exclusively, been on
high margin corporate businesses as opposed to
retail banking sector. However the largest markets,
Nigeria and South Africa are dominated by large local
players.
The continent has also often been at the forefront
of new technological advances and other innovative
methods to reach new customers and simplify
access to banking, especially in more rural locations.
However, more than anything else, Africa represents
massive financial sector growth potential due to
the fact that the market is still largely unsaturated.
According to the World Bank, only 14.9% of adults
in SSA had deposit accounts with commercial
banks in 2012. Africa’s flourishing middle class,
forecast to triple over the next two decades,
further supports the massive potential that lies
within Africa’s growing consumer base. Indeed,
with real GDP per capita in many African countries
having climbed past the critical $1,000-level, a
rapid expansion in retail banking is foreseen in
coming years. The World Bank projected retail
banking in SSA to grow at a compound annual
rate of 15% between 2013 and 2020, bringing the
sector’s contribution to the continent’s collective
GDP to 19% from an estimated 11% in 2009. To
do so however, institutions will continually need
to embrace innovative strategies so as to shape
banking products to fit consumers’ rising financial
sophistication needs as well as to tap into the
continent’s massive ‘unbanked’ population.
3 | Banking in Africa

Regional Sector Profile

The banking sectors across sub-Saharan Africa highly concentrated at an aggregate level, there
remain highly concentrated. According to the World are subtle but significant differences in relation to
Bank’s Global Financial Development database, the financial sector development between countries and
three largest banks held 78.2% of the total banking within regions. Below we briefly consider financial
sector assets on average across sub-Saharan development in Africa from a regional perspective,
African countries in 2011. This statistic increased while also highlighting key banking sector
to 91.2% when the five largest banks were developments in country-level case studies.
considered. Although the banking sector remains

Southern Africa
The level of financial development is especially fairly developed financial markets in an African
diverse between the various countries within context. Countries at the other end of the spectrum
the Southern African (SA) region. While South include the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC),
Africa is the obvious frontrunner, other countries Madagascar and Malawi.
like Mauritius, Botswana and Namibia also have
Banking in Africa | 4

Regional Sector Profile

Regardless, the banking sector in the Southern show significant potential for growth, despite non-
African region has experienced significant growth in performing loans ratio being quite high (around 6%).
the past decade. Even though this has gone hand-in- The reduced level of bancarization (around 25%),
hand with positive credit expansion in most cases, mainly in the interior regions, and the relatively low
credit to the private sector as a percentage of GDP diversification and complexity of products offer a
remains low by international standards. Although, strong potential for growth, although the scarcity of
amongst the regions in Africa, the Southern African qualified staff can represent a real constrain.
median is slightly higher than the median of the East
A significant effort in the Regulatory front has been
African and Central and West African regions (see
observed in the last few years, although the levels of
accompanying figure4). Countries that have made
compliance still lag behind international standards.
significant inroads in this regard, albeit from a low
The Angolan government has introduced tougher
base, include Angola, Mozambique and Tanzania. In
regulations for banks on ownership disclosure,
general, Southern African banks are well capitalised,
auditing and risk management. This intends to
and mostly have lower non-performing loan (NPL)
increase and supervision in the booming financial
ratios when compared to the other regions on the
sector. In addition, stricter rules on auditing, risk
continent.
management, compliance and stress testing will
In addition, the European Investment Bank (EIB) enhance the central bank’s to supervise the financial
notes that many governments in the region are system. Implementation of the new regulations will
assisting financial market development by issuing be required by the end of 2014.
benchmark-setting sovereign bonds, which would
ultimately aid domestic companies in accessing Zambia
foreign finance. There is also better cooperation Zambia’s banking sector is relatively well developed
on a regional level, such as through the Southern in an African context, although the financial sector
African Development Community’s (SADC) remains highly concentrated with the largest four
Committee of Central Bank Governors. However, banks holding nearly two-thirds of total banking
the region still faces major challenges, many of assets by 2013. There has been a steady increase
which are synonymous with broader continent in electronic banking and related services over the
wide issues. Even in countries with fairly developed last 5 years. The structure of the banking sector
financial sectors, services are often mostly comprises of 19 commercial banks, of which 15 are
directed at established businesses and higher foreign owned, three is locally owned by private
income households. In the less developed sub- investors and one is jointly owned by the Zambian
sample, challenges are still numerous and include: and Indian governments. The banking sector has
challenging legal environments, limited information, maintained a strong capital position in recent years,
poor infrastructure, and uneven regulatory functions. which allowed the financial sector to show resilience
in the face of global economic turmoil in 2007-08.
Angola However, a large portion of the Zambian populace in
The Angolan banking system is highly concentrated, rural areas remains unbanked, and vulnerable to loan
with five banks representing approximately 78% sharking activities due to poor access to financial
of total Assets. While the sector has seen rapid services. The government intends to increase
expansion, there is still a high concentration of credit financial inclusion from a current level of 37.3%
in Luanda and coastal regions, as well as companies (as at June 2013) to 50% by 2015. The government
linked to the oil sector. identified branch expansion from the current 351
and increased product innovation as pivotal to
The Angolan banking system has experienced
effective financial service provision. The increase
strong growth over the past two decades, with
in the capital requirement for the Banks effective 31
ROE above 20% on average, resulting mainly from
December 2013 is also expected to have a positive
high interest rate government bonds and foreign
effect on the economy.
exchange transactions, whilst the loan books still

4
The box-plot graph indicates the minimum, quartile 1, median, quartile 3 and maximum values for the respective country credit to private sector
percentages of GDP for each region during 2012. Two outliers were removed as follows: South Africa (151%) and Mauritius (101%).
5 | Banking in Africa

Regional Sector Profile

East African Community


Financial sectors in the East African Community Uganda
(EAC) are dominated by the banking industries,
the development of which varies greatly between The Ugandan banking sector performed relatively
countries. In this sense, Kenya leads the way and is poorly in 2013 compared to 2012. The sector profit
the only country whose local banks have achieved a before tax was Ushs 560 billion compared to Ushs
significant presence throughout the region. In most 728 billion in 2012. I.e. decline of 23%. Total sector
other countries, local banks focus predominantly assets grew to Ushs 17.419 trillion from Ushs 15.189
on domestic markets. Most of the banking sectors trillion. Capital adequacy levels remained strong,
in the region, with the exception of Kenya, have while liquidity and funding conditions improved.
significantly more foreign banks than local banks However, bank lending growth remained lower
operating in local markets. than the previous year, with banks reducing their
risk-weighted assets and switching to investing
According to the EIB, foreign banks account for in government securities. According to a New
comparatively large shares of total banking assets. Vision survey, commercial bank lending rates in
Similar to the Southern African region, the EAC Uganda are the highest in East Africa, leading to
financial sector has witnessed significant progress lower than projected credit growth and to climbing
over the past 10 years. Reforms during this time NPL ratios. The average shilling commercial bank
included the liberalisation of state-owned bank lending rate in Uganda hit 23% in July 2013. In turn,
systems, restructuring of loss-making financial lending rates in Kenya usually average between
institutions as well as improved governance. 12% and 15%. Commercial banks have blamed
As a result, credit to the private sector as a share of the high lending rates on the high cost of deposit
GDP increased significantly, most notably in Kenya, mobilisation. Bankers say this is likely to continue
Tanzania and Uganda. However, credit to the private until the financial institutions act is changed to
sector as a percentage of GDP remains very low on allow for agency banking, or until commercial oil
average. Loan-to-deposit ratios are slightly higher on production starts. The former will increase the
average than those of the Southern African region. banked population by simplifying the use of a current
The same applies to average NPL ratios. account, thus increasing deposits, while the latter
will increase liquidity in the banking sector. The
Kenya central bank has continued to use moral suasion to
encourage commercial banks to reduce the spread
The Kenyan banking sector comprises 43 between interest on deposits and on loans, but
commercial banks. The sector is relatively well success has been limited.
developed and dynamic, while access to credit
has been boosted over the past decade by the Tanzania
advent of mobile and agency banking. A number of
Kenyan banks have also expanded into neighbouring Tanzania’s financial system remains stable thanks
countries. Prudential guidelines introduced in 2012 to several years of successful financial reforms.
have helped to improve banks’ risk management Market-friendly reforms in the 1990s reduced
practices. The sector has continued to record strong the government’s share in the financial sector
growth during 2013, seeing as the deposit base and opened financial services to private sector
expanded by 12.5%, while gross loans grew by participation. The liberalised financial sector has
17.65% y-o-y in December 2013. become more competitive and the quality of
financial services has improved with the entry of
Also, the demand for credit picked up significantly foreign banks. Although a number of banks are
following the peaceful conclusion of elections in foreign-owned, the sector has not been significantly
March 2013. Credit demand was further boosted by affected by the turmoil in global financial markets
lower interest rates and an upbeat macroeconomic of the past five years. Mobile banking in Tanzania
outlook. Kenya’s banking sector has a favourable has also shown impressive growth. However, the
outlook for 2014. This view is supported by solid strong growth in the mobile banking sector requires
macroeconomic fundamentals, continued expansion additional monitoring to ensure the sub-sector does
of Kenyan banks into the region, further expansion not create excess risk in the general banking sector.
of the branch network and agency banking in the At the end of April 2013, the volume of transactions
domestic market, and higher demand for banking had reached 71.6 million per month.
services due to the government’s devolution process.
Banking in Africa | 6

Regional Sector Profile

Central and West Africa


In general, the Central and West African (CWA) region Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) bonds and the
is characterised as having the lowest median in relation purchase of for banks considered illegal by AMCON.
to private sector credit as a percentage of GDP. A More recently, Nigerian banks have been under
contributing factor to this pertains to weak governance pressure due to regulatory changes which have a
and regulatory institutions giving rise to high NPL ratios direct impact on earnings. One of these changes
and as a result, banks that are reluctant to extend was an increase in the cash reserve requirement
additional credit to the private sector. (CRR) on public sector deposits from 12% to 50%
in July 2013. The CRR on public sector deposits has
since been raised further to 75% in January 2014,
and is likely to have a big impact on banks’ earnings.

Ivory Coast
As the banking hub of francophone West Africa,
Ivory Coast accounted for 27.6% of total banking
sector assets within the West African Economic
and Monetary Union (WAEMU) region in 2012.
The banking sector consists mainly of French and
Nigerian subsidiaries in addition to state-owned
banks. Although relatively well capitalised, the
Ivorian banking sector also suffers from credit risk
in the form of comparatively high NPL ratios, partly
a consequence of the post-election conflict during
2010, when banks temporarily seized operations.
Nigeria Authorities in the WAEMU region are considering
The banking sector in the region’s dominant the establishment of a financial stability fund to
economy, Nigeria, has undergone substantial support the financial system during times of crises,
transformations over the past decade. Following such as experienced in Ivory Coast recently.
the 2005-06 consolidation, Nigeria’s banking
sector experienced rapid credit growth, as banks DRC
expanded their service offering and started entering In a report released during August 2013,
the untapped retail sector. However, a large share Ecobank notes that the banking sector in the
of the credit originated from high risk investment DRC comprised of 18 active commercial banks
activities, such as margin traders focusing on with a total of 278 branches at the end of 2012.
equities and oil importers not hedging their Total commercial bank assets increased by 32%,
positions. This meant that, in contrast to most of its from around $2.7bn in 2011 to $3.6bn in 2012.
African peers, the Nigerian banking sector proved According to the IMF, only around 3.5% of the adult
especially susceptible to the impact of the global population had deposit accounts at commercial
financial crises. The Central Bank of Nigeria took banks in 2012, up from 2.1% during the previous
various steps in an attempt to rectify the situation. year. Business for commercial banks improved
Firstly was to address corporate governance and after the government began transferring salaries of
removal of boards and CEO’s. The CBN also fixed civil servants through the banking system, instead
and ensured adherence to tenure limits for the board of salary payments made in cash, over the past two
and Chief Executive which resulted in changes at years. This development is likely to increase the
UBA, Zenith Bank etc. This included a guarantee on rate of financial deepening in the DRC while also
all interbank transactions and pension deposits as improving market penetration.
well as setting up the Asset Management Company
(AMC) to swap all NPLs with tradable zero-coupon-
7 | Banking in Africa

The Market for Banking

A large proportion of the African populace does not global adult population. Put differently, 115 million of
make use of formal financial services. According to the total adult population in SSA – estimated in the
the Global Findex Database , only 24% of the total region of 482 million – had an account at a formal
SSA adult population had an account at a formal financial institution.
financial institution in 2012, compared to 50% of the

African countries with particularly low account Given the opportunities presented by these markets,
penetration rates, where less than 10% of the many financial institutions have been spurred to
adult population had a financial institution account, reconsider the way in which they do business. By
included: Sudan, Senegal, Democratic Republic some estimates, 95% of the adult population in
of Congo, Central African Republic, Chad, Niger, SSA earning less than $10 per day have no access
Madagascar and Mali. The main reason for the low to bank accounts. If this group were to become part
level of financial inclusion in SSA, based on survey of the formalised banking sector, this could lead to
responses, pertains to low income levels in general. a significant increase in new deposits. Also, even at
Closely related to this last point is the fact that lower profit margins, the benefits associated with
survey respondents believed financial services to be leveraging economies of scale should contribute to
too expensive. Other notable barriers included the significant returns on the bottom line.
distance travelled to the nearest point of contact as
well as onerous regulatory requirements.
Banking in Africa | 8

Key Growth Drivers

The banking sector on the African continent phones. Mpesa account holders can use their
managed to realise significant growth over the mobile phones to transfer funds, pay bills, and
past decade. Encouragingly, this trend is expected purchase mobile airtime credit.
to continue in the medium term. The Economist
This is widely aired as successful but the success
Intelligence Unit (EIU) states that African countries
has not been replicated in any other African country
“are poised to enjoy a surge in growth in their
to date.
banking systems during this decade”, mainly
driven by high economic growth and improved
performance in relation to financial deepening.
Pan-African Banks
The EIU forecasts total financial sector assets will The growing presence of subsidiaries of major global
expand by around 178% - 248% by 2020 in a sample banks on the continent has undoubtedly improved
consisting of 16 key SSA countries . the availability and quality of financial services in
recent years. However, large banks from well-
However, in order to realise the significant growth developed financial markets on the African continent
potential outlined above, companies will need to have made the biggest impact in this regard. As
find alternative approaches and innovative solutions noted above, these banks mostly have their origins
to the problem of expanding the reach of financial in South Africa and Nigeria. According to the EIB: “at
services to the unbanked. least nine SSA-domiciled financial groups operate
banks in seven or more other SSA countries.”
Use of Mobile Technology
Standard Bank, Africa’s top bank by assets, has a
The advent of modern technology and other
comprehensive Africa presence with the company
innovations have successfully enabled a handful of
operating in around 17 SSA countries. The company
pioneers to provide banking services to a far wider
remains focused on its African strategy, and has
income customer base than ever before. More
indicated that it no longer has ambitions to buy
specifically, the emergence of mobile technology
or build commercial operations outside of Africa.
as an alternative to more traditional banking has
Standard Bank’s affiliation with the Industrial
allowed for services to be provided to lower
Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), following ICBC’s
income households often residing at distant rural
purchase of a 20% stake in Standard Bank in early
locations. This was made possible by the rapid
2008, remains a strategic advantage in terms of
diffusion of affordable cellular technology on the
tapping into Asia’s growing presence in Africa.
African continent. According to a study completed
Similarly, in July 2009, FirstRand Group formed
by the African Development Bank during 2012, “the
a strategic partnership with China Construction
number of subscribers on the continent has grown
Bank (CCB), with the intention to align two leading
almost 20 per cent each year for the past five years.
banks on two strategic continents to facilitate
Mobile telephony penetration in Africa has increased
banking opportunities in the China-Africa corridor.
exponentially from less than 2 million subscribers in
The FirstRand Group’s vision is to be the African
1998 to over 500 million in 2011.” Mobile banking
financial services group of choice by growing its
has achieved the broadest success in SSA, where
franchise in the broader African continent, targeting
16% of adults reported having used a mobile phone
trade and investment flows between Africa,
in the 12-months leading to April 2012 to pay bills
China and India. In addition, Barclays Plc recently
or send or receive money. This is compared to less
combined its operations in Africa to standardize its
than 5% in other regions.
business across the continent as part of its ‘One
One of the most successful mobile banking models Bank in Africa’ strategy. The UK bank increased its
in Africa is considered to be Kenya’s Mpesa, which stake in the Absa Group of South Africa to 62.3%
caters to more than 14 million customers (70% of and consolidated the assets of the latter with that
Kenya’s adult population). Developed by Vodafone of its other African operations and subsequently
and launched commercially by the company’s rebranded the business as Barclays Africa Group,
Kenyan affiliate Safaricom, Mpesa is an electronic although the Absa brand would be retained solely
payment system accessible from ordinary mobile for operations in South Africa. Barclays Africa

5
World Bank: Global Findex Database. 2012.
6
Economist Intelligence Unit. 2011.
9 | Banking in Africa

Key Growth Drivers

Group wants to increase the share of its revenue Recognising the importance of NBFI’s for a
originating from outside of South Africa to between large percentage of poor African households, an
20% and 25%, while also aiming to be amongst the increasing numbers of banks are collaborating
top three banks by revenue in its five largest markets with non-governmental organisations (NGOs) to
(South Africa, Kenya, Ghana, Botswana and Zambia). provide some form of new banking facilities to the
Ecobank, with its roots in Togo, has the biggest largely unbanked rural population. These range from
presence in Africa, rendering banking services in 33 promoting a culture of savings and loan facilities in
countries. These banks have assisted in improving poor communities, to increasing financial literacy, to
competition as well as ensuring new technologies the issuance of biometric smart cards as a means
and methodologies are transferred across countries of formal identification so as to provide easier
on the continent. access for rural households to banking services. The
importance of this is significant in that promoting a
Alternative Financing Options culture of savings in poor communities and providing
While banks are and will remain the backbone of some form of financial literacy has the potential to
African financial systems, a number of alternative eventually have a hand in reducing poverty. While
financing options exist, upon which most low- encouraged by progress made, there is still a long
income African households have traditionally way to go to ensure that the majority of Africa’s
resorted given limited access to formal banking poorest are able to engage in some kind of formal
products. These non-bank financial intermediaries financial activity.
(NBFIs) range from post-office savings banks to
credit unions and other financial cooperatives
to other formal and semi-formal microfinance
providers, with their success and longevity
ascribed to lower affordability, eligibility and
product appropriateness barriers than traditional
banks. Another mode of branchless banking that
has received growing attention in recent years
is bank agents, who tend to operate out of retail
stores, gas stations or post offices. By and large
however, the NBFI sector generally tends to
operate below potential.
Banking in Africa | 10

Remaining Challenges

Even though African banking systems experienced Excess liquidity


marked improvements over the past decade in
The EIB notes that in many African countries
general, major challenges remain which could serve
“banking systems are characterized by significant
to constrain growth in the medium term.
excess liquidity, reflecting the scarcity of what banks
deem to be credit-worthy borrowers.” Banks in many
Infrastructural weaknesses countries continue to rely on government securities
The unavailability of efficient infrastructure remains to generate earnings instead of growing loan books.
a key challenge for a number of African countries In cases where loans are more prevalent, the
and as such, cost of providing the necessary interest rate spreads between loans and deposits
infrastructure adds significantly to the cost of doing are mostly large. The situation is compounded
business. Also, payments systems are largely by the fact that, in a number of African countries,
underdeveloped and as such supports process the necessary enablers to grow retail credit e.g
for efficiencies and reduction in cash handling are identification, credit bureaus etc. are absent or
limited in a number of countries. where they exist, in a very nascent phase.

Weak regulatory frameworks Technological backlogs


The global financial crises encouraged many A white paper published by the Industrial
countries on the continent to embark on becoming Development Corporation (IDC) of South Africa in
compliant with international regulatory frameworks 2013 highlighted information technology as a major
(e.g. Basel guidelines). However, progress in this operational challenge. The proliferation of multiple
regard varies greatly between countries and regions. systems to deliver on operational needs, without
In addition to improved regulatory frameworks, a clear architecture governing interoperability and
African countries need to strengthen oversight and synergy has resulted in its own unique issues.
enforcement. Many banks in Africa indeed are plagued with
reporting and data integration problems resulting
Unaffordable banking services from this challenge or the complete lack of requisite
Probably one of the greatest constraints to growth technology. “The consolidation of data, systems
in the African banking sector pertains to the fact and processes is, therefore, a key priority for African
that formal banking services remain mostly too banks in order to improve operational efficiency and
expensive for the vast majority of lower income enhance control of their operations”.
households. Banks have limited incentive to develop
products for the poor masses that currently cannot
afford banking products and hence mostly compete
at the higher end of the income distribution.
Increased competition at the higher end of the
market could serve to make banking services
more cost-effective for higher income households.
However, to bridge the gap between affordability
and commercial viability would require an increase
in average income and as a result larger middle
classes across the continent. Although the evidence
suggests that the African middle class is in fact
expanding, innovative new banking solutions might
serve to speed up this process.
11 | Banking in Africa

Conclusion

Although the banking sector on the African inclusive, far-reaching economic growth. However,
continent faces various difficult challenges, it to fulfil its full growth potential would require
nonetheless has the potential to realise significant strengthening of regulatory environments,
growth. Indeed the successful expansion of improvements in infrastructure/ including access
financial services into the retail sector including to the intensely tight supervision. Africa has the
penetration of the lower income and ‘unbanked’ potential to leapfrog in select areas e.g. Mpesa
sectors of the population has the ability to be a model in East Africa and innovations will be key to
catalyst for economic growth to ensure more release the growth potential of the least cost.
Banking in Africa | 12

Source of Information

Africa Development Bank.


Allen et al. 2011. African Financial Systems: A
Review.
Čihák et al. 2012. Benchmarking Financial Systems
around the World.
Ecobank. 2013. Middle Africa Insight Series.
Economist Intelligence Unit. 2011. Banking in Sub-
Saharan Africa to 2020.
European Investment Bank. 2013. Banking in Sub-
Sahara Africa: Challenges and Opportunities.
International Monetary Fund.
World Bank. 2011. Making Finance Work for Africa.
World Bank. 2012. Measuring Financial Inclusion,
The Global
Findex Base.
The Africa Report.
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KPMG in Africa
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Shelley Hunt cobus@nkc.co.za
Africa High Growth Markets
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