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CANDIDATE IMAGES
Jim Hagedorn earns a majority of the vote in a Republican primary match-up against Carla Nelson. He
effectively translates his favorability from his image to the ballot. Hagedorn maintains a lead across all
five media markets in the district (Minneapolis: 55-12%, Rochester: 47-36%, Mankato: 70-6%, LaCrosse: 40-
19%, Sioux Falls: 60-24%). He is the clear choice of Conservative voters (Very Conservative: 60-16%,
Somewhat: 56-19%). Hagedorn’s ballot score improves further among high-propensity primary voters (57-
28%). Both women (53-16%) and men (55-25%) choose Hagedorn.
25 Hagedorn
Nelson
54 Undecided
21
METHODOLOGY: The sample size for the survey is 412 likely Republican Primary voters in Minnesota Congressional District 1 and the margin of error is
+/-4.8%. Responses were gathered via landline and mobile phone interviews conducted by live callers at a professional call center. The survey was
conducted February 19 – 20, 2018 by Harper Polling. The total percentages of responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.