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Brandon Lee
15.450 Recitation 9
Intuitively, the LLN says that as the sample gets larger, the
sample average approaches the true mean.
The LLN is often the basis for establishing consistency of
statistical estimators.
Suppose
yi = xi β + εi
where E [εi |xi ] = 0 (which then implies that the error term is
uncorrelated to the sample: E [xi εi ] = 0)
The OLS estimator is given by
−1
βˆ = X 0 X X 0y
Note
−1
βˆ = X 0 X X 0y
−1
= X 0X X 0 X 0β + ε
−1 0
= β + X 0X Xε
Therefore,
−1 0
plim βˆ = β + plim X 0 X Xε
0 −1 0 !
XX Xε
= β + plim
N N
0 −1
The key here is that XNX will converge to some limit and
0
so will XNε . But by the Law of Large Numbers, we know
that 0
Xε
plim = E [xi εi ] = 0
N
Therefore,
plim βˆ = β
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