Professional Documents
Culture Documents
INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................................... 4
HISTORY ....................................................................................................................................... 5
GLOBAL PRESENCE ................................................................................................................... 6
FUTURE GLOBAL EXPANSION PLANS ............................................................................... 9
INNOVATION TO IMPROVE CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE IN CHINA .................... 9
TAPPING THE GROWING INDIAN MARKET ........................................................... 9
THE STRATEGIES FOR SUCCESS ............................................................................................. 9
GROWING THE NUMBER OF STORES .................................................................................. 10
ELEVATING THE COFFEE EXPERIENCE .............................................................................. 10
CREATING NEW CUSTOMER OCCASIONS .......................................................................... 11
DRIVING AT HOME COFFEE SHARE & OCCASIONS ......................................................... 11
BUILDING TEAVANA ............................................................................................................... 11
ESTABLISHING NEW PARTNERSHIPS .................................................................................. 11
EXTENDING DIGITAL ENGAGEMENT .............................................................................. 12
A SOCIALLY RESPONSIBLE CORPORATE EMPIRE .................................................... 12
STARBUCKS’ SUPPLY CHAIN STRATEGY .......................................................................... 13
SOURCING ....................................................................................................................... 13
INNOVATIONS ................................................................................................................ 16
EQUITY CAPITALIZATION........................................................................................... 19
VALUATION .................................................................................................................... 27
Starbucks locations serve hot and cold drinks, whole-bean coffee, microground instant coffee
known as VIA, espresso, caffe latte, full- and loose-leaf teas including Teavana tea
products, Evolution Fresh juices, Frappuccino beverages, La Boulange pastries, and snacks
including items such as chips and crackers; some offerings (including their annual fall launch of
the Pumpkin Spice Latte) are seasonal or specific to the locality of the store. Many stores sell pre-
packaged food items, hot and cold sandwiches, and drinkware including mugs and tumblers; select
"Starbucks Evenings" locations offer beer, wine, and appetizers. Starbucks-brand coffee, ice
cream, and bottled cold coffee drinks are also sold at grocery stores.
HISTORY
The first Starbucks opened in Seattle’s Pike Place Market, Washington, on March 31, 1971, by
three partners who met while they were students at the University of San Francisco:
They were inspired to sell high-quality coffee beans and equipment by coffee roasting entrepreneur
Alfred Peet after he taught them his style of roasting beans. The company grew to be the largest
roaster in Washington with multiple locations until the early 1980’s.
In 1982, Howard Schultz joins Starbucks as director of retail operations and marketing.
Starbucks begins providing coffee to fine restaurants and espresso bars.
In 1983, Schultz travels to Italy, where he’s impressed with the popularity of espresso bars in
Milan. He sees the potential to develop a similar coffeehouse culture in Seattle.
In 1984, Schultz convinces the founders of Starbucks to test the coffeehouse concept in downtown
Seattle, where the first Starbucks Caffè Latte is served. This successful experiment is the genesis
for a new company Il Giornale that Schultz founds in 1985. It was offering brewed coffee and
espresso beverages made from Starbucks® coffee beans.
In 1987, the original owners sold the Starbucks chain to their former manager Howard Schultz,
who rebranded his ‘Il Giornale’ coffee outlets as Starbucks and quickly began to expand. He
continues to serve Starbucks as a CEO till 2016.
On December 1, 2016, Howard Schultz announced he would resign as CEO effective in April
2017 and will be replaced by Kevin Johnson. Johnson assumed the role of CEO on April 3, 2017.
Howard Schultz
GLOBAL PRESENCE
Today Starbucks is the largest coffeehouse company in the world, with 24395 retail locations as
of the first quarter of 2016, followed distantly by such coffee shop chains as Dunkin Donuts with
about 10,000 restaurants, Tim Horton’s with 4,300 outlets with 4,300 outlets, and Costa Coffee
with nearly 1,700 stores worldwide. Based on the company’s positive sustained operating results,
it is ranked among Forbes’ top-500 world’s biggest public companies.
NUMBER OF STARBUCKS STORES WORLDWIDE FROM 2003 TO 2016
While Starbucks initially focused on the domestic US market, in 1996 the company opened its first
stores outside the US. Since then, Starbucks’ international footprint has expanded to 11,266 stores
in the three main markets: America which includes Canada, Latin America and US; China and
Asia Pacific (CAP); and Middle East and Africa (EMEA). The domestic market still represents
more than half of all Starbucks stores; California with 1,836 locations, has more stores than any
other state.
STARBUCKS PRESENCE IN THE AMERCAS, CAP AND EMEA COUNTRIES
Starbucks operates two types of stores: company-operated and licensed. Currently, the store count
is almost equally distributed between these two types – 51 percent of stores are company operated
and the other 49 percent are licensed – even under continuous expansion. During the third quarter
of 2016, Starbucks launched 474 new stores, including the first stores in Andorra and Slovakia.
The company’s growth is bolstered by low turnover of its stores. Only 443 Starbucks stores have
closed throughout the company’s history: 240 stores in 2009, the year of global financial crisis; 42
in 2010; and 161 in 2011.
FUTURE GLOBAL EXPANSION PLANS
With a goal to open 500 new stores in China in 2016-17, bringing its specialty tea brand Teavana
to India, and entering the China ecommerce market, Starbucks Corporation seems to have a
strategy in place to expand its international operations.
Not only is Starbucks concentrating on expanding its footprint, but also changing its store mix.
Instead of opening more dine-in restaurants, the coffee giant is concentrating on drive-thrus in the
outer edges of urban and suburban areas. In addition, Starbucks is opening up express stores which
essentially function as walk-thrus in New York, Boston, and Seattle. This strategy is aimed at
increasing the company’s store penetration. However, a force that may counter the incremental
growth from the new store openings is cannibalization. That said, Starbucks remains confident that
it will see a minimum 5% comparable sales growth in the U.S.
With the coffee market set to grow multi-fold in the next few years, the company is pulling all
stops to position itself as the most preferred coffee shop. The following picture gives a glimpse of
Starbucks’ expanded store portfolio, offering highly customized and elevated experiences.
CREATING NEW CUSTOMER OCCASIONS
Lunch hours, for the company, have been the fastest growing day part for a number of years now.
This was driven by improved food offering, more fresh food items around bistro boxes and
sandwiches, and strength in its tea platform. Furthermore, Starbucks is launching nitro cold brew
in 500 stores by the end of December. All of this is aimed at enticing a greater number of customers
to its stores, by offering new and innovative food and beverage options.
Driving the demand for at-home coffee entails growing the consumer product goods department.
CPG mainly consists of packaged coffee and K-Cups. Starbucks is the leader in K-Cups, even
though the industry has slowed down significantly from its peak.
BUILDING TEAVANA
Teavana, since its launch, has become one of the biggest growth drivers for the company. It has
contributed one percentage point in comparable sales growth for seven consecutive quarters. Its
successful launch has led to Starbucks rolling out Teavana in China and Europe.
Food sales now represent 20% of Starbucks’ revenue and has been consistently contributing almost
a percentage point to comps. Further, the company has found that each day part is far below its
saturation level in terms of food offerings. To fully leverage off the gaining popularity of its
complementary coffee and food menu, the company is working towards establishing partnerships
and making food one of its major future growth drivers.
EXTENDING DIGITAL ENGAGEMENT
Mobile payments comprise of one-fourth of all transactions in the U.S. for Starbucks. The
company’s latest endeavor at driving digital engagement, Mobile Go and Pay, is at 20% of all
mobile transactions. The initiative, which is only one year old, is Starbucks’ path towards
promoting a truly seamless, digital experience.
As expected, Starbucks’ social advocacy has triggered some backlash. At the same time however,
the coffee chain’s hiring campaigns have largely been praised across social media.
STARBUCKS’ SUPPLY CHAIN STRATEGY
Did you ever wonder what journey coffee goes through before ending up in your cup? Well, getting
the coffee from Latin America or Africa surely can’t be an easy task. But imagine adding on top
of this – 22,000 retail stores across 6 continents that must be supplied with various coffee blends
at all times to satisfy your coffee needs every morning. Yes, Starbucks can make it all happen.
The scale and efficiency of Starbucks supply chain is impressive. Consider this – they process
70,000 deliveries a week, supplying their 22,000 retail stores across 65 countries. What is even
more impressive is that Starbucks controls every function of their upstream logistics starting from
coffee plantations, to coffee processing and manufacturing, and finally delivering. They are
involved in every single step and process from growing coffee to serving coffee to their clients.
This even includes manufacturing of their cups and paper. So how do they achieve these impressive
results? No matter the country, at Starbucks you always get the same coffee experience and fast.
Let’s break down their supply-chain and the design of their distribution network.
SOURCING
The magic starts right from the source of Starbucks – their coffee beans. Starbucks sources their
coffee beans directly from the farmers, without any intermediaries in between. Their premium
coffee is sourced from 8 coffee plantations around the world including Brazil, Columbia,
Guatemala, Mexico, Hawaii, Tanzania, Kenya and Saudi Arabia. Starbucks tries to be quiet
selective of it’s suppliers, and follow Coffee Sourcing Guidelines (CSG) as set of standards to
select their suppliers. Only if the suppliers meets these requirements, will Starbucks source coffee
beans from these plantations.
Starbucks’ delivery process is even more demanding. Coffee beans travel from plantations all way
to their DC centers and then to their retail stores worldwide. Starbucks must process 70,000 global
deliveries every week ensuring adequate amount of coffee is timely delivered to each of their retail
points across 69 countries! Of course, they didn’t achieve such efficiency right from the start. Back
in 2008, Starbucks transportation expenses were fast increasing as their supply chain and logistic
system was not able to keep up with their global growth (Cooke, 2016).
In United States alone transportation related expenses increased almost by 75 million. They went
through large scale reorganization, where every transport carrier was analyzed and their
performance assessed. This way they cut out many of their logistic carriers, leaving only their best
and most efficient partners.
The latest news is that Starbucks is buying coffee beans from Yunnan province in China, to supply
their retail stores located across the country. They really try to discover new ways to optimize the
logistic processes and shorten distance between plantations and distribution points. It is also a
strategy to build coffee trend in China, who is more known for it’s tea traditions and culture.
A CENTRALIZED SYSTEM
Starbucks uses one centralized system to manage its supply chain and logistics network across six
continents. By doing so, Starbucks is able to operate and manage multiple global distribution
centers centrally with complete control: five in the United States, two in Europe and two in Asia.
Starbucks also uses one, simple “scorecard system” to evaluate its supply chain efficiency. The
four high-level categories Starbucks assesses are:
Safety in operations
On-time delivery and order fill rates
Total end-to-end supply chain costs
Enterprise savings
INNOVATIONS
Faced with a decline in production of its main coffee blend due to a fungus, Starbucks decided to
address the serious threat to its supply chain by purchasing a farm in Costa Rica.
Although the farm will initially be used for research to learn more about this dangerous fungus,
the company has visions to create its own coffee blends, which could result in full-scale coffee
production in the future.
This move could end up being a huge coup for Starbucks, as it would allow the company to gain
a massive advantage over its competitors, by having greater control over its ability to meet
increased demand as the industry itself faces a decline in global production.
Just this week, The Telegraph reported how a “coffee crisis” could hit Europe in the next 3-5 years,
as consumer thirst for high-quality coffee continues its unprecedented upwards trajectory.
Such is the demand for high-quality coffee that the industry is at serious risk of a supply shortage.
This risk is already becoming something of a reality, with an anticipated deficit of 3.5 million bags
of coffee beans for the current production year.
Such is Starbucks’s commitment to innovation that as much as one fifth of its annual income is
spent on innovative strategies.
EQUITY CAPITALIZATION
Starbucks had 1.51 billion fully diluted shares outstanding, with a market cap of $61.88 billion on
Dec. 31, 2014. The company implemented a two-for-one stock split for shareholders on record as
of March 30, 2015. The shares began trading split-adjusted on April 9, 2015. This caused the
market cap to spike to $143.77 billion at the end of the first quarter. The diluted share count
representing stock compensation nearly doubled from 11.3 million to 22 million shares at the end
of the second quarter. The total equity market cap fell to $82.67 billion.
Third-quarter diluted shares reached 30.5 million, representing $1.76 billion in stock
compensation, at the end of September 2015. This raised the total equity market cap to $87.88
billion. The fourth-quarter diluted share count dropped to 9.4 million valued at $567 million by
the end of December 2015, closing out the year with 1.49 billion total fully diluted
shares outstanding valued at a $90.17 market cap, for a 45.7% YOY rise. Shares of Starbucks
gained 47.98% for full-year 2015 compared to 1.38% for the Standard and Poor's (S&P 500) Index
performance.
DEBT CAPITALIZATION
The company debt load increased by net $299.2 million to a total of $2.34 billion at the end of
2015, which was up 14.2% YOY. In the third quarter, Starbucks issued $850 million in additional
long-term debt, which was composed of $350 million in 30-year 4.300% senior notes due June
2045 and $500 million in seven-year 2.700% senior notes due June 2022. It used the proceeds to
redeem $550 million of the 6.250% senior notes due August 2017. This transaction essentially
transferred the $549.8 million short-term debt into long-term debt, as cited on the consolidated
balance sheets. At year-end 2015, Starbucks had $2.34 billion in total debt divided by $12.44
billion in total assets for a debt-to-equity ratio of 18.7%. Considering the industry average is near
40%, Starbucks is an extremely well-managed cash flow machine with access to cheap rates due
to the solid stability of its balance sheet.
‘SIGNIFICANTLY OVERSUBSCRIBED’
Starbucks had initially looked into issuing a green bond to support some of its environmental and
eco-friendly retailing projects. But in the process of speaking with banks, the company learned
about the option to issue a sustainability bond, Maw said. The sustainability bond issue was
“significantly oversubscribed” and attracted interest from a diverse group of socially focused
investors outside its normal investor base, Maw said.
In addition to financing coffee purchases, the bond will support a $50 million loan program that
helps farmers rotate their crops and fund a network of eight farmer-support centers for suppliers
in Rwanda, Tanzania, Colombia, China, Costa Rica and other countries. Proceeds also will go
toward maintaining crop stability and sustainable-farming practices.
In addition, bond proceeds could support the company’s efforts to develop coffee plants resistant
to drought and a fungus that causes coffee leaf rust, Maw said. Coffee prices, which fell 24 percent
last year, have been among the most volatile commodities this year. Dry weather across coffee-
producing regions has tightened supply, and the U.S. Department of Agriculture is forecasting
record demand this year. Starbucks, which uses a set of standards called “CAFE” -- short for coffee
and farmer equity -- pays a premium to futures-market prices for coffee.
Starbucks will publish annual updates on the use of the sustainability bonds’ proceeds until they
have been fully allocated to projects. The company’s coffee standards include 140 different
requirements for sustainable sourcing, Maw said. Conservation International then verifies that its
coffee has been grown and delivered sustainably, he said.
Sustainable sourcing is “inseparable from what we do,” Maw said.
Slowly but surely, U.S. companies are waking up to the notion that bonds can be a useful financing
mechanism for all manner of corporate sustainability projects.
In February, Apple shook up the market with a $1.5 billion green bond issue — the largest
undertaken by any U.S. tech company — that will pay for a range of environmental initiatives.
More recently, Starbucks issued $500 million in debt that will be used for several purposes,
including underwriting programs for farmers that adhere to the Coffee and Farmer Equity
(C.A.F.E.) Practices, a set of guidelines Starbucks adopted roughly 15 years ago for growing and
harvesting crops more sustainably.
In disclosing the offering, Starbucks CFO Scott Maw declared, "Issuing a bond focused on
sustainable sourcing demonstrates that sustainability is not just an add-on, but an integral part of
Starbucks including our strategy and finances."
Aside from the size of the offerings, there’s one big difference between them — the sorts of
programs that will benefit from the money raised.
Apple is using its proceeds to fund solar and wind projects, energy storage installations, energy
efficiency upgrades, water conservation measures, 'greener materials' research and recycling
initiatives.
Apple’s debt falls under the category of green bonds, generally used to fund projects specifically
meant to mitigate the negative effects of climate change. Some forecasts suggest that up to $1
trillion will be issued annually by 2020. Apple is using its proceeds to fund solar and wind projects,
energy storage installations, energy efficiency upgrades, water conservation measures, "greener
materials" research and recycling initiatives.
Starbucks has earmarked the money from its bond issue for projects that fall under the broader
umbrella of corporate social responsibility (CSR) and sustainable agriculture initiatives,
particularly those focused on ethical sourcing of coffee, said Drew Wolff, the vice president and
treasurer of Starbucks responsible for arranging for the new debt.
The Starbucks’ senior notes offering was "significantly oversubscribed" and took about a month
to pull together, he said. "We talked to a whole new set of investors that we didn’t know and hadn’t
talked to before."
The bonds will finance resources at the company’s network of eight farmer support centers in
Rwanda, Tanzania, Colombia, China, Costa Rica, Indonesia, Guatemala and Ethiopia, where
communities are trained in sustainable crop growing and harvesting practices.
Starbucks also supports a $50 million fund for short-term and long-term loans, and it also owns a
farm in Costa Rica. Among other things, it’s supporting a program to replace trees affected with
the coffee rust fungus. "A little bit of money goes a long way in this program," Wolff said.
Improving the efficiency and effectiveness of coffee farming practices helps to strengthen the
overall sustainability of the coffee supply chain while advancing the socioeconomic conditions of
coffee farmers.
As of last year, the company said almost all of the 551 million pounds of coffee it purchased were
"ethically" sourced according to the C.A.F.E. practices.
The bond proceeds also may be used to support some of Starbucks’ green retail initiatives,
including certifications under the Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED)
process, as well as CSR efforts such as training and placements for veterans and disadvantaged
youth, Wolff said.
The Starbucks bonds were rated by consulting firm Sustainalytics, which also reviewed Apple’s
bonds.
"Improving the efficiency and effectiveness of coffee farming practices helps to strengthen the
overall sustainability of the coffee supply chain while advancing the socioeconomic conditions of
coffee farmers," said Simon McMahon, executive president of advisory services for Sustainalytics,
in a statement.
More people in this country are realizing that they can steer their investment dollars the same way
that consumers can steer their purchases.
Wolff said he expects to know very quickly whether there will be an appetite for future Starbucks
corporate sustainability or green bonds, an instrument he thinks will become more commonplace
over the next several years. "More people in this country are realizing that they can steer their
investment dollars the same way that consumers can steer their purchases," he said. "Over time,
you should get better pricing for instruments like these."
Other U.S companies using green bonds include data center developers and operator Digital Realty
Trust, which raised about $493 million from an issue back in June 2015. It allocated the money to
supporting nine projects that have earned green building certifications. The rating systems that
Digital Realty supports include LEED, the Building Research Establishment Environmental
Assessment Methodology (BREEAM) and the Certified Energy Efficient Datacenter Award.
About $118 billion "labelled" green bonds are outstanding, according to data released in early July
by the Climate Bonds Initiative. The larger universe of bonds related to financing low-carbon or
carbon-resilient infrastructure projects is valued at close to $694 billion, the organization
estimated. The country supporting the most "climate-aligned" bonds is China, followed by the
United States, the United Kingdom and France.
"The growth in size and depth of both the climate aligned and labelled green bonds is a positive
for potential investors looking to lift their green exposure post the COP21 at Paris," said Zoe
Knight, managing director of the Climate Change Center of Excellence for financial services giant
HSBC, commenting on the data. "It’s a sign of the scale and liquidity in the market and
demonstrates the potential for future green investment."
Two things in particular stand out about the charts above. First, if you purchased Starbucks stock
on April 7, 2010, the record date for its first dividend payout, your dividend yield based on what
you paid that day would now be 6.4% -- much better than most dividend stocks offer today.
The second is that Starbucks' earnings have risen in tandem with its dividend increases. The gains
over the last six years are almost identical. That means that the company's dividend hikes are
funded by growing profits and not by debt or cash on hand. If Starbucks' profits continue to grow
at the same pace, its dividend can follow suit endlessly. Also of note is that the company's payout
ratio, or the percentage of profits devoted to dividends, is still under 50% -- much less than the
typical dividend stock, which might spend around 80% of profits on dividends. That means
Starbucks has room to hike its dividend even if profit growth slows.
During the past five years, the coffee giant has increased its dividend at an average annualized rate
of 24.9%. And this dividend growth hasn't slowed recently. Over the last three years, Starbucks’
dividend has grown by 23.6% per year.
Looking forward, there's good reason to expect Starbucks' dividend to continue increasing at rapid
rates.
Perhaps the most notable reason to expect robust dividend growth in the coming years is the
company's low payout ratio, or dividend payments as a percentage of earnings. Currently,
Starbucks' payout ratio is just 42%. In other words, only 42% of Starbucks annual earnings is
currently going toward dividend payments. This leaves plenty of room for dividend increases in
the future.
Starbucks' room for dividend growth is just as evident by looking at the company's dividends paid
in the trailing 12 months compared with its free cash flow, or cash from operations less capital
expenditures, during this same period. Of Starbucks' $3.1 billion in free cash flow, the coffee
retailer paid out just $1.2 billion in dividends.
But more than Starbucks' current financial situation makes a case for expected dividend growth.
Investors should also note management's forecast for earnings growth over the next five years. In
the company's recently updated five-year plan, management said it expected EPS to increase
between 15% and 20% annually during the next five years. And analysts seem to -- almost -- agree;
the consensus estimate for Starbucks' average annualized growth during this period is 15.7%, or
the low end of Starbucks' guidance range.
Combing Starbucks' impressive dividend performance during the past five years with good reasons
for this growth to continue, it would arguably be conservative to forecast Starbucks' dividend to
increase at an average rate of about 20% during the next five years. Highlighting just how much
of a difference dividend growth can make over time, such a heady growth rate would essentially
double Starbucks' dividend in less than four years.
So Starbucks' 1.8% dividend yield may be unimpressive today. But income investors who buy
today and hold for the long haul will probably see their annual dividend payments from Starbucks
increase at rapid rates.
VALUATION
Despite falling 12% over the past year, from just looking at the forward P/E ratio (28x) or dividend
yield (1.5%), you might not think that Starbucks looks undervalued.
After all, the current share price still represents a substantially higher valuation metric than the
market’s P/E, and even accounting for the company’s excellent long-term growth investors can be
forgiven for thinking that Starbucks is trading at lofty levels.
However, there are two things to consider. First, Starbucks has historically traded at a high
premium due to the strength of its brand, the quality of its management, and its long growth
runway. In fact, the stock’s average P/E over the past 20 years has been over 40, implying that
today’s valuation might not be as high as it seems.
As we’ve seen, Starbucks’ growth runway is still very long and, equally importantly for us, it has
the potential for some truly sensational dividend growth in the coming years.
Growing dividends over time is very powerful. For example, Starbuck’s split adjusted cost basis
20 years ago was $2.06. This means that the current dividend represents a 31.6% yield on invested
capital. Even adjusting for inflation that still comes to 20.5% and will only grow exponentially
over time as Starbucks continues to reward patient, long-term investors.
In other words, while Starbucks may not seem like a screaming buy at today’s price, based on its
historical valuations, and more importantly, its realistic forward earnings growth potential, the
stock seems like a solid long-term core holding for any diversified dividend growth portfolio.
Even as large as Starbucks is today, it still has the potential to become one of the best performing
dividend growth stocks of the next decade if it can achieve its long-term guidance. Essentially,
owning Starbucks is a bet that the company’s store concept is not yet saturated but rather has a
long runway for growth. If correct, the stock should deliver double-digit annual returns over time.
STARBUCKS VS MCDONALD
Competition within the restaurant world often comes from unexpected quarters. One might think
that the clientele that fast-food giant McDonald's (MCD) serves would be far different from the
coffee-guzzling customers that Starbucks (SBUX) woos.
But over time, both companies have moved into each other's territory, with McDonald's offering
its McCafe drinks while Starbucks aims at delivering breakfast and other food options.
Many investors see both companies as having considerable strengths and want to know which one
is the more promising stock right now. Let's look at how McDonald's and Starbucks compare on
some key metrics to see which one might be a smarter pick for investors.
DIVIDENDS COMPARISON
McDonald's also looks more attractive from a dividend standpoint. The fast-food giant's current
dividend yield is 3.1%, and that compares extremely favorably with the 1.7% yield that Starbucks
offers right now.
McDonald's has a long history of returning money to shareholders through dividends. You'll find
the company on the list of elite Dividend Aristocrats, thanks to its 41-year history of consecutive
annual dividend increases. The most recent raise came just last month, with a 6% boost taking
McDonald's quarterly payout to $0.94 per share. Starbucks, by contrast, has only a seven-year
streak of rising payouts, but it has been more aggressive in its recent growth, pushing its quarterly
payout up by 25% last month to $0.25 per share. For now, that gives McDonald's the proven edge
in terms of shareholder friendliness in its dividend policy.
THE COMPETITION
PRIMARY COMPETITORS
The main competitors of Starbucks are:
o Dunkin' Donuts.
o Costa Coffee
Out of these three competitors, the dominant competitor for Starbucks is Dunkin Donuts.
FRANCHISING
Nearly all of Dunkin' Brands' locations are franchises while over 51% of Starbucks locations were
company operated as of October, 2016. Licensed Starbucks stores are disproportionately located
outside of the United States, and the company is not accepting applications for any new franchises
as of March 2016. Over 75% of Dunkin Donuts' revenue came from franchise fees, royalties and
rental income in 2015, whereas only 10% of Starbucks revenues were derived from licensed
locations.
Dunkin' Donuts' higher exposure to franchise and rental income leads to a fundamentally different
business from Starbucks' largely owner-operator model. This has major implications for revenue
streams, cost structure and capital spending. Company-operated stores have different operational
and capital expense structures from franchised locations. Cost of goods sold (COGS) and
store operating expenses are a much larger percentage of sales for Starbucks than Dunkin' Donuts.
Because COGS is so much more prominent in Starbucks' expense structure, its profits are more
severely impacted by changes in coffee bean prices. Starbucks also has a higher capital expense
burden than Dunkin' Donuts, which is not obligated to purchase kitchen equipment for franchise
locations.
Starbucks brands itself primarily as a beverage provider that offers a more typical coffee house
dining experience. Starbucks locations are designed with the comfort of their customers in mind.
Free Internet access and inviting decor offer a more enticing option for those looking for a place
to read, relax or speak with friends. This also makes going to Starbucks a potential social activity,
turning the stores into a destination rather than a simple distribution location. This appeals to
customers seeking a premium experience. Typically, these customers have higher disposable
incomes and are more willing to pay extra for higher quality materials. In economic downturns,
people with lower disposable incomes are more likely to alter their consumption habits than people
with larger financial cushions. While Starbucks is undeniably impacted by the macroeconomic
environment, it is firmly established with a more resilient and less price-sensitive customer base,
which helps to dampen the blows brought on by economic cycles. Like Dunkin' Donuts, Starbucks
has also shifted focus to include more products aimed at afternoon and evening customers. These
include small plates and sandwiches as well as wine and beer.
QUALITY
Starbucks has built a more premium brand than Dunkin' Donuts. Starbucks offers a more extensive
menu and more product customization, which is reinforced by writing each customer's name on
the side of his cup. The company offers a comfortable and quiet environment with free wireless
Internet access, encouraging customers to stay to socialize, work, study, browse media or listen to
music while consuming their Starbucks product. Taken together, these factors form a more
premium experience and command a higher price point. Dunkin' Donuts has more competitive
pricing, focusing on the middle class. In company filings and earnings conference calls, Dunkin'
Donuts' management has described its intent to be the lowest cost provider in the market while
maintaining quality above an acceptable minimum.
FINANCIALS
Because Starbucks operates its own stores, it has tighter margins than Dunkin' Donuts. Profit after
cost of sales, which includes product expenses and occupancy costs, was 83% for Dunkin' Brands
during the quarter ending June 2015. Starbucks only had 60% gross margin during this period.
There is a similar divergence in operating margin with Starbucks posting 17.5% operating margin,
which is more than 26 percentage points below that of Dunkin' Brands. As mentioned earlier,
Dunkin' Donuts has a lower capital expense burden than Starbucks. Dunkin' Donuts' $14.4 million
in capital expense in the second quarter of 2015 was 31% of net cash flow from operations and 7%
of revenue. Starbucks' $944 million of capital expenses was 34% of net cash flow from operations
and 19% of revenue.
This discrepancy is a consequence of the different store ownership structures for the two
companies, and it has material consequences for the fundamentals available to investors.
Investors should also note the difference in capital structure between the two companies. Dunkin'
Donuts carries $2.5 billion of long-term debt, which is 74% of total assets. Starbucks' $2.4
billion of debt is only 18% of total assets.
FINANCIAL MANIPULATIONS
It was, in a way, rather unfortunate that UK Uncut still went ahead with their protests at Starbucks
branches on Saturday, December 8th. A number of companies have come under scrutiny for their
tax arrangements (see above t-shirt for reference) and the Starbucks did make quite aggressive
voluntary concessions in response to the furor. Little wonder why, of course:
STARBUCKS RESPONSES
The reporting last week of Starbucks’ concession to (try to) pay more tax in the UK focused on
the company’s estimate of how much they might pay — some £10m in each of 2013 and 2014.
But what exactly has Starbucks offered?
For two years, or until we make a profit, Starbucks UK will not claim deductions:
a) For the royalties, it pays
b) For the coffee, it purchases
c) For interest paid on intercompany loans
d) For capital allowance deductions nor our carry-forward losses
Starbucks is going further than just reversing the items in the picture. Concerning the coffee
purchases from the Switzerland office (point 2), Starbucks is saying that they won’t just take out
the mark-up on the coffee (of 20 per cent) but the entire cost of the coffee. A friend of FT Alpha
Ville, familiar with the coffee trade, got in touch with us on Wednesday and said person reckoned
coffee cost is 4 to 6 per cent of sales. For Starbucks UK, that would make the above concession
worth £16-24m.
Tallying up, that’s £16m of coffee (at the low end), £26m of royalties, and £2m of interest
payments, when using last year’s accounts as a guideline. Removing those for 2011 would have
gotten Starbucks UK to a £11m profit before tax.
This, however, is from the financial accounts, not the tax accounts. Important when one considers
that none of the first three concessions would count for anything were it not for the fourth. Context
from the 2011 accounts:
As Starbucks UK is loss-making (for UK tax purposes) it could pile up deferred tax assets (DTAs)
to use in a profitable year — should it ever get there. DTAs are recognized in the balance sheet
when “it can be regarded as more likely than not that there will be suitable taxable profits” in the
future. In other words, the company must think that it will make profits in the future, and hence it
will be able use the DTAs to lower tax liabilities.
For additional context, the stack of losses Starbucks has made in the UK since it came to these
shores:
Anyhow, what the recent note on DTAs reveals is that Starbucks didn’t recognize the amount it
could have gotten for things like capital allowance deductions (on investments it made,
presumably). If it does do so in 2013, then all its efforts to try to pay tax could go to waste. And
they wanted to pay tax due to huge uproar and reputational loss so Starbucks declared:
“For two years, or until we make a profit, Starbucks UK will not claim deductions for capital
allowance deductions nor our carry-forward losses”
Starbucks branches look kind of the same everywhere in the world. The implication being that a
hell of a lot of Starbucks UK’s stuff is likely to be sourced from outside the country (from other
Starbucks units, that is, in the US or elsewhere). Those characteristic chairs and couches, the
Frappuccino, the mugs, and so on. All of which will involve some transfer pricing and end up in
the UK unit’s cost of sales, thus reducing tax liability.
In other words, the costs Starbucks is offering not to recognize in its 2013 and 2014 UK tax
accounts are, well, kind of arbitrary in a way. They are the items mentioned in the press, plus an
extra one that has to go in lest the first three get negated by it.
Which brings us back to the global point about transfer pricing. Ultimately, there need to be tax
laws that are coordinated and that work for society as a whole. To those who argue that Starbucks
shouldn’t have volunteered to pay tax in advance of a change in law to recover it’
But also to the populists — note that this tax payment will ultimately hurt shareholders of
Starbucks, and then note that Starbucks UK staff are entitled to “Bean Stock”.
This Decision concerns the SMBV APA, an advance pricing agreement concluded by the Dutch
tax administration with SMBV on 28 April 2008 (APA). The SMBV APA is binding for 10 years,
from 1 October 2007 to 31 December 2017 11 . (41) An APA is an agreement between a tax
administration and a taxpayer on the application of tax law regarding (future) transactions, i.e. it
determines the amount of profit that the taxpayer generates from its activities that are taken into
account in that tax jurisdiction. An APA determines, in advance of intra-group transactions, an
appropriate set of criteria (e.g. method, comparable and appropriate adjustments thereto, critical
assumptions as to future events) for the determination of an arm’s length pricing for those
transactions over a fixed period of time. An APA is formally initiated by a taxpayer.
By concluding the SMBV APA, the Dutch tax administration accepted that the remuneration
determined by Starbucks’ tax advisor in the transfer pricing report for the functions performed by
SMBV in the Netherlands (including risk assumed and assets used) constitutes an arm’s length
remuneration
That remuneration consists of a mark-up of [9-12] % of the relevant cost base. The relevant cost
base used to calculate that remuneration includes all personnel costs engaged in both
manufacturing and supply chain activities, the cost of production equipment (i.e. depreciation) and
plant overheads. It does not include the costs of the Starbucks cups, paper napkins, etc., the costs
of green coffee beans (cost of raw materials), the logistics and distribution cost for services
provided by third parties, the remuneration for activities provided by third parties under so-called
“consignment manufacturing contracts” and the royalty payments to Alki LP.In the SMBV APA,
the Dutch tax administration further accepted that the level of the royalty payment from SMBV to
Alki LP would be determined at the end of each year as the difference between the realised
operating profit before royalty expenses and the aforementioned [9-12] % mark-up on operating
expenses. The SMBV APA further provides that “this royalty payment is deductible for corporate
income tax purposes and is not subject to Dutch withholding tax” 13 . (45) The SMBV APA thus
endorses a profit allocation to SMBV within the Starbucks group that enables it to determine its
corporate income tax liability to the Netherlands on a yearly basis for 10 years. Since the APA
entered into force on 1 October 2007, this Decision analyses the SMBV APA under the State aid
rules as from that date. The remuneration accepted by the Dutch tax administration in the SMBV
APA is based on the transfer pricing analysis prepared by Starbucks’ tax advisor in the transfer
pricing report, which forms an integral part of that APA. The objective of the transfer pricing
report is to support the proposed profit allocation to SMBV within the Starbucks group as being
based on an arm’s length pricing of intra-group transactions. The transfer pricing report presents a
company overview, a functional analysis and a selection of transfer pricing methods. The report
presents the following relevant information about Starbucks Coffee BV and SMBV14
Under the notes to the financial statements, the position “Other expenses” in Table 3 is defined as
follows: “Other expenses relate to a royalty agreement held with the affiliated company [CV 1],
which was assigned to Alki LP on December 13, 2006 and is based on a tax ruling with the Dutch
tax authorities”. The APA to which this footnote relates is the SMBV APA and thus indicates that
SMBV’s auditor interpreted the SMBV APA to determine the royalty payments by SMBV to Alki
LP.
The pre-tax profit before the royalty payment is equal to “Sales” minus “Direct Costs of Sales”
(which represent the costs of raw material consumed in the production process), minus “General
and Administrative expenses”, minus “Foreign currency exchange”, plus “Interest income”, minus
“Interest expense” in Figure 2. For example, for the year 2010/2011, the pre-tax profit before
payment of royalty would be equal to EUR 13 783 458. In order to lower the pre-tax to the level
agreed in the SMBV APA of around [9-12] % of agreed costs, a tax-deductible royalty of EUR 12
352 838 is paid out to Alki LP, as recorded in the position “Other expenses”.
For each period of the application of the SMBV APA, the costs taken into account for the
calculation of the tax base are lower but close to the amounts reported as “General and
administrative expense”. For example, for the period 2012/2013 those costs are EUR 15 694 137
and for the period 2007/2008 those costs are EUR 15 055 253. In the periods preceding the
application of the SMBV APA, the costs taken into account for the calculation of the tax base are
much higher, as they would, according to Starbucks, also include the costs charged by [unaffiliated
manufacturing company 1]. For example, for the period 2006/2007, the costs used to calculate the
tax base were EUR [30-40 million]. This explains why the corporate tax liability decreased by
more than half when the SMBV APA entered into force51, i.e. from EUR 844 309 in 2006/2007
to EUR 383 909 in 2007/2008, as shown in Table below:
According to the ad-hoc transfer pricing report provided, SCTC determines the prices to its
affiliates by applying a mark-up to the product costs associated with the green coffee beans sourced
by it.
In addition, to determine a current arm’s-length mark-up on product costs for SCTC for green
coffee beans procurement, three separate components were identified:
– Intellectual Property - C.A.F.E. Practices Program: SCTC manages the C.A.F.E. Practices
Program and uses valuable know-how that, when incorporated into Starbucks’ business operations,
ensures consistent supply and supports the Starbucks brand for sustainability. Starbucks analysed
this transaction using comparable licensing agreements relating to food and agricultural
technologies.
– Procurement: SCTC provides procurement functions for green coffee beans. Starbucks analysed
this transaction using comparable sourcing agreements between third parties.
– Financing: SCTC should generate a return for financing costs it incurs when holding unsold
inventory and net receivables for green coffee beans. Starbucks analysed an appropriate return for
financing that should be returned to SCTC.
Combining the results for each separate component analysed by SCTC would yield a combined
result for green coffee beans overall from 2005 through 2014 as demonstrated in below Table:
The breakdown by Starbucks of the mark-up of green coffee beans purchased by SCTC charged
to SMBV is given below:
According to Starbucks, the mark-up of [around 3 %] applicable on average for the period 2005 to
2010, corresponds to an arm’s length mark-up. However, since Starbucks did not provide any valid
justification for the increase in the average mark-up to [around 18 %] from 2011 onwards.
Starbucks claims that the increase of that mark-up in 2011 was due to the growing importance of
SCTC’s operations, particularly the increased expertise in coffee procurement and, more
important, its ownership and operation of the evolving C.A.F.E. Practices Program.